Wild weather rings out the old year: tornado kills three in Arkansas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on December 31, 2010

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The wild weather year of 2010 is closing out in dramatic fashion in the U.S., where a powerful storm system moving through the center of the country has spawned a tornado that killed three people in Northwest Arkansas early this morning. According to media reports, the tornado swept through Washington County in Northwest Arkansas between 6am - 6:10am CST this morning, killing three, injuring many more, and causing significant damage throughout the western portion of the county. Emergency responders are having difficulty reaching the damaged areas due to downed power lines, and power is out over most of the county. The supercell thunderstorm responsible for the tornado has maintained its identify for more than four hours along a path more than 200 miles long this morning, a unusually long time for a thunderstorm to maintain its identity. As of 11am EST, the tornado warnings for the thunderstorm has been issued for eastern Missouri, and the storm is headed towards St. Louis. Visit our interactive tornado page and severe weather page to monitor this ongoing severe weather situation. Today's three tornado deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 39. This is higher than last year's record-low total of 21 tornado deaths, but much lower the 3-year average of 76 tornado deaths per year.



Figure 1. Radar reflectivity (top) and Doppler velocity image (bottom) of the supercell thunderstorm that hit northwestern Arkansas this moring, killing three people in the town of Cincinnati.

Meanwhile, the storm responsible for the deadly tornado is also bringing a dangerous winter storm to the West and Midwest. Blizzard warnings are in effect for southeastern Wyoming, western Nebraska, the Dakotas, and western Minnesota. According to the latest NOAA Storm Summary, the storm has dumped over 30 inches of snow in Colorado at Coal Bank Pass and Skyway, and at Sage Creek Basin in Wyoming. Some other selected snowfall amounts as of 10am EST:

Idaho City, ID: 36.0"
Soda Springs, CA: 36.0"
Deer Valley Daly West, UT: 33.0"
Williams, AZ: 29.5"
Sheep Canyon, WA: 29.0"
Missoula, MT: 24.0"
Flagstaff, AZ: 22.0"
Boise, ID: 20.0"
Green Mountain, NV: 20.0"
Durango, CO: 20.1"
Jackson, WY: 17.3"
Los Alamos, NM: 17.0"
Creighton, SD: 12.0"
Fergus Fall, MN: 11.0"
Williston, ND: 7.1"

The storm also brought very heavy rains in excess of two inches to portions of Arizona, Missouri, and Arkansas, with amounts in excess of four inches reported in California and Oregon. The storm will intensify and move northeastwards into Canada north of Minnesota tonight, bringing an additional 6 - 12 inches of snow to the warned areas.

Have a Happy New Year's everyone, and I'm hoping 2011 brings us a little less in the way of wild weather!

Jeff Masters

Crashing down (Fotoguy77)
The owner of this car stands on the trunk of the 100 year old California Oak tree to take pictures of his damaged vehicle. The tree and others came down early this morning as fierce winds up to 75 MPH tore through the SoCal area, This pic was taken in the San Fernando Valley. The trees were no match for the heavy rains of last week the these winds.
Crashing down
Snow and Blue Sky (kippic)
So nice to see some sunshine. Taken on a FSR off the Mountain Loop Highway, Granite Falls, WA
Snow and Blue Sky
12-31-2010 Tornado (Susie77)
Tornado (Preliminary est. F3) damage, Sunset Hills Missouri.
12-31-2010 Tornado

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Quoting Patrap:
Happy New Year and 2011 Jeremy


You too Pat! God Bless and I thank you for all the good you do.
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SPC busy folks,..stay safe over there.
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Just dropped in for a sec,Still a mess Pat,mines gonna get here soon enough...Happy New Year to All!!
Link to current for me,
Link
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Happy New Year and 2011 Jeremy
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Happy New Years WU and all WU bloggers!

