Little change to 96L; El Salvador flood among its worst in history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:55 PM GMT on October 22, 2011

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A region of disturbed weather in the Western Caribbean (Invest 96L) is bringing heavy rains to coastal Nicaragua and Honduras, and has the potential to develop into a tropical depression Sunday or Monday. Visible satellite loops show that 96L has changed little in organization since yesterday. Some rotation is apparent, but the heavy thunderstorm activity is quite limited due to a large region of dry air to the east, as seen on water vapor satellite loops. There are no signs of a surface circulation. Surface pressures have been falling since Thursday at San Andres Island, near the center of 96L. Wind shear is a moderate 10 - 20 knots in the region, and is expected remain in the moderate range through Tuesday. Water temperatures are very warm, 29 - 30°C, and these warm waters extend to great depth.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of 96L.

Forecast for 96L
The moderate wind shear and warm waters should allow for some development of 96L over the next few days, though this will be slowed by the dry air to the storm's east, and perhaps by proximity to the land areas of Nicaragua and Honduras. The models are less enthusiastic today about developing 96L into a tropical depression than they were yesterday. The ECMWF no longer predicts development, and the GFS and NOGAPS predict only weak development before 96L moves ashore over Honduras on Tuesday. On Wednesday, a strong trough of low pressure will be passing over the Eastern U.S., and this trough has the potential to turn 96L northwards into Western Cuba. This is more likely to happen if 96L is stronger and deeper, and thus able to "feel" the upper-level winds the trough will bring. The UKMET model predicts 96L will develop into a tropical storm that moves through the Yucatan Channel between Cuba and Mexico on Thursday. If 96L remains a weak and shallow system, though, it is more likely to stay trapped in the Western Caribbean and make landfall in Nicaragua or Honduras. NHC gave 96L a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Monday in their 8 am Tropical Weather Outlook today. The hurricane hunter mission scheduled for today was cancelled due to the lack of development of 96L; the mission has been re-scheduled for Sunday afternoon.

97L
A broad region of low pressure near 10°N, 57°W, about 400 hundred miles east of Trinidad (Invest 97L), is moving slowly west-northwest towards the Lesser Antilles Islands. This low has very limited heavy thunderstorm activity, due to dry air to the northwest. NHC is giving 97L just a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Monday. 97L is under a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear, and this shear is expected to drop to the low range, less than 10 knots, by Monday, when the storm will be in the Eastern Caribbean Sea. By the time 97L approaches Jamaica in the Central Caribbean in 5 - 6 days, the storm should find a moister environment, and there is a chance for 97L to develop into a tropical depression, as predicted by the NOGAPS model.


Figure 2. Rainfall in El Salvador for the 10-day period ending on Friday, October 21, at 8 am EDT. At Huizucar, an astonishing 1.513 meters (4.96 feet) of rain fell during those ten days. Image credit: Hydrological Service of El Salvador.

Death toll from Central American rains rises to 105
“I want to tell the world that El Salvador is going through one of the most dramatic disasters in its history,” President Mauricio Funes said on national radio and television Wednesday night, as he appealed for international aid. A week of torrential rains across Central America have triggered extreme floods and landslides that have killed 105 people, according to media reports. El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua have declared states of emergency due to the disaster. El Salvador and Guatemala have seen the worst flooding, with 34 and 38 people killed, respectively. Another 18 have died in Honduras, 13 in Nicaragua, and 5 in Costa Rica. The rains were due to a large area of low pressure that was moistened by the landfall of Tropical Depression 12-E near the Mexico/Guatemala border last week. Contributing to the record-intensity rains were ocean temperatures off the coast of El Salvador that were 0.5 - 1°C above average during the first half of October, allowing more water vapor than usual to evaporate into the air. Over the past ten days, rainfall amounts of over a meter (39.4") have fallen over a large area of southwest El Salvador (Figure 2.) At Huizucar, an astonishing 1.513 meters (4.96 feet) of rain fell in the past ten days.

