93L still disorganized; extreme heat wave hits the Middle East and Africa

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:05 PM GMT on June 24, 2010

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The amount and intensity of heavy thunderstorm activity associated with the tropical wave (Invest 93L) located a few hundred miles south of Jamaica has increased over the past 24 hours, but the storm remains very disorganized and is not a threat to develop into a tropical depression today. The storm has not brought heavy rains to Haiti, fortunately, but heavy rains are expected today across Jamaica, where flash flood warnings have been posted. Satellite loops show a very disorganized system, with no low-level spiral bands and limited upper-level outflow. There are no signs of a surface circulation visible on satellite imagery. Pressures at the ground station nearest to the storm (Kingston) are beginning to fall, as are pressures at buoy 42057 a few hundred miles west of the storm, a sign that 93L is more organized than yesterday. Water vapor satellite loops show that moist air surrounds 93L, and there is less dry air to the storm's southwest than there was yesterday. There is an upper-level high pressure system a few hundred miles west of 93L, and the clockwise flow air around this high is bringing upper-level winds out of the northwest of about 10 knots over 93L, contributing to the 10 knots of wind shear observed in this morning's wind shear analysis from the University of Wisconsin's CIMSS group. Sea Surface Temperatures are plenty warm, a record 29 - 30°C. The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) currently favors upward motion over the Caribbean, which will act to increase the chances of tropical storm formation this week. The main negative for 93L continues to be the lack of spin. Last night's pass of the ASCAT satellite showed little in the way of a wind shift associated with 93L, though the pass did not completely capture the storm. The University of Wisconsin 850 mb relative vorticity analysis is showing that spin at 850 mb (roughly 5,000 feet in altitude) has increased over the past two days. The Hurricane Hunters are on call to investigate 93L Friday afternoon. Today's flight was canceled, due to 93L's lack of development.


Figure 1. Morning visible satellite image of the central Caribbean disturbance 93L.

Track forecast for 93L
I expect that by tomorrow, 93L should be closer to being directly underneath the upper level high pressure system to its west, which would act to lower wind shear and provide more favorable upper-level outflow. NHC is giving 93L a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Saturday morning, which is a reasonable forecast. Given the storm's current lack of spin and relatively modest amount of heavy thunderstorms, the earliest I'd expect 93L to become a tropical depression would be Friday afternoon, with Friday night or Saturday morning more likely. Interaction with land will be a problem for 93L, as it will likely move over Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula or Western Cuba on Saturday. Expect 93L to bring flooding rains of 3 - 6 inches to Jamaica and eastern Cuba today through Friday. These rains will spread to the Cayman Islands, northern Honduras, and central Cuba Friday through Saturday, and western Cuba, Belize, and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday and Sunday. The current run of the SHIPS model has 93L slowing down late this week to a forward speed of just 7 knots (8 mph) from its current speed of about 10 mph, in response to a weakening in the steering currents. A trough of low pressure is expected to swing down over the Eastern U.S. on Monday. If this trough is strong enough and 93L develops significantly, the storm could get pulled northwards and make landfall along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast. This is the solution of the GFS, GFDL, and HWRF models. If 93L stays weak and/or the trough is not so strong, the storm would get pushed west-northwestwards across Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and towards the Texas or Mexican coast south of Texas. This is the solution of the NOGAPS, ECMWF, and Canadian models. A likely landfall location is impossible to speculate on reliably at this point, and the storm could hit virtually anywhere along the Gulf of Mexico coast given the current uncertainty in its development. A key factor will be how far north the center of 93L eventually consolidates at.

Intensity forecast for 93L
The amount of wind shear in the Gulf of Mexico next week is highly uncertain. There is currently a band of high shear near 30 knots over the Gulf. The GFS model predicts that this band of high shear will lift northwards, keeping low wind shear over the Gulf next week. However, the ECMWF model keeps high shear entrenched over the Gulf of Mexico. I give 93L a 50% chance of eventually becoming Tropical Storm Alex, but the odds of it eventually becoming a hurricane have lessened to 10%. None of the computer models is calling for 93L to become a hurricane.

Elsewhere in the tropics
None of the reliable computer models is calling for tropical cyclone formation in the Atlantic over the next seven days.


Figure 2. Dust storm over Iraq on June 23, 2010. Image credit: NASA.

Extreme heat wave sets all-time high temperature records in Africa and Middle East
A withering heat wave of unprecedented intensity and areal covered has smashed all-time high temperatures in five nations in the Middle East and Africa over the past week. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Chad, Kuwait, and Niger all set new records for their hottest temperatures of all time, and two other Middle East nations came within a degree of their hottest temperatures ever. The heat was the most intense in Kuwait, which recorded its hottest temperature in history on June 15 in Abdaly, according to information I received from the Kuwait Met office. The mercury hit 52.6°C (126.7°F). Kuwait's previous all-time hottest temperature was 51.9°C (125.4°F), on July 27,2007, at Abdaly. Temperatures reached 51°C (123.8°F) in the capital of Kuwait City on June 15, 2010.

Iraq had its hottest day in history on June 14, 2010, when the mercury hit 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Basra. Iraq's previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F) set August 8, 1937, in Ash Shu'aybah.

It was also incredibly hot in Saudi Arabia, which had its hottest temperature ever on Tuesday (June 22): 52.0°C (125.6°F), measured in Jeddah, the second largest city in Saudi Arabia. The previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F), at Abqaiq, date unknown. The record heat was accompanied by a sandstorm, which caused eight power plants to go offline, resulting in blackouts to several Saudi cities.

In Africa, Chad had its hottest day in history on Tuesday (June 22), when the temperature reached 47.6°C (117.7°F) at Faya. The previous record was 47.4°C (117.3°F) at Faya on June 3 and June 9, 1961.

Niger tied its record for hottest day in history on Tuesday (June 22), when the temperature reached 47.1°C (116.8°F) at Bilma. That record stood for just one day, as Bilma broke the record again on Wednesday (June 23), when the mercury topped out at 48.2°C (118.8°F). The previous record was 47.1°C on May 24, 1998, also at Bilma.

Two other countries came within a degree of their all time hottest temperature on record during the heat wave. Bahrain had its hottest June temperature ever, 46.9°C, on June 20, missing the all-time record of 47.5°C (117.5°F), set July 14, 2000. Temperatures in Quatar reached 48.8°C (119.8°F) on June 20. Quatar's all-time record hottest temperature was 49.6°C (121.3°F) set on July 9, 2000.

According to Essa Ramadan, a Kuwaiti meteorologist from Civil Aviation, Matrabah, Kuwait smashed this record and had Asia's hottest temperature in history on June 15 this year, when the mercury hit 54.0°C (129.2°F). However, data from this station is notoriously bad, and each year bogus record highs have to be corrected, according to an email I received from weather record researcher Maximiliano Herrera. Asia's hottest temperature in history will very likely remain the 53.5°C (128.3°F) recorded at MohenjuDaro, Pakistan on May 26 this year.

Commentary
We've now had seven countries in Asia and Africa that have beaten their all-time hottest temperature record during the past two months. As I discussed in my blog about Pakistan's May 26 record, Southeast Asia also had its all-time hottest temperature in May, when the mercury hit 47°C (116.6°F) in Myinmu, Myanmar on May 12. All of these records are unofficial, and will need to be certified by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). According to Chris Burt, author of Extreme Weather, setting five national heat records in one month is not unprecedented--in August 2003, six countries (the UK, France, Portugal, Germany, Switzerland, and Liechtenstein) all broke their all-time heat records during that year's notorious summer heat wave. Fortunately, the residents of the countries affected by this week's heat wave are more adapted to extreme high temperatures, and we are not seeing the kind of death tolls experienced during the 2003 European heat wave (30,000 killed.) This week's heat wave in Africa and the Middle East is partially a consequence of the fact that Earth has now seen three straight months with its warmest temperatures on record, according to NOAA's National Climatic Data Center. It will be interesting to see if the demise of El Niño in May will keep June from becoming the globe's fourth straight warmest month on record.


Figure 3. Approximate oil spill location on June 23, 2010, and estimated by NOAA using visible satellite imagery from NASA's MODIS instrument, and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from polar-orbiting satellites. Image credit: NOAA Satellite Services Division.

Wind and ocean current forecast for the BP oil disaster
East to southeast winds of 5 - 15 knots will blow in the northern Gulf of Mexico today through Monday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. The resulting weak ocean currents should push the oil to the west and northwest onto portions of the Louisiana and Alabama coasts, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. I would expect Mississippi to have its most serious threat of oil yet early next week as these winds continue. The longer range outlook is uncertain, and will depend upon what 93L does.

Resources for the BP oil disaster
Map of oil spill location from the NOAA Satellite Services Division
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
NOAA's interactive mapping tool to overlay wind and ocean current forecasts, oil locations, etc.
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
ROFFS Deepwater Horizon page
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Jeff Masters

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4303. winter123
9:50 PM GMT on June 25, 2010


0_0
Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 1802
4302. winter123
9:44 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
My gut tells me 93L is not Alex. It will slam into mexico tomorrow and die. May become TD though. Wow @ EPAC too.
Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 1802
4301. will45
3:10 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
4032. Enforcer001
This comment has been removed for violating the Community Standards.

Is that something new this year lol?
Member Since: July 18, 2009 Posts: 1 Comments: 994
4300. KORBIN
3:08 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
What's funny is my wife asked me- "What are you looking at?" I said babe i am not even sure any more can you take a look and see if you see any "L". So what does she do, actually points to the L in the work Loop. FM Weather Life.
Member Since: November 19, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 23
4299. hurricanejunky
3:07 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting portcharlotte:
The southwest coast of Florida is also South Florida and we are way below normal for June,
Check your stats first



Even if we were ahead of schedule, good! We have some brutally dry wildfire seasons down here (this past wet El Nino winter/spring not withstanding) so anytime we can get ahead of the water game it's a great thing!
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2899
4298. Fla55Native
2:51 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Hey, KORBIN
I'm wondering the same thing. (Where's the beef"L")?
Member Since: August 25, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 66
4297. AllStar17
2:51 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
11:00 am National Hurricane Center Update
**GRAPHICS UPDATE


Member Since: June 29, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 5315
4296. hercj
2:50 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
They are in the air.
Member Since: September 5, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 319
4295. hurricanejunky
2:46 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting Floodman:


Wait til the system strengthens; most of the models are wonky with weaker features. Expect to see some serious variance in the models as this one ramps up some


LOL! Wonky...I forgot about that technical term. Mornin' to ya Flood, how's it goin'?
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2899
4294. caribbeantracker01
2:46 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting KORBIN:
Can someone point on a Map where the "L" actually is cause this thing is like playing pin the tail on the tropical wave.
lol true
Member Since: May 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 556
4293. cg2916
2:45 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
NEW BLOG!!!
Member Since: December 21, 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 3046
4292. KORBIN
2:44 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Can someone point on a Map where the "L" actually is cause this thing is like playing pin the tail on the tropical wave.
Member Since: November 19, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 23
4291. WatchingThisOne
2:44 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:
Recon plan for tomorrow


000
NOUS42 KNHC 251415
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT FRI 25 JUNE 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JUNE 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-025

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (WESTERN CARIBBEAN)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 70
A. 26/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0301A CYCLONE
C. 26/1400Z
D. 18.5N 86.5W
E. 26/1630Z TO 26/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES
AT 28/1200Z IF THE SYSTEM SURVIVES OVERLAND.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
JWP




If they got the COC estimates right, 93L will travel 244 miles on a heading of 286, i.e. 10 mph, and if that heading holds will hit the Yucatan somewhere around 19 lat.

That would give it nearly a day over the Yucatan (220 miles), but SHIP still has it emerging in the upper Eastern BOC as a Cat 1. I'll be REAL interested in those 00Z model runs.
Member Since: July 15, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1270
4290. Fla55Native
2:43 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
The NHC is giving 93L a 70% chance of developing? Would someone please enlighten me. I still don't see sufficient spin associated with what I can only guess is the center of convection. I don't profess to be an expert, but unless there is a different view which I haven't seen, I just don't see it. Is there a loop which shows some low level spin? I'm not downcasting, I really want to know.
Member Since: August 25, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 66
4289. hurricanejunky
2:43 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
The Xtreme Weather
Quoting portcharlotte:


I agree and it's wreckless to say Tampa is in the clear. Let's put it this way
A tropical system moving north hundreds of miles to the west of Tampa can still cause severe weather associated with outerrain bands.



Was saying it as a historical observation. Obviously anywhere along the West Coast of FL is vulnerable. Here in Ft. Myers we were in the clear since 1960 (Hurricane Donna) before Charley pounded the area. Go figure. Obviously being in the clear since 1921 means nothing about future possibilities. Stating the obvious here but necessary it seems.
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2899
4287. cg2916
2:39 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
NEW BLOG!!!
Member Since: December 21, 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 3046
4286. HurricaneSwirl
2:38 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting Baltimorebirds:
T.d 16 didn't develope into paloma due to interaction with land.T.d 17 developed into paloma.
Quoting extreme236:


TD 16 didn't become Paloma. It was a separate system.


Oh, really? I don't remember that at all. Thanks for the correction!
Member Since: July 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 3237
4285. CaneWarning
2:38 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting Enforcer001:
aqua you are a very nice person...and very understanding...i have trusted you through many years not to turn on me now...i know you won't do this to me...just know that when i get married i hope my woman remains sugar sweet like you by the time she is your age.

oh and HurricaneSwirl, TD 16 did not become Paloma, TD 17 did


OK, now this one was funny.
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
4284. KaNaPaPiJoSa
2:37 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
93L is like a soccer match that lasts forever...In the end it's a tie 0-0.

Or like the Wimbledon match that lasted over 11 hours, with the final set going 70-68. During that set, duece, atvantage, duece, advantage, duece advantage.... eventually, someone had to win.

I'm tired of watching...someone email me when it dies or comes to life.

Member Since: June 14, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 57
4283. kmanislander
2:37 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
New Blog !!
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
4282. cg2916
2:37 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
NEW BLOG!!!
Member Since: December 21, 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 3046
4280. hurricanefiend85
2:37 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
I remember there is a way to have a nearly live look at the hurricane hunters readings in Google Earth. I can't remember if it was a separate add-on or if it was a feature already embedded. Anyone know what I am talking about?
Member Since: February 11, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 43
4279. extreme236
2:37 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:


Well, they're both in the W Caribbean.. and they both have clouds... but TD Sixteen of 08 (future Paloma) looked much better organized.


TD 16 didn't become Paloma. It was a separate system.
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
4277. CybrTeddy
2:36 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting CaneWarning:


Interesting that they mention if it survives over land...


referring to the Yucatan.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24552
4273. Thunderground
2:36 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/atir.html

93L not too shabby IMHO
Member Since: August 31, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 134
4272. MiamiHurricanes09
2:35 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting Hurricanes101:
Ok who got Darby drunk? Looks like he is looking for something lol

LOL!
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
4271. CaneWarning
2:35 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:
Recon plan for tomorrow


000
NOUS42 KNHC 251415
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT FRI 25 JUNE 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JUNE 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-025

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (WESTERN CARIBBEAN)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 70
A. 26/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0301A CYCLONE
C. 26/1400Z
D. 18.5N 86.5W
E. 26/1630Z TO 26/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES
AT 28/1200Z IF THE SYSTEM SURVIVES OVERLAND.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
JWP




Interesting that they mention if it survives over land...
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
4269. wunderkidcayman
2:35 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
so is the HH coming from Keesler Air Force Base or from E Carib
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12712
4268. WatchingThisOne
2:35 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
I suggest everyone to stay on topic and behave properly, admin out on full force right now.


That's good advice 24/7, not just when admins are obviously around. Makes their job easier if we all mind the culture.
Member Since: July 15, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1270
4267. Hurricanes101
2:35 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Geez nevermind
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7874
4265. unf97
2:34 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Good morning everyone!

Looks like it is going to be a long day on the blog as the Reconnaisance aircrafts are in route to investigate 93L.

93L has ceertainly taken its sweet time to organize, but satellitte imagery definitely now indicates that the system has a definite presentation of banding, and the Hurricane Hunters may indeed find our season's first TD later today.
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1193
4264. CaneWarning
2:34 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting Baltimorebirds:
Canewarning It was on his website called hurricanetrack.com.He makes very interesting points,as for the other one it's called hurricanecity.com.


That's right, I forgot about his website. I have a few of his videos.
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
4263. HurricaneSwirl
2:33 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting cyclonekid:
I see a similarity!!!

93L:


Tropical Depression Sixteen (2008):


Well, they're both in the W Caribbean.. and they both have clouds... but TD Sixteen of 08 (future Paloma) looked much better organized.
Member Since: July 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 3237
4262. 1900hurricane
2:33 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:


its never too early

Correction: it's always too early. :P
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11694
4261. Hurricanes101
2:33 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
HURRICANE DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052010
800 AM PDT FRI JUN 25 2010

...DARBY BECOMES THE SECOND MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC
SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 101.2W
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7874
4259. Ossqss
2:33 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
So will the trough pull it north or will the high push it west? Which one ultimately steers this puppy? ª¿ª
Member Since: June 12, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8188
4258. Hurricanes101
2:33 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
HURRICANE CELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042010
800 AM PDT FRI JUN 25 2010

...CELIA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY TO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...FURTHER
WEAKENING EXPECTED ...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 118.1W
ABOUT 825 MI...1330 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7874
4257. WatchingThisOne
2:33 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting cg2916:
A. 25/1800Z - FIX/INVEST TIME
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST - MISSION IDENTIFIER
C. 25/1430Z DEPARTURE - TIME
D. 17.5N 83.0W FORECAST - POSITION
E. 25/1730Z TO 25/2200Z - TIME ON STATION
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT - ALTITUDE(S) ON STATION
G. (None) - REMARKS (if needed)


Taking off right about now ... should get center fix around 2 pm EDT. The 26 00Z model runs will be interesting.
Member Since: July 15, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1270
4256. CybrTeddy
2:32 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Quoting Hurricanes101:
93L may be the ugliest TD I have ever seen if it does in fact get classified lol

needs to wrap up more



Trust me, its beautiful compared to a lot of Tropical storms even.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24552
4255. nrtiwlnvragn
2:32 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Recon plan for tomorrow


000
NOUS42 KNHC 251415
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT FRI 25 JUNE 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JUNE 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-025

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (WESTERN CARIBBEAN)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 70
A. 26/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0301A CYCLONE
C. 26/1400Z
D. 18.5N 86.5W
E. 26/1630Z TO 26/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES
AT 28/1200Z IF THE SYSTEM SURVIVES OVERLAND.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
JWP


Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11307
4254. hurricanehanna
2:32 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
Morning all. Just checking in on 93L. Still wait and see mode. I hope that in addition to the emergency plans the Gulf areas have in place, they have thought of ways to clean up the oil that would be brought inland via a storm or storm surge. What a mess that would be. Hopefully it doesn't play out.
Member Since: September 5, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3488
4253. MiamiHurricanes09
2:32 PM GMT on June 25, 2010
I suggest everyone to stay on topic and behave properly, admin out on full force right now.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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