Record floods on Mississippi River, Lake Champlain; 3rd EF-5 tornado verified

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:40 PM GMT on May 06, 2011

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The Ohio River at Cairo, Illinois continues to fall today, with a level of 59.3', 2.5' below the all-time peak of 61.8' set on Monday night. On Monday night, the Army Corps of Engineers was forced to intentionally destroy a levee at Birds Point on the west bank of the Mississippi, just downstream from Cairo, Illinois, in order to relieve pressure on the levees in Cairo and save that city from a billion-dollar levee breach. The destruction of the Birds Point levee also helped slow the rise of the Mississippi River just south of its confluence with the Ohio River, but the river is still rising slowly, and has now set all-time records at New Madrid, Missouri, Tiptonville, Tennessee, and Caruthersville, Missouri--a 70-mile stretch of river downstream from Cairo. Currently, the Mississippi is expected to reach its 2nd highest level on record at Memphis on May 10, cresting at 48.0'. The all-time record at Memphis occurred during the great flood of 1937, when the river hit 48.7'. Downstream from Memphis, flood waters pouring in from the Arkansas River, Yazoo River, and other tributaries are expected to swell the Mississippi high enough to beat the all-time record at Vicksburg, Mississippi by 1.3' on May 20, and smash the all-time record at Natchez, Mississippi by six feet on May 22, and by 3.2 feet at Red River Landing on May 23. Red River Landing is the site of the Old River Control Structure, the Army Corps' massive engineering structure that keeps the Mississippi River from carving a new path to the Gulf of Mexico. I'll have a detailed post talking about the Old River Control Structure next week. Its failure would be a serious blow to the U.S. economy, and the great Mississippi flood of 2011 will give the Old River Control Structure its most severe test ever. Also of concern is the forecast for the Mississippi to crest at 19.5 feet in New Orleans on May 24. The levees in New Orleans protect the city for a flood of 20.0 feet--that is not much breathing room. Fortunately, only 0.5 - 1.5 inches of rain are expected over the Missouri/Illinois region over the next five days, which should not raise flood heights significantly.

Good links to follow the flood:
Summary forecast of all crests on Lower Mississippi and Ohio Rivers.
Wundermap for Cairo, IL with USGS River overlay turned on.
National Weather Service "May 2011 Mississippi River Flood" web page


Figure 1. Flooding of the farmland along the Birds Point-New Madrid Floodway due to the intentional destruction of a levee along the west bank of the Mississippi River in Southeast Missouri is obvious in this pair of before and after photos. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

Lake Champlain hits highest level since 1869; record flooding in Canada
The Governor of Vermont declared a state of emergency yesterday in Vermont due to flooding along Lake Champlain. Heavy rains over the past ten days, combined with snow melt have combined to push the lake ot three feet above flood stage, and the lake has now broken its previous record high, set in 1869. The flooding has caused numerous road closures but no evacuations in the U.S. The story is different in Quebec, Canada, where flood waters from Lake Champlain coursing down the Richelieu River have created a 150-year flood, forcing the evacuation of 1,000 people and the flooding of 3,000 homes and businesses in the Richelieu Valley, just south of Montreal. The lake level is expected to crest Saturday morning, then slowly fall. Lake Champlain is 120 miles long with nearly 600 miles of shoreline, making it the sixth largest natural lake in the U.S., trailing only the Great Lakes in size.


Figure 2. Five to eight inches of precipitation has fallen over much of the Lake Champlain watershed over the past two weeks. Image credit: NOAA/AHPS.

A third tornado from the April 27 Super Outbreak rated an EF-5
Yesterday, the Jackson, Mississippi office of the NWS upgraded the violent tornado that hit Neshoba, Kemper, Winston, and Noxubee Counties in the northeast part of the state to EF-5 status, with top winds of 205 mph. This tornado continued into Alabama and had a total path length of 92.3 miles. Three people died in the tornado, which was so powerful that it dug out the ground to a depth of two feet over an area 25 - 50 yards wide and several hundred yards long. This is the third tornado rated EF-5 from the April 27 outbreak; tornadoes that hit Smithville, MS and Hackleburg, AL also received EF-5 ratings.


Figure 3. EF-5 damage from the April 27, 2011 Neshoba tornado in Mississippi. The tornado was so powerful that it dug out the ground to a depth of two feet over an area 25 - 50 yards wide and several hundred yards long. Image credit: NWS.

