Hurricane Earl takes aim at Lesser Antilles; 5-year anniversary of Katrina

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:35 PM GMT on August 29, 2010

Share this Blog
3
+

Hurricane warnings are flying for the islands in the northern Lesser Antilles, as they hunker down a prepare for the arrival of the 3rd hurricane of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, Hurricane Earl. Earl, a classic Cape Verdes-type Atlantic hurricane, is a potentially dangerous storm for the islands in its path, should its eyewall pass directly overhead. Earl could intensify significantly as it moves through the islands late tonight and on Monday. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft found a central pressure of 978 mb at 1:21 pm EDT. This is a significant drop of 7 mb in four hours. Top surface winds were 75 mph, and they noted an eyewall open to the northwest. The incomplete eyewall can also be seen on Martinique radar (figure 1.) Recent visible satellite imagery shows the storm has continues to increase in organization this afternoon. The amount and intensity of Earl's heavy thunderstorms is increasing, low-level spiral bands are steadily building, and upper level outflow is becoming more established in all quadrants except the north. This lack of development on Earl's north side is due to strong upper level northerly winds from the outflow of Hurricane Danielle to the north. These winds are creating about 15 knots of wind shear over Earl, according to the wind shear analysis from the University of Wisconsin CIMSS group. Water vapor satellite images show a large region of dry air from the Sahara lies to the northwest of Earl, but Earl is successfully walling off this dry air with a solid circular region of heavy thunderstorms.


Figure 1. Radar image of Earl taken at 3:45 pm EDT. Image credit: Meteo France.

Intensity forecast for Earl
As Hurricane Danielle pulls away from Earl this afternoon and this evening, shear should fall to the low range, 5 - 10 knots, as predicted by the latest SHIPS model forecast. This should allow Earl to build a complete eyewall by tonight. Once a complete eyewall is in place, Earl will likely undergo a bout of rapid intensification, which could bring it to Category 3 or 4 strength by Tuesday morning. The ocean temperatures are at near record warmth, 30°C, and very warm waters extend to great depth, resulting in a total ocean heat content highly favorable for rapid intensification. Earl should be able to maintain major hurricane status through Thursday, when it will make its closest approach to North Carolina. Sea surface temperatures are very warm, 29°C, along the U.S. East Coast, and wind shear is expected to remain low through Thursday.

Track forecast for Earl
Earl is being steered to the west by the same ridge of high pressure that steered Danielle. Earl is now approaching a weakness in the ridge left behind by the passage of Danielle and the trough of low pressure that pulled Danielle to the north. Earl should move more to the west-northwest today, likely bringing the core of the storm over or just to the northeast of the islands of Barbuda, St. Barthelemy, Anguilla, and St. Maartin in the northernmost Lesser Antilles Islands tonight and Monday morning. NHC is giving its highest odds for hurricane-force winds to Barbuda and Saint Maarten--a 44% and 42% chance, respectively. These odds are 11% for St. Thomas in the Virgin Islands, and 4% for Puerto Rico.


Figure 2. Wundermap view of the Lesser Antilles showing the NHC 5am wind radius forecast for Earl. Tropical storm force winds (dark green colors) were predicted to affect much of the northern Lesser Antilles, with hurricane force winds (yellow colors) predicted to pass just to the north of the islands.

Once Earl passes the Lesser Antilles, steering currents favor a northwesterly course towards North Carolina. History suggests that a storm in Earl's current location has a 25% chance of making landfall on the U.S. East Coast, and Earl's chances of making a U.S. landfall are probably close to that. None of the computer models show Earl hitting the U.S., and the 12Z (8 am EDT) set of model runs have mostly pushed the storm farther from the U.S. East Coast. It is not unusual for the models to make substantial shifts in their 5-day forecasts, and it is still possible that Earl could make a direct hit on North Carolina as a major hurricane on Thursday or Friday. One should pay attention of the cone of uncertainty, and the Outer Banks of North Carolina are in the 5-day cone. NHC is giving Cape Hatteras a 6% chance of receiving hurricane force winds. The main determinant of whether Earl hits the U.S. or not is a strong trough of low pressure predicted to move off the U.S. East Coast Friday. This trough, if it develops as predicted, should be strong enough to recurve Earl out to sea late in the week, with the storm just missing landfall in the U.S., but possibly making landfall in Nova Scotia, Canada. However, five day forecasts can be off considerably on the timing and intensity of such features, and it is quite possible that the trough could be delayed or weaker than expected, resulting in Earl's landfall along the U.S. East Coast. The most likely landfall locations would be North Carolina on Thursday or Friday, or Massachusetts on Friday or Saturday. The GFS and ECMWF models predict that Earl will come close enough to North Carolina on Thursday to bring the storm's outer rain bands over the Cape Hatteras region. The other models put Earl farther offshore, but it currently appears that Earl will not pass close enough to Bermuda to bring tropical storm force winds to that island. It is possible that if 97L develops into Hurricane Fiona and moves quickly across the Atlantic, the two storms could interact and rotate counterclockwise around a common center. Predicting these sorts of interactions is difficult, and the long-term track forecast for Earl will be difficult if a storm-storm interaction with Fiona occurs.

