Major rains for Southeast U.S., TX, KS, and OK; Jova and Irwin a threat to Mexico

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:24 PM GMT on October 07, 2011

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A large low pressure system with heavy rain is expected to develop over Cuba, South Florida, and the Bahamas on Saturday. The counter-clockwise flow around this low will bring strong winds and heavy rains to much of the Florida coast on Saturday, and these conditions will spread northwards to Georgia by Sunday and South Carolina by Monday. I doubt that this storm will acquire enough organization to evolve into a subtropical storm that gets a name, based on the latest model output, and the fact that the storm's center may well be over the state of Florida. This will be a large, diffuse system that will bring strong winds and heavy rains to a large area of the Southeast U.S. coast, regardless of the exact center location. Portions of the coastal waters along the Florida Panhandle, as well as from Northeast Florida to South Carolina, are likely to experience sustained winds of 30 - 40 mph Monday and Tuesday. Since the storm is going to get its start as a cold-cored upper-level low pressure system with some dry air aloft, it will not be able to intensify quickly.


Figure 1. Rainfall forecast for the 5-day period ending at 8 am EDT Wednesday, October 12, 2011. The storm system affecting Florida this weekend is expected to bring up to 11 inches of rain along the coast. Heavy rains associated with a strong trough of low pressure are also expected to dump 4 - 6 inches of rain over drought-stricken areas of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.

Heavy rain event coming for drought-stricken regions of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas
A strong low pressure system is expected to track across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles this weekend, bringing the heaviest rains of the year to drought-stricken portions of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas, including Abilene. Rainfall in this region has been 13 - 20 inches below normal for the year; Lubbock, Texas has had just 3 inches of rain this year, compared to a normal of 16 inches. Rainfall amount of 1 - 4 inches will be common in the region over the weekend, and may be able to reduce drought conditions from the highest level (exceptional) to the second highest level (extreme.) However, the heaviest rains will stay confined to the western half of Texas, and Texas's major cities such as Houston will see very little rain over the weekend. As of yesterday, Houston had gone 253 consecutive days without a one-inch rainstorm, a new record. The longest previous such streak was 192 days, set in 1917 - 1918. The last one inch rainstorm in the city was January 24, 2011. Remarkably, the local National Weather Service office has not issued any flood products in over a year.


Figure 2. The amount of rain needed to break the Texas drought is in excess of 15 inches (purple colors) over most of the state. This year's drought is officially Texas' worst one-year drought on record. Image credit: NOAA/NWS.

Philippe being ripped up by wind shear
Hurricane Philippe, the fifth hurricane of the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season, doesn't have much time left as a hurricane, due to high wind shear of 40 - 50 knots that is starting to tear the storm apart. Satellite loops show Philippe has become lopsided and is now missing its eye. Philippe will continue to degrade in appearance over the next few days, and will die in the middle Atlantic without affecting any land areas.


Figure 3. True-color MODIS image of Philippe over the mid-Atlantic taken at 10:45 am EDT October 6, 2011. At the time, Philippe was a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jova and Irwin: double trouble for Mexico's Eastern Pacific coast
In the Eastern Pacific off the coast of Mexico, two new tropical storms spun up yesterday. The storm of greatest immediate concern is the one closest to the coast, Tropical Storm Jova. Jova is currently headed west-northwest, parallel to the coast, but will turn north and then northeast over the weekend as a strong trough of low pressure dives southward over northern Mexico. The computer models have a fairly wide spread for the track of Jova, with the region of coast centered on Puerto Vallarta between Manzanillo and Tuxpan at greatest risk of a strike. Jova is under moderate shear of 10 - 20 knots, and shear is predicted to stay in the low to moderate range between now and landfall. Ocean temperatures are warm, 28 - 29°C, but the warm waters do not extend to great depth, limiting Jova's potential for rapid intensification. The upper atmosphere is also not cold enough to give Jova the kind of instability typically needed for rapid intensification. Nonetheless, both the GFDL and HWRF models predict Jova will intensify into a major Category 3 hurricane before landfall on Monday on the Mexican coast. The official NHC forecast is less aggressive, bringing Jova to Category 1 strength. This is probably too conservative, and I expect Jova will be at least a Cat 2 at landfall. One possible impediment to development may be Jova's close proximity to Hurricane Irwin to its west. Upper-level outflow from Irwin could weaken Jova, and the two storms may compete for the same moisture. The two storms are close enough to each other--about 650 miles apart--that they will affect each others' track, as well. Whenever two storms of at least tropical storm strength approach within 900 miles of each other, a phenomenon known as the Fujiwhara effect comes into play. This effect causes the two storms to rotate counterclockwise around a common center. Since the degree of rotation will depend on the relative strengths of the the two storms, and our ability to make good intensity forecasts is limited, the track forecasts for both Jova and Irwin will have a higher degree of uncertainty than usual. Regardless of Jova's strength at landfall, the storm will bring very heavy rains to the Mexican coast capable of causing dangerous flash floods and mudslides, beginning on Sunday night.

