Tropical Depression Two Along South Texas Coast

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:46 PM GMT on July 08, 2010

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Hello everybody, this is Senior Meteorologist Shaun Tanner writing Dr. Masters' blog while he is on vacation.

Tropical Depression Two formed overnight in the northern Bay of Campeche and is now making landfall along the extreme south coast of Texas. A hurricane hunter was sent into the system and found a low-level circulation. While there are some reports of tropical storm strength winds in the squalls of the system, there is just not enough evidence to upgrade the storm to tropical storm strength before landfall.

The satellite representation of the depression is quite impressive as half of the depression is now over landfall. Brownsville radar currently is showing the effects of the depression with heavy rain and thunderstorms through much of southern Texas.

The biggest lingering effect from the depression will be to prolong the devastating flooding that has been ongoing in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Not including the rain that will fall due to the depression, over the past 7 days, the area near Houston has received over 10 inches of rain, while some inland areas of Texas has received over 4 inches of rain. The problem gets worse in the Mexican state of Coahuila near the Texas border has received upwards of 20 inches of rain in the past 7 days due to substantial moisture pouring into the area.

This surging watershed has caused massive flooding throughout the region, with the area near Laredo, Texas and Nuevo Laredo, Mexico being the hardest hit. The flooding has caused the major border crossing between those two cities to be closed as the Rio Grande surged and threatened to top the crossing's bridge. A contingent of Mexican officials, including the mayor of Piedras Negras, Coahuila, touring the flooding damage in an airplane crashed Wednesday, killing all six onboard. Evacuations on both sides of the border has forced tens of thousands of people out of their homes, while over 100,000 people were without water service. The flooding problem is extra dangerous because swollen dams had to release some of their water downstream into areas that towns that have already been swamped. It was even reported that one of these releases by the National Water Commission of Mexico was the largest emergency water release in the country.

Needless to say, the rain from Tropical Depression Two will only further the flooding problems in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Figure 3 shows the severe map and the greens represent Flood Watches and Warnings. You can see almost the entire states of Texas and Oklahoma are under these watches and warnings in anticipation of several inches of rain from the remnants of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 1. Satellite loop of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 2. Storm-centered radar as depression makes landfall.


Figure 3. Severe map.

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1426. angiest
Quoting Squid28:


I cannot believe I forgot my favorite of all time....

Uncertain,TX


Flatonia has gently rolling hills.
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1425. SQUAWK
Quoting DestinJeff:
Ok, all at once ... let's everyone stare at the SW Caribbean blob and execute the game-plan as practiced:

Ike, you take comparisons to 2007.
KMan, you've got convergence monitoring and ASCAT passes.
MH09, you handle NHC product posting.
Drak, you're on downcasting.
Reed, you're on upcasting.
Levi and Storm, we'll need some thorough analysis after every new frame of satellite imagery.
Pat, RADAR.

Ok. The rest of you standby incase someone falls out. I think we can get this thing to land before intensification fairly easily, but it will take some dedication!

Let's roll!


The best I have seen yet!!!!!
+22
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1424. EricSFL
Excellent infovideo Levi! Best explanation than any I've seen about the tropical Atlantic.
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1423. xcool
Levi32 how about joe video crazy stuff huh
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1422. Levi32
12z ECMWF giving ishy hints again for trouble down the road in the eastern Atlantic, but nothing really concrete on this run.

240 hours:

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26547
1421. Squid28
Quoting nw5b:


How about Truth or Consequences, NM?
Yes...It is named after the TV game show...

Tom


I cannot believe I forgot my favorite of all time....

Uncertain,TX
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Quoting Floodman:


I would hardly call a fine kolache from the Czech Stop a "churched up pig in a blanket"...particularly the poppy seed variety


LOL I know...I was refering to the now mainstream "kolache" sold at across our great land at your finer Taquerías...and 7-11.
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1418. xcool
wow on ,ECMWF cv storms
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1417. nw5b
Quoting Squid28:


Don't forget
Turkey, TX
Africa, TX
Paris, TX


How about Truth or Consequences, NM?
Yes...It is named after the TV game show...

Tom
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ConchHondros:


Kolaches...HAH thats Texan for churched up pig in a blanket right?


I would hardly call a fine kolache from the Czech Stop a "churched up pig in a blanket"...particularly the poppy seed variety
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1415. afj3
Quoting afj3:
Hello all,
What is that thing just east of the Turks and Caicos? Anything brewing?

Nevermind. Just answered my own question....
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1414. Squid28
Quoting heavyweatherwatcher:
West, Texas is the epicenter for Czech Texans... they have a dozen Czech this and Czech that in the town...


Really good kolaches, also the old west general store nice cold beer.....
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1413. afj3
Hello all,
What is that thing just east of the Turks and Caicos? Anything brewing?
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1412. Squid28
Quoting P451:


Also Boston, TX. Chicago, TX. Earth, TX. Palestine, TX.

I guess when the state is so big you run out of names and just say.. "F'it...name it ____"


Texas Towns A to Z



edit: some more...

Charlotte, TX
Cheeseland, TX
Columbus, TX
Cut and Shoot, TX
Memphis, TX

etc...


Don't forget
Turkey, TX
Africa, TX
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1411. angiest
Quoting DestinJeff:
Ok, all at once ... let's everyone stare at the SW Caribbean blob and execute the game-plan as practiced:

Ike, you take comparisons to 2007.
KMan, you've got convergence monitoring and ASCAT passes.
MH09, you handle NHC product posting.
Drak, you're on downcasting.
Reed, you're on upcasting.
Levi and Storm, we'll need some thorough analysis after every new frame of satellite imagery.
Pat, RADAR.