In any case, the U.S. East Coast can expect a long period of high waves from Earl beginning on Thursday. Significant beach erosion and dangerous rip current will be the rule, due to very high waves from Earl (Figure 3.)


Figure 3. Wave forecast for 8am Thursday, September 2, 2010, as produced by the 2am EDT August 29 run of NOAA's Wavewatch III model. The model is predicting waves of 4 - 5 meters (13 - 16 feet) in the offshore waters from Central Florida to Virginia.

Hurricane History for the northern Lesser Antilles
The last hurricane to pass through the northern Lesser Antilles Islands was Category 4 Hurricane Omar, on October 16, 2008. Omar's eyewall missed all of the islands, but the storm did $80 million in damage to the Caribbean, mainly on the islands of Antigua, Barbuda, Dominica, the SSS Islands (Saba, St. Eustatius, and St. Maarten), and the U.S. Virgin Islands. No direct deaths were attributed to Omar, and the name Omar was not retired from the 6-year rotating list of hurricane names.

Links to track Earl
Martinique radar
Wundermap of the northern Lesser Antilles Islands
Long range radar out of San Juan, Puerto Rico (current down for repair.)
Visible rapid scan satellite loop

97L
The tropical wave (Invest 97L) now midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands has developed a well-defined surface circulation, and appears destined to develop into a tropical storm and follow the path of Danielle and Earl. Satellite loops show the surface circulation clearly, but also reveal that there is not enough heavy thunderstorm activity associated with 97L for it to be called a tropical depression. The storm is experiencing low wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, is over warm 28°C waters, and is battling a region of dry air associated with the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) to its northwest. The latest SHIPS model forecast calls for shear to stay in the low range, 5 - 10 knots, through Wednesday, and this should allow 97L to organize into a tropical depression today or Monday. The storm will follow a track very similar to Danielle and Earl westward towards the Lesser Antilles Islands, and the storm should arrive near the northern Lesser Antilles Wednesday or Thursday. A more northwesterly path is likely for 97L as it approaches the Lesser Antilles, as the storm follows a break in the high pressure ridge steering it, created by Danielle and Earl. It currently appears that the Northern Lesser Antilles Islands may be at risk of at close brush or direct hit by 97L. If 97L moves relatively quickly, arriving at the Lesser Antilles on Wednesday, it is likely to be a weaker system, since it will have less time over water, and will be closer to big brother Earl. Earl is likely to be a large and powerful hurricane at that time, and the clockwise upper level outflow from Earl will bring strong upper-level northerly winds to the Lesser Antilles, creating high wind shear for 97L. However, if 97L moves relatively slowly, and arrives in the Lesser Antilles on Thursday, Earl will be farther away, the wind shear will be lessened, and 97L will have had enough time over water to potentially be a hurricane. Depending upon how fast they have 97L moving, the computer models have a wide variety of solutions for 97L, ranging from a making it a Category 1 hurricane five days from now (GFDL model) to a weak tropical storm five days from now (several models.) History suggests that a storm in 97L's current location has a 25% chance of making landfall on the U.S. East Coast. NHC is giving 97L a 80% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday.


Figure 4. Morning satellite image of 97L.

Danielle
Hurricane Danielle blew past Bermuda late Saturday night, bringing one rain squall to the island that brought top winds of 26 mph, gusting to 39 mph. Danielle is now on its way out to sea, and will not trouble any more land areas. High surf will continue to affect Bermuda and the east coast of the U.S. and Canada's Maritime Provinces today. The latest near shore water forecast for Cape Hatteras calls for 6 - 8 foot waves today. These waves will gradually subside during the week, then ramp up to 6 - 8 feet again on Thursday, as Hurricane Earl's wave field begins to pound the U.S. East Coast.

