Gaston still a threat to redevelop

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:17 PM GMT on September 05, 2010

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For the first time since August 22, when Danielle became a tropical storm, there are no named storms active in the Atlantic. An extratropical storm absorbed Tropical Storm Earl last night, bringing an end to the 11-day life of the 2010 season's longest-lived storm. While Earl was mostly a non-event for North Carolina and New England, the storm gave Nova Scotia a solid pounding, reminding us of what could have easily happened to New England had the forecast track deviated slightly to the left. Kudos go to the computer models and NHC, who successfully predicted the path of Earl very accurately four days in advance. As we approach the climatological peak of Atlantic hurricane season, which occurs on September 10, there are no indications that today's break in the action represents a beginning of an extended quiet period in the Atlantic. Indeed, we have two systems that could become tropical depressions in the next day, and we also have model predictions of another storm to come late in the week.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of the remains of Gaston, approaching the Lesser Antilles Islands.

Gaston near tropical depression status again
The remains of Tropical Storm Gaston, located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands and moving west at about 13 mph, are close to reaching tropical depression status again. Recent satellite imagery shows that Gaston's remains have developed a well-organized surface circulation, but not enough heavy thunderstorm activity to be considered a tropical depression. A large amount of dry air surrounds Gaston's remains on all sides, as seen on water vapor satellite loops. This dry air will continue to be a major impediment to development. The latest SHIPS model forecast predicts shear will remain moderate, 10 - 15 knots, for the next three days, then fall to the low range. The winds creating the shear are coming from the east, where a tongue of dry air has intruded. These easterly winds will be able to drive the dry air into Gaston's core, disrupting it, unless the storm can find a moister environment, or moisten its environment on its own by generating enough heavy thunderstorms. Gaston has managed to develop more heavy thunderstorms near its center of circulation late this morning, but the amount of dry air it is battling is formidable. Even if Gaston does manage to become a tropical depression today, development will be slow over the next few days, due to the dry air. When Gaston passes over or just to the northeast of the Lesser Antilles Islands early Tuesday morning, the storm is unlikely to have more than 50 mph winds. More significant development is possible later in the week, as the atmosphere should be moister for Gaston. Gaston may threaten Puerto Rico on Wednesday, the Dominican Republic on Thursday, and Haiti, Jamaica, and/or the Turks and Caicos Islands by Friday, depending upon the storm's interaction with a trough of low pressure expected to move off the U.S. East Coast later this week. The earlier Gaston develops into a tropical storm, the more likely it is to "feel" the upper-level winds of the approaching trough, and curve more to the northwest. The HWRF model predicts Gaston will develop by Monday, and pass just northeast of the Lesser Antilles Islands Tuesday morning. The GFDL model, on the other hand, delays development until Wednesday, keeping Gaston in the Caribbean. The GFDL has Gaston hitting Jamaica as a strong tropical storm on Friday morning. However, the GFDL forecast is dubious, because on Wednesday and Thursday, Gaston may have an encounter with the high mountains of the island shared by the Dominican Republic and Haiti, Hispaniola, which could easily destroy a system as fragile as Gaston. Gaston has a 70% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday, according to NHC.

Gulf of Mexico disturbance 90L
A concentrated area of heavy thunderstorms (90L) has developed over the extreme southwestern Gulf of Mexico, in the Bay of Campeche. Satellite imagery shows that this disturbance is disorganized, but has some modest spin to it. The disturbance is under a moderate 10 - 15 knots of wind shear, and has a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday, according to NHC. The disturbance is headed northwest at 5 - 10 mph, and should bring heavy rains to the Texas/Mexico border region on Monday, according to the latest run of the GFS model. The main impediment to development will be the limited time 90L has over water; the storm will be ashore by Tuesday, which doesn't give it much time to develop.

Elsewhere in the tropics
The GFS and NOGAPS models are predicting development on Thursday of a tropical wave that will emerge from the coast of Africa on Tuesday or Wednesday.

Next post
I'll have an update Monday morning.

