Strengthening Tomas headed for the Lesser Antilles

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:27 AM GMT on October 30, 2010

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Tropical Storm Tomas has exploded into existence in spectacular fashion, becoming the nineteenth named storm of this amazingly active 2010 Atlantic hurricane season. I'm reporting to you live from the National Hurricane Center tonight, where forecasters are working hard to stay abreast of Tomas' intensification. Three hurricane specialists are on duty tonight--Dave Roberts, who is handling Tropical Storm Shary, and Robbie Berg and Dan Brown, who are focusing on Tomas. The Hurricane Hunters have just left Tomas, as of 8pm EDT, and they found a significant increase in winds. Winds at their 1500 foot flight level were 70 mph, and surface winds as measured by the SFMR instrument were near 60 mph. This supports an increase in Tomas' winds to 60 mph in tonight's 8pm EDT public advisory. Since this is such a large increase in intensity from what was forecast--Tomas was not supposed to have 60 mph winds for another 24 hours--this necessitates issuance of a special advisory package. A full set of forecast maps, a marine advisory, wind probability forecast, and a discussion just went out to the world. While all this was occurring, several phone calls to Barbados, St. Lucia, and Martinique were made, alerting the islands to the fact that a Hurricane Warning may be required with the 11pm advisory tonight. NHC has both French speaking and Spanish speaking meteorologists on staff that can coordinate with the islands that don't have English as their main language. I listened in on a 5-minute conversation in French between the weather service in Martinique and NHC meteorologist Mike Tichacek, as they discussed when Martinique may want to issue a Hurricane Warning.


Figure 1. Warren VonWerne (right) of CARCAH presents the latest data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters to hurricane specialist Robbie Berg.

Intensity forecast for Tomas
The forecasters at NHC are puzzling over the latest intensity forecasts for Tomas. The latest intensity forecast from the GFDL, HWRF, and SHIPS models are not that impressive, and they keep Tomas as a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane for the next five days. The wind shear forecast from SHIPS is particularly odd--the latest 18Z forecast predicts high wind shear of 20+ knots beginning Sunday morning, and the previous SHIPS forecast held wind shear below 15 knots for the next five days. The latest runs by the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET models all show a very favorable environment for intensification over the next five days over the Caribbean, with Tomas positioning itself beneath an upper level high in a light wind shear environment. The best bet is that Tomas will intensify into a major hurricane over the Central Caribbean by early next week.


Figure 2. NHC meteorologist Mike Tichacek discusses the latest intensity forecast for Tomas with the Martinique weather service (in French.) In the background, hurricane specialist Dave Roberts works on advisories for Tropical Storm Shary.

Track forecast for Tomas
After Tomas reaches the central Caribbean 4 - 6 days from now, there are two possible track scenarios depicted by the models--a continued westerly motion towards Nicaragua, or a sharp turn to the north, with a track over Hispaniola or Puerto Rico. Steering currents will be weak, and we'll just have to wait and see how the steering currents evolve.

Tomas' formation location unprecedented this late in the season
Tomas' formation ties 2010 with 1995 and 1887 for 3rd place for most number of named storms in an Atlantic hurricane season. Only 2005 (28 named storms) and 1933 (21 named storms) were busier. Atlantic hurricane records go back to 1851, though there were likely many missed named storms prior to the beginning of satellite coverage in the mid-1960s.

The formation of a tropical storm so far south and east this late in the season is unprecedented in the historical record; no named storm has ever been present east of the Lesser Antilles (60°W) and south of 12°N latitude so late in the year. Hurricane Six of 1896 came close--it was also a tropical storm south of 12°N and east of 60°W on October 29, but nine hours earlier in the day. That storm recurved to the north and missed the Lesser Antilles. Tomas' track through the southern Lesser Antilles so late in the year is unprecedented. There have been only two other tropical storms that formed after October 15 south of 12°N and east of 60°W: Hurricane Jose, which was a tropical storm in that region on October 18, 1999, and Tropical Storm Nicolas, on October 16, 2003. Tomas most reminds me of Hurricane Joan of 1988, which was a tropical storm on October 14 near Tomas' current location, and later strengthened into a Category 4 hurricane that hit Nicaragua.

