La Niña fades to neutral; April the globe's 4th - 7th warmest on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:12 PM GMT on May 17, 2011

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April 2011 was the globe's 7th warmest April on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated April the 4th warmest on record, tied with April 2005. April 2011 global ocean temperatures were the 11th warmest on record, and land temperatures were the 6th warmest on record. The UK had its hottest April on record, with rainfall only 21% of average. Huge fires burned through Scotland, England, and Northern Ireland, fanned by strong spring winds.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for April, 2011. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

La Niña fades to neutral
The La Niña that began in June 2010 is now transitioning to neutral conditions, according to the Climate Prediction Center. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the equatorial Pacific off the coast of South America are now just 0.4°C below average, the first time since June 2010 that these temperatures have not been 0.5°C or more cooler than average, the threshold for a La Niña. However, it is possible that these water could cool a bit again over the next few weeks, so NOAA has not yet declared an official end to this La Niña episode. Equatorial SSTs were 0.5°C below average in the central Pacific, and average to above-average temperatures have emerged in the eastern Pacific. While this signals the end to La Niña, the CPC cautions that the atmosphere is still behaving like La Niña is continuing. An animation of SSTs since February shows the weakening La Niña nicely. Springtime is the most common time for a La Niña event to end; since 1950, half of all La Niñas ended in March, April, or May.

Arctic sea ice 5th lowest on record
Arctic sea ice declined slowly through most of April, and had the 5th lowest extent since satellite record began in 1979, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. However, sea ice extent began declining more quickly toward the end of the month, and as of May 16 was the second lowest on record.

I'll have more on the Mississippi River flood next post. If you haven't seen it, read my post, America's Achilles' heel: the Mississippi River Old River Control Structure.

Jeff Masters and Angela Fritz

Angela is a new wunderground hire, with a Masters degree in Meteorology, who will be helping out with my blog and the site's weather education and climate change content.

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Quoting SQUAWK:


Well, now we know. The lawyer is too cheap to pay for a membership - he is a freeloader. Lawyers!!!!
LOL

Wrong, DS. On several counts. A) I'm not a lawyer. B) "Neapolitan" is a paid membership; that was a snapshot from a different browser (computers can run multiple programs nowadays; I can point you to some tutorials if you need help learning all about multitasking). C) Do you ever have anything of substance to add here? Anything? Anything at all? (And, no, endlessly posting "Amy!!" doesn't count as "substantial".) ;-)

P.S. -- I do appreciate your obsessing over me; it makes me feel wanted. Really. ;-)
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13465
new blog
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Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7877
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7877
Quoting SQUAWK:


Look at it this way Reed, we will have a whole bunch of new Darwin Awards to pass out.


Yes!! Yes we do! :)
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That East Coast Low has kept us wet for 3 days now and looks to stay that way until Sunday - if we survive.
Member Since: December 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2498
Quoting reedzone:


That is a bunch of bull crap!!! It says in the WORD of GOD that no man will no the day nor hour of the Coming of Christ. These people are idiots and are going to face their judgement for tricking people into thinking that Saturday is the last day on Earth. Many people will commit suicide knowing they gave up everything for this thinking. Idiots!! Read the bible itself and then tell me Judgement day is on Saturday. The word of God says no one knows the day nor hour of His Coming.


Look at it this way Reed, we will have a whole bunch of new Darwin Awards to pass out.
Member Since: December 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2498
Quoting DestinJeff:


You'd think with all the calamity scheduled for Saturday that God wouldn't have the time to snap pictures of the delta. I mean, planning and executing the End of Times must be a logistical nightmare! He must be quite the multi-tasker.


ROTFLMAO!!!

Thanks DJ!!!!
Member Since: December 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2498
Quoting Neapolitan:
I dunno; perhaps there's something to all this. Here's a totally not true screenshot of my town's WU forecast:

Click for much larger image:

Appropriate tropical weather-related image.


;-)


Well, now we know. The lawyer is too cheap to pay for a membership - he is a freeloader. Lawyers!!!!
LOL
Member Since: December 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2498
Thanx eyes..itsa kinda slow now 13 days post op,and I see the Dr. again June 1.

Rehab sched to begin June 23.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127633
ITCZ / Big wave reaching SA

Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9715
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9715
Quoting Jax82:
well, i sure hope there's a weather underground blog in heaven, but I'm thinking the weather is always perfect there :-\

Yes, but then you get to watch weather all over, and can be more objective.
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Quoting Patrap:
Dem gators will be there,,we expecting a good season after they close Bonnet Carre.



Good to hear....take care and I hope the arm is healing real fast.
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Quoting jeffs713:

Nice to see PR finally drying out a bit.


Finally dry... our Basil plants in the garden were drowning....
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9715
Quoting Jax82:
well, i sure hope there's a weather underground blog in heaven, but I'm thinking the weather is always perfect there :-\


but everyone's perfect weather, is different
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25760
Dem gators will be there,,we expecting a good season after they close Bonnet Carre.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127633
Quoting Patrap:
Pass da Tabasco, cher

..."Choot um Liz,,take da schott!!!





Hey there Pat. Troy is one of my new heros, Swamp People is a good show. I've been thinking about them and the flooding, gonna mess things up, I'd think.
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570. Jax82
well, i sure hope there's a weather underground blog in heaven, but I'm thinking the weather is always perfect there :-\
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
Swamp people is one of my fav shows...
hope liz's ankle heals up fast or Troy might choot her...
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Quoting sunlinepr:

Nice to see PR finally drying out a bit.
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Quoting DestinJeff:


is that computer generated age-enhanced photo of Cantore?

Nope, Abrams...
Member Since: September 10, 2010 Posts: 3 Comments: 409
I have my own son 18 and a Guitar Master in the making,,however the Swamp near Manchac is like a second home.

If your ever here,I can show it to yas.


Bring Mosquito Repellent and a Pair o Hip Boots too.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127633
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9715
Quoting reedzone:


That is a bunch of bull crap!!! It says in the WORD of GOD that no man will no the day nor hour of the Coming of Christ. These people are idiots and are going to face their judgement for tricking people into thinking that Saturday is the last day on Earth. Many people will commit suicide knowing they gave up everything for this thinking. Idiots!! Read the bible itself and then tell me Judgement day is on Saturday. The word of God says no one knows the day nor hour of His Coming.



I really can't believe people are actually preparing for this, it's sickening. To go back to the time of Jesus would mean studying the Torah. The Torah makes no mention of the end.

In my opinion, religion is a highly corrupted business, for the most part that is. I believe, I pray however, in my own time.
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Quoting Patrap:
Pass da Tabasco, cher

..."Choot um Liz,,take da schott!!!





Pat, is that your avatar's son?

'Da Swamp is now mainstream!
Member Since: September 10, 2010 Posts: 3 Comments: 409
Quoting Neapolitan:

I doubt Camping will kill himself; he didn't the last time his EOTW prediction failed back in September of 1994. No, he'll just change his story and say that God told him that the world is now on borrowed time, and people have a very limited number of days in which to get make their selves right and, of course, to fork over some more green to Camping's ministry.

I for one plan to write a HUGE check. From someone else's account.


Good post :) .. That's probably exactly what's gonna happen.
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Quoting reedzone:


Saturday will be a normal day, no death, no destruction.. well maybe some tornadoes in the plains. There will be no great big earthquake. This would go against the bible, which I strongly believe in. Harold Cambing will most likely commit suicide, making people think he was the only one raptured or move to another country, making himself never known again.

I doubt Camping will kill himself; he didn't the last time his EOTW prediction failed back in September of 1994. No, he'll just change his story and say that God told him that the world is now on borrowed time, and people have a very limited number of days in which to get make their selves right and, of course, to fork over some more green to Camping's ministry.

I for one plan to write him a HUGE check. From someone else's account.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13465
Pass da Tabasco, cher

..."Choot um Liz,,take da schott!!!



Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127633
Quoting DestinJeff:


You'd think with all the calamity scheduled for Saturday that God wouldn't have the time to snap pictures of the delta. I mean, planning and executing the End of Times must be a logistical nightmare! He must be quite the multi-tasker.


