NOAA: June 2010 the globe's 4th consecutive warmest month on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:02 PM GMT on July 16, 2010

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June 2010 was the warmest June since record keeping began in 1880, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and was the fourth consecutive warmest month on record. NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated June 2010 the third warmest June on record, behind June 1998 and June 2009. Both NOAA and NASA rated the year-to-date period, January - June, as the warmest such period on record. June 2010 global ocean temperatures were the fourth warmest on record, while land temperatures were the warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were the 2nd warmest on record in June, according to both the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) groups. The record warmest temperatures in the lower atmosphere were recorded in 1998.

For those interested, NCDC has a page of notable weather highlights from June 2010.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2010. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

June 2010 features an unprecedented heat wave in Asia and North Africa
A withering heat wave of unprecedented intensity brought the hottest temperatures in recorded history to six nations in Asia and Africa, plus the Asian portion of Russia, in June 2010. At least two other Middle East nations came within a degree of their hottest temperatures ever in June.

The heat was the most intense in Kuwait, which recorded its hottest temperature in history on June 15 in Abdaly, according to the Kuwait Met office. The mercury hit 52.6°C (126.7°F). Kuwait's previous all-time hottest temperature was 51.9°C (125.4°F), on July 27,2007, at Abdaly. Temperatures reached 51°C (123.8°F) in the capital of Kuwait City on June 15, 2010.

Iraq had its hottest day in history on June 14, 2010, when the mercury hit 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Basra. Iraq's previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F) set August 8, 1937, in Ash Shu'aybah.

Saudi Arabia had its hottest temperature ever on June 22, 2010, with a reading of 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Jeddah, the second largest city in Saudi Arabia. The previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F), at Abqaiq, date unknown. The record heat was accompanied by a sandstorm, which caused eight power plants to go offline, resulting in blackouts to several Saudi cities.

In Africa, Chad had its hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.6°C (117.7°F) at Faya. The previous record was 47.4°C (117.3°F) at Faya on June 3 and June 9, 1961.

Niger tied its record for hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.1°C (116.8°F) at Bilma. That record stood for just one day, as Bilma broke the record again on June 23, when the mercury topped out at 48.2°C (118.8°F). The previous record was 47.1°C on May 24, 1998, also at Bilma.

Sudan recorded its hottest temperature in its history on June 25 when the mercury rose to 49.6°C (121.3°F) at Dongola. The previous record was 49.5°C (121.1°F) set in July 1987 in Aba Hamed.

The Asian portion of Russia recorded its highest temperature in history on June 25, when the mercury hit 42.3°C (108.1°F) at Belogorsk, near the Amur River border with China. The previous record was 41.7°C (107.1°F) at nearby Aksha on July 21, 2004. (The record for European Russia is 43.8°C--110.8°F--set on August 6, 1940, at Alexandrov Gaj near the border with Kazakhstan.

Two other countries came within a degree of their all time hottest temperature on record during the heat wave. Bahrain had its hottest June temperature ever, 46.9°C, on June 20, missing the all-time record of 47.5°C (117.5°F), set July 14, 2000. Temperatures in Quatar reached 48.8°C (119.8°F) on June 20. Quatar's all-time record hottest temperature was 49.6°C (121.3°F) set on July 9, 2000. All of these records are unofficial, and will need to be verified by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO.) The source for the previous all-time records listed here is the book Extreme Weather by Chris Burt. According to Mr. Burt, the only other time as many as six nations set their all-time highest temperature marks in a single month was during the European heat wave of August 2003.


Figure 2. Dust storm over Iraq on June 23, 2010, the day after Iraq recorded its hottest temperature in its history. Image credit: NASA.

June 2010 Arctic sea ice extent lowest on record
Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in June 2010 was the lowest in the 31-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. The rate of ice loss during June was the fastest on record, approximately 50% faster than average. Ice volume was also at a record low through the first half of June, according to University of Washington Polar Ice Center. The record ice loss in June was due in large part to the presence of strong high pressure north of Alaska, combined with strong low pressure over Siberia, which drove warm air from Asia over the pole. This pressure pattern, called the Arctic Dipole, was unknown until the 2000s, and may be the result of climate change.

