Irene hits New Jersey and New York; Jose threating Bermuda; 92L forms

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:45 PM GMT on August 28, 2011

Share this Blog
22
+

Hurricane Irene hit New Jersey ten miles north of Atlantic City at 5:30 am EDT, as a minimum-strength Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Irene is only the second hurricane since 1851 to hit New Jersey. At 9 am EDT, Irene made a third U.S. landfall over Long Island, NY, and New York City, as a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. Top wind gusts measured in New York City were 60 mph at Central Park at 3:58 am; 67 mph at La Guardia at 4:10 am; and 59 mph at JFK Airport at 1:33 am. A 91 mph gust was recorded in Sayville, NY on the Central Long Island coast, at 7:02 am. Emergency managers reported that the nearby town of Lindenhurst (population 28,000), on the south side of Long Island, was mostly under water due to a storm surge. The storm surge at The Battery on the southern shore of Manhattan reached 4.0 feet, overtopping the sea wall in several locations. Fresh water run-off from Irene's torrential rains, riding on top of a 3 to 4-foot storm surge, allowed the swollen East and Hudson Rivers to overflow at the edges of Manhattan. Irene's rains have now ended in New York City, after accumulating to 7.60" at Central Park. This brings total rainfall for the month of August in New York City to 19.68", making it the wettest month in the city since record keeping began in 1869. The previous record was 16.85", set in September 1882. Philadelphia, PA and Newark, NJ have also set all-time wettest month records, thanks to Irene's rains. The 19.40" of rain that has fallen in Philadelphia this August is probably the most rain any major city in the Northeast, U.S. has received since 22.43" fell in Newark, NJ in August 1843, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt.


Figure 1. Storm surge at The Battery on the south end of New York City's Manhattan Island as of noon EDT Sunday, August 28, 2011. The green line is the storm surge, which is the difference between the observed water level (red line) and what the water level should have been without the hurricane (blue line). At 4:45 am, the storm surge peaked at 4.0 feet. The surge declined to about 3 feet during the high tide cycle, then rose again to near 3.9 feet as the tide started going out. Image credit: NOAA Tides and Currents.


Figure 2. Total rainfall over the past 30 days along the mid-Atlantic coast and New England has topped 15 inches (purple colors) in many areas, making August the wettest month in recorded history for the cities of Philadelphia, Newark, and New York City. Image credit: NOAA/AHPS.

Irene's rains bringing significant river flooding
Irene brought more than eight inches of rain to a long stretch of the Atlantic coast from North Carolina to New York. NOAA's Significant River Flood Outlook is showing that significant river flooding is already occurring along coastal regions of North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey, and is expected to spread to Eastern Pennsylvania, eastern New York, Western Massachusetts, and most of Vermont and New Hampshire.

The 1903 Vagabond Hurricane
The only other hurricane to hit New Jersey since 1851 was the 1903 Category 1 Vagabond Hurricane. According to Wikipedia, the Vagabond Hurricane caused heavy damage along the New Jersey coast ($180 million in 2006 dollars.) The hurricane killed 57 people, and endangered the life of President Theodore Roosevelt, who was sailing on a yacht near Long Island, NY, when the hurricane hit. New Jersey only rarely gets hit by hurricanes because it lies in an portion of the coast that doesn't stick out much and is too far north.


Figure 3. The path of the 1903 Vagabond Hurricane, the only other hurricane to hit New Jersey since 1851.

Tropical Storm Jose forms
Tropical Storm Jose formed this morning in surprise fashion, managing to maintain enough heavy thunderstorms in the face of very high wind shear of 40 - 55 knots to become the season's tenth named storm. Jose does not have long to live, due to the strong upper-level winds from Hurricane Irene that are creating the shear. Jose will likely bring strong winds near tropical storm force later today when it passes just west of Bermuda. Satellite loops show that there is very little heavy thunderstorm activity associated with Jose, and Bermuda will see much less rain than is usual for a tropical storm passing so close.

Elsewhere in the tropics: Invest 92L forms
A strong tropical wave located off the coast of Africa, about 200 miles south of the Cape Verde Islands, is moving west at 10 mph, and has been designated Invest 92L by NHC this morning. This system has a large amount of heavy thunderstorm activity and moderate amount of spin, and appears likely to develop into a tropical storm later this week, as all of the computer models are developing it. NHC is giving 92L a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday. This storm will be moving more slowly across the Atlantic than Irene did, and will take at least 6 days to reach the Lesser Antilles Islands. Forecast tracks from the long-range GFS and ECMWF models suggest that Bermuda might be the only land area threatened by 92L, but it is too early to be confident of this.

