Tropical Depression Two Along South Texas Coast

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:46 PM GMT on July 08, 2010

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Hello everybody, this is Senior Meteorologist Shaun Tanner writing Dr. Masters' blog while he is on vacation.

Tropical Depression Two formed overnight in the northern Bay of Campeche and is now making landfall along the extreme south coast of Texas. A hurricane hunter was sent into the system and found a low-level circulation. While there are some reports of tropical storm strength winds in the squalls of the system, there is just not enough evidence to upgrade the storm to tropical storm strength before landfall.

The satellite representation of the depression is quite impressive as half of the depression is now over landfall. Brownsville radar currently is showing the effects of the depression with heavy rain and thunderstorms through much of southern Texas.

The biggest lingering effect from the depression will be to prolong the devastating flooding that has been ongoing in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Not including the rain that will fall due to the depression, over the past 7 days, the area near Houston has received over 10 inches of rain, while some inland areas of Texas has received over 4 inches of rain. The problem gets worse in the Mexican state of Coahuila near the Texas border has received upwards of 20 inches of rain in the past 7 days due to substantial moisture pouring into the area.

This surging watershed has caused massive flooding throughout the region, with the area near Laredo, Texas and Nuevo Laredo, Mexico being the hardest hit. The flooding has caused the major border crossing between those two cities to be closed as the Rio Grande surged and threatened to top the crossing's bridge. A contingent of Mexican officials, including the mayor of Piedras Negras, Coahuila, touring the flooding damage in an airplane crashed Wednesday, killing all six onboard. Evacuations on both sides of the border has forced tens of thousands of people out of their homes, while over 100,000 people were without water service. The flooding problem is extra dangerous because swollen dams had to release some of their water downstream into areas that towns that have already been swamped. It was even reported that one of these releases by the National Water Commission of Mexico was the largest emergency water release in the country.

Needless to say, the rain from Tropical Depression Two will only further the flooding problems in southern Texas and northeast Mexico. Figure 3 shows the severe map and the greens represent Flood Watches and Warnings. You can see almost the entire states of Texas and Oklahoma are under these watches and warnings in anticipation of several inches of rain from the remnants of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 1. Satellite loop of Tropical Depression Two.


Figure 2. Storm-centered radar as depression makes landfall.


Figure 3. Severe map.

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Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Yeah, I don't have many links to computer models. It would be interesting to see if the models develop both waves (the wave E of Nicaragua which is under low shear from the upper ridge at 75W18N, and the wave approaching the Antilles which could also see low shear from that same upper ridge).


Okay, I found some links to computer models on this site:
http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models.html
But I can't make most of the loops work. I found a working loop of the EMCWF model here:

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/euro/00zeurotropical850mbVortSLP_loop.html

But, ECMWF doesn't really acknowledge either tropical wave.

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Cool, TX

I'd like to live there lol...just so I could say I live in Cool :P
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1574. IKE
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
430 PM CDT FRI JUL 09 2010

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES WILL BUILD W FROM THE E ALONG 27N TONIGHT
AND WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK SHIFTING SLIGHTLY TO
THE NORTH ALONG 29N TUE AND WED.


SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
530 PM EDT FRI JUL 09 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W WILL MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND OUT OF AREA TONIGHT. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE
E CARIBBEAN ALONG 68W WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH SAT REACHING THE W CARIBBEAN SUN AND MON THEN INLAND
TUE. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL
ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT MOVING THROUGH THE E AND CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN OVER THE WEEKEND THEN THE W CARIBBEAN MON AND TUE.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Quoting RTLSNK:
Monday, ThePlywoodState, deleted
Tuesday, Topography, deleted
Wednesday, HispanicWeather, deleted
Thursday, Conus, deleted
Friday, WestchesterCounty, deleted

Score: Admin 5, Troll 0

Thank You Admin!!!!!

Chuckle, Chortle, Snort :)


Outstanding!

Okay folks, scooping up LST and heading out...play nice, kids!
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1572. RTLSNK
Monday, ThePlywoodState, deleted
Tuesday, Topography, deleted
Wednesday, HispanicWeather, deleted
Thursday, Conus, deleted
Friday, WestchesterCounty, deleted

Score: Admin 5, Troll 0

Thank You Admin!!!!!

Chuckle, Chortle, Snort :)
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Thanks Mississippi Wx for the water temperatures of the season and the corresponding anomalies. Is that link on the list of Masters blog? Or where is it from?
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Have a Good Weekend Folks.
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Quoting Splashman:

My wife's Grandmother would say "Archafalya" after you sneezed.


Everyone's a comedian...LOL
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Quoting Floodman:
My well learned wife informs me that Tchefuncte means "chestnut"; an allusion, no doubt to the color of the water

We've been thinking about the meaning of the word Atchafalaya...we think it menas "20 mile traffic jam on the bridge", though "turds and gators" was a close second

My wife's Grandmother would say "Archafalya" after you sneezed.
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Quoting cirrocumulus:
Thanks NCHurricane 2009. Do any models develop it yet? It seems like the only thing the models lack is eyes to see the skies on satellites.


