Tropical Depression Seven forms

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:25 PM GMT on August 14, 2011

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The latest in our unusual number of weak tropical cyclones this season, Tropical Depression Seven, has formed to the southeast of Bermuda. Unless you live in Bermuda, TD 7 is not going to be a concern. Radar out of Bermuda shows an area of rain on the northern side of TD 7 beginning to approach the island, and rain from the storm will likely affect the island tonight and on Monday. TD 7 is not well-organized, and has only limited heavy thunderstorms, as seen on visible satellite images. While wind shear is a low 5 - 10 knots, dry air surrounds TD 7, and is keeping the storm from intensifying. None of the computer models foresee that TD 7 will ever become more than a weak tropical storm.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of TD 7.

92L
TD 7 isn't the only system Bermuda needs to watch, Invest 92L is a day behind it, and will follow a path very similar to TD 7's. The disturbance will pass close to Bermuda on Tuesday, bringing the island a second round of tropical rains. However, Invest 92L is very disorganized, as seen on recent visible satellite loops. Dry air and close proximity to TD 7 will likely keep 92L from showing significant development over the next two days, with NHC giving the system just a 30% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday morning.

Elsewhere in the tropics
The disturbance midway between the Lesser Antilles Islands and the coast of Africa we've been tracking over the past few days, Invest 93L, has fallen apart and is no longer a threat to develop. This system will need to be watched once it enters the Caribbean later this week, though. None of the reliable models for predicting tropical cyclone formation predict development of this system or any new disturbances over the coming week.

Jeff Masters

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Say hello to Gert
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259. midgulfmom 12:51 PM CDT on August 14, 2011

Thanx mgm,,the truth will and should never harm.

Actually,,Im pressing the issue as the Highest authoritie's here are well aware of it.
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Quoting Patrap:
I wrote you a lettter aussiestorm,,it should be arriving via Kanagroo any day.

: )

And where did you get my address from???
And How do you know it's coming on a Qantas jet??
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Quoting HurricaneNewb:
Looks to me like dry air is starting to rap into ex93l.


where do you see this
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Gert Alert!!
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Quoting CybrTeddy:



.. your kidding right? You do realize, that every hurricane season since the beginning of the satellite era has seen a hurricane? And why don't you give facts to back that up, you've been saying for a few days that there won't be any hurricanes this year and why is that? Look at the SST's in the Atlantic, they're sky rocking above normal.

You know why there is dry air? Downward MJO causing suppressing convection and an average amount of SAL. You know why half our systems are weak this year? They're trough splits.. tell me when was the last time you saw a trough split form off the eastern seaboard that became a Category 3-4 hurricane? 1984 is your answer. Then finally look at last year, one quick glance at wiki would be all it would take - here, I'll link it for you. Link. Ignore Alex, Alex was a one-off, not even 2005 saw a Category 2 in the Gulf in June. Please, look at TD2, Bonnie, Colin then TD5. Then also remember we had several other invests that attempted to become tropical depressions that year.. then look at when we had our first true major hurricane, and our first hurricane in over two months.

The 2nd to last week of August, then what happened with the upward MJO came spinning around? Season went out of hand. Okay sure - no US landfalls. Sorry to break it to you, the USA is not the only country on the map. You want to hear something? Karl caused $5.6 billion dollars in damages.. one Category. It was IIRC the 3rd most destructive hurricane to hit Mexico. It was not retired because Mexico didn't request it. Please, look at the facts and stop making assumptions 'oh, its only mid-August and no hurricanes season is a bust inactive', and I'm tired of stressing this point if no one is going to listen and I had to rant and annoy you all for it last year too if you remember - we are ahead of schedule and conditions are primed for a change. The ECMWF shows a hurricane hitting the islands.. and that reverts right back to what I just said, do people on the islands not count? I know people who live in Barbados, I would be very upset if a bad hurricane hit them anytime soon.

Then look at this - this season the conditions are the same as last year and we're cranking out more storms that are facing the same conditions. What does that tell you? Once conditions lessen up, like they did last year, like they do EVERY year.. things will get active. You'll get your hurricane.

Sorry everyone, had to rant, very grumpy this PM, lol.

So, to summarize...