Elsewhere in the Tropics
Tropical Storm Kompasu is headed for China, and is predicted to intensify into a Category 2 typhoon by Wednesday and potentially threaten China's largest city, Shanghai. Over 16 million people live in the city, many of them in low-lying areas, and the Chinese will need to take this storm very seriously. In the South China Sea, the fearsome sounding Tropical Storm Lionrock is forecast to hit the Chinese coast near Hong Kong on Tuesday, but is not predicted to develop into a typhoon.

Katrina, five years later
It hardly seems possible that five years have elapsed since that cruel day in 2005 when the world changed forever for so many people in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Recovery from the great hurricane is nowhere near complete--the destruction wrought by Katrina still scars the land terribly, and the proud people of the Gulf Coast still suffer tremendously in the aftermath of the disaster. The scale and intensity of the destruction the hurricane brought is truly breathtaking, and can best be appreciated by viewing two of the best chronicles of Katrina's record storm surge--Margie Kieper's remarkable city-by-city aerial tour of the destruction, and extreme weather photographer Mike Thiess' 13-minute video of his storm surge experience in Gulfport, Mississippi. Katrina did do some good, though--it taught us that our nation can unite in the face of an overwhelming challenge to help our fellow citizens in need, and taught us not to be complacent about living in the realm where great hurricanes come.


Figure 5. A man wearing a tiny life jacket and clutching a neon green noodle and a pet dog floats on the remains of a house in Waveland, MS, during Hurricane Katrina. The photo was taken from the second floor window of a home, and the water is close to the roof line of the first floor. The home was at an elevation of about 17 feet, and the surge is close to ten feet deep here. There are electric lines running down from a pole to a home from left to right. In the distance on the right is a home with water up to the roof line. The eye is probably overhead, as the water is relatively calm and there appears to be little wind or rain, even though the pine trees are bent from the recent force of the eyewall winds. The photo was taken by Judith Bradford. Her husband, Bill Bradford, swam out and rescued the man and his dog, and two other people who floated by. He reported that the water was nothing like white water, but was a gentle, continuous flow. He was lucky. In the nearby Porteaux Bay area, a woman watched her fiance get pulled from a tree by the force of the current. The man was washed out into the Gulf and drowned. The image above is described in more detail in Part 9 of Margie Kieper's Katrina storm surge web page.

I'll share with you my personal story of blogging about Katrina. I starting writing blogs during the spring of 2005. For the first few months of this effort, it was a slow time for interesting weather events, and I had trouble finding things to write about. I was relieved when June of 2005 brought me two Atlantic tropical storms to discuss. But as July wore on, and the bombardment of the great Hurricane Season of 2005 began--a record five named storms, three hurricanes, and two major hurricanes, Dennis and Emily, both the strongest hurricanes ever recorded so early in the season--I was ready for less to write about! History was in the making, and the peak part of hurricane season was still a month away. I managed to take advantage of a slight break in the action in mid-August to travel for vacation and business, and the day Katrina was named found me in New York City. I was attending meetings with the Associated Press, who had just signed up to use Weather Underground as the weather provider for their 5000 newspapers. I wasn't able to follow the storm very closely that day, due to the all the meetings. Still, I had a very uneasy feeling about this storm. When one of the AP staff members made the remark, "It sure has been a slow summer for news. We need a big story!" I looked at her hard and thought, "Be careful what you wish for--you might get it!"

I flew home that Thursday afternoon, then made the decision Friday to drive up north with my family and spend a 4-day weekend at my father's house. The Hurricane Season of 2005 had kept me so busy that I hadn't made it up north to see him that summer, and this was my last chance. High speed Internet was not available in his small town of Topinabee on beautiful Mullet Lake, so I knew I'd be spending some slow hours blogging on his dial-up connection. Still, I figured Katrina would quickly recurve to the north and hit the Florida Panhandle before it had a chance to become a major hurricane. It wasn't like this storm would be worst disaster in American history or anything! Wrong. I spent virtually the entire weekend holed upstairs in the computer room, writing increasingly worried and strident blogs, exhorting people in New Orleans and Mississippi to evacuate. Every now and then, I'd emerge downstairs and say hi to everyone, then head back up to my cell to watch really slowly loading pages and write new blogs. Finally, I couldn't take it any more, and talked my family into returning home a day early. My wife couldn't fully understand why I was so agitated--wasn't this just another hurricane like Frances, Jeanne, Charlie, Dennis, or Emily? But, she agreed that we'd better go home that Sunday night before Katrina hit, since I was such a basket case. The next day, when Katrina hit and the full magnitude of the greatest disaster in American history unfolded, she understood. Indeed, three weeks later my wife headed down to the Louisiana disaster zone as a Red Cross volunteer, and she REALLY got an appreciation of why I had been so agitated in the days before Katrina hit.

