Typhoon Roke bears down on Japan; 98L continues to grow more organized

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 6:48 PM GMT on September 20, 2011

Share this Blog
19
+

Powerful Category 3 Typhoon Roke is bearing down on Japan, and is expected to hit the main island of Honshu on Wednesday morning, local time. Roke is on a dangerous track for Japan, one that would take the storm over some of the most heavily populated areas of the country. Heavy rains from Roke have already reached the coast of Japan, as seen on Japanese radar. However, Roke is starting to weaken, as seen in latest satellite imagery. The eye is no longer apparent, the cloud tops have warmed, and a slot of dry air has gotten wrapped into the storm's northwest side. Wind shear should continue to weaken Roke as it approaches landfall; shear is currently a high 20 knots, and will increase to 30 knots by Wednesday morning. Given the current weakening trend, I expect Roke is most likely to be a Category 2 typhoon at landfall.

Typhoon's Roke's storm surge, winds, and heavy rains will all be a concern. A damaging storm surge is likely to the right of where the center makes landfall, since Roke is a large storm whose winds are spread out over a wide area. If Roke tracks farther to the east than expected, a large storm surge may affect Tokyo Bay. Perhaps the biggest concern from the storm is heavy rain. The soils over much of Japan are saturated from the passage of Tropical Storm Talas during the first week of September. Talas was a very slow moving storm, and brought extreme rainfall amounts of over six feet to some portions of Japan. Roke is expected to bring up to 20 more inches of rain along its path. Roke could bring winds of 30 - 40 mph and heavy rains of 3 - 5 inches to the damaged Fukishima-Dai-Iche nuclear plant northeast of Tokyo.


Figure 1. MODIS image of Typhoon Roke taken at 1:45 pm local time (4:45 UTC) on Tuesday, September 20, 2011. At the time, Roke was a Category 2 storm with 110 mph winds. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

Invest 98L continues to grow more organized
A tropical wave midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles (Invest 98L) has increased in organization this afternoon, but still lacks a well-defined surface circulation. Satellite imagery shows a number of curved spiral bands have formed this afternoon, and the area covered by heavy thunderstorms has steadily increased. An ASCAT pass from 8:21 am EDT this morning did not capture the full circulation of the storm, but did show winds of 30 mph on the east side of the center. Wind shear as diagnosed by the SHIPS model has increased to a moderate 10 - 15 knots, and is predicted to stay moderate through Friday. Ocean temperatures are 28 - 28.5°C, well above the threshold typically needed for a tropical storm to spin up. Water vapor satellite images show 98L is embedded in a moist environment, but there is dry air to the system's northwest. Given that the shear has now increased to the moderate level, this dry air may begin to hinder development on Wednesday. An analysis of upper level winds from the University of Wisconsin CIMMS group shows a pattern favorable for development, with an outflow channel open to both the north and south available to ventilate the storm and allow 98L to efficiently lift plenty of moisture to high levels.


Figure 2. Afternoon satellite image of 98L.

The latest 8 am EDT (12Z) runs of the computer models show either no development of 98L, or development of 98L into a tropical depression or weak tropical storm by Saturday. 98L's westward motion of 5 - 10 mph should bring the storm into the Lesser Antilles Islands by Saturday, though the models are not in strong agreement about the forward speed of the storm. The GFDL model brings 98L into the islands on Friday, while the HWRF model keeps the storm east of the islands through Sunday. If 98L takes a more west-northwesterly path through northern Lesser Antilles, which has been the preferred track for tropical systems this year, the disturbance should encounter high wind shear in excess of 20 knots due to strong upper-level winds out of the west. This shear should make it difficult for 98L to intensify as it moves though the islands. However, if 98L takes a more southerly path across Barbados, as predicted by the GFDL model, the storm will miss seeing the high shear area that lies over the northern islands, and the storm would have more opportunity to strengthen. The most likely scenario I see at this point is for 98L to be a weak tropical storm on Saturday as it moves through the Lesser Antilles--but there is more than the usual amount of uncertainty in both the track and intensity forecast. NHC gave the disturbance a 70% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Thursday in their 2 pm Tropical Weather Outlook.

September temperatures return to normal over the U.S.
The summer of 2011 was the second hottest in U.S. history, but September of 2011 is so far shaping up to be an average one for temperature. A series of cold fronts and cold-cored low pressure systems have moved southwards out of Canada this month, bringing typical amounts of cool air to the country. If you want to select dates for the start and end of the U.S. heat wave of 2011, the dates to pick would be May 20 - September 4. During the period May 20 - September 4, 2011, the number of daily record high temperatures at the 515 major airports in the U.S. exceeded the number of daily low temperature records every day but one. That's an astonishing 107 out of 108 days! Only July 15 had more record daily lows than highs during that 108-day period. I doubt one could find a similar stretch of days anytime in U.S. weather history where such a lopsided ratio of high temperature to low temperature records existed. For the 3-month summer period of June, July, and August, 2703 daily high temperature records were set, compared to 300 daily low temperature records--a ratio of 9-to-1. Not surprisingly, the summer of 2011 wound up as the hottest summer in 75 years in the U.S., and was only 0.1°F cooler than the all-time record hottest summer, during the Dust Bowl year of 1936. But so far this September, the ratio of high temperature records to low temperature records has been close to 1-to-1. There were 283 daily high temperature records set during the first sixteen days of September, and 246 low temperature records. Eight of the first sixteen days of September have seen the lows outnumber the highs, and eight have seen the highs outnumber the lows. The latest 2-week forecast from the GFS model shows a continuation of pretty normal weather over the U.S. for the rest of the month, and September temperatures will end up close to average.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 765 - 715

