Maria brushes Bermuda; 24-hour blitz by Climate Reality Project underway

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:27 PM GMT on September 15, 2011

Share this Blog
31
+

Tropical Storm Maria is roaring past Bermuda, bringing winds near tropical storm force. At 11 am local time, winds at the Bermuda airport were sustained at 36 mph, just below the 39 mph threshold of tropical storm strength. Outer spiral bands of Maria have brought a few brief heavy rain squalls to the island, as seen on Bermuda radar. The core of Maria is now at its closest point of approach to the island, about 150 miles (240 km) to the west, and the island may yet see an hour of two of sustained winds of 40 - 45 mph. Maria is headed north-northeast, and will brush Newfoundland, Canada on Friday afternoon. Since Newfoundland will be on the weak (left) side of a rapidly weakening Maria, I'm not expecting much in the way of wind damage from the storm in Canada, though heavy rains may cause isolated minor to moderate flooding. Top sustained winds in St. Johns will probably be in the 25 - 35 mph range Friday afternoon, though a few hours of tropical storm force winds of 40 - 45 mph are possible if Maria ends up tracking farther west than expected.


Figure 1. Radar image of Tropical Storm Maria taken at 10:13 am EDT September 15, 2011. Image credit: Bermuda Weather Service.

Elsewhere in the tropics
Even the busiest of hurricane seasons have lulls, and we're hitting one this week during what is traditionally the busiest week of hurricane season. A westward-moving tropical wave a few hundred miles south of the Cape Verde Islands, off the coast of Africa, has a modest amount of poorly organized heavy thunderstorm activity. This wave is under a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear, is in a moist environment, and is over warm waters, so has the potential for some development, though NHC is currently not mentioning it in their Tropical Weather Outlook. The UKMET and NOGAPS models predict this wave could develop into a tropical depression 5 - 6 days from now. The NOGAPS model continues to predict the Western Caribbean off the coast of Nicaragua could see the development of a tropical depression 6 - 7 days from now, but the other models are showing little support for this scenario.


Figure 2. Heidi Cullen of Climate Central introduces Boulder, Colorado teacher John Zavalney, one of the presenters of the Climate Reality Project's 24-hour live streaming special.

The Climate Reality Project
The Climate Reality Project (climaterealityproject.org) is a little more than halfway through their live, 24-hour streaming video effort that features 24 different presenters for 24 hours, representing every time zone around the globe. The presentations began last night at 7 pm EDT, and will end tonight at 7 pm EDT. It's worth checking out; there have been some interesting presentations and some dull ones. Interspersed with the presentations are panel discussions with some slick Google Earth graphics; last night's discussions were led by Heidi Cullen of Climate Central, who is a rarity--a very personable and well-spoken scientist, and someone you'll be seeing on TV much more in coming years. The Climate Reality Project showed one excellent video tracking the history of industry-funded denial of science that began with the tobacco industry, something I've discussed as well in post called The Manufactured Doubt Industry and the hacked email controversy. Also shown were two cute 15 - 30 second comedy videos. But while the Climate Reality Project's 24-hour blitz has already gotten 3 million people to tune in, its documentary-style tone and Powerpoint lectures will not be engaging enough to keep most visitors around for more than a few minutes. Ph.D. oceanographer Randy Olson, who left a tenure-track professorship to become a Hollywood film maker, has written an excellent book called Don't be Such a Scientist, about the failure of scientists to communicate in way that will engage people (I thought so highly of the book that I bought 20 copies of the book to give away to students at the University of Michigan's Department of Atmospheric Science this year.) In the latest post in his blog, The Benshi, Olson outlines how the climate community has failed in the main way needed to engage an audience: create a likable voice through the effective telling of stories, which is a less literal means of communication and is less cerebral and thus reaches a mass audience. Future efforts at communication by the climate science community really need to work on using the telling of stories by likable voices in order to get their message across, and I highly recommend that all climate scientists who do public outreach read Olson's book "Don't be Such a Scientist."

