Category 4 Earl headed for a close brush with North Carolina

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:16 PM GMT on August 31, 2010

Share this Blog
5
+

Powerful Category 4 Hurricane Earl is pulling away from Puerto Rico and the northern Lesser Antilles Islands, and is eyeing its next potential landfall--North Carolina's Outer Banks. Earl brought heavy rain and high winds to Puerto Rico and much of the northern Lesser Antilles yesterday, though it appears that the islands were spared major damage. One exception may be Anegada in the British Virgin Islands, population 200. The eye of Earl passed just north of Anegada at noon yesterday, and Earl's south eyewall probably brought sustained winds of 100 mph to the island. Second hardest hit was probably Anguilla. Amateur weather observer Steve Donahue at anguilla-weather.com estimated gusts of 100 mph on Anguilla; his anemometer broke at 88 mph. Winds in St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands remained above tropical storm force (39 mph) for five hours yesterday afternoon, peaking at 52 mph, gusting to 62 mph, at 4:49 pm. Heavy rains hit Puerto Rico, where radar-estimated rainfall amounts of up to 5 - 7" occurred. Earl brought waves of sixteen feet to San Juan, and waves at buoy 41043 offshore of Puerto Rico reached 31 feet early this morning.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Earl, taken at 10:30am EDT 8/31/10. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.


Figure 2. Radar estimated rainfall for Earl from the San Juan, Puerto Rico radar. Isolated regions of 5 - 7 " of rain occurred in three locations on Puerto Rico. The rays fanning out to east from the radar location marked with a "+" are due to mountains blocking the view of the radar.

Intensity forecast for Earl
Wind shear as diagnosed by the latest SHIPS model forecast shows a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear over Earl, due to upper level winds out of the southwest from a trough of low pressure to Earl's west. This moderate shear is predicted to continue through Friday, but should not appreciably affect Earl, since the hurricane is so large and strong. Ocean temperatures are a near-record 29.5 - 30°C, and very warm waters extend to great depth, resulting in a total ocean heat content favorable for intensification. Earl is undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle, which may diminish its winds by 10 -20 mph for a day or so. However, the storm will probably regain strength after completing this cycle, and it is likely Earl will be a major Category 3 or 4 hurricane at its closest approach to North Carolina Thursday night and Friday morning. By Friday night, when Earl will be making its closest approach to New England, wind shear will rise to a high 20 - 30 knots and ocean temperatures will plunge to 20°C, resulting in considerable weakening. Earl will still probably be a Category 2 hurricane on Friday night, when it could potentially make landfall in Massachusetts. Earl is more likely to be a Category 1 hurricane on Saturday morning, when it could potentially make landfall in Maine or Nova Scotia, Canada.


Figure 3. Swath of surface winds from Earl predicted by the 2am EDT Tuesday, August 31, 2010 runs of NOAA's GFDL model (left) and HWRF model (right). Hurricane force winds (yellow colors, above 64 knots) are predicted to stay off the coast. Tropical storm force winds (light green colors, above 34 knots) are predicted to affect coastal North Carolina, Massachusetts, and Eastern Maine. Winds between 58 mph - 73 mph (dark green colors) are predicted to small portions of the coast. Image credit: Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL.

Track forecast for Earl
The latest set of computer models runs from 2am EDT (6Z) this morning push Earl's projected track a little closer to the U.S. East Coast, and we now have two of our six reliable models predicting a U.S. landfall. The latest NOGAPS run shows Earl hitting the Outer Banks of North Carolina late Thursday night, then striking Southeast Massachusetts late Friday night, and Eastern Maine on Saturday morning. The HWRF model predicts a strike on Eastern Maine Saturday morning, but keeps Earl offshore from North Carolina and Massachusetts. None of the other computer models show Earl hitting the U.S., but several models bring Earl within 100 - 200 miles of North Carolina's Outer Banks and Southeast Massachusetts. It is likely that Earl will being a 12-hour period of heavy rain and tropical storm force winds of 39+ mph to North Carolina's Outer Banks, beginning on Thursday evening. NHC is giving Cape Hatteras a 12% chance of receiving hurricane force winds. By Friday evening, western Long Island, Rhode Island, and Southeast Massachusetts can expect a 6 - 8 hour period of heavy rain and tropical storm force winds of 39+ mph. NHC is giving Nantucket a 11% chance of receiving hurricane force winds. These odds are 4% for Boston, 6% for Providence, 5% for Eastport, Maine, and 11% for Yarmouth, Nova Scotia. The main determinant of whether Earl hits the U.S. or not is a strong trough of low pressure predicted to move off the U.S. East Coast Friday. This trough, if it develops as predicted, should be strong enough to recurve Earl out to sea. Keep in mind that the average error in position for a 3-day NHC forecast is 185 miles, which is about how far offshore Earl is predicted to be from Cape Hatteras three days from now. The average error in a 4-day forecast is 255 miles, which is about the distance Earl is expected to be from the coast of New England four days from now.

