TD 13 intensifying; Katia may pass uncomfortably close to U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:28 PM GMT on September 02, 2011

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Tropical Depression Thirteen formed last night over the Northern Gulf of Mexico and is slowly intensifying, but isn't in a hurry to go anywhere. What TD 13 will do is dump torrential rains along the northern Gulf Coast over the next three or more days. So far, rain amounts along the coast have mostly been below one inch. At New Orleans Lakefront Airport, just 0.32" inches of rain had fallen from TD 13 as of 10 am CDT. Some coastal regions have received up to two inches, according to radar rainfall estimates. TD 13 is generating a large area of 30 - 35 mph winds over the Gulf of Mexico. At 7:20 am CDT, winds at the Mississippi Canyon 711 oil rig were southeast at 47 mph. This is above tropical storm force, but the wind instrument was 348 feet (106 m) above the ocean surface, and winds near the surface were probably considerably lower, near 35 mph. Latest surface wind observations from an Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft support leaving TD 13 as a tropical depression. Long range radar out of Mobile, Alabama shows heavy rain showers building along the northern Gulf Coast, but these rain showers are not well-organized into spiral bands. Strong upper-level winds out of the west-northwest are creating a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear over TD 13, keeping the storm's heavy thunderstorms disorganized and pushed to the east side of the storm. However, latest satelllite loops show TD 13 is becoming increasingly organized, with a respectable spiral band forming on the southeast side, and an increase and areal coverage of heavy thunderstorm activity. This is very likely to be a tropical storm later today.


Figure 1. Radar-estimated rainfall from TD 13 from the New Orleans radar.


Figure 2. U.S. drought conditions on August 30. The rains from TD 13 have the potential to bring major drought relief to drought-stricken portions of the coast. Note how Eastern North Carolina is no longer in drought, thanks to the rains from Hurricane Irene. These rains also came close to putting out a persistent fire that had been burning in the Great Dismal Swamp near the Virginia/North Carolina border. Image Credit: U.S. Drought Monitor.

Forecast for TD 13
TD 13's large size, ill-formed circulation center, and the presence of dry air on its west side due to an upper-level trough of low pressure argue against rapid intensification of the storm for the next three days. Also tending to slow intensification will be the slow movement of the storm, which will allow cold water from the depths to rise to the surface, thanks to wind and wave action. Tropical cyclones strongly cool the water's surface when they pass over it, as seen in the time vs. depth chart of sea surface temperatures during Hurricane Irene's passage along the New Jersey coast (Figure 3.) However, the Gulf of Mexico has some very warm waters near TD 13 that extend to great depth (Figure 4), so the surface cooling imparted by TD 13 will be less than that seen for Hurricane Irene. As TD 13 moves closer to the coast, more and more of its circulation will be over land, which will also slow intensification. NHC's 11 am EDT wind probability forecast for TD 13 gave the storm a 23% chance of intensifying into a hurricane by Sunday. Assuming TD 13 does not attain hurricane strength, wind damage and storm surge damage will likely not be the main concern--fresh water flooding from heavy rains will be the most dangerous impact. Also of concern is the possibility of tornadoes. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center is currently not highlighting the Gulf Coast in their "slight risk" area for severe weather, due to the lack of enough solar heating to create instability. However, there will be plenty of wind shear in the lower part of the atmosphere that can potentially create spin in the coastal thunderstorms, and it is possible that as TD 13 intensifies, it may be able to generate several dozen tornadoes.

