Hurricanes Igor and Tomas get their names retired

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 8:19 PM GMT on March 27, 2011

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The names Tomas and Igor will no longer be used to name hurricanes in the Atlantic, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced this March. Hurricane Igor made landfall near Cape Race, Newfoundland on September 21, 2010, and was that island's most damaging hurricane in 75 years, with $200 million in damage. Hurricane Tomas smashed through the Lesser Antilles Islands on October 30 - 31, 2010, dealing a particularly harsh blow to St. Lucia, where eight died and damage was estimated at $500 million. Tomas also killed 35 people on Haiti, and contributed to a cholera epidemic that killed thousands.


Figure 1. Little Barsway bridge 10 km north of Grand Bank, Newfoundland, after flood waters from Hurricane Igor swept it away. Image credit: George J.B. Rose.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Tropical Storm Tomas taken at 10:30am EDT Saturday October 30, 2010, as the storm began lashing the Lesser Antilles. At the time, Tomas was a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

The retirement of hurricane names
The WMO maintains a list of hurricane names for the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific that repeats itself every six years. The names Igor and Tomas in the Atlantic would have appeared again in 2016, but will be replaced by Ian and Tobias. Each spring, the WMO meets to decide if any names should be retired from the list, due to notable death or destruction caused by one of the past season's storms. Any country that is a member of the WMO can request that a name be retired. If a country seriously affected by a hurricane does not request retirement of the name, then the name will not be retired. In the recent past, Mexico, in particular, has been reluctant to request retirement significant storms that have affected them. In 2010, two significant hurricanes affected the country, but Mexico chose not to request retirement of either: Hurricane Alex, which killed twelve people and did $1.5 billion in damage, and Hurricane Karl, which killed 22 and did $206 million in damage. Back in 2005, Mexico also did not request retirement of Hurricane Emily, which made two landfalls in Mexico as a major hurricane, destroying thousands of buildings, but not claiming any lives. A new storm named Emily will appear this year, as we are recycling the names from 2005 that were not retired (2005 holds the record for most retired names, with five.) Probably the best example of a hurricane that did not get its name retired, but deserved to, was Hurricane Gordon of 1994, which killed 1145 people on Haiti. Haiti did not send a representative to the 1995 WMO meeting when retirements for 1994 were decided. Gordon did not affect any other countries strongly enough to motivate them to request retirement, and the name Gordon will be used again in 2012.

Since Atlantic hurricanes began getting women's names in 1953, 76 names have been retired, an average of 1.3 retired names per year. The list includes one tropical storm, Allison of 2001, that caused billions in damage from its heavy rains. The storm with the most appearances so far is Arlene, which has appeared nine times: 1959, 1963, 1967, 1971, 1981, 1987, 1993, 1999, 2005. Arlene will make its tenth appearance this year. One exception to the retirement rule: before 1979, some storm names were simply dropped. For example, in 1966, Fern was substituted for Frieda, and no reason was given. Only three Eastern Pacific hurricanes have had their names retired--Hurricane Ismael of 1995, Hurricane Pauline of 1997, and Hurricane Kenna of 2002. All of these storms hit Mexico.

Cool Katrina animation
A new visualization created by Advanced Visualization Laboratory at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications at the University of Illinois shows Hurricane Katrina spinning over the Gulf of Mexico during a 36-hour period in August, 2005. The animation is part of a full-length planetarium film called Dynamic Earth screened at the Fulldome UK festival on March 12 - 13. You can see the video at the newscientist.com or DynamicEarth web sites. The video description: Trajectories follow moist air rising into intense "hot tower" thunderstorms, and trace strong winds around the eye wall; rapidly rising air is yellow, sinking air blue. The sun, moon, and stars show the passing of time. The visualization highlights Katrina's awesome power and fierce beauty.

I'll be back with a new post Tuesday or Wednesday.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting BobinTampa:


If you could keep the rain up that way Ike, I'd appreciate it. I have a 1:30 tee time.

You can still go golfing at 1:30... you might be a lightning rod at that time, but you can go...
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1102. beell


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0317
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE INTO NRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 78...

VALID 301228Z - 301430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 78 CONTINUES.

SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING
ACROSS THE N CNTRL GULF COAST...TRAINING EWD ALONG CONVECTIVELY
REINFORCED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND FED BY A SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. 12Z
TLH AND JAX SOUNDINGS SHOW RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN
PLACE WITH IN EXCESS OF 7 C/KM AND MODERATE AND ONLY SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED
INSTABILITY PROFILES.

