Joplin tornado toll at 116; dangerous tornado outbreak expected today

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:50 PM GMT on May 24, 2011

Share this Blog
5
+

Severe weather is expected again today in storm-torn Joplin, Missouri, as rescuers sift through the rubble of their town that was devastated by the deadliest U.S. tornado since at least 1947. A violent high-end EF-4 tornado with winds of 190 – 198 mph carved a 7-mile long, ¾ to one mile-wide path of near-total destruction through Joplin beginning at 5:41pm CDT Sunday evening. In nine terrifying minutes, the tornado killed at least 116 people, injured 500 more, and obliterated huge sections of the town. Damage from the tornado is so severe that pavement was ripped from the ground, and the level of damage is so extreme that this is likely to surpass last month's Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornado as the costliest tornado of all-time.


Figure 1. Radar reflectivity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Joplin, Missouri tornado, one minute before the tornado touched down at 5:41pm CDT. There is a hook echo apparent, though not a classic well-defined one.


Figure 2. Radar-estimated rainfall for the period May 22 – 24 over the region surrounding Joplin. Rains of 1.83" fell on the city yesterday, a record for the date.

The Joplin tornado's place in history
According to our weather historian, Christopher C. Burt in his post, The World's Deadliest Tornadoes, the death toll of 116 from the Joplin tornado ranks as the deadliest U.S. tornado since at least 1947, when a violent F-5 tornado hit Woodward, Oklahoma, killing 181. However, it is now thought that the Woodward tornado was actually one of a series of tornadoes, and the tornado that hit Woodward killed 107 people. If that is true, we have to back all the way to 1936 to find the last U.S. tornado that killed more people than 2011's Joplin tornado. In 1936, violent tornadoes a day apart hit Tupelo Mississippi (216 killed), and Gainesville, Georgia (203 killed.) NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) rates this year's Joplin tornado as the 9th deadliest U.S. tornado of all-time.

This year's tornado death toll now stands at 482, making it the deadliest year for tornadoes in the U.S. since 1953, when 519 people died. That year, three heavily populated cities received direct hits by violent tornadoes. Waco, Texas (114 killed), Flint, Michigan (115 killed), and Worcester, Massachusetts (89 – 94 killed) all were hit by violent F-4 or F-5 tornadoes. A similar bad tornado year occurred in 1936, when violent tornadoes hit Tupelo Mississippi (216 killed), and Gainesville, Georgia (203 killed.)


Video 1. The last year with more tornado deaths than 2011 was 1953, when three great tornadoes killed more than 90 people each. This old newsreel video shows destruction from the first of these deadly 1953 tornadoes, the May 11, 1953 F-5 tornado that hit downtown Waco Texas, killing 114 people. The wunderground youtube channel has almost 300 old newsreel videos of historically significant weather events.

What's going on?
It's been an incredibly dangerous and deadly year for tornadoes. On April 14 - 16, we had the largest tornado outbreak in world history, with 162 tornadoes hitting the Southeast U.S. That record lasted just two weeks, when the unbelievable April 25 – 28 Super Outbreak hit. Unofficially, that outbreak had 327 tornadoes, more than double the previous record. The legendary April 3 – 4 1974 Super Outbreak has now fallen to third place, with 148 tornadoes. Damage from the April 25 – 28, 2011 outbreak was estimated to be as high as $5 billion, making it the most expensive tornado outbreak in history; the Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornado of April 27 may end up being the most expensive tornado of all-time—until the damage from Sunday's Joplin tornado is tabulated. Officially, 875 tornadoes hit the U.S. In April 2011, making it the busiest tornado month in history. The previous record was 542 tornadoes, set in May 2003. The previous April tornado record was 267, set in 1974, and April has averaged just 161 tornadoes over the past decade.

