Tomas nearly dead; Haiti deals with Tomas' floods

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:50 PM GMT on November 07, 2010

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Tropical Storm Tomas is merging with a cold front over the open Atlantic Ocean and has only a few more hours of life as a tropical cyclone. Despite bringing heavy rains of 4 - 8 inches to highly vulnerable Haiti on Friday, flooding from the storm is only being blamed for eight deaths in the country. Haiti has thankfully avoided a flooding catastrophe, and it certainly could have gone far worse for Haiti. Much weaker storms than Tomas have claimed thousands of lives, and Tomas could easily have done so had it taken a slightly different track. Still, Tomas' passage caused plenty of flooding damage in Haiti. The heavy rains and floods from the storm will also worsen the country's cholera epidemic, which has already claimed over 500 lives. Cholera is a spread via contaminated water, and Tomas' rains will cause a great deal of water contamination. Portlight.org has their mobile kitchen on the scene and is assessing needs. As reported by Rudy Victor in the Portlight.org blog, "Reports coming from the countryside are not good. Thank God its not what we're afraid of, but lots of damage. Leogane a city west of Port-au-Prince is inundated, cities along the extreme southwestern peninsula have suffered great damage by the seas; lots of small fishermen's houses are gone. Dame Marie, Anse d'Hainault, Les Irois, Chambellan, and lots more have been severely damaged by storm surge and raging waves. Gonaives is flooded since last night; luckily there are not reports yet of casualties there. Most people fled to higher ground before the storm. A lot of roads in the south west are destroyed, lots of harvest in the south are lost, and it's another terrible blow for this country, but it appears that there was not a lot of death due to the storm."


Figure 1. Morning afternoon satellite image of Tomas shows that the storm has lost almost all of its heavy thunderstorms, and is now embedded in a cold front that extends northwards to Nova Scotia, Canada. Moisture streaming northwards from Tomas along this front has brought heavy rains in excess of six inches to Nova Scotia over the past few two days.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting surfmom:
...ain't nothing better then see that map swirl-less

I'll have to disagree with you on that. The reason I'm even on this site is my fascination with all weather, of course, but tropical cyclones in particular. I love watching them form; I enjoy testing my (admittedly minimal) hurricane forecasting skills; I admire the awesome sight of an Igor thrashing away at peak somewhere over the open water; I like to spend spare hours crunching the seasonal stats. And, I'll openly admit, there's always a bit of a letdown for me as each season winds down (as they always do); much as I like weather, I get little enjoyment out of watching a cold, cyclone-less Atlantic.

Now, my attitude doesn't in any way imply that I wish to see landfalling storms, especially in populated areas, and even more so in impoverished populated areas. Been there, done that, helped clean up the mess--and more than once. I suppose some on here do want to see them, and that's their prerogative, but it's not a mindset I happen to share.

Here's a rough analogy, but I think it works: some people watch Formula I racing because they want to see teams with superior driving skills and outstanding craftsmanship go head to head in a contest to see who's best. Others watch simply because they want to see fiery crashes with death and destruction. Being a part of the former group--as I am--doesn't necessarily imply I'm a part of the latter...and being letdown when race season ends doesn't mean that, either.

Having said all that: just 204 days, 14 hours, and 40 minutes until hurricane season 2011 gets underway... ;-)
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
I want that low to keep moving inland... get all the way over to central NY
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281. IKE
Quoting surfmom:
Morning ALL - just check those Aerial Pics of Haiti (thanks JF - post 267) Geeze, talk about a breeding ground for disease -- poor Haiti-- nothing short of Living Hell - they are still paying the price for Colonialism - when the French insisted they pay off their debts b/4 they could use whatever money they had for education you gotta wonder....

heading off to work -- cooler temps in SWFL equal FRISKY YOUNG HORSES -- wonder what they will teach me today : )

IKE - in TOTAL agreement - ain't nothing better then see that map swirl-less


I'll 2nd those thoughts.

