Large and intensifying Hurricane Alex bears down on northeastern Mexico, South Texas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:23 PM GMT on June 30, 2010

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Hurricane Alex continues to intensify as it slowly bears down on the coast of northeastern Mexico. Brownsville long-range radar shows the spiral bands of Alex, which has dumped heavy rains of up to four inches in northeastern Mexico and near Brownsville, according to satellite estimates of rainfall. The Brownsville airport received 0.78" of rain in the hour ending at 8am CDT, and 0.61" in the hour ending at 9am CDT. Floods from Alex have already killed ten people--six in Nicaragua, and two each in El Salvador and Guatemala.


Figure 1. Snapshot of the Brownsville long-range radar showing Hurricane Alex approaching the coast.

The 7:12am CDT eye penetration of the Hurricane Hunters found a central pressure of 959 mb, a modest 2 mb drop from the reading four hours previous to that. They noted a very tiny eye, ten miles in diameter, with a gap in the northwest side. Tiny eyes like this tend to be unstable, and in the 9:05am CDT eye penetration, the Hurricane Hunters found that the inner eyewall had collapsed, and the pressure had risen 2 mb, to 961 mb. A new, much larger eye will form today as the day progresses. During these "eyewall replacement cycles", a hurricane will typically weaken a few millibars , and the strongest winds will spread out over a larger area as the hurricane conserves angular momentum. Thus, the hurricane still has about the same amount of destructive power, it is just spread out over a larger area. This tends to increase the hurricane's storm surge, but lessens the wind damage, since the extreme winds of the inner eyewall are no longer present. Satellite loops show a large, well-organized storm with increasing amounts of low-level spiral bands forming, and improving upper-level outflow. Data from last night's flight of the NOAA jet showed an unusually moist atmosphere surrounds Alex, so dry air is no longer a problem for it. It's a good thing Alex has less than a day before making landfall, or else is would be a large and very powerful major hurricane.


Figure 2. Visible light image of Tropical Storm Alex taken at 19:35 UTC (2:35 pm CDT) on June 29, 2010, by NASA's Aqua satellite. At the time, Alex was a tropical storm with 70 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Storm Surge
Traditionally, a storm's ranking on the Saffir-Simpson Scale--the familiar Category 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 rankings we always talk about--have also been used to quantify storm surge threat. However, large, weaker storms that cover a huge area of the Gulf of Mexico, like Alex, can generate a larger storm surge than a smaller but more intense hurricane with a higher Saffir-Simpson rating. Thus, the National Hurricane Center has formally discontinued use of the Saffir-Simpson scale to characterize storm surge, and is studying the possibility of issuing separate Storm Surge Warnings a few years from now. These would be in addition to their traditional Hurricane Warnings. To give us a better idea of a storm's surge potential, Dr. Mark Powell of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division has developed the Integrated Kinetic Energy scale to rank storms. The scale ranges from 0 to 6, and a parallel wind damage scale that runs from 0 to 6 is also generated. Alex had an Integrated Kinetic Energy of 2.6 on the 0 to 6 scale at 1:30pm CDT yesterday, and its destructive potential rating for winds was just 1.2. Thus, Alex's surge ranked alomst one-and-a-half categories higher in destructive potential than its wind. These numbers have probably increased by a full category since yesterday afternoon. NHC is giving a 40% - 60% chance of a storm surge of at least 3 feet affecting the Brownsville area, and 10% - 30% chance the surge will exceed 5 feet. In theory, a Category 2 hurricane moving WNW at 5 mph can bring a storm surge of up to 8 - 9 feet to the South Texas and northern Mexican coast.

Other Impacts
Alex is bringing bands of heavy rain to the coasts of Texas and Mexico, as seen on the Brownsville, Texas radar. Hurricane local statements with projections for how Alex will affect the coast are now being issued by the National Weather Service in Brownsville and Corpus Christi. Flooding damage from the expected 6 - 12 inches of rain from Alex will be the main concern. Wind damage is a lesser concern, since the core of Alex is making landfall in a swampy, sparsely populated region of Mexico. The combined wind, surge, and flooding damage from Alex may be similar to 2008's Hurricane Dolly, which hit near Brownsville. Dolly was a Category 2 hurricane offshore that weakened to a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds when it made landfall, and did about $1 billion in damage. Dolly also generated two weak EF-0 tornadoes, and Alex is capable of generating a few tornadoes as well, according to the latest discussion from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center. The atmosphere is moderately unstable, there is plenty of moisture, and wind shear at low levels has been increasing this morning. The greatest threat for tornadoes will occur late this afternoon, on the right side of where the storm makes landfall.

