Forecast for the winter of 2010 - 2011

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:38 PM GMT on November 24, 2010

Share this Blog
3
+

Meteorological winter officially begins on December 1, but winter has begun a week early across much of North America, thanks to a significant cold blast that has broken dozens of daily low temperature records across much of western Canada and the Western U.S. Sheridan, Wyoming set a new record for the date this morning with -17°F, and Oakland California had its coldest November 24th with a reading of 34°F this morning. The cold blast is expected to be short-lived, though, with near-average conditions returning by the weekend. The long-range 1 - 2 week forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models do not show the jet stream getting "stuck" in place for the beginning of meteorological winter next week, and it appears that the first two weeks of winter will be rather ordinary.


Figure 1. Forecast temperature and precipitation for the U.S. for the upcoming winter, as predicted by NOAA.

Latest winter forecast from NOAA
We currently have moderate La Niña conditions over the tropical Pacific ocean, which means that a large region of cooler than average waters exists along the Equator from the coast of South America to the Date Line. Cooler than average waters in this location tend to deflect the jet stream such that the Pacific Northwest experiences cooler and wetter winters than average, while the southern U.S. sees warmer and drier winter weather. NOAA's forecast for the upcoming winter issued on October 21 calls for a typical La Niña winter over the U.S.--warm and dry over the southern portion of the country, cool and wet over the Pacific Northwest, warmer and wetter than average over the Ohio Valley, and near average over the remainder of the country. According to NOAA's latest La Niña discussion, La Niña is expected to remain solidly entrenched throughout the coming winter and into spring.


Figure 2. Observed temperature and precipitation departures from average for the last three winters with a La Niña in the "moderate" or "strong" category. The current La Niña is right at the borderline between "moderate" and "strong." The anomaly patterns from the past three La Niña winters were dominated by the winter of 1999 - 2000, which was the warmest winter in U.S. history, and 1998 - 1999, which was the 2nd warmest in U.S. history. Image credit: NOAA/ESRL.

What happened during the last three La Niña winters?
The last three winters with moderate to strong La Niña conditions occurred in 2007 - 2008, 1999 - 2000, and 1998 - 1999. These winters were extremely variable. The most recent La Niña winter, in 2007 - 2008, was near average in temperature and precipitation; the other two winters were the two warmest winters in U.S. history. The winter of 1998 - 1999 set a world record for the greatest seasonal snowfall in history, when a seemingly endless parade of winter storms across the Pacific Northwest left an astonishing 1,140 inches (95 feet) of snow at Mt. Baker in northwestern Washington. It's worth noting that two of these three La Niña winters (2007 - 2008 and 1998 - 1999) saw record levels of tornado activity. Of the three winters, I believe that the winter of 2007 - 2008 may be the best historical analogue for the coming winter, since Arctic sea ice loss, which can significantly affect winter weather, was most similar to the conditions observed this year.

A look back at the winter of 2007 - 2008
The La Niña winter of 2007 - 2008 started slowly, but ended up piling up quite a bit of snow across much of the U.S. New York experienced its wettest winter on record, and Colorado, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, and Vermont had their second wettest winter on record. As is typical during a La Niña winter, Texas was drier than normal, but the rest of the south had near-average precipitation.

According to The Northern Tier Rules: The 2007-2008 Snow Report by David Robinson, Weatherwise, Mar-Apr 2009, eleven major cities reported more than 125 percent of average snowfall. This compares with only three in 2006-2007, and was the most since thirteen cities in 2003-2004.

Record high snow seasons occurred in Madison, Wisconsin (101.4 inches, previous record of 76.1 inches in 1978-1979); Youngstown, Ohio (102.8 inches, previous record of 90.2 inches in 2005-2006); and Caribou, Maine (197.8 inches, previous record of 181.1 inches in 1954-1955). Two stations came very close to establishing seasonal seasonal records; Spokane, Washington, 92.6", 0.9" below the 1949-1950 record, and Flint, Michigan, 82.8", just 0.1" below the record set in 1974-1975.


Figure 3. Snowfall totals for the winter of 2007 - 2008. Image credit: The Northern Tier Rules: The 2007-2008 Snow Report by David Robinson, Weatherwise, Mar-Apr 2009.