The season is a Bust, right?

heheheheh

Good Post, Cybr!
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Quoting Grothar:
Hey, Teddy, we are limiting you to one cup of coffee a day from now on. :)


Teddy finally lost it...LOL. For those of us who have been on the blog for several years, he just spoke our feelings as a whole.
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...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE SEVENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...
2:00 PM AST Sun Aug 14
Location: 28.6°N 63.1°W
Max sustained: 40 mph
Moving: NNW at 7 mph
Min pressure: 1009 mb
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Seems to me like anyone who dare say the season won't be as active as forecast is immediately declared a troll and then this "troll" receives a massive counter response in favor of a severe hurricane season. SMH. Though I'll admit a few of them are trolls that deserve it. Only some though.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:



.. your kidding right? You do realize, that every hurricane season since the beginning of the satellite era has seen a hurricane? And why don't you give facts to back that up, you've been saying for a few days that there won't be any hurricanes this year and why is that? Look at the SST's in the Atlantic, they're sky rocking above normal.

You know why there is dry air? Downward MJO causing suppressing convection and an average amount of SAL. You know why half our systems are weak this year? They're trough splits.. tell me when was the last time you saw a trough split form off the eastern seaboard that became a Category 3-4 hurricane? 1984 is your answer. Then finally look at last year, one quick glance at wiki would be all it would take - here, I'll link it for you. Link. Ignore Alex, Alex was a one-off, not even 2005 saw a Category 2 in the Gulf in June. Please, look at TD2, Bonnie, Colin then TD5. Then also remember we had several other invests that attempted to become tropical depressions that year.. then look at when we had our first true major hurricane, and our first hurricane in over two months.

The 2nd to last week of August, then what happened with the upward MJO came spinning around? Season went out of hand. Okay sure - no US landfalls. Sorry to break it to you, the USA is not the only country on the map. You want to hear something? Karl caused $5.6 billion dollars in damages.. one Category. It was IIRC the 3rd most destructive hurricane to hit Mexico. It was not retired because Mexico didn't request it. Please, look at the facts and stop making assumptions 'oh, its only mid-August and no hurricanes season is a bust inactive', and I'm tired of stressing this point if no one is going to listen and I had to rant and annoy you all for it last year too if you remember - we are ahead of schedule and conditions are primed for a change. The ECMWF shows a hurricane hitting the islands.. and that reverts right back to what I just said, do people on the islands not count? I know people who live in Barbados, I would be very upset if a bad hurricane hit them anytime soon.

Then look at this - this season the conditions are the same as last year and we're cranking out more storms that are facing the same conditions. What does that tell you? Once conditions lessen up, like they did last year, like they do EVERY year.. things will get active. You'll get your hurricane.

Sorry everyone, had to rant, very grumpy this PM, lol.


Very good post.
I have one question.
Did some one P____ on your wheaties this morning?
Post of they year? Year aint over but.....
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Wunderground World = The best video game EVAH!!

*starts writing code*
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ok where the two
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114703
Quoting stoormfury:
on the W/V image of ex 93L there appears to be the covregence of moderate convection from the south and southeast towards the system. Is this pull of convection from the south to the system is an indication that some kind of surface low trying to form?



may be
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114703
Hey, Teddy, we are limiting you to one cup of coffee a day from now on. :)
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I wrote you a lettter aussiestorm,,it should be arriving via Kanagroo any day.

: )
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on the W/V image of ex 93L there appears to be the covregence of moderate convection from the south and southeast towards the system. Is this pull of convection from the south to the system is an indication that some kind of surface low trying to form?
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Patrap. Sounds uber interesting but be careful.
Please don't do anything to jepordize your standing or involvement in the blog. If you are SURE it's ok than bring it on...
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Looks to me like dry air is starting to rap into ex93l.
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Pacific may hold key to Atlantic hurricanes
Not sure if this was posted before.


Seen something like that before.

Some of it is self explanatory, for example if storms are not in the East Pacific, systems in the Caribbean have more room to spread feeder bands and not be outcompeted.

Other parts are to do with the PDO, which switched to negative a little while ago (2008). This of course leads to more La Ninas and we all know what the impact is on the Atlantic season. Not seen any link between the PDO and AMO, to be honest. They typically switch of their own accord. Be very groundbreaking if they find one, however.

