Hurricane season draws to a close

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:01 PM GMT on November 29, 2010

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November 30 marks the final day of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season--a strange and highly active season. While it was an exceptionally active year, with 19 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes, deaths and damages were far below what one would expect from so much activity. To me, this year is most memorable for what didn't happen--we did not get a full fledged hurricane rip through the Deepwater Horizon oil spill, nor did a devastating hurricane cause massive loss of life in Haiti's vulnerable earthquake zone. However, two hurricanes from this year are virtually certain to get their names retired--Tomas and Igor--and two other storms that did billions of damage to Mexico, Karl and Alex, are likely to have their names retired, as well.

The 19 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes were 198%, 203%, and 217% of the 1950-2000 average for named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes, respectively. The nineteen named storms ties 2010 with 1995 and 1887 for 3rd place for most number of named storms in an Atlantic hurricane season. Only 2005 (28 named storms) and 1933 (21 named storms) were busier (Atlantic hurricane records go back to 1851, though there were likely many missed named storms prior to the beginning of satellite coverage in the mid-1960s.) This year also featured twelve hurricanes, tying 2010 with 1969 for second place for most hurricanes in a season. The record is held by 2005 with fifteen hurricanes. The five major hurricanes this year puts us in a tie for ninth place for most major hurricanes in a season. This year's Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index was 163, putting it in 13th place for ACE since 1944. A "hyperactive" hurricane season is considered to have an ACE index of >175% of the median. According to Wikipedia, median ACE measured over the period 1951–2000 for the Atlantic basin was 87.5, so 2010 is a hyperactive year by that definition (183% of the median.)



Friendly steering currents for the U.S.
As active as the 2010 season was, only one weak tropical storm made a direct landfall on the U.S. (Tropical Storm Bonnie, which hit South Florida in August as minimal tropical storm with 40 mph winds.) During the 15-year active hurricane period from 1995 - 2009, 33% of all named storms in the Atlantic hit the U.S., and 30% of all Atlantic hurricanes hit the U.S. at hurricane strength. Thus, the U.S. should have expected the landfall of six named storms, four of them being hurricanes, and two being intense hurricanes. So, the U.S. really lucked out this year. For comparison, here's how the U.S. fared in the four other hurricane seasons as busy or more busy:

2005: 28 storms, 7 hit the U.S. (5 were hurricanes, and 4 of those major hurricanes)
1933: 21 storms, 7 hit the U.S. (5 were hurricanes, and 3 of those were major hurricanes)
1995: 19 storms, 5 hit the U.S. (2 were hurricanes, and 1 was major)
1887: 19 storms, 5 hit the U.S. (3 were hurricanes, no majors)

We had twelve hurricanes in the Atlantic in 2010, yet none of them struck the U.S. Since 1900 there is no precedent of an Atlantic hurricane season with ten or more hurricanes where none has struck the U.S. as a hurricane. The eleven previous seasons with ten or more hurricanes--1870, 1878, 1886, 1893, 1916, 1933, 1950, 1969, 1995, 1998, and 2005--each had at least two hurricane strikes on the U.S. Since hurricane Ike (2008), there have been eighteen consecutive non US-landfalling hurricanes. Such a sequence last happened between Irene (1999) and Lili (2002), with 22 consecutive non US-landfalling hurricanes, and between Allen (1980) and Alicia (1983) with seventeen consecutive non US-landfalling hurricanes (thanks go to Adam Lea of tropicalstormrisk.com for these stats.)

No major Category 3 and stronger hurricanes have hit the U.S. since Hurricane Wilma of 2005. This is just the third such major hurricane drought since 1851. The other two such 5-year major hurricane droughts were 1901 - 1905 and 1910 - 1914. Also, 2010 is the only year besides 1951 when there have been five major hurricanes in the Atlantic, and none have hit the U.S. (1958 is also listed as such a year, but preliminary results from a re-analysis effort shows that Hurricane Helene hit North Carolina as a major hurricane that year.) There has never been a six year period without a U.S. major hurricane landfall.

The reason the U.S. got so lucky--and that Canada and Mexico took a much more severe beating than usual--was that the Azores/Bermuda high was farther east than usual, and there were more strong troughs of low pressure over the U.S. East Coast than usual. In addition, there was stronger high pressure than usual over the U.S. Gulf Coast, which deflected Caribbean storms into Mexico.

