Vince: Spain's first tropical cyclone

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:44 PM GMT on October 11, 2005

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Tropical Storm Vince made history today as the first tropical cyclone ever recorded to hit Spain. Vince scooted just south of Portugal and came ashore on the southwest Spanish coast opposite Sevilla. Vince made landfall as a tropical depression with 35 mph sustained winds and a central pressure of 1002 mb. Heavy rains and sustained winds of 31 mph with winds gusts of 48 mph were measured at Rota, Spain today, and winds of 36 mph gusting to 51 mph were measured at Jerez de la Frontera, Spain. Vince is no longer a tropical cyclone, and is not expected to cause damage in Spain. In fact, since Spain and Portugal are suffering their worst drought in 120 years, Vince will bring welcome rains to many areas.


Figure 1. Hurricane Vince at landfall. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey, CA.

The only other tropical cyclone I could find record of to hit Europe was Hurricane Debbie, which hit northwest Ireland on September 16, 1961 as a Category 1 hurricane. Wind gusts as high as 113 mph were measured in the storm at Malin Head, the northernmost point in Ireland. Debbies's winds caused widespread destruction in Ireland's County Denegal.

Puerto Rico disturbance
A large area of disturbed weather extends from Bermuda southwards to Puerto Rico and then westward across much of the Caribbean Sea. Wind shear levels in the disturbed area are about 20 knots--too high for tropical storm develoment today. This wind shear may relax over the next few days, possibly allowing some developement to occur. Most of the global computer models continue to predict that a tropical storm will form from this disturbed area later this week and move north to threaten Bermuda. However, the models are being less aggressive with this development than in previous runs, and in general, the tropics are looking much less conducive for tropical storm formation than a week ago.


Figure 2. Current radar precipiation estimates out of Puerto Rico show heavy rains from a tropical disturbance have affected most of the island.

Stan
Improving weather has let rescuers reach many of the hardest-hit areas of Guatemala flooded by Hurricane Stan's rains last week. A new mudslide in the west part of the country buried up to 40 more vicitms Monday, and many hundreds more remain missing and presumed buried throughout the country.

Northeast U.S. flooding
The remains of Tropical Storm Tammy cause extensive flooding in New England and the mid Atlantic the past two days, killing at least ten and bringing New Hampshire its worst flooding in a least 25 years. With additional rain beginning tonight and extending through Thursday, New England can expect continued flooding problems this week. New rain amounts may be as high as 2 - 3 inches in some areas.


Figure 3. Radar estimates of rainfall in New Engalnd from the remains of Tropical Storm Tammy.

Jeff Masters

()
The power of water (MemaNH)
A car ended up leaning against this tree when the Cold River flooded this weekend.
The power of water
Bridge collapsed (MemaNH)
This used to be a pretty double-arched bridge across the Cold River. This weekend's flood destroyed it.
Bridge collapsed

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33. gbreezegirl
3:17 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Accuweather says the PR blob will split into two parts. One will head north and threaten East coast but they don't say much about the lower portion of the split that would be left poised to "go through the chute" and into the gulf.
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32. DocNDswamp
3:07 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Good morning everyone,

orion, I'll take one if you have the Mac version and send COD..LOL. sure needed at times!

stormydee, apply sunscreen, enjoy...

cgables, our local paper (a.p.) ran abbrev. version on NHC's underfunding problems leading to poorer forecast abilities..will read full story when I get time..I think all of us here have realized the situation for years...

Model runs on possible development sys near P. Rico keep slowing the process - ULL weakening slowly as it meanders northward , still inducing wind shear W side of poss. trop. sys...Bermuda has to watch mostly..what looked like could be threat to mid-Atlantic states late week (from runs of 3-4 days ago) seems less likely now, but again we'll just see how timing works out...and NE doesn't need a follow-up either... I'm sure Lefty will be keeping abreast so stay tuned...

guygee, how's it going...just noticed your post..

