Tropical Depression Two Along South Texas Coast

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:46 PM GMT on July 08, 2010

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Hello everybody, this is Senior Meteorologist Shaun Tanner writing Dr. Masters' blog while he is on vacation.

Tropical Depression Two formed overnight in the northern Bay of Campeche and is now making landfall along the extreme south coast of Texas. A hurricane hunter was sent into the system and found a low-level circulation. While there are some reports of tropical storm strength winds in the squalls of the system, there is just not enough evidence to upgrade the storm to tropical storm strength before landfall.

The satellite representation of the depression is quite impressive as half of the depression is now over landfall. Brownsville radar currently is showing the effects of the depression with heavy rain and thunderstorms through much of southern Texas.

The biggest lingering effect from the depression will be to prolong the devastating flooding that has been ongoing in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Not including the rain that will fall due to the depression, over the past 7 days, the area near Houston has received over 10 inches of rain, while some inland areas of Texas has received over 4 inches of rain. The problem gets worse in the Mexican state of Coahuila near the Texas border has received upwards of 20 inches of rain in the past 7 days due to substantial moisture pouring into the area.

This surging watershed has caused massive flooding throughout the region, with the area near Laredo, Texas and Nuevo Laredo, Mexico being the hardest hit. The flooding has caused the major border crossing between those two cities to be closed as the Rio Grande surged and threatened to top the crossing's bridge. A contingent of Mexican officials, including the mayor of Piedras Negras, Coahuila, touring the flooding damage in an airplane crashed Wednesday, killing all six onboard. Evacuations on both sides of the border has forced tens of thousands of people out of their homes, while over 100,000 people were without water service. The flooding problem is extra dangerous because swollen dams had to release some of their water downstream into areas that towns that have already been swamped. It was even reported that one of these releases by the National Water Commission of Mexico was the largest emergency water release in the country.

Needless to say, the rain from Tropical Depression Two will only further the flooding problems in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Figure 3 shows the severe map and the greens represent Flood Watches and Warnings. You can see almost the entire states of Texas and Oklahoma are under these watches and warnings in anticipation of several inches of rain from the remnants of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 1. Satellite loop of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 2. Storm-centered radar as depression makes landfall.


Figure 3. Severe map.

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Quoting Jedkins01:
For any new bloggers, centex is a liar, don't listen to him. I probably didn't need to warn though, cause there obviously is no reason to give credit to someone this hateful.

At any rate, Levi does a real great job, and centex will be gone soon enough, so everything will settle down soon enough.



thank you sir
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2124. JLPR2
Quoting Tazmanian:



re ported


LOL Taz you report everything? J/k, dont report me :S
LOL!
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For any new bloggers, centex is a liar, don't listen to him. I probably didn't need to warn though, cause there obviously is no reason to give credit to someone this hateful.

At any rate, Levi does a real great job, and centex will be gone soon enough, so everything will settle down soon enough.
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Centex, everyone makes mistakes. Try not to focus too much on the mistakes Levi has done; focus on the efficacy of the majority of his forecasts and the importance of his valuable contributions here.
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.
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Quoting beell:



Stock price soars on a Friday (around $32US)
Investors make the most of a bad situation, and have a nice weekend.


Do I detect a cynical note? If so, I think you're right on the ball.
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can we Plzs stop : Quoteing centex all your doing is feeding him
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2117. JRRP
NGP
Link
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2116. beell
Quoting CoffinWood:


Hmm, what do you make of this latest story?

Feds say new cap could contain Gulf leak by Monday



Stock price soars on a Friday with the news(around $32US)
Investors make the most of a bad situation, and have a nice weekend.
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Quoting centex:
I think you know details but don't know how to apply it. It takes experience. Keep up the study because you have potential but I can out forecast you using just internet images. I know 1/10 the science but get forecast better than you. I question when you give poor explanation, like the dmax/dmin thing you did a poor job and was not learning experience for bloggers. From a senior I'm just trying to get you on a better track. Lesson is you’re arrogant and forecaster needs to be scientific and apply experience.. You’ve let the blog respect get to your head, especially considering how your forecasts which have been wrong and differ from professionals who have been right. There are several other professional bloggers who don’t make your mistakes. Just challenging you to up your game it does not impress me.




