Hurricanes Igor and Tomas get their names retired

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 8:19 PM GMT on March 27, 2011

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The names Tomas and Igor will no longer be used to name hurricanes in the Atlantic, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced this March. Hurricane Igor made landfall near Cape Race, Newfoundland on September 21, 2010, and was that island's most damaging hurricane in 75 years, with $200 million in damage. Hurricane Tomas smashed through the Lesser Antilles Islands on October 30 - 31, 2010, dealing a particularly harsh blow to St. Lucia, where eight died and damage was estimated at $500 million. Tomas also killed 35 people on Haiti, and contributed to a cholera epidemic that killed thousands.


Figure 1. Little Barsway bridge 10 km north of Grand Bank, Newfoundland, after flood waters from Hurricane Igor swept it away. Image credit: George J.B. Rose.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Tropical Storm Tomas taken at 10:30am EDT Saturday October 30, 2010, as the storm began lashing the Lesser Antilles. At the time, Tomas was a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

The retirement of hurricane names
The WMO maintains a list of hurricane names for the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific that repeats itself every six years. The names Igor and Tomas in the Atlantic would have appeared again in 2016, but will be replaced by Ian and Tobias. Each spring, the WMO meets to decide if any names should be retired from the list, due to notable death or destruction caused by one of the past season's storms. Any country that is a member of the WMO can request that a name be retired. If a country seriously affected by a hurricane does not request retirement of the name, then the name will not be retired. In the recent past, Mexico, in particular, has been reluctant to request retirement significant storms that have affected them. In 2010, two significant hurricanes affected the country, but Mexico chose not to request retirement of either: Hurricane Alex, which killed twelve people and did $1.5 billion in damage, and Hurricane Karl, which killed 22 and did $206 million in damage. Back in 2005, Mexico also did not request retirement of Hurricane Emily, which made two landfalls in Mexico as a major hurricane, destroying thousands of buildings, but not claiming any lives. A new storm named Emily will appear this year, as we are recycling the names from 2005 that were not retired (2005 holds the record for most retired names, with five.) Probably the best example of a hurricane that did not get its name retired, but deserved to, was Hurricane Gordon of 1994, which killed 1145 people on Haiti. Haiti did not send a representative to the 1995 WMO meeting when retirements for 1994 were decided. Gordon did not affect any other countries strongly enough to motivate them to request retirement, and the name Gordon will be used again in 2012.

Since Atlantic hurricanes began getting women's names in 1953, 76 names have been retired, an average of 1.3 retired names per year. The list includes one tropical storm, Allison of 2001, that caused billions in damage from its heavy rains. The storm with the most appearances so far is Arlene, which has appeared nine times: 1959, 1963, 1967, 1971, 1981, 1987, 1993, 1999, 2005. Arlene will make its tenth appearance this year. One exception to the retirement rule: before 1979, some storm names were simply dropped. For example, in 1966, Fern was substituted for Frieda, and no reason was given. Only three Eastern Pacific hurricanes have had their names retired--Hurricane Ismael of 1995, Hurricane Pauline of 1997, and Hurricane Kenna of 2002. All of these storms hit Mexico.

Cool Katrina animation
A new visualization created by Advanced Visualization Laboratory at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications at the University of Illinois shows Hurricane Katrina spinning over the Gulf of Mexico during a 36-hour period in August, 2005. The animation is part of a full-length planetarium film called Dynamic Earth screened at the Fulldome UK festival on March 12 - 13. You can see the video at the newscientist.com or DynamicEarth web sites. The video description: Trajectories follow moist air rising into intense "hot tower" thunderstorms, and trace strong winds around the eye wall; rapidly rising air is yellow, sinking air blue. The sun, moon, and stars show the passing of time. The visualization highlights Katrina's awesome power and fierce beauty.

I'll be back with a new post Tuesday or Wednesday.

Jeff Masters

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1154. hydrus
Quoting RitaEvac:
Accuweather mind as well say that open ocean water this season is prone to hurricanes this season. Couldn't of been a dumber remark than the one they said.
Thats it....im puttin up da shudders....Mornin R.E.
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1153. hydrus
Quoting jeffs713:

Along those same lines...

