Little change to 99L, which remains very close to tropical depression status

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:11 PM GMT on October 20, 2010

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A tropical disturbance (Invest 99L) centered 160 miles southwest of the Cayman Islands is moving south to southeast at 5 - 10 mph. A Hurricane Hunter flight arrived in the storm at about 11am this morning, and found a closed circulation with top winds at flight level (700 feet) of 33 mph. A closed circulation and 30 mph surface winds are necessary conditions for a tropical depression to exist, but the storm must also have a great deal of heavy thunderstorm activity near the center that persists for many hours. In the judgment of NHC, 99L does not qualify as a tropical depression in that regard. The storm is bringing heavy rain to the Cayman Islands; 4.14" inches has fallen over the past 2 1/2 days at Savannah on Grand Cayman Island. Heavy rains have diminished over the Cayman Islands, but have spread to western Jamaica and west-central Cuba this afternoon. Recent satellite imagery shows that the surface circulation center is exposed to view, and 99L has a relatively meager amount of heavy thunderstorm activity. The center is more than 80 miles west of the heaviest thunderstorm activity, and it is likely that 99L's center will relocate itself to the east to be more underneath the heaviest thunderstorms. Wind shear is marginal for development, 15 - 20 knots, due to the clockwise flow of air around an upper-level high pressure system near the coast of Honduras. The high is bringing strong upper-level winds out of the southwest to 99L. Water vapor satellite loops show considerable dry air to the west and north of 99L, and the strong southwesterly winds over the storm are bringing some of this dry into into the core of the storm, keeping all the heavy thunderstorm development confined to the east side of the center. The waters beneath 99L are very warm, 29°C, but 99L will not be able to take advantage of these warm waters until the shear relaxes. A new hurricane hunter aircraft will be in the storm tonight near 8pm EDT.

Forecast for 99L
The current southward movement of 99L is carrying the storm into a region of lower wind shear, and we should see 99L accumulate more heavy thunderstorm activity near its center beginning tonight. The latest SHIPS model forecast predicts that wind shear over the Western Caribbean will decline below 15 knots Thursday afternoon through Saturday afternoon, which should allow the storm to become a tropical depression by Thursday. Steering currents will be weak today through Friday in the Western Caribbean, making it difficult to predict where 99L may go. The models are split into two camps, with the GFDL and HWRF models taking 99L to the west-northwest over the western tip of Cuba or the Yucatan Peninsula on Sunday as a hurricane. The rest of the models take 99L to the south over Honduras on Sunday, and keep the storm below hurricane strength. Given 99L's current southward motion and the possibility that the center will relocate farther to the east later today, this makes a track to the southwest towards Honduras more likely, I predict. NHC is giving 99L a 70% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Friday, which is a reasonable forecast. I expect this will become Tropical Storm Richard by Friday.


Figure 1. Afternoon satellite image of Invest 99L.

Death toll from Super Typhoon Megi in the Philippines remarkably low
The power is still out and communications are down over the majority of the northern portion of the Philippines' Luzon Island blasted by Typhoon Megi yesterday, so the full extent of the destruction wrought by the great storm is still unclear. However, the death toll from the great storm stands at only 19, reflecting the superior effort Philippines officials made to evacuate low-lying areas and get people out of locations prone to flash flooding and mudslides. Previous major typhoons to strike the Philippines have nearly always killed hundreds, and sometime thousands, so the preparation and evacuation efforts for Megi likely saved hundreds of lives. Megi hit Luzon on Monday morning at 3:30 UTC as a Category 5 super typhoon with sustained winds of 165 mph and a central pressure of 914 mb. Severe damage was done to Isabela Province in northern Luzon, and media reports indicate that 200,000 people are homeless.