Wildcard number 1: What will the NAO do?
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a climate pattern in the North Atlantic Ocean of fluctuations in the difference of sea-level pressure between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High. It is one of oldest known climate oscillations--seafaring Scandinavians described the pattern several centuries ago. Through east-west oscillation motions of the Icelandic Low and the Azores High,the NAO controls the strength and direction of westerly winds and storm tracks across the North Atlantic. A large difference in the pressure between Iceland and the Azores (positive NAO) leads to increased westerly winds and mild and wet winters in Europe. Positive NAO conditions also cause the Icelandic Low to draw a stronger south-westerly flow of air over eastern North America, preventing Arctic air from plunging southward. In contrast, if the difference in sea-level pressure between Iceland and the Azores is small (negative NAO), westerly winds are suppressed, allowing Arctic air to spill southwards into eastern North America more readily. Negative NAO winters tend to bring cold winters to Europe, and the prevailing storm track moves south towards the Mediterranean Sea. This brings increased storm activity and rainfall to southern Europe and North Africa.

The winter of 2009 - 2010 had the most extreme negative NAO since record keeping began in 1950. The NAO index was -1.67, beating the previous record of -1.47 set in the winter of 1962 - 1963. The record negative NAO was responsible for unusual cold weather and snows over Eastern North America and Europe, and resulted in an upside-down winter: coldest in 25 years in the U.S., and warmest on record in Canada, with snow needing to be trucked in for the Winter Olympics in Vancouver. This "Warm Arctic-Cold Continents pattern" had occurred previously only three times in the past 160 years. If a strong negative NAO establishes itself this winter, we could have a winter like 1995 - 1996, which featured a weak La Niña and a strongly negative NAO. That winter featured many cold air outbreaks across the Eastern U.S., resulting in fifteen major cities setting new all-time seasonal snowfall total, including 75.6" at New York City's Central Park. Unfortunately, the NAO is not predictable more than about two weeks in advance.

Wildcard number 2: How will Arctic sea ice loss affect the winter?
NOAA issued their annual Arctic Report Card last month, and discussed the fact that recent record sea ice loss in the summer in the Arctic is having major impacts on winter weather over the continents of the Northern Hemisphere. The Report Card states, "There continues to be significant excess heat storage in the Arctic Ocean at the end of summer due to continued near-record sea ice loss. There is evidence that the effect of higher air temperatures in the lower Arctic atmosphere in fall is contributing to changes in the atmospheric circulation in both the Arctic and northern mid-latitudes. Winter 2009-2010 showed a new connectivity between mid-latitude extreme cold and snowy weather events and changes in the wind patterns of the Arctic; the so-called Warm Arctic-Cold Continents pattern...With future loss of sea ice, such conditions as winter 2009-2010 could happen more often. Thus we have a potential climate change paradox. Rather than a general warming everywhere, the loss of sea ice and a warmer Arctic can increase the impact of the Arctic on lower latitudes, bringing colder weather to southern locations." As a specific example of what the Report Card is talking about, Francis et al. (2009) found that during 1979 - 2006, years that had unusually low summertime Arctic sea ice had a 10 - 20% reduction in the temperature difference between the Equator and North Pole. This resulted in a weaker jet stream with slower winds that lasted a full six months, through fall and winter. The weaker jet caused a weaker Aleutian Low and Icelandic Low during the winter, resulting in a more negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), allowing cold air to spill out of the Arctic and into Europe and the Eastern U.S. Thus, Arctic sea ice loss may have been partially responsible for the record negative NAO observed during the winter of 2009 - 2010, and the emergence of the "Warm Arctic-Cold Continents pattern." This pattern is kind of like leaving the refrigerator door ajar--the refrigerator warm up, but all the cold air spills out into the house. If the Arctic Report Card is right, we'll be seeing more of this pattern during coming winters--possibly even during the winter of 2010 - 2011.

Summary
I'm often asked by friends and neighbors what my forecast for the coming winter is. My reply is usually, "Flip a coin. We don't have the capability to make very skillful predictions of the coming winter." I'll share with you my hunch for this winter, though--we are due for a rather ordinary La Niña winter like we had in 2007 - 2008. After a year of some extraordinary extreme weather, we are overdue for a relatively quiet season or two of weather.

For more information
Golden Gate Weather has a nice set of imagery showing historic La Niña winter impacts, based on whether it was a "weak", "moderate", or "strong" event.

Francis, J. A., W. Chan, D. J. Leathers, J. R. Miller, and D. E. Veron, 2009: Winter northern hemisphere weather patterns remember summer Arctic sea-ice extent. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L07503, doi:10.1029/2009GL037274.

Honda, M., J. Inoue, and S. Yamane, 2009: Influence of low Arctic sea-ice minima on anomalously cold Eurasian winters. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L08707, doi:10.1029/2008GL037079.

Overland, J. E., and M. Wang, 2010: Large-scale atmospheric circulation changes associated with the recent loss of Arctic sea ice. Tellus, 62A, 1.9.

