Irene's rains heaviest on record in Vermont; Tropical Storm Katia forms

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:40 PM GMT on August 30, 2011

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Record flooding continues in the Northeast from Irene's torrential rains. Hardest hit was Vermont, where heavy rains in the weeks prior to Irene's arrival had left soils in the top 20% for moisture, historically. Irene dumped 5 - 8 inches of rain over large sections of Vermont, with a peak of 11.23" at Mendo. The reading from Mendo was the greatest single-day rainfall in Vermont's history, according to wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt, beating the 9.92" that fell at Mt. Mansfield on 9/17/1999 during the passage of Tropical Storm Floyd. The 13.30" that fell on East Durham, NY during Irene was just shy of New York State's all-time 1-day rainfall record: 13.70" at Brewster on 9/16/1999, from Tropical Storm Floyd.


Figure 1. Wunderphotographer 43BJAGER recorded this image of a house in Sharon, Vermont, that started out the week on the other side of this underpass.

According to the final Hurricane Irene summary from the NWS, the storm dropped 20" of rain in two locations, one in North Carolina and one in Virginia. Here are the highest rain amounts from the hurricane for each state:

Virginia Beach, VA: 20.40"
Jacksonville, NC: 20.00"
East Durham, NY: 13.30"
Freehold Twp, NJ: 11.27"
Mendon, VT: 11.23"
Ellendale, DE: 10.43"
New Hartford, CT 10.15"
Baxter St. Park, ME: 9.91"
Savoy, MA: 9.10"
Lafayette, PA: 8.82"
Pinkham North, NH: 7.33"
Warren, RI: 5.37"

Tropical Storm Katia forms
Tropical Storm Katia formed this morning in the far Eastern Atlantic off the coast of Africa. Katia will be in a moist, low wind shear environment with ocean temperature 1 - 2°C above the threshold needed to support a hurricane, and should be able to intensify to major hurricane strength when it passes to the north of the Lesser Antilles Islands 5 - 6 days from now. It is possible that some of the outer spiral bands of the storm might bring heavy rain squalls to the northern Lesser Antilles, but it would be a surprise if the core of the storm passed through the islands. The long term fate of Katia is unknown. Dr. Bob Hart's Historical Tropical Cyclone Probability web page suggests shows that tropical storms in Katia's current position have a 19% chance of hitting North Carolina, a 16% chance of hitting Canada, an 11% chance of hitting Florida, and a 47% chance of never hitting land.


Figure 2. The morning run of the GFS Ensemble prediction. The ensemble prediction was done by taking a lower-resolution version of the GFS model and changing the initial distributions of temperature, pressure, and humidity randomly by a few percent to generate an ensemble of 20 different computer projections of where Katia might go. The operational (highest-resolution) version of the GFS model (white line) is usually more accurate, but the ensemble runs give one an idea of the uncertainty in the forecast.

Katia is the 11th named storm this year, and comes a full twelve days before the half-way point of the Atlantic hurricane season. Climatologically, September 10 marks the half-way point. A typical hurricane season has just 10 - 11 named storms, so we've already had a whole season's worth of storms before reaching the half-way point. At this rate, 2011 will see 25 named storms, making it the 2nd busiest season on record, behind 2005. Katia's formation date of August 30 puts 2011 in 5th place for earliest date of arrival of the season's 11th storm. Only 2005, 1995, 1936, and 1933 had an earlier 11th storm.

Gulf of Mexico development possible late this week
Several of our best computer models for predicting formation of tropical cyclones, the GFS and ECMWF, are predicting that an upper level pressure interacting with a tropical wave now over the the Western Caribbean could combine to spawn a tropical depression in the Gulf of Mexico late this week or early next week. The formation location is likely to be off the coast of Louisiana or Texas, but the track of the system is hard to predict at this point.


Figure 3. Portlight volunteer Thomas Hudson clears a driveway yesterday in Hollywood, Maryland.