I'll have a new post on Sunday.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting kmanislander:
Good morning.

The models are struggling with 96L and are unreliable at this time. Steering remains very weak and a continued slow Northward drift looks to be the scenario for today. An anticyclone now sits right over the center of the system and there is the possibility of a significant increase in development by later today if upper level conditions hold.



everybody seems to generally has some sort of an "S" shaped track to varying degrees and abruptness:

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Quoting GTcooliebai:
Hello what's this behind 97L???


Duh...I don't know?
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97L
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Quoting Neapolitan:
AL, 96, 2011102312, , BEST, 0, 145N, 810W, 25, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 225, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
Close ta being a depression.
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Good morning.

The models are struggling with 96L and are unreliable at this time. Steering remains very weak and a continued slow Northward drift looks to be the scenario for today. An anticyclone now sits right over the center of the system and there is the possibility of a significant increase in development by later today if upper level conditions hold.

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15725
No change to wind or pressure. The center has moved half a degree north, and 2/10 of a degree east. So, you know, ENE:

AL, 96, 2011102312, , BEST, 0, 145N, 810W, 25, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 225, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


They didn't put that in the TWO.
No. In the TWD.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8266
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
See post 565. The last sentence says recon is scheduled for this afternoon.


They didn't put that in the TWO.
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Quoting Neapolitan:

Yes. The USGS gives a 33% chance of between 10,000 and 100,000 fatalities, with an overall 83% chance of more than 1,000 deaths. There's an 87% chance that economic losses will amount to more than a billion dollars, and a 34% chance those losses will be between $10 billion and $100 billion.

O_O
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Quoting WeatherNerdPR:

A seven story building collapsed and people are trapped under the rubble.

Yes. The USGS gives a 33% chance of between 10,000 and 100,000 fatalities, with an overall 83% chance of more than 1,000 deaths. There's an 87% chance that economic losses will amount to more than a billion dollars, and a 34% chance those losses will be between $10 billion and $100 billion.

"Red alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. High casualties and extensive damage are probable and the disaster is likely widespread. Past red alerts have required a national or international response. Estimated economic losses are 1-5% GDP of Turkey."

(The USGS just lowered the magnitude to 7.2 from 7.3)

Quake
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


I dont understand why they do those ups and downs. And no mention of recon going this afternoon. I would have kept it at 70%.
See post 565. The last sentence says recon is scheduled for this afternoon.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8266
Quoting WeatherNerdPR:
Good morning.
The NHC keeps changing the percentages, as if it makes a difference.
From the 8 am TWD.



ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY
BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
AND GUSTY WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF HONDURAS
AND NICARAGUA THROUGH MONDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS DISTURBANCE
THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8266
Quoting WeatherNerdPR:
Good morning.
The NHC keeps changing the percentages, as if it makes a difference.


I dont understand why they do those ups and downs. And no mention of recon going this afternoon. I would have kept it at 70%.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
The shallow 7.3 earthquake in Turkey (comment #555) has reportedly caused the collapse of many buildings in the large modern city of Van (pop. 600,000), which sits not too many miles from the quake's epicenter. One really has to feel for them, facing the ravages of another quake striking right at the beginning of winter...

A seven story building collapsed and people are trapped under the rubble.
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Good morning.
The NHC keeps changing the percentages, as if it makes a difference.
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The shallow 7.3 earthquake in Turkey (comment #555) has reportedly caused the collapse of many buildings in the large modern city of Van (pop. 600,000), which sits not too many miles from the quake's epicenter. One really has to feel for them, facing the ravages of another quake striking right at the beginning of winter...
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS BORDER HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION EARLY THIS
MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME A
LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS
COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA
THROUGH MONDAY.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS
LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH

Back down to 60% again .LOL
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8266
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS BORDER HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION EARLY THIS
MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME A
LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS
COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA
THROUGH MONDAY.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS
LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH

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Hello what's this behind 97L???


