TD 13 intensifying; Katia may pass uncomfortably close to U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:28 PM GMT on September 02, 2011

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Tropical Depression Thirteen formed last night over the Northern Gulf of Mexico and is slowly intensifying, but isn't in a hurry to go anywhere. What TD 13 will do is dump torrential rains along the northern Gulf Coast over the next three or more days. So far, rain amounts along the coast have mostly been below one inch. At New Orleans Lakefront Airport, just 0.32" inches of rain had fallen from TD 13 as of 10 am CDT. Some coastal regions have received up to two inches, according to radar rainfall estimates. TD 13 is generating a large area of 30 - 35 mph winds over the Gulf of Mexico. At 7:20 am CDT, winds at the Mississippi Canyon 711 oil rig were southeast at 47 mph. This is above tropical storm force, but the wind instrument was 348 feet (106 m) above the ocean surface, and winds near the surface were probably considerably lower, near 35 mph. Latest surface wind observations from an Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft support leaving TD 13 as a tropical depression. Long range radar out of Mobile, Alabama shows heavy rain showers building along the northern Gulf Coast, but these rain showers are not well-organized into spiral bands. Strong upper-level winds out of the west-northwest are creating a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear over TD 13, keeping the storm's heavy thunderstorms disorganized and pushed to the east side of the storm. However, latest satelllite loops show TD 13 is becoming increasingly organized, with a respectable spiral band forming on the southeast side, and an increase and areal coverage of heavy thunderstorm activity. This is very likely to be a tropical storm later today.


Figure 1. Radar-estimated rainfall from TD 13 from the New Orleans radar.


Figure 2. U.S. drought conditions on August 30. The rains from TD 13 have the potential to bring major drought relief to drought-stricken portions of the coast. Note how Eastern North Carolina is no longer in drought, thanks to the rains from Hurricane Irene. These rains also came close to putting out a persistent fire that had been burning in the Great Dismal Swamp near the Virginia/North Carolina border. Image Credit: U.S. Drought Monitor.

Forecast for TD 13
TD 13's large size, ill-formed circulation center, and the presence of dry air on its west side due to an upper-level trough of low pressure argue against rapid intensification of the storm for the next three days. Also tending to slow intensification will be the slow movement of the storm, which will allow cold water from the depths to rise to the surface, thanks to wind and wave action. Tropical cyclones strongly cool the water's surface when they pass over it, as seen in the time vs. depth chart of sea surface temperatures during Hurricane Irene's passage along the New Jersey coast (Figure 3.) However, the Gulf of Mexico has some very warm waters near TD 13 that extend to great depth (Figure 4), so the surface cooling imparted by TD 13 will be less than that seen for Hurricane Irene. As TD 13 moves closer to the coast, more and more of its circulation will be over land, which will also slow intensification. NHC's 11 am EDT wind probability forecast for TD 13 gave the storm a 23% chance of intensifying into a hurricane by Sunday. Assuming TD 13 does not attain hurricane strength, wind damage and storm surge damage will likely not be the main concern--fresh water flooding from heavy rains will be the most dangerous impact. Also of concern is the possibility of tornadoes. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center is currently not highlighting the Gulf Coast in their "slight risk" area for severe weather, due to the lack of enough solar heating to create instability. However, there will be plenty of wind shear in the lower part of the atmosphere that can potentially create spin in the coastal thunderstorms, and it is possible that as TD 13 intensifies, it may be able to generate several dozen tornadoes.

Coastal Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the extreme western Panhandle of Florida will likely receive very heavy flooding rains that will intensify Saturday and peak on Sunday. These rains should be able to put out the stubborn marsh fire east of New Orleans that has brought several days of air quality alerts to the city, but may cause moderate to severe flooding problems in other areas. The latest rainfall forecast from NOAA Hydrological Prediction Center shows that a large area of 15+ inches of rain is expected over Southeast Louisiana and coastal Mississippi. The region is under moderate drought, so flooding problems will be delayed compared to what we'd normally expect from heavy rains of over a foot. Flash flood watches are posted for New Orleans and surrounding areas, and rainfall amounts of 1 - 3 inches per hour are possible in some of the heavier rain squalls. Ocean temperatures are near record warmth, 88°F (31°C), which will provide plenty of moisture for heavy rains, and plenty of energy to help TD 13 strengthen into a strong tropical storm. Steering currents will be weak in the Gulf this weekend and early next week, which will likely make the motion of TD 13 erratic at times.


