Second deadliest tornado of 2010 kills 5 in Ohio; oil spill update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:00 PM GMT on June 07, 2010

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The second deadliest tornado of 2010 hit Millbury, Ohio, about 10 miles southeast of Toledo, on Saturday night, killing five. The deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 23, which is, fortunately, well below the approximately 70 deaths we expect to see by mid-June, based on averages from the past three tornado seasons. The deadliest tornado of 2010 was the EF-4 Yazoo City, Mississippi tornado in April, which killed ten. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 55 tornado reports on Saturday, plus 104 reports of damaging winds and 16 of large hail. The tornadoes hit Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Ohio's killer tornado was preliminarily rated a high-end EF-3 with 165 mph winds, but has now been upgraded to an EF-4 with 175 mph winds. An EF-3 tornado also hit Indiana near Grissom Air Force Base on Saturday, and two EF-3 tornadoes were reported in Illinois, one near St. Anne, and one in Livingston County. Here in Michigan, I found myself making some very late night calls at 12:30 am on Sunday to warn relatives about the Doppler radar signatures of rotating supercells bearing down on them. Hardest hit was the town of Dundee, south of Ann Arbor. An EF-2 tornado swept through the town, damaging Michigan's most visited tourist attraction, Cabela's sporting goods store on US-23. An EF-1 tornado also damaged a building at the Fermi II Nuclear Power Plant on Lake Erie, forcing an automatic shutdown of the nuclear reactor.


Figure 1. Severe weather reports for Saturday, June 5, 2010. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Oil spill update
Light winds of 5 - 10 knots today will turn to southeasterly Tuesday through Wednesday, then southerly on Thursday through Friday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. These winds will keep oil near the beaches of Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. The latest ocean current forecasts from the NOAA HYCOM model show that the ocean currents that have carried oil eastward along the Florida Panhandle coast will weaken this week, making it unlikely that oil will penetrate farther eastwards than Panama City, Florida. Long range surface wind forecasts from the GFS model for the period 8 - 14 days from now show a return to a southeastery wind regime, which would prevent any further progress of the oil eastwards along the Florida Panhandle, and would tend to bring significant amounts of oil back to the shores of eastern Louisiana next week. If you spot oil, send in your report to http://www.gulfcoastspill.com/, whose mission is to help the Gulf Coast recovery by creating a daily record of the oil spill.


Figure 2. The oil spill on June 5, 2010 at 11:49pm EDT, as seen by Sythetic Aperature Radar (SAR) imagery from the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. Image credit: University of Miami Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Oil trajectory forecasts from NOAA
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Join the "Hurricane Haven" with Dr. Jeff Masters
I'll have a new post on Tuesday. The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now, with no models predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. Also on Tuesday, I'll be continuing our experiment with my live Internet radio show called "Hurricane Haven." The show will be aired at 4pm EDT on Tuesdays during hurricane season. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. Some topics I'll cover on the show:

1) What's going on in the tropics right now
2) New advancements in hurricane science presented at this month's AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology last month

Tomorrow's show, which will probably be just 1/2 hour, will be at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast, as last week's show was.

Jeff Masters

Massive Thunderhead! (utjazzfan)
Mike shot only the top quarter of this storm cell... Quite a sight!
Massive Thunderhead!
()
June 5th Tornado (MsWickedWitch)
Near Peoria IL
June 5th Tornado
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage (weatherwatcher24)
More damage, but other areas were much worse.
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage

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Quoting CyclonicVoyage:




OK. I see a 90 there on the southwest coast....
Thanks
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Quoting Grothar:




Lookin' Goooood!
I posted a vis and ended up with the I.R again. #%$#!
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20977
977. xcool
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15648
Quoting Grothar:




Lookin' Goooood!
he will be up for an award soon

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Quoting Baltimorebirds:
Sst can not be 90 degrees off of florida and parts of the gulf.And I refuse to belive that.



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Atlantic Continues to get hotter, Equatorial Pacific continues to get colder over the past 5 days. Click to Enlarge
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Oh well that's a different story.