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Quoting Stormchaser2007:
AL, 96, 2011102300, , BEST, 0, 135N, 814W, 25, 1005, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 175, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
Getting close to a TD.
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Quoting Neapolitan:

Hope this helps... ;-)
Looks like people in glass houses :)
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8266
Uh-oh:

== PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE REPORT ==

Region: EASTERN TURKEY
Geographic coordinates: 38.627N, 43.534E
Magnitude: 7.3 M
Depth: 7 km
Universal Time (UTC): 23 Oct 2011 10:41:21
Time near the Epicenter: 23 Oct 2011 13:41:21
Local standard time in your area: 23 Oct 2011 05:41:21

Location with respect to nearby cities:
19 km (12 miles) NE (43 degrees) of Van, Turkey
116 km (72 miles) N (351 degrees) of Hakkari, Turkey
130 km (81 miles) SSE (161 degrees) of Karakose (Agri), Turkey
192 km (119 miles) SSW (206 degrees) of YEREVAN, Armenia
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Quoting #536:

Agree whole heartedly wholeheartedly, but (it's) very incongruent to try and sound like your you're using a thesarus thesaurus when sentence structure is not even (at a) high school level high school-level structure. Dude, I mean it's bad, really bad. Run ons Run-ons, fragments and no clear grasp on use of punctuation. I am a JD and taught legal writing class in law school. I, however, have never stooped to bashing someone's grammer grammar or structure. Haha, I get a slew of typos myself on my iPhone with it's its intuitive autocorrect.
Quoting #538:

Close, but seriously (Fragment; consider revising). Alarming that every sentence was either a run on run-on, a fragment, or (contained) an incorrect use of punctuation. I taught legal methods (writing class in law school) as an adjunct. Perhaps my expectations are litlle a little high. Nope. I write lazy as lazily as hell on blogs from (my) iPhone. Seriously, I have never criticized anyone's grammer grammar on (the) net before. I was just taken back aback by the attempted use of large words crammed into sentence structure you one would expect from a 6th grader. My apologies if young.

Hope this helps... ;-)
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morning
latest ascat is showing a closed low with 97L. It is very possible that a depression could be forming near 11N 55W
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97L

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Miami NWS Discussion

NHC CONTINUES TO MONITOR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN
AT THIS TIME GIVING IT A HIGH CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT. MODEL GUIDANCE
IN GENERAL MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEK WITH SURFACE FRONT APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA LATE IN
THE WEEK PROBABLY TAPPING SOME OF ITS MOISTURE WHICH COULD ENHANCE
THE CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT. HOWEVER, AT THIS TIME, THE
UNCERTAINTY WITH THAT SYSTEM IS LARGE AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
ITS EVOLUTION THROUGH THE WEEK.

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Good morning to all.

Euro is back!! with 96L,although not a hurricane as it was showing before.

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Quoting TampaSpin:
Could not sleep........WOW was just looking at 97L.....i never put it up on the WEB thinking that it would not mean much, but ........HECK it might become a storm as much or maybe more than 96L. Need to watch this very close as it moves thru the entire Caribbean. Its possible to get 2 named storms here the last week in OCTOBER.......that is UNREAL!!! Anyways all the graphics are now up on 97L!!!
good morning! 60 here at 5am est, no wind to speak of, just calm...looks like we have to watch both storms later in the week huh
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36850
Could not sleep........WOW was just looking at 97L.....i never put it up on the WEB thinking that it would not mean much, but ........HECK it might become a storm as much or maybe more than 96L. Need to watch this very close as it moves thru the entire Caribbean. Its possible to get 2 named storms here the last week in OCTOBER.......that is UNREAL!!! Anyways all the graphics are now up on 97L!!!
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Quoting chrisdscane:
tstorms need to start wrapping around center
Either that or the center could tuck itself into the tstorms.
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tstorms need to start wrapping around center
Member Since: July 21, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1064
543. 7544
Quoting allancalderini:
here comes the 18 tropical depression of the season