Another unusual aspect of Tomas' formation is that we now have two simultaneous named storms in the Atlantic Ocean on October 29. There have been only four hurricane seasons since 1851 that have had two simultaneous named storms later in the year. The record was set way back in 1887, when Hurricane Eighteen and Tropical Storm Nineteen were both active on December 8. There were three years that had simultaneous November named storms: 1932, 1961, and 2001.

Next update
I'll have more late Saturday morning.

Jeff Masters

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478. KoritheMan
7:43 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting thegoldenstrand:
Anyone buying almost all the models now turning Tomas into sharply to the north and northeast a couple days from now at 2AM EST update 10302010?

That would be great news for Belize and the Gulf, but... thinking it is not going to make that sharp right turn, especially if trough does not reach that far south to grab Tomas. and it should otherwise move more to the west.

Thoughts?


No immediate poleward movement is likely. Water vapor imagery shows the southward extension of a broad mid-oceanic trough is quickly retreating northeastward, which will allow for continued extension of the subtropical ridge to the north.

Granted, I highly doubt Tomas makes it all the way into the Gulf of Mexico, but it could easily reach the latitude of eastern Jamaica before making the recurvature.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 602 Comments: 21333
476. TomTaylor
7:32 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting nocaneindy:


Kinda what I think as well. We get to Virginie and Walter, then kinda got to stretch for a subtropical/tropical Alpha and so forth. But as 2010 has been strange, I'm a thinking we get it. My thoughts are 2 more in Nov, Virginie and Walter, then a rogue Alpha in Dec. Just my thoughts though, don't put a whole lot in em...


Yea, I agree with this prediction. Although our guesses are just about as good as nothing this far out, I still agree.

I don't think we will see any new named storms for the next week to week and a half. Then, after that, I'm of the thinking we will get 1 to 2 storms by the end of the first week of December. And maybe, just maybe, a rare mid to late December storm.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4358
475. thegoldenstrand
7:29 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Anyone buying almost all the models now turning Tomas into sharply to the north and northeast a couple days from now at 2AM EST update 10302010?

That would be great news for Belize and the Gulf, but... thinking it is not going to make that sharp right turn, especially if trough does not reach that far south to grab Tomas. and it should otherwise move more to the west.

Thoughts?
Member Since: August 16, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 111
474. ackee
7:27 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
I see models are into two camps once TS Tomas reach central carrbean NE turn camp or continue westrely track guess we see
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473. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:25 AM GMT on October 30, 2010


Tropical Low 01U (02S)
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472. nocaneindy
7:18 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting reedzone:


I'd be surprised if we do reach Alpha, but won't be surprised if we use up the last 2 names for next month, maybe December. Remember, this is La Nina, late season activity persists more.


Kinda what I think as well. We get to Virginie and Walter, then kinda got to stretch for a subtropical/tropical Alpha and so forth. But as 2010 has been strange, I'm a thinking we get it. My thoughts are 2 more in Nov, Virginie and Walter, then a rogue Alpha in Dec. Just my thoughts though, don't put a whole lot in em...
Member Since: September 21, 2007 Posts: 34 Comments: 515
471. brohavwx
7:18 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Visual check about 20 minutes ago saw low level clouds moving fast from NNE to SW/SSW, raining light to moderate with some gusty winds but not that high here in the south of the island at this time, but expect when it passes and coming of the coast it will be higher.

Pressure dropping. French radar looks like it is just ESE of here (Barbados) right now.
Member Since: June 3, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 64
470. thegoldenstrand
7:17 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Thinking true center is a little further south, still not perfectly stacked so subtract about .2 from visual to get the real center N imo. Thinking it will just be hitting 12.6 N and 59.1 W in the next half hour.
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469. nocaneindy
7:13 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting TomTaylor:



Absolutely. Idk if we will see another Hurricane. But another Tropical Storm is near 100% imo. I don't near anything as much as Levi does about reading the models and what it means for systems developing. But just looking at the SSTs in the Caribbean and heat content, I'd bet money we see another storm. And my prediction is we will see 2-3 more storms, 1 being a hurricane.