Figure 3. EPA, in conjunction with Rutgers University and the NJ Department of Environmental Protection, has an Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV, aka the Glider) deployed off the coast of NJ (since early August) continuously monitoring ocean temperature, density, salinity, sound velocity and dissolved oxygen at different depths. The AUV's path and data are displayed at the following website: http://marine.rutgers.edu/cool/auvs/index.php?did =221&view=imagery. The plot of temperature versus time above shows that in the weeks prior to the arrival of Irene, the ocean was heavily stratified, with warm waters of 24 - 26°C (75 - 79°F, red colors) extending from the surface to a depth of 10 - 15 meters. A sharp thermocline existed at a depth of about 15 meters, and ocean temperatures were colder than 14°C (57°F, dark blue colors) below the thermocline. The strong winds and high wave action of Hurricane Irene on August 28 - 29 stirred up cold water from the depths to the surface, cooling the surface waters to 17 - 19°C (63 - 67°F). In the days since the hurricane, surface waters have begun to warm again. Thanks go to Kevin Kubik, Deputy Director of the Division of Environmental Science and Assessment for EPA Region 2, for making me aware of this data.


Figure 4. The total amount of heat energy in the ocean available to fuel a tropical cyclone, in kilojoules per square centimeter of surface area. Tropical cyclones that move over ocean areas with TCHP values in excess of 70 - 90 kJ/cm^2 commonly undergo rapid intensification. Waters that are warm to a great depth have the highest TCHP, and the Loop Current that brings warm water northwards from the Caribbean to the Gulf of Mexico usually has the highest TCHP values in the Atlantic. Currently, we have an eddy that broke off from the Loop Current earlier this summer, now located a few hundred miles south of the Louisiana coast, that also has high TCHP values. Image Credit: NOAA/AOML.

Hurricane Katia
Hurricane Katia is continuing its long trek across the Atlantic Ocean today, and will not pose a danger to any land areas over the next five days. Katia is still struggling with dry air and moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots. Latest satellite loops show surface-based arc-shaped clouds racing to the southwest away from Katia's core, a sign that dry air is penetrating into Katia's thunderstorms and creating strong downdrafts that are robbing the storm of heat and moisture. Katia is over warm ocean waters of 28.5°C, and these waters will increase in temperature to 29°C over the next five days. Katia will pass well north of the region of cooler waters stirred up by the passage of Hurricane Irene last week.

The models are split on when the upper-level trough of low pressure bringing the wind shear to Katia will move away, and the storm may spend two more days battling wind shear and dry air before the upper-level trough pulls away to the north and allows Katia to intensify more readily. It is still unclear how much of a threat Katia may pose to the U.S., but it is becoming increasingly clear that Katia will pass uncomfortably close to the U.S. East Coast. The trough of low pressure currently steering Katia to the northwest will lift out early next week, and a ridge of high pressure is expected to build in, forcing Katia more to the west. This decreases the danger to Bermuda, but increases the danger to the U.S. A second trough of low pressure is expected to begin affecting Katia by the middle of next week, and will potentially recurve the storm out to sea before it hits the U.S. However, the models differ widely on the strength and timing of this trough. Meteorologist Grant Elliot of Australia's Bureau of Meteorology in Perth pointed out to me yesterday that the long-range forecast for Katia has more than the usual amount of uncertainty, due to the inability of the computer models to agree on what will happen to Tropical Storm Talas in the Western Pacific. Talas is expected to hit Japan early on Saturday as a strong tropical storm, then race northwestwards into the Bering Sea off the coast of Alaska. Talas is then expected to transition into a powerful extratropical storm in the waters south of Alaska. This storm will create a ripple effect downstream in the jet stream, all the way to North America, by early next week. The timing and amplitude of the trough of low pressure off the U.S. East Coast expected to potentially recurve Katia out to sea next week is highly dependent upon the strength of Tropical Storm Talas during its transition to an extratropical storm. The computer models are not very good at handling these sorts of transitions, leading to more than the usual amount of uncertainty in the long-range outlook for Katia. It will probably be another 2 - 3 days before the models will begin to converge on a solution for the long-term fate of Katia. Dr. Bob Hart's Historical Tropical Cyclone Probability web page suggests shows that tropical storms in Katia's current position have a 17% chance of hitting North Carolina, a 21% chance of hitting Canada, a 13% chance of hitting New England, and a 55% chance of never hitting land. One almost certain impact of Katia on the U.S. will be large waves. Long period swells from Katia will begin affecting the Bahamas on Sunday night, then reach the Southeast U.S. by Monday morning. By Tuesday morning, the entire U.S. East Coast will see high surf from Katia, and these waves will increase in size and power as the storm grows closer. Given the slow movement of Katia as it approaches the coast, plus its expected Category 1 to 3 strength as it approaches, the storm will probably cause extensive beach erosion and dangerous rip tides for many days.