Alex in historical context
Alex is the first June hurricane since Hurricane Allison of 1995. Allison briefly became a minimal 75 mph hurricane before weakening and hitting the Florida Panhandle as a tropical storm. Alex is the strongest June hurricane since Hurricane Bonnie of 1986, which had 85 mph winds. Bonnie was the first hurricane I flew into as a member of the Hurricane Hunters. Bonnie made landfall along the upper Texas coast, and caused less than $20 million in damage. If Alex strengthens to 90 mph winds, it will be the strongest June hurricane since Hurricane Alma of 1966, which had 125 mph winds as it skirted the Florida Keys. There have been only ten hurricanes in May or June since 1945; only four of these were major Category 3 or higher storms.

Track forecast for Alex
All of the models take Alex to the west or west-northwest into northern Mexico by early Thursday morning. However, the steering currents are fairly weak, and Alex could stall and move erratically at times today. I don't anticipate that this weakness in the steering currents will allow Alex to move northward and make landfall in Texas. After landfall, the ridge of high pressure forcing Alex westward should remain in place and strengthen, keeping Alex's remnants over northern Mexico for several days.

Intensity forecast for Alex
Alex is over a region of ocean with moderately high total ocean heat content . Wind shear has fallen to a low 5 knots, and is projected by the SHIPS model to remain in the low range, below 10 knots, through landfall. The combination of low wind shear, moderately high ocean heat content, and plenty of moisture should allow Alex to continue to intensify today. Alex's pressure is already characteristic of a Category 3 hurricane, but the storm is so large that it is taking time for the winds to catch up to the pressure falls. It is unlikely that Alex's winds will be at Category 3 strength at landfall, since the storm is undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle, and does not have time to build a tight inner eyewall with strong winds before landfall. A Category 2 storm at landfall looks more likely.

Elsewhere in the tropics
The latest run of the NOGAPS model predicts the formation of a tropical disturbance in the Western Caribbean on Monday. None of the other models is showing anything brewing over the coming seven days.

Wind and ocean current forecast for the BP oil disaster
Alex is generating very rough conditions over the Deepwater Horizon blowout location, with 6 - 8 foot waves and 3 - 4 foot swells. Strong southeast to south winds of 15 - 25 knots will blow over the oil slick region today through Thursday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. The resulting currents will push oil to many protected bays and estuaries that haven't seen oil yet. In addition, the 1 - 2 foot storm surge Alex is generating along the Louisiana coast will act to push oil deep into some low-lying marshlands. While this oil will be diluted some by the wave action, the impact of the oil and accompanying toxic dispersants on the marshlands is of concern. The latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana show oil will also move westward along the central Louisiana coast towards the Texas border. Winds will decrease to 10 - 15 knots Friday through Monday but remain out of the southeast, keeping the pressure on the regions of coast in Louisiana, Alabama, and Mississippi that are seeing oil hit their shores this week.

Resources for the BP oil disaster
Map of oil spill location from the NOAA Satellite Services Division
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
NOAA's interactive mapping tool to overlay wind and ocean current forecasts, oil locations, etc.
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
ROFFS Deepwater Horizon page
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Next post
Either Rob Carver or myself will do an update late this afternoon or this evening.

Jeff Masters

Hurricane Alex (LRandyB)
Weather inbound to Hurricane Alex.
Hurricane Alex
Hurricane Alex (LRandyB)
Weather inbound to Hurricane Alex.
Hurricane Alex
Hurricane Alex (LRandyB)
Flight deck view from a WC-130J Hurricane Hunter aircraft
Hurricane Alex

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3048. Hardcoreweather2010
2:24 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Member Since: January 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 529
3047. houstongator
2:12 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting atmoaggie:
Hm. 12 hours of rainfall estimated by radar not nearly as much as I thought it would be (though known to read a little low, but not as bad as rain gauges do in high wind conditions). 12 hours ending at 7 pm CDT:
Look at the lack of rain in Houston.
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 113
3046. Chucktown
2:00 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
708
wtnt61 knhc 010158
tcuat1

hurricane alex tropical cyclone update
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al012010
900 pm cdt wed jun 30 2010
...alex makes landfall in northeastern mexico...

national weather service doppler radar from brownsville texas and air force reserve unit hurricane hunter observations indicate that the eye of hurricane alex made landfall around 9 pm cdt...0200 utc along the coast of mexico in the municipality of soto la marina...
about 110 mi...180 km south of brownsville. maximum sustained winds at landfall were estimated to be 105 mph...165 km/hr...a category two hurricane on the saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale.

