September 2010: 4th or 8th warmest on record for the globe

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 10:53 AM GMT on October 16, 2010

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September 2010 was the globe's eighth warmest September on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated September 2010 the fourth warmest September on record. Both NOAA and NASA rated the year-to-date period, January - September, as the warmest such period on record. September 2010 global ocean temperatures were the ninth warmest on record, and land temperatures were also the ninth warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were the warmest on record, according to both Remote Sensing Systems data and University of Alabama Huntsville data. The year-to-date period January-September is the 2nd warmest such period in the satellite data, behind 1998.

For those interested, NCDC has a page of notable weather highlights from September 2010.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for September 2010. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

Fourteenth warmest September on record for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., it was the 14th warmest September in the 116-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. The year-to-date period, January to September, was the 24th warmest such period on record. Ten states had a top-ten warmest September on record--Rhode Island, Maine, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Florida, Colorado, New Mexico, and Arizona. No states recorded a top-ten coldest September.

U.S. precipitation near average
For the contiguous U.S., September 2010 ranked near average. However, there were large regional variations in precipitation. Wyoming had its driest September in the 116-year record, and three other states had top-ten driest Septembers--Louisiana, Mississippi, and Florida. Minnesota had its wettest September on record, and five other states had a top-ten wettest September--North Dakota, South Dakota, Washington, Wisconsin, and Missouri.

La Niña intensifies to the "strong" category
The equatorial Eastern Pacific Ocean is now experiencing strong La Niña conditions. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the tropical Eastern Pacific in the area 5°N - 5°S, 120°W - 170°W, also called the "Niña 3.4 region", dropped to 1.8°C below average during the first two weeks of October, according to NOAA. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology put this number at 1.53°C below average (as of October 10.) Moderate La Niña conditions are defined as occurring when this number is 1.0°C - 1.5°C below average. Temperatures colder than 1.5°C below average qualify as strong La Niña conditions. NOAA is maintaining its La Niña advisory, and expects La Niña conditions to last through the coming winter into spring.

Both El Niño and La Niña events have major impacts on regional and global weather patterns. For the remainder of October, we can expect La Niña to bring cloudier and wetter than average conditions to the Caribbean, but weather patterns over North America should not see much impact. La Niña typically causes warm, dry winters over the southern portion of the U.S., with cooler and wetter than average conditions over the Pacific Northwest. The Ohio and Mississippi Valleys states typically have wetter winters than usual.

September 2010 Arctic sea ice extent 3rd lowest on record
Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in September 2010 was the third lowest in the 31-year satellite record behind 2007 and 2008, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Ice volume in September was the lowest on record, according to University of Washington Polar Ice Center. The reported volume of 1,000 cubic miles (4,000 cubic kilometers) was 70 percent below the 1979 - 2009 September average of 3,200 cubic miles (13,400 cubic kilometers). Sea ice volume accounts for sea ice extent as well as the thickness of ice beneath the ocean's surface. The Northwest Passage through the normally ice-choked waters of Canada, as well as the Northeast Passage along the coast of northern Russia, remained open for ice-free navigation for most of September, but are now frozen shut again. This is the third consecutive year--and third time in recorded history--that both passages have melted open. Mariners have been attempting to sail these passages since 1497, and 2005 was the first year either of these passages reported ice-free conditions; 2008 was the first year both passages melted free. The 2010 Arctic melt season allowed for two sailing expeditions--one Russian and one Norwegian--to successfully navigate both the Northeast Passage and the Northwest Passage in a single season, the first time this feat has occurred in modern history.

New Caribbean disturbance
Heavy thunderstorm activity is currently limited over the southern Caribbean waters just north of Panama, but the latest 2am EDT (6Z) NOGAPS and GFS model runs continue to predict the formation of a tropical depression in the region 3 - 5 days from now. The NOGAPS model predicts that the storm will move northwest towards the Cayman Islands, while the GFS model takes the storm west-northwest over Nicaragua and Honduras. NHC is giving the disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Monday. Northeastern Nicaragua and Honduras can expect a period of very heavy rains from the disturbance Saturday night through Tuesday.


