Four invests in the Atlantic; fair weather in Arctic to drive rapid sea ice loss

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:38 PM GMT on August 12, 2011

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It's a busy day in the tropical Atlantic, with the National Hurricane Center tracking four areas of interest (Invests.) None of these systems is a danger to any land areas over the next three days. The disturbance of most concern is the one farthest from land, a tropical wave that emerged from the coast of Africa two days ago. This wave, (Invest 93L), is located about 500 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, and is moving westward at 15 - 20 mph. Recent visible satellite loops show that 93L has lost some of its heavy thunderstorms since yesterday, and the system is poorly organized, though there is a good deal of spin to the system. There is dry air to its north that is interfering with development. The SHIPS model and University of Wisconsin CIMSS wind shear analysis are showing high wind shear in excess 20 knots affecting 93L, which has undoubtedly contributed to the storm's loss of organization. Sea surface temperatures are 27.5°C, which is one degree above the 26.5°C threshold usually needed to support a tropical storm.


Figure 1. Morning satellite photo of the four Invests in the Atlantic today.

Forecast for 93L
High wind shear above 20 knots is predicted along 93L's path through Saturday afternoon, followed by a drop to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, for the succeeding four days. This should allow the storm to organize over the weekend. The latest 00Z and 06Z model runs of the four best models for predicting tropical storm formation (GFS, ECMWF, NOGAPS, and UKMET), have only one model, the GFS, that is indicating significant development of 93L. This model brings 93L near the northern Lesser Antilles Islands by Wednesday. NHC gave 93L a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday morning in their 8am outlook. Given 93L's recent struggles, I'd put these odds at 30%.

92L
An African wave midway between the northern Lesser Antilles Islands and the coast of Africa, near 18°N 45°W, is moving west-northwest at 20 mph. This system, (Invest 92L), is being given a 40% chance of development by NHC. Recent visible satellite loops show a modest amount of heavy thunderstorm activity, but no signs of a surface circulation. A Windsat pass from 8:04 am EDT this morning also showed no surface circulation, and noted top winds of around 35 mph. Water vapor satellite loops show that a large area of dry air surrounds 92L, and this dry air is causing problems for the storm. The SHIPS model and University of Wisconsin CIMSS wind shear analysis are showing moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots affecting 92L. Sea surface temperatures are 27 - 27.5°C, which is a degree above the 26.5°C threshold usually needed to support a tropical storm.

Forecast for 92L
Moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots is predicted along 92L's path over the coming five days, which should allow the storm to organize if it can handle the dry air surrounding it. The latest 00Z and 06Z model runs of the four best models for predicting tropical storm formation (GFS, ECMWF, NOGAPS, and UKMET) show weak development or no development of 92L, and NHC gave 92L a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday morning in their 8am outlook. A steady west-northwest motion for 92L is predicted by all of the models, which should make the storm miss the Lesser Antilles by a comfortable margin. However, Bermuda may be at risk from 92L next week.

94L
A broad low pressure system about 700 miles northeast of the northern Lesser Antilles Islands has developed a small amount of heavy thunderstorm activity, and may be a threat to become a tropical depression early next week. This system, (Invest 94L), is currently headed west-southwest at 10 mph, but is expected to turn northwest later today. Recent visible satellite loops show some spin to the cloud pattern at middle levels of the atmosphere, but no signs of a surface circulation. This system is also battling dry air, which is keeping the its heavy thunderstorms relatively meager. The SHIPS model is showing moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots affecting 94L. Sea surface temperatures are 28°C.

Forecast for 94L
Moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots is predicted along 94L's path over the coming five days, which should allow slow development, if it can handle the dry air surrounding it. None of our reliable models for predicting tropical storm formation (GFS, ECMWF, NOGAPS, and UKMET) show no development of 94L, and NHC gave 94L just a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday morning in their 8am outlook. Bermuda is the only land area that needs to be concerned with 94L.

95L
The final invest out there is an area of disturbed weather along on old frontal boundary several hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina. This sytem, Invest 95L, is headed northeastwards out to sea, and is not a threat to any land areas.



