July 22, 2011: A day of records

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:56 PM GMT on July 23, 2011

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The crest of the extreme heat wave of July 2011 has passed, although temperatures are still going to be dangerously hot in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast today. New York City (Central Park) will reach 100° again, as well as Philadelphia and possibly Washington Dulles. Heat index values could surpass the 110° mark today, and excessive heat warnings are in effect from New York City to South Carolina, as well as a large portion of the Central United States. Yesterday, the heat index soared past 120° in Wilmington, DE (124), Easton, MD (125), Annapolis, MD (120) and Atlantic City, NJ (122), among others. A more complete list of Friday's heat index extremes can be found here.

Numerous records fell yesterday as far north as Maine. There were plenty of daily records to talk about, but here are some of the noteworthy all-time record high temperatures:

Newark, NJ: 108° (old record was 105° set in 2001)
Washington Dulles, DC: 105° (old record was 104° on multiple dates)
Bridgeport, CT: 103° (ties the old record set in 1957)
Hartford, CT: 103° (old record was 102° set on multiple dates)
New Haven, CT: 102° (old record was 101° set in 1926)

Baltimore hit 106°, one degree shy of their all-time high record which was set in 1936. New York City (Central Park) set a daily record of 104°, which was 2 degrees shy of their 106° all-time high record, which was also set in 1936. More on the record-setting year of 1936 in yesterday's blog from Jeff. Two notable all-time record high minimums were also set yesterday: 84° in New York (Central Park) and 86° in Newark, NJ.

Our weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, keeps track of 303 select stations in the U.S. with long standing record histories. So far this summer, seven of these have broken or tied their all-time maximum temperature records. Some of these were long-standing:

• Amarillo, TX 111° (1892)
• Dodge City, KS 110° (1874 tied)
• Newark, NJ 108° (1893)
• D.C. Dulles 105° (1962)
• Tallahassee, Fl 105° (1883)
• Hartford, CT 103° (1885)
• New Haven, CT 102° (1780)

The last summer to have more all-time high records than this year was 2002, which set 9. Christopher C. Burt estimates that yesterday probably rates in the top five hottest days on record for the mid-Atlantic states (Washington D.C. to Boston).

Invest 90L


Satellite imagery of NHC Invest 90L this morning.

Invest 90L is looking ragged on satellite as it makes its way across the Caribbean islands. While this wave looked ripe for eventual development earlier this week, it has really taken a turn for the worse as it moved across the Main Development Region of the North Atlantic. Today, low level circulation is could favorably be described as less than moderate, and almost nonexistent at higher levels. Today, not one of the global models I've looked at (ECMWF, NOGAPS, CMC, UKMET, or GFS) develop 90L, but they are coming into better agreement that the wave's track will be across the Caribbean islands and into the Gulf of Mexico, rather than up the east coast of Florida. This could be one of the reasons the models are not suggesting development—too much land interaction, not enough time over open warm waters. However, its hard to say that this wave will not show some signs of improvement when it reaches the Gulf. Water will be toasty, moisture will be relatively high, and wind shear will remain incredibly low. Today the National Hurricane Center is giving this wave a 20% chance of development over the next 48 hours. My forecast has been the same for the past two days, right around 20% chance of development over the lifetime of the wave.

Thanks to our weather historian Christopher C. Burt for some useful information on heat waves and yesterday's records. I'll have another blog on Monday.

Angela

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1360. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
90L does not look good one bit.

getting ripped apart over the spine of hati/dom island no storm for you know who in fact i believe it may be him keeping them away he wants it so bad but nothing comes his way hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
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Quoting TxHurricanedude11:

for now...needs to get away from land...give about 24-30 hrs and will see what happens.Not officially dead by me by a long shot.



dude its dead gone nhc is no longer updateing mode runs on it 90L is done
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90L has been a rollercoaster ride since the start. Compared to this morning it looks like it's picking up steam, literally, look at the WV loop, haha. I think it'll keep building until late evening when it'll die down until tomorrow morning. After that 90L will be nearing the W Caribbean, and I think it could still have a few surprises in store for us.
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1356. Levi32
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
90L does not look good one bit.