Figure 2. Visible satellite image of Megi at 3:30am EDT 10/16/10. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Typhoon Megi
In the Western Pacific, Typhoon Megi has attained Category 3 strength, and is predicted to intensify into a 150 mph supertyphoon that will strike the northern Philippine Island of Luzon on Monday morning. If this forecast verifies, Megi would be the strongest tropical cyclone to strike land globally in 2010. The globe has had an unusually low number of landfalling major hurricanes this year. Only one Category 4 or stronger storm has hit land--Tropical Cyclone Tomas, which hit Fiji on March 15 as a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds. Tomas killed 3 people and did $45 million in damage to Fiji, and was the strongest storm to hit Fiji since Cyclone Bebe in 1972. The only other major tropical cyclones in 2010 to make landfall were Tropical Cyclone Oli, which passed through French Polynesia on February 5 as a Category 3 storm; Tropical Cyclone Rene, which hit Tonga in the South Pacific as a Category 3 storm on February 15; Typhoon Fanapi, which hit Taiwan on September 19 as a Category 3 storm; and Hurricane Karl, which hit Mexico near Veracruz on September 17 as a Category 3 hurricane.

Next update
I'll have an update Sunday or Monday morning.

Jeff Masters

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704. Neapolitan
1:23 AM GMT on October 18, 2010
Quoting Objectivist (#699):
Blah, blah, blah...

Ah, I can't let you cast such aspersions without answering them. ;-)

1) Yes, the logical fallacy technique known as an "appeal to authority" is a lousy debating technique...but what I stated wasn't an appeal to authority, and I think you know that. Such an appeal would be me pointing at a particular source--a person, an organization--and saying, "Well, they've been right before, so they simply have to be right this time." But that's not what I did, is it? No, I highlighted the fact that the overwhelming and growing majority of credible climate scientists, after having looked at the volumes and volumes of literature, are adhering to the theory of GW, an adherence that can be supported by pulling from any of a million different sources in dozens of disciplines--and that is absolutely not something contrarians can do--nor will they ever be able to.

2) Don Easterbrook, FWIW, doesn't deny the planet is warming, as many do; he only denies that that rising CO2 is behind that warming, and says the PDO is at fault--a fact that most of his colleagues have realized is due to a misunderstanding of PDO by Easterbrook. At any rate, folks who regularly speak in front of the Big Energy/Big Tobacco-funded "Heartland Institute" have no credibility. None.

3) Perhaps the most patently false statement you made--and one that makes me realize you're approaching this with far less than the intellectual honesty you claim: "...as far as science goes the warmists have little beyond computer models, (increasingly discredited) tree ring proxies, and the various gamed surface temperature sets." Do you believe that? Seriously? How about rising sea levels? Vanishing glaciers? Massive, unprecedented coral bleachings? Numerous and increasing record heat waves? Historic flooding? Extended, widespread droughts? Disappearing Arctic ice? Core samples? Let's say every temperature every recorded was falsified as part of a gargantuan scam; how would you guys explain the changes above, and all the others happening?

(Too--and don't think we didn't notice--you used the contrarian weasel term gamed temperature sets--a usage which, again, shows intellectual dishonesty. Tsk, tsk, tsk...)

4) Your second most ridiculous false statement: "First of all, 'contrarians'...have every bit as much science to consider as do the warmists. Much of the research that was done to support the AGW hypothesis actually supports the opposite viewpoint instead." Two words: show us. Evem if you include all the "Oil and Coal have never harmed a fly!" propaganda put out by the ExxonMobils of the world, along with all the reams of made-up "data" supporting the inane "Drill, baby, drill!" idiocy of the past few years, you'll come up ridiculously short.

