Tropical Depression Two Along South Texas Coast

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:46 PM GMT on July 08, 2010

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Hello everybody, this is Senior Meteorologist Shaun Tanner writing Dr. Masters' blog while he is on vacation.

Tropical Depression Two formed overnight in the northern Bay of Campeche and is now making landfall along the extreme south coast of Texas. A hurricane hunter was sent into the system and found a low-level circulation. While there are some reports of tropical storm strength winds in the squalls of the system, there is just not enough evidence to upgrade the storm to tropical storm strength before landfall.

The satellite representation of the depression is quite impressive as half of the depression is now over landfall. Brownsville radar currently is showing the effects of the depression with heavy rain and thunderstorms through much of southern Texas.

The biggest lingering effect from the depression will be to prolong the devastating flooding that has been ongoing in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Not including the rain that will fall due to the depression, over the past 7 days, the area near Houston has received over 10 inches of rain, while some inland areas of Texas has received over 4 inches of rain. The problem gets worse in the Mexican state of Coahuila near the Texas border has received upwards of 20 inches of rain in the past 7 days due to substantial moisture pouring into the area.

This surging watershed has caused massive flooding throughout the region, with the area near Laredo, Texas and Nuevo Laredo, Mexico being the hardest hit. The flooding has caused the major border crossing between those two cities to be closed as the Rio Grande surged and threatened to top the crossing's bridge. A contingent of Mexican officials, including the mayor of Piedras Negras, Coahuila, touring the flooding damage in an airplane crashed Wednesday, killing all six onboard. Evacuations on both sides of the border has forced tens of thousands of people out of their homes, while over 100,000 people were without water service. The flooding problem is extra dangerous because swollen dams had to release some of their water downstream into areas that towns that have already been swamped. It was even reported that one of these releases by the National Water Commission of Mexico was the largest emergency water release in the country.

Needless to say, the rain from Tropical Depression Two will only further the flooding problems in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Figure 3 shows the severe map and the greens represent Flood Watches and Warnings. You can see almost the entire states of Texas and Oklahoma are under these watches and warnings in anticipation of several inches of rain from the remnants of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 1. Satellite loop of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 2. Storm-centered radar as depression makes landfall.


Figure 3. Severe map.

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AOI

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TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2025. centex
Quoting winter123:
Anyone else looking at the 0% chance circle storm NHC has? This thing really organized fast, it looks like a TD now! If it survives the crossing I'd say better than 75% chance EPAC storm.
Looks best in motion - Link

Yes looked good except big land issue.
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2024. JLPR2
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
I usually give out cyber-cookies when people are right. LOL.


ha!
But I have given and received cookies before. :P
*takes the jar of cookies from MH9 and runs away*
LOL! XD
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Quoting centex:
Entry into raffle for blogger of the day. Prize is only WU t-shirt but only in extra small.



lol you can keep it
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JLPR2:
Looks like the GFS is up to something

Weak Low with a wave and lookie:

Its sitting at the coast


Well, there's nothing eminent so I thought why not publish this? LOL!
To make the blog go loco.LoL.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Ldog74:


Good thing nothing out there looks all too threatening at the moment.

All things as expected is a good thing.
I have been shopping shopping shopping...
Finally got my wardrobe for fall all set as well as my hurricane supplies for the summer. So I am a happy camper and totally worn out.
Saw some good old friends this evening and now I can happily hibernate for some time!
Have a good evening (or what's left of it) and Best Regards to everyone.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2019. centex
Quoting Tazmanian:
YAY i was commet 2000 what do i win
Entry into raffle for blogger of the day. Prize is only WU t-shirt but only in extra small.
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2018. JLPR2
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
How about this one?


ATCF


Yep, that's a nice one!
But I need pages with less links or I'll get confused LOL! :P
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Did all you Miami peeps watch that media circus with Lebron James?
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Anyone else looking at the 0% chance circle storm NHC has? This thing really organized fast, it looks like a TD now! If it survives the crossing I'd say better than 75% chance EPAC storm.
Looks best in motion - Link

Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 1802
Quoting JLPR2:


If its a joke I didn't get it. O.o?
LOL!
I usually give out cyber-cookies when people are right. LOL.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting JLPR2:


Check the link, it takes me back to this page. XD
How about this one?

ATCF
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
2013. JLPR2
Quoting hunkerdown:
stealing MH09's show are you...


If its a joke I didn't get it. O.o?
LOL!
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Quoting hunkerdown:
48 hour ban



lol
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2011. JLPR2
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Yo prefiero usar este sitio al buscar invests.

ATCF

Ok, now back to English.