Water is wet.
Lol...Partly cloudy, chance of showers.....:)
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Accuweather mind as well say that open ocean water this season is prone to hurricanes this season. Couldn't of been a dumber remark than the one they said.
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Quoting hydrus:
Mornin Gro..I just watched AccuWeather,s prediction for this years hurricane season. They stated that Southern Florida and the Outer Banks/Carolinas region would be" high areas of concern " during the mid and late in the season.........Those guys are amazing...who would of guessed such a thing.....wow....

Along those same lines...

Water is wet.
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1150. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:


Tried playing golf once. Found it very annoying.
Mornin Gro..I just watched AccuWeather,s prediction for this years hurricane season. They stated that Southern Florida and the Outer Banks/Carolinas region would be" higher concern areas " during the mid and late in the season.........Those guys are amazing...who would of guessed such a thing.....wow....
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Kan looks at separating nuclear safety agency from industry ministry

Prime Minister Naoto Kan is looking into the feasibility of separating the country's nuclear safety agency from the industry ministry, government sources said Wednesday, as the government reviews the way it handles nuclear energy.

The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency, which is responsible for the administration of nuclear safety issues, is currently under the wing of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry. The ministry has been actively promoting nuclear power, a point which critics say compromises the agency's role to ensure nuclear safety.

Kan's plan to separate the agency from the ministry comes as Japan is struggling to overcome its worst nuclear crisis following the crippling of a nuclear plant after the March 11 earthquake and tsunami.

Kyodo Article...

IOW: "Perhaps it's best if we don't let the foxes run the henhouse." Wow, what a profoundly brilliant idea! Who would ever have thought of such a thing?!

:-\

As of today:

Number of people killed 11,362
Number of people missing 16,290
TOTAL 27,652

(NOTE: not all those missing will be confirmed as deaths)
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1148. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #5
PERTURBATION TROPICALE 08-20102011
16:00 PM RET March 30 2011
======================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 8 (1004 hPa) located at 8.2S 87.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving north northeast at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.5/2.0/W0.5/12 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 07.9S 88.1E - 25 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
24 HRS: 07.6S 88.6E - 25 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
48 HRS: 08.7S 89.1E - 25 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
72 HRS: 09.7S 88.3E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)

Additional Information
=========================

System keeps on undergoing a moderate upper level easterly vertical wind shear and low level vortex is totally exposed in the northeast of the main deep convective activity. System keeps on drifting northeastward since 06.00z.

Last available numerical weather prediction models (ECMWF, UKMO, GFS) are in a rather good agreement on forecasting a more or less broad clockwise loop for the next 3 days. Beyond, the steering current should be back the subtropical ridge east northeastern flow. System is note expected to deepen significantly without the loop. ECMWF numerical weather prediction model forecast a gradually deepening on and after Sunday April 3rd as system evolves in improving upper level environmental conditions.

CURRENT INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR ADVISORY
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1147. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Darwin
Tropical Cyclone Advice #3
TROPICAL LOW 25U
11:00 PM CST March 30 2011
=======================================

At 9:30 PM CST, Tropical Low (1002 hPa) located at 10.6S 131.8E or 80 km north of Cape Don and 225 km north northeast of Darwin has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The low is reported as moving west at 3 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.0/1.0/D0.5/24 hrs

There is a possibility of a tropical cyclone developing during Friday as the tropical low moves into the Timor Sea, west of the Tiwi Islands. GALES are not expected on the coast within 24 hours. However, gales may develop on Friday about the Tiwi islands, and may extend to the coast later on Friday between Cape Hotham and Port Keats, including Darwin, if the tropical low takes a more southwest track.

The Territory Controller advises areas under Watch that now is the time to put together your emergency kit, clear your yards and balconies and commence home shelter preparations.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
====================================
A Cyclone WATCH continues for the Tiwi Islands and coastal communities between Cape Hotham and Port Keats, including Darwin.