summary of 900 pm cdt...0200 utc...information
--------------------------------------------------
location...24.3n 97.7w
about 35 mi...55 km n of la pesca mexico about 110 mi...180 km s of brownsville texas maximum sustained winds...105 mph...165 km/hr present movement...w or 260 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/hr minimum central pressure...947 mb...27.96 inches
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1783
3045. Hardcoreweather2010
1:58 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
BRO issues Tornado Warning for Hidalgo [TX] till 9:15 PM CDT ...* AT 858 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO OVER NORTHEASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY...MOVING WEST AT 45 MPH
Member Since: January 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 529
3044. atmoaggie
1:58 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting LightningCharmer:

NEW BLOG
Well, dang. Thanks.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
3043. LightningCharmer
1:56 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting atmoaggie:
Hello? Anyone there? Everyone is blog-burned, I suppose.

NEW BLOG
Member Since: September 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
3042. atmoaggie
1:56 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting Mikla:
GFDL:
Thanks. Seems slightly better than GFDL, maybe.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
3040. GeoffreyWPB
1:56 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting atmoaggie:
Hello? Anyone there? Everyone is blog-burned, I suppose.


All the East-casters are taking a break until the models develop something else to cling onto.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11517
3039. atmoaggie
1:55 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting xcool:
Heh guess what, the economy is recovering too! The Aggies are going to win the national title in football.




If he's talking about Texas A&M Aggies, he's lost it...makes everything else he said that much more suspicious.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
3037. Mikla
1:54 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
GFDL:
Member Since: October 13, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 305
3036. fatlady99
1:52 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting Patrap:
#3004.

The Hurricane as described by Dr. Masters yesterday on his show..sometimes,if ya been in a few like he has ,and many others here.

They can seem to present almost a Living conscience and well,,its hard to describe,but a actual presence.

The podcast is available on the Blog.


Thank you for that. It's true, they do. You don't feel it with major earthquakes, so much, because everything happens so fast. But with hurricanes, you have the power of Mother Nature, focused in this spiral of amazing force over time. And all the data, the rules and laws, become a beautiful web for this huge Energy to work within.

We get so disconnected, with our little ego trips and computer head games, but you can't ignore this powerful Being that's so much bigger than you.

Sorry to go overboard on philosophy, but Patrap, you started it! LOL!! Back to lurking.....
Member Since: September 4, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 410
3035. atmoaggie
1:52 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting Mikla:
Some of the models performance from June 27 00Z.
HWRF:


CMC:


GFS:
Got one of those for GFDL?
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
3034. atmoaggie
1:51 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Hello? Anyone there? Everyone is blog-burned, I suppose.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
3033. atmoaggie
1:50 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Look it up:
Courtney, J., and J.A. Knaff, 2009: Adapting the Knaff and Zehr Wind-Pressure Relationship for operational use in Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 58:3, 167-179.
(and if you find a link, please share)

NHC has a few things in place we don't know about for the sake of operational fixes, winds, and pressure.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
3032. watchingnva
1:49 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting Inactivity:
AT 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM
BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...EAST OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ALEX
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL BE
MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY.

Alex may not make landfall untill the 11:00 pm advisory.


western eyewall is now completely inland...
Member Since: September 7, 2005 Posts: 7 Comments: 1525
3031. xcool
1:48 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Wednesday 8 pm
ALEX TRYING TO CATCH AUDREY FOR STRONGEST JUNE HURRICANE EVER.

At 948 mb, only cat 4 Audrey at 946 mb had a lower pressure than Alex. Yet we have TPC only recently upping this to a cat 2. You do the math as to what is going on with subjective verfication.

This only argues more strongly for my 1-10 scale that incorporates pressure so we can truly evaluate a storm..not monkeying with the wind. The weather is doing the talking.

joe b

Wednesday 8 pm

FIELD DAY FOR THE HEAT ON THE WAY

Heh, look out, the gird system will get tested in the east next week as the GFS is underdone by 3-6 degrees Sunday-Thursday and temps in the big cities will head for 100-105.. The GFS will be trying to play catchup the next few days. As far as Alex...

WEDNESDAY 8 PM Textbook rapid feedback syndrome great lesson!

Bernie tells me the folks at Mississippi State like me. Well I hope they have been watching this, because it should be instructional as to how to look hard at the weather and whip the daylights out of anyone that simply is looking at models.