Petoukhov, V., and V. Semenov, 2010: A link between reduced Barents-Kara sea ice and cold winter extremes over northern continents. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., ISSN 0148-0227.

Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura, M. Ting, and N. Naik (2010), Northern Hemisphere winter snow anomalies: ENSO, NAO and the winter of 2009/10, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L14703, doi:10.1029/2010GL043830.

Next post
Thanksgiving break is at hand, and I plan to spend it enjoying family and friends, eating far too much delicious food, and watching the invincible juggernaut that is my favorite football team, the Detroit Lions, demolish yet another hapless opponent on Thanksgiving Day (not!) I'm also looking forward to seeing the season's first snowflakes here in Michigan on Friday--winter has been late arriving here this year. I'll be back with a new post on Monday. Have a great Thanksgiving, everyone!

Jeff Masters

Nice hat (mefechter)
The snow just keeps on coming.
Nice hat
Snow Drifts (funhawg)
Blizzard made strange designs on Boone Creek, these are around 6 feet high.
Snow Drifts

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 249 - 199

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19Blog Index

Quoting hydrus:
This blog is available to the whole world..Yet it can go without one post for hours at a time. I know, I know.....Its a holiday......And no invests,.....And no storms.....WWWHHHHHAAAAA !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!jk...:)


Yeah, but we are still watching you. LOL

Hope your Thanksgiving was a good one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
This blog is available to the whole world..Yet it can go without one post for hours at a time. I know, I know.....Its a holiday......And no invests,.....And no storms.....WWWHHHHHAAAAA !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!jk...:)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Orcasystems:
Complete Update





I wouldn't be surprised to see a system form in December but I think the chances are low.look at all the dry air,and shear out their.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
<
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting seflagamma:
...and I declare 'Cane season is OVER!

I doubt it. But whether it is or isn't: as of this writing, there are 186 days, 6 hours, and 49 minutes until hurricane season 2011 officially begins... ;-)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hello to you all

Dr Masters, WU STaff and all the friends who post here..

Happy Day After Thanksgiving to you all.
and Now the Holidays will begin!

Take care,
Gamma


and I declare 'Cane season is OVER!


glitter graphics
Free Glitter Graphics, Good Day Glitter Graphics
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
243. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01F
0:00 AM FST November 27 2010
=========================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN FORCE FOR FIJI.

A STRONG WIND WARNING IS REMAINS FORCE FOR FIJI.

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 01F (1003 hPa) located at 16.1S 171.4E is reported as moving east-southeast at 8 knots. Position POOR based on multispectral infrared imagery with animation and surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Organization has slightly improved in the last 12 hours. Convection has slightly increased in the past 24 hours. Cyclonic circulation from surface to 500 HPA. System lies to the east of an upper trough and along a surface trough in a low to moderate sheared environment.

Most global models has picked up the system and moves it southeastward with some intensification.

The potential for Tropical Depression 01F to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 24-48 hours remains MODERATE TO HIGH.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting saltydog1111:
hey guys/gals... having a brain fart....has there been any gulf canes the last 2 yrs????

Thankfully, no :O)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting DDR:
Hey bordo,appearently the itcz think's we're a toilet bowl,rain by the buckets here.
Some communities are devastated,many people are displaced,terrible times ahead for many.

I am sorry, I pray and hope your proud island nation is spared any significant damage :O)

Wanna trade, the GFS is calling for a ice/snowstorm on 12-8-10 for North Texas :O)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
12Z run continues the BIG SNOW threat for TX on 12/8/2010 @ 6 AM CST:O)




Member Since: Posts: Comments:
239. DDR
Hey bordo,appearently the itcz think's we're a toilet bowl,rain by the buckets here.
Some communities are devastated,many people are displaced,terrible times ahead for many.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Orcasystems:


You might get the snow you wished for :)

I know..You have already had snow twice!!

Would you like a warming trend, or a blizzard??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
hey guys/gals... having a brain fart....has there been any gulf canes the last 2 yrs????
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
236. DDR
Edited
Over 3 inches of rain since 8 am this morning

communities under water still.

Met office warns again

FLOOD CONCERNS ARE CURRENT DUE TO PERIOD OF
RAIN/SHOWERS OVER TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO TODAY


Following a timely respite to allow river outflows
and flood retreat, rainfall activity in connection
with a mildly re-energized Inter-Tropical
Convergence Zone (ITCZ) has once again resumed.
These bouts of rain/showers over both Trinidad
and Tobago are expected to last into the
afternoon hours of today and produce between 25
to 35 millimeters of rainfall. So far the
northeast sector of Trinidad has received the
heavier downpours.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Hey Bord! The "Arctic Hounds" get released for the "deep south" all the way to the coast if ya buy the 06Z run of the the GFS at 288 hrs.