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 10.8S 131.2E - 20 knots (Tropical Low)
24 HRS: 11.3S 130.6E - 25 knots (Tropical Low)
48 HRS: 12.7S 129.0E - 40 knots (CAT 1)
72 HRS: 14.3S 126.7E - 45 knots (CAT 1)

Additional Information
=======================

Tropical low has shown slight increase in convection and curvature in past 24 hours, though still remains relatively unorganised. Latest satpix shows a burst of convection close to centre on NW flank, though centre position is difficult to locate. Broad-scale environment is favourable with the 200 hPa ridge overhead, deep moisture and a westerly wind surge to the north. A SE wind surge associated with a low-level ridge to the south is forecast to interact with the low during Thursday. Mid-level steering is dominated by ridging to the southwest and east, with a weak trough over central NT. Forecast track is southwest close to or over the Tiwi Islands then into the Timor Sea where TC development is possible on Friday or Saturday. In the longer term, the system is forecast to move closer to the north Kimberley coast on Saturday.

The next tropical cyclone advice from Tropical Cyclone Darwin will be issued at 19:00 PM UTC..
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Quoting FirstCoastMan:
2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season will be Active, Have more US Landfalls
By Gina Cherundolo, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer
Mar 30, 2011; 7:11 AM ETShare | .

AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center meteorologists, led by Meteorologist and Hurricane Forecaster Paul Pastelok, are predicting an active season for 2011 with more impact on the U.S. coastline than last year.

The team is forecasting a total of 15 named tropical storms, eight of which will attain hurricane status and three of which will attain major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher).

In a normal year, there are 10 tropical storms, six of which become hurricanes and two of which become major hurricanes, or attain winds that exceed 110 mph.

2010's historic season had a total of 19 named storms and ranks as the third most active season on record, but there was little impact on the United States coastline. Twelve of these storms became hurricanes, five of which were major hurricanes. Two names from the 2010 season were retired on March 16.

"It looks like we're going to have more impact on the mainland of the U.S. coming up this year compared to last year," Pastelok said. "We had a lot of storms last year, but not a lot of impact [on the U.S.]."

In order to project the number of storms and impacts, the team looks at past years that have similar weather variables and patterns that closely resemble the most recent fall, winter and early spring months.





Factors for this Season

There are a number of physical drivers that have the team concerned for this upcoming hurricane season. These include:

--The orientation and position of the Azores and Bermuda high-pressure areas in the Atlantic

The Azores high is one of the bigger influences on the movement of tropical cyclones. High pressure systems alter the direction of a storm by steering the storm, a low pressure system, around it. This is one way forecasters can predict the track of a hurricane.

"The forecast position and strength of the Azores or Bermuda high is always a challenging forecast," Pastelok said. "An unexpected change could greatly alter where both early season and mid season storms track."

AccuWeather.com Expert Tropical Forecaster Dan Kottlowski added, "We do see some changes in the overall pattern across the Atlantic."

Kottlowski continued, "The water temps are not nearly as warm as they were last year, and also the upper air pattern looks slightly different... than last year, so that could have an impact as to where that subtropical high, that big high pressure area that helps guide tropical storms, sets up."

"It may weaken or actually reposition itself a little bit to the northeast as we get later in the season, which would allow more of a storm track closer to Florida and also up the East Coast," Kottlowski concluded.

--The future state of the ongoing La Niña

La Niña is a phenomenon that occurs when the surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific are colder than normal. La Niña results in low wind shear, especially in the main tropical development area in the Atlantic. Shear refers to strong winds that are high in the atmosphere. Wind shear is a "hurricane killer," in that it can hinder storm development as well as break up existing storms.

"Currently, right now we still are in a La Niña scenario, but it is starting to weaken," Pastelok said. "The signal is starting to show some signs of going neutral. That could have an impact on the westerly wind component down in the tropical Atlantic as well as the Caribbean. Stronger westerlies would prohibit major storms or a lot of storms, so it is a critical factor."

--The frequency and amount of dust that accompanies disturbances moving off the African coast

The presence of dust indicates dry air, which can hinder tropical development in the eastern Atlantic.

"Current projections on the weather pattern over Africa for this coming tropical season suggests there will be episodes of dust affecting development, but no more than normal," Pastelok said.