Check the link, it takes me back to this page. XD
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Quoting JLPR2:


maybe a cookie? Is that ok? :P
stealing MH09's show are you...
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2009. JLPR2
Quoting hunkerdown:
48 hour ban


Ouch! That's a terrible prize. LOL!
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2008. Ldog74
Quoting Chicklit:
conditions looking marginally favorable this evening.


Good thing nothing out there looks all too threatening at the moment.
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Will see if anything is happening in the morning, but tend to believe the statistics are right and that nothing will start up with any significance until late July/August.
Yes, this is a safe bet.
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Quoting JLPR2:


Nope, but if that one would have had an extra day over water It would have been tagged or probably named, nice compact and healthy looking one, but not enough time.
Keep an eye on the Navy page, they post the invests there. :)
y no hay de que. ^^
Yo prefiero usar este sitio al buscar invests.

ATCF

Ok, now back to English.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
2005. JLPR2
Quoting Tazmanian:
YAY i was commet 2000 what do i win


maybe a cookie? Is that ok? :P
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2004. Prgal
Quoting Tazmanian:
YAY i was commet 2000 what do i win


Hehehe, a goodnight kiss Taz...muaks!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tazmanian:
YAY i was commet 2000 what do i win
48 hour ban
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
YAY i was commet 2000 what do i win
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2001. Prgal
Quoting JLPR2:


Nope, but if that one would have had an extra day over water It would have been tagged or probably named, nice compact and healthy looking one, but not enough time.
Keep an eye on the Navy page, they post the invests there. :)
y no hay de que. ^^


Ok, got the page and will keep it in my bookmarks. Good night everybody!
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wind shear is low
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i think will see 97L next week
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do what are the mode runs wishcasteing up tonight?
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1997. JLPR2
Quoting Prgal:

Gracias! I thought that anything showing in the NHC page was an invest :-P


Nope, but if that one would have had an extra day over water It would have been tagged or probably named, nice compact and healthy looking one, but not enough time.
Keep an eye on the Navy page, they post the invests there. :)
y no hay de que. ^^
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Prgal:
Link
That's not an invest?
Nope.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
We won't. It just happens that the Caribbean had the most favorable conditions when TD #2 and Alex developed. If one of those systems would have formed north of the Caribbean it would have been a completely different track.



ok
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Atlantic should remain quiet for another 48 hours or so before we see 97L.



From your mouth to Mother Nature's ears!!
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Quoting Tazmanian:



all come on now not all overe i hop we dont see this for the rest of the seaon i dont think MX could stan it
We won't. It just happens that the Caribbean had the most favorable conditions when TD #2 and Alex developed. If one of those systems would have formed north of the Caribbean it would have been a completely different track.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
1992. Prgal
Quoting JLPR2:


Nope, it was never labeled

Gracias! I thought that anything showing in the NHC page was an invest :-P
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Quoting JLPR2:


Nope, it was never labeled



it had no time
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1990. scott39
Here is a very cool site!
http://weather.myfoxtampabay.com/maps/WTVT/custom/models/ecmwf.html
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conditions looking marginally favorable this evening.
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1988. JLPR2
Quoting Prgal:
Link
That's not an invest?


Nope, it was never labeled
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Yes. I'm going against the models and forecasting the next invest to be tagged in the western Caribbean, something similar to Alex and TD #2.



all come on now not all overe i hop we dont see this for the rest of the seaon i dont think MX could stan it
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Once the conditions are right west of Africa then there may be too many storms to keep up with?
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1985. Prgal
Link
That's not an invest?
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1984. centex
Quoting hunkerdown:
Gulf-caster :P
anti-caster no matter what. Like Levi chasing the swirl to the N when all the profressionals left it a day before.
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Quoting Prgal:


But we do have another invest in the Atlantic, right?
At the moment, no.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
1982. Prgal
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Atlantic should remain quiet for another 48 hours or so before we see 97L.



But we do have another invest in the Atlantic, right?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Nevermind, got it. Too bad the wave is under 60-70 knots of shear.
I don't think that's a bad thing.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting hunkerdown:
Gulf-caster :P
LOL, actually Bay-of-Campeche-Caster because that ridge over the NE bringing that nasty heat wave is forecasted to move southward over the SE U.S not only bringing soaring temperatures to those areas but should protect them from any tropical activity.

PSU e-WALL steering at 96 hours, note the ridge over the SE U.S.

Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Hello Wunderbloggers.
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Nevermind, got it. Too bad the wave is under 60-70 knots of shear.
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1977. JLPR2
Looks like the GFS is up to something

Weak Low with a wave and lookie:

Its sitting at the coast


Well, there's nothing eminent so I thought why not publish this? LOL!
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Crown Weather Services has awesome satellite of Africa, plus Wunderground then Accuweather plus these bloggers, How can you not be smart about the tropics?
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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