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 267 - 217

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20Blog Index



The CPTC shows some activity forthcorming. Don't know how reliable this one is but it sure favors activity in the Atlantic & GOM
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
*sigh*

Last time I looked, science did not differentiate between left wing or right wing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Why the left-right polarization on AGW? I don't remember seeing political division on whether quantum mechanics is correct, or if viruses exist. There are certainly scientists who dispute the details of many well-established theories, which is as it should be, but left-right politics doesn't tend to be behind it, though special interests may be.
As with most fields of science, a consensus opinion established over many years of work tends to be right. Why would those unqualified in the field think that their opinions are more likely to be correct than the theories proposed by the majority of experts with access to the data?

I can easily accept statements along the lines of 'the current models do not fit the available observations well enough for me to be convinced', but I have trouble with 'AGW does not exist, it is just a left-wing liberal plot to increase taxes and government control'.

I certainly do not consider myself a left-wing liberal, but I accept the scientific consensus on this subject just as much as I do on other subjects outside of my own field of expertise.

The existence or not of AGW is a scientific discussion. Politicians should restrict themselves to considering what to do about the warnings from the scientific community.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Neapolitan:

True that. Most areas that have seen any have received but a trace, though a few areas have seen an inch or more. It won't do much to stop the drought, but psychologically I'm sure it's very much welcome.

Amarillo saw 0.37" yesterday, which is the most that city has seen in a while. The bad news is, it's only received 3.5" in 2011, just under 22% of the normal TYD total of 16.27". Amarillo NWS


There were some sprinkles north of Dallas yesterday, but our official total for the day was still zilch. Definitely cooler temperatures, now, there just isn't enough moisture in the atmosphere for the front to wring out.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
last vis. could that be a eye of maria?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
H.Maria's_6pmGMT_ATCF : Starting 14Sept_6pmGMT and ending 15Sept_6pmGMT

The 4 southern line-segments represent HurricaneMaria's path,
the northernmost line-segment is the straightline projection for 6pmGMT,
the coastline dumbbell at 44.726n62.913w-YAW is the endpoint of the straightline projection
connected to its nearest airport for the 12pmGMT*mapping,
and the coastline dumbbell at 43.5n65.693w-YQI is the same for the 6amGMT*mapping.

Using straightline projection of the travel-speed&heading derived from the
ATCF coordinates spanning the 6hours between 12pmGMT then 6pmGMT :
H.Maria's travel-speed was 32mph(55k/h) on a heading of 21degrees(NNE)
H.Maria was headed toward passing ~6.9miles(11.1kilometres) east of (ScatarieIsland)NovaScotia ~1day3hours from now

Copy&paste 43.5n65.693w-yqi, 44.726n62.913w-yaw, 25.6n69.3w-27.2n68.9w, 27.2n68.9w-28.8n68.5w, 28.8n68.5w-31.2n67.8w, 31.2n67.8w-33.8n66.6w, yps, 31.2n67.8w-45.992n59.6w into the GreatCircleMapper for more info

The previous mapping (for 15Sept_12pmGMT)

* The alteration of the endpoint of a TropicalCyclone's previous path also changes its previous travel-speed &heading, and the endpoint of its previous straightline projection...
...but I'm choosing to preserve the historicity of the mappings.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


Thanks for telling us. I thought I had left something burning on the stove.

You are welcome,
I was shocked by it when I went out for lunch then heard about it on the radio...

It was also mentioned in my Blog by another Broward blogger here.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting seflagamma:


This has probabaly already been answered but just in case... there is a "controlled burn" going on in Palm Beach County and the wind is just right and blowing ash into ne Broward..
I saw it at my house, looks like snow flurries..



Thanks for telling us. I thought I had left something burning on the stove.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
257. DVG
Quoting seafarer459:

WOW! Great, long winded, response. Change scientist to evangelist. Change science to religion. Fanatics will abound. Are you telling me No scientists disagree? On the "payroll" comments, will be dismissed. Blanket statements, never prove a fact.


See post 181.....Nobel Prize-winning scientist Ivar Giaever resigned as a Fellow from the American Physical Society two days ago in protest of the APS’s climate change position. This is notable in part because Giaever was among 70 Nobel laureates who endorsed Obama for president in 2008, so he’s no member of the vast right-wing conspiracy.

The debate is not over. There is evidence, but not proof. The fact that this has become such an emotional issue indicates to me this is more political than science.

This has an anti-American, anti-capitalist, power hungry, money grabbing stench to it.

By presenting a renowned scientist, again, that refutes the assertion that AGW is undisputed should allow a fair and reasonable discussion.

