Caribbean disturbance slow to develop; 5 EF-5 tornadoes this year confirmed

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:33 PM GMT on June 03, 2011

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The tropical disturbance (Invest 93L) that crossed over Florida on Wednesday, bringing welcome rains of 1 - 3 inches, is now a naked swirl of low clouds over the central Gulf of Mexico. The disturbance is embedded in a large area of dry air associated with an upper level low pressure system, and this dry air is discouraging development. 93L is also moving into a region of moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots, and NHC is giving 93L a 0% chance of developing into a tropical depression before the storm makes landfall in Mexico south of Brownsville on Saturday. There are a few heavy thunderstorms trying to fire up near the center of 93L's fairly well-formed circulation, but I don't think this storm is going to bring more than 1 - 2 inches of rain to the coast on Saturday.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of the Central Caribbean disturbance.

Central Caribbean disturbance 94L
Disorganized heavy thunderstorm activity continues in the region between Central America and Jamaica. Wind shear has fallen to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, and is predicted to continue to fall over the next two days. This should allow the disturbance, dubbed Invest 94L by NHC on Friday afternoon, to increase in organization, though it will take many days for it to approach tropical depression status, since it is so large and poorly organized. The last two runs of the NOGAPS model have developed the disturbance into a tropical depression or storm by early next week, with the system moving northwards into Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and eastern Cuba. The other major models do not show the disturbance developing during the coming week. NHC is giving the disturbance a 10% of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday. A surge of moisture accompanying a tropical wave may aid development when the wave arrives in the Western Caribbean on Sunday. Water temperatures in the Central Caribbean are about 1°C above average, 29°C, which is plenty warm enough to support development of a tropical storm. Residents of Jamaica, eastern Cuba, the Cayman Islands, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic should anticipate the possibility that heavy rains of 2 - 4 inches may affect them today through Sunday.

Five EF-5 tornadoes confirmed in 2011
The National Weather Service in Oklahoma City announced Wednesday that the violent tornado that hit Binger, El Reno, Peidmont, and Guthrie, Oklahoma on May 24, killing nine people, was an EF-5 with winds greater than 210 mph. The rating was given based on measurements made by a University of Oklahoma portable "Doppler on wheels" radar. The long track, large wedge tornado caused extensive damage, with well built houses cleanly swept from their foundation and trees debarked. This tornado brings the total number of EF-5 tornadoes this year to five, tying 2011 with 1953 for 2nd place for greatest number of these top-end tornadoes in one year. Only 1974 (six) had more. The EF-5 tornadoes of 2011:

1) The April 27, 2011 Neshoba/Kemper/Winston/Noxubee Counties, Mississippi tornado (3 killed, 29 mile path length.)

2) The April 27, 2011 Smithville, Mississippi tornado (22 killed, 15 mile path length.)

3) The April 27, 2011 Hackleburg, Alabama tornado (71 killed, 25 mile path length.)

4) The May 22, 2011 Joplin Missouri tornado (138 killed, 14 mile path length.)

5) The May 24, 2011 Binger-El Reno-Peidmont-Guthrie, Oklahoma tornado. (9 killed, 75 mile path length.)


Figure 2. Aerial view of damage from the May 22, 2011 Joplin, Missouri tornado. Image credit: Wikipedia.

A few other remarkable statistics on the tornado season of 2011, compiled from NOAA's official press release and Wikipedia's excellent tornado pages:

- The April 25 - 28 tornado outbreak, with 330 tornadoes, was the largest tornado outbreak of three days or less duration on record. The previous record was 148 tornadoes, set during the April 3 - 4, 1974 Super Outbreak.

- For April 27, 186 tornadoes have been confirmed. This is the largest 1-day tornado total on record, beating the 148 recorded in 24 hours on April 3 - 4, 1974.

- The April 14 - 16 tornado outbreak, with 162 confirmed tornadoes, ranks as the fourth largest tornado outbreak of three days or less duration on record.

- The May 21 - 26 tornado outbreak, with 158 confirmed tornadoes, ranks as the 5th largest 6-day or shorter tornado outbreak on record. A May 2003 6-day outbreak had 289 tornadoes, and a May 2004 6-day outbreak had 229 tornadoes. The year 2011 now has three of the top five tornado outbreaks on record.

- April confirmed tornado total was 683, making it the busiest tornado month on record. The previous record was 542 tornadoes, set in May 2003. The previous April record was 267 tornadoes, which occurred in April 1974. The 30-year average for April tornadoes is 135.