Intense hurricanes in unprecedented locations
Another remarkable feature of this year was that we saw three major hurricanes in rare or unprecedented locations. Julia was the easternmost major hurricane on record, Karl was the southernmost major hurricane on record in the Gulf of Mexico, and Earl was the 4th strongest hurricane so far north. This unusual major hurricane activity is likely due, in part, to the record tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures this year. Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic from the Caribbean to the coast of Africa were at their warmest levels on record for almost the entire year.

Rare simultaneous hurricane occurrences and activity levels
On September 16, there were three simultaneous hurricanes--Karl, Igor, and Julia--in the Atlantic. According to Phil Klotzbach at Colorado State, three simultaneous Atlantic hurricanes is a rare phenomena, having occurred only eight other times since 1851. The other years were 1893, 1926, 1950, 1961, 1967, 1980, 1995, and 1998. Two of those years--1998 and 1893--had four simultaneous hurricanes.


Figure 2. Triple trouble: From left to right, Hurricanes Karl, Igor, and Julia roil the Atlantic. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

On September 15, Hurricane Julia and Hurricane Igor were both Category 4 storms. This was just the second time in recorded history that two simultaneous Category 4 or stronger storms have occurred in the Atlantic. The only other occurrence was on 06 UTC September 16, 1926, when the Great Miami Hurricane and Hurricane Four were both Category 4 storms for a six-hour period. The were also two years, 1999 and 1958, when we missed having two simultaneous Category 4 hurricanes by six hours. The four Category 4 storms in 2010 makes this year tied for third place for most Category 4+ storms in a year. Only two other seasons have had as many as five Category 4 or stronger storms (2005 and 1999). This year is also holds the record for the earliest a fourth Category 4 or stronger storm has formed (though the fourth Category 4 of 1999, Hurricane Gert, formed just 3 hours later on September 15 in 1999.) We also had four Cat 4+ storms in just twenty days, which beat the previous record for shortest time span for four Cat 4+ storms to appear. The previous record was 1999--24 days. Eleven named storms formed between August 22 and September 29. This is the most named storms to form during this period, breaking the old record of nine named storms set in 1933, 1949, 1984 and 2002 (thanks go to Phil Klotzbach of CSU for the last two stats.)

Rare activity levels
Five hurricanes formed during the month of October. Only 1870 (six hurricanes) and 1950 (five hurricanes) have had five or more October hurricanes. We also had four Cat 4+ storms in just twenty days, which beat the previous record for shortest time span for four Cat 4+ storms to appear. The previous record was 1999--24 days. Eleven named storms formed between August 22 and September 29. This is the most named storms to form during this period, breaking the old record of nine named storms set in 1933, 1949, 1984 and 2002 (thanks go to Phil Klotzbach of CSU for the last two stats.)

Hurricane Alex
Hurricane Alex had the highest sustained winds (100 mph) of any June hurricane since Hurricane Alma of 1966 (125 mph.)

Hurricane Earl
As Hurricane Earl approached North Carolina on September 2, its 140 mph winds made it the fourth strongest Atlantic hurricane on record so far north. Only Hurricane Esther of 1961, Hurricane Connie of 1955, and Hurricane Two of 1922 had stronger winds at a more northerly latitude.


Figure 2. Hurricane Earl as seen from the International Space Station on Thursday, September 2, 2010. Image credit: NASA astronaut Douglas Wheelock.

Hurricane Igor: Newfoundland's worst hurricane in memory
Igor killed one person on Newfoundland, and damage exceeded $100 million, making Igor the most damaging tropical cyclone in Newfoundland history. A summary of the impact of Igor prepared by Environment Canada put it this way:

"Hurricane Igor and its severe impacts certainly represent a rare event in Newfoundland history which has been described as the worst in memory. In statistical terms, this was effectively a 50 - 100 year event depending on how one chooses to define it. There are no hurricanes/post tropical events of this magnitude striking Newfoundland in the modern era. Hurricane Juan in Nova Scotia was the last Atlantic Canadian hurricane to cause extreme damage. Prior to the naming of hurricanes, the 1935 Newfoundland Hurricane 75 years ago was of similar intensity."


Figure 3. A ravine carved by Hurricane Igor's flood waters washed out the Trans-Canada Highway, isolating Southeast Newfoundland from the rest of the province. Image credit: CBC News.

Hurricane Julia: strongest hurricane so far east
Hurricane Julia put on a remarkable and unexpected burst of intensification to become the season's fourth Category 4 storm. Julia's 135 mph winds made it the strongest hurricane on record so far east; the previous record was held by the eighth storm of 1926, which was only a 120 mph Category 3 hurricane at Julia's longitude. Julia's intensification was a surprise, since SSTs in the region were about 27.5°C, which is just 1°C above the threshold needed to sustain a Category 1 hurricane.