Hottest day in Houston's history
The mercury hit 109°F (42.8°C) yesterday at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport, tying September 4, 2000 as the hottest day in the city's history. Yesterday was the also the hottest August day on record in Houston, besting the 108°F reading of August 18, 1909. This year, Houston has set its record for all-time hottest temperature, most 100° days in a year (36, old record was 32, and 4 is normal), and most consecutive 100° days (24, old record was 14.) Weather records in Houston go back to 1889. Houston needs 20.18" of rain to get to normal levels of rainfall for the year. Today's high is predicted to be 107°F in Houston, so yesterday's record may be in danger of being broken today. By the end of the week, Houston is expected to cool down below 100°, and a weather pattern conducive for bringing summer rains will move in.

I'll have a new post Monday morning.

Jeff Masters

Tree puzzle, after Irene (bluesy)
Tree puzzle, after Irene
Irene Aftermath 15 (mikey66)
Irene Aftermath 15
Irene (snowbets)
Irene

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 351 - 301

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57Blog Index

Quoting washingtonian115:
92L up to 70%.What's interesting is that some of the models show the ridge building back in and continuing to show 92L go westward.
Watch this one, Emily & Irene should be examples of where this might track.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ackee:
IF 92L devlops quickly could be a fish storm that would be good so far seem like the GULF AND most carrb execpt PR and the BHAMS have been avoiding the big ones any system that that track into the carrb to the GULF have greater chance to be major cane




what?


the BHAMS this got done haveing at cat 3 with winds 120mph and PR got it hard has well even small storms like a cat 1 can do a lot of damg but most of the dam or major damg was in the BHAMS
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114969
Quoting ncstorm:
12Z ECMWF..

Link


I know what you're looking at on there, let's hope it's a fish. But maybe Tx is getting a little love. Lol. Good afternoon NC, all.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good Afternoon Everyone,
I see Irene is becoming Post-Tropical. And the NHC has done it AGAIN! Another Useless TC named... 10 Named Storms, One Hurricane, One Major Hurricane.
Though With 92L at 70%, NHC thinking it could be a big storm to contend with. Could see the record go to 9-2-1, or even 9-2-2, but way to early to know Track or Intensity for that matter.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting nostorminflorida:


THE HYSTORICAL CAT 2, 3 HURRICANE IRENE THAT HIT VIRGINIA, THEN MARYLAND.THEN DELAWARE THEN NEW JERSEY THEN NYC, WITH 12 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN AND OVER 100MPH WINDS AND CATASTOPHIC DAMAGE WILL GO DOWN AS JUST ANOTHER TYPICAL GREAT ACCURATE FORCAST OF A STORM LMAO TOP GUST IN NYC WAS 63MPH NOW THATS HYSTORICAL
REMEMEBER EVERY YEAR (PANIC CREATES PROFIT) SAID BY WALMART THE #1 SPONSOR OF THE WEATHER CHANNEL

IT WAS HYSTORICAL ALL RIGHT A HYSTORICAL GOOF FROM THE START JUST A TYPICAL ECONOMICAL STIMULATOR THEY PULL EVERY YEAR ESPECIALLY IN FLORIDA WHERE NO STORM HAS HIT IN 6 YEARS NOW BUT THEY HAD AT LEAST 1 HITTING EVERY YEAR AND DIDNT


TOP 4 BUZZ WORDS A MUST TO SAY IN A STORM
1)DEBRIS
2)PROJECTILES
3)HARMS WAY
4)HUNKER DOWN AT LEAST 50 TIMES



The moon landing was fake and Kennedy was shot by aliens. Take your conspiracy theories elswhere.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting FLdewey:
Are you on commission Reed? Do you paid by the mph or something?


LOL +++
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
340. Gorty
@Methhurricanes

Me? Or is there a Gordy? Idk, maybe you just made a type and said Gordy by mistake.

