Sean, rare Mediterranean hybrid, and AK superstorm forms; quakes and tornadoes in OK

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:52 PM GMT on November 08, 2011

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Subtropical Storm Sean formed this morning between Bermuda and the Bahamas. Sean's formation brings this year's tally of named storms to eighteen, tying 2011 with 1969 as the 6th busiest Atlantic hurricane season since record keeping began in 1851. Only 2005, 1933, 1995, 1887, and 2010 have had more named storms. However, 2011 has had an unusually low percentage of its named storms reach hurricane strength. We've had an average number of hurricanes--six--meaning that only 33% of this year's named storms have made it to hurricane strength. Normally, 55 - 60% of all named storms intensify to hurricane strength in the Atlantic. There have been three major hurricanes in 2011, which is one above average, and the total Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)--a measure of the destructive potential of this season's storms--has been about 20% above average. The rare combination of near-record ocean temperatures but unusually dry, stable air over the Atlantic is no doubt at least partially responsible for the unusually high count of named storms, but near-average number of hurricanes and ACE.


Figure 1. The subtropical disturbance that became Subtropical Storm Sean, as seen at 1 pm EST November 7, 2011. Image credit: NASA.

Infrared satellite loops reveal that Sean has developed a respectable amount of heavy thunderstorm activity near its center that is increasing in intensity and areal coverage. While the low-level circulation center is exposed to view, a band of thunderstorms is trying to wrap around and close of the center. If this occurs, more substantial strengthening can occur, since the center will be walled off from the dry air that is currently interfering with development. Bermuda radar shows weak rain bands from Sean rippling across the island, with the strongest rain showers well to the island's southwest. Sustained winds at the Bermuda airport have been under 30 mph this morning. Sustained winds near tropical storm force were occurring this morning at buoy 41048, about 300 miles west of Bermuda. Winds at the buoy were 38 mph, gusting to 47 mph at 6:50 am EST. Strong upper-level winds out of the west are creating about 20 knots of wind shear over Sean, which is low enough to allow some slow development. Sean is a relatively shallow storm, and the tops of its thunderstorms extend up only to about the 300 mb level. Normally, a tropical storm extends up to about 200 mb. The shallow nature of Sean's thunderstorms mean that the storm is less vulnerable to wind shear than normal, since the storm is not feeling the strongest winds aloft. Ocean temperatures are near 26.5°C (80°F), which is right at the boundary of being warm enough to support tropical storm formation.

Forecast for Sean
Sean will drift slowly west or northwest today and Wednesday. The latest SHIPS model forecast predicts wind shear will remain about where it is now through Thursday morning, which should allow Sean to slowly intensify to a 50 mph storm. If Sean can make the transition to a fully tropical storm, more significant intensification can occur. The computer models show little or no development of Sean, with none of our reliable models predicting it will become a hurricane. Bermuda is the only land area that need concern itself with Sean, as a trough of low pressure is expected to absorb the storm on Thursday and lift it quickly to the north or northeast. The center of Sean could pass close enough to Bermuda to bring the island heavy rain squalls and sustained winds of 40 - 45 mph on Thursday and Friday. NHC is giving a 28% chance that Bermuda will receive tropical storm-force winds of 39 mph. High wind shear should destroy Sean on Friday.


Figure 2. MODIS image of the hybrid low named "Rolf" in the Mediterranean Sea at 10:30 UTC November 8, 2011. Image credit: NASA.