Figure 2. Arctic sea ice extent on August 11, 2011, was the 2nd lowest on record for the date. The Northeast Passage and Northwest Passage (southern route) were both ice-free. Image credit: UIUC Cryosphere Today.

Arctic sea ice poised to undergo record decline in mid-August
A strong high pressure system with a central pressure of 1035 mb has developed over the Arctic north of Alaska, and will bring clear skies and warm southerly winds to northeast Siberia and the Arctic during the coming week, accelerating Arctic sea ice loss. Widespread areas of northeastern Siberia are expected to see air temperatures 4 - 12°C (7 - 22°F) above average during the coming week, and the clockwise flow of air around the high pressure system centered north of Alaska will pump this warm air into the Arctic. Arctic sea ice extent, currently slightly higher than the record low values set in 2007, should fall to to its lowest extent for the date by the third week of August as the clear skies and warm southerly winds melt ice and push it away from the coast of Siberia. This weather pattern, known as the Arctic Dipole, was also responsible for the record sea ice loss in 2007, but was stronger that year. The weather conditions that led to the 2007 record were quite extreme--one 2008 study led by Jennifer Kay of the National Center for Atmospheric Research showed that 2007's combination of high pressure and sunny skies in the Arctic occur, on average, only once every 10 - 20 years. The 2011 summer weather pattern in the Arctic has not been nearly as extreme as in 2007, but the total sea ice volume has declined significantly since 2007, leading to much loss of old, thick, multi-year ice, making it easier to set a new low extent record with less extreme weather conditions. The GFS model is predicting that the Arctic Dipole will weaken by 8 - 15 days from now, with cloudier weather and weaker high pressure over the Arctic. This should slow down the rate of Arctic sea ice loss to very near the record low values observed in 2007. It remains to be seen if 2011 Arctic sea ice extent will surpass the all-time low set in September 2007; it will be close, and will depend on the weather conditions of late August and early September, which are not predictable at this time. It is already possible to sail completely around the North Pole in ice-free waters through the Northeast Passage and Northwest Passage, according to sea ice maps maintained by the UIUC Cryosphere Today website. This marks the fourth consecutive year--and the fourth time in recorded history--both of these Arctic shipping routes have melted free. Mariners have been attempting to sail these passages since 1497. This year, the Northeast Passage along the north coast of Russia melted free several weeks earlier than its previous record early opening.

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Jeff Masters

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180. Baybuddy 12:58 PM EDT on August 12, 2011

If there is any truth to that star/heat wave issue then we are all looking in the wrong direction for DOOM; we need to keep looking up..........
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Polar Climate Change May Lead to Ecological Change

ScienceDaily (Aug. 11, 2011)- Ice and frozen ground at the North and South Poles are affected by climate change induced warming, but the consequences of thawing at each pole differ due to the geography and geology, according to a Penn State hydrologist.

"The polar regions, particularly the Arctic, are warming faster than the rest of the world," Michael N. Gooseff, associate professor of civil and environmental engineering, told attendees August 11 at the 96th annual meeting of the Ecological Society of America in Austin, Texas. "As a consequence, polar ecosystems respond directly to changes in the Earth systems at the poles."

These changes, though different at each pole, could be significant in their effects on not only the local environment, but also globally. While the central part of the Arctic is composed of ice over water, northern Canada, Alaska, Siberia and Greenland all have landmasses within the Arctic Circle. The associated land and water ecosystems are affected by melting ice and thawing soils, but in Antarctica, where much of the ice overlays a continent, the warming alters streams, lakes and the tiny plants and animals that live there.


Link

The National Science Foundation Office of Polar Programs supported this work.
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Quoting Skyepony:
Jed~ You haven't been kidding..your hogging all the rain! Incredible pics.

Here's that pic I promised from my vacation in Mills River, NC a few weeks ago where a 20' long poplar tree top nearly took out my tent. Was ironic after all my "tents won't protect you from trees" preaching. I'd went to a friend's house for the storm.


Lucky it wasn't bigger...
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
that would go great with the mobile weather station with the flush model

<


No, the one with the mobile HAARP...ooops, sorry PrivateIdaho, HFAARP device...LOL
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Quoting Skyepony:
Jed~ You haven't been kidding..your hogging all the rain! Incredible pics.