5) The height of irony is this: I state that all the deniers can produce is stuff from non-scientific websites--and you respond with nothing less than a link to Fox News, the media arm of the anti-science GOP!
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13457
703. iceagecoming
6:26 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Bordonaro:
Good morning/afternoon all.

Man, Megi looks ferocious and my prayers go out to the people of the Philippines as they will get clocked on early Monday.

I see 99L is still slowly churning in the SW Caribbean sea also.

I published a new article for the "Examiner.com" on the Ft Worth Weather Examiner page, please stop by and take a look
Link

Well done atricle, I say an upgrade to weather
expert is called for in the byline. Half of the TV weather on air staff I watch on Broadcast most likely spend 1/10 th the time on research as some folks here. My wife worked at WNDS for 4 years and there man Al K.
(high pressure!)was one of the more dedicated
and entertaining.
Member Since: January 27, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1056
702. iceagecoming
6:13 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Feb 18, 2010
$9b budget deficit: Philippines

MANILA - THE Philippines on Thursday posted a record budget deficit in 2009 as spending on infrastructure offset collection gains in December.

The 298.5 billion pesos (S$9.07 billion) shortfall was 'higher than our likely scenario of a budget gap of 290.2 billion pesos announced earlier', Finance Secretary Margarito Teves said in a statement.

'We were actually hoping to perform better than the likely scenario due to the improved tax collection performance in December,' Mr Teves said. Mr Teves however said the whole year deficit was equivalent to 3.9 per cent of the gross domestic product, adding that was 'relatively better than most of our peers in the region'.

He said he was also concerned that gains made in previous fiscal reforms were being 'quickly eroded by various tax relief measures' earlier imposed to help soften to the blow of the global financial crisis.

Manila had set a full-year deficit ceiling of 250 billion pesos, or 3.2 per cent of gross domestic product, and had counted on heavy spending in the first half to help revive the economy after a collapse in its exports sector.

However storms in late September and early October that devastated Manila and other parts of the main island of Luzon, killing more than 1,100 people, also took a heavy economic toll. -- AFP

Link
Member Since: January 27, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1056
701. Bordonaro
5:31 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Good morning/afternoon all.

Man, Megi looks ferocious and my prayers go out to the people of the Philippines as they will get clocked on early Monday.

I see 99L is still slowly churning in the SW Caribbean sea also.

I published a new article for the "Examiner.com" on the Ft Worth Weather Examiner page, please stop by and take a look
Link
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
700. Neapolitan
5:23 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
NEW BLOG
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13457
699. Objectivist
5:23 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Neapolitan:

I find it decreasingly funny and increasingly irritating that some try to claim there's a supposed quid pro quo or balance involved here, when that's not so. AGW theorists can quote from volumes and volumes of academic and multi-governmental, multi-discipline scientific literature to bolster their beliefs,

Ah, the "appeal to authority". Poor debate technique.


At any rate, I presume you're aware of the many problems with the latest IPCC report. Yes, the article is from Fox News, but that doesn't change the findings of the independent panel commissioned by the UN.


The article also mentions yet another highly qualified scientist who disagrees with the AGW hypothesis, "Noted climate skeptic Don Easterbrook, an emeritus professor of geology at Western Washington University".


Other than that, as far as science goes the warmists have little beyond computer models, (increasingly discredited) tree ring proxies, and the various gamed surface temperature sets.


while contrarians, lacking any such actual science to support their claims, continually dip into articles on the same small rotation of corporate-sponsored disinformation written by the same small rotation of corporate-sponsored authors publishing in the same small rotation of corporate-sponsored websites or periodicals.

You seem quite confused about the current state of affairs. First of all, "contrarians" (I prefer to think of myself as a "realist" or "objectivist") have every bit as much science to consider as do the warmists. Much of the research that was done to support the AGW hypothesis actually supports the opposite viewpoint instead. We can also analyze the many flaws in the computer models that form the centerpiece of the AGW hypothesis. There is also the paleoclimate record, which is clearly relevant and often distorted or misunderstood by the warmists. Finally, there are many direct scientific measurements which are of equal interest to both sides.