- If the three deaths in Massachusetts from Wednesday's tornadoes are confirmed, this year's tornado death toll will be 522, beating 1953 as the deadliest tornado year since modern tornado records began. That year, 519 people died, and three heavily populated cities received direct hits by violent tornadoes. Waco, Texas (114 killed), Flint, Michigan (115 killed), and Worcester, Massachusetts (90 killed) all were hit by violent F-4 or F-5 tornadoes. A similar bad tornado year occurred in 1936, when violent tornadoes hit Tupelo Mississippi (216 killed), and Gainesville, Georgia (203 killed.) During that time period, the tornado death rate per million people was 60 - 70 times as great as in the year 2000 (Figure 4), implying that this year's tornadoes would have killed many thousands of people had we not had our modern tornado modern warning system.

- The May 22, 2011 Joplin, Missouri tornado killed 138 people and injured 1150, making it the deadliest U.S. tornado since 1947, and 8th deadliest in history. The $1 - $3 billion estimate of insured damage makes it the most expensive tornado in history.

- Damage from the April 25 - 28 super tornado outbreak was estimated at $3.5 - $6 billion, making it the most expensive tornado outbreak of all-time.

- The tornado that hit Springfield, Massachusetts on June 1 was at least an EF-3 with 136 - 165 mph winds. It was only the 9th EF-3 or stronger tornado to hit Massachusetts since 1950, and the third deadliest, with three deaths.

- The year 2011 now ranks in 3rd place behind 1974 and 1965 for highest number of strong to violent EF-3, EF-4, and EF-5 tornadoes (Figure 3.)


Figure 3. Number of strong to violent EF-3, EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes from 1950 to 2011. The year 2011 now ranks in 3rd place behind 1974 and 1965. There is not a decades-long increasing trend in the numbers of these most dangerous of tornadoes. Image credit: NOAA/National Climatic Data Center (updated using stats for 2008 - 2011 from Wikipedia.)


Figure 4. Death rate per million people per year in U.S., 1875-2000. Thin line with dots is raw rate, curved thick line is death rate, filtered by 3-point median and 5-point running mean filter, and straight solid lines are least squares fit to filtered death rate for 1875-1925 and 1925-2000. Dashed lines are estimates of 10th and 90th percentile death rates from 1925-2000. The death rate fell from 8 per million to .12 per million between 1940 and 2000. Image credit: A Brief History of Deaths from Tornadoes in the United States, Harold Brooks and Charles Doswell III.

Joplin tornado the 7th U.S. billion-dollar weather disaster of 2011
The Joplin tornado is the 7th U.S. weather disaster of 2011 costing more than a billion dollars. With a major flooding disaster coming on the Missouri River, and hurricane season still to come, 2011 has an excellent chance of beating 2008's record of nine billion-dollar weather disasters. The billion dollar weather disasters of 2011 so far:

1) 2011 Groundhog Day's blizzard ($1- $4 billion)
2) April 3 -5 Southeast U.S. severe weather outbreak ($2 billion)
3) April 8 - 11 severe weather outbreak ($2.25 billion)
4) April 25 - 28 super tornado outbreak ($3.5 - $6 billion)
5) Mississippi River flood of 2011 ($9 billion)
6) Texas drought ($1.2 billion)
7) Joplin tornado ($1 - $3 billion)


Figure 5. River flood outlook for the U.S. Image credit: NOAA.

The next U.S. billion-dollar weather disaster: a Missouri River flood?
A great 100-year flood has arrived along the Missouri River and its tributaries from Montana to Nebraska. Record spring rains, combined with snow melt from record or near-record winter and spring snows, brought the Missouri River at Williston, North Dakota to 27.9' yesterday, just an inch short of the highest crest on record (28.0' on 4/01/1912.) Tributaries to the Missouri, such as the Souris River in North Dakota and the North Platte River in Nebraska, are already flooding at all-time record heights. With warm summer temperatures and additional rainfall expected over much of the area during the coming week, snow melt and rain runoff will swell area rivers even further, creating a damaging 100-year flood. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has the details in his latest post, and I will be writing more on this latest epic flood next week.

I'll have a new post on Monday, or earlier if the Caribbean disturbance shows significant development.