Coastal Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the extreme western Panhandle of Florida will likely receive very heavy flooding rains that will intensify Saturday and peak on Sunday. These rains should be able to put out the stubborn marsh fire east of New Orleans that has brought several days of air quality alerts to the city, but may cause moderate to severe flooding problems in other areas. The latest rainfall forecast from NOAA Hydrological Prediction Center shows that a large area of 15+ inches of rain is expected over Southeast Louisiana and coastal Mississippi. The region is under moderate drought, so flooding problems will be delayed compared to what we'd normally expect from heavy rains of over a foot. Flash flood watches are posted for New Orleans and surrounding areas, and rainfall amounts of 1 - 3 inches per hour are possible in some of the heavier rain squalls. Ocean temperatures are near record warmth, 88°F (31°C), which will provide plenty of moisture for heavy rains, and plenty of energy to help TD 13 strengthen into a strong tropical storm. Steering currents will be weak in the Gulf this weekend and early next week, which will likely make the motion of TD 13 erratic at times.


Figure 3. EPA, in conjunction with Rutgers University and the NJ Department of Environmental Protection, has an Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV, aka the Glider) deployed off the coast of NJ (since early August) continuously monitoring ocean temperature, density, salinity, sound velocity and dissolved oxygen at different depths. The AUV's path and data are displayed at the following website: http://marine.rutgers.edu/cool/auvs/index.php?did =221&view=imagery. The plot of temperature versus time above shows that in the weeks prior to the arrival of Irene, the ocean was heavily stratified, with warm waters of 24 - 26°C (75 - 79°F, red colors) extending from the surface to a depth of 10 - 15 meters. A sharp thermocline existed at a depth of about 15 meters, and ocean temperatures were colder than 14°C (57°F, dark blue colors) below the thermocline. The strong winds and high wave action of Hurricane Irene on August 28 - 29 stirred up cold water from the depths to the surface, cooling the surface waters to 17 - 19°C (63 - 67°F). In the days since the hurricane, surface waters have begun to warm again. Thanks go to Kevin Kubik, Deputy Director of the Division of Environmental Science and Assessment for EPA Region 2, for making me aware of this data.


Figure 4. The total amount of heat energy in the ocean available to fuel a tropical cyclone, in kilojoules per square centimeter of surface area. Tropical cyclones that move over ocean areas with TCHP values in excess of 70 - 90 kJ/cm^2 commonly undergo rapid intensification. Waters that are warm to a great depth have the highest TCHP, and the Loop Current that brings warm water northwards from the Caribbean to the Gulf of Mexico usually has the highest TCHP values in the Atlantic. Currently, we have an eddy that broke off from the Loop Current earlier this summer, now located a few hundred miles south of the Louisiana coast, that also has high TCHP values. Image Credit: NOAA/AOML.

Hurricane Katia
Hurricane Katia is continuing its long trek across the Atlantic Ocean today, and will not pose a danger to any land areas over the next five days. Katia is still struggling with dry air and moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots. Latest satellite loops show surface-based arc-shaped clouds racing to the southwest away from Katia's core, a sign that dry air is penetrating into Katia's thunderstorms and creating strong downdrafts that are robbing the storm of heat and moisture. Katia is over warm ocean waters of 28.5°C, and these waters will increase in temperature to 29°C over the next five days. Katia will pass well north of the region of cooler waters stirred up by the passage of Hurricane Irene last week.