Well we see pretty much eye to eye! Heck, who can see what Levi does, other than himself. He called this a week or so ago, what else you gotta do to be a featured blogger?
Member Since: September 21, 2007 Posts: 34 Comments: 515
468. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:12 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Perth
Tropical Cyclone Advice #2
TROPICAL LOW 01U
3:00 PM WST October 30 2010
======================================

At 2:00 pm WST, Tropical Low (1002 hPa) located at 7.7S 96.0E or about 510 kms north of Cocos Island has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The low is reported as moving west at 3 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.5/24HRS

The low is forecast to develop into a tropical cyclone later today or early on Sunday. Although it is currently moving westwards, it is expected to take a southwards turn, and is likely to pass close to the Cocos Islands on Tuesday. Conditions are favourable for intensification and there is a significant risk that people on the Cocos Islands will experience VERY DESTRUCTIVE wind gusts.

Gales are not expected on the islands during Saturday or Sunday, but may develop on before sunrise on Monday as the system moves closer and intensifies. The period of greatest risk will commence on Monday evening, with the system likely to pass close to the islands during Tuesday.

Tropical Cyclone Watches
==========================
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.

Forecast and Intensity
======================
12 HRS: 8.0S 95.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 8.4S 95.1E - 55 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 9.8S 96.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3)
72 HRS: 11.7S 96.5E - 85 knots (CAT 3)

Additional Information
=======================
The system has significantly improved organization over the last 24 hours, despite continuing moderate shear. High SSTs are likely assisting the low to overcome the shear, and low to mid level curvature of the cloud lines has improved markedly in microwave imagery together with a consolidation of the central overcast.

Using a shear pattern consistently gives a DT of around T3.0 over the last 3 available images. The MET is at 3.0 based on a 24 hour trend of D+ and yesterdays assignment of T1.0 at 00Z. Pattern matching does not indicate any adjustment to the MET and hence both DT and MET are 3.0. There are FT constraints to assigning 3.0 hence FT and CI are set at 3.0. prevent a The will limit the FT to 2.5 and this is the assigned CI. The 0244Z ASCAT pass indicates 25-30 knots in the western semicircle, however given the previously reported low bias of ASCAT it is possible that winds in this region are 30-35 knots. The final wind intensity estimate is assigned at 30 knots. This system is considered to be very close to TC intensity and gales are likely to extend around the LLCC during the next diurnally favorable period overnight.

Shear conditions are forecast to become more favorable during Sunday and the system will remain over SST>28C. The mid latitude system passing to the south erodes the mid level ridge and results in a recurvature to the southeast during Sunday. This also brings the system under the ridge into light shear and by Sunday evening the system should be experiencing quite favorable conditions. The development of the system in the South China Sea should not be detrimental to this system so based on the expected conditions, and consistent with the trend in STIPS intensity guidance it is forecast to reach hurricane force on Monday.

The spread of model guidance indicates the Cocos Islands has a high risk of impact from hurricane force winds. As the system passes south of 12S the ocean heat content becomes marginal. The system is also likely to encounter more stable boundary layer air in the wake of the mid latitude system. Hence the system is expected to weaken as it moves off to the southwest on Wednesday.
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467. reedzone
7:11 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting nocaneindy:


Well Reed, Me, you and Tom seem to be all on here atm, and all seem to agree Tomas is a big problem. So aside from him, do you foresee any more systems this year? Levi heralded this as the possible grand finale, yet I still feel a storm or 3 before Jan 1st, with a cane in the cards still yet. Whats your take?


I'd be surprised if we do reach Alpha, but won't be surprised if we use up the last 2 names for next month, maybe December. Remember, this is La Nina, late season activity persists more.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7437
466. TomTaylor
7:10 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting nocaneindy:


Well Reed, Me, you and Tom seem to be all on here atm, and all seem to agree Tomas is a big problem. So aside from him, do you foresee any more systems this year? Levi heralded this as the possible grand finale, yet I still feel a storm or 3 before Jan 1st, with a cane in the cards still yet. Whats your take?