But I got wind and rain, no flooding and no damage but my power was out for about 2 hours.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
nostorninflorida how many times do you think you need to post the same thing. let it be
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
92L up to 70%.What's interesting is that some of the models show the ridge building back in and continuing to show 92L go westward.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
336. ackee
IF 92L devlops quickly could be a fish storm that would be good so far seem like the GULF AND most carrb execpt PR and the BHAMS have been avoiding the big ones any system that that track into the carrb to the GULF have greater chance to be major cane
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ConnecticutWXGuy:
Take it from somebody who lives just north of coastal southwestern CT.... this storm was in no way like a Nor'Easter. It was much worse! Those who claim there have been worse Nor'Easters obviously aren't around here to see the damage. It's not just flooding, there's tons of wind damage as well. Even a few houses with severe structural damage per local news coverage. People saying this storm was no big deal obviously do not live where it really took its toll... Southern New England. Not even the Blizzard of 12/26/10, which had Hurricane force wind gusts over a small area... was nearly this severe, and the winds in that only lasted for 2 or 3 hours. Not to mention the actually frightening thunderstorms we got with the outer bands, followed by sheets of rain for 10 hours. Nope.... no Nor'Easter could hold up to Irene, at least in terms of this area. A Nor'Easter has never pushed water half a mile inland, not even the '92 "Superstorm"


Had to quote this one.. Again, try living in this guys shoes who actually LIVES up in the Northeast USA. Irene is a Historic Storm, one for the record books and retired!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ConnecticutWXGuy:
Take it from somebody who lives just north of coastal southwestern CT.... this storm was in no way like a Nor'Easter. It was much worse! Those who claim there have been worse Nor'Easters obviously aren't around here to see the damage. It's not just flooding, there's tons of wind damage as well. Even a few houses with severe structural damage per local news coverage. People saying this storm was no big deal obviously do not live where it really took its toll... Southern New England. Not even the Blizzard of 12/26/10, which had Hurricane force wind gusts over a small area... was nearly this severe, and the winds in that only lasted for 2 or 3 hours. Not to mention the actually frightening thunderstorms we got with the outer bands, followed by sheets of rain for 10 hours. Nope.... no Nor'Easter could hold up to Irene, at least in terms of this area. A Nor'Easter has never pushed water half a mile inland, not even the '92 "Superstorm"
,take a deeep breath,its going to o.k.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
12Z ECMWF..running

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Everryone also has to remember that with storm, its not over when the rain leaves. I think lots of people are making the mistake that rain over = storm over. There is a ton of wind on the backside of this. I watched some guys on Ustream yesterday afternoon with very little rain, but tons of wind as the Roanoke Sound refilled and then flooded the west side of the NC outerbanks. It will be interesting to see how the NE handles the backside of these winds.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A cat 2 once made it all the way to England before transitioning to extratropical.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
My aunt just uploaded this Tree on top of a car in Queens:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Methurricanes:
Did anyone hear from Gordy, he lives in that area, thats in the Springfield area.

It is? Crap, I have a friend in Springfield. Luckily, she's from Georgia and knows from hurricanes, so there's a good chance she's on top of things.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The Latest
*Click graphic to magnify (graphic is also able to be magnified in Link window by clicking on it)


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Sfloridacat5:


...She will probably never trust hurricane forecasters again.


That would be ignorant.

Perhaps you should explain to her how hurricane forecasting works and that it is better to be prepared and have a "non-event" than it is to be not prepared and end up with a disaster.

We got lucky. That's all. If Irene had managed to complete its EWR without event, Irene would have been much worse, potentially much worse. Fortunately, shear and dry air disrupted the storm enough to prevent that.

If people want better forecasts, we need more research, data, and data collection capabilities. That costs money.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Gusts on Bermuda are surpassing 40-45 mph. In this case, the National Hurricane Center made a good call on declaring this a tropical cyclone.

14:55 Mostly Cloudy Showers S 29/39 (33/45) 28(83) 77 1012 / 29.89

Pressure dropping, winds rising.


I agree buddy see post 271
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:
btw... 2005 only had 5 storms in August


Well, 2005 got most of its activity during the late season.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting doncooke:
Has a tropical storm ever made it to Greenland or Iceland before?


No. Faith was the most northern, a little south of Iceland. Whether it was still properly tropical at that time, who knows.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
This video is pretty good from someone on the Outer Banks, NC.  There is a couple of bad words though.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R4g8Zvr4iXE
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2011 might just make it to the W storm
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
307. mbjjm
Quoting doncooke:
Has a tropical storm ever made it to Greenland or Iceland before?


Too far north the warm core would have transitioned to extratropical
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2011 is ending up to be a busy a** season.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
btw... 2005 only had 5 storms in August
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Has a tropical storm ever made it to Greenland or Iceland before?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:


link please????


Here is a link I found on the dam failure in East Becket: Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Gorty:
So now it is Katia tracking! Wouldn't it be amazing if she forms in August! Will that be like 7 named storms this month?


Yes, that would be seven named storms if 92L became Katia over the coming days.

August: Emily, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irene, Jose, KATIA
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 351 - 301

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
76 °F
Mostly Cloudy