The models are split on when the upper-level trough of low pressure bringing the wind shear to Katia will move away, and the storm may spend two more days battling wind shear and dry air before the upper-level trough pulls away to the north and allows Katia to intensify more readily. It is still unclear how much of a threat Katia may pose to the U.S., but it is becoming increasingly clear that Katia will pass uncomfortably close to the U.S. East Coast. The trough of low pressure currently steering Katia to the northwest will lift out early next week, and a ridge of high pressure is expected to build in, forcing Katia more to the west. This decreases the danger to Bermuda, but increases the danger to the U.S. A second trough of low pressure is expected to begin affecting Katia by the middle of next week, and will potentially recurve the storm out to sea before it hits the U.S. However, the models differ widely on the strength and timing of this trough. Meteorologist Grant Elliot of Australia's Bureau of Meteorology in Perth pointed out to me yesterday that the long-range forecast for Katia has more than the usual amount of uncertainty, due to the inability of the computer models to agree on what will happen to Tropical Storm Talas in the Western Pacific. Talas is expected to hit Japan early on Saturday as a strong tropical storm, then race northwestwards into the Bering Sea off the coast of Alaska. Talas is then expected to transition into a powerful extratropical storm in the waters south of Alaska. This storm will create a ripple effect downstream in the jet stream, all the way to North America, by early next week. The timing and amplitude of the trough of low pressure off the U.S. East Coast expected to potentially recurve Katia out to sea next week is highly dependent upon the strength of Tropical Storm Talas during its transition to an extratropical storm. The computer models are not very good at handling these sorts of transitions, leading to more than the usual amount of uncertainty in the long-range outlook for Katia. It will probably be another 2 - 3 days before the models will begin to converge on a solution for the long-term fate of Katia. Dr. Bob Hart's Historical Tropical Cyclone Probability web page suggests shows that tropical storms in Katia's current position have a 17% chance of hitting North Carolina, a 21% chance of hitting Canada, a 13% chance of hitting New England, and a 55% chance of never hitting land. One almost certain impact of Katia on the U.S. will be large waves. Long period swells from Katia will begin affecting the Bahamas on Sunday night, then reach the Southeast U.S. by Monday morning. By Tuesday morning, the entire U.S. East Coast will see high surf from Katia, and these waves will increase in size and power as the storm grows closer. Given the slow movement of Katia as it approaches the coast, plus its expected Category 1 to 3 strength as it approaches, the storm will probably cause extensive beach erosion and dangerous rip tides for many days.

94L
A well-organized low pressure system with a surface circulation but limited heavy thunderstorm activity due to high wind shear is 450 miles south of Halifax, Canada. This disturbance, (94L), is headed northeast out to sea, and is being given a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression by NHC. 94L is under a high 25 - 30 knots of wind shear, but this shear is expected to fall to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, by Saturday morning. However, sea surface temperature will fall from 27°C today to 25°C Saturday morning underneath 94L, and the storm will have a very short window of time to get organized enough to get a name. At this point, it's really a subjective judgement call on whether or not 94L is already a tropical storm.


Figure 5. A Portlight volunteer works to clear storm debris from Hurricane Irene in Hollywood, Maryland.

Portlight disaster relief effort in Maryland
Hurricane Irene heavily damaged the town of Hollywood, Maryland, when a tornado cut off electric power, water, and phone service. Portlight and Team Rubicon volunteers arrived before emergency personnel, after following up on a local tip. What they found was an isolated area whose plight was unknown to the larger community. Most residents were trapped at their homes by heavy debris. Portlight and Team Rubicon worked for two days to clear paths to each address, extract vehicles from debris, and cut down trees that constituted safety hazards. Portlight also instructed local residents how to operate and maintain chainsaws and safely clear debris. No other volunteer organizations or emergency personnel arrived at any time, and Portlight succeeded in meeting the specific needs of the underserved, unserved, and forgotten. Visit the Portlight blog to learn more; donations are always welcome.

I'll have a new post each morning over the coming holiday weekend; wunderground meteorologists Angela Fritz, Rob Carver, and Shaun Tanner will be handling the afternoon and evening posts. Have a great holiday weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

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1237. ncstorm
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1236. Patrap
Maybe jaw Jack with Lil Jarhead Bob here on the WVUE FB page,,if ya wants.

WVUEFOX-8-Weather-Team

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
Quoting SubtropicalHi:


Gotta laugh at this curse over TX...
Crying ain't doin any good.


That is what I was doing the other day. ask At Home.... :)
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are hurricane hunters in lee now? if they are whats the lowest pressure they found and the strongest winds? thanx!
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So, we are watching a minimal tropical storm which will bring some beneficial rain to many and a Hurricane that will go OTS. IMO, this is the way the rest of the season goes, which is very plausible being that this year reminds me so much of the past few where troughs and dry air rule the tropics. If you think about it, there really seems to be a "shield" for the CONUS. I know it won't last forever but i will enjoy it while it last.
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If Katia follow this track, the storm will be very hard pressed to avoid the United States.