Hurricane Karl: strongest hurricane ever in the Bay of Campeche
Hurricane Karl was the first major hurricane on record in the Gulf of Mexico's Bay of Campeche--the region bounded by the Yucatan Peninsula on the east. There were two other major hurricanes that grazed the northern edge of the Bay of Campeche, Hurricane Hilda of 1955 and Hurricane Charley of 1951, but Karl is by far the farthest south a major hurricane has been in the Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane records go back to 1851, but Karl was a small storm and could have gotten missed as being a major hurricane before the age of aircraft reconnaissance (1945). Flooding from Karl caused an estimated $5.6 billion in damage to Mexico, making Karl this year's most damaging storm.


Figure 4. Tracks of all major hurricanes since 1851 near Mexico's Bay of Campeche. Karl is most southerly storm on record in the Gulf of Mexico. Image credit: NOAA Coastal Services Center.

Hurricane Paula sets a rapid intensification record
Hurricane Paula, the 16th named storm and 9th hurricane of the season, set a modern record for the fastest intensification from the issuance of the first advisory to hurricane strength. Paula reached hurricane strength just twelve hours after the first advisory was issued. Since reliable record keeping of intensification rates of Atlantic hurricanes began in 1970, when regular satellite coverage became available, no storm has ever intensified into a hurricane that quickly. Hurricane Humberto of 2007 held the previous record for fastest intensification from first advisory issued to hurricane strength--18 hours. However, there is one caveat to keep in mind. It is likely that when the final Atlantic hurricane data base (HURDAT) is constructed, Paula will be recognized as having been a tropical depression 3 - 9 hours before the first advisory was issued. Thus, it may turn out that Paula will be recognized as intensifying from first advisory to a hurricane in eighteen hours, tying Humberto's record. There have been six storms that accomplished the feat in 24 hours.

Hurricane Tomas
The formation of Tomas so far south and east so late in the season (October 29) is unprecedented in the historical record; no named storm has ever been present east of the Lesser Antilles (61.5°W) and south of 12°N latitude so late in the year. Hurricane Six of 1896 came close--it was also a tropical storm south of 12°N and east of 61.5°W on October 29, but nine hours earlier in the day. That storm recurved to the north and missed the Lesser Antilles. Tomas' track through the southern Lesser Antilles so late in the year is unprecedented. Another unusual aspect of Tomas' formation is that we had simultaneous hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean on October 30--Tomas and Shary. There has been only one hurricane season since 1851 that had two simultaneous hurricanes later in the year--1932, when Hurricane Ten and Hurricane Eleven both existed November 7 - 10. Tomas was the 6th deadliest late-season Atlantic hurricane on record, and its preliminary death toll of 31 - 41 makes it the deadliest storm of the 2010 season. Tomas killed at least nine people and did at least $100 million in damage to St. Lucia, making it that island's second most damaging storm on record.


Figure 5. This landslide on St. Lucia after Tomas destroyed an art studio located just below the white car, killing several people. Image credit: Bernd Rac, Anse Chastanet.

Pre-season forecasts do well
Phil Klotzbach and Bill Gray of CSU have a more in-depth summary of this year's hurricane season. Kudos to them and all the other seasonal forecasting groups, whose forecasts of an exceptionally active Atlantic hurricane season were spot-on. CSU will make their first forecast for the 2011 hurricane season on Wednesday, December 12.

Jeff Masters

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It won't snow here, at least not all the way down to the water. Defuniak maybe...and it'll cause all 7 traffic lights to blink leading to total chaos...
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even though it is nowhere near as bad as haiti latin america is deforested of their giant trees. there is growth but those big ones take along time to grow back
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Quoting PensacolaDoug:
RE 302

Deep south Gulf Coast snow threat?
Hmmm....


It snows... your going to get blamed. I hear that BF has setup a hunting party.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
315. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
DEPRESSION TROPICALE 02-20102011
16:00 PM Réunion November 30 2010
=======================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 02R (998 hPa) located at 13.3S 85.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving south southeast at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.5/D0.5/24H

Near Gale-Force Winds
======================
350 NM from the center in the southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 13.9S 85.9E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
24 HRS: 14.5S 86.5E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modereé)
48 HRS: 15.9S 89.2E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
72 HRS: 17.9S 92.8E - 25 knots (Depression Extratropicale)

Additional Information
======================

Last satellite imagery shows that low level circulation center is now totally exposed east of deep convection. Despite of the pulse of convection of the last night, the system is suffering of a temperately increase of vertical wind shear and durnal effect.

