Hurricane Irene Prepares to Leave the Bahamas and Head for the US

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:51 AM GMT on August 25, 2011

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As of 2AM EDT, Hurricane Irene was located at 24.2N, 76.0W, 105 miles east-southeast of Nassau or 760 miles south of Cape Hatteras. It was moving northwest at 12 mph with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph, making it a Category 3 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Irene has a minimum central pressure of 950 mb. Hurricane force winds can be found up to 70 miles from Irene's center, and tropical storm force winds can be found out to 255 miles from the storm's center.

Hurricane warnings are in effect for all of the Bahamas. Hurricane and tropical storm watches will likely be posted for the Carolina coastlines later this morning. At this time, Dare County Emergency Management has issued a mandatory evacuation order for all visitors in their county. Dare County Schools will also be closed Thursday and Friday.

Satellite Views
Figure 1 is the infrared satellite image of Irene at 135EDT. The convection is a bit unbalanced around the storm center, which is going to cause Irene to wobble like an unbalanced clothes washer (Analogy courtesy of Angela Fritz) over the next few hours. At the time this image was taken, the convection around Irene's center appears to be getting more vigorous, as cold cloudtops are starting to increase around the storm center. This is important to note because microwave satellite imagery from Wednesday evening suggested Irene was starting an eyewall replacement cycle. Figure 2 shows passive microwave imagery from a Air Force DMSP polar-orbiting satellite. The two concentric green/yellow bands in the image suggest that two eyewall features are present in Irene, and Hurricane Hunter observations confirm this. This has important consequences for Irene's intensity, because in an eyewall replacement cycle, as the inner eyewall weakens, the storm's intensity drops. However, once the inner eyewall is gone, and the outer eyewall contracts to replace it, the storm intensity will increase again.


Figure 1 IR satellite view of Irene taken at 113AM EDT, August 23, 2011


Figure 2 DMSP F18 microwave overpass of Irene at 824PM EDT, August 24, 2011. Image courtesy of the Naval Research Laboratory

Track Forecast

Irene is forecast to move to the northwest, passing over the northwest Bahamas by Thursday evening, then curving to the northeast. Irene then makes landfall in the US near or at the Outer Banks Saturday afternoon, then traveling along the mid-Atlantic coastline of the US. Sunday, Irene may make secondary landfall anywhere from New Jersey to Long Island and the southern New England coastline. In my opinion, New York City may be significantly impacted by Irene. It is also important to note that the windfield of Irene is expected to be large, affecting areas distant from the immediate track of Irene's center. Tropical storm forces winds are expected to be found out to at least 150 miles away from Irene's center on Friday afternoon.

NHC is forecasting for Irene to become a Category 4 storm (winds faster than 130 mph) by Thursday morning. As Irene moves northward into cooler water, the intensity is expected to drop slowly to a Category 2 storm before making landfall in the Outer Banks.


Figure 3 Official track forecast of Irene at 2AM EDT.

Forecast models and today's planned flights
The different forecast models are still in fairly good agreement about Irene's track through the Bahamas and along the east coast of the US. The 00Z GFS run is in close agreement with the 12Z ECMWF run, but the 00Z ECMWF run (shown in figure 4) is continuing the ECMWF's trend of shifting the track westward with each run. NHC forecasters have been placing emphasis on the ECMWF's forecast track when making their forecasts for IRene, so it is possible that the NHC track will shift westwards at the 5AM update.

Looking at the plan of the day valid for today, it will be a busy day for airborne reconnaissance. Three flights for the Air Force hurricane hunters, two flights for the Gulfstream IV (Gonzo), and two flights for NOAA 42, a WP-3D (Kermit). They may have to give NOAA a littering permit for all of the dropsondes used to monitor Irene and her environment, but the forecast improvements they generate are worth the effort.


Figure 4 Plot of the maximum sustained winds in mph over the next week from the 00Z ECMWF forecast.