--A phenomenon known as Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)

AMO refers to the sea surface temperature in the northern Atlantic, and the temperature fluctuates from colder than average to warmer than average every few decades. Currently, the sea surface temperature is in the warm phase, and warm water is "hurricane fuel," in that it supports the development of tropical systems.

"We continue to observe the positive phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation," said Paul Pastelok. "This will help to maintain warmer-than-normal water temperatures across most of the Atlantic Basin."



This Season's Concern Areas

As with most Atlantic hurricane seasons, the areas where storms are most likely to make landfall shift as the season progresses.

This year, the early season threat area will be the western Gulf of Mexico and the southern portion of the Caribbean. Within this zone, the higher concern for landfalls will be along the Texas and Louisiana coastlines.

As for the mid-to-late season zones, the eastern Gulf and Caribbean will be the focus. The higher concern areas will be the Florida Peninsula to the Carolinas.

"What we see is there is a clustering of storm impacts over the southeastern US, and that's the reason why we earmarked this as a concern area," said Kottlowski.

Another mid-to-late season concern for landfalls will be northern New England and the Canadian Maritimes.

"We feel that this season, there will be a higher potential for impacts across the southern part of the Basin into the Gulf of Mexico during the first part of the season," Pastelok stated. "This higher potential for impacts shift farther north into the southeast U.S. during the latter half of the season."

Hurricane season officially begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30.


Wow. No mention of a "high probability of a strike in the NY/NJ area"... Joe B's absence is already noted...
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Quoting aquak9:
Radioactive steam explosions, mostly.

Why does the word "bomb" come to mind?

I like pottery's answer better.
Appearently it is already in water under there and thus the highly radioactive water that has been found is the theory. good news - no hydro bomb, bad news - they guess it is going to take 30 years to clean up.

Japan may have lost race to save nuclear reactor

Fukushima meltdown fears rise after radioactive core melts through vessel – but 'no danger of Chernobyl-style catastrophe'

Fears nuclear shutdown could take 30 years

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Quoting BobinTampa:


Maybe I should switch to graphite shafts??
Please try not to have a nuclear accident with your graphite shafts...that would be far, far worse than using bananas.
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Quoting Grothar:


Tried playing golf once. Found it very annoying.


Why? Did a ball hit you LOL?
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
1141. emcf30
1133. aquak9 2:10 PM GMT on March 30, 2011
At least part of the molten core, which includes melted fuel rods and zirconium alloy cladding, seemed to have sunk through the steel ''lower head'' of the pressure vessel around reactor two,

so what happens when this stuff drips down into the pooled water underneath??

anyone?

It goes BOOM.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season will be Active, Have more US Landfalls
By Gina Cherundolo, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer
Mar 30, 2011; 7:11 AM ETShare | .

AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center meteorologists, led by Meteorologist and Hurricane Forecaster Paul Pastelok, are predicting an active season for 2011 with more impact on the U.S. coastline than last year.

The team is forecasting a total of 15 named tropical storms, eight of which will attain hurricane status and three of which will attain major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher).

In a normal year, there are 10 tropical storms, six of which become hurricanes and two of which become major hurricanes, or attain winds that exceed 110 mph.

2010's historic season had a total of 19 named storms and ranks as the third most active season on record, but there was little impact on the United States coastline. Twelve of these storms became hurricanes, five of which were major hurricanes. Two names from the 2010 season were retired on March 16.

"It looks like we're going to have more impact on the mainland of the U.S. coming up this year compared to last year," Pastelok said. "We had a lot of storms last year, but not a lot of impact [on the U.S.]."

In order to project the number of storms and impacts, the team looks at past years that have similar weather variables and patterns that closely resemble the most recent fall, winter and early spring months.





Factors for this Season

There are a number of physical drivers that have the team concerned for this upcoming hurricane season. These include:

--The orientation and position of the Azores and Bermuda high-pressure areas in the Atlantic

The Azores high is one of the bigger influences on the movement of tropical cyclones. High pressure systems alter the direction of a storm by steering the storm, a low pressure system, around it. This is one way forecasters can predict the track of a hurricane.