Here's that pic I promised from my vacation in Mills River, NC a few weeks ago where a 20' long poplar tree top nearly took out my tent. Was ironic after all my "tents won't protect you from trees" preaching. I'd went to a friend's house for the storm.
Ugh. Had that happen, once, but it was a 2-foot diameter pine...and it didn't miss. Full-on, trunk across middle of tent.

No one was in the tent, at the moment, but 90 seconds earlier...
That was a bit scary.
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Quoting CorneliaMarie:
Proposed Solar Project Sparks Fear of Desert Tortoise Wipeout


By Stephen Clark

Published August 12, 2011
| FoxNews.com






They would probably enjoy the shade.
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Quoting NEwxguy:


Your the only guy on here who can chastise someone and they will thankyou for the compliment.


Ummm, thanks? LOL

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Quoting TampaTom:
Central Florida Hurricane Center?

New one on me. 'Specially since I live in Central Florida and do hurricane ed all day...


Central Florida Hurricane Center has been around since 1995. It is a tropical weather site which includes maps, updates, and a blog.
Link
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000
NOUS42 KNHC 121400 COR
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT FRI 12 AUGUST 2011
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z AUGUST 2011
TCPOD NUMBER.....11-073

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 14/1800Z NEAR 24.0N 59.0W.
3. REMARKS: FOLLOW-ON FLIGHT ON 15 AUG AT 18Z NEAR 28N 64W. THEN
12 HOURLY REQUIREMENTS AFTER THAT. POSSIBLE TASKING ON
SUBSEQUENT ATLANTIC SYSTEM ON 16 AUG. ---CORRECTED
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115252
202. Skyepony (Mod)
Jed~ You haven't been kidding..your hogging all the rain! Incredible pics.

Here's that pic I promised from my vacation in Mills River, NC a few weeks ago where a 20' long poplar tree top nearly took out my tent. Was ironic after all my "tents won't protect you from trees" preaching. I'd went to a friend's house for the storm.
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Quoting Floodman:


Moi? Offend? NEVER...buwahahahahaha


Your the only guy on here who can chastise someone and they will thankyou for the compliment.
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199. MTWX
Quoting Stormchaser2007:

lookin better by the minute!
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Quoting TampaTom:


Robin Meade is a man?


Lol...that's a litle sick, man
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am sure 93L will start looking better has well
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115252
Quoting Floodman:


Wow! The "Coolie 5000"!
that would go great with the mobile weather station with the flush model

<
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Quoting Floodman:


Because the loss of ice effects EVERYTHING


True. Loss of ice means warmer drinks.

Maybe if I take a weeks supply of ice from my ice-maker, and UPS it to the Arctic, we can help stop that drastic loss.

I think I could stand warm Pepsi for a week if it'll save the planet.
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Quoting Stormchaser2007:



95L looks like at lest a TD or TS at this time
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115252
92L looks a lot better
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115252
Quoting atmoaggie:
You *could* make a laptop. Or even, an over-the-shoulder mobile computer!



Wow! The "Coolie 5000"!
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Quoting Baybuddy:
Scientists Trace Heat Wave To Massive Star At Center Of Solar System
August 8, 2011

According to scientists, the large star could be described as a tremendous ball of energy.

04.03.10 PASADENA, CA—Groundbreaking new findings announced Monday suggest the record-setting heat wave plaguing much of the United States may be due to radiation emitted from an enormous star located in the center of the solar system.

Scientists believe the star, which they have named G2V65, may in fact be the same bright yellow orb seen arcing over the sky day after day, and given its extreme heat and proximity to Earth, it is likely not only to have caused the heat wave, but to be responsible for every warm day in human history.

"Our measurements indicate the massive amount of energy this thing gives off is able to travel 93 million miles and reach our planet is as little as eight and a half minutes," said Professor Mitch Kivens, an astronomer at the California Institute of Technology. "While we can't see them, we're fairly certain these infrared rays strike Earth's surface, become trapped by the atmosphere, and just heat everything up like a great big oven."