Portlight disaster relief effort in Maryland
Hurricane Irene heavily damaged the town of Hollywood, Maryland, when a tornado cut off electric power, water, and phone service. Portlight and Team Rubicon volunteers arrived before emergency personnel, after following up on a local tip. What they found was an isolated area whose plight was unknown to the larger community. Most residents were trapped at their homes by heavy debris. Portlight and Team Rubicon worked for two days to clear paths to each address, extract vehicles from debris, and cut down trees that constituted safety hazards. Portlight also instructed local residents how to operate and maintain chainsaws and safely clear debris. No other volunteer organizations or emergency personnel arrived at any time, and Portlight succeeded in meeting the specific needs of the underserved, unserved, and forgotten. Visit the Portlight blog to learn more; donations are always welcome.

I'll have a new post on Wednesday discussing if the evacuations and media hype surrounding Irene were excessive.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting bohonkweatherman:
Those temps look normal, it is only 103 here today not 112. One thing the High Pressure is not strong any more. It is kind of strange hearing people talk about decent cold fronts late in August and early in September. I am not complaining but it seems a little early to hear that in this part of the world.


Aren't those water temps?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Dennis8:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
348 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2011


LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY IN
THE EXTENDED FORECAST WITH RESPECT TO TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE
NORTHWEST GULF. MODELS HAVE TRENDED NOW TOWARDS TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THE NORTHWEST GULF OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...
ALTHOUGH THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SPREAD ON WHERE CYCLONE GENESIS
OCCURS AMONG THE MODELS...AND CONSIDERABLE RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY
WITH EACH MODEL. APPEARS THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWEST
CARIBBEAN SEA WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEAKENS. MOST
MODELS THAT SPIN SOMETHING UP TROPICAL DRIFT THE SYSTEM SLOWLY
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO EARLY IN THE WEEKEND
IN RESPONSE TO TROUGH WEAKENING THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE TO OUR
NORTHWEST. THEN IT APPEARS THE STEERING CURRENTS WILL GO LIGHT AS
THE TROUGH MOVES EAST...AND AT THIS TIME THE SYSTEM...IF THERE IS
ONE...COULD STALL. MOST MODELS THEN BEGIN TO RE-BUILD THE RIDGE BACK
TO THE EAST AND DRIFT THE TROPICAL SYSTEM BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. COORDINATION WITH HPC/NHC AS WELL
AS GULF COAST WFOS HAS RESULTED IN A CONSENSUS 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN BLEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY DRIER OVER SOUTH
TEXAS ON SATURDAY AND THEN A DEEPENING NEATEST FETCH SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WE COULD SEE COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS
BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY SHOULD THIS TYPE OF SCENARIO EVOLVE.
BEST POPS WILL BE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY ACROSS THE EAST. HOWEVER...IT
SHOULD BE STRESSED THAT MUCH CAN AND WILL LIKELY CHANGE WITH THIS
FORECAST GIVEN THE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN NATURE AND LOW SKILL IN
FORECASTING CYCLONE GENESIS.
THEREFORE ALL THOSE WITH INTERESTS
ALONG THE TEXAS COAST AND IN SOUTH TEXAS THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS.
Add low skill in the meteorolical term cyclogenesis.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
Those temps look normal, it is only 103 here today not 112. One thing the High Pressure is not strong any more. It is kind of strange hearing people talk about decent cold fronts late in August and early in September. I am not complaining but it seems a little early to hear that in this part of the world.


Water Temps you know
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:
The GFS 384 hours out. Way after Katia moves out.
this is their forecast for the next wave that moves off of Africa.


img src="">


I wonder why models always draw those round cicles that they call Hurricanes over PR.... lol
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9648
Quoting Grothar:



I really looks like a good train of waves coming off of Africa. I guess the Doc was on to something when he mentioned them upping the count for storms this year. With that many it may be hard for some to avoid hitting some land. This looks like Katia could be a large storm, as well as a poweful one.



