Irene hits New Jersey and New York; Jose threating Bermuda; 92L forms

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:45 PM GMT on August 28, 2011

Share this Blog
22
+

Hurricane Irene hit New Jersey ten miles north of Atlantic City at 5:30 am EDT, as a minimum-strength Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Irene is only the second hurricane since 1851 to hit New Jersey. At 9 am EDT, Irene made a third U.S. landfall over Long Island, NY, and New York City, as a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. Top wind gusts measured in New York City were 60 mph at Central Park at 3:58 am; 67 mph at La Guardia at 4:10 am; and 59 mph at JFK Airport at 1:33 am. A 91 mph gust was recorded in Sayville, NY on the Central Long Island coast, at 7:02 am. Emergency managers reported that the nearby town of Lindenhurst (population 28,000), on the south side of Long Island, was mostly under water due to a storm surge. The storm surge at The Battery on the southern shore of Manhattan reached 4.0 feet, overtopping the sea wall in several locations. Fresh water run-off from Irene's torrential rains, riding on top of a 3 to 4-foot storm surge, allowed the swollen East and Hudson Rivers to overflow at the edges of Manhattan. Irene's rains have now ended in New York City, after accumulating to 7.60" at Central Park. This brings total rainfall for the month of August in New York City to 19.68", making it the wettest month in the city since record keeping began in 1869. The previous record was 16.85", set in September 1882. Philadelphia, PA and Newark, NJ have also set all-time wettest month records, thanks to Irene's rains. The 19.40" of rain that has fallen in Philadelphia this August is probably the most rain any major city in the Northeast, U.S. has received since 22.43" fell in Newark, NJ in August 1843, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt.


Figure 1. Storm surge at The Battery on the south end of New York City's Manhattan Island as of noon EDT Sunday, August 28, 2011. The green line is the storm surge, which is the difference between the observed water level (red line) and what the water level should have been without the hurricane (blue line). At 4:45 am, the storm surge peaked at 4.0 feet. The surge declined to about 3 feet during the high tide cycle, then rose again to near 3.9 feet as the tide started going out. Image credit: NOAA Tides and Currents.


Figure 2. Total rainfall over the past 30 days along the mid-Atlantic coast and New England has topped 15 inches (purple colors) in many areas, making August the wettest month in recorded history for the cities of Philadelphia, Newark, and New York City. Image credit: NOAA/AHPS.

Irene's rains bringing significant river flooding
Irene brought more than eight inches of rain to a long stretch of the Atlantic coast from North Carolina to New York. NOAA's Significant River Flood Outlook is showing that significant river flooding is already occurring along coastal regions of North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey, and is expected to spread to Eastern Pennsylvania, eastern New York, Western Massachusetts, and most of Vermont and New Hampshire.

The 1903 Vagabond Hurricane
The only other hurricane to hit New Jersey since 1851 was the 1903 Category 1 Vagabond Hurricane. According to Wikipedia, the Vagabond Hurricane caused heavy damage along the New Jersey coast ($180 million in 2006 dollars.) The hurricane killed 57 people, and endangered the life of President Theodore Roosevelt, who was sailing on a yacht near Long Island, NY, when the hurricane hit. New Jersey only rarely gets hit by hurricanes because it lies in an portion of the coast that doesn't stick out much and is too far north.


Figure 3. The path of the 1903 Vagabond Hurricane, the only other hurricane to hit New Jersey since 1851.

Tropical Storm Jose forms
Tropical Storm Jose formed this morning in surprise fashion, managing to maintain enough heavy thunderstorms in the face of very high wind shear of 40 - 55 knots to become the season's tenth named storm. Jose does not have long to live, due to the strong upper-level winds from Hurricane Irene that are creating the shear. Jose will likely bring strong winds near tropical storm force later today when it passes just west of Bermuda. Satellite loops show that there is very little heavy thunderstorm activity associated with Jose, and Bermuda will see much less rain than is usual for a tropical storm passing so close.

Elsewhere in the tropics: Invest 92L forms
A strong tropical wave located off the coast of Africa, about 200 miles south of the Cape Verde Islands, is moving west at 10 mph, and has been designated Invest 92L by NHC this morning. This system has a large amount of heavy thunderstorm activity and moderate amount of spin, and appears likely to develop into a tropical storm later this week, as all of the computer models are developing it. NHC is giving 92L a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday. This storm will be moving more slowly across the Atlantic than Irene did, and will take at least 6 days to reach the Lesser Antilles Islands. Forecast tracks from the long-range GFS and ECMWF models suggest that Bermuda might be the only land area threatened by 92L, but it is too early to be confident of this.