It is difficult for me to read my Katrina blog posts again, as I relive those days and remember the terrible suffering this storm brought to so many. Let us not forget the people affected by Katrina, and the lessons the great storm taught. My thoughts and prayers are with all of Katrina's survivors on this fifth anniversary of the storm.

Next update
I may be able to post a quick update on Earl late this afternoon or early this evening.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 285 - 235

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57 | 58 | 59 | 60 | 61 | 62 | 63Blog Index

Gamma, Mail
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting all4hurricanes:
This storm is so nerve-raking it could easily smash into New England as a MH were overdue for a New England hurricane


I have noticed that too. Just look at the nhc path.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WPBHurricane05:



Thats all I need to see to know if Earl will affect Florida or not.......its not.


Thanks for posting that. I think I can sleep better now here in North Florida.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JRRP:
so far it is following the ngfdl model
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
281. Relix
My phone went crazy. Sorry!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Approaching 60W and south of 20N

Not good for me.
Member Since: July 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5682
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
We'll find out now with the vortex message. I also believe Earl is about to enter into a period of rapid intensification. Good outflow, marginal upper level conditions, and notice how on satellite it is really tightening up. I wouldn't be surprised if this is a category 2 maybe 3 by morning.


Earl is looking better. Danielle's influence on that NW quandrant is pretty much gone and the storm looks tighter and more symmetrical on the visible sat. I'd agree with a Cat 2 by morning.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 884


BLOWING UP..YIKES
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Feb. 28th is my birthday.

And I'm a guy to boot.

ROFL.


You know what, I think there use to be a girl on here with a similar handle and I had a hard time trying to figure it out!

Oh well, I was called a "dude" yesterday...
Let me go see the Birthday list... sorry about any mistake..

and Happy Belated Birthday! LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MrstormX:


It's such a compact system, if memory serves me right... those have a tendency to experience quicker intensification and direction changes then a large system.
True. Compact systems tend to spin up quicker because of the ice-skater effect (you know, a spread out ice-skater rotates slower than a compact ice-skater). In other words, the opposite of what we saw with Alex.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Oh, you have to look between vortex messages and figure out the motion, currently it is moving just south of due west between the last 2 vortex messages, hopefully it doesn't continue in this one.
If it continues in this direction do you think it will be far enough away from the weakness for it to affect it and prevent the turn north ?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
274. Gorty
Quoting all4hurricanes:
This storm is so nerve-raking it could easily smash into New England as a MH were overdue for a New England hurricane


Yes we are.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxLogic:
12Z Steering...

Thanks, for posting that. Maybe you can answer my ? How is earl supposed to turn more north with that setup. Im just trying to learn but no one has explained what im not seeing. tia
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Approaching 60W and south of 20N
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Thanks but then is it only the coordinates that tells you the motion ? I mean from the HH ?


Let us know what you get as I think the forward motion has increased and cent may have reloc to west and slightly S...(See vis loop)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Problem with that NHC track is from 37N 71.5 W it would need to travel eastward of 055 to miss St. John's at 77.2N 52.7W. It does not look like the NHC expects Earl to turn that much.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
268. Relix
PR conference is at12. Channel 6. =)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Being on the northern Gulf Coast..Danielle, Earl & 97L have little to no interest for us..but the question is will this trend of systems curving up the east coast continue? I for one am keeping fingers crossed..we can't have a system in the GOM at this time...3 more weeks of danger more or less..then this site goes into hibernation for me
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
So about 12 hours to hit anguilla?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
RGB in motion does not look good for Puerto Rico IMO.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Thanks but then is it only the coordinates that tells you the motion ? I mean from the HH ?
Oh, you have to look between vortex messages and figure out the motion, currently it is moving just south of due west between the last 2 vortex messages, hopefully it doesn't continue in this one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
What is up with the ALL CAPS today? Chill out people.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
262. Relix
PR conference is at12. Channel 6. =)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hurricane Earl is starting to gain outflow on the northern quadrant, a sign that the high shear from Danielle is starting to abate.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
This storm is so nerve-raking it could easily smash into New England as a MH were overdue for a New England hurricane
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Relix:
PR conference is at12. Channel 6. =)

thanks
Member Since: September 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 481
258. JRRP
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5789
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
We'll find out now with the vortex message. I also believe Earl is about to enter into a period of rapid intensification. Good outflow, marginal upper level conditions, and notice how on satellite it is really tightening up. I wouldn't be surprised if this is a category 2 maybe 3 by morning.