Rare EF-2 tornado hits New Zealand
A tornado ripped through New Zealand's largest city, Auckland, on Tuesday, killing one person at a shopping mall and injuring at least fourteen others. The damage was rated EF-2, making the tornado one of the strongest in New Zealand's history. Below is some footage of the twister, showing why it is dangerous to be in a car during a tornado. (Note also the clockwise rotation of the tornado--this is the Southern Hemisphere, where storms rotate clockwise.)


Figure 4. Footage of the May 3, 2011 New Zealand tornado that passed through the Auckland suburb of Albany.

I'll have a new post Monday.

Jeff Masters

Flood 2011 Metropolis, IL (MikeShivers)
Market St looking south towards casino. Contrary to what the media makes you think, blowing the levee greatly helped in keeping the waters lower here. It wasn't just about Cairo, it helped a lot of communities. Flood stage is about 39 ft here, currently it is at about 61.5 feet it could have been closer to 65.
Flood 2011 Metropolis, IL
Flood 2011 Metropolis, IL (MikeShivers)
view from atop the casino barge looking north up Ferry St
Flood 2011 Metropolis, IL
Champlain in his Lake (Pedaltwister)
Isle La Motte, VT. St. Anne's Shrine Hey Hetzenwaelder these are more pictures of Lake Champlain at flood stage.
Champlain in his Lake

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"inevitable impact" of the atchafalaya becoming the main waterway.

The pdf covers WHEN, not IF.

Gas pipelines, transportation of goods, electric generating plants, salt-water intrusion into the previous main waterway...
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
thanks, beell. I guess whiskey river bridge is I-10?

downloading it to read right now. that's a frightening excerpt.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
191. beell
If you have an interest in the flooding on the Mississippi and related river basins, it is worth your while to stop in here.

Lots of good links and general information.

WU Blog - Man vs Mississippi
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190. beell
One of the few detailed accounts of the problems with the Old River Control Structure in 1973.

And the possible problems that would result if the River ever left its present course for the shorter and steeper path down the Atchafalaya.

This is a fairly large file-over 200mb but worth the read. Either they never finished scanning it or the file is corrupt. Not all 149 pages are available.

Photobucket


Kazmann, Raphael G. and David B. Johnson. 1980. If the Old River Control Structure Fails? Louisiana Water Resources Research Institute, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, La.
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Quoting tkeith:
There is a huge amount of politics involved with this Aqua. "Rising Tide", by John Barry goes into great detail about the politics of the flood of '27. That part of all this hasn't changed a whole lot...


I'm sure it will be with great heartache by many, when this decision is made. Doubt they have much choice, but to open Morganza. Can't see us making it past Monday without them asking permission.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732



President Declares Emergency For Louisiana

Release Date: May 6, 2011
Release Number: HQ-11-067

» More Information on Louisiana Flooding

WASHINGTON -- The U.S. Department of Homeland Security's Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) announced that federal aid has been made available to the state of Louisiana to supplement state and local response efforts in the area struck by flooding beginning on April 25, 2011, and continuing.

The President's action authorizes FEMA to coordinate all disaster relief efforts which have the purpose of alleviating the hardship and suffering caused by the emergency on the local population, and to provide appropriate assistance for required emergency measures, authorized under Title V of the Stafford Act, to save lives and to protect property and public health and safety, and to lessen or avert the threat of a catastrophe in the parishes of Avoyelles, Ascension, Assumption, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Iberia, Iberville, LaSalle, Madison, Pointe Coupee, East Baton Rouge, St. Charles, St. James, St. John, St. Landry, St. Martin, St. Mary, Tensas, Terrebonne, West Baton Rouge, and West Feliciana.

Specifically, FEMA is authorized to identify, mobilize, and provide at its discretion, equipment and resources necessary to alleviate the impacts of the emergency. Emergency protective measures, limited to direct federal assistance, will be provided at 75 percent federal funding.

Gerald M. Stolar has been named as the Federal Coordinating Officer for federal recovery operations in the affected area.

Follow FEMA online at http://blog.fema.gov, www.twitter.com/fema, www.facebook.com/fema, and www.youtube.com/fema. Also, follow Administrator Craig Fugate's activities at www.twitter.com/craigatfema.

The social media links provided are for reference only. FEMA does not endorse any non-government websites, companies or applications.