Regardless of Earl's exact track, the U.S. East Coast can expect a long period of high waves beginning on Thursday. Significant beach erosion and dangerous rip currents will be the rule, due to waves that will reach 10 - 15 feet in offshore waters. Waves from Hurricane Danielle killed two swimmers in the U.S. over the weekend and forced hundreds of water rescues along the U.S. East Coast. Earl's waves will be worse, and will likely cause millions of dollars in beach erosion damage.

Fiona
Tropical Storm Fiona is speeding west-northwest towards Hurricane Earl, but is unlikely to bring tropical storm force winds to the Lesser Antilles. Satellite loops show that heavy thunderstorm activity has increased in some of the outer bands this morning, but remains limited near the center. Wind shear is currently moderate, 10 - 15 knots, and the main impediment to development continues to be dry air associated with the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) surrounding the storm.

Forecast for Fiona
Fiona is moving quickly to the west-northwest, at about 24 mph. This means it is catching up to Earl, which is moving at 15 mph. By tonight, Fiona will be beneath Earl's upper-level outflow channel. Strong upper-level winds from Earl's upper-level outflow and a ridge of high pressure to the northwest of Fiona will bring high levels of wind shear, 20 - 30 knots, to Fiona tonight through Friday, and probably arrest the storm's development. The scenario now called for by all the models is for Fiona to be drawn into the low pressure wake of Earl and turn to the northwest. Fiona will pass to the northeast of the Lesser Antilles, and will probably not bring tropical storm force winds to the islands. Fiona should then continue to the northwest and then turn north, passing very close to Bermuda on Saturday morning. It is possible Earl could destroy Fiona through high wind shear before Saturday.


Figure 4. Morning satellite image of Fiona. High level cirrus clouds flowing out from the center of Earl as part of its upper level outflow can be seen starting to impinge upon the western side of Fiona's circulation.

Danielle is dead
Tropical Storm Danielle has succumbed to the cold North Atlantic waters, and is no longer a tropical storm.

98L
A new tropical wave (Invest 98L) moved off the coast of Africa yesterday, and is centered a few hundred miles south of the Cape Verdes Islands. Strong easterly winds from the African Monsoon are creating a moderate 10 - 20 knots of shear, and the disturbance is currently disorganized. A large area of dry air lies to the north and west of 98L, and this will interfere with development. The latest SHIPS model forecast predicts shear will remain moderate, 10 - 20 knots, for the next five days, and some slow development of 98L is possible as it moves westward at 15 mph. NHC is giving a 10% chance of this system developing into a tropical depression by Thursday, and none of the computer models develop it.


Figure 5. Morning satellite image of 98L.

A rare triple threat in the Western Pacific
Over in the Western Pacific, we have an unusual triple feature--three named storms all within 700 miles of each other. A 3-way interaction between these storms is occurring, making for a very tough forecast situation. The storm of most concern is Typhoon Kompasu, which hit Okinawa today as a Category 2 typhoon. Kompasu is expected to recurve northeastward and hit North Korea on Thursday as a Category 2 typhoon. It is unusual for a powerful typhoon to thread the tight Yellow Sea and hit North Korea, and I don't know how prepared they are for strong typhoons. Kompasu is expected to hit the most populous region of North Korea, but the country is pretty mountainous, and a significant storm surge disaster is probably unlikely. In the South China Sea, Tropical Storm Lionrock and Tropical Storm Namtheun are moving through the straights between Taiwan and China towards each other. Neither are predicted to develop into typhoons, but heavy rains are occurring in Guangdong and Fujian Provinces, further exacerbating the flood conditions China has suffered this summer.


Figure 6. An unusual triple feature over the Western Pacific--three simultaneous named storms all within 700 miles of each other. Image credit: NOAA/SSD.

"Hurricane Haven" airing again this afternoon
Tune into another airing of my live Internet radio show, "Hurricane Haven", at 4pm EDT today. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. The call in number is 415-983-2634, or you can post a question to broadcast@wunderground.com. Be sure to include "Hurricane Haven question" in the subject line.

Today's show will be about 45 minutes, and you can tune in at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast.

I may have a short update this afternoon, once the latest models runs are available.
Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 383 - 333

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33Blog Index

Afternoon guys!

Could someone post a link to the ecmwf please, I'm typing from my iPod touch. Thanks in advance!

Half the people here don't know Earl exists. I've got more confidence in Earl not making it further west than 40n/70w but regardless of closest approach, surf's up along the jersey shore this weekend
Member Since: July 30, 2007 Posts: 76 Comments: 4063
Quoting StormW:


Shen,

Here is what I see:

The orange circle, with arrow, is still providing enough weakness to want to bring Earl north.