Yeah, I don't have many links to computer models. It would be interesting to see if the models develop both waves (the wave E of Nicaragua which is under low shear from the upper ridge at 75W18N, and the wave approaching the Antilles which could also see low shear from that same upper ridge).
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Quoting claire4385:
Tom Bean, TX
Tiki Island, TX
....Negro Crossing, TX

OMG to that last one


Try White Settlement...LOL
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1565. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting Hurricanejer95:
Almost La Nina just by .02 degs:



That only goes to July 1... NOAA has us at about -.7

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Patrap: The "calm" before the storm?
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1563. tkeith
Quoting Floodman:
My well learned wife informs me that Tchefuncte means "chestnut"; an allusion, no doubt to the color of the water

We've been thinking about the meaning of the word Atchafalaya...we think it menas "20 mile traffic jam on the bridge", though "turds and gators" was a close second
I'd listen to LST on that one Flood...
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Tom Bean, TX
Tiki Island, TX
....Negro Crossing, TX

OMG to that last one
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Thanks NCHurricane 2009. Do any models develop it yet? It seems like the only thing the models lack is eyes to see the skies on satellites.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
My well learned wife informs me that Tchefuncte means "chestnut"; an allusion, no doubt to the color of the water

We've been thinking about the meaning of the word Atchafalaya...we think it means "20 mile traffic jam on the bridge", though "turds and gators" was a close second
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CaneBob: Can you elaborate? I thought it looked impressive too for a fish storm.
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Quoting CaneBob:
I believe the tropical wave roughly centered at 13N 58.5W has the potential to develop into a tropical depression within the next 72-96 hours.


Besides the one E of Nicaragua, this is also another wave to watch, yep I agree.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.html

If you watch the loop, and click on the LatLon and HDW-high check boxes (upper-level wind vectors), the wave is getting enhanced by upper divergence as the upper flow over the tropical wave is branching between an upper-level low centered at 55W25N and an upper ridge centered at 75W18N. Once the wave proceeds into the Caribbean, shear will be low due to the upper ridge currently at 75W18N.
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1557. Patrap
Tchoupitoulas Street

Current Conditions

Mid City Station, New Orleans, Louisiana (PWS)
Updated: 1 sec ago
Clear
95.8 °F
Clear
Humidity: 54%
Dew Point: 78 °F
Wind: 0.0 mph from the West
Wind Gust: 1.0 mph
Pressure: 29.96 in (Falling)

Heat Index: 113 °F

Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 8 out of 16
Pollen: 3.50 out of 12
Pollen Forecast new!
Clouds:
Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 25 ft
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Levi32: nice maps of Hawaii and the water temps. What's your tropical outlook? Where did Storm go? He was supposed to give an update here. Does he have an update somewhere?
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Almost La Nina just by .02 degs:

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Lone Star, Texas
Cut and Shoot, Texas
Tarzan, Texas
Gun Barrel City, Texas
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wow guys look in the SW Caribbean it Marco's sister mini bonnie look look wow!

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Quoting Floodman:


Pronounced pretty much as it's spelled...Tchefuncte, and old Indian word for "Don't pee in there, we drink that!"


Tchoutacabouffa River
a stream located in Harrison County, Mississippi
Tchoutacabouffa is the Biloxi tribe's word for "broken pot."

The word, the French spelling of an Indian name, is pronounced "CHOO-tah-kah-BUH-fuh", or locally as "CHOO-tah-kah-buff".
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**yawns**

Where's all the activity? I LIKE ACTIVE!!!!!

:\
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Dont forget Texas City, Texas!!
Yup, "fixin" to go over to Lowe's in Texas City to buy a fogger to kill these "skeeters" that have just hatched because of all this rain!
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Quoting NoNamePub:
Thanks Levi -
GREAT INFO -

Flood - I know people who know people....
Lemme know if you want to know the same people...HAHA


Depends on what it'll cost me...LOL
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Quoting atmoaggie:
Few things seem to vex visitors as much as asking them to pronounce the name "Tchefuncte River" here, in SE LA. Though, I thought it obvious...


Pronounced pretty much as it's spelled...Tchefuncte, and old Indian word for "Don't pee in there, we drink that!"
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Thanks Levi -
GREAT INFO -

Flood - I know people who know people....
Lemme know if you want to know the same people...HAHA
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Quoting DestinJeff:
What about Sirbud, FL?


No.
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1545. will45
we have a jump and run in NC
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Quoting BaltOCane:
We have Accident, MD

...and isn't there a Hurricane, Utah??