Good grief!!! That is not a train! That looks more like rush hour, in Houston!
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Quoting Dennis8:


Eagle Point, TX 91.9 °F
Morgans Point, TX 89.1 °F
USCG Freeport, TX 89.1 °F
Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 90.0 °F
Rollover Pass, TX 91.0 °F
Those temps look normal, it is only 103 here today not 112. One thing the High Pressure is not strong any more. It is kind of strange hearing people talk about decent cold fronts late in August and early in September. I am not complaining but it seems a little early to hear that in this part of the world.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
808. Gorty
Does the TAFB figure out the intensity and the forecaster who did the TWO for the time just types it out?
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Quoting GTcooliebai:
An interesting track:



That was our second tropical storm of the season. A few weeks early, Denis spun up and also dumped a lot of rain on Houston, with landfall closer to Matagorda, IIRC. I was moving into the dorm for my senior year as his squalls started hitting. Took down half of a large tree about 2 seconds after I walked under it. :/
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Does anyone know where the "CENTER" of the wave in the NW Caribbean may be?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting emcf30:


I see you have been counting backwards for a while on your Birthday. That is a scary model run you posted.



I really looks like a good train of waves coming off of Africa. I guess the Doc was on to something when he mentioned them upping the count for storms this year. With that many it may be hard for some to avoid hitting some land. This looks like Katia could be a large storm, as well as a poweful one.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23710
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
It is sad when you don't know what the weather is going to do. One day we were hopeful for decent rains and the next day they took rain completely out of the forecast for the heart of Texas? Models and Weathermen right now really do not have a clue, I will tell you one thing some of the water temps off Texas coast are not too far from 90 degrees.MON...AND
ECMWF HAS AN OPEN WAVE. HARD TO SAY WHAT WILL HAPPEN...BUT JUST
WANTED TO MENTION THAT MODELS ARE SHOWING SOMETHING.


Eagle Point, TX 91.9 °F
Morgans Point, TX 89.1 °F
USCG Freeport, TX 89.1 °F
Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 90.0 °F
Rollover Pass, TX 91.0 °F
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
An interesting track:

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Quoting Grothar:


Thanks, GT. I usually do, but I forget sometimes. You know I am nearly 96 years old. What do you expect, Justin Beeper, or whatever his name is.


They expect Socrates!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting weatherjr:
Curiously, hurricane Luis (1995) had a direct hit to the caribbean island of Antigua by early september. We in the NE caribbean expect Katia close to us by early september. Luis was a cat 4 hurricane by the moment it hit Antigua island.

The September 4 and 5, like DONNA too.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
348 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2011


LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY IN
THE EXTENDED FORECAST WITH RESPECT TO TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE
NORTHWEST GULF. MODELS HAVE TRENDED NOW TOWARDS TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THE NORTHWEST GULF OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...
ALTHOUGH THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SPREAD ON WHERE CYCLONE GENESIS
OCCURS AMONG THE MODELS...AND CONSIDERABLE RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY
WITH EACH MODEL. APPEARS THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWEST
CARIBBEAN SEA WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEAKENS. MOST
MODELS THAT SPIN SOMETHING UP TROPICAL DRIFT THE SYSTEM SLOWLY
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO EARLY IN THE WEEKEND
IN RESPONSE TO TROUGH WEAKENING THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE TO OUR
NORTHWEST. THEN IT APPEARS THE STEERING CURRENTS WILL GO LIGHT AS
THE TROUGH MOVES EAST...AND AT THIS TIME THE SYSTEM...IF THERE IS
ONE...COULD STALL. MOST MODELS THEN BEGIN TO RE-BUILD THE RIDGE BACK
TO THE EAST AND DRIFT THE TROPICAL SYSTEM BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. COORDINATION WITH HPC/NHC AS WELL
AS GULF COAST WFOS HAS RESULTED IN A CONSENSUS 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN BLEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY DRIER OVER SOUTH
TEXAS ON SATURDAY AND THEN A DEEPENING NEATEST FETCH SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WE COULD SEE COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS
BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY SHOULD THIS TYPE OF SCENARIO EVOLVE.
BEST POPS WILL BE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY ACROSS THE EAST. HOWEVER...IT
SHOULD BE STRESSED THAT MUCH CAN AND WILL LIKELY CHANGE WITH THIS
FORECAST GIVEN THE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN NATURE AND LOW SKILL IN
FORECASTING CYCLONE GENESIS. THEREFORE ALL THOSE WITH INTERESTS
ALONG THE TEXAS COAST AND IN SOUTH TEXAS THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Its funny how when reporters go out to weather out a hurricane, they are getting blown over and have a problem standing, while the camera man is standing still...