FEMA's mission is to support our citizens and first responders to ensure that as a nation we work together to build, sustain, and improve our capability to prepare for, protect against, respond to, recover from, and mitigate all hazards.

Follow FEMA online at blog.fema.gov, www.twitter.com/fema, www.facebook.com/fema, and www.youtube.com/fema. Also, follow Administrator Craig Fugate's activities at www.twitter.com/craigatfema.

The social media links provided are for reference only. FEMA does not endorse any non-government websites, companies or applications.

FEMA’s mission is to support our citizens and first responders to ensure that as a nation we work together to build, sustain, and improve our capability to prepare for, protect against, respond to, recover from, and mitigate all hazards.

Last Modified: Friday, 06-May-2011 20:04:24
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Will do Pat!
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Quoting aquak9:
mmm...I also see this inundation map is called a "pre-decision document"

understanding much better, why the opening of Morganza is such a big deal. All the planning and mapping, all the time needed for people to get out of the way. This ain't no drainage ditch. This will change the area for a long time.
There is a huge amount of politics involved with this Aqua. "Rising Tide", by John Barry goes into great detail about the politics of the flood of '27. That part of all this hasn't changed a whole lot...
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Quoting tkeith:
Headed out to the Fairgrounds in a bit. Goin to see Buffet, last time in '08 it was a mudfest :) If yall are goin back today give me a call I'll find ya.


Have some crawfish bread fer me Dude,,and "mind the wife".

Enjoy yer day tkeith and also the "Buffet"
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I forgot about your surgery Pat, I'm gonna take some pics.
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Headed out to the Fairgrounds in a bit. Goin to see Buffet, last time in '08 it was a mudfest :) If yall are goin back today give me a call I'll find ya.
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mmm...I also see this inundation map is called a "pre-decision document"

understanding much better, why the opening of Morganza is such a big deal. All the planning and mapping, all the time needed for people to get out of the way. This ain't no drainage ditch. This will change the area for a long time.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
Dats a good point tkeith..fer sure.

Since Im in a sling and have time,,Im gonna head out and snap some Pics of the Heights at Audubon turn,,will post later today.
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One small thing is in our favor concerning the levees south of Baton Rouge this event. It is very dry. In 2008 the levees here were saturated when the river got to 17 and stayed there for a month. You could see seepage in many places along river road, east and west bank. Haven't seen any yet and I think a dry levee would be stronger than a saturated one.
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GFS still wants something in the leeward islands in the near future.

Also the High pressure appears to be lifting of the Cape Verde islands; our first tropical wave appears to be coming of the ivory coast as well; might be our first Cape Verde storm.
Member Since: May 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 429
Seepage thru the Bonnet Carre Spillway Bay needles onto the Road forced it closed Thursday in Preparation for Mondays opening.


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bopping back and forth between google earth and the inundation map. Trying to understand the levees.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
Quoting beell:


Morgan City is behind the levees and flood walls. Business's and docks outside these structures could see those higher levels but Morgan City should be mostly OK.

Amelia is another story as the flow below Morgan City cannot escape fast enough and begins to cause backwater flooding via the Intercoastal Canal-continuing to the east towards Houma.

Get a prolonged period of strong south winds around crest time and the problem gets worse.


Indeed,,Ive been down there coming in or out from Chevron Rigs and that South Wind can do the nasty fer sure.
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A nice aerial of the Bonnet Carre Spillway and the Spillways direct path to the Lake.




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Nice background on the levees.
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172. beell
Quoting Patrap:
One thing is certain,,Morgan City and Amelia are to get flooded up to 12 Ft from the Morganza Opening,,that's Offshore central for many a Industry,from PHI to Offshore Crew Boats


Morgan City is behind the levees and flood walls. Business's and docks outside these structures could see those higher levels but Morgan City should be mostly OK.

Amelia is another story as the flow below Morgan City cannot escape fast enough and begins to cause backwater flooding via the Intercoastal Canal-continuing to the east towards Houma.

Get a prolonged period of strong south winds around crest time and the problem gets worse.
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Dicey is a Human term,,not a Engineering one,,thankfully.

NOLA is fine,,the Bonnet Carre and Morganza are great designs from decades ago.


Jazz Fest 2nd weekend in Full swing as Arcade Fire whooped up a frenzy yesterday


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Quoting Patrap:
Looking closely @ this Map,,it appears to be a Earthen Levee.



Looks a little 'dicey' there....