It's such a compact system, if memory serves me right... those have a tendency to experience quicker intensification and direction changes then a large system.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
let me explain.Hurricane country is refered to a section of the united states in which hurricanes make landfall.Get it?.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
No, that's the pressure reading.
Thanks but then is it only the coordinates that tells you the motion ? I mean from the HH ?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
12Z Steering...

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Max1023:
How much strength would Earl lose between that last forecast point at 37N 71.5 and a hit on NS or NL? (45-47 N 53 to 66 W) It would cross into sub 20C sst waters but would probably only have 12-24 hours before it hits us in Canada. Do we need to prepare for a possible hurricane strike?


I want to know this as well.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Pressure down to 992.8mb and not at the center yet.

153500 1724N 05812W 8428 01420 9928 +168 +146 136062 063 059 009 00
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
250. 7544
Quoting katrinakat5:
jason keep reminding them of it ..its important south fla does not take there eyes off this storm..


agree i see how strong u feel about this
also the old saying goes as long as a storm is below your lat. watch it with 2 eyes things could shift very fast as we all know so yes fla should not relax yet for earl or fiona next
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MrstormX:


Wow strange stuff....


look at the watervapor, and you'll know why it's moving W/WSW has to do with the anticyclone shearing earl from the north east, the one that was assosiated with danielle
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting sammywammybamy:


I Thought New Orleans was its own Country too...

LOL In the Cayman Islands if you ask some if they are Caymanians you might hear "No, I"m a Bracker" when in fact the Cayman Islands is comprised of Grand Cayman, Cayman Brac and Little Cayman.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting katrinakat5:
THE ONLY THING GOOD THAT COULD COME OUT OF EARLS DIRECT HIT ON PUERTO RICO IT WILL HAVE TO MOVE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF THE DOM REP AND HAITI WHICH WILL WEKEN IT GREATLY...IF WILL THREATEN FLA BUT IT WILL NOT BE A CAT 3 OR HIGHER..


How about nominal damage and no fatalities?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
246. wjdow
Quoting katrinakat5:
wjdow if you think earl is turning now you need some new specs my friend...earl is moving wsw at a pretty good clip..


lol. i just got new specs. maybe that's the problem.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Is it the 0026 that shows the motion and would that be 260/265 ?
No, that's the pressure reading.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting leo305:


for now yes


Wow strange stuff....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MrstormX:
Is Earl's CoC actually dipping farther south?
We'll find out now with the vortex message. I also believe Earl is about to enter into a period of rapid intensification. Good outflow, marginal upper level conditions, and notice how on satellite it is really tightening up. I wouldn't be surprised if this is a category 2 maybe 3 by morning.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
242. Gorty
Wow, so New England finally has to watch out huh? Well, I live in western MA, and I have gotten hurricane winds and TS winds from past cyclones, so I will keep a close watch on this. And then, soon to be Fiona.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WPBHurricane05:


At this point.....and for a few days now.....none of the models indicate Earl impacting Florida. Long term threat is to North Carolina and New England.


none of the models indicate a WSW movement at this point either.. not saying the models are wrong, just saying things can change
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting OviedoWatcher:
I was still on the last blog when I posted this and the new one was out, so I am posting again:

There was a discussion last night at about 1am, between a few people as to what constitutes a 'fish storm'. Opinions varied from storm in which the coc doesn't hit land (i.e you could get hurricane strength winds, but still have a fish storm) at one extreme to a storm which doesn't produce any impact on land at the other. Is there an agreed definition? I would have thought it was a storm that didn't produce ts force winds over land, but I don't know the real answer.
Don't believe there is any "official" definition. Just an expression thrown around by weather bloggers to indicate storm is not a danger to land masses.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Kristina40:


From what I've encountered here, many Floridians believe that as well.


Only the natives. ;)
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 884
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Questions are not allowed? Not everyone here is knowledgeable and know what is going on, so they come here to ask about their homeland.
I never said questions wern't allowed,but most likley I was talking to a specific blogger,that I didn't want to quote.He knows what's going on,and yet he keeps asking the same question..."is earl going to affect florida?".Sorry.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Ears goin to be at the ooZ forecast point in about 3 -4 hours......do to this increase in speed. It may also be getting ready to really wrap and organizing its center east and a tad south.......(see vis loop)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Kristina40:


From what I've encountered here, many Floridians believe that as well.


Actually you must have encountered the New Yorkers that have gradually invaded our state. They think when they buy a house in Florida that they could be featured on International House Hunters.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Anyways I'm off for a swim, later everyone.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 285 - 235

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57 | 58 | 59 | 60 | 61 | 62 | 63Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.