Once Jova has made landfall, Mexico needs to concern itself with Hurricane Irwin, which is gathering strength farther to the west. Irwin is also moving to the west-northwest, and will also be turned north and then northeast towards the coast of Mexico this weekend by the same trough of low pressure expected to affect Jova. The longer range computer forecast models show Irwin could make landfall as a hurricane on the Mexican coast late next week, along the same stretch of coast Jova will affect. If this verifies, the one-two punch of heavy rains from two tropical cyclones within a week could cause a devastating flood situation along the Mexican coast.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting OneDrop:
I live on the beach in Ormond by the Sea now and we've been getting pummeled all night. Winds gusting beyond 45 at times. Lightning galore and heavy rain. Looks to get worse in the.coming days. My.parents are driving up from Delray and I'm thinking about telling them to bag it this weekend.
stay safe over there,so far the east coast is getting all the action, just breezy and dry here
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I live on the beach in Ormond by the Sea now and we've been getting pummeled all night. Winds gusting beyond 45 at times. Lightning galore and heavy rain. Looks to get worse in the.coming days. My.parents are driving up from Delray and I'm thinking about telling them to bag it this weekend.
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Dangerous storms hit southern Queensland
Saturday October 8, 2011 - 13:01 EDT

State Emergency Services crews are mopping up after severe thunderstorms battered parts of southern Queensland this morning.

There were power outages and minor flooding as storms hit areas from the South Burnett in south-east Queensland to areas further south on the New South Wales border.

A severe storm warning is still current for the Capricornia and Wide Bay and Burnett areas, but further south storms cells are moving out to sea.

Wind gusts of more than 100 kilometres an hour were recorded in areas, and in Toowoomba police say there is localised flooding in the CBD.

An SES spokeswoman says they have had more than 30 calls for help, most for damaged roofs, and one for flooding at Loganlea, south of Brisbane.

Senior forecaster Michael Knepp says the worst has passed for most parts of Queensland.

"The storms are now pushing off Redcliffe and down further south, so it is a fairly extensive area," he said.

"So even when the worst part of the storm pushes off the coast, we can expect some thundery rain behind that."

Ergon Energy says 6,000 homes are without power in the South Burnett and about 8,000 homes and business lost power in the Dalby area. It has since been restored to most properties.


- ABC

ABC 2011

Weatherzone radar showing radar images as the storm swept through. The storm knocked out the radar. As you can see here.
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New Miami NWS Discussion 0543 EDT:

THE RECENT SUITE OF MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE CONSISTENTLY DEPICTING THE CURRENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION VERY WELL...WITH THE MAJOR FEATURES BEING A DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF AND A TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION AS NEARLY STATIONARY HIGH PRESSURE HAS BUILT INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND WITH PRESSURES BEGINNING TO LOWER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS HAS
ALLOWED CONSIDERABLE MASS AND MOISTURE ACROSS ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS WHICH CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL MOISTURE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING.

THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT WINDS ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH CONSIDERABLE MASS AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS
WHICH WILL EXTEND INTO THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF WHICH WILL ALLOW IT TO ENHANCE CHANCES OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION. THE END RESULT IS WIDESPREAD TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...ESPECIALLY THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND EASTERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
AS THE WINDS STEADILY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WITH WINDS TO NEAR 27 KNOTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS...THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN COASTAL ZONES OF SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A WIND ADVISORY
POSSIBLE IF CONDITIONS WARRANT IT LATER TODAY. INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS MAY ALSO LEAD TO SWELLS OF 4 TO 5 FEET IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...WITH A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING AS BREAKING WAVES TO NEAR 10 FEET MAY BE POSSIBLE. BEACH EROSION IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY...INCLUDING ALONG THE BEACHES OF BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES ALTHOUGH THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE ALONG
THE PALM BEACH COAST. ANOTHER POTENTIAL HAZARD FOR TODAY COULD BE AN ISOLATED THREAT OF TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS AS A LOW LEVEL JET BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE
TODAY.

WHILE THE RECENT GUIDANCE DEPICTS CURRENT CONDITIONS WELL AND HAS BEEN DOING WELL WITH THE SHORT TERM FORECAST...LATER IN THE WEEKEND THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...WITH TWO DIFFERENT SCENARIOS...
ONE IN THE VICINITY OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE OTHER IN THE SOUTHERN GULF. SO FAR THE CONSENSUS SEEMS TO BE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF BUT WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF THE GUIDANCE BECOMES MORE CONSISTENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EITHER WAY...THROUGH THE WEEKEND INCREASING
WINDS AND DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.


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Quoting wilburo33:
This is odd, a three hour break with no comments!
Well, its been raining off and on all night near Melbourne. According to the radar and forcast it is going to rain all day.
Melbourne needs the rain, we require 11 inches to catch up.

Spare a thought for people in Thailand, They are suffering.

Massive floods sweep across Thailand
Southeast Asia correspondent, Saturday October 8, 2011 - 12:43 EDT

Record flooding in Thailand is set to worsen as massive volumes of water move from the country's north towards the sea.

More than 2.5 million people have now been affected and almost 250 killed by the flooding which is said to be the worst in the country's modern history.

Predicted high tides along with more rain and swollen waterways also mean Bangkok is now under threat.

In Nonthaburi on the northern outskirts of Bangkok the swollen Chao Praya River is already overflowing.

Just a little further north, temples, factories and homes are already underwater at the ancient city of Ayutthaya.

Pulling up at the sodden pier, a ferry driver says it is just a matter of time before the situation there worsens.

"I think so because lots of water now which will come down. You should travel to Ayutthaya to check it out, I heard it is so flooded," he said.

Food vendors at the ferry stop are working at stalls behind sandbags that are already barely keeping the water out.

"The selling is gone down, can't sell outside. We will have to stand in water and sell," said one woman.



Next week will be critical for the capital with the combination of more predicted rain, high tides and massive volumes of water flowing towards the sea.

It is nearing the end of the wet season and flooding is to be expected, but rainfall this year has been unusually high and the season long.

Nearby, mountains of rubbish and plant material have washed up from the river outside a school where teachers have moved furniture upstairs while students are on their mid-term break.

"The water came fast plus the water from the sea is high and if it is raining like this, the water will automatically come up," said teacher Visoot Longsomboon.

"Ask if I am scared, yes I am, but we keep watching all the time even when it is a holiday. There will be teachers watching all the time."

The children look like having an extended holiday.

Fifty-eight of Thailand's 77 provinces have been affected by this season's flooding, which is the worse in recent memory.

Hundreds of thousands of acres of rice has been inundated; the damage to industry overall is around $1 billion.

While those on the rural outskirts want Bangkok to open its floodgates to clear their land, authorities are hoping they can protect the city with gates, pumps and a 2.5 metre flood wall.

But on the banks of the Chao Praya at Nonthaburi, 15-year-old Sirada Poompayung sits on a doorstep watching the river inching upwards.

The path outside her home is already covered.

"I moved stuff to higher places," she said.

"I put them in boxes and put the boxes on top of each other."


- ABC

© ABC 2011
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This is odd, a three hour break with no comments!
Well, its been raining off and on all night near Melbourne, Fl. According to the radar and forcast it is going to rain all day.
Melbourne needs the rain, we require 11 inches to catch up.
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When was the last time we had 3 named storms at one moment in EPAC?
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Quoting BahaHurican:
LOL.... I was just thinking how FLAT FL is S of the I-10 line... 60 ft is like really high.... lol...

