Don closing in on Texas; 91L a potential threat to the Lesser Antilles

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:22 PM GMT on July 29, 2011

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Tropical storm warnings are flying along the coast of Texas from Brownsville to Matagorda as Tropical Storm Don closes in on the Texas coast. Don remains a disorganized, moderate strength tropical storm, and appears unlikely to cause major damage or bring much-needed drought-busting rains to Texas. A hurricane hunter plane is in Don, and found highest surface winds of 55 mph at 11:06am EDT. Don continues to have trouble with moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots, which is injecting dry air to the northwest into the storm. Water vapor satellite images show this region of dry air to the northwest of Don. Visible satellite imagery from this morning shows little change to Don so far today, with most of the heavy thunderstorms on Don's south side, and the cloud pattern elongated, the sign of a storm struggling with wind shear. Radar out of Brownsville, Texas shows the main rain areas are on the south of Don's center, and bands of heavy rain are now very close to the Texas/Mexico border.


Figure 1. Morning image of Tropical Storm Don from the Brownsville, Texas radar.


Figure 2. The latest drought map for Texas shows that over 75% of the state is in exceptional drought--the highest category of drought. Image credit: U.S. Drought Monitor.

Forecast for Don
The wind shear and dry air affecting Don will continue until landfall, and it is unlikely Don will intensify to more than a 60 mph tropical storm. With most of the heavy thunderstorms displaced to the south side of the storm, Mexico will be the primary beneficiary of Don's expected rains of 3 - 5 inches. South Texas will see modest rains of 1 - 2 inches over a few isolated areas, but Don is going to do very little to bring drought relief to the state. Most of Don's rains in Texas will be concentrated in the extreme southern portion of the state near Brownsville. This portion of Texas is experiencing only moderate drought, and the extreme to exceptional drought areas of the state will miss the bulk of Don's rains.

For those of you wondering about your odds of experiencing tropical storm force winds, I recommend NHC's wind probability forecast. The 11 am version of this forecast shows that Corpus Christi Texas has the highest chance of tropical storm-force winds (39+ mph): 48%. The primary threat from Don will be heavy rain, which will caused localized flooding problems. An isolated tornado is also a possible concern.


Figure 3. Morning satellite image of 91L.

African wave 91L a potential threat to the Lesser Antilles
A well-organized African wave near 9°N 44°W (Invest 91L) is headed west-northwest at 15 - 20 mph, and could arrive in the vicinity of the Lesser Antilles Islands as early as Monday night. Residents of the Lesser Antilles should pay careful attention to this system, as it has the potential to organize into a tropical storm before reaching the islands. While visible satellite loops currently show only minimal heavy thunderstorm activity and no signs of a surface circulation, there is a pronounced large-scale rotation to the cloud pattern. Water vapor satellite loops show that a large area of dry air from Africa lies just to the north of 91L, and this dry air is inhibiting development. The SHIPS model is diagnosing low shear, 5 - 10 knots, over 91L, but the University of Wisconsin CIMSS analysis shows that moderate shear, 10 - 20 knots, is affecting 91L. Sea surface temperatures are 27.5° - 28°C, which is 1° above the 26.5°C threshold usually needed to support a tropical storm.

Forecast for 91L
Low to moderate wind shear of 5 - 15 knots is predicted along 91L's path over the coming three days, which should allow the storm to steadily organize, assuming it can shut out any incursions of dry air that might intrude. The latest 06Z run of the GFS model does show 91L developing into a tropical storm by Monday, but the other three most reliable models for forecasting formation of a tropical storm--the ECMWF, NOGAPS, and UKMET models--show little or no development of 91L in their latest runs. On Monday, when most of the models predict that squalls of rain from 91L will begin affecting the Lesser Antilles, wind shear is expected to rise to the moderate or high range, which should act to interfere with development. The latest runs of the GFDL and HWRF models show 91L developing into a hurricane by Monday, but these models are not to be trusted for systems that have not developed into a tropical depression yet. The long-range path of 91L could take it through the Caribbean or towards the U.S. East Coast; it is too early to know with path might be more probable. NHC is giving a 30% chance that 91L will develop into a tropical depression by Sunday morning.

