Caribbean disurbance 96L nearly a depression; hottest day ever in Los Angeles

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:54 PM GMT on September 28, 2010

Share this Blog
4
+

Pressures continue to fall over the Western Caribbean this morning as a strong tropical disturbance (96L) organizes. Surface observations suggest that 96L has a large circulation covering most of the Western Caribbean, as evidenced by winds out of the southwest sustained at 29 - 34 mph observed at Buoy 42057 to the southeast of 96L's center this morning. Rotation of 96L can be seen on radar loops out of Pico San Juan, Cuba, and well as satellite imagery. The heavy thunderstorms are currently quite disorganized, but are bringing torrential rains to the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, Cuba, and Honduras. A Personal Weather Station in George Town on Grand Cayman Island has picked up 3.64" of rain in the twelve hours ending at 8am this morning. 96L is not the typical sort of disturbance one sees in the Atlantic, since it is much larger than normal. What has happened is that the atmospheric flow pattern of the Eastern Pacific has shifted eastwards into the Western Caribbean, bringing in the Eastern Pacific ITCZ (Intertropical Convergence Zone, a region of converging surface winds that creates a band of strong thunderstorms). 96L resembles the "monsoon depressions" common in India's Bay of Bengal or the Western Pacific. A monsoon depression is similar to a regular tropical depression in the winds that it generates--about 30 - 35 mph near the outer edges (and usually stronger on the eastern side of the circulation.) Monsoon depressions have large, calm centers, and can evolve into a regular tropical storms, if given enough time over water to develop a tight, closed circulation. The Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to fly into 96L this afternoon near 2pm EDT to see if it has become a tropical depression.


Figure 1. Morning radar image of 96L. Image credit: Cuban Institute of Meteorology.

Forecast for 96L
Because 96L is so large and lacks a well-defined surface circulation, it will take more time than a typical disturbance for it to spin up into a strong tropical storm. Given that the steering currents are expected to pull 96L north-northeastwards over Cuba and into South Florida and the western Bahamas on Wednesday, the storm lacks sufficient time over water to be any stronger than a 55 mph tropical storm for Florida. I think the top winds in Southeast Florida are likely to be in the 30 - 45 mph range on Wednesday. By the time 96L makes landfall in North Carolina or South Carolina on Thursday morning or afternoon, it could be as strong as a 55 - 65 mph tropical storm, but I think it is only 20% likely that 96L will make it to hurricane strength on Thursday. The primary danger from the storm is heavy rainfall. A potent upper-level low and stationary front over the U.S. East Coast have been bringing moist, tropical air from the Caribbean northwards over the past few days, bringing heavy rains that have saturated the soils. Wilmington, NC received 10.33 inches of rain yesterday, its second greatest one-day rainfall since record keeping began in 1871. Only the 13.38" that fell during Hurricane Floyd on September 15, 1999 beat yesterday's rainfall total. With 96L expected to bring another 6 - 8 inches of rain to the region later this week, serious flooding is likely, and flash flood watches are posted for the North Carolina/ South Carolina border region. South Florida is also under a flood watch, for 3 - 5 inches of rain. Flooding rains of similar magnitude can also be expected in Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and the Western Bahamas through Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Radar-estimated precipitation since Saturday for the North Carolina/South Carolina border region. Widespread rain amounts of 5 - 10 inches have occurred.


Figure 3. Forecast precipitation for the 5-day period from 8am today through 8am EDT Sunday, October 3, 2010. Image credit: NOAA Hydrometeorological Prediction Center.

Elsewhere in the tropics
Once 96L moves out of the Caribbean, the GFS model predicts that the Western Caribbean will "reload" and produce another tropical disturbance capable of developing into a tropical depression late this week or early next week. The other models are not showing this, but do predict a continuation of the disturbed weather pattern over the Western Caribbean. A second disturbance, if it develops, would be subject to similar steering currents, and may also move northwards across Cuba, Florida, and the Bahamas, then up the U.S. East Coast. This second disturbance might be more dangerous, since it would be dumping heavy rains on regions already drenched by 96L.