"We originally thought that if this star was producing temperatures of 100-plus in the South and Midwest, it must be at least 100 degrees itself," Kivens added. "But it turns out it's far, far hotter than that, with a surface temperature of nearly 10,900 degrees Fahrenheit."

Kivens and his CalTech colleagues said this intense radiation, which results from constant nuclear reactions converting hydrogen to helium in the star's core, could also account for why the orb in the sky is extremely bright and difficult to stare at directly.

While scientists initially assumed the heat and luminescence of the star must make it the largest in the universe—a theory lent credence by the star appearing much bigger than other objects in the sky—they said the data actually appear to refute such a notion.

"Apparently it's gigantic simply because it's closer to us than any other star," Kivens said. "Which would also account for why we feel this particular star's heat during the day but are not warmed by the tiny blinking stars we see at night."

"It's interesting stuff," he added.

According to Kivens, the discovery has prompted researchers to explore the possibility that a variety of phenomena accompanying the heat wave could also be linked to the star, including taller grass, hot car seats, red skin burns, and sweating "even when one has just been standing there and hasn't been running around or anything."

An additional study is reportedly being conducted to determine if the unexplained shrinking of puddles until they disappear may be caused by star-hotness soaking up all the loose water. Moreover, scientists reportedly believe the heat emitted from the glowing orb could potentially be the reason why it is uncomfortable to walk on asphalt barefoot.

When asked if anything could be done to prevent or counteract the star's heat production, Kivens expressed skepticism.

"No, for the foreseeable future, I think we're locked into orbit with this thing," he said. "Although the star seems to disappear every night, 24-hour reports from around the world seem to indicate the star never leaves Earth entirely."

Residents of heat- and drought-stricken regions welcomed the findings, thankful to finally have an explanation for the high temperatures, if no relief from them.

"That makes sense, because it's usually hotter when that [star] is up in the air," said Stillwater, OK resident Asher Arps, 31, speaking to reporters as temperature rose to 110 degrees over the weekend. "I knew it lit things up, of course, but I didn't realize it could make things hot."

"The big star heats the earth, and the moon cools it—I get it," he added.

As to potential applications of the new discovery, experts acknowledge the possibilities could be limitless.

"This is a watershed moment," renewable energy specialist Dr. Martin Flint said. "Who knows where this could lead? Perhaps we could develop a method of harnessing these big star rays and transforming them into some sort of ecologically friendly power source."

"Wait, what am I saying?" he said, laughing. "I'm getting ahead of myself. We still don't understand how it's possible for that thing to be up in the sky in January when it's freezing outside."

100000000+
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Quoting BeanTech:


Actually, I'd prefer Robin Meade....but whatever floats your boat.


Robin Meade is a man?
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Quoting mcluvincane:


GFS is trash at this point. Every run has a different dramatic solution.


Looks like Models are unable to show accuracy considering Invests.... Maybe because Most of the data that support them is from the moment they acquired tropical depression status or characteristics or storm, hurricane behaviour... Invests do not behave the same way a TS does...
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Quoting Baybuddy:
Scientists Trace Heat Wave To Massive Star At Center Of Solar System
August 8, 2011

According to scientists, the large star could be described as a tremendous ball of energy.

04.03.10 PASADENA, CA—Groundbreaking new findings announced Monday suggest the record-setting heat wave plaguing much of the United States may be due to radiation emitted from an enormous star located in the center of the solar system.
Umm, where? LOL.

Or, maybe, it's just summer.
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Quoting kmanislander:


And extreme flip flops are not to be trusted. This run may be overplaying the current shear which stretches to nearly 40W.

The best advice is to watch and wait.