Eighth warmest June on record for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., it was the 8th warmest June in the 116-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. Three states had their warmest June on record: Delaware, New Jersey, and North Carolina. Seventeen states had a top-ten warmest June, with five of these recording their second warmest June ever (Maryland, Virginia, South Carolina, Florida, and Louisiana.) No state recorded a top-ten coldest June.

U.S. precipitation
For the contiguous U.S., June 2010 ranked as the 17th wettest June in the 116-year record. June precipitation was the wettest on record for Michigan. Several other states were also anomalously wet, including: Iowa (2nd wettest), Nebraska and Illinois (3rd wettest), Indiana (4th wettest), Wisconsin (5th wettest), Oregon (6th wettest), and Ohio (10th wettest). Maryland (6th driest) was the only state that experienced a top-ten driest June.

U.S. Climate Extremes Index
NCDC's Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - June was about 6 percent higher than average. The CEI measures the prevalence of several types of climate extremes (like record or near-record warmth, dry spells, or rainy periods). Factors contributing to the elevated 2010 value were large footprints of: extreme wetness (more than three times the average footprint), warm minimum temperatures ("warm overnight lows"), and areas experiencing heavy 1-day precipitation events.

U.S. tornadoes
According to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, there were 387 preliminary tornado reports during June. If confirmed, this will be the second most active June on record, behind 1992. Minnesota had a particularly busy month with 67 preliminary tornado reports, besting the previous record of 35 tornadoes during June 2005.

The tropics are quiet
None of the reliable computer models is calling for tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. There is an area of disturbed weather off the coast of Costa Rica that is generating some heavy thunderstorm activity over the extreme Southwest Caribbean. This disturbance should move westward over Nicaragua and Honduras over the weekend, bringing heavy rains to Central America. NHC is giving this disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday.


Figure 3. My neighbor Tom Vance works to clear a fallen tree from the road so we can get out of our subdivision.

Next post
I'll have a new post on Monday at the latest. I may have trouble posting much this weekend, as a severe thunderstorm knocked out power to my neighborhood last night. I was watching the storm from my porch when the winds suddenly began gusting to 60 - 70 mph, and figured I'd better hustle inside when the huge black walnut tree in front of my house began thrashing like the Hogwarts whomping willow! Two neighbors had trees crash through their roofs, and downed power lines started several small fires.

Jeff Masters

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3301. 4Gaia
3:01 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Good Morning! Hey, how do I upload an avatar pic?
Member Since: May 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 8
3300. IKE
2:19 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
NEW BLOG!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
3299. palmpt
2:15 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting earthlydragonfly:


If you take away BP's ability to make a profit then who will pay for the clean up? Tax payers? I'd rather BP stay in business and pay for the clean up.. If they go out of business the clean up will fall back on our government. You know the Mexican government wont pay for anything.


It has nothing to do with profit... They are going to burn half of it offshore. They are concerned about the pressure. No conspiracy...
Member Since: August 10, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 246
3298. msgambler
2:03 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting earthlydragonfly:


If you take away BP's ability to make a profit then who will pay for the clean up? Tax payers? I'd rather BP stay in business and pay for the clean up.. If they go out of business the clean up will fall back on our government. You know the Mexican government wont pay for anything.
What exactly does the Mexican government have to do with the oil spill? Just wondering? And good morning earthly and Tampa.
Member Since: February 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1125
3297. BahaHurican
2:02 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting extreme236:


There is stil high shear north of Hispanola that is not decreasing.
This is the shear Ike is talking abt. The Twave seems likely ATM to run directly into that, which would likely disrupt cyclogenesis.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22563
3296. blsealevel
2:01 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
3295. earthlydragonfly
1:59 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting TampaSpin:
LOL.....i just heard on MSNBC that BP says the CAP test is holding and no oil is coming out....and they might start capturing some oil.....WHAT THE HELL....if no oil is coming out why then are they wanting to capture oil then...unless it is for profit......you gotta be kidding!