Hottest day in Los Angeles history
The mercury hit a blistering 113°F (45.0°C) at 12:15 pm PDT yesterday in downtown Los Angeles, making it the hottest day in Los Angeles history. It may have gotten hotter, but the thermometer broke shortly after the record high was set. The previous record in Los Angeles was 112°F set on June 26, 1990; records go back to 1877. Nearby Long Beach tied its hottest all-time temperature yesterday, with a scorching 111°F. And Christopher C. Burt, our new featured blogger on weather records, pointed out to me that Beverly Hills hit 119°F yesterday--the hottest temperature ever measured in the Los Angeles area, tying the 119°F reading from Woodland Hills on July 22, 2006. Yesterday's record heat was caused by an unusually large and intense upper-level high pressure system centered over Nevada that generated winds blowing from the land to the ocean, keeping the ocean from exerting its usual cooling influence. Remarkably, Los Angeles had its second coldest summer on record this year, and temperatures just five days ago were some the coldest September temperatures in the region for the past 50 years.

The remarkable summer of 2010
Wunderground is pleased to welcome a new featured blogger--weather historian Christopher C. Burt. Chris is a leading expert in the U.S. on weather records, and is author of the world's most popular weather records book published to date, Extreme Weather: A Guide and Record Book. He's spent a lifetime collaborating with like-minded individuals from around the world, and no one--including official sources such as the National Climatic Data Center and the National Extremes Committee--has done as thorough a job correlating the various weather records available and determining the most accurate extreme values of such. Each month he'll be reporting on the notable records for heat, cold, and precipitation set world-wide, and his first post takes a look at the remarkable summer of 2010. It's great to have someone like Chris who stays on top of weather extremes, and I hope you'll pay a visit to his blog and welcome him to the wunderground site!

"Hurricane Haven" airing this afternoon
My live Internet radio show, "Hurricane Haven", will be airing again today at 4pm EDT. The call in number is 415-983-2634, or you can post a question to broadcast@wunderground.com. Be sure to include "Hurricane Haven question" in the subject line.

Today's show will be about 30 minutes, and you can tune in at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast.

I'll have updates as the situation with 96L requires.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 547 - 497

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21Blog Index

547. pottery
4:57 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
I'm out again till this evening.
Hot and Dry here today. Very nice.

That mess East of here that Orca has been threatening me with, is looking a little Ominous right now....
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24906
545. islander101010
4:54 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
express of moisture is now heading north
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 5006
544. pottery
4:54 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting GTcooliebai:

The GFS has that system moving North and turning West, so I guess when Nicole departs High Pressure Builds in.

OK
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24906
543. kshipre1
4:54 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
?
Member Since: July 12, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1133
542. kmanislander
4:53 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting pottery:
I killed the Blog??


No, LOL

I'll be back when the HH is in.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
541. nash28
4:53 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Might wanna bring the boat to Henry's with you Press. Cause if we get the "pissy" side of Nicole, we may need to drive the boat out of Henry's!
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
539. masonsnana
4:51 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting pottery:

and if it does, you could be in for another soaking...
And could change the track
Member Since: February 14, 2004 Posts: 2 Comments: 664
538. GTcooliebai
4:51 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting pottery:

and if it does, you could be in for another soaking...

The GFS has that system moving North and turning West, so I guess when Nicole departs High Pressure Builds in.
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
537. chrisdscane
4:50 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting StormChaser81:


SHEAR, SHEAR, SHEAR
536. pottery
4:50 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
I killed the Blog??
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24906
535. WxLogic
4:49 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
12Z NOGAPS (96HRS our) Similar to 12Z GFS
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
534. ecflweatherfan
4:48 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting kshipre1:
nicole seems like a boring storm. who's got info on the next potential big storm Otto?

I hear Otto could be a big storm


According to the GFS... it looks like there may be the possibility of "Otto"... and it could be pretty strong, much stronger than TD-16 (Nicole). Has it on a path similar to '04 Charley (slightly farther south... landfall near Naples exiting near Cape Canaveral)
Member Since: March 19, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1147
533. Grecojdw
4:48 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting kshipre1:
nicole seems like a boring storm. who's got info on the next potential big storm Otto?