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1231. kwgirl
Good night all and have a great weekend. Patrap and the rest in New Orleans, just get your boats ready. You may be paddling some. I can sympathize with your rain. We get a heavy downpour in Key West and it floods but it also runs off as long as the tide is down. I will talk to you on Tuesday.
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Quoting HoustonTxGal:


LOL!! sure, just as long as it does not offend the Rules of the Road of god's sake! LOL


In the comment box press link button - then drop down will show up - you temp allow scripts - and then you can past link in box.

Whatever you do - don't post any links to that S####W site...


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1229. ncstorm
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1228. IKE
TROPICAL STORM LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
400 PM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011

DATA FROM SATELLITES...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...DOPPLER RADARS AND AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE TROPICAL STORM
LEE HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED DESPITE THE SIGNIFICANT
WARMING OF CLOUD TOPS IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE CYCLONE.
BUOY AND OIL RIG REPORTS OF 39-42 KT...ALONG WITH RELIABLE RECON
SFMR WINDS OF 38-40 KT...JUSTIFY INCREASING THE INTENSITY TO 40 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SLOW DRIFT TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 2 KT.
LEE REMAINS TRAPPED IN A HIGH AMPLITUDE BLOCKING PATTERN THAT IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN INTACT FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS A DEEP
MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST AMPLIFIES AND
DIGS SOUTHWARD. BY 48 HOURS...THE NARROW RIDGE TO THE WEST OF LEE
THAT EXTENDS FROM DEEP SOUTH TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD TO MISSOURI IS
FORECAST BY ALL OF THE MODELS TO SLOWLY ERODE...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
THE CYCLONE TO GRADUALLY GAIN LATITUDE AND MOVE TOWARD LOUISIANA. A
WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS BY 72 HOURS SHOULD INDUCE A FASTER...ALBEIT LESS
THAN 10 KT...FORWARD MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST. BY DAY 4 OR 5...A
WEAKENED LEE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE LOWER TENNESSEE VALLEY. UNFORTUNATELY...THE
SLOW FORWARD SPEED OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A HEAVY
RAINFALL SCENARIO OVER LOUISIANA AND POINTS NORTHEASTWARD. THE
FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK AND IS A
BLEND OF THE GFS... UKMET...AND ECMWF MODEL TRACKS.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LEE HAS BECOME ENTANGLED WITH A
SMALL UPPER-LEVEL LOW. ALTHOUGH THIS CONFIGURATION SOMETIMES LEADS
TO A RAPID SPIN UP OF THE LOW- AND MID-LEVEL VORTEX...VERY DRY
MID-LEVEL AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE
ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM. THIS UNFAVORABLE CONDITION IS EXPECTED
TO INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN
SEMICIRCLE FOR THE NEXT 12-36 HOURS...DESPITE THE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 KT AND THE CYCLONE BEING OVER VERY
WARM SSTS DURING THIS TIME. BY 48 HOURS...THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...WHICH SHOULD ACT TO CAP OFF THE STRENGTHENING
PROCESS AS LEE ALSO MOVES OVER LAND. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS
FOR ONLY MODEST STRENGTHENING UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS...AND IS
SIMILAR TO THE NHC INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODEL...ICON...WITH THE
STATISTICAL MODELS ABOVE AND THE DYNAMICAL MODELS BELOW THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/2100Z 27.5N 91.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 03/0600Z 27.9N 91.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 03/1800Z 28.5N 91.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 04/0600Z 29.2N 91.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 04/1800Z 29.7N 91.1W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
72H 05/1800Z 30.1N 89.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
96H 06/1800Z 31.5N 88.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
120H 07/1800Z 33.6N 86.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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Bob Breck has said no such thing....He's concerned like the rest of us are. Not sure if this guy is talking about Bob Barker.....
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1226. franck
If shear relaxes, dry air entrainment should lessen as well. Then eastern Texas should at least get some rain.
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Is there any signs of stacking or organization with LEE or is the dry air still causing some disorganization?
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1224. ncstorm
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Quoting cloudburst2011:



DONT LISTEN TO ME YOU CAN WATCH FOXNEWS YOURSELF HE WILL BE ON AT 4PM...