Iran records its hottest temperature of all-time
Omidieh, Iran and Shoshtar, Iran hit a scorching 52.6°C (126.6°F) on July 27, the hottest temperatures ever recorded in the country. The previous record was 52.5°C (126.5°F) set in Hamidiyeh on August 4, 2001. If confirmed by the Iranian weather service, these readings would rank as the third hottest undisputed temperatures ever measured in Asia. There have been only two Asian readings matching or exceeding Wednesday's new Iranian record of 52.6°C that are undisputed that I am aware of. Both of these occurred last year, and were recognized by their respective country's meteorological services as new official records for their country:

53.5° (128.3°F) in Moenjodaro, Pakistan on May 26, 2010
52.6°C (126.7°F) in Abdaly, Kuwait on June 10, 2010

Iran is the third nation this year to set a new all-time heat record (no nations have set an all-time coldest temperature record this year, or did so in 2010.) The Democratic Republic of the Congo, the world's 12th largest country, set a new all-time extreme heat record on March 8, 2011, when the temperature hit 39.2°C (102.6°F) at M'Pouya. Congo's previous all-time hottest temperature was 39.0°C (102.2°F) at Impfondo on May 14, 2005.

Also this July, a 50.2°C temperature was measured at Aydyngkol Lake, China--the highest temperature on record at any official Chinese weather station. Next week, our weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, will report on this record. Credit for researching these records goes to weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, who maintains a comprehensive set of world extreme temperature records on his web site.

Vacation
I'm taking some time off today through August 9 for a family celebration and vacation, and don't plan on blogging again until August 10 unless a major hurricane develops. In my absence, Angela Fritz will be handling most of the blogging duties, and she will have a post on the latest for Don this afternoon. Angela is on Pacific time, so her posts will be later in the day than I make them.

Jeff Masters

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1046. Jedkins01
3:08 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting Huracaneer:
Wow, Don just evaporated, it hit land and went "poof", we have heavier storms in Florida just left over from our standard afternoon thunder storms, weird. A Link to the radar loop. We had a similar case in the west coast of Fl a few years back (Alberto?) does anyone remember?


Well, we at least had several inches from heavy rain bands and wind gusts to tropical storm force here in Pinellas County from Alberto, South Texas didn't even get that...
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8014
1045. Jedkins01
3:06 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting FLWxChaser:
Half a dollar already? I'll admit I wasn't expecting that so soon.


hey, at least its not 156 dollars yet :)
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8014
1044. Huracaneer
2:14 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Wow, Don just evaporated, it hit land and went "poof", we have heavier storms in Florida just left over from our standard afternoon thunder storms, weird. A Link to the radar loop. We had a similar case in the west coast of Fl a few years back (Alberto?) does anyone remember?
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 317
1043. popartpete
1:18 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting popartpete:
Cool. It's nice to meet another tropical fan so close.
I've been through three Jersey Shore hurricanes: Belle in '76, Gloria in '85, and Floyd in '99, although officially he was a 70 mph tropical storm at the time he crossed past the Delmarva. I was out filming him like I was filming the Olympics, and the Royal Wedding at the same time.
Member Since: July 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 429
1042. popartpete
1:10 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting YouCaneDoIt:


I'm from Toms River
Cool. It's nice to meet another tropical fan so close.
Member Since: July 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 429
1041. popartpete
1:07 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Dateline: now....Ocean County New Jersey getting rocked by a violent thunderstorm, another of several. My street floods in heavy rain, and it's FLOODED already. Well, at least I don't have to water the garden for a few days. Don't tell me I don't know what Tropical Storm Don is like!
Member Since: July 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 429
1040. SouthALWX
12:58 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting jonelu:
Why would NHC put 0% on something that will not form and will be moving over land soon? I can see if it started at 20-30% and over time they reduce it to 0% just as a note...Just curious.

because they estimate 1/200 or whatever number of systems like that in that position will become a TD, I assume.
Member Since: August 27, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1497
1039. jonelu
12:55 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Why would NHC put 0% on something that will not form and will be moving over land soon? I can see if it started at 20-30% and over time they reduce it to 0% just as a note...Just curious.
Member Since: October 31, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 884
1038. jpsb
12:29 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting stormpetrol:

973. stormpetrol 11:29 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Though void of heavy convection 91L imo is more organized , I'll go with 50% at 7pm cst.

Yeppe I was right! so were others too!
Congrads, you did pretty good on Don too as I recall, off on intensity a little but other then that well done!
Member Since: June 30, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1275
1037. YouCaneDoIt
12:28 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting popartpete:
#1: Something doesn't sit right with me about 91L. I fear it to be an East Coast storm, but only time will tell.
#2: I'm writing from Seaside Heights, NJ (Yes, Jersey Shore's hometown) and there's a ferocious thunderstorm overhead right now.
#3: I pray for the people in South Texas that Don won't cause damage or injury during its landfall.