Anybody know why?
I'm gonna' go against the grain here(and logic), and say that it's because the cameraman has better balance, or they glued his shoes to the ground, or both.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
It is sad when you don't know what the weather is going to do. One day we were hopeful for decent rains and the next day they took rain completely out of the forecast for the heart of Texas? Models and Weathermen right now really do not have a clue, I will tell you one thing some of the water temps off Texas coast are not too far from 90 degrees.

MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON MOVEMENT OF UPPER
HIGH...BUT ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE REGARDING PRECIP. NAM IS
DRIEST. GFS BRINGS ACROSS WAVES WHICH WOULD SUGGEST SCATTERED
CONVECTION. ECMWF IS WETTEST. TRIED TO GO WITH A SORT OF BLEND OF
GFS AND ECMWF AS DECREASING HEIGHTS TENDS TO ALLOW
AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION...BUT NOT WIDESPREAD RAIN ECMWF
SHOWS. RAIN CHANCES LOOK BEST AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS THU THROUGH
SUN.

MODELS ALSO VERY DIFFERENT ON TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE GULF.
NAM SHOWS STRONG SYSTEM NEAR NORTH TEXAS COAST BY FRI
EVENING...GFS SIMILAR LOOKING SYSTEM BUT NOT UNTIL NEXT MON...AND
ECMWF HAS AN OPEN WAVE. HARD TO SAY WHAT WILL HAPPEN...BUT JUST
WANTED TO MENTION THAT MODELS ARE SHOWING SOMETHING.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting aprinz1979:


I just looked up Lucreto in the dictionary and this is what I came up with:

a Lucreto (noun) is a stupid person with a mental age below three years, while a Dr. Lucreto is a stupid person with a mental age of between seven to twelve years

So glad you became a Doctor in a matter of a few days!

Congrats!!!!


Well the old lucreto matched the definition of Lucreto well.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TROFINESS IN THE WRN CARIBBEAN STILL FCST TO MOVE WNW ACROSS THE
YUCATAN AND INTO THE W/NW GULF IN THE COMING DAYS. MODELS ALL STILL
POINTING TOWARD VARYING TYPES OF DEVELOPMENT SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY
OF 300 MILES SOUTH OF THE UPPER TX/WRN LA COAST TOWARD EARLY FRI.
FROM THERE...STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK AND THERE IS A LARGE
SPREAD OF SOLNS/TRACKS RANGING FROM CNTL LA ALL THE WAY TO S TX.
THING TO KEEP IN MIND IS NOTHING HAS FORMED YET AND UNTIL IF/WHEN
SOMETHING DOES DEVELOP...MODELS WILL LIKELY SHOW DRASTIC RUN-TO-RUN
GUESSES (BOTH STRENGTH AND POSITION).

SINCE WE DO NEED TO PUT OUT SOME SORT OF FORECAST...WE CURRENTLY
ARE GOING TO PUT THE HEAVIER WEIGHT ON THE ECMWF AT THIS POINT AS
IT HAS BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT (POSITIONING-WISE), MAKES THE MOST
SENSE, AND IS GENERALLY FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE GFS ENSEMBLES. IT HAS
BEEN MORE-OR-LESS MEANDERING A CIRCULATION AROUND THE SAME GENERAL
AREA OFFSHORE THRU THE WEEKEND, THEN EVENTUALLY TAKES IT SW EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE NW (& MAYBE A
WEAK COOL FRONT?).


WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR THE FORECAST? THAT IT`S QUITE UNCERTAIN.
ASSUMING THE ABOVE SCENARIO VERIFIES IT WOULD MEAN HIGHEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE CONFINED SOUTH OF I-10 AND LESS/IF ANY PRECIP WELL
INLAND. ALSO MEANS WILL NEED TO BE ON THE *LOOKOUT* FOR A
PROLONGED COASTAL FLOOD EVENT (A LA TROPICAL STORM FRANCIS 1998
SCENARIO) WITH PROLONGED FETCH OF E/NE WINDS & ELEVATED SEAS THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

REALIZE FOLKS HAVE PLANS FOR THE UPCOMING LONG HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE
FORECAST IS BOUND TO CHANGE IN THE COMING DAYS. WOULDN`T
NECESSARILY CANCEL ANY PLANS JUST YET...BUT WOULD DEFINITELY KEEP
UP WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
335 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2011

&&

.MARINE...
THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL LINGER OVER GULF COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL THEN LIKELY TIGHTEN AS
THE RIDGE SLOWLY PUSHES INLAND AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE
GULF. EVEN THOUGH THE LOCATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW IS VERY
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...THE MORE RELIABLE MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. 40

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Quoting Grothar:


Thanks, GT. I usually do, but I forget sometimes. You know I am nearly 96 years old. What do you expect, Justin Beeper, or whatever his name is.



96? ... are you traveling back in time again? I'VE GOT TO GET ME ONE OF THESE THINGS! Do you have a spare? LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Not sure if this has been posted, been in a meeting. NWS Houston:

TROFINESS IN THE WRN CARIBBEAN STILL FCST TO MOVE WNW ACROSS THE
YUCATAN AND INTO THE W/NW GULF IN THE COMING DAYS. MODELS ALL STILL
POINTING TOWARD VARYING TYPES OF DEVELOPMENT SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY
OF 300 MILES SOUTH OF THE UPPER TX/WRN LA COAST TOWARD EARLY FRI.
FROM THERE...STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK AND THERE IS A LARGE
SPREAD OF SOLNS/TRACKS RANGING FROM CNTL LA ALL THE WAY TO S TX.
THING TO KEEP IN MIND IS NOTHING HAS FORMED YET AND UNTIL IF/WHEN
SOMETHING DOES DEVELOP...MODELS WILL LIKELY SHOW DRASTIC RUN-TO-RUN
GUESSES (BOTH STRENGTH AND POSITION).


SINCE WE DO NEED TO PUT OUT SOME SORT OF FORECAST...WE CURRENTLY
ARE GOING TO PUT THE HEAVIER WEIGHT ON THE ECMWF AT THIS POINT AS
IT HAS BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT (POSITIONING-WISE), MAKES THE MOST
SENSE, AND IS GENERALLY FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE GFS ENSEMBLES. IT HAS
BEEN MORE-OR-LESS MEANDERING A CIRCULATION AROUND THE SAME GENERAL
AREA OFFSHORE THRU THE WEEKEND, THEN EVENTUALLY TAKES IT SW EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE NW (& MAYBE A
WEAK COOL FRONT?).

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR THE FORECAST? THAT IT`S QUITE UNCERTAIN.
ASSUMING THE ABOVE SCENARIO VERIFIES IT WOULD MEAN HIGHEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE CONFINED SOUTH OF I-10 AND LESS/IF ANY PRECIP WELL
INLAND.
ALSO MEANS WILL NEED TO BE ON THE *LOOKOUT* FOR A
PROLONGED COASTAL FLOOD EVENT (A LA TROPICAL STORM FRANCIS 1998
SCENARIO) WITH PROLONGED FETCH OF E/NE WINDS & ELEVATED SEAS THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


REALIZE FOLKS HAVE PLANS FOR THE UPCOMING LONG HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE
FORECAST IS BOUND TO CHANGE IN THE COMING DAYS. WOULDN`T
NECESSARILY CANCEL ANY PLANS JUST YET...BUT WOULD DEFINITELY KEEP
UP WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS.

THX FOR COORDINATION TX/LA COASTAL OFFICES. 47

Francis. Fun night with no power when she made landfall. That was the first time I really experienced the heat from a tropical cyclone. And at that she made landfall a couple hundred miles from me. She also caused a now largely forgotten flood in Houston.
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Quoting tiggeriffic:


actually...lol...i did hear why...they keep the cameras under protection and use the zoom to capture the reporter...said the camera was too heavy for them to hold up in high winds so they keep them under protection


Ah okay, was just curious, lol.
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Quoting Asta:

perhaps the camera man is shooting from a sheltered area to protect his camera and keep the lens from getting wet..... ??