Course, I can't speak too loudly in the Bahamas, where 200+ ft is considered a "mountain"... lol

Surprisingly, we're in the clear for now... but all week we've been having the off and on rain with gusty winds, mainly out of the east. It's been unseasonably cold by comparison with the last 10 or so years.... normally we don't start seeing low 70s overnight until the end of October.... However, like u guys, the rain is a boon; aside from our tropical visitor earlier this season, it's been a pretty dry spring / summer period in the Bahamas.


Widely held misperception.

Florida is not entirely flat south of I-10. If you had said "south of Lake Okeechobee"
I would agree, but not south of 1-10.

Geologically, the interior of Central Florida is known as the "Hill and Lake" region. Most of the lakes are the result of ages-old sinkholes that formed in the limestone bedrock.

Now if one is comparing Florida to mountainous regions that is another story. But there are several stereotypes regarding Florida which are not accurate. One is that the entire state is swampy or wetlands and another is that it is tabletop flat. Neither of these are correct but it is easy to see how one could come to a wrong impression because swampland is by its very nature flatland and since many people think the entire state is swampland they also think it is entirely flat.

Even the Gulf coastal plain has some areas which feature some surprising changes in elevation and a resulting variation to the scenery, such as around Brooksville, for one example.
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591. JLPR2
A mess in the CATL:

There's a TW somewhere in there.

And another one here:

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Pressures tonight are indicating the surface reflection in the NW Caribbean.

Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 5043
Quoting hurricane23:


Been a wild night...Crazy lighting with strong gusty winds from time to time. 5 inches looks easily attainable.


Interesting the battle between the ECMWF & GFS. ECMWF known to provide heaviest weather to SFL and GFS known to provide heaviest weather to CFL. Summary of the night shows the heaviest weather both in SFL and CFL, lol. Points between, me in Palm Beach, have been spotty with brief periods of gusty winds and rain. Imagine it will all be sorted out tomorrow however, I do remember the models at a time showing two lows developing. Looking at the NW Caribbean tonight makes you wonder.
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Quoting ProgressivePulse:


Apparently he was just curious...lol.


Been a wild night...Crazy lighting with strong gusty winds from time to time. 5+ inches looks easily attainable.
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Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
All ears.


Apparently he was just curious...lol.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 5043
Hey look, Philippe actually looks better than he has all day haha. Just thought I'd interject...
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Good morning, everyone

Just got in from fishing. Hell of a thing when you're so wound up you can't sleep but you have to be up in another three hours to sell on the market.

Looks like we're in the clear for a while... (hoping anyway....)

Linda
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Quoting want2lrn:
Evening all, anyone up for a question?
All ears.
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Hmmm... Here we go.
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Quoting want2lrn:
Evening all, anyone up for a question?


Sure!
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Evening all, anyone up for a question?
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TS.Phillipe's_8Oct_12amGMT_ATCF : Starting 7Oct_12amGMT and ending 8Oct_12amGMT

The 4 western line-segments represent TropicalStormPhillippe's path,
the easternmost line-segment is the straightline projection for 8Oct_12amGMT,
the coastline dumbbell at 33.11n8.634w-CAS is the endpoint of the 7Oct_6pmGMT
straightline projection connected to its nearest airport,
and the ocean-to-island blob at 37.626n25.51w-PDL is the same for the 7Oct_12pmGMT*mapping.

Using straightline projection of the travel-speed&heading derived from the
ATCF coordinates spanning the 6hours between 6pmGMT then 12amGMT :
TS.Phillipe's travel-speed was 17.5mph(28.2k/h) on a heading of 74.4degrees(ENE)
TS.Phillipe was headed toward passage over PortoSanto,Madeira,Portugal ~5days from now

Copy&paste 37.626n25.51w-pdl, 33.11n8.634w-cas, 28.8n58.7w-29.2n57.4w, 29.2n57.4w-29.6n56.2w, 29.6n56.2w-29.9n55.1w, 29.9n55.1w-30.3n53.4w, 29.9n55.1w-33.025n16.38w, pxo into the GreatCircleMapper for more info
32.281n64.887w, 46.816n52.937w, 39.724n31.121w