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19Blog Index

Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882
764. JLPR2
Convergence is expanding. Seems like Ophelia could look pretty or at least decent after D-max.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Looks like Puerto Rico Cant catch a break this year.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I think the model forecast is being too aggressive with North West turn and not aggressive enough with intensity forecast, but that is purely my 'gut' feel from looking at the satellite loop and from where it is located.

This is a Islands/ Caribbean storm, is my gut feel and maybe stronger than the NHC forecasts.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Statement on the Season, the bright side of CC, and our role as the leader of the world in these times

All things considered, it has been a rather fortunate year for those of us in the good old USofA. Irene could have been much worse and Lee wasn't all bad drought wise.

Our main problems this year have been La Nina induced not CC induced IMHO.

The Arctic melt may actually be opening up one of the last great frontiers on Earth besides Antarctica and the ocean floor. And it is magically opening up to us at a time when new challenges and opportunities for jobs creation are needed. Russia and China and others are preparing to develop these resources and we MUST respond with our best. If that means the "Big Companies" and upstarts, then so be it.

America also stands ready to help those in undeveloped, failed, and 3rd world countries around the globe such as Somalia, Pakistan and Haiti who are each suffering from protracted natural disasters.

But BEWARE, if you bite Uncle's hand and attempt ANY acts of terrorism against us expect our wrath, irregardless of who is president. Cooperate with us and together we CAN solve the world's problems!

The GW problem should be solvable through upcoming breakthroughs in the fields of organic and biochemistry.Then we can confidently resume our current lifestyles of consumption which fuels the capitalistic dream worldwide. Consumerism, growth, jobs, wealth accumulation and scientific advances that lead us to the Moon and beyond where lie the vast raw materials that will lead us into the new age of terraforming on a galactic scale.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
OUCH!!!!


Member Since: Posts: Comments:


Moves north she is in higher shear. She goes south its in lower shear.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Roke

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia-pacific/ thousands-evacuate-as-powerful-typhoon-bears-down- on-central-japan-2-missing-in-floods/2011/09/20/gI QALIkThK_story.html

The storm was expected to make landfall along Japan%u2019s southeast coast around midday and then cut a path northeast through Tokyo and into the northeastern Tohoku region, which was devastated by the March 11 tsunami and earthquake.

Also in the path of the storm is the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant, which started spewing radiation after it was sent into meltdown by the tsunami.

Takeo Iwamoto, spokesman for Tokyo Electric Power Co., the utility that operates the plant, said the cooling system for the reactors, crucial to keeping them under control, will not be endangered by the typhoon.

He said some construction work around the plant was canceled and utmost efforts were under way to prevent leaks of radioactive water and other material from the typhoon.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxLogic:
000
WTNT21 KNHC 210242
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
0300 UTC WED SEP 21 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 40.1W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 40.1W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 39.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.4N 42.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.7N 44.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.9N 47.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.2N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 40.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Thet are forecasting the same track and as weak as Maria when it aproaches the Leewards and PR.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting DJMedik91:


Definitely. Came out of nowhere too!



It is pouring on me in the West Chase area!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
If I lived in PR I would whip up an emergency pot of Menudo, and eat it even before Ophelia approached.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting dearmas:


Yes Im in Wesley Chapel is is started here about 745 and is still going strong. NASTYYYY


Definitely. Came out of nowhere too!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:



You can see what is moving into the GOM......need to watch this stuff!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
751. Skyepony (Mod)
Roke has been a wobblin storm..closing in on Japan on MIMIC.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Eastern Pacific hasn't had a named storm since Greg dissipated on August 21... will probably get TD#9/Hilary sometime tomorrow.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
749. Skyepony (Mod)
Ch 6 here screwed up, has their banner Hurricane Ophelia..way to go Tom Sorrel..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting DJMedik91:


Youre not joking. Felt and looked like a TS with the addition of lightning. Palm trees were blowing sideways.