If you take away BP's ability to make a profit then who will pay for the clean up? Tax payers? I'd rather BP stay in business and pay for the clean up.. If they go out of business the clean up will fall back on our government. You know the Mexican government wont pay for anything.
Member Since: July 1, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 1683
3294. btwntx08
1:58 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
NEW BLOG!!!
Member Since: July 13, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 10796
3293. btwntx08
1:54 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
back to shear...i meant decreasing around pr eastward still saw the stronger just north of haiti
Member Since: July 13, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 10796
3292. sailingallover
1:54 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting all4hurricanes:
I'm surprised we haven't had more storms shear is incredibly low and that is the main limiting factor for early season storms what is stopping the Africans waves from reaching the Caribbean?

Dust from the SAL has been keeping the convection down. I have a blog on it from a couple weeks ago..
Member Since: September 1, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1007
3291. CybrTeddy
1:53 PM GMT on July 18, 2010


Probably one of the best this season so far emerging.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24471
3290. btwntx08
1:51 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
wow look at this our wfo talks about the mjo
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
447 AM CDT SUN JUL 18 2010

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY/...ABOUT A WEEK AGO THE GFS
ENSEMBLES WERE FORECASTING THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION PHASE
DIAGRAM TO TREND TOWARDS OCTAVES ONE AND TWO WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF
RISING MOTION ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND NEARBY CARIBBEAN/ATLANTIC.
THAT PARTICULAR FORECAST COMBINED WITH A NEGATIVELY TRENDING NORTH
ATLANTIC OSCILLATION WERE THE FIRST HINTS THAT RAIN CHANCES MAY BE
ON THE INCREASE THIS WEEK FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. THIS MORNING/S
ANALYSIS FROM CPC SHOWS THAT THE MJO IS CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE OF
OCTAVE TWO AND SURE ENOUGH THERE IS A SURFACE TROUGH IN THE GULF
WITH ISO TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OCCURRING AT WRITING ACROSS
MARINE ZONES. TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST TOWARDS AND OVER
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TODAY WITH DEEPER TROPICAL MOISTURE TO CONTINUE
TO INFILTRATE ATMOSPHERE WITH PWATS FORECAST TO BE JUST SHY OF TWO
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. RUC13 AND
HRRR NWP HINT THAT GREATEST PRECIP WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN THIRD OF
CWA THIS MORNING /ESPECIALLY ONCE DAYTIME HEATING GETS UNDERWAY/
BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO CENTRAL ZONES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
THIS OUTPUT FALLS IN LINE WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN A FEW SPOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO TROPICAL NATURE
BUT ATTM DO NOT FEEL THREAT IS GREAT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN ZONES.
POPS DROP OFF BY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN
ON MONDAY IN WHAT COULD BE ALMOST A REPEAT OF RAIN THREATS. WENT
WITH MAV/MET BLEND FOR TEMPS AND MAV GUIDANCE FOR WINDS AS I
CURRENTLY SEE NO STRONG REASONING TO DIVERT FROM GUIDANCE FOR
THESE WEATHER ELEMENTS.
&&
Member Since: July 13, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 10796
3289. TampaSpin
1:50 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting jasoniscoolman2010x:
anyone about this tropical wave


YEP that needs watched very close....not much in Vorticity there showing up yet....but the spin seems to be just forming.....so look for Vorticity to pop up soon.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
3288. sailingallover
1:49 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting reedzone:


Ike is correct, the big blotch of high wind shear will keep this in check unless it moves south, which doesnt appear to be happening. NAM doesn't really show shear in their forecasts lol. Though conditions in the Atlantic have improved ALOT since last week. I'm looking for Bonnie either by the end of the week or next week.