So what's going on? Why are there so many tornadoes, and so many people getting killed? Well, the high death toll this year is partly just bad luck. Violent EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes usually miss heavily populated areas, and we've had the misfortune of having two such tornadoes track over cities with more than 50,000 people (the Joplin tornado, and the Tuscaloosa-Birmingham EF-4 tornado in Alabama, which killed 61 people on April 27.) This sort of bad luck occurred in both 1953, when F-5 tornadoes hit Flint, Worcester, and Waco, and in 1936, when F-5s hit Tupelo and Gainesville. However, this year's death toll is more remarkable than the 1953 or 1936 death tolls, since in 2011 we have Doppler radar and a modern tornado warning system that is very good at providing an average of twelve minutes of warning time. The warning time for the Joplin tornado was 24 minutes. The first tornado warning wasn't issued until 1948, and virtually all tornadoes from the 1950s and earlier hit with no warning. On average, tornado deaths in the United States decreased from 8 per 1 million people in 1925 to 0.12 per 1 million people in 2000. Had this year's tornadoes occurred 50 years ago, I expect the death toll would have exceeded three thousand.


Figure 3. Number of strong to violent EF-3, EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes from 1950 to 2011. There are no obvious trends in the numbers of these most dangerous of tornadoes. Image credit: NOAA/National Climatic Data Center (updated using stats for 2008 – 2011 from Wikipedia.)

Tornadoes require two main ingredients for formation—instability and wind shear. Instability is at a maximum when there is record warm air with plenty of moisture at low levels, and cold dry air aloft. April 2011 sea surface temperature in the Gulf of Mexico were at their third highest levels of the past 100 years, so there was plenty of warm, moist air available to create high instability, whenever approaching storm systems pulled the Gulf air northwards into Tornado Alley, and brought cold, dry air south from Canada. The La Niña event in the Eastern Pacific, in part, caused this spring's jet stream to have very strong winds that changed speed and direction with height. This sort of shearing force (wind shear) was ideal for putting a twist on thunderstorm updrafts, allowing more numerous and more intense tornadoes than usual to occur. Was this year's heightened wind shear and instability the result of climate change? We don't know. Over the past 30 years, there have not been any noticeable trends wind shear and instability over the Lower Mississippi Valley, according to the NOAA Climate Scene Investigations team. Furthermore, there have been no upward trend in the number of violent EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes over the past 60 years, or in the number of EF-3 and stronger tornadoes (Figure 3.) However, this year's remarkable violent tornado activity—17 such tornadoes, with tornado season a little more than half over—brings our two-year total for the decade of 2010 – 2019 to 30. At this rate, we'll have more than 150 violent tornadoes by decade's end, beating the record of 108 set in the 1950s. In summary, this year's incredibly violent tornado season is not part of a trend. It is either a fluke, the start of a new trend, or an early warning symptom that the climate is growing unstable and is transitioning to a new, higher energy state with the potential to create unprecedented weather and climate events. All are reasonable explanations, but we don't have a long enough history of good tornado data to judge which is most likely to be correct.

More severe weather today
Yesterday, survivors of the tornado endured a 12-hour period with two severe thunderstorm warnings, a record 1.83” of rain, hail, and lightning that struck two police officers. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) recorded 11 preliminary reports of tornadoes yesterday, along with 315 reports of damaging winds and 182 reports of hail up to 3.5” in diameter. The severe weather threat is much higher today, and SPC has placed a large section of eastern Kansas and eastern Oklahoma in their "High Risk" region for severe weather potential, and warn of the potential for long-lived strong tornadoes. This is their third "High Risk" forecast for the year, and the first since the terrible April 27, 2011 tornado outbreak. That day was the busiest tornado day in world history, with 198 tornadoes occurring in a 24-hour period. Over 300 people died. The other "High Risk" forecast by SPC came during the final day of the April 14 – 16 outbreak over the Southeast U.S. Fifty-two tornadoes hit that day, and 26 people died in North Carolina and Virginia. The severe weather threat will continue into Wednesday, when additional tornadoes are likely along a swath from Arkansas to Indiana.


Figure 4. Severe weather threat for Tuesday, May 23, 2011.

Links
The most remarkable audio I've ever heard of people surviving a direct hit by a violent tornado was posted to Youtube by someone who took shelter in the walk-in storage refrigerator at a gas station during the Joplin tornado. There isn't much video.


Video 2. Video of the Joplin, Missouri tornado of May 22, 2011, entering the southwest side of town. Filmed by TornadoVideos.net Basehunters team Colt Forney, Isaac Pato, Kevin Rolfs, and Scott Peake.