Have a nice day!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
Morning ALL - just check those Aerial Pics of Haiti (thanks JF - post 267) Geeze, talk about a breeding ground for disease -- poor Haiti-- nothing short of Living Hell - they are still paying the price for Colonialism - when the French insisted they pay off their debts b/4 they could use whatever money they had for education you gotta wonder....

heading off to work -- cooler temps in SWFL equal FRISKY YOUNG HORSES -- wonder what they will teach me today : )

IKE - in TOTAL agreement - ain't nothing better then see that map swirl-less
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not sure about tropical weather but the island weather is perfect cool in the morning beautiful all day.
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yes remembercleo it may very well be there is a good upper level anticyclone on top of it and also has good 850 vort and stacked with 700 and 500 mb but weaker and got good Upper Divergence and Lower Convergence also has weak steering so yes it need to be watched closely
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276. IKE
So nice to read....

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST MON NOV 8 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN



Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
Very lopsided temperatures in the US again; the east is still in the cooler, while the west is in the hotbox, neither for the first time this fall--or, judging by long-term forecasts, the last.

Unseasonable cold is relegated to areas east of the Mississippi, where 26 record lows have been set in the past 24 hours, A few examples: Three Rivers, Michigan, tied its old record of 19; it reached 50 in Ft. Lauderdale, a new record beating the old one by a single degree; the 27 in Greenville, Alabama, tied an old record; and right here in Naples, we tied a 56-year-old record for the date of 48.

It's a different story, however, out west, where 43 record highs were set yesterday. Normally cold, snowy, and windswept by now, it was 77 in Colstrip, Montana; 80 in Mullen, Nebraska; 79 in Lakewood, Colorado; and even a balmy 65 in Tower Falls, Wyoming--which lies within the confines of Yellowstone National Park. Very strange, indeed...

The blob of warm air in the west will be moving eastward, with highs throughout the central plains and midwest today forecast to be well above average in spots; in parts of South Dakota, for examples, temps are predicted to run 25 or more degrees above average. It'll be much cooler west of the Rockies, however, with some areas 15 to 20 degrees below normal, while back east a few lingering pockets of cool will remain, with the deep southeast expected to stay a bit below normal for the day. For the coming week, it's expected to be pretty cold throughout most of the US, especially in the west and southwest, though the northeast is forecast to be unseasonably warm. Finally, for the entire month of November, the west and north central parts of the country are expected to be very warm, and no part of the country is expected to be cold overall.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
12n/70w
low pressure area visible along Venezuela nw coast... to be 22L?
Member Since: November 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 103
273. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #30
DEPRESSION, FORMER JAL (BOB05-2010)
8:30 AM IST November 8 2010
==========================================

At 3:00 AM UTC, Depression, Former Jal over Rayalaseema & neighbourhood moved northwestwards and lays centered over Rayalaseema, or about 50 km northeast of Anantapur.

It would move northwestwards and weaken further gradually.
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272. xcool


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271. xcool
buzzz
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Quoting JFLORIDA:
Aerial Views of Haiti the Day After Hurricane Tomas


That's bad news. Water not that deep, but appears to be little or no drainage exc. for the last pic.
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Here's something from a lurker:

Think Chris Rock/Richard Pryor

http://stuffwhitepeoplelike.com/full-list-of-stuff-white-people-like/ and,

http://www.poodwaddle.com/worldclock.swf

Just for fun, although the latter site is a bit sobering.

Love this blog and I see things are calming down a bit. My thoughts go out to those affected by flooding in Haiti and the Antilles islands.

Peace, out.
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Pocatello, Pocatello Regional Airport
Last Update on 07 Nov 20:53 MST


Lt Rain

47°F
(8°C) Humidity: 76 %
Wind Speed: S 3 MPH

Barometer: 29.87 in (1010.50 mb)
Dewpoint: 40°F (4°C)
Visibility: 10.00 Miles
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:


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Yep, starting to warm up :(
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So long Tomas and so long 2010 season!
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howdy lol

decent weather?
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Hey dude
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Quoting remembercleo:
time to take a break??


take 5.. months or so ha
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time to take a break??
Member Since: November 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 103
Brutal

Augusta State Airport
Lat: 44.32 Lon: -69.8 Elev: 350
Last Update on Nov 7, 10:53 pm EST

Heavy Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy

35 °F
(2 °C)
Humidity: 93 %
Wind Speed: N 21 G 36 MPH
Barometer: 29.82" (1010.3 mb)
Dewpoint: 33 °F (1 °C)
Wind Chill: 24 °F (-4 °C)
Visibility: 3.00 mi.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1113 PM EST SUN NOV 7 2010

MAZ004-012-026-NHZ015-081215-
/O.EXA.KBOX.WW.Y.0012.101108T0800Z-101108T1600Z/
NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARRE...FITCHBURG...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...AYER...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE
1113 PM EST SUN NOV 7 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 11 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING
RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 11 AM EST MONDAY.