It's a nice-looking tropical wave for July, and has been it's whole life. It's a classic Caribbean island-chain wave, one that has no chance outside of the Gulf of Mexico.
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Quoting wxmobilejim:

would you quit with the JFV crap already. Nobody cares if he is here or not.




poof
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Quoting TxHurricanedude11:
90L still has a chance in the western carribean and western gom..so stop disregarding it.




by the way plzs stop calling it 90L its now called X 90L and 90L had it ch and the nhc drop it no mode runs are forcasting 90L too do any thing other then one mode run if i re call
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1352. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
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Quoting Tazmanian:



you act like JFV and small like one two

would you quit with the JFV crap already. Nobody cares if he is here or not.
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July 24, 2011
Summer ministry spent helping Joplin

Bobby Summers The Orange Leader Link

ORANGE — It's been nine weeks since May 22, when a mile-wide tornado touched down in Joplin, Mo., killing 158 people, injuring more than 100 others and causing damage that could cost nearly $3 billion to repair.

It was the most deadly tornado to hit the United States since 1950, when modern record keeping began. It is ranked eighth among the deadliest tornadoes in US history.

The multiple-vortex was a Class 5, the highest number on the Enhanced Fujita Scale, with winds exceeding 200 mph that caused catastrophic damage along its six-mile path on the ground.

In the first days following the storm, the story topped network television and national newspaper coverage. But now, news about the aftermath of the disaster has diminished as public attention turned to other high-profile stories.

But on the ground in Joplin, there's plenty of work left to be accomplished in the city's massive recovery efforts.

Much of the clean-up and rebuilding work is being done by volunteers, such as 18-year-old Hunter Estes and 21 members of a youth group from First Baptist Church in Deweyville, who recently returned from a mission trip to Joplin.

The group originally planned to build a house during their trip, but their plans changed after they arrived. Instead of building a house, they tore down two and a half houses in four days.

“They weren't issuing any building permits because the homes have to be built to stricter codes,” Estes said. “The company that was supervising the volunteers didn't have any Bobcat tractors available. So, they had us tear down houses by hand, using sledge hammers, crowbars, chains and hand tools. We'd break out a window and put a chain through the opening and over the top of the wall. Then, we cut the studs, and everyone would get on the chain and we would pull the wall down. Then, we'd move to the next wall.”



9weeks after the storm.
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90l still has a chance to develop I think.
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90L does not look good one bit.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32338
1346. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting alfabob:
Ice is drastically decreasing, should begin to accelerate somewhat over the next month.

sorry to tell you but ice don't start its winter recovery till late sep early oct we still got two months of heavy melt to go before refreeze starts and august is normally greatness melt loss we only got two to four more summer seasons to go before the arctic ice is completly gone


KOTG
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
2011:



2010:



2009:



wow 2011 is off the maps
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90l gone,Dr.Masters can stay on vacation!
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2011:



2010:



2009:

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32338
1341. 7544
Quoting Slamguitar:


Just my opinion. I don't think they should drop it. If they do, that doesn't mean I won't still have it on MY radar.


starting to refire the northern part anyway maybe this will be where it could reform heading wnw to the se bahamas ?
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Quoting Tazmanian:



90L done nhc will drop it too 0% or all togeter


Just my opinion. I don't think they should drop it. If they do, that doesn't mean I won't still have it on MY radar.
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there we go i feel better now
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


1.) Any troll on here such as this one is NOT JFV, but rather, an imposter that has been haunting the blog for several years now. According to Cybr and Gro, JFV hasn't been on the blog in four years.

2.) Don't respond to his posts, don't give him the attention.



ok i this give him a poof
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Quoting Tazmanian:



you act like JFV and small like one two


1.) Any troll on here such as this one is NOT JFV, but rather, an imposter that has been haunting the blog for several years now. According to Cybr and Gro, JFV hasn't been on the blog in four years.

2.) Don't respond to his posts, don't give him the attention.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32338
Quoting Slamguitar:
I think 90L will stay 10% on the TWO.



90L done nhc will drop it too 0% or all togeter
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I think 90L will stay 10% on the TWO.
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Quoting MrCowan:
Hey Levi, would it now be finally safe to say that our summertime pattern of steering over the Atlantic Ocean has now been fully entrenched? Or still not yet, you think? I'm assuming so, since it's almost early August already! However, I'll await for your judgment call regarding this matter instead. LOL, thank you kindly, sir, =).



you act like JFV and small like one two
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1328. Levi32
Quoting wxgeek723:


Late recurvature...so does that spell a possible threat to the East Coast?


If the pattern persists through August and September, yes.
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1326. Levi32
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Levi, maybe a dumb question but could possibly be developing in the blob between Eastern Cuba and Jamaica ?