94L
A well-organized low pressure system with a surface circulation but limited heavy thunderstorm activity due to high wind shear is 450 miles south of Halifax, Canada. This disturbance, (94L), is headed northeast out to sea, and is being given a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression by NHC. 94L is under a high 25 - 30 knots of wind shear, but this shear is expected to fall to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, by Saturday morning. However, sea surface temperature will fall from 27°C today to 25°C Saturday morning underneath 94L, and the storm will have a very short window of time to get organized enough to get a name. At this point, it's really a subjective judgement call on whether or not 94L is already a tropical storm.


Figure 5. A Portlight volunteer works to clear storm debris from Hurricane Irene in Hollywood, Maryland.

Portlight disaster relief effort in Maryland
Hurricane Irene heavily damaged the town of Hollywood, Maryland, when a tornado cut off electric power, water, and phone service. Portlight and Team Rubicon volunteers arrived before emergency personnel, after following up on a local tip. What they found was an isolated area whose plight was unknown to the larger community. Most residents were trapped at their homes by heavy debris. Portlight and Team Rubicon worked for two days to clear paths to each address, extract vehicles from debris, and cut down trees that constituted safety hazards. Portlight also instructed local residents how to operate and maintain chainsaws and safely clear debris. No other volunteer organizations or emergency personnel arrived at any time, and Portlight succeeded in meeting the specific needs of the underserved, unserved, and forgotten. Visit the Portlight blog to learn more; donations are always welcome.

I'll have a new post each morning over the coming holiday weekend; wunderground meteorologists Angela Fritz, Rob Carver, and Shaun Tanner will be handling the afternoon and evening posts. Have a great holiday weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

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Quoting KoritheMan:


That has been my forecast all day.


If the Center comes closer to me that could still give me gusts in excess of 75 to 80mph
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3235. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Quoting louisianaboy444:


I think 60mph at landfall...you?


That has been my forecast all day.
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Well here we are, the 2nd day of September,
Its shapin' up to be a season to remember,
We have Lee just offshore of the Louisiana coast,
And Katia threatening to to surprise the US East Coast,
According to the models who knows what Lee will do,
And the UKMET suggests Katia will pull and Andrew,
Uncertainty seems to be the consensus tonight,
While both systems prove the Westcasters right,
Lee seems to want to drift Northwest,
While Katia seems headed straight for Key West,
Is Lee really producing the stats that that they claim,
Or is the NHC simply playing the "don't blame me" game,
Considering its possible intensifaction,
I understand the premature classification,
Texas was wishin' for some of this rain,
And I honestly feel some of your pain,
It looked at first that you'd get some relief,
But your Hurricane shield is beyond belief,
Too bad for you and don't get too upset,
But the fact is that you simply won't get your rain yet.
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3232. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Quoting KoritheMan:


It does appear to be slowly organizing. Strengthening should not be rapid, though.


I think 60mph at landfall...you?
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Quoting RedStickCasterette:
Lee is beginning to worry me.