Hottest day in Houston's history
The mercury hit 109°F (42.8°C) yesterday at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport, tying September 4, 2000 as the hottest day in the city's history. Yesterday was the also the hottest August day on record in Houston, besting the 108°F reading of August 18, 1909. This year, Houston has set its record for all-time hottest temperature, most 100° days in a year (36, old record was 32, and 4 is normal), and most consecutive 100° days (24, old record was 14.) Weather records in Houston go back to 1889. Houston needs 20.18" of rain to get to normal levels of rainfall for the year. Today's high is predicted to be 107°F in Houston, so yesterday's record may be in danger of being broken today. By the end of the week, Houston is expected to cool down below 100°, and a weather pattern conducive for bringing summer rains will move in.

I'll have a new post Monday morning.

Jeff Masters

Tree puzzle, after Irene (bluesy)
Tree puzzle, after Irene
Irene Aftermath 15 (mikey66)
Irene Aftermath 15
Irene (snowbets)
Irene

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1601 - 1551

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57Blog Index

1601. bwat
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


I got it from calling dominion power. They sounded busy as heck.
Thank You! I called DOM's automated service and got a message saying crews where working on my outage and power would be restored today between 5pm and 11pm. Seriously thanks for the tip, I would still be in the dark on knowing when the power was comming back on if it was not for that. (No pun intended)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1600. Dennis8
NEW YORK (AP)
Slowly, the East Coast surveyed the damage, up to $7 billion by one private estimate. For many the danger had not passed: Rivers and creeks turned into raging torrents tumbling with limbs and parts of buildings in northern New England and upstate New York.

"This is not over," President Barack Obama said from the Rose Garden.

Flooding was widespread in Vermont, where parts of Brattleboro, Bennington and several other communities, were submerged. One woman was swept away and feared drowned in the Deerfield River.

Meanwhile, the nation's most populous region looked to a new week and the arduous process of getting back to normal.

New York lifted its evacuation order for 370,000 people and said it hoped to have its subway, shut down for the first time by a natural disaster, rolling again Monday, though maybe not in time for the morning commute. Philadelphia restarted its trains and buses.

"All in all," New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg said, "we are in pretty good shape."

At least 21 people died in the storm
, most of them when trees crashed through roofs or onto cars.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1599. 7544
thanks taz looks the east fl blob if not connected to jose wants to go west hmmmm
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting fllamorgan:



Thanks! My husband is on his way to a staging area in Charlottesville right now. I have been curious about damage estimates to get an idea of how long he will be gone this time.


Yeah some areas are worse than isabel, but most of the area fared much much better.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


I got it from calling dominion power. They sounded busy as heck.

To quote Jethro Gibbs - "Ya think?" :)
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
Quoting jascott1967:
I've been a member of this board since 2007 and the bloggers here never fail to astound me. Anyone posting a message, it's like walking a tight rope. If you lean to far one way, you're singled out as a troll. If you lean just a little bit the other way, you're labeled a troll. You're all basically talking to yourselves, I don't see the sense in you being here if you're skin isn't thick enough to be challenged. 1st time someone challenges you, you put them on ignore.

I'm guessing in the end you'll be left mumbling to yourself.

I enjoy the mystery of cyclogenisis and I loath under or over hyping storms. A reg here all day on Friday kept harping about how Irene was still strong as ever despite the obvious. Made up excuses why it didn't look as strong on satellite but was still a major storm in spite of NHC downgrading the thing. You know who you are, pulling your hair out of your head.

rant warranted
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
If 92l goes the full 48hrs to become a Td how far west would that put it at its current speed?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I've been a member of this board since 2007 and the bloggers here never fail to astound me. Anyone posting a message, it's like walking a tight rope. If you lean to far one way, you're singled out as a troll. If you lean just a little bit the other way, you're labeled a troll. You're all basically talking to yourselves, I don't see the sense in you being here if you're skin isn't thick enough to be challenged. 1st time someone challenges you, you put them on ignore.

I'm guessing in the end you'll be left mumbling to yourself.

I enjoy the mystery of cyclogenisis and I loath under or over hyping storms. A reg here all day on Friday kept harping about how Irene was still strong as ever despite the obvious. Made up excuses why it didn't look as strong on satellite but was still a major storm in spite of NHC downgrading the thing. You know who you are, pulling your hair out of your head.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GPTGUY:
Exactly six years ago today!

a href="http://" target="_blank">Link

Wow, I still get the chills listening to that. Haven't got a Local on the 8's saying "winds can occansionally gust over 100mph" since Wilma. Sounds really freaky when you hear that with such happy music playing in the background in Local on the 8's.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


up on the peninsula



Thanks! My husband is on his way to a staging area in Charlottesville right now. I have been curious about damage estimates to get an idea of how long he will be gone this time.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting viman:


Gotta love Stewart...