Good Morning all.
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169. beell
Estimated (by me-not official) flow just below Baton Rouge Added: AT CREST is 1,554,800 cfs.

Donaldsonville: 1,848,000 cfs
Reserve: 1,619,000 cfs

Maximum Project Design Flood is 1,500,000 cfs below Baton Rouge.

Subtract out 250,000 cfs at Bonnet Carre from these numbers and flow would still be over the Project Design Flood of 1,250,000 below Bonnet Carre.

Too much stress on the levees and allowing the stage at NOLA to rise to 19.5' on a 20' levee. To lower that to a "safer" 17' (NOLA flood stage) would require opening Morganza.
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but the forecast inundation around I-10, is 15-20 feet, at Grosse Tette. That seems like very thin ice.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
Looking closely @ this Map,,it appears to be a Earthen Levee.


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They have bodacious levees on the east side of the Atchafalya basin.
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One thing is certain,,Morgan City and Amelia are to get flooded up to 12 Ft from the Morganza Opening,,that's Offshore central for many a Industry,from PHI to Offshore Crew Boats
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I-10 is elevated 25ft above the Spillway and the water flows underneath it..aquak9..as per the levee Ill have to check
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ok, I got that map opened big.

Questions: From Morganza, on down to Iberville, are there levees on the east side? because the projected inundation looks very defined. Or is that only from the lay of the land?

Also- How will this affect I-10 in that area? Even if it's not shut down, will it truly be safe passage?
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
162. beell
Quoting aquak9:
re-post 159, link article:

would love to see that map at a higher resolution- can't find a way to enlarge it.

It does not appear that official permission to open Morganza has been requested yet.


Mornin', aqua.
If you open the map from the link, you can use the Adobe PDF controls across the top of the document.
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Quoting aquak9:
re-post 159, link article:

would love to see that map at a higher resolution- can't find a way to enlarge it.

It does not appear that official permission to open Morganza has been requested yet.


Link is in post 151.
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re-post 159, link article:

would love to see that map at a higher resolution- can't find a way to enlarge it.

It does not appear that official permission to open Morganza has been requested yet.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
Quoting beell:
I agree with Skye and Aussie. The map title is "Estimated Inundation"

The height of water above the natural ground level.

Nice find on the map.
Thanks


Thats the description from the Corps Press Release

Excerpt:

As floodwaters progress through the Morganza Floodway to the Gulf of Mexico, the height of the water could reach between five (5) and upwards of twenty-five (25) feet above ground elevation, causing widespread flooding and inundation.
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158. beell
I agree with Skye and Aussie. The map title is "Estimated Inundation"

The height of water above the natural ground level.

Nice find on the map.
Thanks
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"The greatest threat (of flooding) is to the parishes of Avoyelles, Ascension, Assumption, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Iberia, Iberville, LaSalle, Madison, Pointe Coupee, East Baton Rouge, St. Charles, St. James, St. John, St. Landry, St. Martin, St. Mary, Tensas, Terrebonne, West Baton Rouge and West Feliciana." (ref. post 154)
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Quoting navarch:
I don't usually say much, but I would really like some help with clarifying something if anyone has the knowledge to do so. Seems as though there are some flood maps for Morganza opening for local and state officials to use for preparations.


Link

So the legend states estimated flood depths...does anyone know if this is the height above sea level or something different?

Thanks,

That looks like the estimated flood height.
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155. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL STORM AERE (T1101)
15:00 PM JST May 7 2011
==========================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Aere (998 hPa) located at 12.9N 126.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
120 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
80 NM from the center in western quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
====================
24 HRS: 15.1N 124.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 18.2N 121.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 19.9N 120.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
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154. Skyepony (Mod)
The federal government has declared a state of emergency for Louisiana in the early stages of what could be a devastating flood. The Federal Emergency Management Agency said aid has been made available to supplement state and local response efforts in the area struck by flooding that began late last month. The situation is expected to get significantly worse in the weeks ahead. The move, authorized by President Barack Obama, authorizes FEMA to coordinate disaster relief efforts and to provide appropriate assistance for required emergency measures. The greatest threat is to the parishes of Avoyelles, Ascension, Assumption, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Iberia, Iberville, LaSalle, Madison, Pointe Coupee, East Baton Rouge, St. Charles, St. James, St. John, St. Landry, St. Martin, St. Mary, Tensas, Terrebonne, West Baton Rouge and West Feliciana. Gerald M. Stolar has been named as the federal coordinating officer for federal recovery operations in the affected area.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37352
153. Skyepony (Mod)
Situation Update No. 5
On 07.05.2011 at 03:51 GMT+2

In Ecuador, an active volcano, known as 'Tungurahua' or 'Throat of Fire' has erupted again, spewing ash as high as ten kilometers into the atmosphere. Loud explosions shook the ground and rattled windows near the volcano, located some 130 kilometers southeast of the capital city of Quito on Friday. The volcano hurled large boulders more than a mile in its powerful eruption that forced hundreds of residents to flee the area and officials to divert flights. “The smallest blocks are the size of an automobile while the biggest reach the size of a truck, which cause impact craters up to 10 meters (33 feet) wide as they hit the flanks,” the Associated Press quoted Silvana Hidalgo, a scientist monitoring Tungurahua, as saying. Schools were closed for the third consecutive day as ash showered down on a dozen towns in the sparsely populated area surrounding the 5,023-meter peak. Tungurahua, one of the eight active volcanoes in the Andean nation, has been active since 1999. Though one of its strongest eruptions took place in 2008, it had already proved itself deadly, when at least four people were killed and thousands forced to evacuate during a series of eruptions, which took place in July and August of 2006. Tungurahua's eruptions are mainly strombolian, or low-level. Since its 1999 eruption, the volcano has continued its seismic activities on a medium level.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37352
152. Skyepony (Mod)
It looks like how deep the water will be from the ground up. Purple would be 0-5ft deep. Sea level isn't a factor.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37352
I don't usually say much, but I would really like some help with clarifying something if anyone has the knowledge to do so. Seems as though there are some flood maps for Morganza opening for local and state officials to use for preparations.


Link

So the legend states estimated flood depths...does anyone know if this is the height above sea level or something different?

Thanks,
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150. Skyepony (Mod)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37352

WDPN31 PGTW 070300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 03W
/WARNING NR 04//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A MAJORITY OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION
ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGES
(062226Z SSMIS AND 062330Z SSMIS) INDICATE TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING
WRAPPING INTO A WELL-DEFINED LLCC. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KNES, AND ON
THE INCREASED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE IN MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION
BASED ON THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC EVIDENT IN MSI. OVERALL, THE
UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE DUE TO LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (<10 KNOTS) AND STRONGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER,
OUTFLOW FROM AN ANTICYCLONE CENTERED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTHWEST OF TS
03W IS CAUSING MOST OF THE CONVECTION TO BE DISPLACED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT FORECAST PHILOSOPHY CHANGES FROM THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN.
B. TS 03W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). AVAILABLE
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL
SCENARIO AND FORECAST TRACK WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NGPS, WHICH
APPEARS TO INDICATE DISSIPATION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AFTER THE
SYSTEM CROSSES LUZON. TS 03W IS EXPECTED TO ROUND THE STR AND
CONTINUE ALONG A GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
TRACK THROUGH TAU 72 AND STEADILY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS OVER WARM
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (> 27 DEGREES CELSIUS) AND REMAINS WITHIN A
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. TS 03W IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL NEAR TAU 48 AND WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE RUGGED
TERRAIN OF NORTHERN LUZON. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO RE-EMERGE IN
THE LUZON STRAIGHT BY TAU 72 AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM.
C. AFTER TAU 72, A MAJORITY OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS DEPICT AN
APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH ERODING THE WESTERN
EXTENT OF THE STR AND CAUSING A MORE POLEWARD RIDGE ORIENTATION.
BASED ON THIS PATTERN THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD AND
TRACK TOWARD TAIWAN. INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT, AND POTENTIAL LAND INTERACTION WITH TAIWAN WILL PREVENT
FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE LUZON
STRAIGHT IN THE LATER TAUS. BASED ON THE HOSTILE UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS TS 03W WILL ENCOUNTER AS IT RE-EMERGES IN THE LUZON
STRAIGHT, THERE IS A CHANCE DISSIPATION COULD OCCUR SOONER.//
NNNN

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148. Skyepony (Mod)
Maybe peaking less than forecast for now. New record.
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I gave up on rain for Texas. Finally watered my lawn for the first time in a while. WE NEED RAIN.
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146. Skyepony (Mod)
03W

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37352
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting EYEStoSEA:


Keeper, what do you see for Texas?
well hopefully nothing too bad
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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