Why is that?
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Quoting BiloxiBuoy:
Biloxi, Ms. Under 2nd tornado warning in in 45 minutes. Fast moving thunderstorms imbedded in feeder band traveling @50mph. Periods of moderate to heavy rains

Lord, wake up the people in their path, I pray.
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3228. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Lee is beginning to worry me.
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3226. vince1
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
I'm going to bed to dream of hurrivolcanlavadoomiquakes.

lol, nice concoction of d00m you got dere.
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Biloxi, Ms. Under 2nd tornado warning in in 45 minutes. Fast moving thunderstorms imbedded in feeder band traveling @50mph. Periods of moderate to heavy rains
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Quoting louisianaboy444:


Hey man still pushing through this storm lol...Does it look like its intensifying on radar it sure does to me whatcha think buddy


It does appear to be slowly organizing. Strengthening should not be rapid, though.
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I'm going to bed to dream of hurrivolcanlavadoomiquakes.
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3222. Patrap
Tornado Watch #826
Issued/Updated: Sep 03, 2011 at 0641 UTC
Expires: Sep 03, 2011 at 1500 UTC
Tornado Watch 826 Status Message has not been issued
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
3221. Patrap
This is a quick view of the initial counties (WOU) product for WW 0826
Full watch page will be available shortly. Please check back soon.

WOUS64 KWNS 030641
WOU6

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 826
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

TORNADO WATCH 826 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ALC003-097-031500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0826.110903T0645Z-110903T1500Z/

AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN MOBILE


FLC033-091-113-031500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0826.110903T0645Z-110903T1500Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA


LAC005-007-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-091-093-095 -103-105-109-
117-031500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0826.110903T0645Z-110903T1500Z/

LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ASCENSION ASSUMPTION JEFFERSON
LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES
ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE
WASHINGTON


MSC039-045-047-059-109-113-131-147-031500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0826.110903T0645Z-110903T1500Z/

MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GEORGE HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON PEARL RIVER PIKE
STONE WALTHALL


GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-650-655 -031500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0826.110903T0645Z-110903T1500Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

MISSISSIPPI SOUND

LAKE BORGNE

CHANDELEUR SOUND

BRETON SOUND

COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM

MOBILE BAY

COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM

ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Quoting KoritheMan:


If you are inland, hurricanes are bearable if you can get past the power outages.

Tornadoes, on the other hand...


Hey man still pushing through this storm lol...Does it look like its intensifying on radar it sure does to me whatcha think buddy
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Quoting HoustonTxGal:


I saw a special on the Discovery ch. a while back about the Yellowstone Volcano, pretty scary!


Thanks for bringing that up...:^(
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3218. vince1
Quoting HoustonTxGal:


I saw a special on the Discovery ch. a while back about the Yellowstone Volcano, pretty scary!

Yea, been a few hokey B movies that have tried to cash in on that doom and gloom, lol
Quoting washingaway:


Hot air too- Rick Perry- or is it Parry with an A.

Go Ron Paul! Don't listen to the hype...the controlled mass media is trying to shape the results of the primary (and thus the election), don't let 'em.
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3217. Patrap
Quoting PrivateIdaho:


My relatives on the North Shore say it's not too bad up there....'course a twister can change that in a hurry.


Last Hour Winds up here a tad,, rain heavy at times, mostly moderate
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
3216. JLPR2
Hmm... Huricane Katia?

More like TS Katia. xD
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Quoting Patrap:
That Western Side is gonna Pop..this am


You think so, I'm not so sure, but if the pressure keeps falling, maybe.
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Quoting Patrap:


Shaping up bad for them feeders inbound Idaho,,

Hopefully they only Funnels aloft


My relatives on the North Shore say it's not too bad up there....'course a twister can change that in a hurry.
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Well, I am going to call it a night, or I guess I should say morning.

All ya'll in Lee's path stay safe and keep your weather radios on. And turn your fans to the west and blow some of it my way will ya ;o)

Good Night from the Lone Star State!
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1074
Tornado Warning for harrison County in Mississippi and a Tornado watch for Southeast Louisiana and parts of Mississippi
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3211. Patrap
Tropical Storm LEE


...LEE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...NUMEROUS RAINBANDS MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
1:00 AM CDT Sat Sep 3
Location: 28.5°N 91.8°W
Max sustained: 50 mph
Moving: N at 5 mph
Min pressure: 997 mb
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Quoting CajunTexan:


You lucky girl... Nah, mine aren't THAT bad... They used to be... But they've really come around, in terms of accepting me as their son in law, in the last 6 months or so... I have to admit, I've been taken back by their hospitality lately... Even my wife has been shocked - lol

Here's you a haiku:

They hated me years.
Now love me out of nowhere.
Term-life insurance?
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Quoting HoustonTxGal:


I saw a special on the Discovery ch. a while back about the Yellowstone Volcano, pretty scary!