Do contrarians ever think about that? Ever?

I can't speak for others, but I certainly strive for intellectual honesty.
FWIW, I'm not trying to change anyone's mind about A/GW here, because I seriously doubt whether that can be done. But if I can do my own infinitesimal part to force both sides to use actual data and to discuss things intellgently and fairly, I'll sleep better at night. ;-)

Oh, I think (and hope) that these types of discussions change minds. I hope more and more people educate themselves regarding science, the scientific method, and the AGW hypothesis. Solar astronomy is another very interesting area... ;-)
Member Since: November 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 33
698. Tropicsweatherpr
5:22 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
12z CMC is more bullish with the Eastern Atlantic system, but moves it to the North.

Link
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
697. iceagecoming
5:21 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting washingtonian115:
Oh no.It looks like Luzon is about to get blasted.This is bad.Real real bad.I hope the loss of life isn't high.

If there can be a good landfall path, at least
it is 4 degrees north of Manila. Pop. 20M where
most folks live and work. Our facility there was fine after the last typhoon but many had their homes flooded and the streets were full of debris for a month afterward. Hoping for the
best for those in the path. The government does
not have the resources to assist especially in
the North.
Member Since: January 27, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1056
696. Chicklit
5:20 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11174
695. Grothar
5:14 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting aspectre:
caneswatch, didn't take it any way other than funnin'.
Still... to tangle with a man who's rassled sabertooths, in snow, uphill, both ways...


And won, don't forget I won!!! I was even there when Greenland was warm. Before I get back to the games, I'll show you a picture of what Greenland was really like. Football comes first, though.

This is what Greenland looked liked. Ice caps, humph!!!!

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25369
694. Neapolitan
5:13 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting aspectre:
Deliberate obtuseness is best left to antiAGWers.

Psst! aspectre! Go back and look at my OP; I think you missed the smiley... ;-)

From PAGASA (click for larger image):

Appropriate tropical weather-related image
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13457
693. Thaale
5:05 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting IKE:
12Z GFS @ 120 hours...


Models trending west...

Why do we hear that incessantly when it means Earl approaching closer to the CONUS, but just crickets when it means 99L projects to cross to the Pacific instead of coming straight up to FL?
Member Since: October 19, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 308
692. caneswatch
5:01 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting aspectre:
caneswatch, didn't take it any other way. Still... to tangle with a man who's rassled sabertooths, in snow, uphill, both ways...


I know what he's done way back in the day lol
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
691. aspectre
4:59 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
caneswatch, didn't take it any way other than funnin'.
Still... to tangle with a man who's rassled sabertooths, in snow, uphill, both ways...
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
690. caneswatch
4:57 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Grothar:


Checked, nothing there. You must have sent it to somebody else, but that's what happens when kids try to mail something.


Haha, I sent it to aspectre. I told him the same thing you did. I'll be back at the half, time to see the Dolphins get back to business.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
689. pcola57
4:56 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Blog Update!
Super Typhoon Megi 10/17/10

Thanks CybrTeddy
Facts and figures may fluctuate,but just by looking at satallite view,I'd say this is one powerful Cyclone!!
Hunker down time for our Phillippino brothers and sisters.
Does anyone here have a link for a landbased radar in the Phillippines?
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6770
688. washingtonian115
4:56 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Oh no.It looks like Luzon is about to get blasted.This is bad.Real real bad.I hope the loss of life isn't high.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16409
687. ShenValleyFlyFish
4:54 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting aspectre:
Tazmanian "That is NOT a wind shear map. That msp shows you what wind shear has been for the last 24 too 48hrs or so"

Neapolitan "So, it's not a wind shear map, but rather just a map that shows wind shear? Got it. Thanks for clearing that up!" ;-)

Deliberate obtuseness is best left to antiAGWers. It's not a forecast map.
Which is an important point, as I've explained about the aftcasting in XTRP and in my straightline projections.
You got to hope it's deliberate (anti-AGW). I'm worried they are really that dense.
Member Since: September 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
686. Grothar
4:53 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting caneswatch:


You have WU-Mail. Nothing bad.