The previous mapping for 7Oct_6pmGMT

* The alteration of the endpoint of a TropicalCyclone's previous path also changes its previous travel-speed&heading, and the endpoint of its previous straightline projection...
...but I'm choosing to preserve the historicity of the mappings.
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By the way, PWAT analysis indicates pooling of moisture over 2 inches now near the tip of western Cuba. This deeper moisture has been a more recent occurrence. Moisture has deepened between 1.5 and 1.8 inches over Florida as well.
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Quoting hyperstratocumulus:
Looks like a wet and windy event for FL, be happy we aren't going to be dealing with a major hurricane out of it.
I agree...for the most part tropical storms are nice, of course there is always an exception that most of us never want to see a repeat of, "TS Allison," hurricanes are not nice.
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Quoting GTcooliebai:
GFS 00z coming out now & I notice it initializes a 1009 mb low just offshore of the NW tip of Cuba, but then redevelops it off the east coast of FL. and is making landfall around the Daytona area as a 1007 mb low, not strong at all, but goes to show you the problems this model is having with its initialization of the main low and handling of the dynamics of the atmosphere. Might I also add that what ever develops won't be in a hurry to get out of here, the low is still over or just offshore the east coast of FL. by Tues. afternoon.


Well the GFS has a stubborn will to produce a low off the East Coast, that is why it still shows that. However based on my knowledge of what causes Mid Latitude cyclones to form, the best chance for a dominant surface low to organize should be either in the southern gulf or in the Caribbean.

Also, there are more models on my side than against me, and the experts are on my side too.
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Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
ok thanks
Actually if you take a look at the 850mb T, PMSL, 6-hour Precip you'll see the extent of the rain, which keeps the bulk of the moisture offshore.
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Looks like a wet and windy event for FL, be happy we aren't going to be dealing with a major hurricane out of it.
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Quoting GTcooliebai:
Yeah go on raleighwx.com they disabled hot linking, so I can't post links or graphics from that site here. I usually look at the 500mb Heights/PMSL Atlantic Tropical.
ok thanks
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Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
Where do you see that? Im looking as we speak 00z GFS, right?
Yeah go on raleighwx.com they disabled hot linking, so I can't post links or graphics from that site here. I usually look at the 500mb Heights/PMSL Atlantic Tropical.
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00Z GFS 24 AND 28 hours
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Where do you see that? Im looking as we speak 00z GFS, right?
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Quoting Jedkins01:
Just so you guys know, before it got completely dark, I could see what appeared to be some slight surface spin in the Caribbean, although only barely noticeable, things are heading in the right direction. The upper low has already developed over the Eastern gulf just as forecast, now all we need is the surface reflection.
GFS 00z coming out now & I notice it initializes a 1009 mb low just offshore of the NW tip of Cuba, but then redevelops it off the east coast of FL. and is making landfall around the Daytona area as a 1007 mb low, not strong at all, but goes to show you the problems this model is having with its initialization of the main low and handling of the dynamics of the atmosphere. Might I also add that what ever develops won't be in a hurry to get out of here, the low is still over or just offshore the east coast of FL. by Tues. afternoon.
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Quoting Skyepony:
The rain is evaporating a bit as it hits Melbourne. Light rain falling, while it keeps looking heavier right along the shore & offshore.. I'm up to .14".

Here's the news..

Farmers raising Texas homeowner rates



Buddhist monks wade through floodwater on a street at Chai Wattanaram Temple in Ayutthaya yesterday. At least 252 people have died in flooding in Thailand since mid-July, and water has inundated the 400-year-old temple in the ancient city of Ayutthaya, a World Heritage Site. Local authorities are struggling to save the historic site, one of the country's most famous tourist attractions, across the Chao Phraya River. Moreover, about 25 crocodiles have escaped from a farm in Ayutthaya's Bang Ban District after it was inundated by months of severe flooding and heavy rain. The missing reptiles are about 1 meter in length. The local authority warned that people should not try to catch the crocodiles.

(Twitter)
Reffed a 2OT game tonight in Lexington. JUST beat the weather too! Some stadiums in the state were evacuated for a #tornado #warning
Posted by KsRadDad just now

US sugar stockpiles are shrinking to the lowest in 37 years after rain and freezing weather damaged the beet crop, potentially reversing a price slump and forcing the government to ease import limits.



