Nor'easter poised to dump heavy snows; Australian tropical cyclone season heats up

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:31 PM GMT on January 26, 2011

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A developing low pressure system along the North Carolina coast will intensify today and move northeast towards Cape Cod, Massachusetts, bringing heavy rain and snow to the mid-Atlantic and New England. A swath of 6 - 10" of snow is expected over inland regions of New England, from Philadelphia to Boston. A storm surge of up to 2.5' is expected along the Massachusetts coast, which will cause mostly minor coastal flooding, but considerable erosion damage.

The 1.9" of snow that fell in Hartford, Connecticut yesterday brought that city's January snowfall total to 44.9", a new record for the month. With an additional 6 - 10 inches expected today, Hartford will surpass its record for snowiest month of all-time, the 45.3" that fell in December 1945.

The storm brought heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches to much of the Southeast yesterday, easing that region's La Niña-related drought. The low swept a cold front across Florida last night, bringing severe thunderstorms with damaging winds gusts of up to 75 mph to twenty locations in the state. One tornado was reported, but no significant damage was reported.


Figure 1. The cold front from today's Nor'easter swept across Florida last night, bringing a line of severe thunderstorms that spawned one tornado and numerous reports of damaging winds.

Tropical Cyclone activity heats up near Australia
The year's first Category 4 tropical cyclone is Tropical Cyclone Wilma, which is churning the waters near Tonga in the Southern Hemisphere with sustained winds of 135 mph (minimum Category 4 strength.) Wilma passed over American Samoa as a strong tropical storm, and hit Tonga as a Category 3 storm. Substantial damage has been reported on Tonga, but no deaths or injuries. Wilma is recurving out to sea, and will not affect Australia.

Australia is keeping an eye on Tropical Cylone Bianca, which is expected to skirt the northwest coast of the country over the next few days. Of much greater concern for Australia are two potential tropical cyclones that could hit the flood-ravaged state of Queensland next week. Both the European Center and GFS models predict that the remains of Tropical Cyclone Anthony will regenerate into a tropical storm late this week and hit Queensland early next week. A second and potentially more powerful storm is forecast to form next week in the islands to the east of Australia, and threaten Queensland at the end of the week. This is potentially terrible news for Australia, which is attempting to recover from record floods. As reported in the latest Bureau of Meteorology climate statement and flood summary, the past four months (September - December) have been the rainiest such period in Queensland's history, and the resulting flooding disaster has been Australia's most expensive natural disaster in history.


Figure 2. Tropical Cyclone Wilma, the globe's first major tropical cyclone of 2011, as seen at 01:45 GMT on January 26. 2011 by NASA's Aqua satellite. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters

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LOL, canes. How it be?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PSLFLCaneVet:

Dang it, just missed the party? (chuckles)

.


You missed a Journey video LOL
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553

Dang it, just missed the party? (chuckles)

.
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Quoting Grothar:
Good night everyone. Thanks for the quick laughs.

And caneswatch....get to bed!!!!!! Last time I am going to tell you.


When will you ever learn LOL
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
I was out in the snowstorm and saw random flashes of light, I think it was transformers blowing but could it have been lightning?
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Quoting Skyepony:
What's "Normal" Weather Is About to Officially Change


I for one don't like this idea. For example, in Houston

Normal CDD: 2639
2008: 3598
2009: 3582
2010: 3417

It's getting hotter.

An article appearing in a link on that link on wind turbines and the impact on climate:


Can wind turbines warm the globe?

I was actually asked this question once while giving an energy day talk at a local junior college.

Gut... on a macro scale U = q + w and if you are removing work from the system it should cool. But interesting question.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


Leave it you, pot, for the last good zing of the night. Take care my friend.

Sleep well, Gro.
I am off too.

Take care, all.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
Quoting pottery:

Reported.


Leave it you, pot, for the last good zing of the night. Take care my friend.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
Quoting Skyepony:
Looks like one of the 2008 storms was upgraded to a Hurriphoonado. I'm surprised we missed this. Certainly another example of AGW;)


Gaston! Il vivre!
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This is for all of you on the night shift. Enjoy it. Good night now, for real. Nice song.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
Quoting Grothar:


What a nice compliment for the bloggers! Grt. See, it doesn't take as much effort to say something positive on here.

Reported.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
Good night everyone. Thanks for the quick laughs.

And caneswatch....get to bed!!!!!! Last time I am going to tell you.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
Quoting Grothar:


What a nice compliment for the bloggers! Grt. See, it doesn't take as much effort to say something positive on here.