The pink arrow shows the flow around the ridge, albeit at that position is not all that strong.

The light blues is the upcoming trof that should erode the ridge and produce the final turn.

The combo of the first two are creating his WNW motion.



Thanks Storm for doing that!!! that really helped me grasp whats going on, now you said the upcoming trough that SHOULD erode, how "certain" is this to happen and why do troughs play such a huge role in steering? I am really tring to learn!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Bordonaro:

NO..A weak CAT 3 at best

Earl will be weakening once he is north of 38.5 N latitude, ocean temps drop from near 81F to near 71F at 40.5N latitude. That will weakening him, plus wind shear will be higher also.
thanks :) im still buying water lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting apocalyps:
A nice blew up of convection on the Floridaside of earl.
Is it possible Earl is getting stronger?

No, he is in an ERC, eye wall replacement cycle. It may last another several hours.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
WTNT22 KNHC 311452
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1500 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY.


HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 67.9W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 939 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..440NE 180SE 180SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 67.9W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 67.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.3N 69.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N 71.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.3N 73.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N 57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 67.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
Member Since: July 3, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 524
Hurricane Junky (John), I will be posting a new blog later today/tonight after I see Hurricane watches for the East Coast.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting rwdobson:
A 50 mile shift on a model run is not really that big a deal; the models aren't that precise. The two runs are essentially the same.

Obviously a 50 mile shift in the actual track would be a big deal...

So you are discounting the model run then? There has to be some justification for it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
376. MahFL
Quoting StormW:


Shen,

Here is what I see:

The orange circle, with arrow, is still providing enough weakness to want to bring Earl north.

The pink arrow shows the flow around the ridge, albeit at that position is not all that strong.

The light blues is the upcoming trof that should erode the ridge and produce the final turn.

The combo of the first two are creating his WNW motion.



StormW, you should do more of those diagrams they really help a lot.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Link

Relix heres the link for recon in Fiona
Member Since: September 19, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 4266
Quoting ho77yw00d:



lol I know well I am 29 and the early 90's were awsome ;)

I'm 30, and looking back... I have to agree.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
372. hercj
Quoting StormW:


NHC didn't do a bad job at all. But the models kept showing her turn to NW for five days...and finally got it right.

Senior do you have any idea what Gulfstream V they are going to send into Fiona tomorrow? I know that NOAA's is a GIVsp and it will be flying at the same time. I pretty much stay plugged into all of this aviation data but I am stumped on this one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
371. 7544
another jog to the west dont forget the bahamas peeps they could get strong ts coditions with all these west wobbles going on
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A nice blew up of convection on the Floridaside of earl.
Is it possible Earl is getting stronger?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
One item I haven't seen listed on preparation lists - a small stash of tools, and a few strips of wood suitable for nailing across windows or doors.

If all of your tools are in an outside area, it doesn't do you any good if you have small damage inside that needs to be taken care of.

(I speak from experience - having to go outside in the middle of Katrina to get the wood to fix a door that was blown in)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting jason2010xxxx:
LOOK AT INVEST 98L


Kinda hard to with that crappy .gif
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting DestinJeff:
Don't forget....Shift Happens.

!!! Sooo right on.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
366. MahFL
Quoting zoomiami:
Don't wait until lunch on Thursday, what if the storm speeds up a little, your stuck.


It would be clearer if you said the forward speed of the storm speeds up, some people might get confused about the windspeed going up or down.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting unruly:
could earl be a cat 4 or 5 by the time it reaches new england??

NO..A weak CAT 3 at best

Earl will be weakening once he is north of 38.5 N latitude, ocean temps drop from near 81F to near 71F at 40.5N latitude. That will weakening him, plus wind shear will be higher also.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting reedzone:


Right on track! It's been slowly moving WNW, let's see if it takes that turn later.. It should. Earl is south of the model consensus.


Expected to stay WNW for the next 12-16 hours then try, TRY, to turn NW. So we will see a WNW move for a bit longer now. Each hour goes by, means closer and closer to the coast.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalNonsense:
if Earl actually does rake the US east coast on its way to
meet up with the trough i can see it being a
very costly cane.
It will be another Hurricane Floyd replay, NOT a good thing!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
could earl be a cat 4 or 5 by the time it reaches new england??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting tornadodude:


Right on track! It's been slowly moving WNW, let's see if it takes that turn later.. It should. Earl is south of the model consensus.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
if Earl actually does rake the US east coast on its way to
meet up with the trough i can see it being a
very costly cane.
Member Since: July 3, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 524
doug in NJ OZ my be out of luck. Except for Atlantic City with its casinos not many concrete multistory on waterfront. Most of NJ coastal areas are flat with wooden 1 stories. Hotels on the beach dont have much in the way of a parking structure other then a lot at ground level. Once you get around NYC you start getting into masonary structures. I haven't been to LI so hopefully someone can pick it up from there.