Figure 2. Visible MODIS satellite image of Megi from NASA's Aqua satellite taken at 1:30am EDT October 20, 2010. At the time, Megi was a Category 4 typhoon with 135 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Passage over Luzon Island destroyed Megi's eyewall and inner core region, and the storm compensated by expanding and intensifying the portions of its circulation that were over water. Now that its center is back over water in the South China Sea, Megi has re-developed its inner core and has intensified into a formidable Category 3 typhoon with 125 mph winds. Megi has been able to maintain its larger size, and is now a much larger typhoon than when it hit the Philippines. This is similar to what happened to Hurricane Ike in 2008 when it passed over Cuba, and helped give Ike a very destructive storm surge when it came ashore over Texas. Wind shear is a low 5 - 10 knots over Megi, and the waters of the South China Sea have a very high total heat content to great depth, so Megi should be able to remain a very dangerous major typhoon through Friday. The larger size of Megi means that it will be able to deliver a significant storm surge in excess of ten feet to the coast of China of Friday or Saturday, when the storm is expected to make landfall north of Hong Kong. As the storm approaches the coast on Friday, wind shear is expected to rise to the moderate or high range, and the total heat content of the ocean will drop significantly, so some weakening is to be expected. Still, Megi will probably hit China as a major Category 3 typhoon, or as a strong Category 2, bringing a significant storm surge, high winds, and widespread torrential rains that will likely make this a multi-billion dollar disaster for China. The outer rain bands of Megi are already affecting the coast of China north of Hong Kong, as seen on Hong Kong radar and Taiwan radar.


Figure 3. Still frame of damage to NE Luzon Island from a video posted to YouTube by storm chaser James Reynolds of typhoonfury.com.

Next update
I'll have an update Thursday morning.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting sailingallover:

Having the RADAR instead of the wind generator is probably best but have them do a Large Solar Grid Tied array to offset the radars electrical usage...
You lost me. I just know that it will be very beneficial to the entire western Caribbean. Could really use the windfarm too though as electricity prices are nuts here.
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navy site dropped 99l
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Quoting Tazmanian:
I got my full house now the olny thing is it needs too get a name
I don't think that is far off Taz. Should be by the morning.
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Quoting WeatherNerdPR:

Please don't be another round cone, lol.


Ohh this one is going to be big all right, lol.
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
Quoting WeatherNerdPR:
LOL The WU Tropical Weather Site has it as Invest 19. XD


Exactly what I was saying. XD! Next thing you know they're gonna start saying Invest 1000!
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Quoting Tazmanian:
YES !


a full house now i this need it too be come a name and it will even be better


round 3


90L be comes hermine

91L be comes IGOR

92L be comes .KARL


93L be comes JULIA

94L be comes LISA


95L be comes Matthew

96L be comes NICOLE

97L be comes Otto


98L be comes Paula

99L be comes TD 19





YAY YAY YAY YES YES YES YAY YAY YAY YES YES YES AM JUMPING UP AND DOWN AN RUNING AROUND LIKE A NUT
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Probably going to be rather wide and resemble an oval, lol. They'll probably mimic something similar to the TVCN.

Please don't be another round cone, lol.
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Quoting 7544:
moving east hmmm the more east it could put fla more at risk is that correct ? tia


IMO, this thing has been moving East the past 2 days.
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
Quoting pilotguy1:


What do you think are the chances that this thing will just dissipate if it get into the Northern GOM with the cooler temps and dry air there?


It would likely be very weak if it tried to make it all the way to the north gulf coast.
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Yep...could b a Tampa Storm,,,,,only a cat 1...or right into s. america.....depends on fronts.....just b aware
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LOL The WU Tropical Weather Site has it as Invest 19. XD
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Quoting clwstmchasr:


Very interested to see the forecast track.
Probably going to be rather wide and resemble an oval, lol. They'll probably mimic something similar to the TVCN.
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459. 7544
moving east hmmm the more east it could put fla more at risk is that correct ? tia
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YES !