It's kinda like the old episodes of Wild Kingdom...Marlin would stay back, oh say, several hundred feet while he sent Jim out to deal with the dangerous animal at hand lol
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Its funny how when reporters go out to weather out a hurricane, they are getting blown over and have a problem standing, while the camera man is standing still...

Anybody know why?



The Cantori effect?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Its funny how when reporters go out to weather out a hurricane, they are getting blown over and have a problem standing, while the camera man is standing still...

Anybody know why?


actually...lol...i did hear why...they keep the cameras under protection and use the zoom to capture the reporter...said the camera was too heavy for them to hold up in high winds so they keep them under protection
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Its funny how when reporters go out to weather out a hurricane, they are getting blown over and have a problem standing, while the camera man is standing still...

Anybody know why?
Because he or she is not in the wind. I guess?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Its funny how when reporters go out to weather out a hurricane, they are getting blown over and have a problem standing, while the camera man is standing still...

Anybody know why?
Cameraman drinks water -- reporter drinks (censored)!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
782. Asta
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Its funny how when reporters go out to weather out a hurricane, they are getting blown over and have a problem standing, while the camera man is standing still...

Anybody know why?

perhaps the camera man is shooting from a sheltered area to protect his camera and keep the lens from getting wet..... ??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting scott39:
September is going to be very busy in the tropics!! I wouldnt be suprised to see 20+ TCs this season.

Yea scott, I am starting to get that feeling also.
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Quoting Grothar:


Thanks, GT. I usually do, but I forget sometimes. You know I am nearly 96 years old. What do you expect, Justin Beeper, or whatever his name is.
Hey don't feel bad, I had the same problem last night, until someone told me about it. In fact all of us have been doing it & had to be told that it wasn't showing up.
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Its funny how when reporters go out to weather out a hurricane, they are getting blown over and have a problem standing, while the camera man is standing still...

Anybody know why?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
September is going to be very busy in the tropics!! I wouldnt be suprised to see 20+ TCs this season.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


Thanks, GT. I usually do, but I forget sometimes. You know I am nearly 96 years old. What do you expect, Justin Beeper, or whatever his name is.


I see you have been counting backwards for a while on your Birthday. That is a scary model run you posted.
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Quoting Dakster:


WHAT the heck is that?



a pot of gold
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775. Gorty
What is SAB and TAFB?
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Quoting weatherjr:
Curiously, hurricane Luis (1995) had a direct hit to the caribbean island of Antigua by early september. We in the NE caribbean expect Katia close to us by early september. Luis was a cat 4 hurricane by the moment it hit Antigua island.
The most destructive hurricane in my country's history. Thank God i was still in my mom's belly :)
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Quoting Grothar:
img src="">


WHAT the heck is that?
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Quoting P451:
GFS 12Z - differs from 6Z in the GOM as it takes the storm towards Texas and then southward dissipating it - as the 6Z looped the storm from Texas back over NOLA. See earlier post #44





Whats that second storm the does plow through the islands isw that lee or maria!!!
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Quoting GTcooliebai:
You have to save that image & upload it to imageshack or photobucket, since hotlinking is disabled.


Thanks, GT. I usually do, but I forget sometimes. You know I am nearly 96 years old. What do you expect, Justin Beeper, or whatever his name is.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23710
Quoting Grothar:



You happy now? LOL And tell P451 I posted it first.

img src="">
Not Good!! Look at the one coming off of Africa! Choo Choo
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Wow, Katia is going to be one powerful storm, if these models hold up.
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Quoting MississippiWx:
999mb at 81 hours on NAM



I have a bad feeling about this misswx, with it meandering around in the gulf, it could really take off faster than what the models are showing.
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Quoting Grothar:



You happy now? LOL And tell P451 I posted it first.

img src="">



yes lol
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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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