What the heck is wrong with this dude centex? I pray he gets banned permanently... Seriously Ive never seen anything this ridiculous over the long years Ive been on here.
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2114. centex
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Should have been on the night TD2 was declared.
I was and levi may have been still following LL swirl to the north. He had whole blog wondering why NHC and models were following another system. Do you guys remember the confusion. I was not confused and NHC was not confused, only WU blog lead by levi was confused.
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2113. Levi32
Quoting beell:
Levi, I can maybe see how my "last word" comment may have been perceived in a negative fashion. All I meant was I had come to the end of my questions for the night and you could move on to something else.

There...now I can sleep.


Oh it's all good Beell. A little too much tension in here tonight. You know I always enjoy conversing with you. Have a good night =)
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26556
2112. beell
Levi, I can maybe see how my "last word" comment may have been perceived in a negative fashion. All I meant was I had come to the end of my questions for the night and you could move on to something else.

There...now I can sleep.
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Quoting Tazmanian:


plzs dont Quote him hes doing this too make other bloger mad am all so starting too see this has a personal attacks on a other blog Quoting him this makes thing even more wors then they are


No more quoting for me. I think you're right.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:


Should have been on the night TD2 was declared.


plzs dont Quote him hes doing this too make other bloger mad am all so starting too see this has a personal attacks on a other blog Quoting him this makes thing even more wors then they are
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2108. Levi32
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Should have been on the night TD2 was declared.


Though, I ultimately ended up believing they did the right thing. I just wanted to see more consistency with other storms was all.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26556
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I hope it turns out to be true coffinwood.


I'll believe it when I see it...
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Quoting centex:
Seems like NHC on ignore list. Levi is my prime blogger with most respect who differs from NHC. I watch blog for breaking events not foolish blogers who think they know better.


Should have been on the night TD2 was declared.
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2105. JRRP
Quoting futuremet:
I can't wait for winter when it's all about GW. There are too many heated disputes here.

jajaajaja
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Quoting Skyepony:
For another latenight installment of tales from the Gulf..US Navy evacuates GOM.. I checked the tsunami warning page it works fine. & the military's story for heading to Costa Rico is to fight the War on Drugs.. Didn't really look to see if the Navy had any ships in Gulf or not. Would be nice if they stuck around to end BP spraying Corexit & trampling our constitutional rights..


Hmm, what do you make of this latest story?

Feds say new cap could contain Gulf leak by Monday
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Things are way too quiet in the explosive Caribbean Sea. Drum roll ....
Member Since: August 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 502
Quoting centex:
As you can tell I've lost total respect in Levi. He frequently differs from NHC and while I don't take NHC as gospel, I believe them long before I believe the crap analysis Levi gives. He obviously has no experience. Don’t let him fool you, not saying believe me I would never say the type of crap he says. He does not have experience and that matters most, he just has not learned that.


you been re ported that is a personal attack
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Centex, you have the right to give your opinion and disagree with others. However, do it in a tactful way that will not harm others.
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2098. Skyepony (Mod)
For another latenight installment of tales from the Gulf..US Navy evacuates GOM.. I checked the tsunami warning page it works fine. & the military's story for heading to Costa Rico is to fight the War on Drugs.. Didn't really look to see if the Navy had any ships in Gulf or not. Would be nice if they stuck around to end BP spraying Corexit & trampling our constitutional rights..
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Quoting futuremet:
I can't wait for winter when it's all about GW. There are too many heated disputes here.



shhhhhhhhh
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I can't wait for winter when it's all about GW. There are too many heated disputes here.
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Quoting MississippiWx:


All I've seen Levi do when talking about the season as a whole is preach about how active it's going to be eventually. Last time I checked, NOAA is going with an average of 18.5 storms. Last time I checked Levi's prediction, he said 18 storms. I don't think there has been anything weird at all about this season so far or with anything Levi has said. You are just too caught up in trying to get attention for yourself because you can't stand him being right and getting respect. Oh, and StormW and Levi usually go right in line with the same opinions. You think Storm doesn't know what he's talking about too? I'm sorry, but YOU, sir, have no idea what you're talking about. Bye bye.