The system should remain in a low steering flow during the next 12-24 hours and most guidance suggest globally a southeastward drift. After that, the system should be caught within a westerly steering flow south of the low to mid level equatorial ridge and north of an upper to mid level mid-latitude trough. Consequently, it should accelerate on an east southeasterly track.

The intensity forecast is not changed still showing a 24-36 hours window for intensification as the system should be under light shear. The shear should build back and a weakening trend is forecast.
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For West Palm Beach:

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RE 302

Deep south Gulf Coast snow threat?
Hmmm....
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Good morning all! The "Official" burning of the Hurricane warning flag will be held today in Key West. I guess that makes it official. The season is over....just as we are watching an area in the caribbean. Thank goodness for these fronts pushing through, protecting the conus. Have a great day and stay safe!
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310. MTWX
Good morning everyone! WOW was that intense last night! We had 3 seperate tornado producing storm pass near us within an hour timespan! Looks to be continuing today. Everyone stay informed and safe!
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Good Morning. Gonna be a rough ride for the SE later today as the sun heats up the air before the frontal passage. Really impressive how the squall line is now spanning from LA all the way up, and several States, towards the NE.
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Complete Update





Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 800 AM CST
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spring we got to do winter first then severe then spring
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 173 Comments: 54283
Just 182 days, 10 hours, and 58 minutes until hurricane season 2011 gets underway. Works for me; the sooner this winter stuff goes away, the better. I'll just have to take consolation in the fact that the winter solstice is only three weeks away, after which the days start getting longer once again (that is, for those of us in the NH).

Hurry up, Spring!
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13549
Miami NWS Discussion:

EVEN LOOKING AHEAD TO NEXT WEEK...MODELS SHOW THIS COOL PATTERN
CONTINUING...POSSIBLY EVEN "COLD" BY WED OR THU OF NEXT WEEK IF
MODELS VERIFY. HIGH UNCERTAINTY THIS FAR OUT BUT SOMETHING TO
MONITOR AS WE ENTER INTO THE POSSIBLE SOUTH FL FREEZE SEASON.

Link
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NEXRAD Radar
New Orleans, Base Reflectivity 0.50 Degree Elevation Range 124 NMI

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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans la
406 am CST Tuesday Nov 30 2010


Short term...
no need stating the obvious. After the cold front moves through
temperatures will fall into the 50s before the day is done. High pressure
will move in with the core topping the area as well. Freezing
temperatures will be found mainly over the northern half of the area.

Wind
speeds should remain around 5 knots for those areas and 10 knots
or better for the remainder. The highs core moves over Wednesday night
keeping freezing temperatures in the fcast. The high remains anchored
over the north central Gulf Coast through Sat before moving east
as another strong cold front moves through Tuesday. This is where
things get interesting...depending on which global solution you
like.


Both the Euro and the North American suites are initializing very
well. Therefore...must go with experience as we approach the end
of the 7th day going into the 8th day. Both global models dig an
upper Great Lakes trough but they differ in their handling of the
upper cut off low out of the Pacific through the SW. The GFS
erodes the low while the Euro keeps it in tact. The in tact
scenario seems to be more likely since the upper low is moving to
the south side of a large upper high. The upper lows would be
moving through temperatures that are warmer than its core which would
cause it to stay together as it moves east. It would then open up
to the upper trough over the Great Lakes since the temperature structure
between them will be of little difference. This is the Euro
scenario. Now comes the big problem...both models bring a cold air
mass over the deep south with a frontal passage on Tuesday. If
this upper low stays in tact...which it should...a strong Gulf low
will begin to develop. This will sling an abundance of moisture
back over this cold air by Tuesday night into Wednesday. Obviously...timing
and a bunch of other things can and probably will change with this
but it is something that we will have to be wary of as we get
into next week.
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look at all those paths conus was lucky this yr
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Thanks Doc,,and all others,,,for keeping all informed on this season,,,have a good rest everyone!!!
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I know people are all hyped-up about the thunderstorms right now, but what about the prospects for SNOW in the south next week? YAY?
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Thanks to the Doc and everyone else for all the storm information and predictions and discussions as well even if it was a bit "hyperactive" at times..