Current Weather Conditions:
Port-Au-Prince / Aeroport International, Haiti
(MTPP) 18-34N 072-18W 34M
Conditions at

2011.07.24 1800 UTC
Wind from the E (090 degrees) at 21 MPH (18 KT) gusting to 32 MPH (28 KT)

Current Weather Conditions:
Santiago De Cuba, Oriente, Cuba
(MUCU) 19-58N 075-51W 55M
Conditions at

2011.07.24 1852 UTC
Wind from the NNW (340 degrees) at 3 MPH (3 KT) (direction variable)

Current Weather Conditions:
Montego Bay / Sangster, Jamaica
(MKJS) 18-30N 077-55W 8M
Conditions at

2011.07.24 1900 UTC
Wind from the E (090 degrees) at 17 MPH (15 KT)


Well land observations can often yield random wind directions when localized thunderstorms are nearby the area. Based on visible satellite, it is fairly obvious that the large-scale flow across the entire area is still out of the ENE, with no sign of a surface circulation.
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Quoting wxgeek723:


Late recurvature...so does that spell a possible threat to the East Coast?


I got my camera ready for anything under Category 3 hurricane strength!
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32338
Quoting Levi32:
Persistent troughing over Alaska during the next couple weeks supports ridging north of 40N over North America, teleconnected with the ridging over northeastern Asia. Such a pattern will continue to bring tropical waves WNW and recurving late, with some of them never reecurving.



Late recurvature...so does that spell a possible threat to the East Coast?
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Quoting Levi3L 2:
Visible loops show light westerly winds on the south side of the wave at 37W.
Levi, maybe a dumb question but could possibly be developing in the blob between Eastern Cuba and Jamaica ?

Current Weather Conditions:
Port-Au-Prince / Aeroport International, Haiti
(MTPP) 18-34N 072-18W 34M
Conditions at

2011.07.24 1800 UTC
Wind from the E (090 degrees) at 21 MPH (18 KT) gusting to 32 MPH (28 KT)

Current Weather Conditions:
Santiago De Cuba, Oriente, Cuba
(MUCU) 19-58N 075-51W 55M
Conditions at

2011.07.24 1852 UTC
Wind from the NNW (340 degrees) at 3 MPH (3 KT) (direction variable)

Current Weather Conditions:
Montego Bay / Sangster, Jamaica
(MKJS) 18-30N 077-55W 8M
Conditions at

2011.07.24 1900 UTC
Wind from the E (090 degrees) at 17 MPH (15 KT)
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8399
1321. Levi32
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


This should trek north of the Caribbean should it not?


A similar path to 90L, which should take it close by the big Caribbean islands.
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Quoting Levi32:
Visible loops show light westerly winds on the south side of the wave at 37W.



on start of a close low?
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1319. Levi32
Persistent troughing over Alaska during the next couple weeks supports ridging north of 40N over North America, teleconnected with the ridging over northeastern Asia. Such a pattern will continue to bring tropical waves WNW and recurving late, with some of them never reecurving.

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Quoting Levi32:
Visible loops show light westerly winds on the south side of the wave at 37W.


This should trek north of the Caribbean should it not?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32338
1317. Levi32
Visible loops show light westerly winds on the south side of the wave at 37W.
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poll time


what will the % be for x90L


A 0%

B drop from the two
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i this look 90L is gone from WU has well
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Look at the tiny MV approaching 50W.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32338
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Magnitude
6.2
Date-Time
Sunday, July 24, 2011 at 18:51:25 UTC
Monday, July 25, 2011 at 03:51:25 AM at epicenter
Location
37.758°N, 141.540°E
Depth
35.6 km (22.1 miles)
Region
NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances
79 km (49 miles) SE (133°) from Sendai, Honshu, Japan
94 km (59 miles) E (88°) from Fukushima, Honshu, Japan
95 km (59 miles) NE (36°) from Iwaki, Honshu, Japan
282 km (175 miles) NE (34°) from TOKYO, Japan
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 14.3 km (8.9 miles); depth +/- 9.1 km (5.7 miles)
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1312. SLU
The highly advertised NOGAPS Cape Verde storm for at least 3 straight runs now. This must be treated as an overly aggressive outlier at this time.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic">
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Quoting jasonweatherman2011:
no more invest 90L I WAS RIGHT!!


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

Everywhere except WU.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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