Impacts

Hurricane force winds will arrive in the northwestern Bahamas today. Storm surge near the center of Irene will be 7-11 feet above tide level. The Bahamas can expect 6-12 inches of rain over the next day or so, and it looks like the Turks and Caicos islands will receive a total of 6-12 inches from Irene. Large, swells from Irene will start landing on the southeastern US coastline later today. Please don't go in the water, as these swells can cause dangerous rip currents. Dr. Masters has catalogued the worst-case storm surge surge scenarios as a function of storm intensity here.

In my opinion, people living from the Carolinas to Cape Cod should pay close attention to Irene and prepare for a wide range of impacts. I think that there is a 75% chance of Irene's secondary landfall will be somewhere between JFK airport and Cape Cod. That said, Irene's size will cause significant impacts for people living far from it's center.

Dr. Masters will have a new blog entry this morning, and Angela Fritz will be covering the afternoon. I'll be back on third shift tonight.

Thanks for reading,

Dr. Rob Carver

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1046. Jax82
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Quoting Zaphod:
DO NOT GRILL INDOORS though!

It's one thing to have the grill indoors so it doesn't blow away. Carbon monoxide is a given with charcoal, and possible (even likely?) with propane.
Good morning. That wouldn't make sense as far as propane is concerned. I don't use my grill inside but if you can cook on a propane stove inside why not the grill ?
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1044. MahFL
The eye is just wobbling around to the NE and N as it reforms. On radar the inner band visible is still making headway west and north.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3492
Oh, crap, that's starting to look like a very close shore hugger for the mid-Atlantic.
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1042. zuglie
Florida is Safe
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Quoting chevycanes:

not true.

from 5AM discussion on Tues.

72H 26/0600Z 28.0N 78.0W 115 KT 135 MPH
96H 27/0600Z 31.5N 78.3W 105 KT 120 MPH



Ok, I was wrong about the forecast then but my POINT is several bloggers said there was no way Irene would past 77W despite whatever was forecast at the time.
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we have to wait and see not how much irene goes west but hpw much she goes east before hittting north carolina
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1724
1039. zawxdsk
HURRICANE IRENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

IT HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE WHETHER THE HURRICANE HAS GONE
THROUGH AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT. ALTHOUGH THE RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WIND
IS LARGER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY...MICROWAVE AND AIRCRAFT DATA HAVE
NOT BEEN VERY CONCLUSIVE. RECENT DATA DO NOT SHOW ANY EVIDENCE OF A
SECONDARY EYEWALL AT THIS TIME. THE EYE IS A LITTLE MORE EVIDENT IN
THE LAST FEW VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES...BUT IS NOT AS CLEAR AS IT
WAS YESTERDAY MORNING. THE AIR FORCE AIRCRAFT HAS MEASURED A PEAK
FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 112 KT AND SFMR WINDS OF 90 KT...WHICH ROUGHLY
SUPPORT THE 100-KT INITIAL INTENSITY.

CENTER FIXES FROM THE AIRCRAFT OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING INDICATE
THAT THE EXPECTED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TURN HAS OCCURRED. A
NORTHWARD TURN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY AS IRENE MOVES
THROUGH A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION IS EXPECTED TO THEN TURN
IRENE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS TROUGH
IS FORECAST TO BYPASS IRENE...LEAVING THE HURRICANE IN DEEP
SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES AND
A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC. THIS PATTERN WILL LIKELY KEEP
THE HURRICANE VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THE
GUIDANCE ENVELOPE HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE WESTWARD ON THIS CYCLE...AND
THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK HAS BEEN NUDGED WEST AS WELL. THE NEW
FORECAST LIES BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF...AND IS A LITTLE RIGHT OF
THE TVCA CONSENSUS. SINCE IRENE IS SUCH A LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE UNITED STATES
EAST COAST REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK IT TAKES.

THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE MAIN INFLUENCING FACTOR DURING THE
SHORT TERM WILL LIKELY BE EYEWALL CYCLES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT TO
PREDICT. AFTER 48 HOURS...SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS FORECAST TO
INCREASE WHICH WILL LIKELY START WEAKENING PROCESS. HOWEVER...
SINCE IRENE HAS SUCH A LARGE AND INTENSE CIRCULATION...IT
WILL PROBABLY BE RATHER SLOW TO WEAKEN.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 25.9N 76.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 27.5N 77.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
24H 26/1200Z 29.5N 77.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
36H 27/0000Z 31.4N 77.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 27/1200Z 33.3N 77.1W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 28/1200Z 37.8N 75.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 29/1200Z 45.0N 71.5W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
120H 30/1200Z 54.0N 64.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Quoting MrstormX:


Is that a shark....


Actually it is a landshark :)
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1037. zuglie
000
WTNT34 KNHC 251454
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...CORE
APPROACHING ABACO ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 76.8W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM NNE OF NASSAU
ABOUT 645 MI...1040 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA
BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK SOUNDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY. THE HURRICANE WATCH WILL ALSO LIKELY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH BY EARLY FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE
HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
TODAY...AND PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL AND
NORTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY SPREADING OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
STILL OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...BUT SHOULD
BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA BY LATE FRIDAY.

STORM SURGE...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF IRENE...
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OVER THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER THE BAHAMAS.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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1036. 996tt
Can someone post a map with plot of cource up til present. Not sure why the maps here do not have a detailed plot of path Irene has taken. Just trying to see when and where the turn was intiated.
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1035. Jax82
Well....



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 25.9N 76.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 27.5N 77.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
24H 26/1200Z 29.5N 77.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
36H 27/0000Z 31.4N 77.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 27/1200Z 33.3N 77.1W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 28/1200Z 37.8N 75.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 29/1200Z 45.0N 71.5W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
120H 30/1200Z 54.0N 64.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ecupirate:


Dont cook inside with a gas grill! Carbon Monoxide will kill you quicker than anything, and a gas gill produces a ton of it!


Wasnt directed at you ;-)

Worried some folks from dirty jersey would get the brght idea to cook inside..
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1033. HCW
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1032. snotly
CA CAW!

Link
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1031. Vero1
Quoting MahFL:


That's only for the waters, not the land area.
So when the surge from the storm is higher than the elevation of your house they are covered?
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1030. JeffM
Moving NNW now
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Quoting tiggeriffic:


ummm...yeah...that is the difference between TS gusty day and sustained winds...if i am not mistaken, didn't we have this discussion yesterday about her passing 77W... ;)


Good Morning, Pal!

Kisses
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when is the 11am update??
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1724
1027. hahaguy
So looks like she's made her NNW turn according to the NHC.
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LOCATION...25.9N 76.8W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM NNE OF NASSAU
ABOUT 645 MI...1040 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES
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We've got a media briefing with the Charleston NWS at 11 - I'll let my Lowcountry peeps know if anything has changed.
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Quoting ecupirate:


Dont cook inside with a gas grill! Carbon Monoxide will kill you quicker than anything, and a gas gill produces a ton of it!



lol -- no I don't cook on it -- I mean so that it doesn't get damaged during the storm.
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1022. Patrap
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting zoomiami:


I don't think this is silly, its a great idea. I usually have a spot for the things you need to make small repairs, some 2x4's, nails, hammers, etc.

I also bring my grill in and put against the inside door. That way at least I know I should have something to cook on!


Dont cook inside with a gas grill! Carbon Monoxide will kill you quicker than anything, and a gas gill produces a ton of it!
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1020. myrtle1
hey i live in little river
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1019. Zaphod
DO NOT GRILL INDOORS though!