CONTINUED SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL HELP BRING MID TO UPPER 60S F
DEWPOINT INLAND...REDUCING ANY SURFACE BASED INHIBITION. STORMS TO
THE W WILL THUS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL AS THEY TRAVERSE THE PENINSULA. A WATCH IS LIKELY FOR PORTIONS
OF NRN FL BY LATE MORNING AS THE ACTIVITY SPREADS EWD.

ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS MAY ALSO PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES GIVEN A
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR.
..INCREASING
DURING THE DAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SYNOPTIC WARM FRONT.

..JEWELL.. 03/30/2011
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Quoting IKE:

Heaviest rain now just south and east of me. Picked up .64 inches of rain in the last hour.

I'm approaching an inch since this started.


If you could keep the rain up that way Ike, I'd appreciate it. I have a 1:30 tee time.
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couple of hours ago:

95 5 SW LAKE CHARLES CALCASIEU LA 3016 9326 HARBOR TUG ENERGY HERCULES REPORT FROM TRUNKLINE LNG.

(That's a 95 mph gust)
Still interesting.
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1099. Grothar
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26477
1097. Jax82
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1095. beell
Quoting RastaSteve:
The storms in the Panhandle won't be that bad this morning as this energy off the coast of panhandle seems to by driving E toward N C FL. Levy County better watchout in several hours as is this driving your way and this should build into C FL (like Orlando and Tampa come mid afternoon). Get ready as I expect the worst wx today in C and N FL because we will have lots of instability with daytime heating. Also Dewpoints are in the low 70's in C FL this morning.


I'd be paying attention if I lived in Apalachicola.
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1094. IKE

Quoting BahaHurican:
Morning Ike... and everybody else.... I don't know whether to hope this rain comes our way or not. ON the one hand, the dust here has been phenomenal due to a very dry March. OTOH, I don't want my event this afternoon to get rained out. Forecasts suggests this front is just going to ride north of us anyway.

Enjoy the rain!
Heaviest rain now just south and east of me. Picked up .64 inches of rain in the last hour.

I'm approaching an inch since this started.
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1093. Jax82
90% chance of rain today. I look at it as there is a strong 10% chance it wont :)
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Quoting IKE:
Heavy rain here now.....thunderstorm and 63.0.
Morning Ike... and everybody else.... I don't know whether to hope this rain comes our way or not. ON the one hand, the dust here has been phenomenal due to a very dry March. OTOH, I don't want my event this afternoon to get rained out. Forecasts suggests this front is just going to ride north of us anyway.

Enjoy the rain!
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much needed rain for the e c. of flor. maybe a spinner or two too really no big deal. patiently waiting for cv season
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1089. beell
That is a pretty healthy bow developing in the gulf. At the least, embedded tornadoes are likely as this thing comes ashore.
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Severe mesocyclonic thunderstorms look to merge over coastal Panama City, FL.
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1085. IKE
Heavy rain here now.....thunderstorm and 63.0.
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1083. surfmom
RTLSNK, IKE & AQUA -- good & safe day your way, may the Rain RE-fresh & 'cause no problems. I'm heading out to the barn : )
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1082. beell
Fairly large and healthy embedded mesocyclone off the coast of the FL Panhandle this morning. May have watch and see if it makes it to the beach.

Photobucket
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1081. IKE

... Record daily maximum rainfall record set and high temperature
record
tied at New Orleans...

A record rainfall of 3.59 inch(es) was set at New
Orleans yesterday.
This breaks the old record of 3.25 set in 1980.

A
record high temperature of 83 degrees was tied at New Orleans
yesterday.
This ties the old record of 83 set in 2007.
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1080. RTLSNK
Looks like the thunder woke someone up finally. :)

Special Weather Statement
Statement as of 7:09 AM EDT on March 30, 2011


... Significant weather advisory for pea sized hail and 35 mph winds
in Bibb County until 745 am EDT...

At 708 am EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm over Skipperton... moving northeast at 35 mph.

These storms have the potential to produce pea sized hail... frequent
cloud to ground lightning and wind gusts to 35 mph as they move
across Bibb County through 745 am EDT. Some locations in the path of
these storms include Lizella... Middle Georgia Regional Airport... Lake
Tobesofkee... Skipperton... Rutland... Wesleyan... Payne city... Macon...
Franklinton... Arkwright and Cross Keys. Brief heavy downpours will
cause ponding of water on roadways.

These storms are not expected to reach severe thunderstorm
criteria... which is hail the size of quarters or larger or damaging
wind gusts of 58 mph or higher.