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Hi All.. just stopping by for the Grand Finale.

So the Hyper active people were right. I had expected way more activity early in the season back in May and June even. But activity was certainly made up late season. Luckily not a lot of massive devastation
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296. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
18:00 PM FST November 30 2010
==============================

At 06:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 01F (1000 hPa) located at 24.0S 180.0 is reported as moving southeast at 5 knots. Position poor based on multispectral infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 28C.

Organization has not improved in the last 24 hours. Convection remains persistent in the southeast sector of the system, but has not increased much in the past 24 hours. Cyclonic circulation is from surface to 500 HPA. System lies in a moderately sheared environment.

Global models has picked up the system and are slowly moving it in the southward direction with little intensification.

The potential for tropical depression 01F to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains LOW.
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Quoting greentortuloni:
I wonder if this would work here... I know, I know pots and kettles..


My reaction: wut
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 582 Comments: 20773
I wonder if this would work here... I know, I know pots and kettles..
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293. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
DEPRESSION TROPICALE 02-20102011
10:00 AM Réunion November 30 2010
=======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 02R (997 hPa) located at 12.6S 85.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving south at 3 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24H

Near Gale-Force Winds
======================
350 NM from the center in the southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 13.2S 86.0E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modereé)
24 HRS: 13.9S 86.6E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modereé)
48 HRS: 15.2S 88.8E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modereé)
72 HRS: 17.1S 92.4E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)

Additional Information
======================

Last satellite imagery shows that low level circulation center is always well east from deep convection

The system should remain in a low steering flow during the next 24 hours and most guidance suggest a southward drift. After that, the system should be catch within a westerly sheering flow south of the low to mid level equatorial ridge and north of an upper to mid level mid-latitude trough. Consequently it should accelerate on an east southeasterly track.

The intensity forecast is not changed still show a 36 hours window for intensification as the system should be under light shear. Then shear should build back and a weakening trend forecast.
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Quoting tornadodude:


yeah, looks decently impressive, I love tracking severe weather, and I am glad to help warn people.



odds are tho that these will track south of you


Looks like its building and coming this way to me...its 65 here, 89% humidity and baro 29.2
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Quoting EYEStoSEA:


Geezz...I see that now.......was just beginning to relax.......thanks( I think) Tdude..........you've been on top of it all day...appreciate that!


yeah, looks decently impressive, I love tracking severe weather, and I am glad to help warn people.



odds are tho that these will track south of you
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Quoting tornadodude:


another storm is headed your way


Geezz...I see that now.......was just beginning to relax.......thanks( I think) Tdude..........you've been on top of it all day...appreciate that!
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Quoting EYEStoSEA:
about 25mi southeast jackson


another storm is headed your way
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about 25mi southeast jackson
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Quoting EYEStoSEA:
Very eery how similar the tornado tract tonight in Yazoo City was to the April EF 4. Started in the Eagle Bend area,,,progressed ne to Yazoo city and then onward to Attala Co.......just as before. It will be tomorrow before size, damage and injuries can be assessed. Things seemed to have calmed down somewhat here in the central area now....just lots of rain,wind and power outages....


Where in MS do you live?
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 582 Comments: 20773
so many warned storms right now,

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
EASTERN MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 1230 AM CST

* AT 1151 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
AMORY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO AMORY.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR ABERDEEN LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.HEAVY RAINFALL MAY HIDE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

.THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A STORM SHELTER. IF NO
STORM SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

.TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.



LAT...LON 3387 8859 3436 8816 3419 8817 3375 8824
3374 8831 3371 8833 3368 8844
TIME...MOT...LOC 0551Z 218DEG 41KT 3390 8843




741
WFUS54 KJAN 300546
TORJAN
LAC029-MSC001-300630-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0073.101130T0546Z-101130T0630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1146 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN CONCORDIA PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHERN ADAMS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 1230 AM CST

* AT 1146 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF BLACK HAWK MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SLOCUM BY 1155 PM CST...
DEER PARK BY 1205 AM CST...
SIBLEY BY 1215 AM CST...
KINGSTON BY 1225 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CST TUESDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.



LAT...LON 3104 9164 3106 9172 3114 9172 3121 9168
3123 9178 3155 9146 3137 9122 3137 9132
3133 9138 3131 9146 3123 9149 3124 9156
3122 9159 3112 9161 3105 9155 3098 9166
TIME...MOT...LOC 0546Z 234DEG 42KT 3112 9168



COHEN




287
WFUS54 KBMX 300544
TORBMX
ALC075-107-300630-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0064.101130T0544Z-101130T0630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1144 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN LAMAR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1230 AM CST

* AT 1141 PM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW HOPE...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBUS...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILLPORT...VERNON...ETHELSVILLE...KENNEDY...FOREST...MELBORNE...
SHAW...STAR...HIGHTOGY AND CODY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.



TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758 begin_of_the_skype_highlighting 1-800-856-0758 end_of_the_skype_highlighting.

LAT...LON 3380 8824 3376 8795 3354 8795 3335 8822
3337 8830
TIME...MOT...LOC 0544Z 216DEG 44KT 3342 8827



17/KLAWS




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Very eery how similar the tornado tract tonight in Yazoo City was to the April EF 4. Started in the Eagle Bend area,,,progressed ne to Yazoo city and then onward to Attala Co.......just as before. It will be tomorrow before size, damage and injuries can be assessed. Things seemed to have calmed down somewhat here in the central area now....just lots of rain,wind and power outages....
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Quoting hcubed:


Wonder how much of the infrastructure got rebuilt from the last storms.


Actually, I was just down there in late October (right around the time Richard formed, to be exact). Downtown was pretty much entirely rebuilt, with the only noticeable damage being several miles outside downtown, near the outskirts.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 582 Comments: 20773
Quoting KoritheMan:


Aye.

Central Mississippi tends to get struck by tornadic activity quite often, but rarely does the same exact area get struck with more than a single tornado in a given year.


Wonder how much of the infrastructure got rebuilt from the last storms.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hcubed:


This is their second severe hit of the year, isn't it?


Aye.

Central Mississippi tends to get struck by tornadic activity quite often, but rarely does the same exact area get struck with more than a single tornado in a given year.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 582 Comments: 20773
Quoting tornadodude:
dont know if this was posted yet or not, but Yazoo City got hit again today..


11/29/2010 0808 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Damage to the courthouse roof in downtown and a large
tree down next to the courthouse. Widespread debris in
the area.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Additional strucural damage reported in Yazoo City with
numerous large Oak trees snapped and uprooted. Power
lines also reported down along Center Ridge Road.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Power lines... trees... and widespread power outages are
reported within Yazoo City. Will update further with
additional information.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by Emergency Mngr.


Structural and tree damage reported in Yazoo City,
unknown magnitude known at this time and will update.


This is their second severe hit of the year, isn't it?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
276. Skyepony (Mod)
Looks chaotic from the recent storms & with some still without power it is about to get really cold in the UK.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 172 Comments: 38119
significant damage to downtown area of Yazoo City...schools, courthouse,businesses..ect...Tornado moved on northeastward to Attala.Co....much damage with injuries.....numbers later
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting scott39:
Will that line whip its tail towards the Coast of MS/Al/Fl? It looks like its moving NE.


not really too sure right now


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting tornadodude:
dont know if this was posted yet or not, but Yazoo City got hit again today..


11/29/2010 0808 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Damage to the courthouse roof in downtown and a large
tree down next to the courthouse. Widespread debris in
the area.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Additional strucural damage reported in Yazoo City with
numerous large Oak trees snapped and uprooted. Power
lines also reported down along Center Ridge Road.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Power lines... trees... and widespread power outages are
reported within Yazoo City. Will update further with
additional information.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by Emergency Mngr.


Structural and tree damage reported in Yazoo City,
unknown magnitude known at this time and will update.
Will that line whip its tail towards the Coast of MS/Al/Fl? It looks like its moving NE.
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 6858
dont know if this was posted yet or not, but Yazoo City got hit again today..


11/29/2010 0808 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Damage to the courthouse roof in downtown and a large
tree down next to the courthouse. Widespread debris in
the area.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Additional strucural damage reported in Yazoo City with
numerous large Oak trees snapped and uprooted. Power
lines also reported down along Center Ridge Road.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by amateur radio.


Power lines... trees... and widespread power outages are
reported within Yazoo City. Will update further with
additional information.





11/29/2010 0810 PM

Yazoo City, Yazoo County.

Tornado, reported by Emergency Mngr.


Structural and tree damage reported in Yazoo City,
unknown magnitude known at this time and will update.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting scott39:
You CANNOT legislate the greed of people in power! Even if you and all the other scientists are right about GW, men in power will not give in to the needs of the Earth. NEVER!! They will use it up first. This is a sad fact.


Like you said Sad but that is the truth 100+
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9821

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.