Ok. The rest of you standby incase someone falls out. I think we can get this thing to land before intensification fairly easily, but it will take some dedication!

Let's roll!


You left out Stormtop or stormkat or whatever his name is forecasting a direct hit to NOLA as a cat 5 with 300 mph and a 60ft surge.
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Quoting CaneAddict:


That's an intimidating little system..good thing it's heading straight for land.



how can that be a good thing
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting DestinJeff:
Ok, all at once ... let's everyone stare at the SW Caribbean blob and execute the game-plan as practiced:

Ike, you take comparisons to 2007.
KMan, you've got convergence monitoring and ASCAT passes.
MH09, you handle NHC product posting.
Drak, you're on downcasting.
Reed, you're on upcasting.
Levi and Storm, we'll need some thorough analysis after every new frame of satellite imagery.
Pat, RADAR.

Ok. The rest of you standby incase someone falls out. I think we can get this thing to land before intensification fairly easily, but it will take some dedication!

Let's roll!


LOL!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1406. angiest
Quoting ConchHondros:


Kolaches...HAH thats Texan for churched up pig in a blanket right?


Real Czech kolache's are a bread product with a fruit topping in the middle, similar to what we would call a Danish. Pigs in a blanket are something else.
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1405. Levi32
Quoting RickWPB:
Levi,

I enjoyed viewing your video. Nice job!


Thank you :)
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26547
Quoting CaneAddict:


That's an intimidating little system..good thing it's heading straight for land.


Well technically it's got somewhat of a northward component. Theres room for it to go further north.
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Quoting Floodman:


YOu have to stop liong enough to eat at one of the bakeries...I drive 60+ miles every now and thenm for some of the kolaches from the Czech Stop, right off I-35


Kolaches...HAH thats Texan for churched up pig in a blanket right?
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1402. angiest
Quoting LoneStarWeather:

By-oh


We have a winner.
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Quoting kmanislander:
1010 mb. Our next Invest ??



That's an intimidating little system..good thing it's heading straight for land.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1400. angiest
Quoting Floodman:


YOu have to stop liong enough to eat at one of the bakeries...I drive 60+ miles every now and thenm for some of the kolaches from the Czech Stop, right off I-35


We stop there sometimes heading to or from relatives in Dallas.

Downtown there is Kolacek's Kolache Kitchen, they are also good.
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Quoting WestchesterCounty:
Levi, is the 12Z ECM showing anything out there, or no?


12z ECMWF looks quiet, JFV.
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keep your fingers crossed that everything stays out of the Gulf...read today that the first relief well could break through in 7 to 10 days and then they can start the sealing process. we dont need any weather to slow that down.
Member Since: May 20, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1640
Quoting TexasHurricane:
I wonder how long the GOM will stay this way...



Now that's what I like to see this time of year. Ashley from Nola.
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This blog is the best barometer for the tropics at any given moment!
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Quoting Floodman:




Flood!
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Quoting Hurricanes101:
SW Caribbean does look quite interesting at the moment


No kidding.
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Quoting heavyweatherwatcher:
West, Texas is the epicenter for Czech Texans... they have a dozen Czech this and Czech that in the town...


YOu have to stop liong enough to eat at one of the bakeries...I drive 60+ miles every now and thenm for some of the kolaches from the Czech Stop, right off I-35
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HurricaneObserver:
wow, nearly 24 hours and less than 1300 posts? Where is everyone?


I'm still here - just lurking, as I have for the past few years. Rarely do I let a day go by from June 1st through November without scanning all the comments and reading Storm W, etc. I just keep my mouth shut, generally. I learn more that way, and steer clear of the drama.
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1391. RickWPB
Levi,

I enjoyed viewing your video. Nice job!
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Quoting angiest:


I'll give you San Felipe. Bayou isn't actually right, though. Although you don't find very many people pronouncing it the Houston way any more.

By-oh
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Carribean system looking interesting. Gonna be inland tho..might be play in the EPAC tho.
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Houston is known as the By you City.
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Quoting angiest:


I'll give you San Felipe. Bayou isn't actually right, though. Although you don't find very many people pronouncing it the Houston way any more.



Ive lived on the shores of Bayou Grande all of my life. By-you is how everyone I know pronounces it.
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1384. angiest
Quoting weatherneophyte:


San Fa-leap-a and By you.


I'll give you San Felipe. Bayou isn't actually right, though. Although you don't find very many people pronouncing it the Houston way any more.
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Quoting angiest:


How are San Felipe and Bayou pronounced?


San Fa-leap-a and By you.
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1381. Levi32
Quoting kmanislander:
1010 mb. Our next Invest ??



I kind of doubt it really.....it's got nice mid-level structure but the surface winds coming out its west side on visible imagery are all easterly and the vorticity pattern is reminiscent of an elongated monsoonal circulation which you can get down there a lot. It needs to gain latitude but it won't get it. It's a straight west pot-shot into central America.

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26547
Quoting TexasHurricane:
I wonder how long the GOM will stay this way...



It's just heating up now with barely any cloud cover.
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1379. angiest
Quoting kmanislander:
1010 mb. Our next Invest ??



Where? There's not enough land to place it.
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SW Caribbean does look quite interesting at the moment
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7367
Vorticity on the rise all day and now well defined at the 2500 foot level

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I wonder how long the GOM will stay this way...

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.