I'm from Toms River
Member Since: June 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 57
1036. jpsb
12:26 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting TheWeatherMan504:


Are you kidding me? It was a combination of the both. Because the systems became deep early they were more susceptible to weaknesses and they gained latitude with time. Because of that the persistent east coast trough picked them up. A weak system, like 91L, will stay on a more westerly course since it us embedded in the easterlies and won't be as susceptible to weakness since it is shallow.
Doesn't the (excuse spelling) co-e-la-ess effect also tend to send (big) systems north too?
Member Since: June 30, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1275
1035. popartpete
12:15 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting EcoLogic:
Will we get to Greek this year?

And will someone give us a Jeffrey?
Member Since: July 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 429
1034. FLWxChaser
12:11 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting CosmicEvents:
Wouldn't it be something if the only cyclone to hit the US this year was wimpy TS Don?
.
Who here thinks The Don will be the only "hit"?
.
.
.
.
*hears crickets chirping*


Hahaha - based on the past 24 hours on this blog there would be riots!
Member Since: July 28, 2011 Posts: 3 Comments: 61
1033. PRweathercenter
12:10 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Caribbean Storm Update July 29th 2011

Member Since: July 21, 2010 Posts: 60 Comments: 1011
1032. popartpete
11:56 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
#1: Something doesn't sit right with me about 91L. I fear it to be an East Coast storm, but only time will tell.
#2: I'm writing from Seaside Heights, NJ (Yes, Jersey Shore's hometown) and there's a ferocious thunderstorm overhead right now.
#3: I pray for the people in South Texas that Don won't cause damage or injury during its landfall.
Member Since: July 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 429
1030. WatcherCI
11:48 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting tiggeriffic:


first of all, anything that is potential is not a waste of time or space...second of all...you are the silly one since i am definately NOT A BOY!
One of the great things about this blog is that there are many people of different ages, races, education, and special needs. Normally, everyone tries to work together to figure things out.
Member Since: November 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 43
1029. FrankZapper
11:46 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting Gaea:
Quoting FrankZapper:
2 weeks. They are not weather savy at all. I told them to not go at this time of the year but their aniversity is Aug 5th so they had to do it now.

It will not be like the brochures have described, dear one.
If by that you mean it sucks, I'm pulling the plug on this tonight. I'll scare them to death.
Member Since: May 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1193
1028. floridaboy14
11:46 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting jasonweatherman2011:
east coast trough is now to get more weak and more to the north!!

what models show it weaker and more north?
Member Since: July 25, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1102
1027. WxLogic
11:45 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Wow... 8PM update came out as I was posting. Hopefully the thinking of NHC is along those lines.
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
1025. Walshy
11:44 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
NEW BLOG
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 907
1024. stormwatcherCI
11:44 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:
91L is up to 50%.
That's funny though because 50% should be a red circle and they still have an orange. OOPS. Rechecked it . Orange is 30-50% 50 % is red. Sorry.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
1022. WxLogic
11:44 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Given that the 500MB has become more evident, I'll go with 50% on the next TWO... but at least 40% is deserved IMO.

Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
1021. MiamiHurricanes09
11:44 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
From the TWD:

TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 20N45W TO 10N42W MOVING W AT
15-20 KT. A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF
THE WAVE NEAR 10N42W AND CONTINUES TO BE LOCATED BENEATH THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC CENTERED NEAR 15N41W. AN AREA OF
INCREASED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER ALSO COINCIDES WITH THE WAVE
AXIS. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-14N BETWEEN
35W-48W. THIS WAVE WARRANTS WATCHING AS SOME MODELS FORECAST
DEVELOPMENT WITH A THREAT TO THE LESSER ANTILLES.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
1020. hunkerdown
11:44 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting TheWeatherMan504:


Are you kidding me? It was a combination of the both. Because the systems became deep early they were more susceptible to weaknesses and they gained latitude with time. Because of that the persistent east coast trough picked them up. A weak system, like 91L, will stay on a more westerly course since it us embedded in the easterlies and won't be as susceptible to weakness since it is shallow.
so you are implying it will stay weak it entire path keeping it low and West, doubtful. Plus, those were not your average summertime troughs last year, they were very deep.
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2515
1019. CosmicEvents
11:44 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Wouldn't it be something if the only cyclone to hit the US this year was wimpy TS Don?
.
Who here thinks The Don will be the only "hit"?
.
.
.
.
*hears crickets chirping*
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 5684
1018. stormpetrol
11:43 PM GMT on July 29, 2011

973. stormpetrol 11:29 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Though void of heavy convection 91L imo is more organized , I'll go with 50% at 7pm cst.