Stewart made a good call.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31409
Catskill Flood Disaster Info 8/28
Facebook page
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
Quoting bwat:
Where did you find the outage estimates? Mines still out, would love to know a timeframe. thanks.


I got it from calling dominion power. They sounded busy as heck.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting twincomanche:
You said that money to Joplin was being cut off because of Irene. Where did you see that please?


I'm sorry. I thought I linked it.

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1584. ncstorm
Quoting twincomanche:
You said that money to Joplin was being cut off because of Irene. Where did you see that please?


I saw in the press conference given by FEMA on CNN..they said they would have to take money from Joplin's fund...
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14397
1583. bwat
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


I got really lucky here, couple of big branches down and minor flooding. Seemed to be a lot of reports of tornadoes up here though. Power out for 28 hours here but estimates for some areas are 2+weeks.
Where did you find the outage estimates? Mines still out, would love to know a timeframe. thanks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1582. viman
Quoting CybrTeddy:
100% on 92L, now that's high confidence that it will develop.


Gotta love Stewart...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 7544:
hi everyone is the blob to the east of fl part of jose tia


nop
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting fllamorgan:


Where exactly are you at.


up on the peninsula
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


I got really lucky here, couple of big branches down and minor flooding. Seemed to be a lot of reports of tornadoes up here though. Power out for 28 hours here but estimates for some areas are 2+weeks.


Where exactly are you at.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting floodzonenc:


Imagine how funny it was when someone in here had the username "Cat5Hit"...

LOL LOL LOL
Member Since: July 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5624
Quoting floodzonenc:


Imagine how funny it was when someone in here had the username "Cat5Hit"...


LMAO.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31409
Quoting Thrawst:


We're nearly on pace with 2005.. behind 1 storm name. . . but if Katia develops we'll be tied in the amount of named storms. :)


we would still be one behind, Lee formed on this date in 2005
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1574. 7544
hi everyone is the blob to the east of fl part of jose tia
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
What ? Twin? I have been busy with homework and a new puppy. Been popping in and out.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1571. kap333
Hmmmm

http://weather.myfoxtampabay.com/maps/
WTVT/custom/models/gfs.html

I'm sure a trough will bail us out in Florida.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
28/2345 UTC 9.3N 24.4W T1.5/1.5 92L
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


Well? How'd it go?


I got really lucky here, couple of big branches down and minor flooding. Seemed to be a lot of reports of tornadoes up here though. Power out for 28 hours here but estimates for some areas are 2+weeks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1567. kap333
Hmmmmmm

http://weather.myfoxtampabay.com/maps/WTVT/custom /models/gfs.html

I'm sure a trough will spare us though!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
92 and 96 are the only invest #’s this season that have yet to be renumbered.



nop but 92L will soon get it 1st turn
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
92 and 96 are the only invest #’s this season that have yet to be renumbered.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:
Well hello everybody.


Well? How'd it go?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31409
Quoting ncstorm:
is that not huge or what!

Even Jose is larger than that XD
Member Since: July 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5624
1561. lennit
looks like after Irene US will activate hurricane shields
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1560. GPTGUY
Exactly six years ago today!

a href="http://" target="_blank">Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Anybody have the current list of state of emergencies?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31409
8:00pm Advisories
The Latest
*Click graphic to magnify (graphic is also able to be magnified in Link window by clicking on it)


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1557. ncstorm
is that not huge or what!
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14397
Well hello everybody.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I know that I am weather ignorant, but does the graphic that Vero1 just posted show an open door for 92L to come to the north central/western GOM?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting galvestonhurricane:


Did anyone see this post? Or have I been put on everyone's ignore list?


Far too early to tell...However, the pattern does favor USA landfalls.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31409
Quoting PcolaDan:


Top of page - under your user name - my photos - upload photos (on top right) - make sure you click on "Primary Portrait"

may take a bit before you see it
I was trying to remember how I did it so very long ago. Thanks for coming to their and my aid.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1551. j2008
Quoting galvestonhurricane:


Did anyone see this post? Or have I been put on everyone's ignore list?
Yea I see you, I think there are very slim chances for 92 to impact the US. If it develops alot slower than what the models are predicting then we could see a potential threat for the US.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 1601 - 1551

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.