I hear Otto could be a big storm


maybe not, still the same pattern with the next system. There has to be a significant pattern change or much weaker front to allow the shear to go down over the region. Usually powerful front equals powerful shear limiting storm development. As long as that block of a trough is limiting any storm from strengthening or entering the Gulf, there will be a limitation to the strength to a storm.
Member Since: January 6, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 339
532. largeeyes
4:48 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 330 AM TUE...POPS WILL BE AGAIN INCREASING TONIGHT FROM THE
COAST WESTWARD AROUND MIDNIGHT. TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
CONTINUES TO BE THE PERIOD OF CONCERN AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE AND
UPPER LOW DIG THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH FURTHER SOUTH. THE
STALLED FRONT IS LIKELY TO BE THE FOCUS FOR THE ENERGY FROM THE
TROPICS WITH ONE OR MORE LOWS TRACKING ALONG IT WED NIGHT-FRI.
CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THESE LOWS WILL BE EXTRA- TROPICAL BUT THEY
COULD PRODUCE A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAINS.
THERE IS STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIMING/TRACK/INTENSITY OF
THIS SYSTEM. HPC QPF CONTINUES TO SHOW RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4-7
INCHES WITH THIS SYSTEM. COUPLED WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM
MONDAY...THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN
WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF COASTAL FLOOD ISSUES IF
STRONG WINDS MATERIALIZE. MAIN CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WAS TO
INCREASE POPS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1462
530. FtMyersgal
4:47 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting dmh1026:
Big line of t-storms moving into Ft. Myers. Very dark to the southeast.


Fort Myers here also, hearing thunder off and on. Raining now, but nothing like what our Caymen Island friends are getting soon
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1219
528. weatherwart
4:46 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting kshipre1:
nicole seems like a boring storm. who's got info on the next potential big storm Otto?

I hear Otto could be a big storm


Otto's been postponed to the 2011 season. Check back next year.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 884
527. nash28
4:46 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting presslord:
actually...I think drinking heavily with nash and Stormjunkie at Henry's sounds like a lot more fun...


You're on. Henry's is quite a place!
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
526. will40
4:46 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
HH 309 miles (498 km) to the W (273°) from Key West, FL, USA.
Member Since: September 19, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 4266
525. Chucktown
4:46 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting presslord:
actually...I think drinking heavily with nash and Stormjunkie at Henry's sounds like a lot more fun...


I'm off today - a few pints at Henry's sounds good - I'm sure I'll be busy the two days
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1785
524. largeeyes
4:46 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting nash28:


Um, yeah Press:-)


Counteragrument is that, if it survives that, should survive most anything.
Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1462
523. reedzone
4:46 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting StormChaser81:


SHEAR, SHEAR, SHEAR


Which is why I said Subtropical/Extratropical transition in the Gulf Stream.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7437
522. Gustavike
4:46 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Heavy rain falling on Jamaica likely to occur where floods and mudslides. The radar of La Gran Piedra shows a curved band approaching the island.
Member Since: January 16, 2009 Posts: 1 Comments: 67
521. pottery
4:45 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting kmanislander:


I hope the HH investiagtes the area at 18 N and 85 W

There still seems to be another low sitting there and spinning. This could possibly spawn another system once TD 16 moves up and out.

and if it does, you could be in for another soaking...
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24906
520. kshipre1
4:45 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
good morning Levi! how are you? how is school going?
Member Since: July 12, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1133
519. WxLogic
4:44 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
HH almost there... 30 to 45 min more.
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
518. kshipre1
4:44 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
nicole seems like a boring storm. who's got info on the next potential big storm Otto?

I hear Otto could be a big storm
Member Since: July 12, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1133
517. Levi32
4:44 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Good morning all.

Tropical Tidbit for Tuesday, September 28th, with Video
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
516. StormChaser81
4:44 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting reedzone:
TD16 is starting to wrap up some, as Kman pointed out earlier, it's finally starting to get it's act together. I still believe this will be named "Nicole" by 5 p.m. A weak to moderate TS at the first landfall in South Florida, strengthening a bit as it goes through the Gulf Stream, also transitioning into a Subtropical/Extratropical system. Striking the Carolinas as a potent Noreaster with strong TS sustained winds.


SHEAR, SHEAR, SHEAR
Member Since: August 11, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2315
514. ecflweatherfan
4:43 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting cat5hurricane:
ANY additional time over water in this situation is definitely not good. Aside for some strenthening, it could have some more time to gather & draw more moisture into it.


My only real concern for it strengthening is the interaction with the front over Central Florida. I am one to believe that it will probably begin extratropical transition by the time it reaches FL, due to the close proximity to the front. Unless that front rapidly shifts north and gets out of the way (NOT LIKELY)
Member Since: March 19, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1147
513. presslord
4:43 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
actually...I think drinking heavily with nash and Stormjunkie at Henry's sounds like a lot more fun...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
512. sunlinepr
4:43 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882
511. Grecojdw
4:42 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
This is definitely a tropical rain soaker in Southeast Florida and the Carolinas. The forcefield over the Northern Gulf Coast and the Western Panhandle of Florida still holding. This pattern doesn't look to be changing anytime soon so I guess we are safe up here. Stay safe Southeast Florida and the Carolinas.
Member Since: January 6, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 339
510. MandyFSU
4:42 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
It's funny that they have TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN in our forecast this week... right under the clear skies notation.

