Igor pounding Newfoundland; dangerous 95L forms; 3rd hottest August for the globe

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:13 PM GMT on September 21, 2010

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Hurricane Igor is tenaciously hanging on as a Category 1 hurricane, and is causing trouble in Newfoundland, Canada. Winds at Sagona Island, over 100 miles to the northwest of Igor's center, were sustained at 68 mph, gusting to 86, this morning, and were 56 mph, gusting to 84, at St. Pierre. Offshore, at the Newfoundland Grand Banks Buoy, winds peaked at 56 mph and significant wave heights hit 39 feet as the center of Igor passed by. Rainfall amounts of 3 - 5 inches are possible for the capital of St. Johns, where winds are already at 29 mph, gusting to 43 mph. Weather radar out of St. Johns is estimating rainfall amounts of up to 1/2 inch per hour from Igor.


Figure 1. Hurricane Igor as seen by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Terra satellite at 11:15 am EDT Monday September 20, 2010. Image credit: NASA.

Potentially dangerous Caribbean disturbance 95L forms
A tropical wave (Invest 95L) moving westward at 10 - 15 mph though the Lesser Antilles Islands is bringing gusty winds and heavy rain to the islands this morning, and has the potential to develop into a dangerous Caribbean tropical storm or hurricane late this week. The wave brought sustained winds of 30 mph to Barbados this morning, and heavy rain squalls will continue over the Lesser Antilles today. Radar from Curacao and satellite loops show that 95L's thunderstorm activity is disorganized, though increasing in areal coverage and intensity. Wind shear over the Caribbean is very low, less than 5 knots, and is forecast to remain low for the rest of the week. Water temperatures and oceanic heat content in the Caribbean are at their highest levels in recorded history, so there is plenty of fuel for development. NHC is giving the disturbance a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Thursday. I'd put the odds higher, at 30%.

The wave should continue moving westward near 10 - 15 mph through Friday, when it will arrive near the northern coast of Nicaragua. Most of the models show some development of 95L by Thursday or Friday, and the disturbance will bring heavy rains to the Netherlands Antilles Islands and north coast of South America on Wednesday and Thursday as passes to the north. Heavy rains may also spread to Southwest Haiti and Jamaica on Thursday. When 95L reaches the Western Caribbean Friday, steering currents will weaken and the storm will slow, potentially bringing life-threatening heavy rains on Friday and Saturday to northern Nicaragua and northern Honduras. If the center of 95L remains over water, the storm could easily develop into a powerful and dangerous hurricane over the Western Caribbean this weekend. With a strong trough of low pressure expected to dive southwards over the Eastern U.S. and form a "cut-off" upper level low over the Southeast U.S. this weekend, this potential hurricane could get drawn northwards across western Cuba into the Gulf of Mexico. Equally likely scenarios are that 95L will stay in the Western Caribbean, or that the storm will make landfall over Nicaragua and dissipate on Friday, and never reach the Western Caribbean. It is too early to assign probabilities on which of these three scenarios is the most likely.


Figure 2. Morning satellite image of the potentially dangerous Caribbean disturbance 95L.

Tropical Storm Lisa forms
Tropical Storm Lisa, the 12th named storm of this exceptionally active 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, is now churning over the waters of the far Eastern Atlantic. Lisa is currently in an environment of low wind shear, 5 - 10 knots, which is expected to continue through Thursday. Sea Surface Temperatures are a little cool, just 27°C, and there is some dry air to the north which may slow down development. Lisa is not likely to intensify into a hurricane, which would break our string of three straight major hurricanes that have developed (Igor, Julia, and Karl.) By Thursday, upper level winds out of the west are expected to increase, bringing high wind shear of 20 - 45 knots over Lisa for the remainder of the week. It appears unlikely that Lisa will affect any land areas.