might just do it at dmax getting a nice shape at this hour
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here comes the 18 tropical depression of the season
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME CONCENTRATED DURING
THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS NEAR THE CENTER OF A LOW PRESSURE AREA IN
THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE NICARAGUAN/HONDURAN BORDER. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND
THEN NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
AND GUSTY WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND
NICARAGUA THROUGH MONDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS DISTURBANCE THIS
AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE CLOUDINESS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS
LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114710
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME CONCENTRATED DURING
THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS NEAR THE CENTER OF A LOW PRESSURE AREA IN
THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE NICARAGUAN/HONDURAN BORDER. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND
THEN NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
AND GUSTY WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND
NICARAGUA THROUGH MONDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS DISTURBANCE THIS
AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE CLOUDINESS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS
LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Yes, so profound and worthless.
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538. 996tt
Quoting indianrivguy:


Haha, consider using good sentence structure if you're trying to sound intelligent.





Close, but seriously. Alarming that every sentence was either a run on, a fragment, or an incorrect use of punctuation. I taught legal methods (writing class in law school) as an adjunct. Perhaps my expectations are litlle high. Nope. I write lazy as hell on blogs from iPhone. Seriously, I have never criticized anyone's grammer on net before. I was just taken back by the attempted use of large words crammed into sentence structure you would expect from a 6th grader. My apologies if young.
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Quoting Skyepony:


I (mostly) gave up trashy novels for research papers. If I had a Yoda he'd read them too.

Lefty covered them pretty well in '05 as well, but really looking at a long paper draws out the many details. It's a fickle thing with many factors. I almost explained it too simply.

Here's an in depth one..

You can google the diurnal dance one, it's out there somewhere.


Appreciated! I bookmarked it. Since I am a speed reader, I can read trashy novels and still peruse technical papers. At least I'll learn something new this week.
Member Since: April 24, 2011 Posts: 1 Comments: 601
536. 996tt
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
You don't have to write a perfect sentence to be intelligent and this is not English class.


Agree whole heartedly, but very incongruent to try and sound like your using a thesarus when sentence structure is not even high school level structure. Dude, I mean it's bad, really bad. Run ons, fragments and no clear grasp on use of punctuation. I am a JD and taught legal writing class in law school. I, however, have never stooped to bashing someone's grammer or structure. Haha, I get a slew of typos myself on my iPhone with it's intuitive autocorrect.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
535. Skyepony (Mod)
First TRMM on 96L. Great pass. Crazy amount of rain in that one area. Click pic for Quicktime.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37327
the way it looks atm wheather its a TC or not itll be very hard of 96L to miss forida
Member Since: July 21, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1064
Complete Update

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI





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Quoting AussieStorm:
Shark kills US tourist in Western Australia


Hey Aus,

A little off topic but hey, it's not like it's a mad house in here LOL.... and your talking about my home mate!

Just to add to the story for all the peep's here - that's the second fatal attack within a week in Western Australia and the fourth (I think) in just over a year....

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530. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting WoodyFL:


How do you know all these things?


I (mostly) gave up trashy novels for research papers. If I had a Yoda he'd read them too.

Lefty covered them pretty well in '05 as well, but really looking at a long paper draws out the many details. It's a fickle thing with many factors. I almost explained it too simply.

Here's an in depth one..

You can google the diurnal dance one, it's out there somewhere.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37327
AL, 96, 2011102300, , BEST, 0, 135N, 814W, 25, 1005, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 175, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
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Quoting Abacosurf:
She has a Yoda....


So that's it. Until a few months ago I thought a Dmax was a movie with Mel Gibson.
Member Since: April 24, 2011 Posts: 1 Comments: 601
orionoid meteor shower overnight 15 or so a hr,and maybe a sat debris reentry if your lucky!!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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