All in all, it's a nice article, though it's a bit vague and covers some theories and findings that have been around for a while (like the decadal oscillations). At the end, Klotzbach and Gray have interesting statements. We can have a good look at the factors with negative PDO as it last switched in the mid 70s to the positive regime only when interest in the Pacific, at least in the East, began properly.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:



.. your kidding right? You do realize, that every hurricane season since the beginning of the satellite era has seen a hurricane? And why don't you give facts to back that up, you've been saying for a few days that there won't be any hurricanes this year and why is that? Look at the SST's in the Atlantic, they're sky rocking above normal.

You know why there is dry air? Downward MJO causing suppressing convection and an average amount of SAL. You know why half our systems are weak this year? They're trough splits.. tell me when was the last time you saw a trough split form off the eastern seaboard that became a Category 3-4 hurricane? 1984 is your answer. Then finally look at last year, one quick glance at wiki would be all it would take - here, I'll link it for you. Link. Ignore Alex, Alex was a one-off, not even 2005 saw a Category 2 in the Gulf in June. Please, look at TD2, Bonnie, Colin then TD5. Then also remember we had several other invests that attempted to become tropical depressions that year.. then look at when we had our first true major hurricane, and our first hurricane in over two months.

The 2nd to last week of August, then what happened with the upward MJO came spinning around? Season went out of hand. Okay sure - no US landfalls. Sorry to break it to you, the USA is not the only country on the map. You want to hear something? Karl caused $5.6 billion dollars in damages.. one Category. It was IIRC the 3rd most destructive hurricane to hit Mexico. It was not retired because Mexico didn't request it. Please, look at the facts and stop making assumptions 'oh, its only mid-August and no hurricanes season is a bust inactive', and I'm tired of stressing this point if no one is going to listen and I had to rant and annoy you all for it last year too if you remember - we are ahead of schedule and conditions are primed for a change. The ECMWF shows a hurricane hitting the islands.. and that reverts right back to what I just said, do people on the islands not count? I know people who live in Barbados, I would be very upset if a bad hurricane hit them anytime soon.

Then look at this - this season the conditions are the same as last year and we're cranking out more storms that are facing the same conditions. What does that tell you? Once conditions lessen up, like they did last year, like they do EVERY year.. things will get active. You'll get your hurricane.

Sorry everyone, had to rant, very grumpy this PM, lol.

Post of the year.
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Quoting AussieStorm:

2010 Maximum Wind Speed & ACE per storm.
North Atlantic
June 2010
Alex (85 ACE = 7.3725)
July 2010
TD02 (30 ACE = 0.0)
Bonnie (35 ACE = 0.49)
August 2010
Colin (50 ACE = 2.6375)
TD5 (30 ACE = 0.0)
Danielle (115 ACE = 21.805)
Earl (120 ACE = 27.9525)
Fiona (55 ACE = 3.2475)
September 2010
Gaston (35 ACE = 0.3675)
Hermine (55 ACE = 1.3725)
Igor (135 ACE = 42.7975)
Julia (115 ACE = 14.47)
Karl (105 ACE = 6.0375)
Lisa (70 ACE = 4.2)
Matthew (50 ACE = 1.3)
Nicole (35 ACE = 0.1225)

October 2010
Otto (75 ACE = 6.6125)
Paula (85 ACE = 7.0725)
Richard (80 ACE = 4.735)
Shary (65 ACE = 2.4575)
Tomas (85 ACE = 11.835)


Yep.August and September as always produce the most ACE units and it helped to jump the 2010 units the very strong longtrackers Danielle,Earl and Igor. Let's see how many strong longtrackers the 2011 season can spawn.
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Quoting Patrap:
Ranting is good for the soul here sometimes.

And Im proud to announce Ive been ban free for over a year now.


But I have a expose' Blog coming soon that's gonna ROCK da Wunderground World.

Its gonna right some serious wrong doing and also expose the length's that some entity went to damage the Threads here.

Oh we have our own world now. When did that happen? Why wasn't I told?