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1079. surfmom
Morning All -- Trying to get a handle on what's happening...weather wise -- certainly can't keep up w/ the humans these days....

Lordy, had no clue about last night's weather in Louisiana -- I decide to watch a movie and all heck breaks loose.... my son is up there for an emergency Ship repair project in the Gomex -- now I'm wondering how the heck they're going to make repairs w/ the Gulf looking like this....

a bit fretful I am -- well, I should check more maps before I start fretting.... BRB


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1078. IKE
I've had .18 inches of rain since this event started. Heavy rain moving in..................
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Good Morning All! Raining in Crestview and plenty of lightning to watch. Drive down SR85 was interesting as cars whizzed by as usual heading towards Fort Walton Beach. Will enjoy the rain today.
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1076. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
RTL- wish I could spend the day, reading MRV's and google-mapping paths. A long day ahead for many, from north of you, on down past Melbourne.

Ike, yeah, watching rain from the 8th floor. Yeah buddy. What excitement. Now I gotta work till 11pm and I won't get to play in ANY of it.

I am SO BUMMED. All I wanted today, was to play in the puddles, and splash in the yard. Get soaked. Laugh. get muddy.

Later ya'll... work zoom zoom :(
Sounds rather depressing. 16 hours from now? Bless your heart and mind.

Rain....68.4 outside my window.
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SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION


Excerpt:

AS THE MAIN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PRESSES EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY...THE FOCUS OF THESE STORMS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD...STRETCHING FROM VIRGINIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY MID-DAY WEDNESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO HAVE MOVED OFF THE COAST.


THE STRONG DYNAMICS...AMPLE MOISTURE AND PROXIMITY TO THE CHILLY NEW ENGLAND STATES IS QUITE THE SET UP FOR A LATE SEASON NOREASTER EVENT.
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1074. aquak9
RTL- wish I could spend the day, reading MRV's and google-mapping paths. A long day ahead for many, from north of you, on down past Melbourne.

Ike, yeah, watching rain from the 8th floor. Yeah buddy. What excitement. Now I gotta work till 11pm and I won't get to play in ANY of it.

I am SO BUMMED. All I wanted today, was to play in the puddles, and splash in the yard. Get soaked. Laugh. get muddy.

Later ya'll... work zoom zoom :(
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1073. IKE
Heavy rain/thunderstorms heading for Crestview,FL. and Okaloosa County....


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1072. beell
keep a keen weather eye today, aqua.
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1071. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
RTL, this is like, round 2 for you- ya'll had a big day up there last sunday too, right?

Ike- I hope I get more rain than you, hahaha
Your chances are 90% today and 70% tomorrow. Surely you'll get something out of that?
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1070. RTLSNK
Hi Aqua, yes, Sat and Sun, tornados south and east of us.
T7 is a bad one, 66 dBZ, 35,000 footer, 2" hail, moving at 37 kts.
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1069. aquak9
RTL, this is like, round 2 for you- ya'll had a big day up there last sunday too, right?

Ike- I hope I get more rain than you, hahaha
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1068. RTLSNK
Morning everyone, I don't think I'm going to get those 30 bags of mushroom compost spread in the above ground flower gardens today. :(
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1067. IKE
Raining and thundering at my house, this morning.....




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1066. aquak9
Kyodo: Edano suggests scrapping of all reactors

not awake yet- thought you said "scraping" -I was imagining workers with little spatulas - -

They don't need to tear them down. Come one. I've seen worse damage to nuclear reactors. (rolls eyes)

Yeah Nea, I get to watch it rain, maybe.
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Quoting aquak9:
good morning dayshift

top of the morning, top of Florida checking in. Ike, you're under something...torn watch I think.

Thought I saw the distant flash of lightning while feeding the outdoor cat- so vague, not yet awake.

Everyone ready?

Good morning. Looks to be nasty up your way this afternoon. Have fun!

Meanwhile, back at the ranch:

Kyodo: Smoke temporarily seen at Fukushima Daini turbine building

Kyodo: Edano suggests scrapping of all reactors at Fukushima Daiichi plant (This after TEPCO said they planned to decommission only units 1 through 4.)

Ya think?
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13554
1064. aquak9
good morning dayshift

top of the morning, top of Florida checking in. Ike, you're under something...torn watch I think.

Thought I saw the distant flash of lightning while feeding the outdoor cat- so vague, not yet awake.