Well said...and needs to be said about every hour or so throughout the storm season here.
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Quoting atmoaggie:
You *could* make a laptop. Or even, an over-the-shoulder mobile computer!



roflmbo...yeah...ummm...i'll just stick with my iphone in there lol
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Quoting Levi32:
As I mentioned yesterday, we probably shouldn't be too excited about 93L developing right off the bat. It may in fact be several days before we see it try to do anything, and of course there is the chance that it never develops either. However, given the time of year, the fact that the MJO is returning, and the fact that extremely warm waters await it farther west, chances are it will at least try to flare up closer to the Caribbean, or inside of the Caribbean. It's almost bad news that it is staying weak, as that could keep it farther south, more towards the heart of the eastern Caribbean.Levi, good presentation on Barometer Bob yesterday.
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Quoting Levi32:
As I mentioned yesterday, we probably shouldn't be too excited about 93L developing right off the bat. It may in fact be several days before we see it try to do anything, and of course there is the chance that it never develops either. However, given the time of year, the fact that the MJO is returning, and the fact that extremely warm waters await it farther west, chances are it will at least try to flare up closer to the Caribbean, or inside of the Caribbean. It's almost bad news that it is staying weak, as that could keep it farther south, more towards the heart of the eastern Caribbean.


I agree. Heart of the Eastern Caribbean would NOT be good, because if it waits until then to strengthen, it may begin to move more WNW and it could very well be another threat to Hispanola.
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Scientists Trace Heat Wave To Massive Star At Center Of Solar System
August 8, 2011

According to scientists, the large star could be described as a tremendous ball of energy.

04.03.10 PASADENA, CA—Groundbreaking new findings announced Monday suggest the record-setting heat wave plaguing much of the United States may be due to radiation emitted from an enormous star located in the center of the solar system.

Scientists believe the star, which they have named G2V65, may in fact be the same bright yellow orb seen arcing over the sky day after day, and given its extreme heat and proximity to Earth, it is likely not only to have caused the heat wave, but to be responsible for every warm day in human history.

"Our measurements indicate the massive amount of energy this thing gives off is able to travel 93 million miles and reach our planet is as little as eight and a half minutes," said Professor Mitch Kivens, an astronomer at the California Institute of Technology. "While we can't see them, we're fairly certain these infrared rays strike Earth's surface, become trapped by the atmosphere, and just heat everything up like a great big oven."

"We originally thought that if this star was producing temperatures of 100-plus in the South and Midwest, it must be at least 100 degrees itself," Kivens added. "But it turns out it's far, far hotter than that, with a surface temperature of nearly 10,900 degrees Fahrenheit."

Kivens and his CalTech colleagues said this intense radiation, which results from constant nuclear reactions converting hydrogen to helium in the star's core, could also account for why the orb in the sky is extremely bright and difficult to stare at directly.

While scientists initially assumed the heat and luminescence of the star must make it the largest in the universe—a theory lent credence by the star appearing much bigger than other objects in the sky—they said the data actually appear to refute such a notion.

"Apparently it's gigantic simply because it's closer to us than any other star," Kivens said. "Which would also account for why we feel this particular star's heat during the day but are not warmed by the tiny blinking stars we see at night."

"It's interesting stuff," he added.

According to Kivens, the discovery has prompted researchers to explore the possibility that a variety of phenomena accompanying the heat wave could also be linked to the star, including taller grass, hot car seats, red skin burns, and sweating "even when one has just been standing there and hasn't been running around or anything."

An additional study is reportedly being conducted to determine if the unexplained shrinking of puddles until they disappear may be caused by star-hotness soaking up all the loose water. Moreover, scientists reportedly believe the heat emitted from the glowing orb could potentially be the reason why it is uncomfortable to walk on asphalt barefoot.

When asked if anything could be done to prevent or counteract the star's heat production, Kivens expressed skepticism.

"No, for the foreseeable future, I think we're locked into orbit with this thing," he said. "Although the star seems to disappear every night, 24-hour reports from around the world seem to indicate the star never leaves Earth entirely."

Residents of heat- and drought-stricken regions welcomed the findings, thankful to finally have an explanation for the high temperatures, if no relief from them.

"That makes sense, because it's usually hotter when that [star] is up in the air," said Stillwater, OK resident Asher Arps, 31, speaking to reporters as temperature rose to 110 degrees over the weekend. "I knew it lit things up, of course, but I didn't realize it could make things hot."

"The big star heats the earth, and the moon cools it—I get it," he added.

As to potential applications of the new discovery, experts acknowledge the possibilities could be limitless.