Stacey Stewart was dead on right 2 mornings ago in echoing the ideas here that this was going to deepen like this. And if the hurricane center thinks a 950 mb hurricane with a tightening eye hitting perpendicular to the coast is not a cat 3, well, they can get away with it here... its hitting where few people live.

Drive this into a populated US area with the kind of ignoring of what was really going on and you have a major fiasco.

On my scale, it is a 3.5 with pressure, a 3 with wind ( it will have the wind at landfall given frictional tightening of the eye) Its the first major of the season with a 6.5 out of 10 for the rating.

However on the impact on the US scale, this is scored as a tropical storm hit. I have seen no evidence of hurricane conditions on the US coast though if I find there were, then it will be the first hurricane impact. It does demonstrate why I have an impact, not landfall scale, though I cant seem to get that through the heads of people I work with that my scale scores THE ACTUAL IMPACT, not whether a center crosses the coast. I have noticed that we have landfall attributed to me and its storms like this that are precisely the reason I get upset with the labeling as that. This storm did not make landfall on the US coast, but did have the impact of a tropical storm, and that means we have had our first one.

948 mb flight wind now 107 kts, and that wind will make it to the surface as eye tightens

Pressure from recon. The storm will make landfall near 24.3 north within the next few hours.



WEDNESDAY 6 PM recon pressure H. 955 mb get serious, this is a 110 mph storm at landfall with that eye and pressure its tightening in front of us, in textbook fashion. Does this look like a cat one hurricane to you?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis-l.jpg

Heh guess what, the economy is recovering too! The Aggies are going to win the national title in football.




Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
3030. Mikla
1:48 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Some of the models performance from June 27 00Z.
HWRF:


CMC:


GFS:
Member Since: October 13, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 305
3029. AstroHurricane001
1:45 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting IKE:
NHC puzzled that the winds never caught up to the pressure.


This always happens in large storms over warm but not superhot waters. It happened to Florence and Ike. I think these types of very large Atlantic storms are becomign mroe and more common.

Quoting P451:


Ah, thanks.



Did it dip below 946 mb? And even if it did, it's not exactly June by UTC.
Member Since: August 30, 2008 Posts: 8 Comments: 2835
3028. watchingnva
1:44 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting noshoes:
>isnt that a damn shame too...some of the little kids on here are ridiculous...still think the docs and the other main blogs should be paid...keep the riff raff out a bit better....

Watching...Won't you simply run the risk of having "paid up riff raff" in here then?


well heres the thing...you think the riff raff is gonna pay 5 bucks to make a new handle every time they get banned...i seriously doubt it, unless their motive in life is to try to tick people off on a blog...
Member Since: September 7, 2005 Posts: 7 Comments: 1525
3027. Inactivity
1:43 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
AT 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM
BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...EAST OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ALEX
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL BE
MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY.

Alex may not make landfall untill the 11:00 pm advisory.
Member Since: June 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 264
3026. atmoaggie
1:43 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Didn't know I could zoom further in this version of the precip analysis...

Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
3025. noshoes
1:41 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
>isnt that a damn shame too...some of the little kids on here are ridiculous...still think the docs and the other main blogs should be paid...keep the riff raff out a bit better....

Watching...Won't you simply run the risk of having "paid up riff raff" in here then?
Member Since: July 17, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 24
3024. InTheCone
1:41 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting MZV:
So.... what happened to all the wishcasters telling us it'd go northeast to LA/MS/AL? Hmph.


After years of watching the blog, it's the same old story, some people think they "see" the path that the NHC doesn't. It's always "InTheCone", just don't follow the skinny black line - LOL!!
Member Since: September 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1990
3023. atmoaggie
1:39 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Hm. 12 hours of rainfall estimated by radar not nearly as much as I thought it would be (though known to read a little low, but not as bad as rain gauges do in high wind conditions). 12 hours ending at 7 pm CDT:
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
3021. MississippiWx
1:37 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting mtyweatherfan90:
Maybe having some nice Chipotle crow BBQ watching a beautiful and sunny sunset. xD



No beautiful sunset here. It has been raining here most of the day due to the outer bands of Alex just sitting on us and not moving.
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 17 Comments: 10284
3020. AstroHurricane001
1:36 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting watchingnva:


isnt that a damn shame too...some of the little kids on here are ridiculous...still think the docs and the other main blogs should be paid...keep the riff raff out a bit better...


Hmm, was the Onion right?

Quoting CybrTeddy:
Hurricane Alex's eye has crossed land at 9:02 pm EDT June 30th, 2010 as a Category 2 hurricane.



Not quite, that image still looked about 12 km from landfall.

Quoting mtyweatherfan90:


Another victim:

Link

Video from live feed at Monterrey reporting floods and rivers (in spanish, but images can give a clue):

Link

Keep you posted...
Raining as hell...



The first link mentions one casualty, but what about the three?
Member Since: August 30, 2008 Posts: 8 Comments: 2835
3019. cajunkid
1:35 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Its pretty cool we can watch a storm like this from home. Since before Ivan, I've watched everyone that hit North America, right here. Anyone seen Lefty420?
Member Since: July 10, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1281
3018. Chicklit
1:33 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
lotsa rain.
RAINFALL TOTALS IN MEXICO ARE RANGING FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES.
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11410
3017. hydrus
1:33 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting NewEnglandCT:
imagine if it had 12 more hours over ocean...
I said the exact same thing...Strong cat-4 would have been realistic.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22294
3016. CaicosRetiredSailor
1:33 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
It certainly appears to me that one can see the effects of the reported 7 ft. waves moving the ships over the oil gusher, when you look at the ROV footage of the capture "cap". It is moving more now for sure.
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6069
3015. Ossqss
1:33 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Member Since: June 12, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8188
3014. Patrap
1:33 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
#3004.

The Hurricane as described by Dr. Masters yesterday on his show..sometimes,if ya been in a few like he has ,and many others here.

They can seem to present almost a Living conscience and well,,its hard to describe,but a actual presence.

The podcast is available on the Blog.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129435
3013. duajones78413
1:32 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
happy that it didnt have more time over water.
Good for all
Member Since: August 30, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 287
3012. CaneWolf
1:32 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting Titoxd:


Native speaker translate: fence fell on bricklayer...


LOL... I had a feeling it was missing something.
Member Since: June 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 23
3011. katadman
1:32 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting miguel617:
bunkered down in Brownsville. Winds have picked up considerably in the last couple of hours. Still have power.. yay! Flooding has been extensive both in Brownsville and across the border in Matamoros.





Miguel, do you know the speed of the winds you're having there?
Member Since: September 7, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1081
3010. 954FtLCane
1:31 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting atmoaggie:
Well, one of them has admitted that he is eating crow...not sure where the rest are...

Record Season...hu...humm.... yeah the one that called me a moron the other nite....well... Im readt to serve u a huge crow dish.... with yuca and onions.....as Bart Simpson would say....HAHA!
Member Since: September 30, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 108
3009. Orcasystems
1:31 AM GMT on July 01, 2010


AOI

AOI

NEXT??

Hurricane Hunter Data

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26512
3008. CapeObserver
1:31 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
New blog.
Member Since: August 24, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 320
3007. Titoxd
1:31 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting CaneWolf:


Google translate, spanish to english - Bricklayer fell on a fence.

Link


Native speaker translate: fence fell on bricklayer...
Member Since: June 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 243
3006. hydrus
1:31 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting P451:



This system...sure seems more potent than 100.

I agree. Maybe the strongest winds have not reached the surface yet.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22294
3005. Patrap
1:31 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129435
3004. cajunkid
1:30 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Patrap......awsome
Member Since: July 10, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1281
3002. mtyweatherfan90
1:30 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Maybe having some nice Chipotle crow BBQ watching a beautiful and sunny sunset. xD

Quoting MZV:
So.... what happened to all the wishcasters telling us it'd go northeast to LA/MS/AL? Hmph.
Member Since: July 9, 2008 Posts: 8 Comments: 334
3001. kmanislander
1:30 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting IKE:
NHC puzzled that the winds never caught up to the pressure.


June and climo. Optimal conditions were never all there and Alex was too large a system.It needed another 12 to 15 hours over water but luckily it didn't get it
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
3000. CyclonicVoyage
1:29 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting miguel617:
bunkered down in Brownsville. Winds have picked up considerably in the last couple of hours. Still have power.. yay! Flooding has been extensive both in Brownsville and across the border in Matamoros.





Good to hear your OK Miguel. Your in the NE Quadrant now, these will be the highest so far.
Member Since: January 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
2999. NewEnglandCT
1:29 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
imagine if it had 12 more hours over ocean...
Member Since: January 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 13
2998. angiest
1:29 AM GMT on July 01, 2010
Quoting Patrap:


SW drift again.
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 16 Comments: 4766

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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