Yeppe I was right! so were others too!
Member Since: April 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 8134
1017. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:43 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting FrankZapper:
If it is just a wave then they will just get tropical rain, right. No one is predicting it to be a monster at that point?


Most of the intensity models have this a hurricane right around the time frame it is affecting that area.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32805
1016. wunderkidcayman
11:43 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
TS Don LandFall
91L50%
SW Carib Low0%
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12716
1015. FLWxChaser
11:43 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Half a dollar already? I'll admit I wasn't expecting that so soon.
Member Since: July 28, 2011 Posts: 3 Comments: 61
1014. stormwatcherCI
11:43 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting Orcasystems:


He doesn't have a profile on WU because he was BANNED.
But some people love to show some disrespect to the Blog owner (Dr Masters), and the imposed BAN and spout off about him and give links to his website.
I agree which is why I did not post a pic.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
1013. FrankZapper
11:42 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


Ouch...ummmm....It would not be wise to go right now with all models pointing that direction. But..Who am I to tell you to tell them not to go?
If it is just a wave then they will just get tropical rain, right. No one is predicting it to be a monster at that point?
Member Since: May 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1193
1012. Patrap
11:42 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129795
1011. stormpetrol
11:41 PM GMT on July 29, 2011

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
WHILE THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING ONLY LIMITED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
Member Since: April 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 8134
1010. JLPR2
11:41 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:
91L is up to 50%.


Well now, I wasn't expecting 50%, thought that would come at 2am.
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 8747
1009. TheWeatherMan504
11:41 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting hunkerdown:
those storms recurved because of the persistent deep troughs that were in place, not because they developed further East.
Quoting hunkerdown:
those storms recurved because of the persistent deep troughs that were in place, not because they developed further East.


Are you kidding me? It was a combination of the both. Because the systems became deep early they were more susceptible to weaknesses and they gained latitude with time. Because of that the persistent east coast trough picked them up. A weak system, like 91L, will stay on a more westerly course since it us embedded in the easterlies and won't be as susceptible to weakness since it is shallow.
Member Since: May 18, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 1042
1008. hunkerdown
11:41 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting Gaea:
Quoting FrankZapper:
2 weeks. They are not weather savy at all. I told them to not go at this time of the year but their aniversity is Aug 5th so they had to do it now.

It will not be like the brochures have described, dear one.
is it ever ??
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2515
1007. Patrap
11:41 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129795
1006. Orcasystems
11:41 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
He does not have a profile on WU but he is on FB. He is a heavyset guy.


He doesn't have a profile on WU because he was BANNED.
But some people love to show some disrespect to the Blog owner (Dr Masters), and the imposed BAN and spout off about him and give links to his website.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
1005. hunkerdown
11:40 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
you heard the man behind the curtain, everyone on the island of PR, watch out for the hand...
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2515
1003. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:39 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Invest 91L up to 50% and wave in SW Caribbean at ~0%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM DON LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI
TEXAS.

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
WHILE THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING ONLY LIMITED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...HOWEVER NO
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32805
1002. HurricaneSwirl
11:39 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
91L is up to 50%.
Member Since: July 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 3237
1001. Gaea
11:39 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting FrankZapper:
2 weeks. They are not weather savy at all. I told them to not go at this time of the year but their aniversity is Aug 5th so they had to do it now.

It will not be like the brochures have described, dear one.
Member Since: October 19, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 16
1000. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:39 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
Opinions
We will finish the season with___named storms.
A.10-12
B.13-15
C.16-18
D.19-21
E.More
F.Less


D.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32805
999. j2008
11:38 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
Opinions
We will finish the season with___named storms.
A.10-12
B.13-15
C.16-18
D.19-21
E.More
F.Less

D. 19
Member Since: December 19, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 224
998. floridaboy14
11:38 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
...CENTER OF DON ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE TEXAS COAST NEAR BAFFIN BAY...STRENGTHENING NO LONGER ANTICIPATED...

7:00 PM CDT Fri Jul 29
Location: 27.1�N 97.1�W
Max sustained: 50 mph
Moving: WNW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 1004 mb

honestly Don is the best storm this season :) 1: Hit the US
2: looked like a cool egg :D
Member Since: July 25, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1102
996. thelmores
11:38 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Man, Dr. Masters takes more vacations than anybody I have ever known! LOL!

Enjoy your Vacation Doc...... and how many times have we had tropical development in your absence? But seems unlikely we will see a Major though!

Howdy to all my Wunderground friends! :) Don't post often, but always lurking! :)
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3805

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