Jeff Masters

Joplin Tornado Damage (thebige)
Joplin Tornado Damage
And Bigger.... (weatherfanatic2010)
Here it is turning into a monster.
And Bigger....

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Orange!

30% chance of development, pretty much expected this.

Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6874
Notice: NEARLY STATIONARY in the latest TWO. Looking like it will stall as the models predicted.
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771. IKE
Now the season will really start on here. Buckle up....it saves lives!
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00
ABNT20 KNHC 032337
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ROUGHLY A HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF JAMAICA CONTINUES TO SHOW
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING
AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
JAMAICA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS
THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
SEA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6874
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ROUGHLY A HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF JAMAICA CONTINUES TO SHOW
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING
AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
JAMAICA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS
THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
SEA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


000
ABNT20 KNHC 032337
TWOAT


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ROUGHLY A HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF JAMAICA CONTINUES TO SHOW
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING
AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
JAMAICA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS
THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
SEA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KIMBERLAIN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
767. IKE
...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ROUGHLY A HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF JAMAICA CONTINUES TO SHOW
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING
AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
JAMAICA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS
THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
SEA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KIMBERLAIN

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Ylee:
Forget it ruly, we are all doom.....

The askamoes said so......
Cant Blame the Model, just Mother Nature..Isn't that how the NHC gets away with it?
I thought the master forcaster FLDEWEY said this season was a "bust"...I trust him.
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I would not be surprised if the next advisory was 30%

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Quoting FrankZapper:
Once 94L moves out I expect things to settle down until mid-August. This is no 2005. It will follow the usual historic pattern.


You can never tell this far out.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6874
.."the Low Ri-der"..
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ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED HWRF HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 94L

INITIAL TIME 18Z JUN 3

FORECAST POSITIONS (FROM STATS.SHORT FILE...)

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE MIN PRESS (hPa) MAX SFC WIND (KTS)

HOUR: 0.0 LONG: -77.60 LAT: 16.10 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1007.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 25.00
HOUR: 6.0 LONG: -76.40 LAT: 16.80 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1003.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 39.00
HOUR: 12.0 LONG: -76.70 LAT: 17.10 MIN PRESS (hPa): 995.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 54.00
HOUR: 18.0 LONG: -76.50 LAT: 16.90 MIN PRESS (hPa): 997.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 52.00
HOUR: 24.0 LONG: -75.90 LAT: 17.10 MIN PRESS (hPa): 996.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 48.00
HOUR: 30.0 LONG: -75.90 LAT: 17.30 MIN PRESS (hPa): 997.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 42.00
HOUR: 36.0 LONG: -75.70 LAT: 17.60 MIN PRESS (hPa): 992.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 50.00
HOUR: 42.0 LONG: -76.00 LAT: 17.70 MIN PRESS (hPa): 994.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 41.00
HOUR: 48.0 LONG: -76.00 LAT: 18.10 MIN PRESS (hPa): 991.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 51.00
HOUR: 54.0 LONG: -75.90 LAT: 18.30 MIN PRESS (hPa): 992.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 47.00
HOUR: 60.0 LONG: -75.60 LAT: 18.30 MIN PRESS (hPa): 989.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 43.00
HOUR: 66.0 LONG: -75.30 LAT: 18.30 MIN PRESS (hPa): 991.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 45.00
HOUR: 72.0 LONG: -74.60 LAT: 18.90 MIN PRESS (hPa): 981.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 51.00
HOUR: 78.0 LONG: -74.30 LAT: 19.20 MIN PRESS (hPa): 988.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 46.00
HOUR: 84.0 LONG: -73.90 LAT: 19.40 MIN PRESS (hPa): 987.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 50.00
HOUR: 90.0 LONG: -73.50 LAT: 19.80 MIN PRESS (hPa): 989.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 45.00
HOUR: 96.0 LONG: -72.80 LAT: 20.10 MIN PRESS (hPa): 988.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 45.00
HOUR: 102.0 LONG: -71.50 LAT: 20.40 MIN PRESS (hPa): 990.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 50.00
HOUR: 108.0 LONG: -70.20 LAT: 21.40 MIN PRESS (hPa): 987.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 56.00
HOUR: 114.0 LONG: -68.80 LAT: 22.50 MIN PRESS (hPa): 991.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 56.00
HOUR: 120.0 LONG: -66.90 LAT: 24.00 MIN PRESS (hPa): 985.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 58.00
HOUR: 126.0 LONG: -65.50 LAT: 25.20 MIN PRESS (hPa): 988.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 66.00
FORECAST RAN UNCOUPLED

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


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742. unruly 11:25 PM GMT on June 03, 2011
Back again for another season. Its is bittersweet, to see some of the seasoned Vets, Some Newbies, Good to see you all. And the same old trolls.Nice to see "the Gangs all here"....That being said,,,, The JJHPM is calling for the next Elephant fart in the Sudan will spiral into the CAT 5 that will have a direct impact on NEW YORK CITY.....BE SAFE!!!!