yup this put him right up all Ignore wait re port him then put him on Ignore am talking about centex that is
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Quoting MississippiWx:


All I've seen Levi do when talking about the season as a whole is preach about how active it's going to be eventually. Last time I checked, NOAA is going with an average of 18.5 storms. Last time I checked Levi's prediction, he said 18 storms. I don't think there has been anything weird at all about this season so far or with anything Levi has said. You are just too caught up in trying to get attention for yourself because you can't stand him being right and getting respect. Oh, and StormW and Levi usually go right in line with the same opinions. You think Storm doesn't know what he's talking about too? I'm sorry, but YOU, sir, have no idea what you're talking about. Bye bye.


True story. Night all.
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Quoting centex:
Wonder why this season seems strange and why your questioning what is going on, it's Levi leading you astray. Why NHC does this or that, only reason your confused is Levi.


All I've seen Levi do when talking about the season as a whole is preach about how active it's going to be eventually. Last time I checked, NOAA is going with an average of 18.5 storms. Last time I checked Levi's prediction, he said 18 storms. I don't think there has been anything weird at all about this season so far or with anything Levi has said. You are just too caught up in trying to get attention for yourself because you can't stand him being right and getting respect. Oh, and StormW and Levi usually go right in line with the same opinions. You think Storm doesn't know what he's talking about too? I'm sorry, but YOU, sir, have no idea what you're talking about. Bye bye.
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Quoting jaevortex:


I'm shocked Taz... I was going to sleep when I saw his post wow.. What a jerk




i am too
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2090. gator23
Quoting centex:
Wonder why this season seems strange and why your questioning what is going on, it's Levi leading you astray. Why NHC does this or that, only reason your confused is Levi.

mail centex
Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2162
Quoting Tazmanian:



this put him on | Ignore


I'm shocked Taz... I was going to sleep when I saw his post wow.. What a jerk
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Quoting centex:
Wonder why this season seems strange and why your questioning what is going on, it's Levi leading you astray. Why NHC does this or that, only reason your confused is Levi.


LOL...Levi has nothing to do with any confusion about the NHC's practices this season. If anything it's all the other people whining about it.
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Quoting jaevortex:


wow ... I can't believe you just said this.



this put him on | Ignore
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Quoting centex:
Wonder why this season seems strange and why your questioning what is going on, it's Levi leading you astray. Why NHC does this or that, only reason your confused is Levi.


wow ... I can't believe you just said this.
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2083. beell
Quoting Levi32:


I don't need a last word....wasn't aware this was really a debate.

The semi-permanent monsoonal circulation that you mentioned is normally positioned over Panama, but it was located farther north than normal over the western Caribbean when Alex formed, along with the entire trade wind regime across the Caribbean. That's all I was saying.


Just a dicussion, Levi. I am not centex!
Sincere...and good night folks.
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Quoting centex:
Seems like NHC on ignore list. Levi is my prime blogger with most respect who differs from NHC. I watch blog for breaking events not foolish blogers who think they know better.


Poof!
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Quoting Orcasystems:


I did... hilarious :)


;) Well I'm outta here night! Night bloggers. Oh and Levi don't let that dude get to you. You're spot on awesome.
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2078. Levi32
Quoting beell:
A by product of the ocean-land circulation over NW S America and low surface pressures just off coast in the far SW the Caribbean? A permanent mini-monsoon or gyre during the season?

Anywayz, I'll keep my eyes and mind open. I may be convinced of this "new" way of looking at things by season's end.

And because I am such a nice guy...you may have the last word on this paticular exchange tonight if you wish!

Appreciate your thoughts.


I don't need a last word....wasn't aware this was really a debate.

The semi-permanent monsoonal circulation that you mentioned is normally positioned over Panama, but it was located farther north than normal over the western Caribbean when Alex formed, along with the entire trade wind regime across the Caribbean. That's all I was saying.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26556
Quoting Tazmanian:



lol lol lol and you say am bad lol
People may joke about your posts at times but at least you have a valid excuse...
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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.