From the good Doc's blog on down to the average Joe blogger, we've made this place a relatively civilized, and very knowledgeable, society. A society of many interests and beliefs, and it's this I think makes it so great. Far too many people post intelligent, thoughtful, and insightful comments on here to ever begin to thank individually, and I won't even try to begin. Instead, I'll just say god bless you all and the most happiest of New Year wishes to you all!

Weather Underground in 2011, I feel the best year coming yet!

Respectfully yours, from the recently unthawed tundra of Muncie, Indiana

Jeremy
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255. JLPR2
Happy new year guys and gals! :D

I'm already 40 minutes into 2011 but most of you guys are still waiting. XD
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Quoting msgambler:
Patrap, How are you doing ole friend?


Drinking another Hurricane and Awaiting Midnight here.

Happy New years Dude
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Uhgg I don't even bother making new years resolution.I'm just going to be doing me.
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Quoting Ossqss:


Cheers !





LOL! Nice, Oss.
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248. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Perth
Tropical Cyclone Advice #14
TROPICAL LOW 06U
12:00 PM WST January 1 2011
=========================================

At 11:00 am WST, Tropical Low (993 hPa) located at 19.2S 117.1E, or 170 kilometres north of Karratha and 340 kilometres northeast of Onslow has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The low is reported as moving west southwest at 18 knots.

Dvorak Intensity:

The low is moving quickly towards the west southwest, parallel to the Pilbara coast. Although it has not reached tropical cyclone intensity it has strengthened a little during the morning and strong to near-gale force winds are being experienced in marine areas to the south of the system centre.

The low may develop into a tropical cyclone later today or tonight and it is possible that a brief period of gales will occur along the west Pilbara coast. By early Sunday morning the system is likely to be north of Exmouth and continuing to move towards the west southwest away from the state.

Flooding is not expected because there is relatively little rain associated with this small and rapidly moving low.

Tropical Cyclone Warning
=======================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Whim Creek to Exmouth
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Happy new years too all.
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Cheers !

Member Since: June 12, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8192
Came back to check radar....I dont think this system over La and Ms has even moved , looks like it's just sitting here. I DID want to have a decent New Years Day, as today was the pits ! Forgive the rant...need sun to brain...
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Quoting TaylorSelseth:


The Day After Tommorrow is a direct rip-off of the kooky theories involving the Younger Dryas cold snap at the end of the ice age spouted by radio quack Art Bell. I hate the movie because it makes reasonable people concerned about global warming look like wackos!

If Climate History is any indication, a shutoff of the North Atlantic current will be really nasty for Europe, but it won;t cause a new ice age.
But it just might create a youngest dryas. Thats close enough.
http://researchnews.osu.edu/archive/5200event.htm <---A likely case of flash freezing. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/HurricaneKatrina/comment.html?entrynum=14
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/11/091130112421.htm
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Quoting MichaelSTL:


Uh, I don't know why you keep saying that; the Gulf Stream is totally overblown:

Climate mythology:
The Gulf Stream, European climate and Abrupt Change


Even a TOTAL collapse of THC, Gulf Stream and all (the THC is more than just the Gulf Stream), would only cause drastic cooling north of Europe, with lesser cooling across the North Atlantic - and none at all elsewhere:



In fact, if I read this right, they are subtracting a control run from the THC collapse run - so in fact most of the globe would actually warm(!), which of course makes sense because the heat is just redistributed. Just MAYBE a true ice age could be triggered if it occurred with the right conditions (low CO2 levels, near minimum of Milankovitch forcing - the current interglacial is expected to last about 50,000 years based on Milankovitch cycles alone - even if greenhouse gasses were at preindustrial levels).

The Day After Tomorrow is just overblown Hollywood fantasy based on a grain of truth, like most such movies.


The Day After Tommorrow is a direct rip-off of the kooky theories involving the Younger Dryas cold snap at the end of the ice age spouted by radio quack Art Bell. I hate the movie because it makes reasonable people concerned about global warming look like wackos!