I heard that on CNN....
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Once 94L moves out I expect things to settle down until mid-August. This is no 2005. It will follow the usual historic pattern.
Member Since: May 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1193
Evening all. Kudos to the Doc; that is an excellent blog entry today.

Still need to read back comments to get caught up on developments with the CAR system...
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756. IKE
Eastern-PAC....

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUN 3 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KIMBERLAIN


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting sammywammybamy:


Send a weak Slow moving tropical storm to South Florida...

Guys im not kidding... Drought Conditons have been upgraded to a D4 "Exceptional Drought"






Getting drier on the eastern half of VA, here we are on the border between normal and abnormally dry.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6874
753. IKE
***F5'er***
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751. SLU
Quoting xcool:



Climo


Hey xcool. Can you send me a link for that image? I lost mine. Thanks!
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Quoting CyclonicVoyage:



It is there, may not be for long but, right now, it's there. I was just merely pointing out that 20kts of shear can kill a poorly organized cyclone and moreso with dry air involved. However, that was in no reference to the current 94L, just in general.


Sorry, just a misunderstanding!
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6874
94L WV Loop dee Loop
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748. Ylee
Forget it ruly, we are all doom.....

The askamoes said so......
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Quoting tropicfreak:


I really don't see any near 94L, it's surrounding environment is moist, until you get to the yucatan channel.




It is there, may not be for long but, right now, it's there. I was just merely pointing out that 20kts of shear can kill a poorly organized cyclone and moreso with dry air involved. However, that was in no reference to the current 94L, just in general.
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
746. IKE
Note to blog: If the NHC keeps it at 20% at the next TWO, there will be some ticked off folks on here. I could see it going to 30%, but wouldn't be shocked if they keep it at 20%.


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Would be nice to see it slip west to keep the inflow side away from Haiti as there are 500,000 folks living under Tarps and Shanties there still.

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Quoting stormpetrol:
94L 30-40% at 8pm is my guess with a slight drift to the west? Yep I'm the westcaster :)


I agree with you on the percentages. But as for westcasting, the yucatan needs a break, they have been slammed by storm after storm last season.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6874
I wonder how the Bermuda high is going to play on the cape verde systems this year , will they go out to sea into the northern caribean/gom or up the atlantic seaboard.What do u guys think, that familiar c recurvature is a nightmare for all on the east coast, i couldn't imagine some large city like New york or Boston getting creammed with a major hurricane as it begins to go even into its extra tropical transition in the higher latitudes.If it wasn't Earl last year getting alot of dry air sucked into that storm when it did we would have been ruined here where i live in Nova Scotia, that was a north east eyewall that passed over Halifax or what was left over of Earl
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94L 30-40% at 8pm is my guess with a slight drift to the west? Yep I'm the westcaster :)
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Seems she is Feeling a sweet spot with them Towers on the fetch side fer sure.


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Quoting Hurrykane:
Shouldn't be dry air around for too long.


Agreed.

Convection is slowly but surely building in on the western side of the circulation.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6874
734. IKE

Quoting portcharlotte:
I like this run...it brings rain to Florida especially over the south. I hope the other models join in....



I hope it happens.
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94L RGB

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Quoting pressureman:
lol@tropic freak you going to dispute the dry air also..
He likes being argumentative.
Member Since: May 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1193
Quoting wunderkidcayman:

A floater is up floater #2 although it says not active click it and now it is



Thanks!
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6874
I like this run...it brings rain to Florida especially over the south. I hope the other models join in....



Quoting IKE:
18Z NOGAPS.... https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/index.html
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Quoting tropicfreak:
I would also like the NHC to put up a floater on 94L.

A floater is up floater #2 although it says not active click it and now it is

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Quoting tropicfreak:
I would also like the NHC to put up a floater on 94L.


They just add it.

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2245
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lol@tropic freak you going to dispute the dry air also..
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.