"The forecast position and strength of the Azores or Bermuda high is always a challenging forecast," Pastelok said. "An unexpected change could greatly alter where both early season and mid season storms track."

AccuWeather.com Expert Tropical Forecaster Dan Kottlowski added, "We do see some changes in the overall pattern across the Atlantic."

Kottlowski continued, "The water temps are not nearly as warm as they were last year, and also the upper air pattern looks slightly different... than last year, so that could have an impact as to where that subtropical high, that big high pressure area that helps guide tropical storms, sets up."

"It may weaken or actually reposition itself a little bit to the northeast as we get later in the season, which would allow more of a storm track closer to Florida and also up the East Coast," Kottlowski concluded.

--The future state of the ongoing La Niña

La Niña is a phenomenon that occurs when the surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific are colder than normal. La Niña results in low wind shear, especially in the main tropical development area in the Atlantic. Shear refers to strong winds that are high in the atmosphere. Wind shear is a "hurricane killer," in that it can hinder storm development as well as break up existing storms.

"Currently, right now we still are in a La Niña scenario, but it is starting to weaken," Pastelok said. "The signal is starting to show some signs of going neutral. That could have an impact on the westerly wind component down in the tropical Atlantic as well as the Caribbean. Stronger westerlies would prohibit major storms or a lot of storms, so it is a critical factor."

--The frequency and amount of dust that accompanies disturbances moving off the African coast

The presence of dust indicates dry air, which can hinder tropical development in the eastern Atlantic.

"Current projections on the weather pattern over Africa for this coming tropical season suggests there will be episodes of dust affecting development, but no more than normal," Pastelok said.

--A phenomenon known as Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)

AMO refers to the sea surface temperature in the northern Atlantic, and the temperature fluctuates from colder than average to warmer than average every few decades. Currently, the sea surface temperature is in the warm phase, and warm water is "hurricane fuel," in that it supports the development of tropical systems.

"We continue to observe the positive phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation," said Paul Pastelok. "This will help to maintain warmer-than-normal water temperatures across most of the Atlantic Basin."



This Season's Concern Areas

As with most Atlantic hurricane seasons, the areas where storms are most likely to make landfall shift as the season progresses.

This year, the early season threat area will be the western Gulf of Mexico and the southern portion of the Caribbean. Within this zone, the higher concern for landfalls will be along the Texas and Louisiana coastlines.

As for the mid-to-late season zones, the eastern Gulf and Caribbean will be the focus. The higher concern areas will be the Florida Peninsula to the Carolinas.

"What we see is there is a clustering of storm impacts over the southeastern US, and that's the reason why we earmarked this as a concern area," said Kottlowski.

Another mid-to-late season concern for landfalls will be northern New England and the Canadian Maritimes.

"We feel that this season, there will be a higher potential for impacts across the southern part of the Basin into the Gulf of Mexico during the first part of the season," Pastelok stated. "This higher potential for impacts shift farther north into the southeast U.S. during the latter half of the season."

Hurricane season officially begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

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If you're a NOLA resident, check out WhoData.org
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1138. pottery
Quoting Grothar:


Tried playing golf once. Found it very annoying.

Yeah!
Why is the Tee so far from the Green?
And would'nt it be better to have holes all over the green? Thousands of them. Instead of just ONE?
What's the POINT, man?
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1137. aquak9
Radioactive steam explosions, mostly.

Why does the word "bomb" come to mind?

I like pottery's answer better.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
Quoting aquak9:
At least part of the molten core, which includes melted fuel rods and zirconium alloy cladding, seemed to have sunk through the steel ''lower head'' of the pressure vessel around reactor two,

so what happens when this stuff drips down into the pooled water underneath??

anyone?

Bad things.
Radioactive steam explosions, mostly.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1135. pottery
Quoting aquak9:
At least part of the molten core, which includes melted fuel rods and zirconium alloy cladding, seemed to have sunk through the steel ''lower head'' of the pressure vessel around reactor two,

so what happens when this stuff drips down into the pooled water underneath??

anyone?