If Climate History is any indication, a shutoff of the North Atlantic current will be really nasty for Europe, but it won;t cause a new ice age, especially because the rest of the world is warming rapidly from all the CO2.
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Quoting presslord:
“New Year's Day - Now is the accepted time to make your regular annual good resolutions. Next week you can begin paving hell with them as usual.”

Mark Twain

That's the truth. :0
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Quoting presslord:
“New Year's Day - Now is the accepted time to make your regular annual good resolutions. Next week you can begin paving hell with them as usual.”

Mark Twain





Nice! Some quotes stand the test of time.
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“New Year's Day - Now is the accepted time to make your regular annual good resolutions. Next week you can begin paving hell with them as usual.”

Mark Twain
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Quoting HurricaneKatrina:
http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9162.html
One of the founding fathers of climate sciences agrees with me.
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http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9162.html
One of the founding fathers of climate sciences agrees.
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Quoting presslord:
P. J. O'Rourke:
The proper behavior all through the holiday season is to be drunk. This drunkenness culminates on New Year's Eve, when you get so drunk you kiss the person you're married to.



LMAO. I love PJ. I've seen him many times on Bill Maher.
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Quoting MichaelSTL:


Uh, right...

Also, you post about some climate shift 5,200 years ago as if it means anything. Well, if there was a climate shift, it certainly was NOT an ice age, even if one region got much colder (other areas probably got hotter, as you can see here - see all of the colored lines? In fact, I bet I know which one it is - the light blue line that dips down in the middle; note also that the so-called "Little Ice Age" (mainly affecting Europe, as did the Medieval Warm Period around 1000 AD) around 500 years ago hardly makes a dent compared to a real ice age, which is about 6 degrees cooler than an interglacial):



What is UP with all of these people wishing for another ice age (some of the same people also claim that "warming is GOOD" and all of that - sounds like to me they just want the predictions of global warming to be wrong). They also need to see how a real,full-blown ice age begins - the warming from an ice age is often rapid, but the cooling is VERY slow. Also, ice ages didn't occur until the past million years or so. I think we can completely rule out another anytime soon:



(look at the last interglacial-ice age as well - it took only a few thousand years to reach its peak but almost 100,000 years to return to pre-interglacial levels; also, see here for how this relates to Milankovitch cycles, which by themselves can't cause such big temperature changes)

One last thing - yes, a shutdown in THC would have major impacts on global weather patterns, at least in the Northern Hemisphere (northern Europe might become unlivable due to the local cooling, or at least like northern Canada), probably adversely.
Ice ages occured before the last million years. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_age#Major_ice_ages million years. http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0130-11.htm Ice ages can and do begin abruptly. To tell the truth what we face is more of a younger dryas.
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By JILL ZEMAN BLEED, Associated Press Jill Zeman Bleed, Associated Press 2013 42 mins ago
LITTLE ROCK, Ark. 2013 Tornadoes fueled by unusually warm air pummeled the South and Midwest on Friday, killing at least six people and injuring dozens more across Arkansas, Missouri and Illinois. Forecasters said storms could hit along a stretch from near Chicago to New Orleans later in the evening as New Year's Eve celebrations begin.
Three people died in the northwestern Arkansas hamlet of Cincinnati when a tornado touched down just before sunrise, and three others died when a storm spawned by the same weather system ripped up the Missouri countryside near Rolla. A number of storms were also reported in the St. Louis area.
Storms later Friday knocked out power to more than 19,000 Mississippi residents, while broad swaths of Louisiana and Mississippi were under severe weather watches and warnings that threatened New Year's Eve revelry.

"It sucked me out of my house and carried me across the road and dropped me," Chris Sisemore of Cincinnati told The Associated Press on Friday. "I was Superman for a while. ... You're just free-floating through the air. Trees are knocking you and smacking you down."