Here! Here! I 2nd that!
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1492
Quoting GrtLksQuest:


The lurkers are out tonight!

What a great theme for those of us who read, learn, chuckle, and feel pain associated with the postings on this website. Thank you to all of you who care and seriously try to contribute to our knowledge base and/or to enrich our lives with your experience and humor.


What a nice compliment for the bloggers! Grt. See, it doesn't take as much effort to say something positive on here.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
Quoting PcolaDan:


Shouldn't we be sitting in the middle of the desert, leaning back in a chaise (or whatever), being fed fruit by fair maidens (or are fair maidens English?)while listening to this? :)
LOL, sounds good to me...
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Respect to all, and Gnight! One of my fav's :)

Member Since: June 12, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8183
Quoting Grothar:


It does, I used to hum it when I was walking by watching them build the pyramids (You little twit! (LOL) It actually is beautiful music, though. The lurkers are out tonight.


The lurkers are out tonight!

What a great theme for those of us who read, learn, chuckle, and feel pain associated with the postings on this website. Thank you to all of you who care and seriously try to contribute to our knowledge base and/or to enrich our lives with your experience and humor.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The Wow! signal was a strong, narrowband radio signal detected by Dr. Jerry R. Ehman on August 15, 1977 while working on a SETI project at the Big Ear radio telescope of Ohio State University. The signal bore expected hallmarks of potential non-terrestrial and non-solar system origin. It lasted for 72 seconds, the full duration Big Ear observed it, but has not been detected again. It has been the focus of attention in the mainstream media when talking about SETI results.

Amazed at how closely the signal matched the expected signature of an interstellar signal in the antenna used, Ehman circled the signal on the computer printout and wrote the comment "Wow!" on its side. This comment became the name of the signal.


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125418
Quoting caneswatch:
BTW Grothar, who doesn't like Journey?


I guess most everyone. I takes "journies" all the time.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
Quoting caneswatch:
BTW Grothar, who doesn't like Journey?


The people who don't think disco is dead?
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1222
I take it back...I'm not THAT old :}
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1492
BTW Grothar, who doesn't like Journey?
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
And on that note (those notes) TTFN.
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Quoting Ossqss:


Some of us had to ride across the river to get here! :)



Ever wonder how the river got there?

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
LOL, I actually liked the music too.


Shouldn't we be sitting in the middle of the desert, leaning back in a chaise (or whatever), being fed fruit by fair maidens (or are fair maidens English?)while listening to this? :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Planet Caravan

We sail through endless skies
Stars shine like eyes
The black night sighs
The moon in silver trees
Falls down in tears
Light of the night
The earth, a purple blaze
Of sapphire haze
In orbit always

While down below the trees
Bathed in cool breeze
Silver starlight breaks down the night
And so we pass on by the crimson eye
Of great god Mars
As we travel the universe


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125418
Quoting Grothar:


It does, I used to hum it when I was walking by watching them build the pyramids (You little twit! (LOL) It actually is beautiful music, though. The lurkers are out tonight.


Some of us had to ride across the river to get here! :)

Member Since: June 12, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8183
Quoting Grothar:


That is without a doubt the funniest thing ever posted on the blog. I can't stop laughing. You are one sick little dude!

P.S. The Benny Goodman one was aces!!!!!


Thought I saw you in that car in the first one. And those bathing beauties. Ooo La Laaa :)
Can't go wrong with Benny Goodman.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


It does, I used to hum it when I was walking by watching them build the pyramids (You little twit! (LOL) It actually is beautiful music, though. The lurkers are out tonight.
LOL, I actually liked the music too.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Maybe this one will remind you of your childhood Gro... :P

Europa Barbarorum Soundtrack Ancient Hymn


It does, I used to hum it when I was walking by watching them build the pyramids (You little twit! (LOL) It actually is beautiful music, though. The lurkers are out tonight.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
Quoting PcolaDan:






That is without a doubt the funniest thing ever posted on the blog. I can't stop laughing. You are one sick little dude!

P.S. The Benny Goodman one was aces!!!!!
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
Quoting Grothar:


That certainly isn't going to do it. Don't you have any nice music from the 1930'?
Maybe this one will remind you of your childhood Gro... :P

Europa Barbarorum Soundtrack Ancient Hymn
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


That certainly isn't going to do it. Don't you have any nice music from the 1930'?




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Quoting pottery:
Incredible!
Everytime I log on here, I learn something Pertinent.
I am convinced you have just solved The Problem.
Well done.

heheheheh

Oh, and what are Milk Duds ?

milk duds are honey from heaven
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Quoting Grothar:


That certainly isn't going to do it. Don't you have any nice music from the 1930'?