Out of sight, out of mind.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1134. Grothar
Quoting caneswatch:


You guys need to come over to South Florida and play this course called Madison Green. It's a tough course, but I got what I'd consider a good score.


Tried playing golf once. Found it very annoying.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25323
1133. aquak9
At least part of the molten core, which includes melted fuel rods and zirconium alloy cladding, seemed to have sunk through the steel ''lower head'' of the pressure vessel around reactor two,

so what happens when this stuff drips down into the pooled water underneath??

anyone?
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732
Quoting TampaSpin:


Which course you playing, The BULL? Nice tuff course! My favorite in the area is Lansbrook, really nice going toward Tarpon Springs near the Boot Ranch.


You guys need to come over to South Florida and play this course called Madison Green. It's a tough course, but I got what I'd consider a good score.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
Quoting TampaSpin:


Which course you playing, The BULL? Nice tuff course! My favorite in the area is Lansbrook, really nice going toward Tarpon Springs near the Boot Ranch.


Playing The Eagles. Not my favorite track but a buddy set it up. I like Lansbrook a lot too but never score well there. My favorite course in the area is Fox Hollow. Really fast greens there. A buddy of mine five-putted the first hole when he played there for the first time.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Fears nuclear shutdown could take 30 years

Damaged reactors at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant may take three decades to decommission and cost the operator, Tokyo Electric Power Company, more than ¥1 trillion ($12 billion), engineers and analysts said as fears grew over increasing radiation around the plant. The reactors had to be decommissioned, the company's chairman, Tsunehisa Katsumata, said yesterday. He could not give a time frame.

Mr Katsumata held a press conference after it was reported the radioactive core in a reactor at Fukushima appeared to have melted through the bottom of its containment vessel and on to a concrete floor, raising fears of a big release of radiation at the site.

All the reactors will be shut down and the government has not ruled out sealing the plant in concrete, the Chief Cabinet Secretary, Yukio Edano, said. Mr Katsumata apologised for the crisis and expressed regret to Fukushima residents and farmers over food affected by radiation discharged from the plant.

The Tepco chairman said it would be difficult to continue the company's involvement in the expansion of the South Texas Project nuclear plant. Other plans to export nuclear technology were likely to be shelved.

Workers have been pumping water into three reactors to keep the fuel rods from melting down, but the fuel is at least partially exposed in all the reactors. At least part of the molten core, which includes melted fuel rods and zirconium alloy cladding, seemed to have sunk through the steel ''lower head'' of the pressure vessel around reactor two, Mr Lahey said. ''The indications we have, from the reactor to radiation readings and the materials they are seeing, suggest that the core has melted through the bottom … and at least some of it is down on the floor of the dry well.''

Sydney Morning Herald Article...

30 years. Of course, there's an 85% chance of a so-called Tokai Earthquake within that time frame, and by some accounts, such a quake could very well cause the destruction of a half-dozen nuke plants in and around Tokyo. (And one more bit of good news: who do you think will foot the $12 billion cleanup bill?)

So to break it down for everyone...

They aren't trying to prevent a meltdown, but rather deal with a meltdown that has already happened.
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Quoting BobinTampa:


Maybe I should switch to graphite shafts??


Which course you playing, The BULL? Nice tuff course! My favorite in the area is Lansbrook, really nice going toward Tarpon Springs near the Boot Ranch.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
Quoting BobinTampa:


Maybe I should switch to graphite shafts??


Word on the street is the way you hit the ball you could use paper on the head of those graphite shafts and the paper would not crinkle..........ROFLMAO.....j/k
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
WOW ! Graphic 1115 just changed and put Southern Louisiana and Mississippi under ther current greatest threat with CAPE values it appears.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
Quoting jeffs713:

You can still go golfing at 1:30... you might be a lightning rod at that time, but you can go...


Maybe I should switch to graphite shafts??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RastaSteve:


Very cool in GA TampaSpin. Most of the storms in GA are elevated so severe will be meager at best north of FL. SE GA could be some severe wx but that's about it. Lot's of 50 degree temps in GA right now. Also that CAPE map you posted is from last evening so no that is not accurate.