Checked, nothing there. You must have sent it to somebody else, but that's what happens when kids try to mail something.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25369
685. Grothar
4:49 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting aspectre:
caneswatch "Looks like the models are getting a better handle on 99L."
Grothar "Go look at post #576 and stop stealing my lines. It takes me hours to come up with them. :P"
caneswatch "Well, it's because you're old..."

ahhh... to be young and naive. The proper descriptive is aged to perfection.


Thanks a, at least somebody respects their elders. LOL It's OK Canes a friend of mine.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25369
684. aspectre
4:47 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Tazmanian "That is NOT a wind shear map. That map shows you what wind shear has been for the last 24 to 48hrs or so"

Neapolitan "So, it's not a wind shear map, but rather just a map that shows wind shear? Got it. Thanks for clearing that up!" ;-)

Deliberate obtuseness is best left to antiAGWers. It's not a forecast map. Which is an important point, as I've explained about the aftcasting in XTRP and in my straightline projections.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
683. caneswatch
4:43 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting aspectre:
caneswatch "Looks like the models are getting a better handle on 99L."
Grothar "Go look at post #576 and stop stealing my lines. It takes me hours to come up with them. :P"
caneswatch "Well, it's because you're old..."

ahhh... to be young and naive. The proper descriptive is aged to perfection.


You have WU-Mail. Nothing bad.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
682. aspectre
4:33 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
caneswatch "Looks like the models are getting a better handle on 99L."
Grothar "Go look at post #576 and stop stealing my lines. It takes me hours to come up with them. :P"
caneswatch "Well, it's because you're old..."

ahhh... to be young and naive. The proper descriptive is aged to perfection.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
681. Dakster
4:26 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
That is one nasty looking storm....
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10034
680. IKE
4:25 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
12Z GFS @ 120 hours...

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
679. Stormchaser2007
4:21 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
I really hope people in the Philippines are prepared.


Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15776
678. MiamiHurricanes09
4:16 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Lightning in the eye wall indicates further strengthening.

"MAX FL WIND 170 KT NE QUAD 11:12:20Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C 250 / 4 NM FROM FL CNTR
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN EYEWALL"

Yup. Unfortunately, Recon left so we won't be able to catch the intensification.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21091
677. sunlinepr
4:14 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9695
676. CybrTeddy
4:13 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Grothar:


Nice update, Teddy. Clear, concise, short and to the point. Hate those long technical blogs with fronts, troughs, baroclinic highs, etc. More blogs should look like that.


Thanks!
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 23571
675. Stormchaser2007
4:11 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Lightning in the eye wall indicates further strengthening.

"MAX FL WIND 170 KT NE QUAD 11:12:20Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C 250 / 4 NM FROM FL CNTR
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN EYEWALL"

Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15776
674. Neapolitan
4:09 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Tazmanian:




thats is NOT a wind shear map that msp shows you what wind shear has been for the last 24 too 48hrs or so


So, it's not a wind shear map, but rather just a map that shows wind shear? Got it. Thanks for clearing that up! ;-)
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13457
673. Tazmanian
4:07 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting DaaiTouLaam:
Here's the wind shear



Click on the image for original sized image so you can see all the lovely -10s on that map around Megi.




thats is NOT a wind shear map that msp shows you what wind shear has been for the last 24 too 48hrs or so
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114722
672. caneswatch
3:51 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Grothar:


Go look at post #576 and stop stealing my lines. It takes me hours to come up with them.:P


Well, it's because your old, that's why it takes you forever.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
671. Grothar
3:50 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting caneswatch:


Looks like the models are getting a better handle on 99L.