.........What?
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
Quoting MichaelSTL:
Who Are these Scientists Predicting Cooling?

Some of the names listed in the blog above have been predicting imminent cooling for years now, like Don Easterbrook, Syun Akasofu, Habibullo Abdussamatov, Joe D'Aleo, and Nicola Scafetta. Many of these and other names on the list are not climate scientists, which is no doubt why the blogs claim that an increasing number of scientists as opposed to climate scientists are predicting imminent cooling.

One also has to wonder how long the planet must continue to warm while these individuals predict imminent cooling before they lose credibility. Don Easterbrook, for example, has predicted that we should see a global cooling of 2 to 5°F (1.1 to 2.8°C) from 2000 to 2030 based on a shift in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. We're now one-third of the way into this supposed cooling period and the planet has warmed approximately 0.1°C. The accuracy of this prediction is not looking good.

Several other listed scientists have predicted that we should expect global cooling due to solar effects, like Scafetta, Abdussamatov, Landscheidt, Archibald, and D'Aleo. However, consider the fact that the longest solar cycle minimum in a nearly century just ended, and as mentioned above, the past two years have been among the hottest in the instrumental temperature record. Solar activity has been flat for the past 50 years, and yet the planet warmed approximately 0.6°C during that period. And now we're expected to believe that solar activity is not only going to significantly dampen the anthropogenic warming signal, but cause substantial cooling? These claims strain credulity.


Warmed .1 degrees Celsius? I'm the one who should be laughing. Thermometers aren't that accurate. The margin of error for thermometers at ground stations is anywhere between +/- 1.5 degrees and +/-2.5 degrees. How can you seriously claim that a supposed .1 degree increase demonstrates warming?
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Quoting caneswatch:
I think it's time to awaken the lurkers.



That certainly isn't going to do it. Don't you have any nice music from the 1930'?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
Forget Armageddon, this is SERIOUS

Floodwaters turning Aussies into glow-in-the-dark mutant Smurfs
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52096
Quoting Patrap:
If we could harness the Power of friction and heat via the Thumbs of every text message and facebook posting or Blog Comment,..we'd never need oil or Coal again.


Milk Dud's anyone ?
Incredible!
Everytime I log on here, I learn something Pertinent.
I am convinced you have just solved The Problem.
Well done.

heheheheh

Oh, and what are Milk Duds ?
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
I think it's time to awaken the lurkers.

Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
Ohhh here ya are Rufus T baker the 5th!!!!!!!!
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If we could harness the Power of friction and heat via the Thumbs of every text message and facebook posting or Blog Comment,..we'd never need oil or Coal again.


Milk Dud's anyone ?
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125418
People do build stuff for the heck of it.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
169. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wellington
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
Severe Tropical Cyclone Wilma
13:00 PM NZDT January 27 2011
=====================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Cyclone Wilma (930 hPa) located at 25.3S 173.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southwest at 10 knots.

HUrricane Force Winds
======================
20 NM from the center

Storm Force Winds
==================
30 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===================
200 NM from the center in southeast semi-circle
100 NM from the center in northwest semi-circle

Next Tropical Cyclone Bulletin from TCWC Wellington will be issued at 6:00 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
Quoting Patrap:
"We've lost it ... no doubt about it."

I read the editorial. It is a bit uneven. I don't think the author visits YouTube. In fact, he closes with some snide remarks about the internet. He apparently does not realize you don't have to go to a geek convention to share stuff with other geeks. (WUBA anyone?) The real hand-wringing of course is about the U.S. versus other countries. Well ... sorry to burst his bubble but the rest of the world has recovered from WWII. There is a bit more competition these days.
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Quoting Xyrus2000:
It belongs right up there with the Weekly World News and other trash rags you see in the supermarket checkout line that claim they've found Elvis dating an alien on Alpha Centauri.

Wait a second ... I liked the Weekly World News. In fact, I doubt they would even mention Alpha Centauri. They had a brief television show I think with Edwin Newman after he retired from network news. I remember a story of people with microchips implanted in their skulls to give them telepathic powers. Saw a bunch of people sitting silently around a table. Cool stuff.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
166. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL LOW, FORMER ANTHONY (11U)
11:00 AM EST January 27 2011
=========================================

At 10:00 AM EST, Tropical Low, Former Anthony (999 hPa) located 17.8S 155.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The low is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony may redevelop into a tropical cyclone during the next 12 to 24 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.