Anyways, gotta go, the missus is pissed I'm up so late. LOL. 3:50am isn't late, It's early. Night all. Pat, Keep the blog in nice condition till I get back, I no I can trust you.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:



.. your kidding right? You do realize, that every hurricane season since the beginning of the satellite era has seen a hurricane? And why don't you give facts to back that up, you've been saying for a few days that there won't be any hurricanes this year and why is that? Look at the SST's in the Atlantic, they're sky rocking above normal.

You know why there is dry air? Downward MJO causing suppressing convection and an average amount of SAL. You know why half our systems are weak this year? They're trough splits.. tell me when was the last time you saw a trough split form off the eastern seaboard that became a Category 3-4 hurricane? 1984 is your answer. Then finally look at last year, one quick glance at wiki would be all it would take - here, I'll link it for you. Link. Ignore Alex, Alex was a one-off, not even 2005 saw a Category 2 in the Gulf in June. Please, look at TD2, Bonnie, Colin then TD5. Then also remember we had several other invests that attempted to become tropical depressions that year.. then look at when we had our first true major hurricane, and our first hurricane in over two months.

The 2nd to last week of August, then what happened with the upward MJO came spinning around? Season went out of hand. Okay sure - no US landfalls. Sorry to break it to you, the USA is not the only country on the map. You want to hear something? Karl caused $5.6 billion dollars in damages.. one Category. It was IIRC the 3rd most destructive hurricane to hit Mexico. It was not retired because Mexico didn't request it. Please, look at the facts and stop making assumptions 'oh, its only mid-August and no hurricanes season is a bust inactive', and I'm tired of stressing this point if no one is going to listen and I had to rant and annoy you all for it last year too if you remember - we are ahead of schedule and conditions are primed for a change. The ECMWF shows a hurricane hitting the islands.. and that reverts right back to what I just said, do people on the islands not count? I know people who live in Barbados, I would be very upset if a bad hurricane hit them anytime soon.

Then look at this - this season the conditions are the same as last year and we're cranking out more storms that are facing the same conditions. What does that tell you? Once conditions lessen up, like they did last year, like they do EVERY year.. things will get active. You'll get your hurricane.

Sorry everyone, had to rant, very grumpy this PM, lol.


Teddy, I love you for this post. LOL.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
Prolly that Muifa.... Not sure in EPac.

Western North Pacific
May 2011
01W (25 ACE = 0.0)
02W (30 ACE = 0.0)
Aere (50 ACE = 2.8125)
Songda (140 ACE = 24.4775)
June 2011
Sarika (35 ACE = 0.6125)
Haima (40 ACE = 2.4025)
Meari (60 ACE = 5.6625)
July 2011
Ma-on (115 ACE=30.1375)
Tokage (25 ACE= 0.0)
Nock-ten (65 ACE=6.6375)
Muifa (140 ACE=48.66)
August 2011
Merbok (80 ACE= 8.8375)
13W (30 ACE = 0.0)
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Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Agree with that...but I think the swirl north of Bermuda won't ever be siginficant. ex-93L may actually get re-invested indeed, it looks better than 92L right now as it races westward toward the Lesser Antilles...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/vis-l.jpg

I think if it blows up to the point were they can't ignore it, they will have to invest it. Otherwise, I think it's going to be pretty much ignored by NHC because of it's location and short life-span potential.
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ime: 17:29:00Z
Coordinates: 28.5N 62.3667W
Acft. Static Air Press: 842.9 mb (~ 24.89 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 1,588 meters (~ 5,210 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1013.5 mb (~ 29.93 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 171° at 40 knots (From the S at ~ 46.0 mph)
Air Temp: 15.5°C (~ 59.9°F)
Dew Pt: 1.9°C (~ 35.4°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 41 knots (~ 47.1 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 30 knots (~ 34.5 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 3 mm/hr (~ 0.12 in/hr)
(*) Denotes suspect data
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28.4833N 62.35W
Acft. Static Air Press: 842.7 mb (~ 24.88 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 1,591 meters (~ 5,220 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1013.7 mb (~ 29.93 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 169° at 38 knots (From the SSE/S at ~ 43.7 mph)
Air Temp: 15.3°C (~ 59.5°F)
Dew Pt: 1.7°C (~ 35.1°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 39 knots (~ 44.8 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 31 knots* (~ 35.6 mph*)
SFMR Rain Rate: 3 mm/hr* (~ 0.12 in/hr*)
(*) Denotes suspect data
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Quoting aislinnpaps:


Let us know when you post it.