Unusual tropical storm-like low forms off coast of France
An unusual hybrid low pressure system has formed in the Mediterranean Sea, about 100 miles south of the coast of France. The low began as an extratropical storm named "Rolf", but has stalled out over the relatively warm waters of the Mediterranean over the past two days, and has acquired tropical characteristics. Heavy thunderstorms have built over the northeast portion of the low, and the storm has a symmetric spiral shape with a cloud-free center, like a tropical storm. The Navy is calling this system Invest 99L. The National Hurricane Center is not responsible for the Mediterranean Sea, so they are not issuing any products for 99L. NOAA's Satellite and Information Service (NESDIS) is giving 99L a tropical classification based on its satellite presentation, with winds in the 40 - 45 mph range. French radar shows heavy rains from 99L are beginning to affect Southeast France and the island of Corsica. The Lion Buoy, located about 100 miles to the west of the center of 99L, recorded sustained winds of tropical storm force, 40 mph, at 00 UTC yesterday. Water temperatures at the buoy were 17°C (63°F), far below the 26°C threshold usually needed to sustain a tropical storm. The coldest waters I've seen a tropical storm form in were 22°C during Hurricane Epsilon of 2005. I doubt that NHC would name this system if they did have responsibility for the Mediterranean, due to the cold water temperatures.

"Rolf" is expected to move slowly northwards into the coast of South France by Wednesday night. Meteo France is predicting heavy rains of 30 - 40 mm/hr (1.2 - 1.6"/hr) will affect the coast Tuesday night through Wednesday, with sustained winds of 50 mph, gusting to 75 mph.


Figure 3. Hybrid subtropical storm of October 8, 1996, off the coast of Italy. According to Reale and Atlas (2001), the storm had characteristics similar to a hurricane, but formed over water of 21.5°C. "The maximum damage due to wind occurred over the Aeolian Islands, at 38.5°N, 15°E, to the northeast of Sicily: assistance for disaster relief was required. Unfortunately, no weather station data were available, but the media reported sheds, roofs and harbor devices destroyed, and houses and electric lines damaged, due to "extremely strong westerly wind." The perfect agreement between the observations at Ustica, the storm scale, the eye-like feature position and the damages over the Aeolian Island reasonably suggest that the hurricane-level intensity of 32 m/s (72 mph) was reached over the Aeolian Islands." A similar hybrid low affected Algeria on 9 - 10 November 2001. This storm produced upwards of 270 mm (10.6") of rain, winds of 33 m/s (74 mph), and killed 737 people near Algeirs, mostly from flooding and mud slides. Image credit: Dundee satellite receiving station.

According to research published by Gaertner et al. (2007), an increase in ocean temperatures of 3°C in the Mediterranean by the end of the century could lead to hurricanes forming there. Miguel Angel Gaertner of the University of Castilla-La Mancha in Toledo, Spain, ran 9 different climate models with resolutions of about 50 km and found that some (but not all) of the models simulated hurricanes in the Mediterranean in September by the end of the century, when ocean temperature could reach 30°C.

Though the Mediterranean may start seeing hurricanes by the end of the century, these storms should be rare and relatively short-lived for three reasons:

1) The Mediterranean is quite far north and is subject to strong wind shear from jet stream activity.

2) The waters are shallow, and have relatively low heat content. There is no deep warm water current like the Gulf Stream.

3) The Mediterranean has a lot of large islands and peninsulas poking into it, increasing the chances that a tropical storm would weaken when it encountered land.

References
Meteo France has an interesting animation of the predicted winds and temperatures over the next few days.

Gaertner, M. A., D. Jacob, V. Gil, M. Dominguez, E. Padorno, E. Sanchez, and M. Castro (2007), Tropical cyclones over the Mediterranean Sea in climate change simulations,, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L14711, doi:10.1029/2007GL029977.

Reale, O., and R. Atlas. 2001: Tropical Cyclone-Like Vortices in the Extratropics: Observational Evidence and Synoptic Analysis, Weather and Forecasting, 16, No. 1, pp. 7-34.


Figure 4. Radar reflectivity image from the Tipton, OK tornado of November 7, 2011, showing a classic hook echo.


Video 1. Reed Timmer video of the November 7, 2011 tornado in Tipton, OK. Here's another excellent video of the Tipton tornado and a tornado near Manitou, OK from Texas Storm Chasers. Storm chasing IS dangerous: one storm chaser had his vehicle overturned, but got into another vehicle and continued the chase.