Why yes, yes there is.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Dont forget Texas City, Texas!!
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Quoting BaltOCane:
We have Accident, MD
Few things seem to vex visitors as much as asking them to pronounce the name "Tchefuncte River" here, in SE LA. Though, I thought it obvious...
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Quoting NoNamePub:
don't for get about Mexico, Missouri


Yep, and

California, MO
Nevada, MO
Panama, MO
Columbia, MO
Carthage, MO (nice historical reference there)
Alexandria, MO
Atlanta, MO
Amsterdam, MO
Cleveland, MO

Ahh, the list goes on and on
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We have Accident, MD

...and isn't there a Hurricane, Utah??
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1538. CaneBob
I believe the tropical wave roughly centered at 13N 58.5W has the potential to develop into a tropical depression within the next 72-96 hours.
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1537. angiest
Quoting AllBoardedUp:
Buffalo, Texas
Dime Box, Texas

Anyone remember the old country song "I've Been Everywhere, Man" by Hank Snow (Johnny Cash version, also), which the truck driver picks up the hitchhiker, and the hiker names every town he as been to in the country?

Their is a Texas version by a man named Brian Burns naming all of the places in Texas he has visited.


Yep, my home town is in the Texas version.
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1536. Levi32
Quoting NoNamePub:
ALoha My Friends -
From my new Home in Hawaii -

Storm - I need Pacific Updates now!


No significant threats to Hawaii for a while, and possibly all season long. SSTs are colder than normal in the Pacific thanks to La Nina, and around Hawaii that means they are perpetually colder than 26C, the threshold for tropical development. Even if you do get a storm to develop and approach you from the east or southeast, it would weaken to almost a naked swirl before reaching Hawaii.



Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26548
1535. angiest
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Looking back on this particular naming list, I believe its cursed.

Allen, Andrew, Georges, Mitch, Charley, Frances, Ivan, Jeanne. Allen was the only storm on that list not to affect Florida in some way shape or form..
-plays Twilight Zone theme-

And storms affecting Texas include:
Allen (1980)
Bonnie (1986)
Charley (1998)
Frances (1998)
Ivan (reincarnation)
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Buffalo, Texas
Dime Box, Texas

Anyone remember the old country song "I've Been Everywhere, Man" by Hank Snow (Johnny Cash version, also), which the truck driver picks up the hitchhiker, and the hiker names every town he as been to in the country?

Their is a Texas version by a man named Brian Burns naming all of the places in Texas he has visited.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1533. JLPR2
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Looking back on this particular naming list, I believe its cursed.

Allen, Andrew, Georges, Mitch, Charley, Frances, Ivan, Jeanne. Allen was the only storm on that list not to affect Florida in some way shape or form..
-plays Twilight Zone theme-


For PR too, Georges and Jeanne have been the last storms to actually cross the island.

*Continues the twilight zone theme*
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Quoting MississippiWx:
Gonna post this one more time since it got lost in the last page of comments...Notice the Caribbean in the warming trend once again. Not good:



As a North Carolinian, I can't help but look at the warm anomolies off of the east coast in the second animation in your post. Storms that affected me were Bertha and Fran 1996, Bonnie 1998, Floyd 1999, and Isabel 2003.

Has anyone else noticed the clustering of significant major hurricanes in the late 1990s for the east coast? And then since 2000, not that many big storms have hit the east coast except Isabel. Hope my good luck continues (knock on wood).
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Quoting atmoaggie:
LOL.

Telemarketer: Sir, just want to confirm your address
Victim: Thlokay!
Telemarketer: Ummm, okay, I have 123 B St, Looneyville
Victim: Booshlingtaph Rashklee Mpoot!
Telemarketer: *silence*


ROFLMAO Atmo :)))))
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Quoting NoNamePub:
Thanks Storm -

Sorry Flood....it is what it is!
Still in the Same Biz working for the same Company too!


Amazing...how does that work, I wonder...never mind, I don't think I want to know
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Dont forget Texas City, Texas!!
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Looking back on this particular naming list, I believe its cursed.

Allen, Andrew, Georges, Mitch, Charley, Frances, Ivan, Jeanne. Allen was the only storm on that list not to affect Florida in some way shape or form..
-plays Twilight Zone theme-
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Thanks Storm -

Sorry Flood....it is what it is!
Still in the Same Biz working for the same Company too!
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Quoting TexasGulf:


I went to K-State. In 1987 (or was it '86), both K-State & KU went the entire football season, including both pre-season games without scoring a single point. The finale of the season was the infamous KU - K-State game with both teams ranked 109th & 110th. It was called the 'toilet bowl'.

People went to the game because; 1) somebody has to score a point. 2) The loser would be ranked worst in the nation.

That was the last year that a NCAA football game was allowed to end in a tie. Final score was 10 - 10. Neither team had won, and both were ranked worst in the nation. The after game parties were a bit deflated.

I would rather play football for Defeated High School. During those 3-4 years, with Stan Parrish as coach... K-State was pre-defeated before the football season started.


Games ended in Tie's well into the mid 90's
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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