Jeff Masters

Sunrise Surf was cranking (RIWXPhoto)
Sunrise Surf was cranking
Post Hurricane Earl surf photos at Newport, RI (RIWXPhoto)
Post Hurricane Earl surf photos at Newport, RI

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1435. JLPR2
Quoting Relix:
Gaston will face lots of troubles. I keep saying it... it will ammount to some organized showers and gusty weather. Maybe a minimal tropical storm passing south of PR. Not much else I think.

(watch it pull a Jeanne and shut me up tomorrow)


LOL!
It already shut me up when I said it would probably not develop much convection today after seeing it fall apart at 2am. XD
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Quoting StormW:


Possible...I want to see it hit the water fully first, then see how it shapes up. But if the upper pattern shapes up as per the wind shear forecast for the past 3 days, I would say most likely.


Thank you sir.
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
Trouble brewing fast now.

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15687
Gaston is almost dead. I have to acknowledge its perseverance, but dry air has been terrible with it. I think Gaston will be something of the past. Let's see what else could come from CV season.
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TD:

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al902010_al102010.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201009060210
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 10, 2010, DB, O, 2010090500, 9999999999, , , , , , WARNING, 5, AL102010
AL, 10, 2010090406, , BEST, 0, 184N, 958W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 10, 2010090412, , BEST, 0, 186N, 957W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 10, 2010090418, , BEST, 0, 187N, 956W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 10, 2010090500, , BEST, 0, 189N, 956W, 20, 1007, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 10, 2010090506, , BEST, 0, 191N, 956W, 20, 1007, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 10, 2010090512, , BEST, 0, 195N, 957W, 25, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 160, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 10, 2010090518, , BEST, 0, 199N, 957W, 25, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 10, 2010090600, , BEST, 0, 204N, 954W, 25, 1003, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 150, 60, 35, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
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I guess no renumber right?
Member Since: July 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5618
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:


Probably what Hurricanes101 said. Tiebreaker is the order of how the TD's got designated.

But then that brings the question of how each TD's get designated if they get are designated at the same time.. Then I guess the tiebreaker would be the renumber time.


And if the renumber time is exactly the same (lol) then the tiebreaker would probably be which invest came first..
Member Since: July 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 3237
1428. Skyepony (Mod)
JLPR~ Thanks for helping them out with the EARS link.

Kman~ Most of the time it releases the Atlantic pass this time a day a little earlier. Doesn't get a morning pass.

No problems loading the page here.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37153
1427. BDADUDE
Quoting NOSinger:


I believe a few pages ago you said between east coast and Bermuda...your opinion is fine...we all have one...but put some 'FACTS" behind your forecast....please...
The distance between bermuda and the states is quite substantial. Check it in an atlas sometime.
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Quoting foggymyst:
Just asking.. how valid are these long range models? I have seen some that put Gaston south and the navy up by Bahamas.


Long range is hardly ever valid...Now if you have a long range consensus the value goes up a little, but they can still be way off.
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Quoting all4hurricanes:
I know but suppose he wasn't? how do they decide?
IDK but someone just posted that the one furthest west would get the first name which makes sense.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8263
Quoting all4hurricanes:
I know but suppose he wasn't? how do they decide?


Probably what Hurricanes101 said. Tiebreaker is the order of how the TD's got designated.

But then that brings the question of how each TD's get designated if they get are designated at the same time.. Then I guess the tiebreaker would be the renumber time.
Member Since: July 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 3237
1423. Relix
Gaston will face lots of troubles. I keep saying it... it will ammount to some organized showers and gusty weather. Maybe a minimal tropical storm passing south of PR. Not much else I think.

(watch it pull a Jeanne and shut me up tomorrow)
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Site works fine on IE
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
Quoting stormpetrol:

LMAO!! looks like someone wants a hurricane to hit Bermuda, better be careful what they wish for. On another note can't hardly post a thing this site is slow at least for me and apparently a few others.
Slow for a couple days now and Friday night it was down for quite a while. I finally gave up and went to bed so don't really know when it came back up.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8263
1418. Relix
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
947 PM AST SUN SEP 5 2010

.UPDATE...WINDS HAVE SHIFTED MORE EAST SOUTHEAST FROM THE 12Z
SOUNDING AND PRECIPITABLE WATER HAS INCREASED FROM 24 HOURS AGO
BUT INCREASED FROM 12 HOURS AGO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE IN THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS WITH A FEW SHOWER
INCURSIONS OVER CABO ROJO AND NORTHEAST PUERTO RICO. OTHERWISE ALL
SHOWERS OVER LAND HAVE DISSIPATED. ONE SHOWER WAS NOTED OVER THE
BEACHES IN SOUTHERN SAINT CROIX AND OVER THE WATERS THERE.