"1 day is as 1000 years, and 1000 years is as 1 day."

- I think He has time on his hands...
Member Since: September 10, 2010 Posts: 3 Comments: 409
Quoting P451:
Thought we still had 21 months to go until "THE END".

What's this new fangled Mid-Day 2011 Apocolypse I've never heard of?

Have I waited too long to max out my credit cards and have unprotected sex with strangers?


It's a scam for money.. Real Christians know that the bible directly says, words in red, we will not know the day nor the hour of His coming. He may come a minute from now or 300 years from now. So this whole end of the world thing is bull. Besides, the bible also states that it will take 7 years of Tribulation, not 5 months. Harold Camping is distorting the bible and creating his own cult/religion.
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3 day history of conditions here in Northeast Massachusetts. Almost a consistent fog/mist for the past 72 hrs if it's not raining. Go to FL they actually need it! Low pressure doesn't seem to be in a rush to go anywhere either.

Lawrence, MA
Conditions past 72 hrs

Link
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Patrap,That's swamp peep's backyard!
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God's view,,Miss Delta

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127633
Quoting aquak9:


if a tropical storm forms and there's no one around to name it, is it still a tropical storm?



Hmmm, that kind of question needs serious philosophical debate....
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I believe our first storm will form around the beginning of June, conditions are quickly becoming favorable in the Western Caribbean.
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Quoting aquak9:


if a tropical storm forms and there's no one around to name it, is it still a tropical storm?

Even if there is a rapture,there will be people left behind! So,what is you're prediction?
Member Since: June 24, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1460
Quoting DestinJeff:


but they do know 91-L should have been upgraded to a TS last year.


Yep, they'll never let that one go.
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Bonnet Carre Spillway plume in Lake Pontchartrain

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127633
Quoting overwash12:
Has anybody made a list on here for predictions on what day we will have our first Tropical storm in the atl. basin? If so,my day is June 17th. lol


if a tropical storm forms and there's no one around to name it, is it still a tropical storm?

Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25760
Quoting reedzone:


That is a bunch of bull crap!!! It says in the WORD of GOD that no man will no the day nor hour of the Coming of Christ. These people are idiots and are going to face their judgement for tricking people into thinking that Saturday is the last day on Earth. Many people will commit suicide knowing they gave up everything for this thinking. Idiots!! Read the bible itself and then tell me Judgement day is on Saturday. The word of God says no one knows the day nor hour of His Coming.

True.
But I trust that when He arrives, he has taken off his white robe, and shaved. We will only believe Him if He looks the part. If He looks like He comes from Palestine, He's a gonna again.
A business suit, neatly combed hair and a sparkling smile would do nicely.
Otherwise His 'profile' will result in immediate arrest as He gets to the border.

Reality sukks.
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Quoting KeysieLife:


Hi Reed! Hey could you give us a mock-up of the Apocalyptic weather charts for this weekend?


Saturday will be a normal day, no death, no destruction.. well maybe some tornadoes in the plains. There will be no great big earthquake. This would go against the bible, which I strongly believe in. Harold Cambing will most likely commit suicide, making people think he was the only one raptured or move to another country, making himself never known again.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Has anybody made a list on here for predictions on what day we will have our first Tropical storm in the atl. basin? If so,my day is June 17th. lol
Member Since: June 24, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1460
Quoting reedzone:


That is a bunch of bull crap!!! It says in the WORD of GOD that no man will no the day nor hour of the Coming of Christ. These people are idiots and are going to face their judgement for tricking people into thinking that Saturday is the last day on Earth. Many people will commit suicide knowing they gave up everything for this thinking. Idiots!! Read the bible itself and then tell me Judgement day is on Saturday. The word of God says no one knows the day nor hour of His Coming.


Hi Reed! Hey could you give us a mock-up of the Apocalyptic weather charts for this weekend?
Member Since: September 10, 2010 Posts: 3 Comments: 409
These people, Harold Cambing is a mockery to our Christian Faith. So messed up to do something like this, and for people believe this?? They are not walking right with God.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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