Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:23 PM GMT on June 13, 2011 | +6 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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It seems they've only picked upon it - and that's due to Hilary Clinton cutting short her African trip due to fears over the ash cloud.
This was a click on video in the original video.
They're starting to come around, though as usual they're a little slow on the draw; many outlets are still saying "VAAC says Dubbi Volcano..." even though VAAC switched to Nabro five hours ago. The ash cloud is expected to affect flights into and out of the Middle East, then eventually parts of the Mediterranean, so I imagine coverage will pick up a bit.
Too, with the Iceland volcano, we had thousands of beautiful pictures highlighting the drama of a through-glacier eruption. With the Chilean volcano, we saw thousands of images of huge billowing clouds and intsense lightning. But with Nabro, we so far have just a handful of fuzzy satellite images--and news these days loves art. :-\
Then you better not watch the video I just posted.
Probably because of its location, after all in that part of Africa there is a lot of desert and very few people.
Interesting comment last night about its close proximity to the Red Sea and the oil/cargo lanes but I looked on the main news stations and nothing much there, if it gets much worse they will sit up but the public in most of the world are not very aware of the goings on around the horn of Africa except for ship pirate activities.
Is not 3E+8 (from PcolaDan's DRE graph) 3*10^8 or 300,000,000 cubic meters or 3 km³?
Thanks for acknowledging that note of mine, I at first thought I was going a bit crazy looking at that and/or I had been spoofed, or was a victim of ''trollisums?''
watched video/made drawn out counter argument... comment waiting approval... argh !!!!
well here is what i wrote the youtube video's author. do you really know what a brown dwarf is? its a failed star... essentially something jupiter sized and larger... what the hell is a dark star? 1000s of years is a day in the lifetime of a brown dwarf, because brown dwarfs dont house nuclear FUSION eg the namesake brown dwarf... we cant see them. brown dwarfs like the fussion cousins red dwarfs are likely incredibly old. why is the object releasing protons? that would be nuclear FISSION. completely contradictory to known star formation/lifespan ect.. you may be confusing protons for photons.
NM, i can't count to 8...
.3 it is
Not to mention a more massive object's gravitational field makes it easier to detect, not harder. Not going to waste anymore brain cells on this goofy subject.
YU55 does exist. Just researched it a bit. 200,000 miles is not that far for a object of this size coming close to Earth. It will be fun to watch. Hope they have their distance estimations right. Can you imagine watching it from the ISS.
Not to mention a more massive object's gravitational field makes it easier to detect, not harder. Not going to waste anymore brain cells on this goofy subject.
the amount of mass required to create gravitational lensing of the magnitude described would be the entire milky way compressed to the size of an atom. then i can see gravitational lensing distorting light behind an object within the solar system.
gravitational lensification owes its effects to not just mass but distance as well. like i said it would trake a very massive object compressed to incredibly small purportions to cause that much warping of space in that short of distance. also earth would have been flung out of its orbit around the sun waaaay long before the object itself becomes an issue for us.
It is entering an area of confluence (sinking air) aloft, and it likely will not develop as it enters the Eastern Caribbean. Wind shear and dry air are too high to allow for it. Additionally, the TW axis is already removed from the convection around 50W 10N.
I know it's spelled right. I was poking fun at (forget who) having trouble spelling. Would never had gotten this one right.
Your poker is going to get you in trouble one day PDan ...lol
Oh so relaxing... LOL
My son just came in and told me to turn that crap down.
Ran out to check the gauge and was surprised to smell so much smoke. .61 here. May be able to squeeze out another .10. Disappointed it wasn't more but thankful for what I received.
My name is NOT Weiner. ;)
The geothermal engine of the earth supplies all the mechanisms it needs to generate earthquakes without interference from distant galactic objects. I'm not saying earthquakes cannot be influenced by galactic objects, I'm just skeptical of Elenin's claimed influence, considering it's small size and it's great distance from Earth during the alignments.
Again, I try to be open-minded about new and unconventional theories and I am not scoffing at anyone who might find these theories plausible, but I'm certainly not convinced that I should worry about Elenin based on the scant evidence I've seen thus far...
Quoting txjac:
Your poker is going to get you in trouble one day PDan ...lol
My name is NOT Weiner. ;)
OMG!!!!!! TMI!!!!!
;)
Alright.... bring on the tunnels!!!!
:)
I claim diplomatic or doldrum! immunity or whatever you want to call it but the masses will be swayed and I don't know who's Rocking the Boat this time? Maybe we should ask elder, Heir Grother to adjudicate on rumor matters being even a bit older than me!
It might not be the small mass that matters, it might be the position of the mass as in the massive ship being steered by the insignificantly small rudder situated in just the right place with only a child's hand on the tiller!
Peace by superior firepower said an American chappie a while back but then there are also amibos!
Silly conspiracy. Elenin is most likely a regular small comet that will make a naked-eye appearance this October and is more of an interest to amateur astronomers than it is worth any speculation about Nibiru/Planet X. Link
TCHP from yesterday:
TCHP today:
Add this 700mb chart showing a wave and or a monsoonal circulation to the anticylone from your post and it looks pretty good.
Thanks, appreciate the feed back!
You rang?
Does this mean some rain for Texas soon? Tired of the 100 degree days ...heck, some cloud cover would even be good.
A pattern similar to this would result in an invasion of moisture from the Pacific, which could mean rain for Texas. However, the GFS model has shown an area of low pressure moving into Louisiana, which is where the heaviest rains would end up.
So Elenin and 2005-YU55 are one and the same?
The 12z ECMWF ensembles continue to hint at a break in the ridge over the western Gulf of Mexico by Day 10. I have been talking for several days now about the possibility of tropical mischief, or at least moisture, making its way into the southern Gulf of Mexico or the western Caribbean during the last week of June. It is possible that some of this moisture could follow the western periphery of the ridge northward and give Texas some drought relief, but it is still too far out to know for sure.
Gosh I hope so! At least a model showing some moisture in the Gulf approaching the TX coast. Something we have not seen much of.
Good Evening Levi.
A stream of moisture gushes out of the SSW across the Gulf of Mexico during Days 11-15:
Si, Estamos aqui con una problema de piedras en el universo, Y nadia tenies un idea que va a pasa dentro de 3 meses, mas o menos.
{we are here with a problem of rocks in the universe and nobody has any idea what will come of all this inside 3 months?}
every body is divided into at least 2 camps! Is this normal when the end of the world is in the balance?
It's not consistent with that solution. I've seen it maybe twice. Most of the runs keep the low in the Bay of Campeche or don't develop it fully at all and keep it south. However, a drift northeastward looks very possible with that pattern. We will have to see.
So, should we warn NRAamy and have her lock and load? ;>)
from JPL
C/2010 X1 (Elenin)
Classification: Hyperbolic Comet SPK-ID: 1003113
Close-Approach Data ..
Date/Time (TDB)
2011-Oct-16 19:52
Time Uncertainty
(days_HH:MM)
< 00:01
Nominal Distance (AU)
0.233851037758309
Minimum Distance (AU)
0.233828080545107
Maximum Distance (AU)
0.233873995123551
Modified
2011-Jun-12 14:00
1AU = 149597870 km = 92956000 mi
too far from Earth
My mistake. I remember seeing it once, and for some reason, it popped into my head that the GFS was being consistent with it.
Not yet. Let's wait another couple of days first before pulling the alarm. ;)
It's ok. I've done the same thing lots of times lol.
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