Helping out tornado victims
For those who want to lend a helping hand to those impacted by the widespread destruction this month's severe weather has brought, stop by the Red Cross website, or portlight.org blog. Portlight has been very active bringing aid to the victims of this year's tornadoes. Below is the damage survey from the Joplin tornado:

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
938 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

...JOPLIN TORNADO GIVEN A PRELIMINARY HIGH END EF-4 RATING...

* DATE...22 MAY 2011
* BEGIN LOCATION...APPROXIMATELY 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOPLIN
* END LOCATION...1 MILE SOUTHEAST OF DUQUESNE
* ESTIMATED BEGIN TIME...541 PM
* ESTIMATED END TIME...550 PM
* MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF-4
* ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...190-198 MPH
* ESTIMATED PATH WIDTH...3/4 OF A MILE
* PATH LENGTH...7 MILES
* FATALITIES...116 REPORTED AS OF 3 PM MONDAY
* INJURIES...400 REPORTED AS OF 3 PM MONDAY
* BEGIN LAT/LON...37.06 N / 94.57 W
* END LAT/LON...37.06 N / 94.39 W

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SURVEY TEAMS RATED THE TORNADO THAT KILLED OVER 100 PEOPLE IN AND AROUND JOPLIN AS A HIGH END EF-4 TORNADO.

BASED UPON SURVEYS COMPLETED TODAY...MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 190 AND 198 MPH. THE TORNADO HAD A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 3/4 TO ONE MILE.

THE TORNADO INITIALLY TOUCHED DOWN AROUND 541 PM NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTRY CLUB AND 32ND STREET. ADDITIONAL SURVEYS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCTED TO FURTHER DEFINE THE STARTING POINT AND INTENSITY AT THIS LOCATION.

DAMAGE BECAME MORE WIDESPREAD AS THE TORNADO CROSSED MAIDEN LANE...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO NEARLY ALL WINDOWS ON THREE SIDES OF ST JOHNS HOSPITAL AS WELL AS TO THE ROOF. THE TORNADO FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS IT DESTROYED NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES TO THE EAST AND NORTH OF THE HOSPITAL. THE HIGHEST RATED DAMAGE IN THIS AREA WAS TO A CHURCH SCHOOL THAT HAD ALL BUT A PORTION OF ITS EXTERIOR WALLS DESTROYED AS WELL AS TO A NURSING HOME. WINDS IN THAT AREA WERE ESTIMATED AT 160 TO 180 MPH.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO DESTROY OVER 100 HOMES BETWEEN 32ND AND 20TH STREETS. THREE STORY APARTMENT COMPLEXES HAD THE TOP TWO FLOORS REMOVED...OTHER TWO STORY COMPLEXES WERE PARTIALLY LEVELED.

A BANK WAS TOTALLY DESTROYED WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE VAULT.

A DILLONS GROCERY STORE ALSO HAD SIGNIFICANT ROOF AND EXTERIOR WALL DAMAGE. LASTLY...THE EXTERIOR AND INTERIOR WALLS OF A TECHNICAL SCHOOL...A MORTAR AND REBAR REINFORCED CINDER BLOCK BUILDING...FAILED.

THE TORNADO CROSSED RANGELINE ROAD NEAR 20TH STREET. THE MOST INTENSE DAMAGE WAS NOTED JUST EAST OF THIS INTERSECTION WHERE A HOME DEPOT WAS DESTROYED BY AN ESTIMATED 190 TO NEARLY 200 MPH WINDS.
IN ADDITION...THE CUMMINS BUILDING...A CONCRETE BLOCK AND HEAVY STEEL BUILDING...HAD ITS STEEL ROOF BEAMS COLLAPSE. SPORTS ACADEMY AND THE WALMART ALSO SUFFERED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO MOVE EASTWARD ALONG AND SOUTH OF 20TH STREET DESTROYING NUMEROUS WAREHOUSE STYLE FACILITIES AND RESIDENCES THROUGH DUQUESNE ROAD. WINDS IN THIS AREA MAY ALSO APPROACH 200 MPH.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO DESTROYING NUMEROUS HOMES BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT TURNED SOUTHEAST TOWARD INTERSTATE 44.

SUBSEQUENT DAMAGE SURVEYS WILL BE REQUIRED TO DETERMINE THE SCOPE OF ADDITIONAL REPORTS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 71 AND INTERSTATE 44.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

Jeff Masters

May 22, 2011 (WisconsinCowboy)
Hailstones in Westfield, WI
May 22, 2011
Wall cloud (weatherfanatic2010)
wall cloud with scud clouds rising up into it that looked like a funnel but were actually not ratating with the wall cloud.
Wall cloud
Tornado? (thomasanthony)
This is a shot looking west toward Topeka Kansas, about 5 miles away, as the wall cloud came closer to my position.
Tornado?
Wall Cloud (thomasanthony)
Rotating wall cloud coming through Perry Kansas. That speck towards the top is a helicopter.
Wall Cloud
Cleora, OK Tornado (okeedoky)
Very active tornado day 5/22 was. About the same time as Joplin, MO was getting hit, we had this one come right over the Grand Lake RV park and put down some EF-3 damage on the other side of the hay field you see.
Cleora, OK Tornado

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1128 - 1078

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23Blog Index

1128. IKE
1:49 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
NEW BLOG!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1127. blsealevel
1:47 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
WASHINGTON — The threat of a catastrophic release of radioactive materials from a spent fuel pool at Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi plant is dwarfed by the risk posed by such pools in the United States, which are typically filled with far more radioactive material, according to a study released on Tuesday by a nonprofit institute.

Link

NUCLEAR FACILITIES AT RISK FROM FLOODS * Entergy's (ETR.N: Quote) 1,176-megawatt Waterford nuclear plant
in St. Charles Parish, Louisiana. * Entergy's 978-megawatt River Bend nuclear plant in West
Feliciana Parish, Louisiana. * Entergy's 1,268-megawatt Grand Gulf nuclear station in
Clairborne County, Mississippi.

Link
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
1126. mcluvincane
1:45 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Awwwww yeahhhhhh!!!! I'm back. Can't wait to get the party started for hurricane season. Let the season be a safe one for everyone. The trolls will come out of there caves and try to reek havoc on the blog. Got my troll hunting license yesterday. Can't wait to pick em off one by one. Greetings to all. Be back in a week
Member Since: June 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1338
1125. blsealevel
1:40 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Flood-estimate maps showed water reaching depths of up to 20 feet and pooling out into every part of the floodway within eight days.

A week and a half later, those maps appear to have been a bit pessimistic. The water has taken an unexpected trajectory as it moves out into the floodway, and some areas will probably be spared significant flooding. The flooding has also moved more slowly than anticipated, forcing local officials to recalibrate by the day.

Link
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
1124. ILwthrfan
1:38 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:




Another very active day


The north end of that outlook needs to be shaved down considerably. It will all stay south of I-70 in Illinois and Missouri and probably closer to I-64.
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1403
1123. overwash12
1:32 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
I believe where basements are not possible, A safe room should become mandatory. Especially in Tornado alley. People who can't afford it,should be able to get Gov't assistance for them. Sounds like a plan to me,I'm tired of seeing people going through so much grief with lost loved ones,it probably can lessen the chance if they simply had a safer place to go.
Member Since: June 24, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1437
1122. biff4ugo
1:25 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Seriously? None of the Lower Mississippi shows up as flooding on the storm report. I know it was from a snowstorm earlier in the year but there is definitely flooding.
Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 113 Comments: 1495
1121. presslord
1:16 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting Neapolitan:

At the very least, folks should take it as a lesson for themselves and anyone they know: if you are displaced by a disaster (natural or man-made), take the time to notify authorities in your home area that you are alive and well. It could save emergency crews hours of wasted time, money, and effort.

I had been involved on the periphery of several natural disasters, but time and circumstance landed me smack in the middle of the Hurricane Andrew relief effort. I have to say, for all the good intentions and planning, the search, rescue, and recovery operation as a whole was the most disorganized, discombobulated, confusing, resource-wasting, mis-communication-prone mess I've ever seen. I suppose things are better now two decades on, but sometimes I wonder...


you can stop wondering, my friend...they are not...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
1120. Neapolitan
1:15 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting presslord:


they have it...we have info about it on the Portlight blog....but the situation is very chaotic and confusing...so the system isn't working well....and this is the recurring problem with with this sorta thing...all the planning sounds great...but usually executes poorly...I could go on and on about this...but will spare you....in short: a LOT of the post Katrina expenditures and efforts on emergency planning, etc., have been circular, rather than linear, motion...