Yep the Panhandle is getting a taste now while Central an South Georgia will be coming also along with the Central I4 Florida area late!
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1124. pottery
Good Morning...
Goodness me! You Gulf-Coast dwellers are having an Exciting time recently/currently/in the future!
Hope all goes well for everyone.
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1123. Jax82
Since Feb 11th we have got a whopping 0.95 inches of rain at my station. I'm thinking we'll get more today than the past 50 combined. Yesterday we got 0.01, my dog slobbers more than that.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Fears nuclear shutdown could take 30 years

Damaged reactors at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant may take three decades to decommission and cost the operator, Tokyo Electric Power Company, more than ¥1 trillion ($12 billion), engineers and analysts said as fears grew over increasing radiation around the plant. The reactors had to be decommissioned, the company's chairman, Tsunehisa Katsumata, said yesterday. He could not give a time frame.

Mr Katsumata held a press conference after it was reported the radioactive core in a reactor at Fukushima appeared to have melted through the bottom of its containment vessel and on to a concrete floor, raising fears of a big release of radiation at the site.

All the reactors will be shut down and the government has not ruled out sealing the plant in concrete, the Chief Cabinet Secretary, Yukio Edano, said. Mr Katsumata apologised for the crisis and expressed regret to Fukushima residents and farmers over food affected by radiation discharged from the plant.

The Tepco chairman said it would be difficult to continue the company's involvement in the expansion of the South Texas Project nuclear plant. Other plans to export nuclear technology were likely to be shelved.

Workers have been pumping water into three reactors to keep the fuel rods from melting down, but the fuel is at least partially exposed in all the reactors. At least part of the molten core, which includes melted fuel rods and zirconium alloy cladding, seemed to have sunk through the steel ''lower head'' of the pressure vessel around reactor two, Mr Lahey said. ''The indications we have, from the reactor to radiation readings and the materials they are seeing, suggest that the core has melted through the bottom … and at least some of it is down on the floor of the dry well.''

Sydney Morning Herald Article...

30 years. Of course, there's an 85% chance of a so-called Tokai Earthquake within that time frame, and by some accounts, such a quake could very well cause the destruction of a half-dozen nuke plants in and around Tokyo. (And one more bit of good news: who do you think will foot the $12 billion cleanup bill?)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
gOOD mORNING ,Ike,TAMPA,Steve and everyone else. Waterdog today is your day. look out for the rest of florida this afternoon and tonight.
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1116. aquak9
nothing here in jax
doesn't matter anyways
I'll just stare out the window

so sad
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25732


Again pointing toward Central and South Georgia upcoming problems. North Florida to follow i'm sure.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
Quoting stillwaiting:
havent seen this in along time if ever,the wx channel.is scrolling a special wx statement about possible severe wx today and thursday,no watch,just the statement,which to me indicates a good possiblity of multiple severe wx reports from the i-4 corridor south tomorrow,tomorrows set up looks to be the most severe in about a yr for central/south fl...spotters will need to self activate imo ,if can gt any good pics i'll post em(im in swfl)

I think the entire state is under the gun, not just SFL.
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Quoting stillwaiting:
havent seen this in along time if ever,the wx channel.is scrolling a special wx statement about possible severe wx today and thursday,no watch,just the statement,which to me indicates a good possiblity of multiple severe wx reports from the i-4 corridor south tomorrow,tomorrows set up looks to be the most severe in about a yr for central/south fl...spotters will need to self activate imo ,if can gt any good pics i'll post em(im in swfl)


Yep, its Georgia and Floridas turn today and Florida and Carolina's tomorrow. Could get pretty ugly again today and tomorrow. Way to much moisture streaming out of the GOM meeting the cold front with Shear in place as well. Things are in place for some severe stuff.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
havent seen this in along time if ever,the wx channel.is scrolling a special wx statement about possible severe wx today and thursday,no watch,just the statement,which to me indicates a good possiblity of multiple severe wx reports from the i-4 corridor south tomorrow,tomorrows set up looks to be the most severe in about a yr for central/south fl...spotters will need to self activate imo ,if can gt any good pics i'll post em(im in swfl)
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Appears Georgia is gonna get it today. If you look at shear in the graphic. Where you have a collision of winds is always trouble. I look at this graphic first thing always.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1109. beell


DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2011

VALID 301300Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TO
SRN GA AND NRN/CENTRAL FL......