I wouldn't be shocked if somehow the heaviest rain totals end up being over here on the West Coast, it seems like this year that my side of the State has gotten its worth and stolen all yours to add on top of that. We have always gotten the rain as forecast and then some, whereas it seems you always get less than expected over there. if I am correct.

Hopefully that will not be the case this time, but convection will have to become much more widespread and band oriented if widespread heavy totals are to fall over by you, those showers might give brief downpours but aren't the organized convective complexes or training bands that bring the widespread high rain totals.
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Just so you guys know, before it got completely dark, I could see what appeared to be some slight surface spin in the Caribbean, although only barely noticeable, things are heading in the right direction. The upper low has already developed over the Eastern gulf just as forecast, now all we need is the surface reflection.
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NAM at 24 and 48 hours
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
You guys think the rain right now is a lot...Wait until tomorrow and Sunday.

Well, I'm off to bed...Night all.
In my Bart Scott voice "Can't Wait!" :-P
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Quoting DiddyVort:
The Treasure Coast is going to get noisy!



Rap me the forecast Diddy!
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562. Skyepony (Mod)
The rain is evaporating a bit as it hits Melbourne. Light rain falling, while it keeps looking heavier right along the shore & offshore.. I'm up to .14".

Here's the news..

Farmers raising Texas homeowner rates



Buddhist monks wade through floodwater on a street at Chai Wattanaram Temple in Ayutthaya yesterday. At least 252 people have died in flooding in Thailand since mid-July, and water has inundated the 400-year-old temple in the ancient city of Ayutthaya, a World Heritage Site. Local authorities are struggling to save the historic site, one of the country's most famous tourist attractions, across the Chao Phraya River. Moreover, about 25 crocodiles have escaped from a farm in Ayutthaya's Bang Ban District after it was inundated by months of severe flooding and heavy rain. The missing reptiles are about 1 meter in length. The local authority warned that people should not try to catch the crocodiles.

(Twitter)
Reffed a 2OT game tonight in Lexington. JUST beat the weather too! Some stadiums in the state were evacuated for a #tornado #warning
Posted by KsRadDad just now

US sugar stockpiles are shrinking to the lowest in 37 years after rain and freezing weather damaged the beet crop, potentially reversing a price slump and forcing the government to ease import limits.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37396
You guys think the rain right now is a lot...Wait until tomorrow and Sunday.

Well, I'm off to bed...Night all.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
LOL.... I was just thinking how FLAT FL is S of the I-10 line... 60 ft is like really high.... lol...

Course, I can't speak too loudly in the Bahamas, where 200+ ft is considered a "mountain"... lol

Surprisingly, we're in the clear for now... but all week we've been having the off and on rain with gusty winds, mainly out of the east. It's been unseasonably cold by comparison with the last 10 or so years.... normally we don't start seeing low 70s overnight until the end of October.... However, like u guys, the rain is a boon; aside from our tropical visitor earlier this season, it's been a pretty dry spring / summer period in the Bahamas.


Yeah, I'm on the mainland here, about 3 ft above sea level...
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Quoting bohonkweatherman:
95 and humid here today, a trace the last 100 days, some parts of Texas may get some good rain by Monday, I hope my area gets something, have a great weekend.

The humidity was surprising, startling: what is this condensation on the side of my Coke? Why am I sweating?

Took a while to remember why.
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Quoting CaicosRetiredSailor:


The Island I live on.... now called Providenciales, was long referrred to locally as "Blue Hills" since that was what you first saw from the deck of a sailboat...

We got plenty hills... one area is now called "Blue Mountain" (The Jamaicans must LAUGH when they see that sign...)

Only island in Bahamas which can rival our elevations is Cat Island, with the Hermitage.

LOL.... the Hermitage is also known as Mount Alvernia.... never been there myself, but hope to go one day... There is a ridge of hills on New Providence also called "Blue Hills" [though I think the entymology is a bit more complex].

However, we still mostly beat out Dade / Broward Counties, where the well-known high point is allegedly the land fill.... lol
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95 and humid here today, a trace the last 100 days, some parts of Texas may get some good rain by Monday, I hope my area gets something, have a great weekend.
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Energized....
Link




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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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