Vince: Spain's first tropical cyclone

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:44 PM GMT on October 11, 2005

Share this Blog
0
+

Tropical Storm Vince made history today as the first tropical cyclone ever recorded to hit Spain. Vince scooted just south of Portugal and came ashore on the southwest Spanish coast opposite Sevilla. Vince made landfall as a tropical depression with 35 mph sustained winds and a central pressure of 1002 mb. Heavy rains and sustained winds of 31 mph with winds gusts of 48 mph were measured at Rota, Spain today, and winds of 36 mph gusting to 51 mph were measured at Jerez de la Frontera, Spain. Vince is no longer a tropical cyclone, and is not expected to cause damage in Spain. In fact, since Spain and Portugal are suffering their worst drought in 120 years, Vince will bring welcome rains to many areas.


Figure 1. Hurricane Vince at landfall. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey, CA.

The only other tropical cyclone I could find record of to hit Europe was Hurricane Debbie, which hit northwest Ireland on September 16, 1961 as a Category 1 hurricane. Wind gusts as high as 113 mph were measured in the storm at Malin Head, the northernmost point in Ireland. Debbies's winds caused widespread destruction in Ireland's County Denegal.

Puerto Rico disturbance
A large area of disturbed weather extends from Bermuda southwards to Puerto Rico and then westward across much of the Caribbean Sea. Wind shear levels in the disturbed area are about 20 knots--too high for tropical storm develoment today. This wind shear may relax over the next few days, possibly allowing some developement to occur. Most of the global computer models continue to predict that a tropical storm will form from this disturbed area later this week and move north to threaten Bermuda. However, the models are being less aggressive with this development than in previous runs, and in general, the tropics are looking much less conducive for tropical storm formation than a week ago.


Figure 2. Current radar precipiation estimates out of Puerto Rico show heavy rains from a tropical disturbance have affected most of the island.

Stan
Improving weather has let rescuers reach many of the hardest-hit areas of Guatemala flooded by Hurricane Stan's rains last week. A new mudslide in the west part of the country buried up to 40 more vicitms Monday, and many hundreds more remain missing and presumed buried throughout the country.

Northeast U.S. flooding
The remains of Tropical Storm Tammy cause extensive flooding in New England and the mid Atlantic the past two days, killing at least ten and bringing New Hampshire its worst flooding in a least 25 years. With additional rain beginning tonight and extending through Thursday, New England can expect continued flooding problems this week. New rain amounts may be as high as 2 - 3 inches in some areas.


Figure 3. Radar estimates of rainfall in New Engalnd from the remains of Tropical Storm Tammy.

Jeff Masters

()
The power of water (MemaNH)
A car ended up leaning against this tree when the Cold River flooded this weekend.
The power of water
Bridge collapsed (MemaNH)
This used to be a pretty double-arched bridge across the Cold River. This weekend's flood destroyed it.
Bridge collapsed

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 483 - 433

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11Blog Index

483. LakeWorthFinn
5:52 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Is there convection below Jamaica? I have no access to proper sat loop - Lefty? Anyone?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
482. quakeman55
5:57 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
not me...lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
481. theboldman
10:51 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
oh yeah its about to go down hey man u from the crib to lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
480. quakeman55
5:48 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
If that's true Lefty, that could mean something's about to go down...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
479. leftyy420
5:38 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
quick update

all models continue to form what looks top be a hybrid or subtropical storm and rapidly move it north. dunno on track but formation looks good. also in the last couple of hours there is a huge blow up of convection and very cold cloud tops north of pr. this looks the be the begginig development of the pr syste, not sure it splits in to as thats not was is seen by the globalmodels but could happen

so what do the models show after that. well the gfs shows a begging to an actove tropicas again with 2-3 possible cyclones to develop in 10 days. so we may not be done yet but to early to tell if any other development is likely as its not shown in all the models but not the first time this year the gfs showed storm development way befor the rest of the global models.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
478. LakeWorthFinn
5:40 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
a closer lok at that area
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/maps-satellite.asp?anim=LOOP&type=ei&large=1®ion=CAM
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
477. LakeWorthFinn
5:36 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
.. but I'm not a professional, FAR FROM IT, so do not take for granted anything I say
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
476. LakeWorthFinn
5:23 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Hi quake, yeah saw stewart's update too... well, it IS a large area of disturbance, so lot of text, LOL. There are a few of us, that have been predicting an upcoming storm in that area for 2-3- days. Conditions are getting ready for it, in my view. This site says the large disturbed area will split in two, that will 'free' the Jamaica part and... we may have Wilma (or even Alpha) there soon.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
475. quakeman55
5:03 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Wow...I haven't seen a paragraph this long for a single system in the Tropical Weather Outlook for a good while...looks more like it would belong in a discussion instead. Have a look...

000
ABNT20 KNHC 120221
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UNUSUALLY LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC AND ALL OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS...
FROM FLORIDA AND THE BAHAMAS SOUTHWARD TO CENTRAL AND SOUTH
AMERICA. THE MAIN CENTER OF THE LOW IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF
JAMAICA... WITH ANOTHER LOW CENTER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA. A LARGE BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM SOUTH OF BERMUDA SOUTHWARD ACROSS
HISPANIOLA... PUERTO RICO... AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... AND THEN
CONTINUING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA... AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS
ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY... IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER... ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND
POSSIBLE FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
PUERTO RICO... AND HISPANIOLA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. IN ADDITION
...WINDS MAY GUST TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM-FORCE IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

Recent satellite loops of the Caribbean Link show a little more concentration of the convection just south of Jamaica. The upper low at the top of the picture is pulling farther and farther north, leaving this area behind and leaving less windshear. In my mind, if this thing sits there and keeps festering like it's doing, it could become better organized and begin forming into Tropical Depression 24. (Remember that we had three depressions that never became storms--TD's 10 and 19 and STD 22. Vince was a tropical storm on its first advisory, but we still have to count TD 23, since it had to at one point be a depression before it was classified.) As I said before, it seems like at least some of the models generate some kind of cyclone from this area in the next few days. It will be interesting to see what Dr. Masters has to say about it, and I will be anxiously awaiting his next update.

So if anyone's actually ready to talk weather and tropics now, what are your takes on it? :)

I'm Anthony btw just in case anybody cared to know :-P
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
474. theboldman
10:09 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
hey back again is my laughting buddy wannabe out there lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
473. LakeWorthFinn
4:14 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
nolegirl, no sane person likes destruction, but it is exciting to see Wilma named, and if we don't get to the Greek alphabet this year, I'll invite you for the second best pizza in the world (downtown Lake Worth)!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
472. nolegirl14
4:15 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Ah, nevermind about the flooding question. I just found info from the Boston Herald. It was one fo the hardest hit ~sigh~
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
471. LakeWorthFinn
3:23 AM GMT on October 12, 2005

THIS IS GETTING RIDICULOUS with personal attacks and irrelevant comments on sex and pots. Isn't there any way to 'mute' people so their comments don't show?

I've logged in here a few times today and find it difficult to filter out the weather info and observations on possible developments in the midst of kids chatroom talk.

tornadoty, CosmicEvents and other serious weather folks watching the Caribbean, pls keep updating on any possible developments. Seems in the area there's a 'quiet before the storm' and lows & winds preparing to allow a ts.

Just a reminder...
The deadliest Atlantic hurricane is said to be an eastern Caribbean storm that killed as many as 22,000 in Barbados, St. Eustatius, Martinique, Jamaica and elsewhere. (They still call it "The Great Hurricane" of 1780.)

And, as a curiosity, (according to names & meanings) the person/object mamed Wilma:
"This name, can frustrate happiness, contentment, and success, as well as cause health weaknesses and accidents to the head, and the elimination system."
... this just for fun, since there's no activity other than the above mentionedoff-beat chat...

ah! thx hurriphoon, didn't see the forrest from the trees... poor mother-in-law lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
470. nolegirl14
4:06 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Does anyone know if the areas around Alton, NH flooded as well? I have much family in that area. I suppose I should just ask my father if he ahs talked to any of them.

So is anyone else kinda hoping for one more storm so that we go through the whole list?


It looks like Florida may FINALLY start to cool off. And by "cool" I mean highs in the 80s. I know it's Florida, but this is much warmer than normal!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
469. stormygace
3:22 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
wafer thin mint anyone?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
468. Hurriphoon
3:11 AM GMT on October 12, 2005

CARIBBEAN AND WEST ATLANTIC...
A LARGE AND COMPLEX UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND LOW HAS A MEAN CENTER
NE OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR 28N71W AND IS LARGELY AFFECTING THE
WEATHER ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE NRN COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA. THE
TROUGH IS ADVECTING A JUICY AND MOISTURE-LADEN PLUME FROM THE
PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA NE TO HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO
RICO THEN NWD OVER THE W ATLC BETWEEN 58W-66W. TWO MAIN SURFACE
LOWS ARE SWIRLING OVER THE AREA...A 1004 MB LOW CLOSE TO THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS NEAR 22N70W...AND A 1004 MB LOW IN THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE NEAR 19N75W...BOTH ATTACHED BY AN EXTENDED
TROUGH FROM 26N66W SW ACROSS HAITI AND JAMAICA TO THE GULF OF
HONDURAS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION WITH
ISOLATED POCKETS OF STRONG CONVECTION EXTEND ACROSS A GOOD
PORTION OF THE CARIBBEAN N OF 10N BETWEEN 66W-86W...FROM PUERTO
RICO AND HISPANIOLA SW TOWARDS NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ALSO EXTENDS OVER THE W
ATLC FROM 18N-28N BETWEEN 60W-68W. HEAVY SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE
MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND
HISPANIOLA AND THE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK WHICH WILL ONLY INCREASE THE FLOODING
THREAT OVER THESE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS
HAVE FORMED OVER PARTS OF FLORIDA AND CUBA TODAY DUE TO A
SURFACE TROUGH SWINGING FROM THE NW BAHAMAS TO THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA...AND A COASTAL STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM 32N79W
28N81W.

I've never heard of plumes being described as "juicy looking"
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
467. Hurriphoon
3:09 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
in fact, if you take the mother in law with her, I'll tell Dr. Masters it's okay for you to pick on Lefty
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
466. weatherwannabe
3:09 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Hurriphoon lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
465. Hurriphoon
3:07 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
uhhh, I hope Palmetto was not refering to me being insane
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
464. Hurriphoon
3:06 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
wannabee, Big Deal! you take my wife and see if I did you a favor!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
463. weatherwannabe
3:05 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
what do you mean I offer my wife
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
462. Hurriphoon
3:04 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
wonderful, boldman and wannabee ran off another new blogger
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
461. weatherwannabe
3:04 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
later bold
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
460. palmettobug53
3:02 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Good God Almighty! You are all insane! Too much time online and not enough sleep! This olde farte is off for some beauty sleep! Nite all....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
459. Hurriphoon
3:03 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
boldman, you forgot to add... "not that there is anything wrong with that"
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
458. theboldman
8:03 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
well talk to you later laughting buddy hope we can have more laughts together noght
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
457. Hurriphoon
3:00 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
ohhh well, welcome palmettobug! It's just slow here tonight, I usually lurk when there are storms bearing down on Florida, but I am using this as escape tonight instead of doing the things I really should be doing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
456. weatherwannabe
3:02 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
I am a generous person I will share
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
455. theboldman
8:01 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
ill bet she will love those lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
453. theboldman
8:01 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
451. palmettobug53
2:58 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Hurriphoon, just a little nervous trying out a blog the first time.....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
450. Hurriphoon
2:56 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Right when I was becoming “intrigued” by wannabee’s picture announces he is a guy?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
449. theboldman
7:57 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
lol wannabe lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
448. palmettobug53
2:55 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Thanks for the welcome. Will try not to wear it out..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
446. Hurriphoon
2:53 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
palmetto when you say "you just need to get to know everyone" do you mean that you are uncomfortable here or you don't like the content of the blog? the tone? or what?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
445. weatherwannabe
2:55 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
if you want an autographed pic I can arrange it
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
444. weatherwannabe
2:53 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
palmettobug53 I am the blog crotchety old grouchy geezer nice to meet ya
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
443. theboldman
7:52 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
palmetto the only thing i have to say to you is watch out for leftyyalwayswrongvitus its horrible lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
442. 8888888889gg
2:51 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
??? i do not get it ???
441. 8888888889gg
2:49 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
???
440. palmettobug53
2:49 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
I don't mind a little chat. Maybe I just need to get to know everyone a little better. Like I said, I'm new.....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
439. Hurriphoon
2:48 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
palmetto, also check out Steve Gregory's blog. There is less "chat" on it, but it is chockfull of really good info.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
438. Hurriphoon
2:47 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
8888...99 we pretty much watch wannabee and lefty go at it
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
437. Hurriphoon
2:45 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
while in reality wannabee walks arround with a large aluminum pot on his head (look at his photo in his blog if you don't believe me), and you know how aluminum can cause Alzheimers, etc
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
436. palmettobug53
2:43 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
Don't mind talking about them. Just don't like looking down the barrel at them. Got started on this last summer while being out of work 2 months from surgery. Was a bit busy around my neck of the woods. Had no idea there was so many tropical storm sites out here. Am very new at this, but am teased at work about being the 'weather guru". I know nothing!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
435. 8888888889gg
2:43 AM GMT on October 12, 2005
what do you all do on her in the winter time be for i go?
434. theboldman
7:44 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
laughting buddy were are you lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
433. theboldman
7:43 PM PDT on October 11, 2005
night 888
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 483 - 433

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
70 °F
Mostly Cloudy