It will appear soon ,,unless others who are privy to the situ post on it furst.

But that is a vary, vary, small circle.
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Recon finding Winds between 40-45 in TD7 So looks like we will see Gert Very very soon
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Quoting Patrap:
Ranting is good for the soul here sometimes.

And Im proud to announce Ive been ban free for over a year now.


But I have a expose' Blog coming soon that's gonna ROCK da Wunderground World.

Its gonna right some serious wrong doing and also expose the length's that some entity went to damage the Threads here.


Let us know when you post it.
Member Since: August 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3115
Quoting AussieStorm:

What about WPAC?
Prolly that Muifa.... Not sure in EPac.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21432
Quoting AussieStorm:
Pacific may hold key to Atlantic hurricanes
Not sure if this was posted before.


Oh yeah man that's very widely speculated. Once the Atlantic active period eventually dies out, activity will more than likely switch back to the Pacific.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
I dunno why I let comments like this annoy the hell out of me any more.

You may indeed be right. Sure, against all current evidence to the contrary, you may indeed be right. But are you DEFINITELY right? Hell, no! Nobody knows, UNTIL IT HAPPENS. So lay off the I-have-God-speaking-to-my-left-ear complex, pls. TIA.

GOM heat does have an escape valve through the Gulf Stream.


Don't worry Baha.. I already slammed him down today @post 201. LOL.
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Pacific may hold key to Atlantic hurricanes
Not sure if this was posted before.


Very interesting story. Similar research has been around for a while, and I'm glad this is taking the spotlight more recently, as I've been looking into this research with great interest. Here is another similar journal article <http://metlab.cas.usf.edu/docs/research/jcollins/ Collins_Mason_2000.pdf>, and the author Dr. Jennifer Collins has published many other papers on the topic if you're interested.

Edit: Here is a citation for one of her more recent papers on the topic: Collins, J.M., 2010: Contrasting High North-East Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity with Low North Atlantic Activity. Southeastern Geographer, 50 (1), 83-98.
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ACE can pick up in a hurry in any season. Most of the main 'meat' comes from Cape Verde originating long trackers, particularly if they're intense.

Patience.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:


+13, wow. Thank you guys.


I had to stress that point, because sometimes being impatient is just as bad as wishcasting.
Exactly...my little non technical post was trying to say something similiar... about the same time:

Afternoon all. Isn't it typically quiet until about
now in the season? Some hurricanes that affected my area (Gulfcoast) over the years were only the 2nd or 3rd named storm and they developed much later than mid August. Granted it may have been a less active time overall but it only takes one and sometimes it's quality over quantity. And yes the GOM is hot, hot, hot...


Yours was more precise and better!
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Quoting yesterway:


Agreed. For those people who are anxious for hurricane development; you can relax. This is not going to be the season for hurricanes nor land falling US systems. It is going to remain quiet. Fish anyone?
I dunno why I let comments like this annoy the hell out of me any more.

You may indeed be right. Sure, against all current evidence to the contrary, you may indeed be right. But are you DEFINITELY right? Hell, no! Nobody knows, UNTIL IT HAPPENS. So lay off the I-have-God-speaking-to-my-left-ear complex, pls. TIA.

Quoting weatherh98:


if im right tho tropical systems form to bring equitorial heat to the poles, threfore something should eventually form in the gulf in some way just beacuase its so hot
GOM heat does have an escape valve through the Gulf Stream.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21432
Ranting is good for the soul here sometimes.

And Im proud to announce Ive been ban free for over a year now.


But I have a expose' Blog coming soon that's gonna ROCK da Wunderground World.

Its gonna right some serious wrong doing and also expose the length's that some entity went to damage the Threads here.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
So far the ACE for the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season is a very anemic 10.305. It has to pickup fast because it will not be above 100 units to be considered an active season.

