Caribbean disturbance 94L dumping heavy rains on Jamaica

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:44 PM GMT on June 05, 2011

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A large, wet, and disorganized tropical disturbance (Invest 94L) continues to spread heavy rain to the Central Caribbean near Jamaica. Rain has fallen continuously at Jamaica's Kingston Norman Manley Airport since midnight, with 1.89" having fallen from midnight to noon local time. Sustained winds of 24 mph also affected Kingston between 7am and 8am this morning. Satellite-estimated rainfall amounts of 1.4" per hour occurred in ocean regions 100 miles to the southeast of Kingston this morning, and heavy rains of up to 1/2" per hour are probably affecting portions of Jamaica early this afternoon, judging by the recent increase in heavy thunderstorm activity seen on visible satellite loops. This imagery also shows a slow increase in organization of 94L in recent hours, with spiral bands beginning to develop to the southeast of the center. There is a broad, poorly-defined circulation apparent that is not well enough defined to make 94L a tropical depression. Water vapor satellite loops show a region of dry air on the west side of 94L, and this dry air is interfering with the storm's organization. However, upper air balloon soundings from Kingston and the Cayman Islands taken at 8am EDT this morning show much moister air at mid levels of the atmosphere compared to Saturday (2% humidity at 500 mb on Saturday, compared to 49% this morning at Grand Cayman), and 94L appears to be gradually overcoming its dry air issues. Wind shear remains in the moderate range, 15 - 20 knots, and is predicted by the SHIPS model to remain below 20 knots through Tuesday morning. Water temperatures in the Central Caribbean are about 1°C above average, 28 - 28.5°C, which is 2°C above the threshold needed to support development of a tropical storm.


Figure 1. Rainfall rates of up to 1.4" per hour (pink colors) were estimated by the F-15 satellite for 94L at 6:02am EDT Jun 5, 2011.

Since 94L is so large and is battling dry air, it is taking its sweet time to develop, and today's mission by the Hurricane Hunters has been cancelled. A new mission is scheduled for Monday afternoon at 2pm EDT. This morning's 06Z model runs are pretty unimpressed with 94L, with most of them showing little or no development. At 2pm EDT on Sunday, NHC gave the disturbance a 40% of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday. If 94L stays to the south, its chances of development are greater, since a band of very high wind shear of 30 - 50 knots lies over Cuba and the southern Bahama Islands. The disturbance is expected to meander slowly westward or northward over the next two days, with Jamaica and southeastern Cuba being the primary targets for very heavy rains of 4 - 8 inches through Tuesday. Haiti and Central Cuba can expect somewhat lesser rains of 3 - 6 inches. If 94L does develop into a tropical depression and moves northwards over Cuba by Wednesday, I don't see the storm attaining hurricane strength, due to the high wind shear. The primary threat from 94L will be very heavy rains, capable of causing life-threatening flash flooding.


Figure 2. Afternoon satellite image of the Central Caribbean disturbance 94L.

Jeff Masters

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997. CyclonicVoyage
11:38 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Seflhurricane:
so the upper level winds are expected to become hostile soon ??? HMMMMM


Tomorrow will be it's best chance, kind of make or break.
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
996. wunderkidcayman
11:38 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Seflhurricane:
thanks drak, i think 94L is trying to relocate it center further east towards the midlevel center, the LLC that kman and many other see is in my opinion too weak and further west than all the activity


thank you too

well that would be three people
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12717
995. Mikla
11:37 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
This system is getting big and starting to wrap with convection... we will see how it does tonight. There is still a little dry air being pulled in from the North, but that appears to be closing up as the moisture wraps around from the NW.

Need some recon flight data to see how tight the circulation is, but based on the RGB images, it appears to be getting better. Center appears to be around 16.5N, 80W.
Member Since: October 13, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 305
994. Levi32
11:37 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Upper-level soundings from Grand Cayman show gradual moistening of the atmosphere from the bottom up during the last few days, but it is still very dry above 600mb. We would want to see deep moisture (75% humidity) get up to 500mb or higher to consider it a conducive environment for tropical development, more like the Jamaican sounding (bottom).



Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
992. CyclonicVoyage
11:36 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting kmanislander:
94L is hanging on for darkness but did pretty well today. Cloud tops have warmed significantly in the past 2 hours but Dmin is about now so not unusual for this to happen with a weak system.


Seems it's been one rung up the ladder a day. Heading into darkness tonight much more robust than last.
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
991. NICycloneChaser
11:35 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Well, would you look at that, 40%.