The ULL north of PR is forcast to move north leaving the area just to the North of PR DR with no shear by Wednesday. The wave is most likely not going to stay south although it may split over the Islands. I'd give a really good chance of an invest north of PR DR by Tuesday afternoon. There I am upcasting...
Member Since: September 1, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1007
3287. OneDrop
1:48 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
"The world is loaded, it's lit to pop and nobody ain't gonna stop!"
-Jane's Addiction 'Stop'
Here's hoping to fish storms and everyone's saftey when the Atlantic does POP
Member Since: May 25, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 146
3286. TampaSpin
1:48 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Anyone predicting over 20 storms i believe was really stretching things.....



Here is my forecast with all the reasoning posted on my WebSite with Why.....but, here was my Summary...


2010 Atlantic Tropical Forecast
Posted by TampaSpin on June 7, 2010 at 2:00 AM

Summary:

Based on my rating system and plugging the numbers together, my best estimate for the 2010 Atlantic Basin Tropical Outlook is for:

70% chance of Above Average Conditions leading to

16 Named storms--the average is 9.6

10 Hurricanes--the average is 5.9

4 Major Hurricanes--the average is 2.3


I will enjoy hearing the debates of my thoughts and keep in mind these trends can change!



Thanks,

Tim
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
3285. extreme236
1:48 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting btwntx08:
according to cimss shear is decrasing where part of where the heaviest shear is now which like i said ahead of it


There is stil high shear north of Hispanola that is not decreasing.
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
3284. jasoniscoolman2010x
1:47 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
anyone about this tropical wave
Member Since: July 4, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 965
3283. btwntx08
1:47 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
according to cimss shear is decrasing where part of where the heaviest shear is now which like i said ahead of it
Member Since: July 13, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 10796
3282. SLU
1:47 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting TampaSpin:
This tells all......i keep all sectors posted on my website.....but, look how the Tropcial Atlantic Shear has been running below average.....nearly every sector: GOM, Caribbean, ect. look the same.

If we have this below average shear continue into the August and September months....WE ARE IN TROUBLE!




Thank you sir. I've been trying to explain this for days now.
Member Since: July 13, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 5355
3281. sailingallover
1:42 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting serialteg:
that african wave looks healthy - i mean, its atlantic now

Wathc the one at 5N 19W.. the one to the north is in dust
Quoting P451:


Sure it does.

14-23 isn't a prediction it's a spread of confusion.

Will it be average. Will it be very active. We don't know so we'll just slide the whole scale in there.

If it's not important than why make a numerical prediction?

Well, they do, so they do find it important.

After seeing how inactive we've been so far I think it's reasonable to drop the predictions to 14-18 named storms. Which is still an active season.

I see StormW seems to concur citing 17-19.

Other forecasters also seem to be thinking along these lines.


I generally AVOID climatology and long term forecasting..yes it show trends and is sometimes accurate but...
A 17+-20% prediction when the range is 10 to 25 is statistically so probable of occurring it is a joke to call it a prediction at all
Member Since: September 1, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1007
3280. TampaSpin
1:40 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting reedzone:


Ike is correct, the big blotch of high wind shear will keep this in check unless it moves south, which doesnt appear to be happening. NAM doesn't really show shear in their forecasts lol. Though conditions in the Atlantic have improved ALOT since last week. I'm looking for Bonnie either by the end of the week or next week.


I hate to differ with you but,....Where! Anything South of Puerto Rico and the big islands is only 10kts of shear.....Where is the shear your referring too...Basically anything in the Caribbean is under only 10kts of Shear!
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
3279. blsealevel
1:38 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
3278. reedzone
1:37 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting btwntx08:

where


Ike is correct, the big blotch of high wind shear will keep this in check unless it moves south, which doesnt appear to be happening. NAM doesn't really show shear in their forecasts lol. Though conditions in the Atlantic have improved ALOT since last week. I'm looking for Bonnie either by the end of the week or next week.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7423
3277. TampaSpin
1:37 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
This tells all......i keep all sectors posted on my website.....but, look how the Tropcial Atlantic Shear has been running below average.....nearly every sector: GOM, Caribbean, ect. look the same.

