Gert brushing Bermuda; a new all-time 1-day rainfall record for NYC

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:30 PM GMT on August 15, 2011

Share this Blog
20
+

Tropical Storm Gert, the 7th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, is here. Gert's formation on August 14 marks the 4th earliest date for the season's 7th storm. Only 2005, 1995, and 1936 have had an earlier formation of the season's 7th storm. Gert will pass very close to Bermuda today, but thus far the island has had no wind or rain from Gert, with top winds at the Bermuda Airport of just 9 mph as of 10 am EDT. Radar out of Bermuda shows the rains from Gert are staying just offshore, moving northward, parallel to the island. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft is in the storm, and has found that Gert has not changed much in intensity since last night. Top surface winds seen by their SFMR instrument this morning as of 10am EDT were 48 mph, though higher winds of 58 mph that may be erroneous due to rain interference were measured. It currently appears that Gert's northerly motion will keep virtually all of the storm's rains just offshore from from Bermuda. Gert should not trouble any land areas after moving past Bermuda.


Figure 1. Morning radar image of Gert from the Bermuda radar .

Elsewhere in the tropics
The disturbance we've been tracking over the past few days in the open Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, Invest 93L, has regenerated a modest amount of heavy thunderstorms and will bring heavy rain showers and gusty winds to the Lesser Antilles today and Tuesday as it moves westwards through the islands at 15 - 20 mph. Dry air surrounds 93L, and is interfering with development. However, the disturbance is steadily moistening its environment and is under low wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, so could begin to organize over the next few days as it tracks across the Caribbean. The latest 06Z run of the NOGAPS model is showing weak development of 93L once it reaches the western Caribbean, with a track over Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Stay tuned.


Figure 2. Radar-estimated rainfall for the past 2 days from the Long Island, NY radar.

New York City sets an all-time 1-day rainfall record
A long series of "training" thunderstorms that each moved along the same path deluged the New York City and Newark areas yesterday, smashing an all-time 1-day rainfall record at New York City's JFK Airport, which recorded 7.80 inches of rain. It was the most rain at JFK since record keeping began in 1948. The previous record was a 6.3" deluge on June 30, 1984. New York City's official measuring site, Central Park, got 5.81" yesterday, the fifth wettest day on record there. The 6.40" that fell on Newark, NJ yesterday was that city's 2nd heaviest 1-day rainfall in history, next to the 6.73" that fell on November 3, 1977.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1188 - 1138

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53Blog Index

Quoting missclean:
the middle of the atlantic is and will gobble up every storm again this year like it did last year the pattern is the exact same already


You know kid, your really pushing your luck for me not to have another rant yet.. Grothar made me cut back to 4 cups a day yesterday LOL.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24263
18z GFS is already different than the 12z GFS by 144 hours out.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1186. WxLogic
Quoting Levi32:


Drops what? It hasn't developed 93L for a couple days now. I wouldn't expect it to suddenly start now just because a few thunderstorms have gone up today.


LOL... whatever VORT signature it had which briefly got it going and poof shortly after.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting missclean:
ut oh not another african wave that might be big trouble again here in the us if it doesnt fizzle out again lol we better keep a very close eye on it they say it will hit east coast in 15 days but that could change maybe once

Just keep calm, and don't act like a troll or else you shall get a hit from:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
97L. Lol.


Oh, lol.

I thought he was talking about the number of tropical waves.

Quoting Chucktown:


No I mean, would it be 97 L ? We did have 96 the other day didn't we?


Yes, it would be 97L.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1183. txjac
And it's over ...

However was great while it lasted!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


97? I lost count at 12, LOL.


No I mean, would it be 97 L ? We did have 96 the other day didn't we?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Next invest in the line is 97L yes.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24263
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


97? I lost count at 12, LOL.
97L. Lol.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1177. JLPR2
TD6-E seems embedded in the ITCZ.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
This year,,the August Days match 2005 in synch,,Mon the 29th is K plus 6 yrs.


Not to mention what the Mayan calendar has instore. (yikes)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Chucktown:


No prob, yea was talking about the new African wave. What will that be 97? I've lost count.


97? I lost count at 12, LOL.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1174. Levi32
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


Speaking of too many systems lately, 2011 is currently the second most active season in the past ten years, behind 2005. I know that doesn't mean much, but do you think, given the recent activity the Atlantic basin has had, we may be able to reach or surpass last years number?

2010 had three named storms down by 8/15/10.

2011 has seven named storms down.


All that matters to me is that 2011 is still below normal in ACE. All of these random frontal systems almost don't count. They do not reflect the activity of the tropical circulation cell. We may as well only have 3 names crossed out right now. Having 7 makes it seem far more active than it really has been, as reflected by the ACE.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1173. Patrap
The 12Z GFS 30 Aug Solution.

Reminds me of Gustav 08
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128875
Quoting Levi32:


He specifically said 93L.