Yes Im in Wesley Chapel is is started here about 745 and is still going strong. NASTYYYY
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
000
WTNT41 KNHC 210300
TCDAT1

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

THE LOW OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC HAS FINALLY COALESCED ABOUT A
SINGLE CIRCULATION CENTER AND HAS ENOUGH ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION
TO BE CONSIDERED A TROPICAL CYCLONE. AN ASCAT PASS JUST BEFORE 00Z
SHOWED AN AREA OF 35 KT WINDS NORTH OF THE CENTER...AND THAT IS THE
INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF
OPHELIA IS STILL A LITTLE RAGGED...WITH CONVECTIVE BANDS LOCATED
WELL NORTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE STILL CONSOLIDATING CENTER. WHILE
OPHELIA WILL BE MOVING OVER WARM WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD...THE
SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 15 KT OR SO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. AFTER THAT TIME...THE SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE AND BECOME
MORE WESTERLY AS THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW FORMING
NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. GIVEN THE MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT AND THE
SOMEWHAT SPRAWLING NATURE OF THE CYCLONE AT THIS TIME...ONLY MODEST
STRENGTHENING IS SHOWN IN THE SHORT TERM. BEYOND 36 HOURS...LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING LATE IN THE
PERIOD. THE NHC FORECAST IS NEAR OR A LITTLE ABOVE THE IVCN
INTENSITY CONSENSUS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS A RATHER UNCERTAIN 270/8...DUE TO THE
RECENT REFORMATION OF THE CENTER. OPHELIA IS CURRENTLY BEING
STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH...AND A WESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE RIDGE BUILDS
WESTWARD. AFTER THAT TIME...THE RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN AS A LARGE
MID/UPPER-LEVEL CLOSED LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES...WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE NHC TRACK
FORECAST LIES TO THE RIGHT OF THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...BUT IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0300Z 12.2N 40.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 21/1200Z 12.4N 42.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 22/0000Z 12.7N 44.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 22/1200Z 12.9N 47.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 23/0000Z 13.2N 50.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 24/0000Z 15.0N 55.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 25/0000Z 17.0N 60.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 26/0000Z 19.0N 64.0W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882
looks like maybe friday before recon can fly her
Member Since: September 19, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 4266
Quoting skook:
Tampa is getting slammed with this evening thunderstorm, quite a bit of lightning to my west tonight, some of them were close enough to shake my apartment.




Youre not joking. Felt and looked like a TS with the addition of lightning. Palm trees were blowing sideways.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The NHC really only had to change the name on the track graphic to Ophelia; she's nearly identical to Irene, Katia and Maria, for now at least.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
742. JLPR2
Meanwhile ex-99L craves some attention.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
000
WTNT31 KNHC 210250
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 40.1W
ABOUT 1585 MI...2555 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hopefully it stays weak for the next 4 to 5 days so it can cross the islands with no noise as it heads north and out to sea
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
no advisory yet.. kinda weird.


advisory is up
Member Since: September 19, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 4266
Quoting aspectre:
Look at the data: LO and not TS
Again I ask, who called a TropicalStorm.


NHC

about as official as it gets
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
no advisory yet.. kinda weird.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
00Z NAM 500MB TROF/RIDGE CONUS @84HR

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting aspectre:
Look at the data: LO and not TS
Again I ask, who called a TropicalStorm.




the NHC now
Member Since: September 19, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 4266
Quoting aspectre:
Look at the data: LO and not TS
Again I ask, who called a TropicalStorm.
NHC
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3851
Quoting aspectre:
Look at the data: LO and not TS
Again I ask, who called a TropicalStorm.


They named it in ATCF, so by default it would be at a minimum a TS.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
we are getting nailed here in Wesley Chapel Florida. Seems like its been storming for hours....Well guess it has, started about 745pm ugh
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Look at the data: LO and not TS
Again I ask, who called a TropicalStorm.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
729. JLPR2
Well, time to check the batteries, canned food and other supplies... again. XD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting aspectre:
Odd to have a Name, without an accompanying TropicalStorm. NHC hasn't. ATCF hasn't. So who declared a TropicalStorm?
ATCF has it

AL, 16, 2011092100, , BEST, 0, 120N, 396W, 35, 1007, TS, 34, NEQ, 150, 0, 0, 120, 1012, 175, 100, 45, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, OPHELIA, M,
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
:)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
OPHELIA IS THERE YOU GUYS!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
000
WTNT21 KNHC 210242
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
0300 UTC WED SEP 21 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 40.1W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 40.1W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 39.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.4N 42.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.7N 44.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.9N 47.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.2N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 40.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Ophelia looking very good tonight

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I think with this cyclone it's not so much the track as it is the adversity she'll face no matter where the big O decides to go.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HuracandelCaribe:
Navy classified 98L as TD



...that's depressing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

The Band, Ophelia
www.youtube.com
From "The Last Waltz"
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
719. JLPR2
Waiting for the 11pm advisory. That is one discussion I want to see. XD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882
Quoting aspectre:
Odd to have a Name, without an accompanying TropicalStorm. NHC hasn't. ATCF hasn't. So who declared a TropicalStorm?
invest_al162011.invest
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
716. JLPR2
Quoting aspectre:
Odd to have a Name, without an accompanying TropicalStorm. NHC hasn't. ATCF hasn't. So who declared a TropicalStorm?


ATCF Did. XD

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al982011_al162011.ren

AL, 16, 2011092100, , BEST, 0, 120N, 396W, 35, 1007, LO, 34, NEQ, 150, 0, 0, 120, 1012, 175, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, OPHELIA, M,
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting aspectre:
Odd to have a Name, without an accompanying TropicalStorm. NHC hasn't. ATCF hasn't. So who declared a TropicalStorm?


they did, take a look at past posts
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 765 - 715

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Light Rain
50 °F
Light Rain Mist