I'll believe it when I see it.


You might get the snow you wished for :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Complete Update





Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Hey Bord! The "Arctic Hounds" get released for the "deep south" all the way to the coast if ya buy the 06Z run of the the GFS at 288 hrs.

I'll believe it when I see it.

The GFS handled the current Arctic outbreak remarkably well, this is WHY I am concerned!!

The last 8 model runs have been indicating a major Arctic intrusion for the US during the 12/7-8 time frame.

They differ as to WHO gets it. Rest assured the Northern Plains and the Upper Midwest will get hammered either way!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hey Bord! The "Arctic Hounds" get released for the "deep south" all the way to the coast if ya buy the 06Z run of the the GFS at 288 hrs.

I'll believe it when I see it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good Morning. It's all gloomy outside. Different to yesterday.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good Morning all...

I bet alot of bloggers are at stores right now...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
229. DDR
It's raining again in Trinidad
We are most likely in for a repeat of Tuesdays devastating floods.Copious amounts of rain since last night
Trinidad radar...Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good morning from the DFW Metroplex in North Texas.

A southwesterly flow aloft from behind the Arctic front is spreading mid level clouds with sprinkles and sleet near Waco, TX at 5:30AM this morning.

The official reporting station, the DFW AP has not hit freezing this morning, however areas of the western Metroplex have been between 29-32F this morning.

Nonetheless, this is a HUGE change from the 84F temps of Wednesday afternoon.

By the way the 06Z GFS run hints of a major Arctic outbreak for most of the US around 12/7-9..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
227. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
209. pcola57 6:06 AM GMT on November 26, 2010:

Please accecpt my waywardness to my point in my note to you..got a kidney stone..again and it won't let me sleep..sorry hear about the hard freeze for ya.


ugh. I hate kidneys stones. Good thing is you can get them to pass quickly if you drank nothing but water and cranberry juice.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
226. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Levi

ya Fiji had this system monitored before JTWC even.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
225. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01F
18:00 PM FST November 26 2010
=========================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 01F (1003 hPa) located at 16.0S 170.8E is reported as moving slowly. Position POOR based on multispectral infrared imagery with animation and surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has not improved in the last 12 hours. Convection was restricted on the eastern flank of the system buts has not increased in the past 12 hours. Cyclonic circulation is from surface to 500 HPA. System lies to the east of an upper trough and along a surface trough in a moderately sheared environment.

Most global models has picked up the system and moves it east southeastward over the next 24-48 hours with some intensification.

The potential for Tropical Depression 01F to develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 24-48 hours remains MODERATE TO HIGH.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting xcool:
heyyyyyyyyyyyy


Ditto. This place is pretty quiet now. L8r...
Member Since: September 21, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690
223. xcool
heyyyyyyyyyyyy
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting traumaboyy:
Happy Late Thanksgiving Gang 66.4 here right now!!


Hey, hope you had a good one and didn't have to work it.
Member Since: September 21, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690
Happy Late Thanksgiving Gang 66.4 here right now!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
Well it's back down to 9 now so yuck-it-up funny boy! At least the wind quit blowing. It is supposed to be near 30 by Saturday which is more seasonable for here.


Read it and weep, Spuds.



But I'll be cold the next few nights anyway, it's all relative.
Member Since: September 21, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690
Quoting DontAnnoyMe:


Can't beat that. Glad you're hehe warming up. It was 54 all day here, now it's up to 58! Silly warm fronts.
Well it's back down to 9 now so yuck-it-up funny boy! At least the wind quit blowing. It is supposed to be near 30 by Saturday which is more seasonable for here.
Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5236
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
Yeah my wife, sis and Mom are all good cooks. I just now had room for a piece of pecan pie lol.


Can't beat that. Glad you're hehe warming up. It was 54 all day here, now it's up to 58! Silly warm fronts.
Member Since: September 21, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690
Quoting DontAnnoyMe:


Nope, had none. It's a tradition for us. Did some chicken in the clay pot though, with homemade cranberry sauce. Close enough. I hear you kinda overdid it ;-)
Yeah my wife, sis and Mom are all good cooks. I just now had room for a piece of pecan pie lol.
Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5236
Quoting PrivateIdaho:

Did you get enough turkey?


Nope, had none. It's a tradition for us. Did some chicken in the clay pot though, with homemade cranberry sauce. Close enough. I hear you kinda overdid it ;-)
Member Since: September 21, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690

Pats will be a tough out for sure.
Quoting DontAnnoyMe:


Hey, nobody's beating my Patriots this year. Exc. maybe those pesky Jets. OTOH, everybody's beating my Panthers...

Did you get enough turkey?
Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5236


PhotobucketI decided to go around.
Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5236
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
Yikes! That makes me hurt just thinking about it. Drink lots of water and take it easy.

I am getting it to move...lots of water has done it..very uncomfortable right now though.gonna sit back and lurk for awhile though.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
I think the Saints are finally getting back to the form they had last year and will be a force in the play-offs. Down one for me at Jerry's!


Hey, nobody's beating my Patriots this year. Exc. maybe those pesky Jets. OTOH, everybody's beating my Panthers...
Member Since: September 21, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690
Quoting pcola57:

Please accecpt my waywardness to my point in my note to you..got a kidney stone..again and it won't let me sleep..sorry hear about the hard freeze for ya.
Yikes! That makes me hurt just thinking about it. Drink lots of water and take it easy.
Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5236
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
My turkey-dulled senses are having a hard time deciphering this but I will pretend you said "did that big storm hit you?"....we got pounded with about 8" of snow and winds sustained at 35 gusting to 48. Closed down everything for part of Monday, all day Tuesday and into Wednesday. Wind finally quit late Wednesday night.

Please accecpt my waywardness to my point in my note to you..got a kidney stone..again and it won't let me sleep..sorry hear about the hard freeze for ya.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:
Fiji Meteorological Services


TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT IS NOW IN FORCE FOR FIJI.

A STRONG WIND WARNING IS NOW IN FORCE FOR FIJI.


A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01F CENTER (1003 HPA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S 170.3E OR ABOUT 1050 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NADI AT 3 PM FST, TODAY.

POSITION POOR.

THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 15 KM/HR. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND POSSIBLY BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 36 TO 42 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK, IF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, IT MAY BRING DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN PARTS OF FIJI BY LATER
SUNDAY


About time they picked up on that one...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
We Dat.

Looking to return in Feb to Jerry's Place for Lombardi Gras Part Deux
I think the Saints are finally getting back to the form they had last year and will be a force in the play-offs. Down one for me at Jerry's!
Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5236
94W Rainbow

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128259
Quoting pcola57:

Hey PrivateIdaho, warming up bit for you,been chilly your way.Did that high pressure develop it's blocking effect and help you guy's there out during the effects of that super barclonic low that developed in the Gulf of Akaska from last week in the Gulf of Alaska that develop? Sure hope so.
My turkey-dulled senses are having a hard time deciphering this but I will pretend you said "did that big storm hit you?"....we got pounded with about 8" of snow and winds sustained at 35 gusting to 48. Closed down everything for part of Monday, all day Tuesday and into Wednesday. Wind finally quit late Wednesday night.
Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5236
204. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services


TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT IS NOW IN FORCE FOR FIJI.

A STRONG WIND WARNING IS NOW IN FORCE FOR FIJI.


A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01F CENTER (1003 HPA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S 170.3E OR ABOUT 1050 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NADI AT 3 PM FST, TODAY.

POSITION POOR.

THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 15 KM/HR. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND POSSIBLY BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 36 TO 42 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK, IF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, IT MAY BRING DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN PARTS OF FIJI BY LATER
SUNDAY
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
We Dat.

Looking to return in Feb to Jerry's Place for Lombardi Gras Part Deux
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128259
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
Finally warming up a little around here.

Pocatello, Pocatello Regional Airport
Last Update on 25 Nov 21:53 MST


Overcast

11°F
(-12°C) Humidity: 76 %
Wind Speed: NNE 7 MPH

Barometer: 30.41 in (1037.10 mb)
Dewpoint: 5°F (-15°C)
Wind Chill: 0°F (-18°C)
Visibility: 10.00 Miles



Hey PrivateIdaho, warming up bit for you,been chilly your way.Did that high pressure develop it's blocking effect and help you guy's there out during the effects of that super barclonic low that developed in the Gulf of Akaska from last week in the Gulf of Alaska that develop? Sure hope so.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
Saints 30

Dallas 27

FINAL
Who Dat?
Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5236
Saints 30

Dallas 27

FINAL
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128259
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
Be careful Pat! Those conditions can cause chapped lips in only 20 or 30 minutes!


Not if Im inside the Local Pub and using the proper imbibing liquid as I plan to do tomorrow watching Football.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128259

Viewing: 249 - 199

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.