Cue the NHC hate...
Member Since: August 10, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 1971
990. PcolaDan
11:35 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Houston area may get their rain.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 625 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CROSBY...OR 8 MILES NORTH
OF BARRETT...AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO CROSBY...LAKE HOUSTON DAM...BUSH-INTERCONTINENTAL
AIRPORT...SHELDON...HUMBLE...CLOVERLEAF AND CHANNELVIEW.
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
989. Seflhurricane
11:34 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
so the upper level winds are expected to become hostile soon ??? HMMMMM
Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3029
988. Drakoen
11:34 PM GMT on June 05, 2011

Quoting 1992Andrew:
Drakeon: Two years ago I graduated from FSU (major in economics and history). I notice most student mets on this blog go to FSU. Should've checked out the meteorology building on campus before I left...
 lol yes. FSU is a great school and a lot of notable people have graduated from there and lead successful careers.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30833
987. mrsalagranny
11:34 PM GMT on June 05, 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST
FEW HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
ABOUT 175 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JAMAICA. WHILE THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS CONCENTRATED MAINLY TO THE EAST OF
THE AREA OF LOWEST SURFACE PRESSURES...SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE
...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM MONDAY AFTERNOON...IF
NECESSARY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI AND JAMAICA AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


Member Since: June 6, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 853
986. kmanislander
11:34 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
94L is hanging on for darkness but did pretty well today. Cloud tops have warmed significantly in the past 2 hours but Dmin is about now so not unusual for this to happen with a weak system.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
985. Tazmanian
11:34 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
up too 90% for 91E


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN JUN 5 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW
PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
EVEN THOUGH THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY RECENT CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION
OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE
THAT THE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND THE LOW WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT DRIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115455
984. wunderkidcayman
11:33 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting weatherlover94:
looks like a spin is forming just south of Jamaica ...i say 50-60% chance of development by 8:00 pm

THANK YOU thank you

Quoting ackee:
That where I think new centre has form


you as well Thank you

well I got two people on my side
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12717
983. NICycloneChaser
11:33 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting CosmicEvents:
I'm a little busy at the moment.
Could someone please let me know if we're in diurnal min or max? I'm not talking about the status of the TD-to-be....I'm asking about the mood of the blog.


We'll know the mood of the blog in the next ten minutes or so.

If 94L goes red, the majority will be delighted, and there shall be plenty of 'I told you so's.

If it stays orange, hostility will rule, and the NHC will become public enemy number one.
Member Since: August 10, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 1971
982. Tropicsweatherpr
11:33 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
EPAC 91E=90%

ROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN JUN 5 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW
PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
EVEN THOUGH THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY RECENT CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION
OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE
THAT THE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND THE LOW WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT DRIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14908
981. Levi32
11:33 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting CosmicEvents:
I'm a little busy at the moment.
Could someone please let me know if we're in diurnal min or max? I'm not talking about the status of the TD-to-be....I'm asking about the mood of the blog.


I'd say the blog has been at DMAX all day.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
980. Seflhurricane
11:32 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Drakoen:


This is from what I posted earlier (thoughts are unchanged):

"Satellite imagery shows a strong mid level rotation south of
Jamaica. The RGB imagery is really good for seeing the distinction
between the low level cloud movements and the mid to upper level clouds.
Notice that the surface flow is southwesterly underneath the mid level
center. Going to be interesting to see whether or not this mid level low
can better align itself with the surface center.The upper level
anticyclone is not directly overhead 94L judging from the CIMSS Wind
shear maps. The clockwise flow around the high is producing marginally
favorable upper level conditions. Water vapor imagery shows sinking air
in the vicinity of the system which is helping to inhibit convection on
the western side of the system. Global computer models show that this
upper high may move more to the north and position itself better with
the system over the next couple of days."



thanks drak, i think 94L is trying to relocate it center further east towards the midlevel center, the LLC that kman and many other see is in my opinion too weak and further west than all the activity
Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3029
979. GeoffreyWPB
11:32 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11557
978. TomTaylor
11:31 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Levi32:


Much of my learning came from books and pure experience and trial and error forecasting here at WU, but here's a couple sites that I know of:

MetED - A great free site that you must register at. I consider this the best one that I know of. They recently came out with an online tropical weather college textbook meant for upper undergraduate or graduate students as well that is freely accessible from their server. It's an amazing thing to have out there for free, produced by UCAR.

Meteorologist Jeff Haby's education site full of great explanations of core meteorological concepts

thanks again.