"This is a watershed moment," renewable energy specialist Dr. Martin Flint said. "Who knows where this could lead? Perhaps we could develop a method of harnessing these big star rays and transforming them into some sort of ecologically friendly power source."

"Wait, what am I saying?" he said, laughing. "I'm getting ahead of myself. We still don't understand how it's possible for that thing to be up in the sky in January when it's freezing outside."

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Quoting kmanislander:


You can say that again ! ( pun intended )


Pun gratefully, nay gleefully accepted...LOL
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and the blog takes 1 big chill pill.....Levi and kman are like sedatives. Levity is a wonderful thing.

hmm storms moving inland from the coast/ rain moving away from coast...weird flow off of SWFL
Link
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great update as usual Levi! very detailed and informative

I think Levi should be the head meteorologist and head of the national hurricane center :)

Your tropical forecasting skills are amazing
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Quoting tiggeriffic:


crawling into fallout shelter...wish i had a laptop...
You *could* make a laptop. Or even, an over-the-shoulder mobile computer!

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Quoting Stormchaser2007:


It's not like it's the only model not developing it.

It has the support from the models including the ECMWF.


Good point. Having the ECMWF is a bonus, as I mentioned the ECMWF hasn't been to good on picking up a system for some reason this year IMO, but to my knowledge has not showed a 'ghost storm' this year.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24251
Quoting NEwxguy:


Will have to google this to help me decide whether I should put you on ignore for offensive language.


Moi? Offend? NEVER...buwahahahahaha
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Conditions do not look good out in the Atlantic and were getting close to mid August. I wouldn't be surprised if nothing develops at this point. It could be many days down the road until we see a TD form with the very low instability out there. Might have to wait on the MJO for the real fireworks to begin.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:


As kman mentioned, huge swings like that are not to be trusted. Looks to be overdoing the ahead conditions.


It's not like it's the only model not developing it.

The GFS has the support from the models including the ECMWF.
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Quoting Stormchaser2007:
It seems it's becoming less likely that 93L will become a cyclone before moving through the Windward islands.

95L may become a tropical depression or storm tonight or tomorrow.



Hey everyone, who let Einstein out??

Re-Re
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As I mentioned yesterday, we probably shouldn't be too excited about 93L developing right off the bat. It may in fact be several days before we see it try to do anything, and of course there is the chance that it never develops either. However, given the time of year, the fact that the MJO is returning, and the fact that extremely warm waters await it farther west, chances are it will at least try to flare up closer to the Caribbean, or inside of the Caribbean. It's almost bad news that it is staying weak, as that could keep it farther south, more towards the heart of the eastern Caribbean.
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Quoting Stormchaser2007:
12z GFS throws 93L into the BOC as a weak wave which is later absorbed by a developing EPAC storm.

The GFS was 93L's number one fan. Not good to loose it for development.


As kman mentioned, huge swings like that are not to be trusted. Looks to be overdoing the ahead conditions.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24251
Quoting JNCali:

Tsar Bomba... now that's global warming!


Tsar Bomba, for when you really want to get the guy but only know his location within 250 miles or so...
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agreed kman. good point

models are models and they can say anything anytime. as we all know, the GFS is notorious for being weird sometimes

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Quoting Floodman:


Indeed...with great alacrity, I would suspect...LOL

Could we move him away from the infrastructure a bit before detonation, do you suppose?


crawling into fallout shelter...wish i had a laptop...
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Quoting NEwxguy:
Flood my friend things are doing well up here,although it looks like our summer is done.We have cooled down drasticly and turned very rainy around 5 inches already this month. Oops,I guess I shouldn't mention the subject or rain around Texans should I?


Yes, moisture is a sore subject here...I'll tell you what: you can keep the moisture if you take some 110 degree days from us
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Quoting P451:


I love how the 10%'er - of no threat to any land - is the one that is going to form.

:)



That's the theme this year so far.

Short-lived and OTS.
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Quoting CitikatzSouthFL:

94 is the wicked spawn of Emily. Guess it just wants to go back and check out mama's vacation spot in the Carib!


Thanks ... gotta stay on top of these things! I believe the Doom chart should be making an appearance any day now :)
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Levi!

just the man we all wanted to see

mornin!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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