...SOUTHEAST STATES...
COMPLEX TROUGH CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY AS IT PROGRESSES ACROSS MS
VALLEY INTO TN VALLEY. FAST MOVING IMPULSES ROTATING THRU THE TROUGH
WITH ONE HEADING TOWARD OH VALLEY AND MORE SRN ONE TIED TO
INTENSIFYING MID/UPR WIND MAX MOVING EWD ACROSS ERN GULF STATES.

WHILE THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS TX AND LWR MS
VALLEY...THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE E HAS BEEN SHIFTING INLAND
ERN GULF STATES ALLOWING THE VERY MOIST GULF AIR MASS TO MOVE
ONSHORE EWD ACROSS NRN FL INTO FAR SRN GA BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER SRN MS/WRN AL...MASKED SOMEWHAT BY THE
ONGOING STRONG CONVECTION...RESPONDS TO THE INTENSIFYING JET
DYNAMICS AND BEGINS A DEEPENING PROCESS AS IT APPROACHES THE
CAROLINA COAST EARLY TONIGHT.

CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING PER HIGH RES MODELS THIS MORNING
WITH A LARGE MCS CURRENTLY SRN AL INTO WRN FL PANHANDLE. THIS
CURRENT MOVEMENT PER MODELS WOULD TAKE THE MCS ACROSS SRN GA AND NRN
FL TO THE ATLANTIC COAST BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE SPEED OF
THE SYSTEM ONLY LIMITED AMOUNT OF TIME FOR THE RICH GULF AIR MASS TO
MOVE VERY FAR INLAND. RADAR INDICATED AN APPARENT MESO-LOW LOCATED
WITH THE STORMS OVER THE GULF SW OF TLH WHICH SHOULD TRACK EWD ALONG
NERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS NERN FL BY MID AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE
COULD FOCUS AN ENHANCED AREA OF SEVERE INCLUDING POSSIBLE TORNADOES
IF IT PERSISTS.

HAVE KEPT THE PRIMARY THREAT FOR BOTH DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH THE EVOLVING QLCS TO NRN FL AND JUST THE
FAR SRN COUNTIES OF GA WHERE THE AIR MASS WILL BE ABLE TO
DESTABILIZE SUFFICIENTLY PRIOR TO ARRIVAL OF THE STORMS.

ALSO THE STRONG ASCENT WITH THE JET DYNAMICS ACROSS SRN LA ATTM HAS
RESULTED IN ELEVATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE
STORMS SHOULD WORK THEIR WAY TO THE SE AND OFFSHORE LATER THIS
MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE THRU.

NRN FL PENINSULA WILL BE IN THE MOIST WARM SECTOR THIS AFTERNOON
WITH INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE SHEAR FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. MLCAPES
AOA 1500 J/KG AND BULK SHEAR OF 50KT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW SUPERCELLS THIS AFTERNOON ACCOMPANIED BY A WIND DAMAGE AND
ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT. THIS SHOULD BE PRIMARILY N OF A TPA-MLB
LINE.
Member Since: September 11, 2007 Posts: 141 Comments: 16206
Quoting jeffs713:
(good morning, morning crew!)


Good morning Jeff.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
And to all those in NOLA....

First, STAY SAFE! Some serious nastiness out there right now.

Secondly, what did y'all do to anger the powers-that-be? Two days of severe storms , over almost exactly the same area...
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1106. beell
Best guess (amateur) position of warm front at 8AM EDT

Photobucket
Member Since: September 11, 2007 Posts: 141 Comments: 16206
(good morning, morning crew!)
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Quoting BobinTampa:


If you could keep the rain up that way Ike, I'd appreciate it. I have a 1:30 tee time.

You can still go golfing at 1:30... you might be a lightning rod at that time, but you can go...
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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