Typhoon Fanapi deluges China
Typhoon Fanapi made landfall in mainland China about 150 miles east-northeast of Hong Kong Monday morning as a Category 1 storm with 75 mph winds, dumping the heaviest rains seen in a century to the southern Guangdong Province of China, according to the provincial weather bureau. Rainfall amounts of 550 mm (21.6") were recorded in the hardest-hit Shuangyao Township in Yangchun City. Thousands of people are stranded due to washed out roads and bridges in the region. In Taiwan, where Fanapi struck as a Category 2 typhoon with 105 mph winds on Sunday, the damage total is estimated at $210 million. Fanapi killed three people on the island, and brought rains of up to 1400 mm (4.6 feet) to mountainous regions in the interior. Taipei 101, the second tallest building in the world with more than 100 stories, reportedly swayed some 15 cm in Fanapi's winds.

Georgette soaks Baja
Tropical Storm Georgette has formed in the Eastern Pacific, just off the coast of Baja California. Georgette is just the seventh named storm of a near-record quiet season, and the first storm in the Eastern Pacific since Hurricane Frank died on August 28. Georgette's main threat is heavy rain, as the storm is expected to make landfall over Baja California later today and rapidly weaken into a tropical depression by Wednesday.

Elsewhere in the tropics
The GFS model predicts a series of three tropical distubances will develop in the Caribbean over the next 1 - 2 weeks. The NOGAPS model predicts a new tropical depression will form off the coast of Africa about seven days from now.

Third warmest August on record for the globe, and 2nd warmest summer, says NOAA
August 2010 was the globe's third warmest August on record, behind 1998 and 2009, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated August 2010 the seventh warmest August on record. Both NOAA and NASA rated the year-to-date period, January - August, as the warmest such period on record. August 2010 global ocean temperatures were the sixth warmest on record, land temperatures were the second warmest on record, Northern Hemisphere temperatures the warmest on record, and global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere the warmest on record (Remote Sensing Systems data) or 2nd warmest on record (University of Alabama Huntsville data.)

The summer of 2010 was the second warmest summer on record, behind 1998, according to the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and the 4th warmest summer on record according to NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies. It was the warmest summer on record over land areas, and fifth warmest for ocean areas, according to NOAA.

For those interested, NCDC has a page of notable weather highlights from August 2010.


Figure 3. Departure of surface temperature from average for August, 2010. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

La Niña intensifies and approaches the "strong" category
The equatorial Eastern Pacific Ocean is nearing strong La Niña conditions. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the tropical Eastern Pacific in the area 5°N - 5°S, 120°W - 170°W, also called the "Niña 3.4 region", dropped to 1.5 - 1.6°C below average during the first two weeks of September, according to NOAA. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology put this number at 1.3°C below average (as of September 19.) Moderate La Niña conditions are defined as occurring when this number is 1.0°C - 1.5°C below average. Temperatures colder than 1.5°C below average would qualify as strong La Niña conditions. NOAA is maintaining its La Niña advisory, and expects La Niña conditions to last through the coming spring.

Both El Niño and La Niña events have major impacts on regional and global weather patterns. For the next month, we can expect La Niña to bring cloudier and wetter than average conditions to the Caribbean, but weather patterns over North America should not see much impact. Globally, La Niña conditions tend to cause a net cooling of surface temperatures. Thus, while the past twelve month period has been the warmest globally since record keeping began in 1880, the calendar year of 2010 may end up just shy of being classified as the warmest year ever.

August 2010 Arctic sea ice extent 2nd lowest on record
Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in August 2010 was the second lowest in the 31-year satellite record behind 2007, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Strong high pressure centered north of Alaska, combined with low pressure over Siberia (the Arctic Dipole Anomaly), acted together to produce a strong flow of warm air into the Arctic, causing the near-record melting. Ice volume in August was the lowest on record for August, according to University of Washington Polar Ice Center. Arctic sea ice is currently near its annual minimum, and 2010 will end up having the second or third lowest extent on record, behind 2007 (and possibly 2008.) The fabled Northwest Passage through the normally ice-choked waters of Canada, as well as the Northeast Passage along the coast of northern Russia, remained open for ice-free navigation as of September 21, and have been ice-free for a month. This is the third consecutive year--and third time in recorded history--that both passages have melted open. Mariners have been attempting to sail these passages since 1497, and 2005 was the first year either of these passages reported ice-free conditions; 2008 was the first year both passages melted free.