And for the record, SAL (Saharan Air Layer) is comprised of Dust from the Saharan Desert so, we're both right. Since we're being technical tonight.
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


LMAO where are you getting these?
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Quoting Baltimorebirds:
Sst can not be 90 degrees off of florida and parts of the gulf.And I refuse to belive that.

Where are you seeing 90 degree temps?
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<>img src="http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/huallen1980
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20977
968. beell
Good night, to you and yours, Becca.
It will be a long season. You'll find some interesting stuff here along the way. From a very diverse group. It ain't always good. But it ain't always bad.
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Quoting hydrus:




Lookin' Goooood!
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26010
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Oh, lol. Well I'm off to bed. Good night all!


Good Night Miami.
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Quoting CyclonicVoyage:


Really cane, it doesn't matter. I've been using Eumastat for about 3 years now. The goal of my post did not require an up to the minute image, just the latest visible available.
Oh well that's a different story.
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Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26010
Quoting AllStar17:


That is what I was trying to say.
Oh, lol. Well I'm off to bed. Good night all!
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Quoting CyclonicVoyage:


Can you point out the dust in your image for me? If you can, let me know how so I can use that updated image.


Really cane, it doesn't matter. I've been using Eumastat for about 3 years now. The goal of my post did not require an up to the minute image, just the latest visible available.
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<>img src="http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/huallen198
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20977
Quoting CyclonicVoyage:


Can you point out the dust in your image for me? If you can, let me know how so I can use that updated image.
It isn't dust it's SAL. And yes I can point out where the SAL is by looking at the SAL graphs.



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KOTG, Y'all have a good night. I came to see if anything new was happinin'. We gonna go hit the hot tub and pool and probably get us a margarita or 7. Gotta love these beautiful summer nights on the MS Coast. Oh and the free rooms don't hurt either...LOL
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.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20977
Good night everyone and thanks for the warm welcome!
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


LMAO where are you getting these?
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
That really isn't what matters believe it or not. As long as it has it's energy in favorable conditions it should have no problems spinning up and becoming something.


That is what I was trying to say.
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Who care's if it isn't visible or not, as long as it's updated and not 9 hours old it does the job.


Can you point out the dust in your image for me? If you can, let me know how so I can use that updated image.
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Quoting eriktheawful:


The complexity and beauty of this picture is amazing...we are truly blessed to live on such a planet and have the technology to observe it so well
big blue is an amazing place if only more realize this
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Howdy, here is something you can bookmark just for fun for now. Kinda interesting and different warning system.

We have a few weeks till the MJO comes back and could kick things off for the season. Seems things are kinda quiet now? Be well all - out>

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/alerts_timeline.html
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Quoting AllStar17:
Just because the CATL Tropical wave doesn't have many thunderstorms does not mean the structure is gone. It is still there, and needs to be tracked as it heads toward and into the Caribbean.
That really isn't what matters believe it or not. As long as it has it's energy in favorable conditions it should have no problems spinning up and becoming something.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
A pic of KOTG gettin' his groove on. SCARY!! LOL
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Just because the CATL Tropical wave doesn't have many thunderstorms does not mean the structure is gone. It is still there, and needs to be tracked as it heads toward and into the Caribbean.
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Quoting CyclonicVoyage:


And look, it didn't change much, go figure.

That is not a visible image, BTW.
Who care's if it isn't visible or not, as long as it's updated and not 9 hours old it does the job.
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evening msg it was good but table has turned
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Emo moment? LOL.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
latest big picture



The complexity and beauty of this picture is amazing...we are truly blessed to live on such a planet and have the technology to observe it so well
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Just 30 minutes old:



And look, it didn't change much, go figure.

That is not a visible image, BTW.
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It's gonna be a while before things get going in the tropics but once they do, things will be sussenering.
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Quoting CyclonicVoyage:


Well cane, it's rather dark over in Africa now so that is the latest visible available. I doubt that picture has changed much since then.
Just 30 minutes old:

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Quoting postitcast:
Got these while chasing in Illinois on 060510. The touchdowns were SW of Kankakee And may have been the start of the St Anne EF3 damage.

Link





Hey nice videos, I actually already saw them this morning. Lol and now the infamous chaser is here, that Cloud to ground lightning was sick...
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Good evening KOTG
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932. xcool
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15648

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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