At the very least, folks should take it as a lesson for themselves and anyone they know: if you are displaced by a disaster (natural or man-made), take the time to notify authorities in your home area that you are alive and well. It could save emergency crews hours of wasted time, money, and effort.

I had been involved on the periphery of several natural disasters, but time and circumstance landed me smack in the middle of the Hurricane Andrew relief effort. I have to say, for all the good intentions and planning, the search, rescue, and recovery operation as a whole was the most disorganized, discombobulated, confusing, resource-wasting, mis-communication-prone mess I've ever seen. I suppose things are better now two decades on, but sometimes I wonder...
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13259
1119. presslord
1:14 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting PakaSurvivor:

Many, Many years ago I took a course that stated 60 percent of individual that survive a disaster would leave the immeadite area and travel upto 50 miles to get away. I sure the distance has increased over the year. The instructor also called the first 72 hours afterwards the "Free-For-ALL" and people move out of the area and emergency response teams arrived.


yup
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
1118. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:09 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting presslord:


they have it...we have info about it on the Portlight blog....but the situation is very chaotic and confusing...so the system isn't working well....and this is the recurring problem with with this sorta thing...all the planning sounds great...but usually executes poorly...I could go on and on about this...but will spare you....in short: a LOT of the post Katrina expenditures and efforts on emergency planning, etc., have been circular, rather than linear, motion...
kinda like a dog chasing its own tail
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52208
1117. PakaSurvivor
1:07 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting srada:


I agree!

Many, Many years ago I took a course that stated 60 percent of individual that survive a disaster would leave the immeadite area and travel upto 50 miles to get away. I sure the distance has increased over the year. The instructor also called the first 72 hours afterwards the "Free-For-ALL" and people move out of the area and emergency response teams arrived.
Member Since: September 20, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 235
1116. CyclonicVoyage
1:04 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Little Aside from the severe weather, sorry if this has been posted already.

TSR's May 24th Pre-Season forecast is out.

14.2 / 7.6 / 3.6
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
1115. Thundercloud01221991
1:04 PM GMT on May 25, 2011




Another very active day
Member Since: August 1, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
1114. ILwthrfan
1:02 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
This storm just went over me at work, man those skies were nasty.


TORNADO WARNING
ILC147-251345-
/O.NEW.KILX.TO.W.0032.110525T1257Z-110525T1345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
757 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN PIATT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 845 AM CDT.

* AT 751 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR MONTICELLO. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS
TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. SPOTTERS REPORTED THE TORNADO
ON THE GROUND NORTH OF CERRO GORDER AT 745 AM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHITE HEATH...MANSFIELD...LODGE AND GALESVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4028 8846 4000 8847 3986 8875 4003 8874
TIME...MOT...LOC 1257Z 223DEG 51KT 4008 8856

$$

SHIMON



Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1403
1113. presslord
1:00 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting pottery:

They need to set-up a call-in so that people who are displaced can contact the searchers.
A lot of time is wasting looking for people who are somewhere else?


they have it...we have info about it on the Portlight blog....but the situation is very chaotic and confusing...so the system isn't working well....and this is the recurring problem with with this sorta thing...all the planning sounds great...but usually executes poorly...I could go on and on about this...but will spare you....in short: a LOT of the post Katrina expenditures and efforts on emergency planning, etc., have been circular, rather than linear, motion...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
1112. srada
12:59 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting pottery:

They need to set-up a call-in so that people who are displaced can contact the searchers.
A lot of time is wasting looking for people who are somewhere else?


I agree!
Member Since: August 17, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 772
1111. pottery
12:55 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting srada:


I believe that number will come down a lot, hopefully..this morning on GMA, a man saw the search team at his house on TV looking for him through the rubble and he immediately went there..so imagine their surprise when he walked up on the search team..a lot of people are displaced and communication isnt the best right now..just a terrible tragedy right now in the midwest

They need to set-up a call-in so that people who are displaced can contact the searchers.
A lot of time is wasting looking for people who are somewhere else?
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
1110. kimoskee
12:55 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Met Service of JAMAICA

May 25, 2011 at 5:00 a.m.

LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST

SIGNIFICANT FEATURE… Trough over the central Caribbean, including Jamaica.

Comment
The Trough is expected to linger across the southwestern Caribbean for the next three days.


24-HOUR FORECAST
This Morning… Partly cloudy especially across northern parishes.
This Afternoon… Scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly across sections of most parishes.
Tonight… Partly cloudy.


Maximum temperature expected for Kingston today… 32 degrees Celsius.
Maximum temperature expected for Montego Bay today… 31 degrees Celsius.


3-DAY FORECAST (after tomorrow)
Thu… Partly cloudy morning.Scattered afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms across sections of most parishes.
Fri-Sat… Partly cloudy morning. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across central and western parishes.


Regionally… High pressure ridge building across the Gulf of Mexico and the western Caribbean.



nch
Member Since: August 17, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 672
1109. emcf30
12:53 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
This is the discussion to the image that Thundercloud posted.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0949
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR / WRN TN / WRN KY / SERN MO / FAR SRN IL /
SWRN IND

CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE

VALID 251231Z - 251330Z

AN UPGRADE TO A CATEGORICAL HIGH RISK IS LIKELY WITH THE UPDATED
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AT 13Z. THIS WILL LIKELY INCLUDE PORTIONS
OF NERN AR / WRN TN / WRN KY / SERN MO / FAR SRN IL AND SWRN IND.
FOR ADDITIONAL METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...SEE THE FORTHCOMING DAY 1
OUTLOOK THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY AROUND 13Z.
Member Since: August 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1933
1108. srada
12:51 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting Chicklit:
Last night on CNN message said 1500 missing in Joplin. Hopefully, most of them will turn up!
Hot and dry again today in ECFL.

Turning of the screw currently centered just north of Wichita :
Link

ConusLoop


I believe that number will come down a lot, hopefully..this morning on GMA, a man saw the search team at his house on TV looking for him through the rubble and he immediately went there..so imagine their surprise when he walked up on the search team..a lot of people are displaced and communication isnt the best right now..just a terrible tragedy right now in the midwest
Member Since: August 17, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 772
1107. pottery
12:51 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
took me 4 years to master the site and figure everything out you have to enter info manually to get what you want its a little hard to explain

Thanks.
I will play with it and see what I can do.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
1106. KYDan
12:50 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting pottery:
Keeper, post 1094.
Can you post a link to that?
Thanks Keep.


I believe this would be the link...

Link
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 100
1105. Chicklit
12:47 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Last night on CNN message said 1500 missing in Joplin. Hopefully, most of them will turn up!
Hot and dry again today in ECFL.

Turning of the screw currently centered just north of Wichita :
Link

ConusLoop
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11034
1104. BobinTampa
12:41 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting srada:


His aunt was on Anderson Cooper last night and said that all the leads about him being in the hospital have not come out as correct..she said they are still are holding out hope but as of right now, it dosent look good..there are still some John Does in hospitals that fit his description even as far as Tulsa, OK which is quite difficult in finding love ones since they have been transported so far away from Joplin..



Hope things work out for them but it wouldn't seem likely that this would be survivable.
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 526
1103. Bitmap7
12:41 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfs/2011052506/s lp15.png



GFS says Americans can't catch a break.
Member Since: May 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 429
1102. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:38 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
took me 4 years to master the site and figure everything out you have to enter info manually to get what you want its a little hard to explain
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52208
1101. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:36 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting pottery:
Keeper, post 1094.
Can you post a link to that?
Thanks Keep.
sure it will self expire you have to renter location but here is the link

Link
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52208
1100. Thundercloud01221991
12:35 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Member Since: August 1, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
1099. pottery
12:34 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting srada:


His aunt was on Anderson Cooper last night and said that all the leads about him being in the hospital have not come out as correct..she said they are still are holding out hope but as of right now, it dosent look good..there are still some John Does in hospitals that fit his description even as far as Tulsa, OK which is quite difficult in finding love ones since they have been transported so far away from Joplin..