"Hurricane Haven" airing this afternoon
Tune into another airing of my live Internet radio show, "Hurricane Haven", at 4pm EDT today. The call in number is 415-983-2634, or you can post a question to broadcast@wunderground.com. Be sure to include "Hurricane Haven question" in the subject line.

Today's show will be about 30 minutes, and you can tune in at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast.

My next post will be Wednesday morning.

Jeff Masters

More pictures of distant Hurricane Igor surf at Newport RI # 4 (RIWXPhoto)
More pictures of distant Hurricane Igor surf at Newport RI # 4
distant Hurricane Igor surf at Newport, RI # 9 (RIWXPhoto)
distant Hurricane Igor surf at Newport, RI # 9

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1142. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
T.C.F.A./INV/95L
MARK
14.69N/66.66W

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting txjac:


Wow, those are some awesome pictures ..lots of water


When I lived in NL (on the west coast) I experienced first hand what those raging waters can do. We got a rare warm storm in the middle of winter where the temp rose to springlike temps and it rained all day melting all the snow. All that water had no place to go and it carried huge rocks down the hills and took out roads with it. I'll never forget seeing them bring out the snow plows to plow the rocks from the streets!
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Quoting BobinTampa:
too early for this??



You betcha
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Quoting sammywammybamy:
My Forcast: RED = Possible Tracks



Thoughts?


A possible "ouch" for someone.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tazmanian:
WOW i see 95L went from 20% too 50%


95L may skip TD and go right too a TS


000
ABNT20 KNHC 211741
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND...AND ON TROPICAL STORM LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND MOST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS
TROPICAL WAVE MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. NEARBY SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS...ALONG WITH DATA FROM A NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION
AIRCRAFT CONDUCTING A RESEARCH MISSION INTO THIS SYSTEM...INDICATE
THE CIRCULATION OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED. A
WIND GUST TO 48 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED ON THE ISLAND OF ST. LUCIA
DURING A HEAVY SQUALL. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
AND GRADUALLY SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...AND
OVER THE NORTHERN COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA ON WEDNESDAY.

Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114700
Quoting cat5hurricane:
Big ouch if that happens.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16362
Quoting Seflhurricane:
looks like a strong storm slamming into Southwest florida area near tampa


Still a lot of time and many variables out there...

But, paying attention to the threat isn't a bad idea...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormChaser81:


Click the Vis(1km) and then click dry air under sat derived products.


I did, it was a mistake, my pic shows no dry air showing up, can't seem to get the pic to show up though

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricanes101:


again that is the only product I see that shows anything like that

water vapor at all levels shows a moist atmosphere and no SAL in the East Caribbean

something tells me that is a mistake


I'm not saying it's correct, but that satellite feed is 1km data and is way higher resolution than the other feed.

It's a sensor, stuff can go bad all the time.

It might be hinting to something that is very light in the atmosphere.
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Hopefully this one doesn't pull a Gamma on us.



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Quoting clwstmchasr:


Will Ignor be retired? Based on hype I say yes. Based on impact I say no.


I seriously doubt whether Igor will be retired; while he's been in the news, his impact--as you say--has been minimal, and I can't imagine him getting many votes at the 2011 spring meeting. Of course, he could still do a number up north, though he no longer has tropical characteristics...
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Quoting cat5hurricane:
looks like a strong storm slamming into Southwest florida area near tampa
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Quoting StormChaser81:
EM services work for keeping government running.

But your on your own after the storm for food and water.

I hate to say this, but we almost ran out of water and food during Charley. I went without power for 9 days.

They were handing out food and water at certain spots, but no gas for 100 miles from my location and gas was almost like gold.

This perspective that Florida is no big deal after a storm, is way off.

The government might run smoothly, but the people on the ground not so much.


