Second deadliest tornado of 2010 kills 5 in Ohio; oil spill update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:00 PM GMT on June 07, 2010

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The second deadliest tornado of 2010 hit Millbury, Ohio, about 10 miles southeast of Toledo, on Saturday night, killing five. The deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 23, which is, fortunately, well below the approximately 70 deaths we expect to see by mid-June, based on averages from the past three tornado seasons. The deadliest tornado of 2010 was the EF-4 Yazoo City, Mississippi tornado in April, which killed ten. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 55 tornado reports on Saturday, plus 104 reports of damaging winds and 16 of large hail. The tornadoes hit Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Ohio's killer tornado was preliminarily rated a high-end EF-3 with 165 mph winds, but has now been upgraded to an EF-4 with 175 mph winds. An EF-3 tornado also hit Indiana near Grissom Air Force Base on Saturday, and two EF-3 tornadoes were reported in Illinois, one near St. Anne, and one in Livingston County. Here in Michigan, I found myself making some very late night calls at 12:30 am on Sunday to warn relatives about the Doppler radar signatures of rotating supercells bearing down on them. Hardest hit was the town of Dundee, south of Ann Arbor. An EF-2 tornado swept through the town, damaging Michigan's most visited tourist attraction, Cabela's sporting goods store on US-23. An EF-1 tornado also damaged a building at the Fermi II Nuclear Power Plant on Lake Erie, forcing an automatic shutdown of the nuclear reactor.


Figure 1. Severe weather reports for Saturday, June 5, 2010. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Oil spill update
Light winds of 5 - 10 knots today will turn to southeasterly Tuesday through Wednesday, then southerly on Thursday through Friday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. These winds will keep oil near the beaches of Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. The latest ocean current forecasts from the NOAA HYCOM model show that the ocean currents that have carried oil eastward along the Florida Panhandle coast will weaken this week, making it unlikely that oil will penetrate farther eastwards than Panama City, Florida. Long range surface wind forecasts from the GFS model for the period 8 - 14 days from now show a return to a southeastery wind regime, which would prevent any further progress of the oil eastwards along the Florida Panhandle, and would tend to bring significant amounts of oil back to the shores of eastern Louisiana next week. If you spot oil, send in your report to http://www.gulfcoastspill.com/, whose mission is to help the Gulf Coast recovery by creating a daily record of the oil spill.


Figure 2. The oil spill on June 5, 2010 at 11:49pm EDT, as seen by Sythetic Aperature Radar (SAR) imagery from the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. Image credit: University of Miami Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Oil trajectory forecasts from NOAA
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Join the "Hurricane Haven" with Dr. Jeff Masters
I'll have a new post on Tuesday. The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now, with no models predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. Also on Tuesday, I'll be continuing our experiment with my live Internet radio show called "Hurricane Haven." The show will be aired at 4pm EDT on Tuesdays during hurricane season. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. Some topics I'll cover on the show:

1) What's going on in the tropics right now
2) New advancements in hurricane science presented at this month's AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology last month

Tomorrow's show, which will probably be just 1/2 hour, will be at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast, as last week's show was.

Jeff Masters

Massive Thunderhead! (utjazzfan)
Mike shot only the top quarter of this storm cell... Quite a sight!
Massive Thunderhead!
()
June 5th Tornado (MsWickedWitch)
Near Peoria IL
June 5th Tornado
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage (weatherwatcher24)
More damage, but other areas were much worse.
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage

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1282. MWH
3:26 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Good Morning!
After several years of lurking, I decided 2010 would be a good year to pay up and join the group. It looks as though it will be a very busy season. The fact that four of the ten years that Dr. Masters showe as neutural /La Nina were very bad for the NC Coast with several direct hits - Bertha and Fran (96), Bonnie(98), Floyd(99) and Isabel(03)- has me concerned. The members here that have provided a wealth of information have taught me a lot about tropical weather and others have provided, let's just say "good entertainment".

I am not a weather guru by any means, but a lifetime on the central NC Coast may allow me to share some good info and pics during the next storm.

Mike
Member Since: June 8, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 6
1281. IKE
1:43 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
NEW BLOG!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1280. aquak9
1:42 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting Tazmanian:


i cant tell what am looking at too me the map is a big mass


taz- it is looking down from the sky, over the north pole. The north pole is in the middle of the circle.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 178 Comments: 26659
1279. CaneWarning
1:40 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
I just saw on TV where they said there is a large oil sheen west of Tampa. They failed to mention it is 150 miles away. No wonder tourists aren't coming here.
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
1278. IKE
1:35 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting StormW:




I can see the pattern that appears to be shaping up for the season. I don't see how the GOM can avoid several systems.

Combine that with the oil volcano and.....not good.

EDIT>>>Then again...at least it would get some of it out of the GOM. Land masses will be affected though. It's going to happen.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1277. lakeEFX
1:35 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting StormW:
Above average vertical instability in the Caribbean and Atlantic.




I always have vertical instability after Friday night beer night.
Member Since: March 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 114
1275. Tazmanian
1:24 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
big picture up to 911am edt jun 8



i cant tell what am looking at too me the map is a big mass
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
1274. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:19 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
big picture up to 911am edt jun 8

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56089
1273. Chicklit
1:18 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
From 8 a.m. NHC Discussion:
THE SURFACE LOW THAT WAS OVER PANAMA HAS SHIFTED WESTWARD INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION AND COMBINED WITH THE SMALL UPPER HIGH CONTINUES TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA BETWEEN
10N-13N.

Have a good day everyone.



Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11423
1272. SugaCane
1:14 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
We all know what could happen when a cold front stalls out in south Florida in June
Member Since: June 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 20
1271. Orcasystems
1:04 PM GMT on June 08, 2010


AOI

AOI

AOI

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI
Reflector page
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
1269. IKE
12:59 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Not weather related but NEWS nonetheless.



LIMA, Peru - Joran van der Sloot confessed to the slaying of a 21-year-old woman in a Lima hotel room, a high-ranking Peruvian government official told NBC News on Monday.

According to La Republica newspaper, van der Sloot said he broke Stephany Flores' neck after she grabbed his laptop without his permission and found out that he was involved in the disappearance of an American woman.

The paper quoted van der Sloot as saying, "I did not want to do it. The girl intruded into my private life... she didn't have any right.


Oh yes she did and you murdered her. They should take him out in a boat and drop him in a sea of swimming hungry sharks.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1268. stormwatcherCI
12:56 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting StormW:
Above average vertical instability in the Caribbean and Atlantic.



What does this signify? TIA
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
1266. stormwatcherCI
12:56 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
1265. stormwatcherCI
12:54 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting Tazmanian:
good AM my beloveing blog
Good morning Taz.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
1264. TampaSpin
12:54 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Gotta run....everyone have a good day!
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
1263. stormwatcherCI
12:53 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Not weather related but NEWS nonetheless.



LIMA, Peru - Joran van der Sloot confessed to the slaying of a 21-year-old woman in a Lima hotel room, a high-ranking Peruvian government official told NBC News on Monday.

According to La Republica newspaper, van der Sloot said he broke Stephany Flores' neck after she grabbed his laptop without his permission and found out that he was involved in the disappearance of an American woman.

The paper quoted van der Sloot as saying, "I did not want to do it. The girl intruded into my private life... she didn't have any right.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
1262. TampaSpin
12:52 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting Weather456:
Good Morning

Blog Update

Watching the SW Caribbean



Looks like a little wave that has interacted with the Columbian Low that is always present. The Wave should move into the Pacific and possible develop in the Pacific! The blowup is pure Divergence and should fade during the day!
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
1261. cg2916
12:52 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Morning all!

Been at the beach for a couple days! Looks like the tropics are really quiet, but you have to expect that when it's early June with a downward MJO (which looks to me like it won't turn upward until mid-July).

Got some wave train going. Too far south for anything to develop, though. Even if we did have waves further north, shear's been on the increase everywhere except the extreme SW Caribbean, and even the AOI there doesn't look like it'll develop.
Member Since: December 21, 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 3046
1259. Tazmanian
12:50 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
good AM my beloveing blog
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
1257. IKE
12:48 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting CaneWarning:
It was too early for me to see that picture...

Good morning!


I'm glad he deleted it. The deleted blogger is...a troll/trouble. Tired of him.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1254. CaneWarning
12:39 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting CycloneOz:
I'm developing a "new game" here on the main. It's called "Play Chicken with the Admin."

The rules are simple enough. Make single or multiple posts that normally would get you banned from the blog. You leave up the post(s) for as long as you dare, then modify them so they do not appear.

If you win, you do not get banned.
If you lose, you must publicly apologize and offer up your oldest child.


At least you took that awful picture down. :P_
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
1253. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:38 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
your getting stranger and stranger oz not that you were not strange in the first place
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56089
1252. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:36 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
good day wunderground
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56089
1250. CaneWarning
12:34 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
It was too early for me to see that picture...

Good morning!
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
1248. IKE
12:22 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1247. twhcracker
12:12 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting Fla55Native:


Please forgive my ignorance, but what is "MJO"? I've been racking my brains trying to figure it out.


if you go to storm W's blog he lists all the abbreviations and what they mean.
Member Since: July 30, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 1448
1246. ScottSabol
12:10 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
For a complete OHIO TORNADO RECAP with stats and maps, click here on my weather website:

http://sabolscience.blogspot.com

Scott Sabol
WJW FOX 8 Cleveland
1245. Makoto1
12:08 PM GMT on June 08, 2010
Morning, 54 with a few clouds outside right now.

Seems that all there is to watch is that wave train this morning. Impressive to say the least.
1244. IKE
11:48 AM GMT on June 08, 2010

Tropical Atlantic Basin Tranquil
Jun 8, 2010 6:44 AM

As of Tuesday morning, EDT, a few tropical waves were found over the open North Atlantic Ocean. None of these waves are forecast to show any significant development for at least the next 48 hours due to moderate wind shear and cool sea surface temperatures. Other tropical waves were found at 60 west, 48 west and 35 west near 10 north. All of these waves are running into a highly sheared environment, which is unfavorable for development. The rest of the Atlantic remains very quiet with high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico.

By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Justin Povick
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1243. Tropicsweatherpr
11:46 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
I found this graphic of the climatology per month tracks but I can't find the link to them.

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14900
1242. wunderkidcayman
11:28 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
hey guys
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12716
1241. MiamiHurricanes09
11:25 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
1240. IKE
11:04 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
Wave train...

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1239. BahaHurican
11:04 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
Well, I hate to blog and run, but I have to get out there and earn my crust of bread and Wundergroud membership money.... lol

Have a great day!
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22734
1238. BahaHurican
11:01 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
Morning 456.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22734
1237. BahaHurican
11:00 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
I'm wondering if the SCar will get any rain from that Twave. Since it's a bit further north, maybe they'll get some storminess, despite the alleged departure of the MJO....
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22734
1236. IKE
11:00 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
Quoting BahaHurican:
Yeah, I was looking at that big ole high jest a-settin' there.... lol

That high can be ur best friend in June and ur worst enemy in August....


True...a slightly weaker high and August=trouble.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1235. IKE
10:59 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
That's a rather healthy looking wave for June 8th. I don't recall seeing healthy waves like that in early June of 2009.

Watch out for July through October!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1234. Cavin Rawlins
10:59 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
Good Morning

Blog Update

Watching the SW Caribbean

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1233. BahaHurican
10:58 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
Yeah, I was looking at that big ole high jest a-settin' there.... lol

That high can be ur best friend in June and ur worst enemy in August....
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22734
1232. IKE
10:57 AM GMT on June 08, 2010
Looks like the wave at 50 is headed for Pottery and points just north of him.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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