Absolutely. Idk if we will see another Hurricane. But another Tropical Storm is near 100% imo. I don't near anything as much as Levi does about reading the models and what it means for systems developing. But just looking at the SSTs in the Caribbean and heat content, I'd bet money we see another storm. And my prediction is we will see 2-3 more storms, 1 being a hurricane.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4358
465. reedzone
7:10 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting TomTaylor:


Then I see Tomas reaching cat 4. And if it stays west towards Nicaragua and away from the greater Antilles, I say cat 5.


We'll see :)
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464. TomTaylor
7:06 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting reedzone:


Shear isn't and will most likely not be a huge issue. The Anticyclone is still very close to the storm, which protects it from the upper level winds from tearing it apart. The wind shear to the NW is continuing to push to the west as the upper level high (anticyclone) pushes westward, along with Tomas. Shear should stay around 5-20 knots.


Then I see Tomas reaching cat 4. And if it stays west towards Nicaragua and away from the greater Antilles, I say cat 5.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4358
463. nocaneindy
7:06 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting reedzone:
I really see nothing stopping Tomas from strengthening. I can see a Major Hurricane in the Caribbean by Monday. This is not a wishcast, just going by the current pattern, which favors upper level ridging = strengthening. Amazing to think this is late October. Tomas should stear clear away from the USA.


Well Reed, Me, you and Tom seem to be all on here atm, and all seem to agree Tomas is a big problem. So aside from him, do you foresee any more systems this year? Levi heralded this as the possible grand finale, yet I still feel a storm or 3 before Jan 1st, with a cane in the cards still yet. Whats your take?
Member Since: September 21, 2007 Posts: 34 Comments: 515
462. HuracandelCaribe
7:05 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Member Since: August 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 134
461. reedzone
7:03 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting TomTaylor:


If Tomas stays course to the current track the NHC is giving (such that it won't be going over any large bodies of lang in the next 5 days), and sheer stays low, I see this being a cat 5.

Right now, wind sheer looks to be the only thing stopping it from cat 5. Water is ridiculously warm, heat potential is up there, moist air is across most the Caribbean.


Shear isn't and will most likely not be a huge issue. The Anticyclone is still very close to the storm, which protects it from the upper level winds from tearing it apart. The wind shear to the NW is continuing to push to the west as the upper level high (anticyclone) pushes westward, along with Tomas. Shear should stay around 5-20 knots.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7437
460. TomTaylor
7:00 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting reedzone:
I really see nothing stopping Tomas from strengthening. I can see a Major Hurricane in the Caribbean by Monday. This is not a wishcast, just going by the current pattern, which favors upper level ridging = strengthening. Amazing to think this is late October. Tomas should stear clear away from the USA.


If Tomas stays course to the current track the NHC is giving (such that it won't be going over any large bodies of lang in the next 5 days), and sheer stays low, I see this being a cat 5.

Right now, wind sheer looks to be the only thing stopping it from cat 5. Water is ridiculously warm, heat potential is up there, moist air is across most the Caribbean.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4358
459. nocaneindy
6:58 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
OHC for Tomas, Link
Quoting reedzone:
I really see nothing stopping Tomas from strengthening. I can see a Major Hurricane in the Caribbean by Monday. This is not a wishcast, just going by the current pattern, which favors upper level ridging = strengthening. Amazing to think this is late October. Tomas should stear clear away from the USA.