I have it on DVD, Yeah, it's is pretty scary.
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3208. Patrap
That Western Side is gonna Pop..this am
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
3206. Patrap
New frame

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Quoting vince1:

Not forgetting, I knew there was a concern in the northwest as well (but did, however, forget the name of the fault, so I thank you!); hence, the potential for a devastating tsunami in that area. Then, the Yellowstone volcano between them both would be as equally if not more devastating than both aforementioned faults.

Yikes!


I saw a special on the Discovery ch. a while back about the Yellowstone Volcano, pretty scary!
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1074
3204. Patrap
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
LOL! I guess I should have known I couldn't beat Pat to the NOLA radar loop...:^(


Shaping up bad for them feeders inbound Idaho,,

Hopefully they only Funnels aloft
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Quoting HoustonTxGal:


I don't wish tornadoes on anyone.. been through some myself, NO FUN!! Been though some bad hurricanes also, Katrina, Ike, Rita.. I'll take a hurricane over a tornado any day of the week.


If you are inland, hurricanes are bearable if you can get past the power outages.

Tornadoes, on the other hand...
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3202. vince1
Quoting AussieStorm:

You are also forgetting the Cascadia fault off the coast of Seattle, Portland and Vancouver.

Not forgetting, I knew there was a concern in the northwest as well (but did, however, forget the name of the fault, so I thank you!); hence, the potential for a devastating tsunami in that area. Then, the Yellowstone volcano between them both would be as equally if not more devastating than both aforementioned faults.

Yikes!
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LOL! I guess I should have known I couldn't beat Pat to the NOLA radar loop...:^(
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Lee, please die or go to Texas where you are really wanted and needed.
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3199. Patrap
P 8 is the Warned cell near Biloxi

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Quoting Patrap:
We broke the floater maybe..



Oh no, now you did it!
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1074
Quoting Patrap:


There is always a down side..


I don't wish tornadoes on anyone.. been through some myself, NO FUN!! Been though some bad hurricanes also, Katrina, Ike, Rita.. I'll take a hurricane over a tornado any day of the week.
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1074
3196. Patrap
175
WFUS54 KLIX 030636
TORLIX
MSC047-059-030700-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0080.110903T0636Z-110903T0700Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
136 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BILOXI...
SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ST. MARTIN...OCEAN SPRINGS...

* UNTIL 200 AM CDT

* AT 130 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR GULF PARK
ESTATES...OR NEAR OCEAN SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 45 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SAUCIER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.



LAT...LON 3034 8876 3041 8885 3039 8886 3037 8881
3036 8881 3036 8884 3038 8886 3038 8894
3065 8924 3069 8920 3068 8894 3041 8867
TIME...MOT...LOC 0636Z 138DEG 37KT 3042 8882



95/DM

CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
3195. Patrap
Is very Familiar Sky outside this am.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
3194. Patrap
We broke the floater maybe..

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
Boomer in da uptown,,,.....,,,,

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Shreveport (AP)
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Quoting Patrap:


Your Time is Gonna Come

Led Zep 1


Are you kidding, I am in Texas, the land of the DRY AIR! LOL
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1074
3190. Patrap
Quoting HoustonTxGal:


But not jealous of THAT!


There is always a down side..
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796
3189. Skyepony (Mod)
Windsat & ASCAT missed LEE.

Wow 00ZGFS sits Lee over NOLA for days..may just have to see the forecast rainfall..at a glance looks like drownt. GFDL moves it out quicker. That model has been hitting closer by 10nm a day than gfs..
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Quoting Patrap:
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.



TORNADO WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 119 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011
TORNADO WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 105 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011
TORNADO WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1258 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011
TORNADO WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1255 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011




But not jealous of THAT!
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1074
3187. Patrap
Quoting HoustonTxGal:


I'm so jealous.


Your Time is Gonna Come

Led Zep 1
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129796

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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