Ok, all you Columbus Day vacationers, it's MY day off today..fish are calling me...ya'll have a good one..later..
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31. weatherdude65
3:14 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
work, work, work, work, work
30. hurricanewayne
3:06 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Hey Check out that blob starting to form in the western Carribean.. looks like its starting to get a little twist to it. Will head north into the gulf maybe towards FL
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29. billsfaninsofla
10:54 AM EDT on October 11, 2005
CC... just confirms what we know, evacuating would be impossible... I can only imagine the horrific scenarios, accidents, for one, people do not drive well nor courteous in the best of times, add the stress of an impending hurricane to the mix.. yikes.....NO THANKS...
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28. palmbeacher
3:05 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Nope, I am here. I am kind of working also.
27. CoconutCreekFLA
11:00 AM EDT on October 11, 2005
Hey, PB. Thought you left.
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26. palmbeacher
2:56 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
evacuate south Fl. LOL.
25. CoconutCreekFLA
10:56 AM EDT on October 11, 2005
He did seem like a happy chipper little guy.

May he rest in peace
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24. dcw
2:53 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Yeah, even evacing Miami would be quite a job, even with 3-4 days warning.
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23. dcw
2:52 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
From the discussion:

As the short Happy life of Vince is now
over...this will be the last advisory.

Lol.
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22. CoconutCreekFLA
10:45 AM EDT on October 11, 2005
Not a small state but a long skinny one with the population on the south end of the state all squished at the coast (the middle is all swamp). So, lots of people and few roads.

Here's an article from the sun-sentinel the other day regarding evacuations in floridaLink
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21. guygee
2:46 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
later stormydee. I guess cgableshurrycanegal is gone, and it is a nice day, so I think I'll follow up later. Bye.
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20. stormydee
2:42 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
well, that was short, but sweet, everyone have a good day...I am outta here! :-)
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19. OSHNBLU
2:38 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
funny...huh, small state i guess...lol
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18. palmbeacher
2:39 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Coconut, from what I've heard we are going to be hot and dry. Temps above the average.
17. guygee
2:32 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
cgableshurrycanegal - Thanks for the link. For people near the coast, all it takes in staying for one Cat 1 hurricane and they will never be complacent again. I am sure all here who have tried this would agree. I worry more for people inland, like in Houston or Orlando if some Floyd-sized Cat5 comes rolling though. They may not take the warning seriously, and there may not be anywhere to go anyways.

It is not just underfunding the NOAA, NWS, NHC, etc. It is underfunding the whole infrastructure that it takes to rapidly evacuate an area. For example, it is not inconceivable that a very large and strong storm could require evacuating most of the Florida peninsula, but there is no way we could all get out, given the limited traffic throughput of the available escape routes.
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16. weatherdude65
2:38 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
morning Mandy, coconut, Stormy....
15. weatherdude65
2:37 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Hey palmbeacher, yes I did....got a lot of things done outside the house in the beautiful weather
14. CoconutCreekFLA
10:37 AM EDT on October 11, 2005
Looks like it might be quiet near Florida this week?
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13. palmbeacher
2:36 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Hi ya Mandy, and Coconut!
12. CoconutCreekFLA
10:35 AM EDT on October 11, 2005
Good Morning!!

Funny world. Just yesterday someone asked me about the Venetian Pool. I had never heard of it and now it's mentioned on the blog today.
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11. palmbeacher
2:34 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Thats right weatherdude, you were one of the lucky ones! Did you have a nice day?
10. weatherdude65
2:21 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Hey guys and gals.....the only problem with having a day off is playing catch up the next day
9. MandyFSU
2:24 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Mornin all... weather don't quite know what it wants to do here today.
Member Since: August 24, 2005 Posts: 82 Comments: 2525
8. palmbeacher
2:27 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Morning, Happy pretty day all.
7. OSHNBLU
2:25 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
cgables
totally off topic...is venitian pool still there???
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6. stormydee
2:19 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
r we gonna get anymore storms or is this shear gonna stay strong? Beautiful day, trying to get much work done so I can go hang out at the pool w/ my buddy and catch some of these beautiful FL sunshine rays...they make me feel oh so good! :-)
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5. cgableshurrycanegal
10:18 AM EDT on October 11, 2005
hey stormy, me too, heading out shortly. wanted to check in and see what's up w/the tropics and say hi to all online
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4. cgableshurrycanegal
10:16 AM EDT on October 11, 2005
Good Morning!
Miami Herald's third installment on the failure of NOAA and funding shortfalls continues: "Widespread hurricane warnings can breed complacency" in the third of four installments. I continue to insist that this series be required reading for meteorology and research folks everywhere as well as those involved in disaster/emergency management. It is scary how the short-sightedness of bean-counters can cost much more in the end, starting with lives.


http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/12868445.htm
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3. stormydee
2:00 PM GMT on October 11, 2005
Whew, busy today! How bout everyone else?
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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