That was my point earlier. No one cares to put up shutters, pick up their outdoor belongings. If and when they prepare is a last moment thing. A week before hurricane season starts almost every channel has a hurricane preparedness show going on, what do and what they need. We even have a tax free time for hurricane supplies and still most people brush it off. When they see it at their door steps is when everyone starts mobilizing and the stores are packed.
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Since the topic of preparations has been getting tossed around a bit, there is one thing I rarely see mentioned:

While canned goods do indeed keep very well, just remember, when the power is out and you're hungry, you're going to come to hate that electric can opener in a hurry...

Very possibly all academic, as 95L has a long ways to go before it causes a spike in manual can-opener sales, but being prepared is never a dumb thing to do.
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Quoting StormChaser81:


Click the Vis(1km) and then click dry air under sat derived products.


again that is the only product I see that shows anything like that

water vapor at all levels shows a moist atmosphere and no SAL in the East Caribbean

something tells me that is a mistake
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
WOW i see 95L went from 20% too 50%


95L may skip TD and go right too a TS


000
ABNT20 KNHC 211741
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND...AND ON TROPICAL STORM LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND MOST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS
TROPICAL WAVE MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. NEARBY SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS...ALONG WITH DATA FROM A NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION
AIRCRAFT CONDUCTING A RESEARCH MISSION INTO THIS SYSTEM...INDICATE
THE CIRCULATION OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED. A
WIND GUST TO 48 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED ON THE ISLAND OF ST. LUCIA
DURING A HEAVY SQUALL. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
AND GRADUALLY SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...AND
OVER THE NORTHERN COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA ON WEDNESDAY.

Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114700
1122. flsky
Quoting cat5hurricane:

You might point out that this is Oct 2005. You're going freak everyone out. The print at the bottom is very hard to make out.
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Quoting StormChaser81:


I now no this first hand. Plus we had one hell of a BBQ with like four families.


Yep. The BBQ's can be great times after long days cleaning up the yard. Nothing like cooking eggs and bacon on your grill.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1120. breald
Quoting RufusBaker:
What day is 95L suppose to be near FL??? around TaMpa??


From what I understand 95L can go towards central America or FL it is still up in the air.
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Quoting Hurricanes101:


that is not what the map shows on the CIMSS site



Nor does the water vapor



It might be wrong, but interesting to say the least.
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I see we have 95L.Doc did call what became of Karl correctly.Been busy so I haven't been keeping up with the tropics.Sure looks active though this week,and the next few weeks.Some late season surprises may be in store.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16362
Quoting Hurricanes101:


that is not what the map shows on the CIMSS site




Click the Vis(1km) and then click dry air under sat derived products.
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What day is 95L suppose to be near FL??? around TaMpa??
Member Since: July 5, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 578
1112. Seastep
Quoting StormChaser81:


I now no this first hand. Plus we had one hell of a BBQ with like four families.


Yes. That was actually pretty cool. Hanging out with the neighbors and barbecuing.

Next door neighbor had crab legs that we just couldn't let go to waste! :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1111. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
National Hurricane Center
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL CYCLONE GEORGETTE (EP122010)
21:00 PM UTC September 21 2010
========================================

SUBJECT: "GEORGETTE" Makes Landfall Over Southern Baja California

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Georgette (1000 hPa) located at 23.3N 109.9W or 25 NM north of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Gale Force Winds
===============
45 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 27.7N 111.6W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)

Tropical Cyclone Warnings
============================
Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for southern Baja California from Agua Blanca southward to Cabo San Lucas on the west coast and from Buena vista southward to Cabo San Lucas on the east coast
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44687
All this 95L talk has reminded me I need to do a test crank on the generator and fill a few gas cans.
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Quoting Thundercloud01221991:
DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF DRY
AIR...JULIA IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN FAIRLY QUICKLY IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO THE IMPROVED INNER-CORE STRUCTURE NOTED IN THE
AFOREMENTIONED MICROWAVE IMAGERY. GIVEN THAT A 75-PERCENT EYEWALL
FEATURE EXISTED 6 HRS AGO AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE RECENTLY COOLED TO
BELOW -80C NEAR THE CENTER...


I think that they mean Lisa here right? and if so could we get another major cane out of this?