THE ADVISORY NOW INCLUDES THE WORCESTER HILLS AND MONADNOCKS IN
WESTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY.

A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION SHORTLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL BE ADDED TO THE MIX TOWARD
DAYBREAK. FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW AND ICE IS EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING.
SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE AN INCH OR TWO...WITH GLAZE AMOUNTS LESS
THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. THESE CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS DURING THE MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SNOW AND/OR ICE IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE AFFECTED AREAS...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. ANY SNOW OR ICE WOULD MAKE DRIVING AND
WALKING DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE...ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS
AND SIDEWALKS. WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW FREEZING...MOTORISTS
NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE
SLIPPERY SPOTS CAN EASILY DEVELOP.

&&

$$

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it's 38 degrees in Tallahassee Florida, and 45 degrees here in Washington Indiana

Lawrenceville-Vincennes Intl Airport
Lat: 38.76 Lon: -87.6 Elev: 430
Last Update on Nov 7, 9:53 pm CST

Fair

45 °F
(7 °C)
Humidity: 48 %
Wind Speed: S 6 MPH
Barometer: 30.15" (1020.9 mb)
Dewpoint: 26 °F (-3 °C)
Wind Chill: 42 °F (6 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.



Tallahassee Regional Airport
Lat: 30.4 Lon: -84.35 Elev: 69
Last Update on Nov 7, 10:53 pm EST

Fair

38 °F
(3 °C)
Humidity: 83 %
Wind Speed: Calm
Barometer: 30.27" (1024.8 mb)
Dewpoint: 33 °F (1 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
255. JRRP
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6213
dead blog, that's for sure



the radar nicely shows how far south this cold air goes
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Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882
Quoting DontAnnoyMe:


IMO there are several good reasons to ignore someone:

1. Trolls. If everyone ignores trolls they go away.
2. Irritants. If someone's irritating you and you ignore them, you don't get irritated any more. And you obviate the opportunity to aggravate the situation by giving it back to them.
3. To express and promote self-confidence and consideration, by being able to say "I don't care what you think" in a way that benefits the blog, not destroys it.

I think we all have our dislikes and disagreements, but you're right - there's no need to ignore everyone you don't like or agree with. Just a few certain ones.


Obviate = word of the day. Kudos!
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down right miserable

Augusta State Airport
Lat: 44.32 Lon: -69.8 Elev: 350
Last Update on Nov 7, 9:53 pm EST

Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy

35 F
(2 C)
Humidity: 89 %
Wind Speed: N 23 G 32 MPH
Barometer: 29.86" (1011.6 mb)
Dewpoint: 32 F (0 C)
Wind Chill: 23 F (-5 C)
Visibility: 4.00 mi.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
And On That Note. G'nite All! Probably won't be on for the next few days.
Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
2010 Hurricane Season In Review; A Storm Or Two Still Possible My Final Blog Post Of The Season, Unless Something Major Occurs Storm Wise. Check out my version of the season in review!


Liked that summary, though impressed with that big amount of casualties....
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
almost looks like a Nor' Easter or is it actually?


Im pretty sure by definition it is, but not a very impressive one, but there may be some significant rainfall across Maine.

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Quoting tornadodude:
almost looks like a Nor' Easter or is it actually?
Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
NWS INDY



A calm, clear night will prevail across Central Indiana as high pressure continues to influence the area. Overnight lows will be a tad warmer tonight though with readings in the low to mid 30s.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
384-hr Temperature forecast shows really cool weather for the United States. This is for 18Z, or 2:00 PM AST.

Temperatures at or below the freezing point cover most of the Northeast, and Great Lakes region.


compared to what the northeast and great lakes are getting right now, it's about the same. so it's more like a double dose. not something new
Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
384-hr Temperature forecast shows really cool weather for the United States. This is for 18Z, or 2:00 PM AST.

Temperatures at or below the freezing point cover most of the Northeast, and Great Lakes region.


Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32860
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882
Quoting tornadodude:
maybe some thoughts I can implement into my van


Well bad post I made....
I'm watching this video from Youtube.... The guy shows you how he prepared his van... Very informative....

Link
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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