&&

.DISCUSSION...THE 05/18Z MODEL RUNS CONTINUE BRINGING THE REMNANT LOW
OF GASTON ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH DIFFICULT TO
TRACK...THIS LOW APPEARS TO BE MOVING AT ABOUT 9 TO 12 KNOTS DUE
WEST AND WOULD PASS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO IN ABOUT THE SAME TIME
FRAME IF IT WERE TO CONTINUE UNCHANGED. THE NAM CARRIES THE LOW
JUST SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO IN A SOMEWHAT SPLINTERED FORM. THE GFS
CARRIES THE LOW ACROSS AS AN OPEN WAVE ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH OF
SAN JUAN AT 08/06Z. THE ECMWF 12Z RUN LOSES THE LOW BUT SHOWS A
WEAK TURNING IN AN OPEN WAVE AT ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH OF SAN JUAN
ALSO AROUND 08/06Z. THE UKMET 12Z RUN BRINGS THE LOW ACROSS
VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED...OR SLIGHTLY STRONGER...ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH
OF SAN JUAN AT 08/02Z. THE FORMER MODELS HAVE WINDS AT 850 MB
WHICH RANGE FROM 10 TO 25 KNOTS...WHILE THE UKMET SHOWS WINDS UP
TO 35 KNOTS ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ALSO AT
850 MB.

THE REMNANT LOW...CURRENTLY LOCATED ABOUT 860 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN...HAS BEEN STRUGGLING AGAINST A NUMBER OF
FACTORS WHICH MAY ULTIMATELY PROVE TO BE OVERWHELMING. GASTON HAS
BEEN NEARLY CUT OFF FROM ITS MOISTURE STREAM IN THE ITCZ AND IS
NEARLY ENCLOSED BY DRIER AIR AS EVIDENCED BY SHARPLY DEFINED
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MOVING EAST OUT OF THE MAIN CONVECTION. THE
AIR TO OUR EAST AHEAD OF THE LOW IS ALSO A LITTLE DRIER. WINDS AT
250 MB CONTINUE TO BE FAIRLY STRONG...VARYING FROM 25 TO 40
KNOTS. THIS SHEAR IS CLEARLY SEEN IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS THE
TOPS OF THE CONVECTION IN THE LOW BLOW OFF TO THE WEST AT REGULAR
INTERVALS. IN ITS FAVOR...GASTON`S REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATER IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND
POSSIBLY INTO A MOISTURE PLUME FROM THE SOUTH OVER THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THIS PLUME IS PRESENTLY SPREADING SHOWERS OVER A WIDE
SWATH OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS BUT WILL MOVE OVER
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS IN THE NEXT 9 TO 21
HOURS. THUS THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT GASTON WILL BECOME
RE-INVIGORATED...AND SHOULD IT DO SO...IT IS NOT SO LIKELY TO
REMAIN SO FAR SOUTH OF THE AREA...AND COULD STILL PASS DIRECTLY
OVER THE AREA...THEREFORE ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS AND DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW.
HOWEVER AT THIS TIME AM CONSIDERING THE UKMET TO BE THE MODEL
THAT BEST DEPICTS WHAT THE LOW WILL DO...AND THE ONE THAT WAS BEST
INITIALIZED WITH THE APPARENT CONDITIONS OF THE REMNANT LOW.

FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS MEANS INCREASING
WIND AHEAD OF THE LOW...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WESTWARD
COAST AND FLIRT WITH TROPICAL STORM STATUS...AS IT PASSES THROUGH
THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. WE WILL
STILL BE IN THE STRONGER NORTHERN HEMISPHERE OF ITS INFLUENCE
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND WINDS THAT COULD REACH
20 TO 30 KNOTS IN OUR MARINE ZONES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
THUS HAVE MASSAGED THE WIND GRIDS BEFORE AND AFTER THIS PERIOD TO
MORE CLOSELY RESEMBLE THE WIND FLOW PATTERN LEADING UP TO THE
PASSAGE OF A CLOSED LOW TO OUR SOUTH AND KEPT WINDS IN THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD ON TUESDAY UNCHANGED...SINCE...FOR US...THE
PASSAGE OF A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH WILL
CLOSELY RESEMBLE THE PASSAGE OF A CLOSED LOW ABOUT 225 MILES
SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IN EITHER FORM SHOULD BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
WITH SIGNIFICANT RAINS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AND...DEPENDING
ON THE EXACT CONFIGURATION OF THE BANDS OF THE LOW AS IT LEAVES
THE LOCAL AREA...SHOWERS COULD LINGER ON THROUGH THURSDAY.

WINDS AND MOISTURE PATTERNS ARE UNREMARKABLE AFTER FRIDAY OR
SATURDAY WHEN MOISTURE BANDS LEAVE THE AREA. THE MODELS DO
DEVELOP ANOTHER SYSTEM NO LATER THAN FRIDAY 10 SEPTEMBER...POSSIBLY
FROM THE SYSTEM JUST LEAVING THE AFRICAN COAST NOW...WITH TOPS
NOTED AT MINUS 86 DEGREES IN THE 05/18Z SATELLITE PASS. THIS SYSTEM
IS NOT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BEFORE WEDNESDAY...15 SEPTEMBER... AND
ITS TRACK IS QUITE UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. THE GFS TAKES IT NORTH
OF 20 NORTH BEFORE REACHING 50 WEST...BUT THE ECMWF LEAVES IT ON A
WEST NORTHWEST COURSE FOR GUADELOUPE. AND...IF THERE ARE
DEVELOPMENTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...IT WON`T EVEN BE THE NEXT
NAMED STORM!
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Quoting Hurricanes101:


they usually go in order of how they were classified as TDs. In this case though it does not apply since Ex-Gaston already has a name


Makes sense. So there's a hypothetical situation where TD 5 and TD 6 both become named storms at 5PM AST, and TD 5 gets the name earlier in the alphabet.
Member Since: July 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 3237
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Gaston was already named so he would have the same name.
I know but suppose he wasn't? how do they decide if they spent the exact same time as a TD?
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Just asking.. how valid are these long range models? I have seen some that put Gaston south and the navy up by Bahamas.
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Evening folks,

Invest 90L in the BOC (Bay of Campeche), is it the remnants of E-pac TD 11-E? Seems like it is.

Gaston still struggling with dry air, but I do see recent convective bursting over the center. But then again, Ex-Gaston had such a burst about 48 hours ago, and didn't regenerate. But there is that mention of it moving into moist air. Where are the models taking Gaston long range?
Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 426 Comments: 3580
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Thanks. At least now we can take down our shutters.

LMAO!! looks like someone wants a hurricane to hit Bermuda, better be careful what they wish for. On another note can't hardly post a thing this site is slow at least for me and apparently a few others.
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Quoting StormW:


They are probably wait for the center to get fully into the Atlantic.


Sounds good.
This could be Igor you think?
Thanks.
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
wow gaston near us in 7 days wow that is going to be big
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Quoting all4hurricanes:
I think they are both TDs. What happens if two systems become tropical storms at the exact same time how would they choose which one gets what name?
The cyclone that's furthest west gets the earlier name.
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Evening all

Right now, there is nothing very impressive out there...Maybe it will stay that way!

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Quoting all4hurricanes:
I think they are both TDs. What happens if two systems become tropical storms at the exact same time how would they choose which one gets what name?


I dunno but that's not the case here as no matter if ex-Gaston regenerated after or before 90L became named, it would still be Gaston because it is the same storm, circulation, etc as before.
Member Since: July 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 3237
Quoting BDADUDE:
Who said this thing is coming near Bermuda. I dont think it will come within 500 miles of Bermuda!!