2010 Maximum Wind Speed & ACE per storm.
North Atlantic
June 2010
Alex (85 ACE = 7.3725)
July 2010
TD02 (30 ACE = 0.0)
Bonnie (35 ACE = 0.49)
August 2010
Colin (50 ACE = 2.6375)
TD5 (30 ACE = 0.0)
Danielle (115 ACE = 21.805)
Earl (120 ACE = 27.9525)
Fiona (55 ACE = 3.2475)
September 2010
Gaston (35 ACE = 0.3675)
Hermine (55 ACE = 1.3725)
Igor (135 ACE = 42.7975)
Julia (115 ACE = 14.47)
Karl (105 ACE = 6.0375)
Lisa (70 ACE = 4.2)
Matthew (50 ACE = 1.3)
Nicole (35 ACE = 0.1225)

October 2010
Otto (75 ACE = 6.6125)
Paula (85 ACE = 7.0725)
Richard (80 ACE = 4.735)
Shary (65 ACE = 2.4575)
Tomas (85 ACE = 11.835)
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32 knots
(~ 36.8 mph) 4 mm/hr
(~ 0.16 in/hr) 31.2 knots (~ 35.8 mph)
84.2%
17:28:30Z 28.483N 62.350W 842.7 mb
(~ 24.88 inHg) 1,591 meters
(~ 5,220 feet) 1013.7 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 169° at 38 knots
(From between the SSE and S at ~ 43.7 mph) 15.3°C
(~ 59.5°F) 1.7°C
(~ 35.1°F) 39 knots
(~ 44.8 mph) 31 knots*
(~ 35.6 mph*) 3 mm/hr*
(~ 0.12 in/hr*) 30.2 knots* (~ 34.7 mph*)
79.5%*
17:29:00Z 28.500N 62.367W 842.9 mb
(~ 24.89 inHg) 1,588 meters
(~ 5,210 feet) 1013.5 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 171° at 40 knots
(From the S at ~ 46.0 mph) 15.5°C
(~ 59.9°F) 1.9°C
(~ 35.4°F) 41 knots
(~ 47.1 mph) 30 knots
(~ 34.5 mph) 3 mm/hr
(~ 0.12 in/hr)
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114703
Quoting CybrTeddy:


13, wow. Thank you guys.


I had to stress that point, because sometimes being impatient is just as bad as wishcasting.


Right...and as they say...it ain't over until the fat lady sings...and I reckon the fat lady's favorite month is September...

...but I hope that no one gets slammed during the peak of the season...the best thing we can get is some rain for Texas from a tropical storm that spins up in the GOM....
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Quoting Cotillion:
CybrTeddy's tirade should be saved and reproduced anytime we have similar statements about 'all fish', 'no hurricanes' etc.


the famous ted rant speech of august 2011, lol. havent seen anyone on the blog get 16 likes on their posts yet except the doc's blog updates.

afternoon everyone.
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Those storms have kept the temps down here today as well.

Thankfully.


Fresca is fully stocked now thru Thanksgiving.
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Quoting Patrap:
The Chart,, brought to you by, FRESCA.


Oh! Your chart is making me want a Fresca soooo bad!:)
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Afternoon all. Heya Pat, I was asking about you yesterday, Press told me you'd gone to the store for some Fresca.

We're having a cool day, only 87 degrees. Had a storm last night. I was dancing. Of course, my white dogs came in this morning as wet orange dogs from the wet red clay soup they romped in.
Member Since: August 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3115
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Quoting Mucinex:
Anybody got thoughts on the TWO?

I'm thinking TD7 becomes Gert and ex-93L gets reinvested. 50/50 on the swirl north of Bermuda.


Also,nice blow up of convection in NE Gulf. Hope it stretches around the curve into Texas.



Agree with that...but I think the swirl north of Bermuda won't ever be siginficant. ex-93L may actually get re-invested indeed, it looks better than 92L right now as it races westward toward the Lesser Antilles...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/vis-l.jpg
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Quoting weatherh98:
cyberteddys rant almost as more plusses than the blog itself


21, wow. Thank you guys.


I had to stress that point, because sometimes being impatient is just as bad as wishcasting.
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Quoting hunkerdown:
y'know, I can even see those Fresca colors in the version of The Chart


ahh,,Im glad you saw that as it was the intent.

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Pacific may hold key to Atlantic hurricanes
Not sure if this was posted before.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.