If we have this below average shear continue into the August and September months....WE ARE IN TROUBLE!


Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
3276. btwntx08
1:36 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
its decreasing shead of it
Member Since: July 13, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 10796
3275. hydrus
1:36 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting P451:


The thing to watch is not the number of storms but knowing that we could have a high number of major hurricanes. Of which also have a pretty clear cut warm water path to all the US coastlines.

I thought the same thing.. I have an unusual prediction for this hurricane season...15/10/5...My thoughts were leaning toward a 1969 analog year The first named storm did not form until July 25. There were 12 hurricanes that year too. 18 named storms total.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21740
3274. btwntx08
1:34 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting IKE:
I do agree the wave approaching the islands is worth watching, but it's heading into shear, for now. Shear is lifting, but it may keep this in check for awhile.

Has little to no model support for now for anything significant, but that could change.

where
Member Since: July 13, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 10796
3273. IKE
1:32 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
From the Birmingham,AL. discussion......

COMPUTER MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE
WILL ONCE AGAIN GAIN STRENGTH BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND THUS
REDUCING RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY. IN FACT...THE LATEST TREND IS FOR
EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS TOWARDS THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. BOTH GFS
AND ECMWF SHOW NO POPS STARTING FRIDAY ONWARD.

THE REAL HEADLINE THOUGH FOR NEXT WEEK WILL BE THE TEMPERATURES.
MOS GUIDANCE...WHICH HEAVILY LEANS TOWARDS CLIMO...IS ALREADY
COMING IN WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TOWARDS THE END OF
THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS IS VERY SIGNIFICANT BECAUSE
MOS IS PROBABLY CUTTING AT LEAST 2 TO 3 DEGREES OF THE RAW
NUMBERS. IF THIS SOLUTION HOLDS UP...THEN THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE
THAT QUITE A FEW LOCATIONS COULD REACH 100 OR HIGHER BY NEXT
WEEKEND.


FORECAST WISE...WILL CONTINUE TO TREND WARMER THAN MOS AS
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT TEMPERATURES WILL GO ABOVE MOS IN
THE EXTENDED.


From New Orleans....

THE PATTERN WILL TURN HOTTER AND
DRIER HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES SPREADS WESTWARD AND ENVELOPES IN THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL
PROVIDE ENOUGH CONVECTIVE INHIBITION TO LIMIT MOST CONVECTION.
HAVE WENT WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF POPS AS SOME LOCALIZED LOW
LEVEL FORCING ALONG ANY SEABREEZE BOUNDARIES COULD ALLOW FOR AN
ISOLATED CELL TO DEVELOP. WITH SINKING AIR ALOFT...TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE MID
90S AND HEAT INDICES RISING TO NEAR 105.

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
3272. reedzone
1:32 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting reedzone:
BIG TIME improvemant shear wise.. just 2 blotches of high wind shear, one north of the Caribbean and one small one in the Eastern GOM.



Shear tendency really shows the improvment, again, any wave that stays around 10-15N and west of 50W has a good chance for development if conditions stay like this or improve even more.

You can easily make out the 2 blotches of high wind shear..



I felt it was very important to note that again, this includes the new wave off of Africa, if it stays south, it will develop, conditions are favorable.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7423
3271. CybrTeddy
1:30 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24471
3270. blsealevel
1:29 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
3269. all4hurricanes
1:29 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
I'm surprised we haven't had more storms shear is incredibly low and that is the main limiting factor for early season storms what is stopping the Africans waves from reaching the Caribbean?
Member Since: March 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2374
3268. jasoniscoolman2010x
1:29 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Low that has just come of the coast of africa got a big spin to it only needs more t.storms with it 1004MB LOW..
Member Since: July 4, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 965
3267. TampaSpin
1:28 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting extreme236:
06z NAM at 84 hours



That thingy in the GOM is the LL spin i was referring to just South of the Western Tip of Cuba....needs watched very closely.....and there is no doubt in my opinion that we have our first true Cape Verde storm forming very soon that has emerged off the Coast of Africa but, that is harmless for only now.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
3266. Dakster
1:28 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting serialteg:


strong winds from an area of disturbed weather caused the centreamerican games of 2010 stadium rigging to collapse, maiming several victims and crashing into various brand-new cars

Link


Thanks for raining on my good hopes...