I will go do that and post back what he says.
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Quoting Patrap:
Quoting cloudburst2011:
according to BOB BRECK IN NEW ORELANS we should not cancel any plans for the labor day weekend...he said we may get a few showers on sat and sunday as LEE MOVES NE towards miss and alabama...he has taken us out the cone completely...this makes me feel great wont have to cancel my fishing trip...


Phunny thing is,, Bob dont come on till 5pm.

So this is total BS and flagged and reported.



LMAO
Member Since: August 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 107
Lee:

INIT 02/2100Z 27.5N 91.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 03/0600Z 27.9N 91.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 03/1800Z 28.5N 91.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 04/0600Z 29.2N 91.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 04/1800Z 29.7N 91.1W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
72H 05/1800Z 30.1N 89.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
96H 06/1800Z 31.5N 88.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
120H 07/1800Z 33.6N 86.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
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1219. nolajet
Quoting Patrap:

Phunny thing is,, Bob dont come on till 5pm.br


To be fair, Bob has been on TV, saw him talking when I got home from work after two.

Just started raining a little heavier in the Marigny. Nice little gusts every now and then, but nothing of any real significance.
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1218. pcola57
Quoting hurricanerunaway:


No doubt...
+100

Others post links to maps and other weather websites...there is no difference, someone started bumpin their cloth when Storm was mentioned...

PS...It is RAINING in Orange, Texas!! Woo Hoo :)


Maybe you've been on here longer than the "September 9,2010" with 25 post to your credit.However,this has been going on for years and it finally came to an end and we here would prefer to leave it that way, but by all means post what you like when you like.People here can just ignore you,but maybe just maybe you might want to re-consider.Your account here Can be a temporary one.

Rain's let up and patch of blue up above here..90 and 80% RH..
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1217. IKE
1:00 PM CDT Fri Sep 2

Location: 27.4°N 91.5°W

Max sustained: 40 mph

Moving: NW at 2 mph

Min pressure: 1003 mb

...............................................

4:00 PM CDT Fri Sep 2

Location: 27.5°N 91.5°W

Max sustained: 45 mph

Moving: N at 2 mph

Min pressure: 1003 mb
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Quoting AtHomeInTX:

Lol. I figured by you're handle and your pic you were a local. When you're finished with the rain could you send it down I 10 WEST a bit? Thanks. :) Lol. Glad you're getting rain. Amazed my daughter hasn't texted me about it already. Lol. She lives there. :)


Does everyone in here have family in Orange? LOL
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1074
Quoting snow2fire:


What 3 rules are violated broken?

Is posting a link to another site that provides weather information/analysis a no-no??

If yes, then how about NWS, university sites, imagery sites, references to weather channel, local TV mets...

I just want to understand what we are allowed and not allowed to do.
I would message an admin and ask if you truly are confused. They have the final say in the matter despite what some commenters would like to believe.
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1214. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
Katia:

INIT 02/2100Z 18.4N 53.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 03/0600Z 19.0N 54.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 03/1800Z 19.9N 55.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 04/0600Z 20.9N 57.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 04/1800Z 21.9N 58.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 05/1800Z 24.0N 62.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 06/1800Z 26.0N 65.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
120H 07/1800Z 27.5N 68.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
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Quoting Patrap:


You might want to put your Frescas on a higher shelf there, Pat
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Quoting washingaway:
That Texas air is like a gaint ShamWow.