But it won 't.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
right now its 14 2 and 2 for our season. by november 30 the numbers should be 20 7 and 4
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricanejunky:


You raise a point that seems to stick with so many people as an obstacle - cost. We spends hundreds of billions of dollars per year on a bloated defense budget that is greater than the next 16 countries combined, corporate tax subsidies for corporations who don't need it, corporate advertising abroad and the list goes on. Many people seem OK with their tax dollars going into those black holes but lose their mind when presented with the thought of using that same money to radically change our energy portfolio for positive reasons. I can't understand it.


And we just sunk half a trillion dollars into a "green" energy company that has now gone bankrupt.

Think about how many billion dollar weather disasters we could have covered for the price of supporting one failed company.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting seafarer459:

Evidence? Do Tell. Don't just throw it... Show it! Evidence has been shown on both sides. Tell me (Only You) why?

I'll start simply.

The evidence that the Earth has warmed is conclusive.
GISS
HADCRU
NCAR
UAH

The evidence that it is primarily GHGs that is responsible for the current warming is overwhelming.
More warming at night than during daylight
Stratospheric cooling

The evidence that human activity is the primary cause for the current warming is also very strong.
CO2 trends
C13/C12 and O18/016 analysis

Just this little bit of evidence --which is the tip of the tip of the iceberg-- that I have presented here makes the case clear. The science says that warming is occurring and that human activity is primarily responsible for the current warming.

The anti-AGW side has little to no scientific evidence to bolster their claims. The few scientific papers they have tell no story and do not stand for long after publication.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JLPR2:


Well, they are rare, as someone else said a few days ago, we have been spoiled by 2005 and 2007.


Yeah, absolutely. It is difficult to get a hurricane into a Cat 5 even with perfect conditions.

Still, what makes me think there could be some bizarre cycle or side effect is that Cat 5s seem to occur in bunches and then a period of none even if conditions are favourable/unfavourable (delete accordingly). It's not a smooth progression as you'd expect.

'course, it's just a personal hunch, no science. ;)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricaneben:
Did anyone notice the ashfall in South FL?


This has probabaly already been answered but just in case... there is a "controlled burn" going on in Palm Beach County and the wind is just right and blowing ash into ne Broward..
I saw it at my house, looks like snow flurries..

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting wunderweatherman123:

link doesnt work :(


The link worked for me.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:



Maximum Potential Hurricane Intensity

The maps display potential minimum pressure and maximum winds, calculated according to a method developed by Dr. Kerry Emanuel. Dissipative heating is handled according to a method described in Bister and Emanuel (1998).

The maps are based on data from the 00Z global operational analysis from NCEP for the date shown on the plot.

The top panel shows the potential minimum central pressure for a hurricane at any given location (in millibars). Only values less than 1000mb are shaded. Cyan squares indicate grid points where the algorithm failed to converge.

Also shown are the sea surface temperatures (°C). The bottom panel shows the potential maximum wind speed expressed in terms of the type and severity of storm they would represent (TD = Tropical Depression, TS = Tropical Storm, H1-H5 = Hurricanes of category 1-5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale).

link doesnt work :(
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
249. JLPR2
Quoting Cotillion:


It would be, but I just don't think one will occur. Just as I didn't last year.

My feeling is that Cat 5s seem to have a rough cycle. Next year it is possible to see one.


Well, they are rare, as someone else said a few days ago, we have been spoiled by 2005 and 2007.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
So I go into the grocery store and I've seen it with my own eyes. Rain in the produce section and there's even thunder!!! The fish are all dead, and something terrible has happened to the chickens. I know mankind is behind this, I just can't prove it because I'm not a scientist.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JLPR2:


What if we get a late season cat 5? That would be surprising. XD


It would be, but I just don't think one will occur. Just as I didn't last year.

My feeling is that Cat 5s seem to have a rough cycle. Next year it is possible to see one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting daddyjames:
I have been a longtime lurker - at recently - a sometimes poster. been away the last few days . . .

Could someone give me a brief rundown regarding what has been happening and why a number of longtime posters are bailing out?


