Tropical Depression Two Along South Texas Coast

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:46 PM GMT on July 08, 2010

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Hello everybody, this is Senior Meteorologist Shaun Tanner writing Dr. Masters' blog while he is on vacation.

Tropical Depression Two formed overnight in the northern Bay of Campeche and is now making landfall along the extreme south coast of Texas. A hurricane hunter was sent into the system and found a low-level circulation. While there are some reports of tropical storm strength winds in the squalls of the system, there is just not enough evidence to upgrade the storm to tropical storm strength before landfall.

The satellite representation of the depression is quite impressive as half of the depression is now over landfall. Brownsville radar currently is showing the effects of the depression with heavy rain and thunderstorms through much of southern Texas.

The biggest lingering effect from the depression will be to prolong the devastating flooding that has been ongoing in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Not including the rain that will fall due to the depression, over the past 7 days, the area near Houston has received over 10 inches of rain, while some inland areas of Texas has received over 4 inches of rain. The problem gets worse in the Mexican state of Coahuila near the Texas border has received upwards of 20 inches of rain in the past 7 days due to substantial moisture pouring into the area.

This surging watershed has caused massive flooding throughout the region, with the area near Laredo, Texas and Nuevo Laredo, Mexico being the hardest hit. The flooding has caused the major border crossing between those two cities to be closed as the Rio Grande surged and threatened to top the crossing's bridge. A contingent of Mexican officials, including the mayor of Piedras Negras, Coahuila, touring the flooding damage in an airplane crashed Wednesday, killing all six onboard. Evacuations on both sides of the border has forced tens of thousands of people out of their homes, while over 100,000 people were without water service. The flooding problem is extra dangerous because swollen dams had to release some of their water downstream into areas that towns that have already been swamped. It was even reported that one of these releases by the National Water Commission of Mexico was the largest emergency water release in the country.

Needless to say, the rain from Tropical Depression Two will only further the flooding problems in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Figure 3 shows the severe map and the greens represent Flood Watches and Warnings. You can see almost the entire states of Texas and Oklahoma are under these watches and warnings in anticipation of several inches of rain from the remnants of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 1. Satellite loop of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 2. Storm-centered radar as depression makes landfall.


Figure 3. Severe map.

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1476. angiest
Quoting TexasGulf:


I went to K-State. In 1987 (or was it '86), both K-State & KU went the entire football season, including both pre-season games without scoring a single point. The finale of the season was the infamous KU - K-State game with both teams ranked 109th & 110th. It was called the 'toilet bowl'.

People went to the game because; 1) somebody has to score a point. 2) The loser would be ranked worst in the nation.

That was the last year that a NCAA football game was allowed to end in a tie. Final score was 10 - 10. Neither team had won, and both were ranked worst in the nation. The after game parties were a bit deflated.

I would rather play football for Defeated High School. During those 3-4 years, with Stan Parrish as coach... K-State was pre-defeated before the football season started.


Not quite as bad, but I went to UH when we had the Love Coach...
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Gods Sake... Look at all the oil! Not to mention there is nothing left of our coast.

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1474. angiest
Quoting DestinJeff:
Westchester only be concerned if a system passes thru one of the Hebert Boxes:



All right, what's the deal with the shower curtain?
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Quoting DestinJeff:
Westchester only be concerned if a system passes thru one of the Hebert Boxes:



OMG... LMAO!!!
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Quoting DestinJeff:
Ok, all at once ... let's everyone stare at the SW Caribbean blob and execute the game-plan as practiced:

Ike, you take comparisons to 2007.
KMan, you've got convergence monitoring and ASCAT passes.
MH09, you handle NHC product posting.
Drak, you're on downcasting.
Reed, you're on upcasting.
Levi and Storm, we'll need somethorough analysis after every new frame of satellite imagery.
Pat, RADAR.

Ok. The rest of you standby incase someone falls out. I think we can get this thing to land before intensification fairly easily, but it will take some dedication!

Let's roll!


Jeff you must be smelling some oil! Get off that stuff Dude! You posted a good one tho!
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1469. xcool
july get ready ramp-up
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Quoting AllBoardedUp:
How would like to play football for Defeated High School! Surely, their mascot isn't the Losers! GO FIGHTIN LOSERS!!!


I went to K-State. In 1987 (or was it '86), both K-State & KU went the entire football season, including both pre-season games without scoring a single point. The finale of the season was the infamous KU - K-State game with both teams ranked 109th & 110th. It was called the 'toilet bowl'.

People went to the game because; 1) somebody has to score a point. 2) The loser would be ranked worst in the nation.

That was the last year that a NCAA football game was allowed to end in a tie. Final score was 10 - 10. Neither team had won, and both were ranked worst in the nation. The after game parties were a bit deflated.

I would rather play football for Defeated High School. During those 3-4 years, with Stan Parrish as coach... K-State was pre-defeated before the football season started.
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Quoting DestinJeff:
Westchester only be concerned if a system passes thru one of the Hebert Boxes:



Now that's just WRONG...
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1465. xcool
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1463. hydrus
Quoting Floodman:


Generally, yes...though there's a Mexican/South American fusion restaurant on Fillmore St in San Fransisco...LOL

Try the ceviche...it's outstanding!
I have....me no like senor......
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Quoting StormW:


I think he means tehretters.


LMAO
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Quoting MississippiWx:


Never. It will never change. Storms will constantly be aimed at you.


LOL
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Quoting hydrus:
Hey Flood, when they say Fresca, do they mean the the soda?


Generally, yes...though there's a Mexican/South American fusion restaurant on Fillmore St in San Fransisco...LOL

Try the ceviche...it's outstanding!
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Is this going to be a "Benoit Mandelbrot" Cauchy year? The "River Nile" year of the major floods/hurricanes studied in history? The first two events, Alex and Bonnie, have virtually eliminated any drought areas of Texas on the drought monitor although there have been some "abnormal" flooding in "unlikely" areas. That was Cauchy.
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1458. xcool
lmao
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Quoting WestchesterCounty:
why? by when is this pattern expected to change? :(.


Never. It will never change. Storms will constantly be aimed at you.
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Patrap: This is Dr. McCoy! What do you gather from the 5 hour loop you just posted?
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There may be development in the Atlantic over the next week. While the computer models are logical, they may need more logic to correctly predict the coming week!
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1452. hydrus
Quoting AllBoardedUp:
How would like to play football for Defeated High School! Surely, their mascot isn't the Losers! GO FIGHTIN LOSERS!!!
I would imagine they would have keep a stiff upper lip. Especially after they were defeated...;0
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Shaun: Thanks for the "cool" moving radar image of Texas which shows the extent of the rains from "almost Bonnie"! This is Mr. Spock speaking. Once again, I see a large area of showers east of the Leeward Islands. While it is not logical for this area to develop in the eastern Caribbean, it is logical that it may encounter amenable conditions in the central Caribbean.
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Quoting WestchesterCounty:


how do you know this?


None of teh reliable computer models show any significant development in the Atlantic Basin for the next week.
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1448. hydrus
Quoting Floodman:


Now don't YOU start!
Hey Flood, when they say Fresca, do they mean the the soda?
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Quoting WestchesterCounty:
MEANING, us landafallers or not?


Don't you mean thretters?
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Quoting angiest:


Flatonia has gently rolling hills.


Notrees has a few trees. Levelland pretty much is and Plainview is exactly as advertised.
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Quoting hydrus:
Defeated Tennessee.... Link
How would like to play football for Defeated High School! Surely, their mascot isn't the Losers! GO FIGHTIN LOSERS!!!
Member Since: July 25, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 626
Lol, the spurious convection in the blob over yucatan?

BTW, Hell, Michigan....and Santa Claus, Indiana :-D
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1442. angiest
Quoting Floodman:


Ahhh...now those fit the description you gave...LOL

A Houston favourite, the Kolache Factory, sells very few kolaches.

But they do have pretty good cinnamon rolls.
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Quoting Tazmanian:



how can that be a good thing


Because it won't be over water and won't have time to develop?
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Quoting DestinJeff:
Ok, all at once ... let's everyone stare at the SW Caribbean blob and execute the game-plan as practiced:

Ike, you take comparisons to 2007.
KMan, you've got convergence monitoring and ASCAT passes.
MH09, you handle NHC product posting.
Drak, you're on downcasting.
Reed, you're on upcasting.
Levi and Storm, we'll need some thorough analysis after every new frame of satellite imagery.
Pat, RADAR.

Ok. The rest of you standby incase someone falls out. I think we can get this thing to land before intensification fairly easily, but it will take some dedication!

Let's roll!


Shouldn't it go by the most well known and long time posters here? Meaning like some of the folks should be on standby. lol.
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Quoting Buhdog:
That blob has some spurious convention


Now don't YOU start!
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1437. hydrus
Quoting Squid28:


I cannot believe I forgot my favorite of all time....

Uncertain,TX
Defeated, Tennessee.... Link
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Quoting ConchHondros:


LOL I know...I was refering to the now mainstream "kolache" sold at across our great land at your finer Taquerías...and 7-11.


Ahhh...now those fit the description you gave...LOL
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Quoting WestchesterCounty:
MEANING, us landafallers or not?


Nothing is coming to Miami in the near future, JFV. Sit back and have a fresca and relax.
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1434. Buhdog
That blob has some spurious convention
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The cows are always in good mood in Happy, Texas!
Member Since: July 25, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 626
1431. Patrap







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Looks like the ECMWF wants to keep the NAO positive through the extended.

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1426. angiest
Quoting Squid28:


I cannot believe I forgot my favorite of all time....

Uncertain,TX


Flatonia has gently rolling hills.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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