I got to agree with you! Tomas should get to major status by Monday, yet I still think R.I. could allow this to happen on Halloween! This afternoon and evening will tale the tape, imo.
Member Since: September 21, 2007 Posts: 34 Comments: 515
458. reedzone
6:55 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
I really see nothing stopping Tomas from strengthening. I can see a Major Hurricane in the Caribbean by Monday. This is not a wishcast, just going by the current pattern, which favors upper level ridging = strengthening. Amazing to think this is late October. Tomas should stear clear away from the USA.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7437
457. nocaneindy
6:51 AM GMT on October 30, 2010

Just learned today about all these neat enhancements and such from Cimss

Props to Dr. Masters for being chose on a perfect week for his assignment, I'd trade anything other than wife and kids for his past week!!
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456. HuracandelCaribe
6:37 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
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455. HuracandelCaribe
6:34 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
according to the radar Tomas is almost at 12.9n 59w
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454. HuracandelCaribe
6:32 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
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453. HuracandelCaribe
6:31 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
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452. jurakantaino
6:28 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
Quoting Outislander:

Jeff, please, all of the islands in the 'Eastern Caribbean', except Martinique and Guadeloupe being French, are English speaking and no need for Spanish at all, and we don't like being clumped in as 'Latin America'.

Thank you.


Dr. Masters was not referring to the "Eastern Caribbean" and also Cuba, the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico are part of the Caribbean. Aren't they Spanish speaking countries?
and and these island have the majority of the caribbean island population, 23 million people to SPANISH SPEACKING population
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451. aspectre
6:21 AM GMT on October 30, 2010
TropicalStormTomas's heading turned westward to (4.5degrees north of) West NorthWest
from its previous heading of (7.6degrees west of) NorthWest
TS.Tomas's average speed moving between its last 2 reported positions decreased to ~10mph(~16.1km/h) from its previous travel speed of ~22.7mph(~36.5km/h)
Invest91L
29Oct 06amGMT - - 9.3n53.7w - 30knots(~55.6km/h) - 1006mb - ATCF
TropicalDepression21
29Oct 12pmGMT - 10.0n55.3w - 30knots(~55.6km/h) - 1003mb - ATCF
TS.Thomas
29Oct 06pmGMT - 10.8n56.8w - 35knots(~64.8km/h) - - 998mb - ATCF
29Oct 09pmGMT - 11.1n57.5w - 40mph(~64.4km/h) - . - 998mb - NHC.Adv.#1
30Oct 12amGMT - 11.6n57.6w - 60mph(~96.6km/h) - . - 999mb - NHC.Adv.#2
30Oct 03amGMT - 12.2n58.4w - 65mph(~104.5km/h) - - 997mb - NHC.Adv.#3
30Oct 06amGMT - 12.4n58.8w - 65mph(~104.5km/h) - - 997mb - NHC.Adv.#3A

Copy&paste 9.3n53.7w, 10.0n55.3w, 10.8n56.8w-11.1n57.5w, 11.1n57.5w-11.6n57.6w, 11.6n57.6w-12.2n58.4w, 12.2n58.4w-12.4n58.8w, bla, fdf, 12.4n58.8w-13.51n61.05w into the GreatCircleMapper for a look at the headings and the distances traveled over the last 12^hours.

Using straightline projection upon the speed&heading averaged
over the 3hours spanning the last two reported positions:
~16&1/2 hours from now to passage between St.Vincent and St.Lucia
after passing ~18miles(~29kilometres)south of Barbados in ~5&1/2 hours

^ The westernmost line-segment is the straightline projection.
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hmmm Does this message board get jammed by too many people trying to post at once?
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449. Skyepony (Mod)
Barbados getting hit tonight. Leaving a weather station from there.