And I just read an article from CNN that all of our satellites will have to be recalibrated as the upper layer of the Earth's atmosphere is contracting for unknown reasons...
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10567
3265. jasoniscoolman2010x
1:26 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting extreme236:
06z NAM at 84 hours

wow two storms..
Member Since: July 4, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 965
3264. serialteg
1:25 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
that african wave looks healthy - i mean, its atlantic now
Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 1988
3263. mcluvincane
1:25 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
I have a gut feeling things are about to pop in the atlantic
Member Since: June 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1390
3262. gordydunnot
1:25 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
I think area in the lesser Antilles gets a orange at 2.Tampa I think if they get some oil flowing that would release some of the pressure. I guess it's a calculation of friction vs. pressure. I say if they can load up a couple of super tankers or whatever that's less to spill in the gulf in case it starts leaking again.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3113
3261. TampaSpin
1:24 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Many have been talking about Shear......outside of the pocket of shear in the Bahamas from a TUTT and that is only 20kts...there is less than 15kts everywhere else or less! Anything in the Caribbean is free sailing for the most part except in the very Northern Edge........conditions are pretty dang good for July 18th.....





Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
3260. nrtiwlnvragn
1:24 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Several of the GEFS members have been consistent the last four model cycles in developing the system coming off the African coast.



Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11269
3259. blsealevel
1:23 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
3258. extreme236
1:20 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
06z NAM at 84 hours

Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
3257. AussieStorm
1:20 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting TampaSpin:
LOL.....i just heard on MSNBC that BP says the CAP test is holding and no oil is coming out....and they might start capturing some oil.....WHAT THE HELL....if no oil is coming out why then are they wanting to capture oil then...unless it is for profit......you gotta be kidding!

I wouldn't be surprised if they cap the well... connect with the other well and continue as normal, and just filling the broken well.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
3256. wunderkidcayman
1:18 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
we have another AOI guys that I expect the NHC will take note of whick is our Low that has just come of the coast of africa and quite healty as well


Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12400
3255. weatherguy03
1:18 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Tropical Update w/ Video
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29707
3254. OneDrop
1:18 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting gordydunnot:
It seems to me over the last several years that until someone can forecast the ull that seem to be forming ne of PR heading west to southwest it's going to be hard to predict storm numbers. I think do to upper atmospheric turbulence between the N. pole and the equator we are seeing a lot of air trying to mix or equalize not the best situation for T.S. formation. If you can't tell by now no meteorologist here, just observationist. But shear does seem to be gradually backing off this year. I think we will have a second half August and early Sept. to remember so to speak.

I noticed that too and wondered how that was taken into account when modeling storm systems or forecasting tropical weather.
Member Since: May 25, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 146
3253. jasoniscoolman2010x
1:16 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
look at this.
Member Since: July 4, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 965
3252. TampaSpin
1:16 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Nice LL spin just south of the Western Tip of Cuba.....moving into the GOM.....needs watched!
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
3251. sailingallover
1:12 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Watch the convection(wave? can't get good sat) at 5N 19W and the one NE just coming off the coast. The NE one has rotation but the dust is probably going to dampen it. The 5N 19W one is far enough south to be out of the dust and will get some energy from a trailing trough in the SA. With the wave coming over the windwards tomorrow and the western Caribbean having two waves. We could have 3 invests by midweek.
Member Since: September 1, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1007

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.