I believe a few pages ago you said between east coast and Bermuda...your opinion is fine...we all have one...but put some 'FACTS" behind your forecast....please...
Member Since: September 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 232
Quoting all4hurricanes:
I think they are both TDs. What happens if two systems become tropical storms at the exact same time how would they choose which one gets what name?


they usually go in order of how they were classified as TDs. In this case though it does not apply since Ex-Gaston already has a name
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7337
Quoting all4hurricanes:
I think they are both TDs. What happens if two systems become tropical storms at the exact same time how would they choose which one gets what name?
Gaston was already named so he would have the same name.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8263
Quoting StormW:
Did ya ever have that feeling:


Why no circle for that Huge African Wave there from the NHC?
When?
Thanks.

(I ask you like your a fortune teller, jaja, but I respect your opinion a lot!)
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
1401. JLPR2
Quoting HurricaneGeek:
1391...JLPR2

that's right because now Earl will be West of 55 or 50 or whatever that benchmark is to fly into him


yeah, that too!
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Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10928
Quoting HurricaneGeek:
1391...JLPR2

that's right because now Earl will be West of 55 or 50 or whatever that benchmark is to fly into him
Earl is long gone. Gaston. LOL
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8263
I think they are both TDs. What happens if two systems become tropical storms at the exact same time how would they choose which one gets what name?
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1391...JLPR2

that's right because now Earl will be West of 55 or 50 or whatever that benchmark is to fly into him
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
1396. BDADUDE
Quoting NOSinger:


LOL....you can't wish it to Bermuda...lol
Who said this thing is coming near Bermuda. I dont think it will come within 500 miles of Bermuda!!
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Quoting blsealevel:


That would be Gaston 7 days out?
Yes. Just to the SW of the Cayman Islands.
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Quoting BDADUDE:

If Gaston blows up then caymanians will have nothing to worry about from this storm because it will turn NW.


Gaston cannot go anywhere but West or due S of West.

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15687


That would be Gaston 7 days out?
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1391. JLPR2
Tomorrow looks like a busy day for the hurricane hunters.

000
NOUS42 KNHC 051530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT SUN 05 SEPTEMBER 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-097

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. REMNENTS OF GASTON
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL70 FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 06/1800, 07/0000Z A. 07/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 0108A GASTON B. AFXXX 0208A GASTON
C. 06/1600Z C. 07/0415Z
D. 17.0N 57.0W D. 17.0N 60.0W
E. 06/1700Z TO 07/0000Z E. 07/0500Z TO 1200Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
SUSPECT AREA -- GULF OF MEXICO
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 76 FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 78
A. 06/1600Z A. 07/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 01DDA INVEST B. AFXXX 0209A CYCLONE
C. 06/1300Z C. 07/0300Z
D. 21.0N 96.5W D. 22.0N 97.5W
E. 06/1500Z TO 2200Z E. 07/0500Z TO 1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 6 HRLY FIXES ON GASTON.
B. NEGATIVE ON SUSPECT AREA IN GULF.

3. REMARKS: NCAR G-V WILL FLY A 7 HR RESEARCH FLIGHT
INTO GASTON ABOVE 41,000 FT. DEPARTING 06/1000Z.
NASA DC-8 WILL FLY A 10 HR RESEARCH FLIGHT INTO
GASTON BETWEEN 35 AND 39,000 FT. DEPARTING 06/1800Z.
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Quoting BDADUDE:

If Gaston blows up then caymanians will have nothing to worry about from this storm because it will turn NW.


LOL....you can't wish it to Bermuda...lol
Member Since: September 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 232
Quoting BDADUDE:

If Gaston blows up then caymanians will have nothing to worry about from this storm because it will turn NW.
Thanks. At least now we can take down our shutters.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8263
Refreshing the server is rediculously SLOW! But..at least there is the good pic of the surfer girl in Dr.Master's blog to view while we wait...!
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1385. Grothar
First time we have seen yellow close to the center. That is some very cold cloud tops beginning to form.

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.