Shaken and stirred: an earthquake and tornado for Oklahoma
It was a rare multi-natural hazard day for Oklahoma yesterday, as the state experienced both a tornado and an earthquake, six hours apart. The damaging magnitude 5.6 earthquake that shook the state Saturday night spawned a magnitude 4.7 aftershock at 8:46 pm CST yesterday, 44 miles east of Oklahoma City. And at 2:47 pm CST, a tornado touched down in Southwest Oklahoma near Tipton. The tornado destroyed an Oklahoma State University agricultural office, and damaged a hay barn at a dairy farm. No injuries were reported. The UK MailOnline has an interesting article showing the radar image from Saturday's quake, which captured a massive groups of birds and insects that took flight after the ground shook.

This afternoon, NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed Southeast Oklahoma, East Texas, Southeast Missouri, and most of Arkansas in its "Slight Risk" area for severe weather, thanks to a strong low pressure system moving across the Plains. During the late afternoon, severe thunderstorms with high winds and large hail and expected over the region, and we cannot rule out an isolated tornado.

Bering Sea superstorm targets Alaska
A massive blizzard the National Weather Service is calling one of the most severe Bering Sea storms on record is gathering strength today to the west of Alaska. The storm is expected to "bomb" to a central pressure of 945 - 950 mb Tuesday night, and to 940 mb on Wednesday. These pressures, characteristic of a Category 3 hurricane, will be strong enough to generate sustained winds of Category 1 hurricane force over the waters to the west of Alaska, with winds of 50 - 70 mph expected along portions of the coast. Nome, Alaska is expecting a storm surge of 8 - 10 feet. Waves of 15 - 25 feet with ice on top will batter the shores, causing severe damage to the coast.

Jeff Masters

Chaser Cap (OIG)
This is a screen capture taken during a chase near Lawton, OK.
Chaser Cap

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Quoting sunlinepr:
Where is Levi?


battening down the hatches for the historic storm
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Bone dry air behind this front and by the time moisture comes back here another front comes thru limiting my rain chances, better moisture east into east texas and Louisiana every time. Seeing humidity west of me near 10 percent. Weather sure is getting extreme and severe though from severe drought to tornadoes to the giant storm in Alaska. Everything seems record breaking from flooding to snow, etc. I wonder if this is our new future in weather? Extreme and Severe?
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Where is Levi?
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True BN-Dave,

Not sure about the Cape Verde storms that curved into the central Atlantic, but anything reaching the North Atlantic as well as the Caribbean/Gulf M would definately leave a path in ships records with the amount of traffic over the last 200+ years.

cheers
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Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
Quoting Mach80:


Charming.

My observation was a low level nitpick regarding one comment on a blog that I admire and greatly respect. It wasn't intended to degenerate into a Yahoo chatboard.

I fully understand the activity this year and am sure that it ranks as very active even since satellite observations began. As I mentioned, I had a concern about comments that may be taken out of context.

Thanks


Jumping in here. One thing to bear in mind is that during the 19th and early 20th centuries there were literally hundreds of ships at sea in the Atlantic at any given time. All of them were equipped with barometers, thermometers, etc., and all of them had crews with a life-and-death interest in the weather and years of experience as observers.

Satellite observations have made the job of predicting storms much more effective, and the info from them is available in real time. However, there was a very great deal of observational info available after the fact in previous eras, and that's what the records are based on.
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332
WFUS54 KSHV 082014
TORSHV
TXC423-459-499-082045-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0084.111108T2014Z-111108T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
214 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN UPSHUR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WOOD COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* AT 210 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LINDALE...
OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF TYLER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HAWKINS AND BIG SANDY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE
STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...
MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
'Life-threatening' storm bears down on Alaska's west coast - Gusts up to 80 mph as well as storm surge will test towns

Link

A rapidly intensifying storm was approaching the west coast of Alaska on Tuesday and could become "one of the worst on record" for the region, the National Weather Service said in an alert.
The alert, issued by the NWS in Fairbanks, said the "extremely dangerous" storm would lash coastal areas from Tuesday night into Wednesday. It was expected to be just west of the Bering Strait by Tuesday night and then move into the southern Chukchi Sea on Wednesday.
The storm will likely be "life-threatening ... one of the worst on record," the service said.
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RAMMB Enhanced Infrared (IR) Imagery (4 km Mercator)

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Desert Storm: Oman to be hit with second cyclone system within a week

November 8, 2011 – OMAN – Last week, Oman was hit by Cyclone Keila which left 14 people dead and Oman under nearly 2 meters of water in some places. Now, the country is about to be hit again with Cyclone 4- the fourth such cyclone to form in the Arabian Sea this year.