A blogger and a MET myself, I've been here on the blogs since 2005 but have taken a long break. Many longtime bloggers(with good reputations) from here have left because this site is out of control with their "rating system" which the AGW crowd loves to use against the skeptics. Also the egotism that pervades the blogs is irritating. I've watched this blog evolve for more than 5 yrs. Used to be the BEST place on the web to blog. With that, I will not contribute to WU getting anymore free advertisement by me(when you blog or make a blog here, WU is advertised!)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
245. JLPR2
Quoting Cotillion:


At least it's consistent.

I had a feeling this would be a TS dominant season with hurricanes not so much of the vocal point. A bit like 2007 minus the Cat 5s. I didn't think it would be to this extent, though.


What if we get a late season cat 5? That would be surprising. XD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Cotillion:


I suppose you are essentially framing a Pascal's wager scenario.

If those who are not convinced by the climate change argument are wrong, then the worst would be runaway global warming at the most extreme.

If those who are convinced by the climate change argument are wrong, then there could be serious economic implications as well as deep issues with the credibility of science and the scientific fraternity later down the road which could be crucial.

Neither extreme is likely. It all depends on how bad GW/CC could get and depends on the methods you take to correct the balance.

If it is mostly about using green technology and a push for near absolute recycling, then the worst you get... is a cleaner planet for your kids. Win-win.

If it's something more extreme, it would depend on what the trade off would be. A bit like medicine from your physician, one of the first questions is: 'What's the side effects?'


The only thing that I am "framing" is my own thoughts. Even though Passcal's wager was not where I was coming from, I would not bet against Pascal's wager.

I will make no further responses concerning my questions. As I stated, "food for thought", and this requires no response.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Xyrus2000:


No. No it isn't. You see, from a scientific perspective there are mountains of peer-reviewed evidence and research that show the climate is changing. Regardless of the primary source of the change, the evidence of warming (and thus, a changing climate) is about as solid as it gets. Unless someone or some group out there has some extraordinary evidence and rock-solid research that contradicts this, then any "debate" on the matter is basically opinionated nonsense built on non-verified claims.

There's also a large amount of evidence and research demonstrating how the recent changes are mostly induced from anthropogenic activities. Again, unless someone or some group has some solid research demonstrating otherwise (which so far, there has not been), then any "debate" is at best a useless exercise.

Science is not political debate. The winner isn't the one who comes across as being the most "genuine" about the "truthiness" of their claims. It is not about who has the most charisma or who makes you feel the best about yourself. It is not about what you believe or have faith in. It is about facts. Cold hard facts that, when examined by other experts in the field, are found to be accurate and thoroughly researched.

It is up to whether or not you accepts the facts, evidence and research. But don't pretend for one instant that anything on this blog comes even close to a real scientific debate on the subject.

WOW! Great, long winded, response. Change scientist to evangelist. Change science to religion. Fanatics will abound. Are you telling me No scientists disagree? On the "payroll" comments, will be dismissed. Blanket statements, never prove a fact.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
ECMWF coincides with GFS on developing a CV system.



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Yeah I had to put that one up there, since I've been calling for all the names on the list to be used, since the beginning of the season. I actually called that same number of storms last yr. but fell short by 2.


At least it's consistent.

I had a feeling this would be a TS dominant season with hurricanes not so much of the vocal point. A bit like 2007 minus the Cat 5s. I didn't think it would be to this extent, though.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
We're still behind in Hurricanes and Major Hurricanes and with Cape Verde Season coming to an end soon, one might imagine the Caribbean will open up for business. I'm thinking 7 more named storms, 4 more Hurricanes, and 2 Major Hurricanes are left on the table.
That's close to my own revised forecast for the rest of the way: 8-5-3, for a total of 22-8-5. That eight may seem like a lot, but I believe we'll have several more multi-storm days (for the record, seven storms have formed in just the last 27 days; I don't see why there can't be that many more in the next 76).
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
239. JLPR2
Quoting wunderweatherman123:
water temps in the central and eastern gulf are 84 to 85 degrees. how warm does the water have to be for a major to stregnthen and is maria still a ts or a hurricane?


The official title for Maria is still TS, but extraofficially she is being called a cane, since the ATCF files do so. The NHC uses those files but sometimes they don't do as labeled there, so I guess we'll have to wait for the them to post an official update.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
238. DVG
Quoting seafarer459:
Enough of this place... I keep clicking on all comments..Setting changes automatically . All the anti AGW posts are hidden. Who the flip, is afraid of honest debate?
IF! what I am seeing is true... Why would you wanna reinforce, a conservative stereotype?