Meh, this may just be me, but I wouldn't count on it:

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Quoting JupiterFL:


Thats why they say to be prepared to be completely on your own for 2 weeks after a storm.


For the two of us, we have 2 cases of MRE's, so that's 12 days' worth - but in reality, those things are actually more than we'd really need in a day. The extra would supplement the stuff that we would have to 'cook or lose' and the rest of the non-perishables normally on hand.

That, and a fresh tank of gas for the grill that has a side burner for making coffee and we're all set.

Might not be fun, but we won't starve.

OK, so my wife is telling me that I left out the Cuervo Gold and mix. *shrugs* Figured that was a given.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1104. flsky
Quoting kwgirl:
First of all, all those trailer parks need to evacuate. If you don't then you take whatever comes. I will evacuate my mobile home, even though I will not leave the keys unless it is a 4 or 5 bearing down on us, and maybe not even then. I can understand the reluctance to leave your home, but you can never stay in a mobile for even a Cat 1.

I think anyone who lives in a mobile home in FL is very brave - even if they have gobs of tie-downs. Good luck to all of you.
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Quoting StormChaser81:
Dry Air, Interesting...





that is not what the map shows on the CIMSS site



Nor does the water vapor

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1102. kwgirl
Quoting StormChaser81:
EM services work for keeping government running.

But your on your own after the storm for food and water.

I hate to say this, but we almost ran out of water and food during Charley. I went without power for 9 days.

They were handing out food and water at certain spots, but no gas for 100 miles from my location and gas was almost like gold.

This perspective that Florida is no big deal after a storm, is way off.

The government might run smoothly, but the people on the ground not so much.
That is why you need the supplies. A prime example was when Andrew hit Homestead. the lines of communication were cut off from Key West. There was a CNN report that the Keys had been wiped out (happened with Betsy too). Four days after Andrew, I met a tug captain that had been diverted from Panama to see what if anything was left in Key West. Of course, I met him in a bar:)
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Quoting CaptnDan142:


Wow... So, since Igor has now been relabeled as post-tropical, I wonder what his official max size will be. Will they go with this for the record, or only count when he was tropical?

Likely while he was tropical only. Also, remember he may have 35kt winds 450 miles to the NE, and only 20 miles to the SW. (in theory).
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Quoting JupiterFL:


Thats why they say to be prepared to be completely on your own for 2 weeks after a storm.


I now no this first hand. Plus we had one hell of a BBQ with like four families.
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Onto the next "USA fish" storm.
lol
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Quoting extreme236:
SHIPS and LGEM both make 95L a dangerous hurricane. SHIPS indicates a 58% chance for rapid intensification.
those are the indications i am seeing have you seent eh track, i thought florida was going to escape again but we MAY get something MAYBE but i hope not
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1095. txjac
Quoting floridiancanuck:
Seems Igor has claimed at least one life in Newfoundland. A man was washed into the sea after the road he was standing on collapsed.

This link has the story plus some interesting photos of the storm's damage. Seems the deluge of rains has overwhelmed the drainage systems in place!

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/newfoundland-labrador/story/2010/09/21/igor-hurricane-nl-921.html


Wow, those are some awesome pictures ..lots of water
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Quoting Seastep:


Not sure if it is required over there, but here in Broward, the gas stations all now have generators as it was mandated after Wilma. Plenty of gas, just couldn't get it out of the ground.
was in wima frances and jeanne lost power combined 36 days it was crazy...was in palm beach county and ran out of ice,water and thank goodness for neighbors cause we all pulled together and fed one another!!!!
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1093. breald
Quoting floridiancanuck:
Seems Igor has claimed at least one life in Newfoundland. A man was washed into the sea after the road he was standing on collapsed.

This link has the story plus some interesting photos of the storm's damage. Seems the deluge of rains has overwhelmed the drainage systems in place!

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/newfoundland-labrador/story/2010/09/21/igor-hurricane-nl-921.html



Oh man that sucks.
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One of the biggest concerns in the state would be a Major rolling in and up the mouth of Tampa Bay... Lets hope we dont see that any time soon.

That is the White Whale.......
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.