Everyone ready?
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1063. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Darwin
Tropical Cyclone Advice #2
TROPICAL LOW 25U
5:00 PM CST March 30 2011
=======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Low (1001 hPa) located at 10.6S 132.3E or 70 km north northwest of Croker Island and 255 km northeast of Darwin has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The low is reported as moving slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.0/1.0/D0.5/24 hrs

There is a possibility of a tropical cyclone developing during Friday as the tropical low moves into the Timor Sea, west of the Tiwi Islands. GALES are not expected on the coast within 24 hours. However, gales are likely to develop on Friday morning about the Tiwi islands, and may extend to the coast later on Friday between Cape Hotham and Port Keats, including Darwin, if the tropical low takes a more southwest track.

The Territory Controller advises areas under Watch that now is the time to put together your emergency kit, clear your yards and balconies and commence home shelter preparations.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
====================================
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for the Tiwi Islands and coastal communities between Cape Hotham and Port Keats, including Darwin.

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 10.6S 131.5E - 25 knots (Tropical Low)
24 HRS: 11.0S 130.7E - 30 knots (Tropical Low)
48 HRS: 12.1S 129.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1)
72 HRS: 13.2S 127.2E - 50 knots (CAT 2)

Additional Information
=======================
Tropical low has shown improved convective organisation during today, with curved bands developing in the northern semicircle. Surface position north of Croker Island, but circulation centre from satellite and radar may be further west. Broad-scale environment is favourable with the 200 hPa ridge overhead, deep moisture and a westerly wind surge to the north. A SE wind surge associated with a low-level ridge to the south is forecast to interact with the low during Thursday. Mid-level steering is dominated by ridging to the southwest and east, with a weak trough over central NT. Forecast track is southwest close to the Tiwi Islands then into the Timor Sea where TC development is possible on Friday. In the longer term, the system is forecast to move closer to the north Kimberley coast late Friday or early Saturday.

The next tropical cyclone advice from Tropical Cyclone Darwin will be issued at 13:00 PM UTC..
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1062. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128648
1061. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128648
Quoting TampaSpin:



Florida Panhandle you better look out tonite as well. Panama City, Florida you are next in line it appears. Get your Weather Radios ON


I hope not.. grrrr
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1059. Patrap
354
WFUS54 KLIX 300547
TORLIX
LAC095-300615-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0038.110330T0547Z-110330T0615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1247 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LAPLACE...

* UNTIL 115 AM CDT

* AT 1242 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LAPLACE...
OR NEAR RESERVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY
TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING. IF NO SAFE
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.



LAT...LON 3018 9053 3019 9047 3023 9044 3026 9044
3029 9040 3029 9031 3024 9034 3019 9042
3013 9042 3009 9040 3003 9047 3003 9051
3012 9060
TIME...MOT...LOC 0547Z 230DEG 28KT 3013 9048




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Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128648
"...company and regulatory records shows that Japan and its largest utility repeatedly downplayed dangers and ignored warnings -- including a 2007 tsunami study from Tokyo Electric Power Co's senior safety engineer...
...The research paper concluded that there was a roughly 10 percent chance that a tsunami could test or overrun the defenses of the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant within a 50-year span based on the most conservative assumptions.
But Tokyo Electric did nothing to change its safety planning based on that study, which was presented at a nuclear engineering conference in Miami in July 2007.

Meanwhile, Japanese nuclear regulators clung to a model that left crucial safety decisions in the hands of the utility that ran the plant..."

And the story becomes ever more worse as one continues reading...

eg "Immediately after the tsunami, a French firm with nuclear expertise shipped robots for use in Fukushima...The robots are built to withstand high radiation.
But Japan...stopped them from arriving in Fukishima..."
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1057. Patrap
wwltv.com radar dujour
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128648
1056. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
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1055. Patrap


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128648
1054. Patrap
418
WUUS54 KLIX 300530
SVRLIX
LAC051-071-087-300615-
/O.NEW.KLIX.SV.W.0046.110330T0530Z-110330T0615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1230 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF METAIRIE...
ORLEANS PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...NEW ORLEANS...EAST NEW ORLEANS...
NORTHWESTERN ST. BERNARD PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 115 AM CDT

* AT 1228 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
METAIRIE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
LAKEFRONT AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.



LAT...LON 2990 9016 3003 9024 3004 9022 3003 9012
3005 9001 3007 8996 3016 8987 3015 8985
3011 8984 3011 8980 3013 8978 3005 8972
3004 8981 3001 8983
TIME...MOT...LOC 0530Z 242DEG 26KT 3000 9012




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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.