And to clear up any confusion, eliteforecaster is an alternate account of mine which I haven't used since when I first joined in 2010. The only reason I was using it now is I thought I'd try posting on it and see if it was above the "bad" filter setting since this account had gotten - into the ground by some troll such that my posts weren't even showing on the bad filter.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4358
977. Levi32
11:31 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Drakoen:

Cool! Are you thinking about transferring to a school in the CONUS or maybe following up the physics degrees with a Masters Degree in meteorology?


I am hoping to. It's all a matter of whether it will be financially feasible. I definitely want a degree in meteorology at some point, probably from graduate school. I'm also looking at the possibility of national student exchange to a lower 48 school for one or two semesters, which would not only let me try out the campus at the UAF tuition rate, but possibly take some meteorology-related classes as well.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
976. 1992Andrew
11:30 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Drakeon: Two years ago I graduated from FSU (major in economics and history). I notice most student mets on this blog go to FSU. Should've checked out the meteorology building on campus before I left...
Member Since: July 20, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 205
975. CosmicEvents
11:30 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
I'm a little busy at the moment.
Could someone please let me know if we're in diurnal min or max? I'm not talking about the status of the TD-to-be....I'm asking about the mood of the blog.
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 5688
974. Drakoen
11:30 PM GMT on June 05, 2011

Quoting Seflhurricane:
same here man , real busy. what are your thought with 94L looks like it is going to take a while to get going

This is from what I posted earlier (thoughts are unchanged):

"Satellite imagery shows a strong mid level rotation south of
Jamaica. The RGB imagery is really good for seeing the distinction
between the low level cloud movements and the mid to upper level clouds.
Notice that the surface flow is southwesterly underneath the mid level
center. Going to be interesting to see whether or not this mid level low
can better align itself with the surface center.The upper level
anticyclone is not directly overhead 94L judging from the CIMSS Wind
shear maps. The clockwise flow around the high is producing marginally
favorable upper level conditions. Water vapor imagery shows sinking air
in the vicinity of the system which is helping to inhibit convection on
the western side of the system. Global computer models show that this
upper high may move more to the north and position itself better with
the system over the next couple of days."



Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30833
973. Stormchaser2007
11:30 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Maritime OBS:

Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15950
971. Seflhurricane
11:29 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
i am curious to see what the NHC says within the hour
Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3029
970. Levi32
11:27 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting emcf30:
Levi and others,
I know there is a lot going on with 94L but has anyone gave much thought about the possibility of a area of low pressure that may form just north of the Bahamas at the tail end of a frontal system in a week or so. This low pressure system could remain nearly stationary in that area for a few days and may be something to keep a watch out for tropical development.


I don't immediately see anything in a week on the GFS or ECMWF so I'm unsure of what feature you speak of.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
969. ackee
11:27 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Ivanhater:
Very interesting circulation developing south of Jamaica looking at microwave

That where I think new centre has form
Member Since: July 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1376
968. Drakoen
11:27 PM GMT on June 05, 2011

Quoting Levi32:


That's great. I'm also staying at UAF over the summer to take summer classes and work.
Cool! Are you thinking about transferring to a school in the CONUS or maybe following up the physics degrees with a Masters Degree in meteorology?
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30833
967. Seflhurricane
11:26 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Drakoen:




Hey! All is well. Just thought I would drop by and post, since things are starting to pick up int the tropics.
same here man , real busy. what are your thought with 94L looks like it is going to take a while to get going
Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3029
966. kmanislander
11:26 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Seflhurricane:
by the way kman have you seen anything that would prompt the NHC to upgrade the probabilities , i still think it will remain at 40% based on how it looks now


Not with the decline in satellite presentation.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
965. Tazmanian
11:26 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
whe i say it will go up too 70% i say it will go up
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115455
964. weatherwatcher12
11:26 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
June 05, 2011 at 5:00 p.m.

*** FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ***


The Meteorological Service has continued the Flash Flood Warning for low-lying and flood-prone areas of St Mary, Portland, St Thomas, St Catherine, Clarendon, Kingston and St Andrew and has extended it to Manchester and St. Elizabeth until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for all others parishes also until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING means flooding has been reported or will occur shortly. Motorists and pedestrians should not attempt to cross flooded roadways or other low-lying areas as strong currents are likely. Residents in low-lying areas should be on the alert for rising waters and be ready to move quickly to higher ground.

The Area of Low Pressure over the Caribbean Sea, southwest of Jamaica, has remained almost stationary over the past 24 hours. This area of disturbed weather is expected to persist across the central Caribbean until Tuesday and will continue to influence the weather over the island during the period.
Satellite imagery and RADAR reports indicate that light to moderate, showers affecting sections of most parishes; with moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorm detected especially across eastern and south-central parishes throughout the day.