Go look at post #576 and stop stealing my lines. It takes me hours to come up with them.:P
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25369
670. Cotillion
3:49 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting MoltenIce:
Megi's the first WPac storm to officially attain a pressure below 900 hPa since Yuri in 1991.


I think there's been a couple since: Gay in '92 and Angela in '95. Zeb in '98, perhaps. Pressure readings in the Pacific always seem to be debatable.

Not for a while, though.
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 7 Comments: 5300
669. MoltenIce
3:48 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
This is not a clear image, but this gives you an idea of what Megi looks like.
Member Since: August 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 772
668. DaaiTouLaam
3:44 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Here's the wind shear



Click on the image for original sized image so you can see all the lovely -10s on that map around Megi.
Member Since: August 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 110
667. MoltenIce
3:40 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Megi's the first WPac storm to officially attain a pressure below 900 hPa since Yuri in 1991.
Member Since: August 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 772
666. caneswatch
3:39 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Orcasystems:
Complete Update



AOI
AOI AOI AOI

AOI AOI AOI

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI


Looks like the models are getting a better handle on 99L.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
665. Orcasystems
3:38 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Complete Update



AOI
AOI AOI AOI

AOI AOI AOI

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
664. Grothar
3:37 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Blog Update!
Super Typhoon Megi 10/17/10


Nice update, Teddy. Clear, concise, short and to the point. Hate those long technical blogs with fronts, troughs, baroclinic highs, etc. More blogs should look like that.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25369
663. Cotillion
3:37 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
That 200mph wind was probably a gust. The winds higher up do not seem to verify sustained winds of that strength.

Either way though, this is one beast of a storm.

Best of luck to those in the Philippines.
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 7 Comments: 5300
662. MiamiHurricanes09
3:35 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21091
661. Grothar
3:35 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting DaaiTouLaam:
We'll take Paul Lynde to block!

Steering Layer: 200-700 hPa



Big LOL.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25369
660. MoltenIce
3:34 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Holy camoly!

895 hPa from the JMA!
Member Since: August 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 772
659. TOMSEFLA
3:32 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
what is the coastal and inland population in the landfall area?
658. DaaiTouLaam
3:32 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
We'll take Paul Lynde to block!

Steering Layer: 200-700 hPa

Member Since: August 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 110
657. ShenValleyFlyFish
3:31 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
Quoting Grothar:


I'll take Beef with Broccoli.
Ham and Swiss on rye. Washed down with Corn or Barley.
Member Since: September 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
656. TOMSEFLA
3:31 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
any land based radar near megi landfall?
655. Tazmanian
3:29 PM GMT on October 17, 2010


been a long time from the last i saw this

17/1430 UTC 17.9N 124.6E T7.5/7.5 MEGI -- West Pacific
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114722
654. IKE
3:29 PM GMT on October 17, 2010
SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
1130 AM EDT SUN OCT 17 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A BROAD LOW PRES CIRCULATION EXTENDS FROM THE FAR
TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC E-NE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SW CARIBBEAN
TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO ROTATE NW THROUGH WED. AN EMBEDDED WEAK
LOW CENTER NEAR 12N79W WILL DRIFT NW WITHIN THE LARGER
CIRCULATION AND REACH THE COAST OF NICARAGUA BY LATE TUE...WHERE
IT MAY LINGER FOR A FEW DAYS. ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NW PORTIONS OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION. A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE SW N ATLC WILL SINK S AND INTO FAR N PORTIONS OF TROPICAL N
ATLC LATE MON AND BECOME STATIONARY BEFORE DISSIPATING BY WED.
..........................................

SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
1030 AM CDT SUN OCT 17 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE
THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...EXTENDING FROM
THE NORTHERN GULF SW TO THE W BAY OF CAMPECHE.


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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.