Grim..
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
1098. srada
12:34 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i was going to say first off why would you drive into a ef5 tornado if i saw that coming towards me iam either turning left or right but iam not going straight into it


From what I understand, they were just leaving his graduation..20 minutes to get home, 20 minutes for a warning..so I can see them getting caught in it..its not like they could stay at the school, it was leveled because of the tornado..
Member Since: August 17, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 772
1097. srada
12:31 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting BobinTampa:


Just read that story on CBS News' site. Something about that story doesn't add up for me. He's alive and checked himself into a hospital but they don't know which one... dunno. it just doesn't sit right.


His aunt was on Anderson Cooper last night and said that all the leads about him being in the hospital have not come out as correct..she said they are still are holding out hope but as of right now, it dosent look good..there are still some John Does in hospitals that fit his description even as far as Tulsa, OK which is quite difficult in finding love ones since they have been transported so far away from Joplin..
Member Since: August 17, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 772
1096. pottery
12:31 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Keeper, post 1094.
Can you post a link to that?
Thanks Keep.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
1095. emcf30
12:30 PM GMT on May 25, 2011


EHI (0-1km) getting up there for late this afternoon, tonight

Look at the EHI (0-3km)Up to 12. going to get rough
Member Since: August 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1933
1094. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:30 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52208
1093. pottery
12:26 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting DDR:

Radar is a very useful thing,you should,bbl.

Looking into it.
Keep well.

And I will take your advice, and hold off on the watering LOL.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
1092. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:25 PM GMT on May 25, 2011


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52208
1091. DDR
12:24 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting pottery:

Cannot see it on this old Mac.
Maybe time to upgrade....

Radar is a very useful thing,you should,bbl.
Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 14 Comments: 1625
1090. Jax82
12:23 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Tornadoes that hit in the night are the scary ones, granted any Tornado is scary but when you cant see anything you are really a sitting duck. Looks to be another bad day of severe weather, what a season its turning out to be.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
1089. emcf30
12:22 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
velocity scan from Fort Smith, AR WOW


Member Since: August 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1933
1088. DDR
12:22 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting pottery:
Hi DDR.
I have to water the plants today.
Bound to rain after I do that....
Hey,I don't think will you have to,you'll know soon enough.laterz
Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 14 Comments: 1625
1087. pottery
12:21 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting DDR:

Morning pot you should see the our radar,have you done so as yet?

Cannot see it on this old Mac.
Maybe time to upgrade....
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
1086. emcf30
12:19 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
El Reno, Oklahoma mesonet recorded 150mph winds and 940mb minimum pressure as a Tornado passed nearby yesterday

Member Since: August 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1933
1085. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:19 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52208
1084. pottery
12:19 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Hi DDR.
I have to water the plants today.
Bound to rain after I do that....
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
1083. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:17 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting BobinTampa:


Just read that story on CBS News' site. Something about that story doesn't add up for me. He's alive and checked himself into a hospital but they don't know which one... dunno. it just doesn't sit right.
i was going to say first off why would you drive into a ef5 tornado if i saw that coming towards me iam either turning left or right but iam not going straight into it
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52208
1082. IKE
12:17 PM GMT on May 25, 2011

Quoting BobinTampa:


Just read that story on CBS News' site. Something about that story doesn't add up for me. He's alive and checked himself into a hospital but they don't know which one... dunno. it just doesn't sit right.
Reading the story...I'm not sure how he could be alive.... maybe he is and is injured somewhere.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1081. DDR
12:16 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Quoting pottery:
Good Morning, all.
Sad to learn that there were fatalities from the storms last night.
More are predicted today?

High overcast here this morning, with some cloud moving in from the East and rain in the forecast.
Hot and humid right now, 80f and climbing fast.

Morning pot you should see the our radar,have you done so as yet?
Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 14 Comments: 1625
1080. DDR
12:15 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Some welcomed rains possibly from a weak T-wave moving into Trinidad this morning
Radar...Link
Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 14 Comments: 1625
1079. pottery
12:15 PM GMT on May 25, 2011
Good Morning, all.
Sad to learn that there were fatalities from the storms last night.
More are predicted today?

High overcast here this morning, with some cloud moving in from the East and rain in the forecast.
Hot and humid right now, 80f and climbing fast.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080

Viewing: 1128 - 1078

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23Blog Index

Top of Page

About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.