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conditions at barbados
2 AM (6) Oct 30 75 (24) 71 (22) 29.68 (1005) NE 30 rain with thunder
1 AM (5) Oct 30 75 (24) 71 (22) 29.74 (1007) ENE 38 rain with thunder
Midnight (4) Oct 30 75 (24) 71 (22) 29.77 (1008) ENE 25 rain with thunder
11 PM (3) Oct 29 75 (24) 73 (23) 29.77 (1008) ENE 24 rain with thunder
10 PM (2) Oct 29 78 (26) 73 (23) 29.80 (1009) NE 20 light rain
9 PM (1) Oct 29 77 (25) 73 (23) 29.80 (1009) ENE 18 light rain
8 PM (0) Oct 29 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) ENE 23 light rain
7 PM (23) Oct 29 75 (24) 71 (22) 29.80 (1009) E 35 light rain
6 PM (22) Oct 29 77 (25) 71 (22) 29.80 (1009) E 22 light rain
5 PM (21) Oct 29 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.77 (1008) ENE 21 light rain
4 PM (20) Oct 29 80 (27) 71 (22) 29.77 (1008) ENE 21 light rain
3 PM (19) Oct 29 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.77 (1008) ENE 22 showers in the vicinity
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Lemmie T are you in Barbados?
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Thanks gordydunnot, those baby Grenadines shouldn't be taking the full blast. The trouble is while is breathing a sigh of relief some other Island will be girding their loins. We don't want it but we don't wish it on any other Island either.... rock and the hard place.
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Quoting CaribBoy:
00Z HWRF

Still an outlier....


but is the one that has been correct until now
and is the only one that had a direct hit to Barbados
Member Since: August 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 134
Quoting Grenada:
Eerily still and quiet here in Grenada can I breathe a small sigh of relief yet or should I wait a while longer? From what I've heard St. Lucia are not too prepared for this.


I don't think anyone was quite ready for this. I certainly, although I knew a storm was coming, didn't expect this level of organization. Most people, unless you're an avid amateur met like us, didn't have a clue there was a storm 12 hours ago. Now we are getting wind gusts of 70mph+ and it's going downhill rapidly. Barbados, St.Lucia, Martinique, need to pay attention. I think Grenada has dodged a major bullet here, and God knows they needed that.
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Link
here is your answer Grenada
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00Z HWRF

Still an outlier....
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Same here goodnight all good luck Lesser Antilles.
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Good night to all..See ya in a few hours..
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Eerily still and quiet here in Grenada can I breathe a small sigh of relief yet or should I wait a while longer? From what I've heard St. Lucia are not too prepared for this.
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Two observations track looks dead on as usual, and storm is constantly getting more organized. hurricane in the morning I suspect.
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HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BARBADOS EARLY
SATURDAY AND WITHIN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
LATER SATURDAY MORNING.


Night All. My prayers to those in the path tonight.
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435. JLPR2
Good night all! Had a long day and my bed is calling :D

Here is Tomas and an area of disturbed weather in the CATL.
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38 sustained 58 gusts in the NW Quad. NE Quad is bringing some heat.
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433. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting TampaSpin:


Sky i realize that that larger storms always have a poleward pull to them.......i know that.


Granted the CMC will probably be 100+ nm off in 72hr but check out the model error on Tomas. Compare CMC, I have a hard time totally tossing the only one that has shown any skill. I hadn't realized how far OFCL was off, even Masters mentioned it.. that was by far their worst storm forecast all season..
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Quoting Skyepony:


Tomas is depicted really powerful by the CMC when the ridge breaks down, also shows a weak low sliding across the SE attracting it. Really strong hurricanes make their way north nearly all of the time, especially when they aren't trucking quick west already trapped when they explode. I'm temped to play the odds & say Belize, but then again it has shown too much north component. Tomas isn't one of the these little storms, it wants to get big & make it's way North.
The Doc mentioned that the models were bringing data to them that did not seem to apply with the current situation out there. This is were the experts knowledge and experience plays an important part. And they do have very impressive skills when it comes to making observations that can effect the strength and movement of the hurricanes.
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Well I see you guys later, I got chemistry class at 8 am tomorrow followed by lab and then lots of home work...

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.AND
TOMAS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
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At moment it looks like we will have a hurricane to watch soon. Where it blows... nobody knows.

A wise man once told me NEVER make predictions, but if you do make a WHOLE bunch of them.

I don't have a clue, but I have a friend that lives in Barbados, so I plan to watch this pretty closely tonight.

Mike
Member Since: August 16, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 111
BARBADOS RECENTLY REPORTED A 10-MINUTE WIND OF 38 MPH...61 KM/HR.
A WIND GUST TO 58 MPH...93 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON BARBADOS A
COUPLE OF HOURS AGO.
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