a full house now i this need it too be come a name and it will even be better


round 3


90L be comes hermine

91L be comes IGOR

92L be comes .KARL


93L be comes JULIA

94L be comes LISA


95L be comes Matthew

96L be comes NICOLE

97L be comes Otto


98L be comes Paula

99L be comes TD 19
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17.6
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Wind farm dropped for radar
Posted on Thu, 10/14/2010 - 19:39 in Headline News

(CNS): Proposals for a possible wind farm in East End have been stopped in its tracks as a result of the government’s plans to erect a Doppler radar in the same area. Hopes of opening up Cayman’s first an alternative energy source with a 200ft wind tower in the High Rock area have been dashed in favour of the radar project which government says will fill an important weather tracking black hole. The government said in a statement on Thursday evening that despite the need to find alternative energy sources the Ministry of Works said it was supporting the radar as a priority and could risk losing the funding if it didn't

Having the RADAR instead of the wind generator is probably best but have them do a Large Solar Grid Tied array to offset the radars electrical usage...
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Quoting 7544:
99l looks like atd now

gfdl made a million degree turn has it going west now should we throw this run out or will the others agreee with the gfdl they usallly do lol

It just turned into a TD.
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99L gets hits turn
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Quoting stormwatcherCI:
I have been checking the NHC recon link but haven't seen any data.



Nor on the Tropical Atlantic site.
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
There we go with the official TD designator:

AL, 19, 2010102100, , BEST, 0, 176N, 812W, 30, 1006, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 220, 70, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
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Quoting Tazmanian:
I got my full house now the olny thing is it needs too get a name

Gee Taz you seem very happy! lol
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448. 7544
99l looks like atd now

gfdl made a million degree turn has it going west now should we throw this run out or will the others agreee with the gfdl they usallly do lol
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Quoting CyclonicVoyage:
AL, 19, 2010102100, , BEST, 0, 176N, 812W, 30, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 220, 70, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

That would be the one, TD19.

That is strange they would not fly based on that. Or, maybe they are in there right now?
I have been checking the NHC recon link but haven't seen any data.
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TD19 data:

AL, 19, 2010102100, , BEST, 0, 176N, 812W, 30, 1006, TD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
AL, 19, 2010102100, , BEST, 0, 176N, 812W, 30, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 220, 70, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

That would be the one, TD19.

That is strange they would not fly based on that. Or, maybe they are in there right now?
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
I got my full house now the olny thing is it needs too get a name
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19L develops.

invest_RENUMBER_al992010_al192010.ren
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Quoting Neapolitan:
TD 19 renum?:

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al992010_al192010.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201010210043
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 19, 2010, DB, O, 2010101700, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL192010
AL, 19, 2010101606, , BEST, 0, 108N, 751W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101612, , BEST, 0, 109N, 757W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101618, , BEST, 0, 110N, 763W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101700, , BEST, 0, 113N, 774W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, D,
AL, 19, 2010101706, , BEST, 0, 117N, 784W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, D,
AL, 19, 2010101712, , BEST, 0, 123N, 795W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101718, , BEST, 0, 128N, 804W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101800, , BEST, 0, 133N, 810W, 20, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101806, , BEST, 0, 137N, 814W, 20, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101812, , BEST, 0, 141N, 818W, 25, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 250, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101818, , BEST, 0, 146N, 823W, 25, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1013, 220, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101900, , BEST, 0, 153N, 828W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 300, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101906, , BEST, 0, 160N, 831W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 850, 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101912, , BEST, 0, 167N, 833W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 250, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101918, , BEST, 0, 174N, 834W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 250, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102000, , BEST, 0, 177N, 832W, 30, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 200, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102006, , BEST, 0, 178N, 829W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 180, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102012, , BEST, 0, 177N, 825W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 190, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102018, , BEST, 0, 176N, 816W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102100, , BEST, 0, 176N, 812W, 30, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 220, 70, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,





YAY a full house
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TD 19 renum but no reclassification?:

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al992010_al192010.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201010210043
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 19, 2010, DB, O, 2010101700, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL192010
AL, 19, 2010101606, , BEST, 0, 108N, 751W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101612, , BEST, 0, 109N, 757W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101618, , BEST, 0, 110N, 763W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101700, , BEST, 0, 113N, 774W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, D,
AL, 19, 2010101706, , BEST, 0, 117N, 784W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, D,
AL, 19, 2010101712, , BEST, 0, 123N, 795W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101718, , BEST, 0, 128N, 804W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101800, , BEST, 0, 133N, 810W, 20, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101806, , BEST, 0, 137N, 814W, 20, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101812, , BEST, 0, 141N, 818W, 25, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 250, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101818, , BEST, 0, 146N, 823W, 25, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1013, 220, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101900, , BEST, 0, 153N, 828W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 300, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101906, , BEST, 0, 160N, 831W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 850, 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 19, 2010101912, , BEST, 0, 167N, 833W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 250, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 19, 2010101918, , BEST, 0, 174N, 834W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 250, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102000, , BEST, 0, 177N, 832W, 30, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 200, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102006, , BEST, 0, 178N, 829W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 180, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102012, , BEST, 0, 177N, 825W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 190, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102018, , BEST, 0, 176N, 816W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 19, 2010102100, , BEST, 0, 176N, 812W, 30, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 220, 70, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
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Quoting Chicklit:
Richard aka Ricard is up to 80%.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED S OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NEAR 17N81W.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER JAMAICA AND SURROUNDING WATERS FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 77W-81W.

UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS OVER THE SURFACE LOW. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS EAST.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

We're parched.
Glad to see it moving east.
Hope we get some rain out of 99L.






We got about 1/2 inch overnight and this morning! Wish you luck!
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Quoting Chicklit:
Richard aka Ricard is up to 80%.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED S OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NEAR 17N81W.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER JAMAICA AND SURROUNDING WATERS FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 77W-81W.

UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS OVER THE SURFACE LOW. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS EAST.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

We're parched.
Glad to see it moving east.
Hope we get some rain out of 99L.




We're also parched here in Sarasota Florida. 99 l would be a blessing!
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That really stinks about the RECON. Wonder what happened?
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
Quoting caneswatch:


Taz, don't get going with him, he always does that.


I thought it was a her! Ow well
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i want my full house


round 3


90L be comes hermine

91L be comes IGOR

92L be comes .KARL


93L be comes JULIA

94L be comes LISA


95L be comes Matthew

96L be comes NICOLE

97L be comes Otto


98L be comes Paula
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Nice little article on Megi over at Discovery.com...with a quote from Dr. Masters and a link back to this blog. (Anyone here come from there?)
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
0z dynamical model envelop have come into much better agreement.



About time....they're finally in line with what the logical track idea has been from the beginning.
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shikori and kmanhurricaneman, thanks for the links.
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Quoting pilotguy1:


It's highly unlikely in spite of some of the more hyper members of this blog.
I said it once and I'll say it again.As you can clearly see all season long that the doom and gloom casters patience are running low for the big one to come over their house or any where along hurricane prone areasAnd as the season nears to an end so does the chances of a hurricane affecting the united states.And I do think the 99L will develope.Could be like a Puals situation where it takes it's time to spin up but once it does it'll take off.
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Quoting shawn26:
Levi, do you honestly think this storm could impact the West coast of Florida?


Possibly. The eastern gulf from the Mississippi eastward should be watching this one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Richard aka Ricard is up to 80%.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED S OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NEAR 17N81W.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER JAMAICA AND SURROUNDING WATERS FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 77W-81W.

UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS OVER THE SURFACE LOW. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS EAST.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

We're parched.
Glad to see it moving east.
Hope we get some rain out of 99L.




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Quoting shikori:
Link
HWRF and GFDL would both be bad news for us.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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