How do stereotypes become stereotypes?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Did anyone notice the ashfall in South FL?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting wunderweatherman123:
water temps in the central and eastern gulf are 84 to 85 degrees. how warm does the water have to be for a major to stregnthen and is maria still a ts or a hurricane?



Maximum Potential Hurricane Intensity

The maps display potential minimum pressure and maximum winds, calculated according to a method developed by Dr. Kerry Emanuel. Dissipative heating is handled according to a method described in Bister and Emanuel (1998).

The maps are based on data from the 00Z global operational analysis from NCEP for the date shown on the plot.

The top panel shows the potential minimum central pressure for a hurricane at any given location (in millibars). Only values less than 1000mb are shaded. Cyan squares indicate grid points where the algorithm failed to converge.

Also shown are the sea surface temperatures (°C). The bottom panel shows the potential maximum wind speed expressed in terms of the type and severity of storm they would represent (TD = Tropical Depression, TS = Tropical Storm, H1-H5 = Hurricanes of category 1-5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale).
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128284
Quoting StormHype:
My stance on GW. Take note GW hypsters. I'm not alone...

"I trust science, but I don't trust the scientists." - StormHype



Well there you have it...misinformation at work.

I could understand if the scientists were politicians but the scientists have not given any indication of being subject to corruption as politicians have, contrary to what Rick Perry might have you believe.

As I asked before: Why is it in this subject the "experts" are ignored by many in favor of OPINION by talking heads and others who have NO CLUE about climate science?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Neapolitan:

True that. Most areas that have seen any have received but a trace, though a few areas have seen an inch or more. It won't do much to stop the drought, but psychologically I'm sure it's very much welcome.

Amarillo saw 0.37" yesterday, which is the most that city has seen in a while. The bad news is, it's only received 3.5" in 2011, just under 22% of the normal TYD total of 16.27". Amarillo NWS
West Fort Worth saw brief rain yesterday, just enough to make the ground damp for a momoent. The rest of what I saw fall from the sky was evaporating before it could do any good. Depressing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting seafarer459:
Enough of this place... I keep clicking on all comments..Setting changes automatically . All the anti AGW posts are hidden. Who the flip, is afraid of honest debate?
IF! what I am seeing is true... Why would you wanna reinforce, a conservative stereotype?


Anytime the AGW lovers are confronted, they do whatever they can to silence you. There is no "debate" for them.

For example, Ms. Cullen, who is talked about above, wanted meterologists who didnt agree with man made global warming decertified from the AMS. Just another scare tactic from the left.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
232. JLPR2
Nice mid-level circulation with he ULL at 20N 55W.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Cotillion:
'I'm thinking 7 more named storms, 4 more Hurricanes, and 2 Major Hurricanes are left on the table.'

Oh, got the edit GT. That's quite a suggestion, leading to 21-7-4 for the season? Be quite an end total.

However, as said in the other post, these type of seasons tend to have a halfway point sometime in August (even if August ends up being quiet).

That said, we'll find out the final chapters of this season soon enough.

Yeah I had to put that one up there, since I've been calling for all the names on the list to be used, since the beginning of the season. I actually called that same number of storms last yr. but fell short by 2.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting twincomanche:
not to break in with a weather thought but it looks on the radar like parts of Texas might be getting some rain.

True that. Most areas that have seen any have received but a trace, though a few areas have seen an inch or more. It won't do much to stop the drought, but psychologically I'm sure it's very much welcome.

Amarillo saw 0.37" yesterday, which is the most that city has seen in a while. The bad news is, it's only received 3.5" in 2011, just under 22% of the normal TYD total of 16.27". Amarillo NWS
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CaptainKid:


Going green is expensive. No matter how much you believe in the "cause" it takes MORE money to make it come about.
The economy is not good here in the USA and many other countries. Some of us do what we can and make informed choices about what we do to help.
It isn't a grass roots thing, it has to have some heavy support from some deep pockets.

And deep pockets are not worried about AGW and it's effects as much as they are worried about what is in their deep pockets.