Gotta laugh at this curse over TX...
Crying ain't doin any good.
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Hurricane Katia:

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Quoting IKE:

So much 4 weakening.


Ike, good to see you.
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Quoting hurricanerunaway:


No doubt...
+100

Others post links to maps and other weather websites...there is no difference, someone started bumpin their cloth when Storm was mentioned...

PS...It is RAINING in Orange, Texas!! Woo Hoo :)
Lol. I figured by you're handle and your pic you were a local. When you're finished with the rain could you send it down I 10 WEST a bit? Thanks. :) Lol. Glad you're getting rain. Amazed my daughter hasn't texted me about it already. Lol. She lives there. :)
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Quoting IKE:

So much 4 weakening.


Yep, lol.
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Hurricane Katia:

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
500 PM AST FRI SEP 02 2011

...KATIA MOVING OVER OPEN ATLANTIC OCEAN WITH 75 MPH WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 53.5W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

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Tropical Storm Lee winds up to 45mph.
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
1203. IKE

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Lee up to 45 mph..
So much 4 weakening.
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1202. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
Quoting MississippiWx:


If Bob Breck is truly saying those things, he needs to have his meteorology degree taken away. The New Orleans area is going to receive a tremendous amount of rain. Considering the person who is saying that stuff repeatedly, I have to doubt that Breck is saying "just showers."


Rain is really starting to pick up here on the Westbank in Terrytown. WDSU has a great radar for those of yall that don't know that will actually show you the direction and time the storm cells are moving. www.wdsu.com click on weather then radar.
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Lee up to 45 mph..
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Quoting CybrTeddy:
Bob Breck needs to look at the latest rainfall predictions.. 20+ inches of rain.. 'only a few showers' my rear end.


mhm...definitely a problem there...
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Quoting KeyWestbeachcomber:
newcomer looking for help on inserting RELEVENT link so I may ask ya'll a relevent question Thanks


LOL!! sure, just as long as it does not offend the Rules of the Road of god's sake! LOL
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1074
1197. IKE

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Quoting HoustonTxGal:


I have family in Orange, glad ya'll are getting some rain.. why not spread the wealth and send some up to us in Houston :o)


I will point the fans your direction!!!
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Quoting CybrTeddy:
Bob Breck needs to look at the latest rainfall predictions.. 20+ inches of rain.. 'only a few showers' my rear end.


If Bob Breck is truly saying those things, he needs to have his meteorology degree taken away. The New Orleans area is going to receive a tremendous amount of rain. Considering the person who is saying that stuff repeatedly, I have to doubt that Breck is saying "just showers."
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 17 Comments: 10191
Quoting washingaway:
That Texas air is like a gaint ShamWow.



Not...exactly how I would describe it but sure, why not.
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1192. Patrap
372
WFUS54 KLIX 022044
TORLIX
LAC051-057-022130-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0072.110902T2044Z-110902T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
344 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN LAFOURCHE PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 342 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 33 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF LEEVILLE...OR 33 MILES SOUTH OF PORT SULPHUR...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GRAND
ISLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
newcomer looking for help on inserting RELEVENT link so I may ask ya'll a relevent question Thanks
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1143. Patrap 4:33 PM EDT on September 02, 2011 +5
I say if we run outta Names we should use Bad Japanese Monster Movie Names.

TS Rodan continues to Improve this afternoon on Sat presentation.


LOL....Mothra a threat to Florida, details to follow!
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Quoting TXInaSpin:


Same boat here.. Decided to fry some shrimp and frog legs for supper.. Hope to ease the pain. So close... So far away...


Yep. Rain has stopped at the border all year it seems. And I mean right at the border.  Ah well, we Texans are a hardy bunch. We've been through a lot of extremes in our time. We do what we need to to get through and we move on. Still wouldn't want to live anywhere else! :)
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Quoting washingaway:
That Texas air is like a gaint ShamWow.



I never really equated Houston with dry air.... Strange year.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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