The forecast is for periods of showers and thunderstorms, which could be heavy at times, to continue to affect most parishes tonight and continuing into early this week.

Fishers and other marine interests are advised to exercise extreme caution, as strong winds and rough sea conditions are expected in the vicinity of showers and thunderstorms.


The Area of Low Pressure now has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and the Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the progress of this system.
pef
Member Since: May 16, 2009 Posts: 1 Comments: 1231
963. weatherlover94
11:26 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
looks like a spin is forming just south of Jamaica ...i say 50-60% chance of development by 8:00 pm
Member Since: September 8, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2232
962. Levi32
11:26 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Hurrykane:
Levi, looks like that trof off the eastern seaboard is lifting out...closing up the weakness to the NE of 94L

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-avn. html


Indeed. I doubt the trough will catch it now. It's fully caught in the flow around the southern flank of the eastern U.S. ridge.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
961. Drakoen
11:25 PM GMT on June 05, 2011

Quoting Seflhurricane:
hey drak great to hear from you again , hope all is well



Hey! All is well. Just thought I would drop by and post, since things are starting to pick up int the tropics.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30833
960. NICycloneChaser
11:25 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Levi32:


Much of my learning came from books and pure experience and trial and error forecasting here at WU, but here's a couple sites that I know of:

MetED - A great free site that you must register at. I consider this the best one that I know of. They recently came out with an online tropical college textbook meant for upper undergraduate or graduate students as well that is freely accessible from their server. It's an amazing thing to have out there for free.

Meteorologist Jeff Haby's education site full of great explanations of core meteorological concepts



Thank you for those links, Levi. I know what I'm doing with my summer...
Member Since: August 10, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 1971
959. Levi32
11:25 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Drakoen:

Hey Kman! It's been a while.I have been studying hard, but I still
have not taken any meteorology major required core courses. I will be
starting them in the fall. Right now i'm taking summer classes at FSU,
by choice.


That's great. I'm also staying at UAF over the summer to take summer classes and work.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
958. Seflhurricane
11:25 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting kmanislander:


Corrected the spelling LOL
by the way kman have you seen anything that would prompt the NHC to upgrade the probabilities , i still think it will remain at 40% based on how it looks now
Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3029
955. AtHomeInTX
11:24 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting txjac:
AtHome ...it's way to hot here! Got to be 106 where I am at in Houston!


I can believe it. I LOVE air conditioning! Wow! Unbelievable! Just waiting for the rolling black outs to start though. :( Hope not.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 254
954. emcf30
11:24 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Levi and others,
I know there is a lot going on with 94L but has anyone gave much thought about the possibility of a area of low pressure that may form just north of the Bahamas at the tail end of a frontal system in a week or so. This low pressure system could remain nearly stationary in that area for a few days and may be something to keep a watch out for tropical development.
Member Since: August 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1957
953. Seflhurricane
11:24 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting kmanislander:


Corrected the spelling LOL
from my phone its hard to get the typing correct
Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3029
952. txjac
11:23 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Ivanhater:
Very interesting circulation developing south of Jamaica looking at microwave



Thanks for posting what you "see" with the picture ...helps novices like me
Member Since: April 24, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 2624
951. kmanislander
11:23 PM GMT on June 05, 2011
Quoting Seflhurricane:
i see the LLC but it is very broad and not well defined its moving to the wnw


Corrected the spelling LOL
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
Quoting Drakoen:

Hey Kman! It's been a while.I have been studying hard, but I still
have not taken any meteorology major required core courses. I will be
starting them in the fall. Right now i'm taking summer classes at FSU,
by choice.
hey drak great to hear from you again , hope all is well
Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3029
Quoting TomTaylor:
thank you very much levi.

Sorry for bugging you so much today, but I do have one final question, do you have any links to good meteorology/weather learning websites?


I'd like to learn all the stuff you have!


Much of my learning came from books and pure experience and trial and error forecasting here at WU, but here's a couple sites that I know of:

MetED - A great free site that you must register at. I consider this the best one that I know of. They recently came out with an online tropical weather college textbook meant for upper undergraduate or graduate students as well that is freely accessible from their server. It's an amazing thing to have out there for free, produced by UCAR.

Meteorologist Jeff Haby's education site full of great explanations of core meteorological concepts

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
Quoting Drakoen:




Good stuff. Keep at it. No one can take away what you have between the ears.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
... New record high temperature set at Galveston...

... The record high for the month of June has been tied...


A record high temperature of 99 degrees was set at Galveston today.
This breaks the old record of 92 degrees set in 1875... 136 years ago.

This also ties the 99 degree record high temperature for the month
of June... which was set on June 18th in 1918... 93 years ago.
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