It's one thing to have the grill indoors so it doesn't blow away. Carbon monoxide is a given with charcoal, and possible (even likely?) with propane.
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Quoting rushisaband:



yes ... erin i think was only a cat 1 .. but i remember tons of trees down .... chainsaw heaven


It was kind of a good thing Erin cleaned out all the older and weaker trees. Made it a lot less of a mess two months later when Opal rolled through!
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Quoting ncstorm:
Tweet from Jim cantore..

JimCantore Jim Cantore
Given western shift in models New England may not be my final spot. #Irene #Hurricane NEW data out after noon.


uh oh for us...
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1016. MahFL
Quoting TheMom:
Actually we have a Tropical Storm Warning have since 8am


That's only for the waters, not the land area.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3492
Quoting TallyMike:


MAybe kind of silly but I move some my larger tools such as a crowbar, ax and chainsaw into the house in case we have to dig out. Lots of big trees in our yard.


I don't think this is silly, its a great idea. I usually have a spot for the things you need to make small repairs, some 2x4's, nails, hammers, etc.

I also bring my grill in and put against the inside door. That way at least I know I should have something to cook on!
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1013. ncstorm
Tweet from Jim cantore..

JimCantore Jim Cantore
Given western shift in models New England may not be my final spot. #Irene #Hurricane NEW data out after noon.
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Quoting 69Viking:


It's wasn't forecast to go West of 77 early yesterday or two days ago. The NHC changes their forecast tracks every so many hours. My point was yesterday several on this blog said it wouldn't make it to 77W and all I'm saying is they'll be eating crow soon.


i wasn't one of them Viking...i don't think Chas will take a direct hit, i do think it will finally turn, but you are correct...i remember all the it wont pass 77W...and now it is there and still moving NW...50 miles in a track is the difference between a gusty day and sustained winds...
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irene is not moving north she is moving north west. i doubt the nhc will put the motion nnw on the 11am. probably tonight she will make that turn. on satalite she is moving nw to nnw
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1724
Quoting 69Viking:


It's wasn't forecast to go West of 77 early yesterday or two days ago. The NHC changes their forecast tracks every so many hours. My point was yesterday several on this blog said it wouldn't make it to 77W and all I'm saying is they'll be eating crow soon.

not true.

from 5AM discussion on Tues.

72H 26/0600Z 28.0N 78.0W 115 KT 135 MPH
96H 27/0600Z 31.5N 78.3W 105 KT 120 MPH

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1006. DFWjc
Quoting MrstormX:


Is that a shark....


(channeling my inner Bill Engvall)Here's your sign...LOL
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A chain saw is a must for sure even if you don't have trees in your yard before the storm. You may trees in your yard after the storm. Also, make sure you have plenty of insect repellant with DEET and in door out door insect spray. The bugs will out in full force.
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Quoting MrstormX:


Is that a shark....


Nope its ronald mcdonald
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1002. zuglie
Going North Now For Sure !
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Quoting HCW:
Irene Flood pic from P.R



Is that a shark....
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Quoting HCW:
Irene Flood pic from P.R

sure pal....lol
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999. DFWjc
Quoting HCW:
Irene Flood pic from P.R



o_0

wtf, hey hun you'll never guess what just swam by my car in traffic and flood...yep a shark...
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Quoting wxobsvps:
Sc on northward really should still be eyeing Irene...

If I lived in central to FL on up, I would be watching very closely (that is just the way I am)


Oh I assure you I have an eye on her. Even two days out, stranger crap can happen. Right now we're only forecast to get TS winds and gusts.

That can change in a blink if the atmosphere blinks too...
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several pages ago someone asked what the ants were doing. Well the ants are all in my yard and I'm in the Northern Upstate of SC. I haven't seen one fire ant all summer and now I have a whole colony of them taking over my barn. I am having to leave the horses outside because of the little buggers. I also now have a load of more bugs than I have had all summer and just not ants.


Go figure, I wonder if any of Irene's rain will get to me.


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996. MahFL
Quoting wxobsvps:
RUC +22 ... 10m wind





Er that looks a bit closer to FL than forcast.....
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3492

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.