Sisemore said he tried to crawl under his bed and cling to the carpet, fearful a nearby pecan tree would fall into his home. As he nursed cuts, scrapes and bruises to his arms, knees and back, he recalled opening his eyes as he flew because he didn't believe he'd see 2011.
"I wanted to see the end coming. You're only going to see it one time and I thought that was it," he said. "It takes more than a tornado to get me."
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9884
P. J. O'Rourke:
The proper behavior all through the holiday season is to be drunk. This drunkenness culminates on New Year's Eve, when you get so drunk you kiss the person you're married to.
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Quoting presslord:
New Year's Resolution: To tolerate fools more gladly, provided this does not encourage them to take up more of my time...
You have much patience my dear friend. And, in case you don't, invest. Happy New Year!
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Quoting PcolaDan:


Screaming like a little girl the first landing is not cool. ;)


dude...that is entirely possible...
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Quoting presslord:
any words of wisdom will be greatly appreciated...


Screaming like a little girl the first landing is not cool. ;)
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
New Year's Resolution: To tolerate fools more gladly, provided this does not encourage them to take up more of my time...
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Quoting Patrap:
Lub scaring da French anyday
Patrap, How are you doing ole friend?
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Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9884
Quoting presslord:
any words of wisdom will be greatly appreciated...



Catch the 3rd wire. Otherwise the AB will have your butt. lol
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Nice, Pat! That never gets old.


Dang Press, 16. Too cool!
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Lub scaring da French anyday
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any words of wisdom will be greatly appreciated...

..Always Land Long
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Quoting Patrap:
Look ,,over dere !


Wow!
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any words of wisdom will be greatly appreciated...
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Look ,,over dere !
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Quoting PSLFLCaneVet:


My best wishes for your training! I'll be pleased to go up with you, if I have the chance.


Thanks!!! My 19 year old son finally shamed me into it...he soloed at 16....I'm actually lookin' forward to it...
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Quoting presslord:


I'm gonna start flying lessons in 2 weeks...would love to do some work with those folks at some point...


My best wishes for your training! I'll be pleased to go up with you, if I have the chance.
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Boy, I really miss Guy Lombardo on New Year's. Happy New Year to you all. Here is a little Irish blessing for the blog.

"May the hinges of our friendship
never grow rusty"

(And may we all have a trolless year.)

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Quoting PSLFLCaneVet:





Don't know if you saw my comment, earlier.

Good evening, my friend. I did some business with Missionary Flights, today. Heard some wrenching stuff. Very sad!


I'm gonna start flying lessons in 2 weeks...would love to do some work with those folks at some point...
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Quoting MichaelSTL:


Uh, I don't know why you keep saying that; the Gulf Stream is totally overblown:

Climate mythology:
The Gulf Stream, European climate and Abrupt Change


Even a TOTAL collapse of THC, Gulf Stream and all (the THC is more than just the Gulf Stream), would only cause drastic cooling north of Europe, with lesser cooling across the North Atlantic - and none at all elsewhere:



In fact, if I read this right, they are subtracting a control run from the THC collapse run - so in fact most of the globe would actually warm(!), which of course makes sense because the heat is just redistributed. Just MAYBE a true ice age could be triggered if it occurred with the right conditions (low CO2 levels, near minimum of Milankovitch forcing - the current interglacial is expected to last about 50,000 years based on Milankovitch cycles alone - even if greenhouse gasses were at preindustrial levels).

The Day After Tomorrow is just overblown Hollywood fantasy based on a grain of truth, like most such movies.
Those studies are old. I have an entire collection of links on my blog. Come with an open mind. :) http://www.wunderground.com/blog/HurricaneKatrina/comment.html?entrynum=14
That figure is from the met office. They predicted a mild winter for the UK the last 2 years. They have instead got record cold. Not to mention the barbecue summer forecasts. http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/jim-dale-why-the-met-office-got-it-wrong-ndash-aga in-1863054.html

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1202982/Met-Office-left-red-faced-Britains-forecast-barbecu e-summer-turns-washout.html

If they forecast something you can bet the opposite will happen!

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Quoting presslord:


yet another great reason not to visit Mexico...





Don't know if you saw my comment, earlier.

Good evening, my friend. I did some business with Missionary Flights, today. Heard some wrenching stuff. Very sad!
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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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