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944
WFUS54 KHGX 082001
TORHGX
TXC201-291-082045-
/O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0019.111108T2001Z-111108T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
201 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* AT 157 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF PLUM GROVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TARKINGTON PRAIRIE...MOSS HILL...LIBERTY...KENEFICK...HARDIN...
DAYTON LAKES...DAYTON AND DAISETTA.

A TORNADO WAS SIGHTED EARLIER NEAR ATASCOCITA WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN THE INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A STURDY BUILDING. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF YOU ARE INSIDE A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. AS A LAST
RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR
HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.



PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3003 9507 3009 9517 3013 9515 3017 9509
3021 9511 3032 9507 3049 9473 3047 9471
3045 9472 3005 9459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 235DEG 19KT 3012 9508



CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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Getting hook echo crossing into Liberty county line, tornado warning in effect

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Downtown Houston




Astrodome and Reliant Stadium in background

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Quoting winter123:
Who else thinks sean could become a hurricane very quickly? It has 2/3 of an eyewall. Not a very strong eyewall, but it's there.


I think so.French model(post #63) clearly shows it,water is warm enough,and shear is low enough.
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Getting dark out there



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646
WFUS54 KSHV 081943
TORSHV
TXC347-401-082030-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0082.111108T1943Z-111108T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
143 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN NACOGDOCHES COUNTY IN EASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN RUSK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CST

* AT 141 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SACUL...OR 16 MILES EAST OF RUSK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TRAWICK...GARRISON AND MINDEN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE
STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...
MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
Who else thinks sean could become a hurricane very quickly? It has 2/3 of an eyewall. Not a very strong eyewall, but it's there.
Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 1776
NE Houston



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838
WFUS54 KHGX 081922
TORHGX
TXC201-291-339-082000-
/O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0018.111108T1922Z-111108T2000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
122 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 200 PM CST

* AT 118 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR HUMBLE... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
PORTER...NEW CANEY...BUSH-INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT...WOODBRANCH...
SPLENDORA...ROMAN FOREST...PLUM GROVE...PATTON VILLAGE AND
KINGWOOD.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3029 9519 3017 9494 2992 9527 2999 9536
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 214DEG 23KT 3000 9526

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
Tornado warnings in East Texas and north and east of Houston.
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Quoting RitaEvac:


Not seeing a line materialize at all like I thought would come about, horrible looking, not got get anything good
Good rains developed East of IH 35 when front came thru, East of Dallas into East Texas and around Houston there are good storms but only drizzle happened around here.
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Link

Sean will have an eye?
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Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
Quoting Barefootontherocks:


Hang in there. Rain'll happen.
Been saying that for 14 months, will believe it when I see it, maybe next tropical season will get Texas wet but that is 8 or 9 months away? That will be my next good chance at put some water in the dry Lakes rain.
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Quoting Grothar:
Hey, did any of you know there is a big storm near Alaska? :)


was on twc how they were thinking of evacuating some villiage
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Quoting VAstorms:


Wondering if the folks in Seattle will get a taste of this as well.
It looks like most of the storm will go way north of the lower 48..The troughs are starting to line up tho...bbl
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lots of happy surfers in italy
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Synoptic map of Europe as of 08.11 00z,Rolf is southeast of France
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Quoting Grothar:


Why would it be Rina? I would think it would have been the T storm if that were the case. Didn't we already have Rina here, or am I having another senior moment?
Remnant Rina ? jk.....:)
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000
WTNT34 KNHC 081735
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
200 PM AST TUE NOV 08 2011

...SEAN TRANSITIONS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
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Quoting HouGalv08:
First honest to goodness thunderstorm crossing across IAH right now here in Houston. Haven't seen rain like this in months. Cell shows nicely on radar, tracking SW to NE across NW part of Houston.