World's largest firms 'acting on climate change', analysis shows climate is central to business strategy of 68% of the world's 500 largest companies, compared with 48% last year...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
water temps in the central and eastern gulf are 84 to 85 degrees. how warm does the water have to be for a major to stregnthen and is maria still a ts or a hurricane?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricanejunky:


Yeah and by the end of the 10,000 years, and a number of nuclear disasters later, none of the planet will be inhabitable due to nuclear fallout. None of those worries exist with renewables.
You better do some research where are all the rare earth and heavy metals gonna be mined and the pollution that comes with them. Clean energy is not as clean as people think. Solar panels need heavy metals, wind turbines need rare earths, hydro power requires damming of a river altering it and has a huge sediment problem. So far there is no real answer fossil fuels pollute one way green energy pollutes another.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
'I'm thinking 7 more named storms, 4 more Hurricanes, and 2 Major Hurricanes are left on the table.'

Oh, got the edit GT. That's quite a suggestion, leading to 21-7-4 for the season? Be quite an end total.

However, as said in the other post, these type of seasons tend to have a halfway point sometime in August (even if August ends up being quiet).

That said, we'll find out the final chapters of this season soon enough.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
One thing I've noticed, both in politics and in climate change discussions. People, at least the ones who speak out, tend to be polarized in their attitudes and opinions. They get sold some ideas, whether it be by politicians, organizations, media, business, or anyone else with a megaphone, they become invested in those ideas, and they consider themselves on one side or the other.

The truth often lies somewhere in the middle, but until regular folks decide to take the power back from the big wigs, come together, find common ground, and build real solutions, it will be business as usual for the guys pulling the strings.

Don't depend on government to fix these things. They can't and they won't. Don't make the mistake of thinking somebody in Washington has your best interests at heart unless they happen to be a close personal friend who has the same interests.

As long as we continue to fight each other...they win. Only when the public can come together, work together, and understand that we all can't have everything we want for free, can they be made to be accountable to us.

Average Joe is pretty much the same all over the world and all he knows is what he's been told. Your neighbors aren't your problem...your rulers are.

Anyway...just a couple thoughts for what it's worth.

-later
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
224. JLPR2
Two disturbances in the CATL.

The one to the west is probably being enhanced by the ULL, nothing there.
But the one to the east is getting a nice spin and developing convection.

That one is one of the disturbances the Ngs and GFS merge into a single storm, the other being the one southeast of the CV islands.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Enough of this place... I keep clicking on all comments..Setting changes automatically . All the anti AGW posts are hidden. Who the flip, is afraid of honest debate?
IF! what I am seeing is true... Why would you wanna reinforce, a conservative stereotype?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
We're still behind in Hurricanes and Major Hurricanes and with Cape Verde Season coming to an end soon, one might imagine the Caribbean will open up for business.


Maybe. I'm not sure how long this season has left to go, really. Depends how long this lull goes on for. 2007 had 15-6-2, 1936 had 16-7-1 ('bottom heavy' seasons). We may end up with one or two more TS than '36, but less hurricanes. Nearly all (bar 1887) seasons that had 4 or more storms prior to August 1 were over the halfway point by this date and most were well over the halfway point.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ncstorm:
Well, I just read Levi's blog and Atomaggie has left WU too, if anyone know of any weather blogs without GW, please WU mail me.


Check your mail.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I have been a longtime lurker - at recently - a sometimes poster. been away the last few days . . .

Could someone give me a brief rundown regarding what has been happening and why a number of longtime posters are bailing out?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting cajunkid:


If you believe what was shown in "Gasland", you are severely insulting your own intelligence.

Take a ride through Northwest Louisiana one day and ask those folks about natural gas production.


Have you watched Gasland? If so, can you forward me your list of falsehoods that you found in it?

Why were oil and gas companies exempted from the clean water act, safe drinking water act, clean air act and CERCLA by passing the Energy Act in 2005?

So they could frack, among other things, without having to answer to anyone about what's going in the ground. The toxic mix of chemicals that goes into the fracking mixture is insidious.

Talk about insulting your own intelligence.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Cotillion:


14-3-2. Still a remarkable total.
We're still behind in Hurricanes and Major Hurricanes and with Cape Verde Season coming to an end soon, one might imagine the Caribbean will open up for business. I'm thinking 7 more named storms, 4 more Hurricanes, and 2 Major Hurricanes are left on the table.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 267 - 217

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
73 °F
Overcast