Edit* My bad I think you're right. Sorry Chuck. Too many systems around lately lol.


No prob, yea was talking about the new African wave. What will that be 97? I've lost count.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
WATCH THAT ATHOMEINTX I AGREED WITH SOMEONE ON THAT SAME POINT AND SOMEONE SAID I WAS WWWWRRRRRROOOOONGGGG!!!! LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1169. txjac
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Yeah I saw pics. that angiest posted, would you say this is the worst drought you have ever seen, and are droughts a common thing in Texas, like I know it happens in FL., but you guys seem to get it a lot worst and more frequently than us. Is this just part of the Texas climate.



Guess who's getting some rain??!!!???
Been a nice, slow gentle rain where I am for about 10-15 miutes now ...totally loving it!!!

Angiest ...are you on? Are you getting any of this my neighbor?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1168. Patrap

Atlantic Ocean View (Updated ~3 hours)

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128875
This is my Normal Daily Local News this year since Winter time the Fires have been going on, Hearts go out to firefighters in this unbelievable heat.

Grass fire, homes burning in Leander

Homes being evacuated

Updated: Monday, 15 Aug 2011, 5:04 PM CDT
Published : Monday, 15 Aug 2011, 4:48 PM CDT



LEANDER, Texas (KXAN) - Leander police said Monday afternoon a grass fire is burning near Horseshoe Drive near County Road 274, just west of State Highway 183.

Sixty homes are being evacuated on Horseshoe Drive and Lion Drive, according to Leander Fire Department. Reports are that seven homes are on fire and that 25 homes are immediately threatened.

Air support is on its way to the scene.

The area burning is near some mobile homes.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:


Pat I hope you are "Joking" with this picture....

Taco :o)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tazmanian:



ask that next week

taz use your
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting missclean:
2010 had a ton of storms and the middle of the atlantic had them all


POOF!!!
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6878
1162. Grothar
I think the wave looks pretty good.


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1160. Levi32
Quoting WxLogic:


Won't be surprised if it drops it all together on the 18Z run.


Drops what? It hasn't developed 93L for a couple days now. I wouldn't expect it to suddenly start now just because a few thunderstorms have gone up today.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Levi32:


He specifically said 93L.

Edit* My bad I think you're right. Sorry Chuck. Too many systems around lately lol.


Speaking of too many systems lately, 2011 is currently the second most active season in the past ten years, behind 2005. I know that doesn't mean much, but do you think, given the recent activity the Atlantic basin has had, we may be able to reach or surpass last years number?

2010 had three named storms down by 8/15/10.

2011 has seven named storms down.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
Ummm,..boiled crabs sound good
outside on the picnic table with french fried potatoes and a diet coke
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1157. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128875
Quoting tropicfreak:


Taz stormkat's back, you gonna poof him?



this did not too long a go where have you been lol
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115255
The African wave starts to organize in about 108 hours near 55˚W.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1153. WxLogic
Quoting USAFwxguy:
18Z GFS develops a whole bunch of nothing so far.


Won't be surprised if it drops it all together on the 18Z run.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tazmanian:



ask that next week


Taz stormkat's back, you gonna poof him?
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6878
Quoting missclean:
thats what im saying the models will change what and where 93 is going every 4 hours for the next 10 days so everyone in the world needs to watch this storm


You just said it was definitely going into Mexico, now you're saying everyone should watch it??
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6878
Quoting 800733:
new here, does anyone thank fl could see a storm this year!?



ask that next week
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115255
1148. WxLogic
18Z GFS 500MB @90HR:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Tropical Storm Gert is trying to become a hurricane, it really is. There is still a fairly decent chance it becomes a hurricane, but it only has another 12-24 hours to strengthen.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1146. MTWX
Quoting RitaEvac:


I remember that morning plain as day and I wasn't even near the storm.

Will never forget that storm. We were the foward operating base for search and rescue/ humanitarian aid. Took us less than 24 hours to turned a condemned building, we used for exercises, into a fully operational control facility!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CybrTeddy:
1093. Whats that? Can't hear ya Speak up.


I'm convinced enough that she's stormkat.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6878
1144. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128875
1143. nigel20
Quoting tropicfreak:


Make up your mind, is it going into mexico or OTS?
I think missclean is just here to make mischief.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1141. Levi32
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I think he/she was talking about the wave off Africa.


He specifically said 93L.

Edit* My bad I think you're right. Sorry Chuck. Too many systems around lately lol.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting midgulfmom:
Hello again Mr. 93L. I'll definitely be watchin you big boy. Gotta go make dinner but not before I've checked the tropics and enjoyed another musical interlude. Presslord and Patrap be jammn' HaHa..CYL2nite
di you see the link coming to LA on one model
Member Since: July 25, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2645
1139. Patrap
Ummm,..boiled crabs sound good
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128875
1093. Whats that? Can't hear ya Speak up.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24263

Viewing: 1188 - 1138

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
53 °F
Overcast