Looking at Transtar cams, shows good pics
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First honest to goodness thunderstorm crossing across IAH right now here in Houston. Haven't seen rain like this in months. Cell shows nicely on radar, tracking SW to NE across NW part of Houston.
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Quoting Hangten:


Most of the posts on here are intelligent but sometimes they are so philosophically like a Zen koan. Ridiculous.



Charming.

My observation was a low level nitpick regarding one comment on a blog that I admire and greatly respect. It wasn't intended to degenerate into a Yahoo chatboard.

I fully understand the activity this year and am sure that it ranks as very active even since satellite observations began. As I mentioned, I had a concern about comments that may be taken out of context.

Thanks
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Quoting bohonkweatherman:
Received .03 here today in South Central Texas not much but at least the roads got wet, at least it was measurable, better than my usual trace, LOL


Hang in there. Rain'll happen.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 150 Comments: 18247
Quoting winter123:
Rolf is about to make landfall in france. It has the classic subtropical look. If it was 2 miles west of Portugal, it would be Rina. But it's not under NHC responsibility.


Why would it be Rina? I would think it would have been the T storm if that were the case. Didn't we already have Rina here, or am I having another senior moment?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 68 Comments: 25051
Rolf is more like a polar low than a genuine tropical storm; he is being driven by the temperature difference between sea surface and feed air more than by latent heat. That is why he can survive over such cold water.
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Hello Dr. M,
at 2:47 pm CST, a tornado touched down in Southwest Oklahoma near Tillman.
Um... Tillman's the county. Tipton's the town.
:)

Some good news for Oklahoma also. Relatively little damage and widespread rain.

Three day totals.

image credit: Oklahoma Mesonet
used with permission
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 150 Comments: 18247
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
Received .03 here today in South Central Texas not much but at least the roads got wet, at least it was measurable, better than my usual trace, LOL


Not seeing a line materialize at all like I thought would come about, horrible looking, not got get anything good
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Rolf is about to make landfall in france. It has the classic subtropical look. If it was 2 miles west of Portugal, it would be TAMMY (senior moment, sorry. Because it is called Rolf I wrote Rina). But it's not under NHC responsibility.
Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 1776
Hey, did any of you know there is a big storm near Alaska? :)


Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 68 Comments: 25051
Fully tropical now, says ATCF. Winds are up to 45 knots:

AL, 19, 2011110818, , BEST, 0, 278N, 695W, 45, 999, TS, 34, NEQ, 200, 120, 150, 200, 1009, 300, 65, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, SEAN, D,
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Quoting FtMyersgal:


Good to see ya Gro


Nice to see me, too!
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 68 Comments: 25051
Quoting Mach80:
Agree with the posters.

I still feel the statement borders on hype and it's something that we understand here, but when regurgitated ad naseum on the W-channel and the evening news, it also somehow finds it's way into my insurance bill.

"We understand customers are upset about the latest premium increase, but 2011 was the 6th busiest season since records were kept in the last 160 years"

Thanks


Perhaps we should all write to the NHC and have them add 12 storms a year since 1851 which would make this the 119th most active year since records were kept. Then our insurance premiums would go down since we could tell them that things were getting better. My question is, if a hurricane formed in the Atlantic in 1869 and there wasn't anybody to see it, was it really there??? Most of the posts on here are intelligent but sometimes they are so philosophically like a Zen koan. Ridiculous.

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Quoting hydrus:
a Pacific front possibly. I'm still looking at it. Hello VA.


Wondering if the folks in Seattle will get a taste of this as well.
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Received .03 here today in South Central Texas not much but at least the roads got wet, at least it was measurable, better than my usual trace, LOL
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This is going to be a fall season to remember,just about everything except the kitchen sink,better keep your eyes to the sky.
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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.