(I'm in Tallahassee... haven't posted in awhile)
Member Since: August 24, 2005 Posts: 82 Comments: 2525
509. reedzone
4:42 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
TD16 is starting to wrap up some, as Kman pointed out earlier, it's finally starting to get it's act together. I still believe this will be named "Nicole" by 5 p.m. A weak to moderate TS at the first landfall in South Florida, strengthening a bit as it goes through the Gulf Stream, also transitioning into a Subtropical/Extratropical system. Striking the Carolinas as a potent Noreaster with strong TS sustained winds.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7437
507. Chapelhill
4:41 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting nash28:


Well, depends on exact track and whether or not the west side of this is dry as a bone.. If this tracks further to the west as depicted by the 12z GFS then yeah. We'll all get hammered.


With TD# 16 becoming extratropical, and enteracting with the old frontal zone that is stalled to the west of it, the heavier rain could occur inland to the west. Myrtle Beach already has 3-to 6 inches of rain and 25knt winds in the forcast.
Member Since: August 31, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 438
506. kmanislander
4:41 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting pottery:
With the current motion of NNE, Jamaica should get some Serious Flooding Rains this afternoon and beyond.
Bad stuff.


I hope the HH investiagtes the area at 18 N and 85 W

There still seems to be another low sitting there and spinning. This could possibly spawn another system once TD 16 moves up and out.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
505. will40
4:41 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Shear over Cuba gonna do a number on it for the short run
Member Since: September 19, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 4266
504. pottery
4:41 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting presslord:
'sposed to do sea trial on a new boat Thursday...Think maybe we oughta reschedule?!

Depends entirely on how rigorous a trial you want to give it. LOL.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24906
503. catastropheadjuster
4:40 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting PanhandleChuck:


Sheri

The only one who got hurt was the bonehead with the weapon.... He got himself and no one else.


Thank God.
sheri
Member Since: August 24, 2006 Posts: 21 Comments: 3683
502. StormChaser81
4:39 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting leo305:
if this cyclone stays over water for tonight.. it could become a very strong system..

it's organizing its circulation right now.. which is why there isn't much convection near the center, that and some light shear blowing over the center.

Tonight though could be MONSTROUS, it's over VERY VERY HOT WATERS, that can fuel a wilma. It's almost impossible for it to become a wilma, but it's probable that if it's still over water tonight, it could strengthen into a much stronger system than forecasted


Don't matter how hot those waters are underneath TD16, 20 - 30 knots of shear will not allow much strengthening.
Member Since: August 11, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2315
501. ecflweatherfan
4:39 PM GMT on September 28, 2010
Quoting dmh1026:
Estero, FL 29.71 and falling...


Not much higer in Melbourne, FL either. We are at 29.75 and falling (175-200 mi NE of you). Shows the low pressures are very broad.
Member Since: March 19, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1147
Quoting presslord:
'sposed to do sea trial on a new boat Thursday...Think maybe we oughta reschedule?!


naw just wear da dress
Member Since: September 19, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 4266
With the current motion of NNE, Jamaica should get some Serious Flooding Rains this afternoon and beyond.
Bad stuff.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24906
Quoting presslord:
'sposed to do sea trial on a new boat Thursday...Think maybe we oughta reschedule?!


Um, yeah Press:-)
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1228 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORMS ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF KEY WEST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...MONROE UPPER KEYS...MONROE MIDDLE KEYS AND MONROE
LOWER KEYS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 12 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 82.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT
280 MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST FL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 30
MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA AND POSSIBLY
BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. ITS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AND
APPROACH THE UPPER KEYS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE BULK OF THE STRONG
WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO THE EAST OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WINDS...
OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...EAST WINDS OF AROUND 15 MPH WILL
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH TONIGHT AND PER PAPS NEAR 20 MPH ON
WEDNESDAY.

.RAINFALL IMPACTS...
OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO
3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE UPPER KEYS.


.MARINE IMPACTS...
OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DUE TO WEAK AND DISORGANIZED TROPICAL SYSTEM...ALL PEOPLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 3 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-282230-
/O.NEW.KKEY.TR.W.0002.100928T1628Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
1228 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DUE TO WEAK AND DISORGANIZED TROPICAL SYSTEM...ALL PEOPLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD JUST MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20
KNOTS SHOULD INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND TONIGHT ON
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER IN AND
NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 547 - 497

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
39 °F
Overcast

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron