Second deadliest tornado of 2010 kills 5 in Ohio; oil spill update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:00 PM GMT on June 07, 2010

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The second deadliest tornado of 2010 hit Millbury, Ohio, about 10 miles southeast of Toledo, on Saturday night, killing five. The deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 23, which is, fortunately, well below the approximately 70 deaths we expect to see by mid-June, based on averages from the past three tornado seasons. The deadliest tornado of 2010 was the EF-4 Yazoo City, Mississippi tornado in April, which killed ten. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 55 tornado reports on Saturday, plus 104 reports of damaging winds and 16 of large hail. The tornadoes hit Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Ohio's killer tornado was preliminarily rated a high-end EF-3 with 165 mph winds, but has now been upgraded to an EF-4 with 175 mph winds. An EF-3 tornado also hit Indiana near Grissom Air Force Base on Saturday, and two EF-3 tornadoes were reported in Illinois, one near St. Anne, and one in Livingston County. Here in Michigan, I found myself making some very late night calls at 12:30 am on Sunday to warn relatives about the Doppler radar signatures of rotating supercells bearing down on them. Hardest hit was the town of Dundee, south of Ann Arbor. An EF-2 tornado swept through the town, damaging Michigan's most visited tourist attraction, Cabela's sporting goods store on US-23. An EF-1 tornado also damaged a building at the Fermi II Nuclear Power Plant on Lake Erie, forcing an automatic shutdown of the nuclear reactor.


Figure 1. Severe weather reports for Saturday, June 5, 2010. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Oil spill update
Light winds of 5 - 10 knots today will turn to southeasterly Tuesday through Wednesday, then southerly on Thursday through Friday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. These winds will keep oil near the beaches of Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. The latest ocean current forecasts from the NOAA HYCOM model show that the ocean currents that have carried oil eastward along the Florida Panhandle coast will weaken this week, making it unlikely that oil will penetrate farther eastwards than Panama City, Florida. Long range surface wind forecasts from the GFS model for the period 8 - 14 days from now show a return to a southeastery wind regime, which would prevent any further progress of the oil eastwards along the Florida Panhandle, and would tend to bring significant amounts of oil back to the shores of eastern Louisiana next week. If you spot oil, send in your report to http://www.gulfcoastspill.com/, whose mission is to help the Gulf Coast recovery by creating a daily record of the oil spill.


Figure 2. The oil spill on June 5, 2010 at 11:49pm EDT, as seen by Sythetic Aperature Radar (SAR) imagery from the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. Image credit: University of Miami Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Oil trajectory forecasts from NOAA
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Join the "Hurricane Haven" with Dr. Jeff Masters
I'll have a new post on Tuesday. The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now, with no models predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. Also on Tuesday, I'll be continuing our experiment with my live Internet radio show called "Hurricane Haven." The show will be aired at 4pm EDT on Tuesdays during hurricane season. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. Some topics I'll cover on the show:

1) What's going on in the tropics right now
2) New advancements in hurricane science presented at this month's AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology last month

Tomorrow's show, which will probably be just 1/2 hour, will be at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast, as last week's show was.

Jeff Masters

Massive Thunderhead! (utjazzfan)
Mike shot only the top quarter of this storm cell... Quite a sight!
Massive Thunderhead!
()
June 5th Tornado (MsWickedWitch)
Near Peoria IL
June 5th Tornado
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage (weatherwatcher24)
More damage, but other areas were much worse.
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage

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Quoting Baltimorebirds:
Hey cane.There was some fighting on the blog yesterday.It got real ugly.


I know. I saw it all.
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
881. Relix
Seems like our wave went poof. Right?
Member Since: August 3, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2741
Quoting spathy:
No hat but crab legs and a very friendly smile.
And a sensible curiosity.
Thats enough for me.
Thanks Aqua

Thank you very much. Unfortunately, I've eaten all the crab..However, I will try to ask intelligent, on topic questions! It took me a whole year of lurking to make an account and almost another before I summoned the courage to post...:)
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Quoting AussieStorm:

SST's off the east coast of Australia are above normal for this time of year, we have had east coast lows develop in the last 2 weeks bringing tremendous amounts of rain to NSW in particular.


latest sst's and ice coverage
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Chicklit,

I have been having problems with my images on my blog but it's all sorted out now. You can check back every day for my "daily updates".
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TropicalWave, I heard you were banned. Was that information incorrect?
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
874. xcool


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Quoting hydrus:
Fay was beginning to intensify rapidly over the Gulf. The area that Fay moved over is hot, wet and flat and surrounded by warm water. Fay had something to feed on, plus the energy in the upper levels she pulled from the Gulf a few hours earlier. She organized until it ultimately felt friction from land.jmo


If we hadn't dried up most of the Everglades she might have ramped up even further.
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870. xcool


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869. beell
One smiling crab hat as ordered.
(did I get that right?)



Hello, Becca.
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Quoting Grothar:


We thought she would never go away.

she hung around like a bad smell
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867. Dr3w
Either did I, it rained forever and flooded everything out. I was just looking at satelite images of it and I thought I was going crazy because I thought I noticed an eye.
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Quoting Weather456:


I think the circulation associated with La Nina promotes upward motion over the W Pacific and that's one reason why Indonesia and Australia receives above normal precip during La Nina years. Despite this the WPAC is awfully quiet.

SST's off the east coast of Australia are above normal for this time of year, we have had east coast lows develop in the last 2 weeks bringing tremendous amounts of rain to NSW in particular.
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Quoting HurricaneKyle:


Fay reached peak intensity overland. So yea, it did develop an eye.
Fay was beginning to intensify rapidly over the Gulf. The area that Fay moved over is hot, wet and flat and surrounded by warm water. Fay had something to feed on, plus the energy in the upper levels she pulled from the Gulf a few hours earlier. She organized until it ultimately felt friction from land.jmo
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22728
Fay is my favorite storm, it's endless bag of tricks, the uncertainty in forecasts,the broken records left behind, and the excellent coverage. plus damage and deaths were low
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Quoting Dr3w:


Thanks :)


We thought she would never go away.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27211
Quoting hydrus:
They do, but you purchase them separately now.


I solved that problem... My old CD drive broke, I told it could stay with it's other working friend on one condition... I had a good fight with it! It kept tring to pull in and squash my drink! Then I pulled the plug on it, laughed at it and sat back with my drink. It was with it's friend in spirit. The friend though, had to now do double time, it was not happy either.
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859. SLU
The party is going to be in the Atlantic .... if only we could call it a party.
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oh! no hat. Hello Becca. Any friend of spathy's is a friend of mine. Esp if they come with crab legs.
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857. Dr3w
Quoting Grothar:



yes,indeed from wiki

Fay made four Florida landfalls, first at Key West in the late afternoon of August 18, then early the following morning at Cape Romano south of Naples as a 65 mph (100 km/h) tropical storm.[3] Later that day, while crossing central Florida, Fay unexpectedly strengthened over land to just under hurricane intensity with 70 mph (110 km/h) winds and a pressure of 986 mbar,[3] which is a stronger intensity than Fay had ever obtained over open ocean. The storm developed an eye feature, and continued to hold its strength for the rest of the day.[24] After many hours of land interaction, Fay began to weaken.[25] Fay regained some strength, however, after leaving land at Melbourne and heading northward over the warm Atlantic Ocean waters, only to be deflected westward as it encountered a high pressure ridge. This resulted in another landfall at Flagler Beach in the afternoon of August 21. Fay then emerged into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and made its fourth landfall on the morning of August 23 near Carrabelle in the Florida Panhandle. Fay narrowly missed making yet another landfall, the center staying barely onshore while passing Panama City and St. Andrews Bay. Fay then weakened to a depression later that day. For the next several days, Fay was a slow moving tropical depression. Fay started moving to the northeast over southern Mississippi, where it moved over Alabama and finally dissipated on August 27 over Georgia.

[edit] Impact


Thanks :)
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Quoting spathy:
Oh heck.
Her name is Becca.
I cant find her post.
But lets give a bright new poster a welcome.

745. Becca36 12:12 AM GMT on June 08, 2010 Hide this comment.

Quoting spathy:
Becca.
Yes I think many of us are trying to make the most of the Gulf while we can.

Jamie and I went to Sanibel lighthouse to fish the other evening.
We were there till 3AM.
The Phosphorescence was amazing!
Up to our chests in water.
The flow across our legs was glowing like galaxy's ten fold washing over us.
To see the glow and the tiny creatures that created the show flowing around us was the most spectacular connection to Ma Earth.
It makes you realize that its not just the larger animals that will suffer.


That must have been amazing to experience! The whole issue is very dismaying.

Thank you so much!
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spathy- does becca wear a big floppy hat? I welcome her with open arms.
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Quoting hydrus:
They do, but you purchase them separately now.


Bad as cars. Everything used to come standard is an option.
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Quoting Dr3w:
Did Tropical Storm Fay develop an eye over land?




yes,indeed from wiki

Fay made four Florida landfalls, first at Key West in the late afternoon of August 18, then early the following morning at Cape Romano south of Naples as a 65 mph (100 km/h) tropical storm.[3] Later that day, while crossing central Florida, Fay unexpectedly strengthened over land to just under hurricane intensity with 70 mph (110 km/h) winds and a pressure of 986 mbar,[3] which is a stronger intensity than Fay had ever obtained over open ocean. The storm developed an eye feature, and continued to hold its strength for the rest of the day.[24] After many hours of land interaction, Fay began to weaken.[25] Fay regained some strength, however, after leaving land at Melbourne and heading northward over the warm Atlantic Ocean waters, only to be deflected westward as it encountered a high pressure ridge. This resulted in another landfall at Flagler Beach in the afternoon of August 21. Fay then emerged into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and made its fourth landfall on the morning of August 23 near Carrabelle in the Florida Panhandle. Fay narrowly missed making yet another landfall, the center staying barely onshore while passing Panama City and St. Andrews Bay. Fay then weakened to a depression later that day. For the next several days, Fay was a slow moving tropical depression. Fay started moving to the northeast over southern Mississippi, where it moved over Alabama and finally dissipated on August 27 over Georgia.

[edit] Impact
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27211
In case anyone missed it and wanted to view it...

Blog Update

Hurricane Season Blog #10: Daily Update - Area Of Disturbed Weather Over Panama -
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Quoting Baltimorebirds:
That's probally due to above normal sea pressures,and developing la nina.


I think the circulation associated with La Nina promotes upward motion over the W Pacific and that's one reason why Indonesia and Australia receives above normal precip during La Nina years. Despite this the WPAC is awfully quiet.
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848. Dr3w
Quoting HurricaneKyle:


Fay reached peak intensity overland. So yea, it did develop an eye.


Gotcha
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


How come computers don't have cup-holders anymore?
They do, but you purchase them separately now.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22728
Quoting Dr3w:
Did Tropical Storm Fay develop an eye over land?



Fay reached peak intensity overland. So yea, it did develop an eye.
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Quoting Chicklit:
just coming on so maybe you've already talked about the SWCarib...


Loop
I have and it's on my blog. Hasn't really been a topic of conversation today, as a matter a fact there hasn't been a "topic" today :P.
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shen- yeah I noticed that too- suddenly birds are no longer bird-brained?

spathy- open arms await
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Keeper might want to run your sweeper again. I think our bird may have more than one line.
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just coming on so maybe you've already talked about the SWCarib...


Loop
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836. Dr3w
Did Tropical Storm Fay develop an eye over land?

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Quoting hydrus:
Thanks guys for helping me out. The cassettes dont fit in these things anymore...:)


How come computers don't have cup-holders anymore?
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Quoting AllStar17:
The Western Pacific typhoon season remains nearly non-existent. Very quiet out there.


There has only been one named storm so far.
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ahhhhh...sweet read back, sweet blog.

No zombies.

sugary sweet. :)
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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