A place in NJ where a structure is not required for elevation would be the Highlands. They run from Sea Bright NJ to Sandy Hook. Well over 100 feet ABSL so flooding is not an issue. A nice spot is The Twin Lights Lighthouse. Its at the top of a bluff overlooking the ocean below. Afords very good storm views and is able to see the Varrazano Bridge, LI, and NYC if photgraphy is warrented.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


Haha

That is so "1990's" =P



lol I know well I am 29 and the early 90's were awsome ;)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RecordSeason:
326:

Are you serious?

That's in Wyoming and Nebraska. How is THAT supposed to get that far south and east in 36 to 48 hours?


The southerly steering is found in front of the trough.
Member Since: June 12, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1589
Quoting clwstmchasr:


Did you read his blog this morning?

No, I just blogged on. I'll do that.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

From Link

At least one mandatory evacuation has been announced. The Cape Lookout National Seashore will begin an evacuation at 5 p.m. Wednesday. Authorities on the Outer Banks say they expect Cape Hatteras and Ocracoke Island -- the most exposed areas on the coast -- to absorb the worst of what Hurricane Earl dishes out.

Read more: http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2010/08/31/1655955/hurricane-earl-swells-to-category.html#ixzz0yCeV izRJ
Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
#301 in ref to comment #280.

I'm not sure if these comments are directed to the administrator of the blog or someone else; but I do not believe under any circumstances was it weather related. I have never used the ignore key before; but thanks for the opportunity to make you my very first one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I hope people in NC are preparing for Earl.
The trough that is supposed to move the High over the mid
Atlantic states is not looking as strong today. I am thinking
more and more the OBX are gonna take a full on hit.

Eiher way this is gonna be the closest call of a major cane since
proably Isabel and Fran for the east coast.

Stay ahead of the Game by being prepared in advance especially
if you live in those area's along the coast.

Member Since: July 3, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 524
Quoting Floodman:
Quoting catastropheadjuster:


Floodman~~ Good Morning, What you wrote I couldn't of said it any better. I always try to take care of the insured. They have went thru a lot when we have to come out and we are there to take care of there needs, not to take away from them in the hour of need. I always try to be fair. There are some out there that try to take advantage of a catastrophe.
sheri


Most of us work that way...we try to get things reported as quickly as possible and as accurately as possible...the issue with this kind of work is that the 80-20 rule applies; you find that 80% of your time is taken up by 20% of your insureds. One more proviso: the ones that are yelling the loudest are typically the ones with the least amount of damage


Yah - that's because the rest of us are busy hanging tarp, or nailing flashing to patch the roof, LOL.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting DestinJeff:


Smack dead center of image ... base of trough is the blue coloring

Thanks. So if the timing is off could actually bring the storm westward?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
345. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
ho77yw00d 4:45 PM GMT on August 31, 2010
didnt school start? why so many trolls? geez I mean seiously you trolls need to get a life and find a new hobbie like... barbie & ken dolls or G I JOES or Teenage mutant ninja turtles... just a thought!!!!


Haha

That is so "1990's" =P
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WeatherMSK:
Man I can only think that a west shift will continue with the models. Delaware could be in for a powerful tropical storm conditions.

Looks like TS force winds may be felt from DC, DE, NJ, NY, CT, MA, NH, ME and Nova Scotia (NS may get 80-100MPH hurricane force winds.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
331, Vero1: Interesting, Thanks!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Storm W: Do you think Fiona will dissipate like a couple of models are indicating?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Vero1:


Here is the Surf model for NJ/LI

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=nj


Hey Vero I grew up surfing a bunch with guys from vero. Used to surf tracking station and some spots to the south too.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Looks like I am taking the day off tomorrow to make preparations for Earl. SE Virginia on the Chesapeake Bay. Hopefully this just means I get a clean garage and patio out of the deal...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Is a cut-off low forecast to form along or north of the Bahamas? Any of the experts here?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WeatherMSK:
Man I can only think that a west shift will continue with the models. Delaware could be in for a powerful tropical storm conditions.


So should I go to Walmart now for my 48 gallons of milk. 309 cans of food. 5 bags of cereal. topping opp 500 gallons of gas. all for maybe 3 inches of rain and a lil hail.

~is being a smart a@@ because this is a post that someone put on the local news blog in DE~
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
334. Relix
Anyone has information regarding the HH currently heading towards Fiona?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting apocalyps:


Trough is weaker as expected and now the whole eastcoast(possible) and Florida(highest chance)are in the cone.Isnt that amazing?
Where is the cone that shows any part of Florida in it for Earl? I have yet to see it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 383 - 333

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron